Update #1: 2014 Parliament Hill Attacks//Poll
Terrorist attacks in major cities had grown dramatically with examples such as 9/11, the 7/7 attacks and the Madrid train bombing. It was something that was tragically becoming all too common. Something that all security experts could agree on was that Canada was by far not immune to a terrorist attack of that nature. On October 20, twenty-five year old Martin Couture-Rouleau rammed his car into two soldiers of the Canadian Armed Forces in a shopping centre in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, killing both soldiers and leading police on a pursuit that would ultimately kill Rouleau. The following day, the terror threat level would be raised from “light” to “medium” due to "an increase in online 'general chatter' from radical groups including Islamic State and al-Qaeda." The following day, a series of events would unfold which would shake the landscape of Canada for the foreseeable future.

At 10:00 a.m. the next day, witnesses saw a man armed with a rifle arrive at the National War Memorial. A man who later became to be identified as Michael Zehaf-Bibeau. Bibeau approached Corporal Nathan Cirillo and would shoot him twice in the back. Bystanders and his follow sentries would rush to his aid, applying and trying to resuscitate Cirillo. Paramedics would rush Cirillo to hospital but it was all too late. He had sustained fatal injuries and at the age of 24 he passed away. Bibeau would then drive west along Wellington St to Parliament Hill where he would run through a gate and hijack a parliamentary vehicle and drive to Centre Block. He entered Centre Block through the main entrance where RCMP Constable Samearn Son spotted Bibeau and attempted to disarm him. He would get shot in the foot and in one of the many raw moments of the attack, limped out and told a CBC reporter that “I will survive.” Zheaf-Bibeau ran along the Hall of Honour towards the Library of Parliament, as he was running down the corridor, he passed the committee rooms of the Conservatives and the NDP. Tory MPs had started to barricade themselves with chairs and began to use flagpoles as spears in case but their actions were too late, Zheaf-Bibeau entered the room and opened fire on the 159 MPs in the room, wounding 15 MPs, killing 9 and the most shocking of all, Prime Minister Stephen Harper was seriously injured by flying rounds as several MPs were trying to usher him into a closet. Zheaf-Bibeau would then try to enter the NDP caucus room but to no avail. Two NDP MPs were injured as a result of rounds that had penetrated the outer doors of the room.

Bibeau would then reach an alcove by the entrance of the Library of Parliament and hid out of sight of RCMP officers. Kevin Vickers, the Sergeant-at-Arms of the House of Commons who’s office is near the alcove obtained a handgun from his lockbox and entered the hall. His security team yelled at him telling that he was hiding the alcove. Vickers than ran behind a nearby column and fired at Bibeau. RCMP Constable Curtis Barrett would then fatally shoot Bibeau, ending the tragic ordeal. The Prime Minister would be evacuated by his security detail to nearby Saint-Vincent Hospital where the Prime Minister would go into surgery. Tragically at 12:18 p.m, Canada’s 22nd Prime Minister Stephen Harper, the man who built his party into the powerhouse it was today, passed away. At the end of the day, 20 people were injured and 12 including the Prime Minister and Zehaf-Bibeau were killed. The nation was brought to it’s knees.

