In all honesty it might butterfly the Pacific War entirely, it's no accident that the Japanese attacked the moment they had six fleet carriers plus sundry smaller ones to the US six fleets plus Ranger and Langley.
The USN was never going to use the difficult to manage, unprotected, slightly less than fleet-speed, and highly combustible Ranger in combat where it could face enemy air or surface power, and the Langley had already been converted to a seaplane tender with half her flight deck removed.
An extra Y-TOWN certainly would have been useful but keep in mind depending on when she is finished, what if she is in Pearl on December 7th?
Kimmel had his carriers going dazzle-dazzle all over the Pacific delivering fighters to remote outposts. An extra carrier means more planes at Wake and Midway, not a carrier sitting in Pearl. Not on a Sunday.
One way the US could get more carriers earlier is to not build a couple of the new battleships. Maybe carriers instead of INDIANA and MASSACHUSETTS?
Before or after the pre-Pearl Harbor Black Shoe Navy hangs you for treason?
Also, keep in the mind that the lack of carriers in mid-43 is a bit of an artificiality. If the need had existed Nimitz could have rushed some of the new carriers south, say ESSEX, YORKTOWN, INDY, and PRINCETON or something like that. The need just wasn't there. Most of what was being done in SOPAC could be covered by land based air so Nimitz could afford to husband his resources and work on first training and then the makee-learnee raids.
There is that. While Coral Sea, Midway, and the Solomons had bled out much of the carrier strength in the US Navy, Japan's situation with carriers, aircraft, and pilots were beyond critical. It wasn't like the IJN & IJA could field a credible threat to the Allies by this time.
Hornet and Essex were ordered after the Treaty was abrogated in 1937.
Instead of waiting for the Essex plans to be finalized, they could have ordered both as repeat Yorktowns instead of one and the future Essex in 1937 to counter Shokaku and Zuikaku.
That would give you Lex/Sara; Ranger/Wasp; and 4 Yorktowns in total delivered before 1941. 6 Fleet carriers, and 2 smaller ones.
IDK, if you are abrogating the treaties too why build the Wasp over another Yorktown? The only reason the Wasp was built was to keep within artificial treaty limitations. Can anyone really imagine for example the Nelson-class being built as was were it not for keeping within the inter-war battleship limits?
Another thought was w/i the USN went for three 23,000t (treaty max) for their 69,000 tons left over for treaty carriers instead of R/Y/E. When the Treaty goes away in 1937, order two more (H/W) for delivery before 1941. Then you can begin your Essex program with Essex laid in late 40 as soon as H comes off the ways.
That gets you two 33kt and five 23kt* fleet carriers at the beginning of 1941.
Again, IDK. Too much concentration on naval air power pre-PH IMO. Then again, the Japanese were going for the marbles with their carrier force too, so....
If they don't have the smaller fleet carriers you may see some early CVE conversions to provide ASW support in the Atlantic, 4 in 1940 and 4 in 1941 is easy to accommodate. Use the French ordered F4Fs, Helldivers and SBDs for their aircraft. For training and ASW patrols, they will be sufficient.
4 Bogues: 9 F4F-3, 12 SBC Helldivers
4 Sangamons: 9 F4F-3, 21 SBD-2
72 F4F-3, 48 Helldivers, 84 SBD-2
That would be 7 fleet and 8 CVEs near the end of 41.
Interesting. It was only the counsel of desperation that led the USN to go for the Independence class CVLs. Generally speaking, when the US Navy wanted something, they wanted them big.
Not referring to CVEs, tho.
*The older carriers can be run through drydock and given anti-torpdo bulges during this period also. Enterprise was pushing 30kt by the end of the war due to her upgrades and rebuilds. H/W can come off of the ways with the bulges already in place. L/S needed to have their armament revamped and the aft elevator enlarged along with the bulges.
Yeah, but the SARAs will always have their issues with age, handling, wear and tear, obsolescence, and those damned vulnerable turbine engines.
If you are willing to let the second pair of Iowas (and the Alaskas) be cancelled, you can get an amazing amount of Essex hulls into commission by 1945, basically the entire lot of 32, not just 14.
Those IOWAs really were needed with the start of the kamikaze threat, and as to the ALASKAs every country has to learn the hard lesson of the stupidity of "battlecruisers"
*BOOM* for themselves. They just can't learn from other people's mistakes.
Japan announced they were going to abrogate the treaty in December 1934, so there's really no reason Wasp couldn't have been laid down as a Yorktown class, if they'd only waited another 9 months. Alternatively, she could have been laid down as an improved version of Ranger
There is no improving a Ranger. If you improve it enough to be a good ship, its not a Ranger.
and a prototype for a new class of light fleet carriers, as opposed to the full-sized fleet carriers that would be the Essexes. There was really no call to lay her down as under-powered, under-armoured Yorktown.
All good ideas, but would you really get CVLs ordered this early and pre-PH?