Chapter CXIV - It’s time to say goodbye II
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The year was 1988 and PM
Alfonso Henriques was not feeling well. For the past 8 years, he dedicated all he had to offer for his nation’s sake. The result, was an ever growing economy, a newly diversified industry, the downfall of much of the organized crime, international stability and the protection of Brazilian interests abroad. Not only that, but his time as Minister of the Economy under
Gualtério Branco proved highly successful for the country and his career. But now, things were getting worse for him, in March of 88, Henriques started to cough some blood, a later trip to the doctor would then confirm that
Henriques had cancer. Thankfully for Alfonso however, the cancer was in an early stage and thus could be treated. However to do so, it was recommended that
Henriques retire from the premiership and enjoy his retirement. Unsure of what to do, Henriques called his old friend and mentor,
Gualtério Branco, on what to do.
Gualtério then told him that he had already done enough, now it was time for someone else to take the realm, this way also ensuring that
Alfonso would stand in the Brazilian pantheon of great statesmen. Thus it was decided, that Henriques would retire and as such, the silent alarms throughout the coalition were prepared in order to make the transition smoother.
Photo of Prime Minister Alfonso Henriques (right) and future Prime Minister Arnaldo O’Sullivan (left), (1988)
On the 30th of April of 1988, Henriques formally stepped down as PM and retired from political life, in the end living up to 98 years of age after beating cancer. Then, a parliamentary voted on the next Prime-Minister unsurprisingly, ended up choosing Henriques favored sucessor
Arnaldo O’Sullivan. However, if there was one fault on Henriques government was that his choice for sucessor, as we shall see throughout this post, was not that great of a choice. For during his premiership,
O’Sullivan, being from a more progressive wing of the SLP, tried to push way further on social-issues in contrast to the wishes of a still largely tradicional and conservative society. Worse yet, while
Branco and
Henriques managed to counter their social liberalism with good economic growth and diplomatic victories abroad,
O’Sullivan would preside over a small paralization of the Brazilian economy from 1988-1989. The reason for this crisis, was yet again instability in the Middle-East, as Yemen, entered into a state of civil-war. Now the reason this was important, was that Yemen controlled part of the Straits of Eden, through were most European oil imports came from, and if the Europeans economy went sower, so did the American one and by consequence the Brazilian one. However, this did not mean that things became terrible, from 1987-1988, the Brazilian economic growth of 9,1%, went to 3,5% from 88-89 and then 6,3% from 88-89, only fully recovering in the following year of 1990 when it hit 9,9%. However as a result, Arnaldo’s popularity as Prime Minister already took an early hit.
As for his more Progressive Policies, Arnaldo sought to loosen Brazil’s immigration laws in order to attract more foreigners into the country, most of these foreigners however would not come from the Mercosul, nor Europe, nor Japan. But rather, immigration from Colombia, Bolivia and Lusophone Africa. Which to the average Brazilian, which was still quiet xenophobic of their poorer and non-white neighbors, was a big no-no. As a response, the Conservative Party and the PTB formally complained about the new bill and wished to see it abolished in favor of the old system.
This was however the final nail in the coffin for the Conservatives in the coalition. For you see,
Arnaldo absolutely DESPISED the conservatives, whom he saw as dragging the country down, and refusing to understands the modern world they lived in. As a result,
O’Sullivan formally dissolved the coalition and formed a new one, this time however without Conservative support, which for the last years, did nothing but water down
Henriques’ bills and proposals. There was however a wee bit problem, if you looked back at the results of the 1986 election, the resulting coalition of the SLP, Conservatives and Progressives amounted to a whopping 289 seats, which gave them a majority in the 445 strong Brazilian parliament. However, without the conservatives and their 81 seats, the coalition of the PSL would have only 208 seats, aka a minority government. Which meant that unless they won the upcoming 1990 parliamentary election, there would be a good chance that SLP dominance over Brazilian politics would be broken. Luckily for
Arnaldo however, he had backing him up, the names of
Gualtério and
Henriques branded on the SLP, as such he could constantly recall of what the SLP had done for this country and how if parliament was to remove him, it could end up causing yet another consitutional crisis and depression in the country.
