1970 Chilean election: Alessandri won

[Katholico]

In this What If scenario, where Alessandri won the election with first relative majority, and then the Congress confirmed his victory (thanks PDC support), what you think would happen next? I mean, Allende's Popular Unity will collapse or survives enough for 1976 election? The PDC will seek new alliances with the government, other centrist parties or socialists? That would cause another split? and the Alessandri government? Specially considering the next legislative elections are in 1973.
I would want know differents kind of opinions.
Regards

 

[dieg-ish]

In this What If scenario, where Alessandri won the election with first relative majority, and then the Congress confirmed his victory (thanks PDC support), what you think would happen next? I mean, Allende's Popular Unity wil collapsed or survives enough for 1976 election? The PDC will seek new alliances with the government, other centrist parties or socialists? That would cause another split? and the Alessandri government? Specially considering the next legislative elections are in 1973.
I would want know differents kind of opinions.
Regards

That depends on whether Allende decides to run again. I mean, losing two presidential elections and then winning a third one isn't unheard of, but it's kind of difficult .

As for the PDC, it seems likely that ITTL they would have tried to seek an alliance with Pres. Alessandri. Especially considering that after 1970, they would have learned that playing games and dividing the centre-right and moderate camp could have caused getting a marxist elected President . What I fear is that removing Allende from the picture wouldn't have removed the problems that led to his election (for instance, the widespread poverty of the Chilean people), which means that not even a strong alliance between the PN and the PDC could have prevented a leftist takeover of the Chilean parliament in 1973. And in the long term, some kind of strong Pinochet-esque liberal economic reforms would have been needed to help Chile to get through its economic problems, which would have meant even more leftist backlash.

 

[Windows95]

There's a left-wing faction of Christian Democrats that supports a self-managed market economy, but without Marxist economics there.

 

[Vinization]

Allende was 65 when he died in 1973, and ITTL he would've lost three elections in a row. Could he pass the torch to someone else in 1976?

Also, could Patricio Aylwin become president much earlier than OTL? He was already an important politician during the seventies.

 

[Katholico]

There's a left-wing faction of Christian Democrats that supports a self-managed market economy, but without Marxist economics there.

You mean the progressive faction whom Radomiro Tomic represented?

Allende was 65 when he died in 1973, and ITTL he would've lost three elections in a row. Could he pass the torch to someone else in 1976?

Also, could Patricio Aylwin become president much earlier than OTL? He was already an important politician during the seventies.

That depends on whether Allende decides to run again. I mean, losing two presidential elections and then winning a third one isn't unheard of, but it's kind of difficult .

Well, actually 1976 would be the fifth time (1952, 58, 64 and 70) But, by that time there's almost no other names with national projection in the Socialist Party , except maybe Clodomiro Almeyda or Aniceto Rodríguez (but not to Allende level). Other figures like Orlando Letelier gained notorious because were in Allende's cabinet.

In OTL Aylwin gained popularity thanks to his leadership during the UP Era, and after the death of Frei Montalva in 1982 (who almost sure will compete again in 1976), but yeah, in any case he has high chances to become president sooner or later.

 

[Windows95]

You mean the progressive faction whom Radomiro Tomic represented?

Probably, can't know if this is Tomic, but I've gotten info from an article made recently, called Democratic Socialism in Latin America: Chile and Peru. I don't know, but there was enthusiasm of self-management and participation among the Chilean Titoists, Christian Democrats and some faculty of the Catholic University of Chile, who were much much anti-statist socialists and non-Marxists. Some Christian groups went to Yugoslavia to see "participation".

There was socialists, Christians and dissenters who despised Allende's economics, and called for self-management socialism: a market economy composed of self-managed enterprises and industries, headed by an elected worker's council or directly manage it themselves. (Worker cooperatives, but modified with flat hierarchy and self-direction).

 

[Katholico]

Probably, can't know if this is Tomic, but I've gotten info from an article made recently, called Democratic Socialism in Latin America: Chile and Peru. I don't know, but there was enthusiasm of self-management and participation among the Chilean Titoists, Christian Democrats and some faculty of the Catholic University of Chile, who were much much anti-statist socialists and non-Marxists. Some Christian groups went to Yugoslavia to see "participation".

I think maybe refer to both, Christian Left, a faction of PDC which split from the party in 1971 (with at least 8 deputies) and other progressive faction who remained, with figures like Tomic, Renán Fuentealba Bernardo Leighton, all which in OTL were more willing to try reach a understanding with the Allende's government (and some of them formed later the the Grupo de los Trece ).