Gas war Eastern Mediterranean War

[ahmed1ghoneim]

How likely is a war in the Eastern Mediterranean over gas
Expected warring factions
Tripartite alliance (Egypt, Greece, South Cyprus) VS (Turkey, Northern Cyprus)
And maybe (Lebanon and Israel)
In the period between 2017 AD And 2019 AD

 

[mike of mass]

I think your blocs should be Israel, Greece Cyprus vs Turkey, Lebanon/Hezbollah. Egypt's interests do not appear to be contested. The next Israel vs Lebanon/Hezbollah war won't be over the gas fields but the issue might be adjudicated in the aftermath. I think your time frame needs to be pushed outward.