The following day, the country was still in disbelief that such an attack could’ve happened in the heart of the nation. Politicians and people alike from across the aisle and across the country expressed an outpour of grief. As the nation was in mourning, it wasn’t clear who was Prime Minister for several hours. Soon enough the cabinet would quickly rally around Foreign Affairs Minister, John Baird and with a impromptu caucus vote, John Baird was confirmed as leader and therefore Prime Minister. He would be whisked to Rideau Hall where he would be sworn in as Canada’s 23rd Prime Minister. After his swearing-in, John Baird asked Governor General David Johnston to prorogue Parliament for 24 days for which his request was granted out of respect for the victims of the attack and also to calm the chaos in the halls of Parliament Hill. The House of Commons would resume its sitting on November 17 with a touching question period, with fellow MPs sharing stories of fellow colleagues and tributes to those who were fallen. In the following days, the country had returned to a sense of normalcy. The questions that ensued were why, why did these tragic events unfold but the more pressing question was if John Baird would led the Tories into the looming 2015 federal election or would a leadership race ensue within the party. Ultimately however, the Conservative Party National Council would vote narrowly 11-9 in favour of holding a leadership race. Numerous critics said that the last thing the party needed was a divisive leadership race ensuing while others praised the Tories for their “grassroots democracy” in letting their members chose their leader. A number of people that were rumoured to jump in the race included John Tory, Christine Elliott, Candice Bergen, Chuck Strahl and even current Prime Minister John Baird and some of his fellow cabinet ministers. With a potential list of over 12 candidates running for the leadership, the race was already in full gear. The question was if the Tories could stay united through this or would the cracks in the party be broke wide open.

As phone calls were being made across the country, a call was strangely being made from an office tower in Miami.

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I really can't see Tory going federal, he probably could have easily done it, but his sights have always been in Toronto (either mayor or premier).
 
I really can't see Tory going federal, he probably could have easily done it, but his sights have always been in Toronto (either mayor or premier).

You're right but at this point Tory is only a potential candidate so he may or may not run, I'll leave it to the next post for that answer.
 
Voted for Tory because I have no choice in the matter. MacKay is the likeliest winner. Former Defence Minister, former Foreign Affairs Minister, current Justice Minister. Basically has experience with every portfolio that is about to be even more important considering what's happening.
 
Voted for Tory because I have no choice in the matter. MacKay is the likeliest winner. Former Defence Minister, former Foreign Affairs Minister, current Justice Minister. Basically has experience with every portfolio that is about to be even more important considering what's happening.

I could make MacKay the winner or I could end up surprising everyone and we have Prime Minister Deepak Obhrai which would be quite intresting.
 
So which other MPs perished in the attack? I've noted a surprising lack of Michael Chong on the leadership election list...
 
So which other MPs perished in the attack? I've noted a surprising lack of Michael Chong on the leadership election list...

Earl Dreeshen: Red Deer
Brian Storseth: Westlock—St. Paul
Mark Warawa: Langey
Robert Sopuc: Dauphin—Swan River—Marquette
Parm Gill: Brampton—Springdale
Joe Preston: Elgin—Middlesex—London
Barry Devolin: Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock
Mark Adler: York Centre
Jacques Gourde: Lotbinière—Chutes-de-la-Chaudière

And Michael Chong was also a rumored candidate but surprisingly told the media that he had no interest in running but instead would endorse the "proper candidate."
 
I could see the party membership backing someone pushing harsh security measures. Rob Nicholson or even Julian Fantino (As this occurs before the worst of his scandals, which would likely take him out if the running).
 
I could see the party membership backing someone pushing harsh security measures. Rob Nicholson or even Julian Fantino (As this occurs before the worst of his scandals, which would likely take him out if the running).

Maybe that's exactly what my next update will be.. or maybe not. You'll have to wait and see!
 
Update #2: 2014 Toronto Mayoral Election
Elected not more than four years ago, Rob Ford rode his way to Mayor of Toronto on a wave of right-wing populism, promising to stop the “gravy train” at city hall, reduce the burden on taxpayers and fight crime with an iron fist. Then came the scandals. A video showed a man, which was alleged to be Rob Ford, smoking crack cocaine. Ford strongly denied these allegations which a sizeable amount of Torontonians agreeing with him. All of this would be shattered in one fell swoop as Toronto Police Chief Bill Blair announced that police in fact had obtained a copy of the video, contradicting pretty much anything that Ford said before. After several days, Ford finally admitted that he in fact, did smoke crack cocaine in “one of my drunken stupors.” Despite numerous politicians and citizens alike calling on him to resign, he announced that he wouldn’t resign and that he would continue to “save the taxpayer’s money” and that he would seek re-election. And so on July 12, 2014, in front of a roaring crowd at his annual “Ford Nation” Barbecue, he announced he would run for re-election. This though would come crashing down with a bombshell announcement weeks later that Mayor Ford had been diagnosed with a rare tumor in his stomach. He would proceed to withdraw from the race for mayor and instead run fro his old Ward 2 council seat. His elder brother, Doug Ford would enter the mayoral race and therefore steering the helm of Ford Nation.