As such, while many in parliament would like to have his guts torn open, time was not yet right. Nobody however understood this better than Conservative leader
Catarina Hitler, who ove the last years, slowly but surely cemented populist domination over the Conservative Party[1]. As such, the Conservative Party throughout the 1980’s shifted their allegiances, becoming less and less aligned with the SLP coalition and instead reaching out for the battered but still powerful PTB. Thought at the time, no one except of the PTB and the Conservatives knew about this. Now, for people on the outside this was a weird political decision, for why would a left-wing party ally themselves with a right-wing party? Well the answer mostly lies in the fact that for the PTB, a cultural and societal stance was not as necessary as the well-being and economic welfare of workers, in fact, they themselves were highly socially-conservative. The conservatives meanwhile, adopted a highly nationalistic and populist policy on regard to the economy, stating that the SLP were selling out Brazilian workers in favor of cheap foreign labor and the money of multinational corporations. It was this convergence of ideology, which led to a secreta pact between the once hated enemies, the pact stated for a coalition between themselves in order to oust “degenerate” and “capitalistic” influences from the government. In the meanwhile, O’Sullivan was not exactly doing himself a favor.
Tough often exaggerated by future governments, the times during the
O’Sullivan administration were not bad, in fact they were well above average even for developed nations. But if compared to what Brazil was experiencing in the past decade or so, the situation had indeed deteriorated. One of the cause’s for this, was the government’s obsession with obtaining a positive balance on the budget, which meant that some liquidity that could be added to the economy in order to keep up with the previous economic growth. The government however, appeared to have no qualms about increasing inflation, which meant that the bad number, which had for the past decade stayed permanently below 2% not stood at 3%. However, the government understood correctly that this crisis, was just speed-bump on Brazil’s economic development and that in 1 or 2 years, things would come back to normal. What they did underestimate tough, was how much they could milk
Henriques’ and
Gualtério’s legacies for their own benefit. Even some members of the SLP, most of whom veterans from
Henriques’s and in some cases even
Gualtério’s cabinets, warned
Arnaldo that even
Alfonso had to once in a while intervene in the economic, just enough to get the wheels to run. But
O’Sullivan paid no attention to this. In his mind,
Henriques’s interventions were something he had no choice but do, due to the complicated scenery of the Brazilian economy in the early to mid 70’s. Thereby, in his more privileged position, nothing had to be done and the market would eventually fix itself.
In the meanwhile, as 1989 came along, Arnaldo also started another set of reforms aimed at, combating deforestation and pollution[2], elevating women and minorities both economically and socially in he country and continue the liberalization to the Brazilian economy. Dubbed the “
Novo Acordo Social Brasileiro” or NASB of you will, it was meant to turn Brazilian society, which he considered to fixated on the age of industry, into a new society for the modern computer age. The first set of reforms, concerning the environment actually were extremely popular at the time. Within the spam of 2 weeks, Arnaldo expanded the agencies for environmental protection and later fused them into the ‘Bureau for the Enviroment’. Which was then tasked with creating more green reserves, cooperating with the police force for the enforcement of the law in regards to the protection of endangered species and ecosystems. As well as a visionary program for the reforestation of the basically defunct “
Mata Atlântica”. All of this however did not come cheap, but thanks to the lack of spending during the year of 1988, the government had more than enough funds to cover the whole endeavor. Not only that, but the government also created a new institute of research in the Amazonian capital of
São João. Dubbed the “
Instituto Ambiental de Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento”, this institute was meant to become the Brazilian capital for the development and research on matter of the Brazilian flora and fauna. Later on, new wings for the development of medicine and other pharmaceuticals was also created. Soon turning the institute into a de-facto College, which in turn became the best college for medicine in the entire country.
As for the other reforms tough, things were more controversial. In the official manifesto published by the SLP, which explained their plans and goals the “elevating women and minorities both economically and socially in he country” became a tad unpopular with the general public. Mostly because many things there, would only really become popularly accepted even in the Western World by the 2010’s. In it, you had items such as the: legalization of marriage between homosexuals, the enforcement of affirmative action to elevate social minorities further the social ladder, the complete secularization of marriage, etc. Now, some of that stuff might sound pretty reasonable to someone in the 2020’s, but thirty years ago that was a no no. As a result, Arnaldo’s popularity tanked even further. Back in parliament, this bill was also the first moment the secret pact between the PTB and the Conservatives came into effect, with both objecting the 2nd program. Some newspaper, found it pretty ironic, but none really went to deep into it, to their eyes both parties were acting independently and had no reason for further cooperation, they were certainly wrong.
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[1] The Conservative Party is a party divided into many factions. However of these, three are most prominent. You have the orthodox, which aims to urn the Conservative Party into the party of the upper classes and rural interests. The Christian-Conservatives, are more broad and hope for the unison of Brazilians not through class, but through culture and tradition. Lastly, the Populists aim for the transformation of the Conservative Party into a party of the masses, headed by an educated “down to earth” party elite, wishing thus to oppose economic liberalism and multiculturalism
[2] Arnaldo is buddy buddy with the greens. In fact, he almost became part of the Green Party but decides not to at the last moment