Not really so simple. 1932 was the last time a Republican won a majority of the Black vote. The New Deal was the start of the transition of Black Americans from voting R to voting D, something that was spurred on by later Democratic efforts on Civil Rights. I think to avert this trend, no Southern Strategy would be required, but also for the Republicans to shift economically to the left to support at least some New Deal measures and also start overtly supporting Civil Rights.No southern strategy news at eleven...
Plus having Democratic presidents not acting such as FDR not issuing Executive Order 8802 prohibiting ethnic or racial discrimination in the nation's defense industry and Truman not issuing Executive Order 9981 abolishing racial discrimination in the US Armed Forces. If the Democrats are seen as anti-Civil Rights, the black vote would tend to the Republican side.No southern strategy news at eleven...
iirc the Dems got the black vote before they gave up the Solid South.No southern strategy news at eleven...
Do you think it would be viable if the Republicans stayed center-rightish on economics but dove hard into civil rights and ending Jim Crow.Not really so simple. 1932 was the last time a Republican won a majority of the Black vote. The New Deal was the start of the transition of Black Americans from voting R to voting D, something that was spurred on by later Democratic efforts on Civil Rights. I think to avert this trend, no Southern Strategy would be required, but also for the Republicans to shift economically to the left to support at least some New Deal measures and also start overtly supporting Civil Rights.
I believe that actively supporting and progressing Civil Rights would go a long way, probably making Black Americans a "swing" demographic that both parties want to court. Economics is more difficult to say and would probably depend on what center-right would be. I think a New Deal accepting center-right may secure most of the Black vote (and a lot of the White vote for that matter) as those programs helped both curb the Great Depression and with poverty. The latter of those two would still disproportionately effect Black people because the POD is set after both the initial importation of African slaves and the failure of Radical Reconstruction, and a party that was accepting of the poverty relief would at least not leak support because they want to repeal popular social safety net programs.Do you think it would be viable if the Republicans stayed center-rightish on economics but dove hard into civil rights and ending Jim Crow.
With a POD at or after 1932, outline how you believe Republicans could have held onto the black vote until current day.
Wasn't Hoover actually a pretty big interventionist?This is one of those AH scenarios that's basically pissing against the tornado of larger historical forces. Given the material condition of African Americans in mid 20th Century USA, it was only logical that they would generally support economically interventionist policies. So unless you can get the party of Herbert Hoover to be the more left-wing of the two majors, black voters are going to be drawn to the New Deal Democrats, and subsequently the Democrats are going to become more attentive to their wishes on civil-rights etc.
Wasn't Hoover actually a pretty big interventionist?
This is a very interesting possibility.Do you think it would be viable if the Republicans stayed center-rightish on economics but dove hard into civil rights and ending Jim Crow.
Prevent the Great Migration. The movement of African-Americans into cities made them a target group for Democratic policies.
What if Charles Curtis gets the GOP nod in 36? His native American background will make him more sympathetic to civil rights.