In the halls of City Hall, the council's centrist faction had quite relatively few candidates. Several people being floated included Shelly Carroll, councillor for Ward 33-Don Valley East and fierce critic of Rob Ford who became known for her tough-talking style in the chamber. Another name being touted as a possible contender was former Premier of Ontario and an NDP-er turned Liberal, Bob Rae. George Smitherman, runner up in the 2010 mayor's race was also a name being floated. All three had ruled out bids for mayor shortly after their names had began to be floated. On the centre-left side, numerous candidates had also been floated. Candidates being mentioned included Joe Cressy, city councillor for Ward 20, Joe Pantalone, former mayoral contender in 2010 and Olivia Chow, MP for Trinity—Spadina. More interestingly however, acclaimed author and poet Margaret Atwood had privately began to develop interest to run for mayor. She along with Cressy and Pantalone ruled themselves out for running. After months of speculation, Olivia Chow announced she would resign as an MP and launch her bid for mayor. Promising Toronto that she was the one to led the city to a brighter future and to not lead Toronto further down the path of scandals that’ve rocked City Hall. On the centre-right faction, numerous candidates would include current radio host, former Ontario PC leader and former mayoral candidate himself, John Tory. Other names being touted were Karen Stintz, former TTC chair and councillor for Ward 16 and former councillor David Soknacki. Many pundits had widely expected John Tory to jump into the race but surprisingly he announced he would not run for mayor but would endorse the "proper candidate." This would provide an opening to Karen Stintz as she announced she would enter the race, promising to bring stability, both fiscally and literally to the corridors of City Hall. Both Tory and Soknacki would endorse Stintz, giving her a much needed boost in the polls.

Ultimately, Ford with his brash “no non-sense and straight talking” brand of populism, Chow with her left-leaning credentials and support from many of Toronto’s liberals and Karen Stintz as the ideal candidate of the centre-right, gained enough endorsements, cash and supporters to become the top three candidates with a viable shot at winning.

Chow said that she would increase bus service by 10%, continue the plans to build LRT lines on Sheppard and Finch and return to the plan of the provincially funded seven-stop LRT to replace the Scarborough RT. She would keep property taxes around the rate of inflation and increase the land transfer tax on houses over $2 million. Stintz meanwhile would pursue a downtown relief line, reform the land transfer tax, explore a “hybrid” solution for the eastern section of the Gardiner Expressway. She was also known as an ally of Ford but after his numerous scandals began distancing herself from him. Stintz also more controversially has flipped flopped on several issues including going from supporting a seven-stop LRT to a three-stop subway extension. Ford meanwhile promised to “keep on saving the taxpayer’s money” and to keep the rate of property tax well below the inflation rate and to implement a $9 billion subway expansion plan which many pundits called unfeasible. On a lighter note, when Ford released his subway plan, it contained numerous errors such as spelling “Eglinton” as “Eglington” and “Don Mills” as “Done Mills.” As the campaign wore on, the attacks became ever so more intense. Mayor Ford attacked Chow as a legacy of “the Miller days” and saying that she would “spend, spend, spend and tax, tax, tax!” Ford would turn on his brother's TTC Chair Karen Stintz accusing her of turning into a “left-wing fanatic” by supporting the original Transit City plan instead of Ford’s transit plan. Chow would shot back at both Stintz and Ford saying that all they cared about is cutting services to improve Toronto’s bottom line. Stintz would then go on to say that Chow is a “lovely lady” but she was the “NDP candidate’ that would bring back Toronto to the “Miller days of tax and spend.” As the campaign began to enter the final days, the polls showed a commanding led for Chow.

Then came the Parliament Hill attacks. Security and law and order issues came back to many minds of voters. The fears of an attack had heightened and people were looking to the candidate Ford would immediately take advantage of this and present himself as the law and order candidate who would “protect Toronto from these radicals.” Despite the controversy surrounding the remarks, his numbers shot up in the poll, gaining over 5 points over two days. Stintz would fall behind in the polls but still maintain a strong position as Ford would gain the momentum. Despite a Ford surge in the polls, Chow kept her significant lead intact but polls on the eve of election day showed that their was a real possibility that Ford Nation could squeak out a very, very narrow victory. Election night would bring many unknowns.

Ultimatley on Election Night, Torontonians would elected Olivia Chow as the 65th Mayor of Toronto, opting for a progressive change and ending the tumultuous four years of the Ford mayoralty. In front of a roaring crowd, she thanked the people of Toronto for placing faith in her to deliver on her vision of a brighter and visionary Toronto. Ford would outperform expectations and come in a strong second. In front of a roaring crowd, he congratulated Chow but also reminded Torontonians that Ford Nation “will always save the taxpayer’s money.” Karen Stintz would throw her support behind Mayor-elect Chow, saying that it was “now time to unite together and set the course of Toronto for tomorrow.” Ford also mentioned he was leaving the door “wide open” on running in the 2018 mayoral race. Another possibility was that Rob Ford would make a comeback and re-run for mayor. Stintz too would also not rule out running once more. It seemed that 2018 would be just like déja vu.

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Update #3: 2015 Conservative Leadership Race
The death of Stephen Harper had came as a shock to all Canadians. The man that had built the very foundations of the party was gone. In the following days and weeks after the horrific attack, the Conservatives were riding a high tide of popularity with them polling in the high 30s to mid 40s, knocking the Liberals down to second place with the NDP running in third. With this the party set their leadership election for January 15, 2015.

With the date set in stone, Minister of Citizenship and Immigration Chris Alexander became to the first candidate to enter the race. Candidates that were rumoured to run for the leadership including the likes of John Tory, Candice Bergen, Rona Ambrose and Brad Wall had ultimately opted out of race. The field of candidate soon expanded to include cabinet ministers Peter MacKay, Jason Kenney, Erin O’Toole, Maxime Bernier and the Prime Minister, John Baird. Also running in the leadership was Mayor of Surrey and Conservative candidate for the newly created riding of South Surrey—White Rock, Dianne Watts. MacKay, Baird and Kenney soon emerged as the frontrunners in a race that would quickly turn into a three way. In the eyes of many panels, O’Toole, Alexander and especially Watts were mainly running to increase their profile within the party and with Bernier, to re-innovate his image in the Tory ranks.

Throughout the campaign, the contest became a three way with Kenney, MacKay and Baird all having a decent shot at winning the leadership. MacKay would criticize Baird during his time as Ontario Minister of Energy for trying to sell off parts of Hydro One and the significant increase in hydro prices. Kenney meanwhile reminded Tory members that both John Baird and Peter MacKay were members of the federal Progressive Conservatives and not the Canadian Alliance before the merger of the two parties. Baird would hit back at both Kenney and MacKay accusing the latter of misusing funds for personal use during his time as Minister of National Defence. He would also criticize Kenney for the citizenship ceremony stunt for the Sun News Network. After one week of voting, Conservatives gathered in Halifax to chose their new leader. The race began with MacKay with the lead with Baird close behind and Kenney not far after. This would continue until the fifth round where in one of the most stunning upsets, Prime Minister John Baird fell to third place, eliminating him. After the sixth round, MacKay beat Kenney 53.4 to 46.5%, making him Canada’s 24th Prime Minister.

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