Fear, Loathing and Gumbo on the Campaign Trail '72

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What an intriguing thought. A network of favorite sons could play hell with the primary system, if it works. It's the kind of thing that'd have to work in a significant number of states at once in order for it to make an impact, otherwise it just means nobody pays attention to the Iowa/NH/etc. delegation that year and it never happens again. And it involves more trust than is usually demonstrated in US politics (i.e. each state network believing that all the others are doing it for the ideal and not as a scheme for power.)

More than any of the third party runs you've brought forward so far, this has the potential to change the way elections are carried out in the US.
 

Thande

Donor
More than any of the third party runs you've brought forward so far, this has the potential to change the way elections are carried out in the US.

I get the impression that if the TL has any overarching theme, it's this. Drew is to be commended for pulling it off quite subtly if this is the case though, this TL absolutely does not feel like one of those ones where events have been railwayed into an underlying story regardless of plausibility.
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Haig#NATO_Supreme_Commander_.281974.E2.80.9379.29

From 1974 to 1979, Haig served as the Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR), the Commander of NATO forces in Europe, and Commander-in-Chief of United States European Command (CinCUSEUR). A creature of habit, Haig took the same route to SHAPE every day – a pattern of behavior that did not go unnoticed by terrorist groups. On June 25, 1979, Haig was the target of an assassination attempt in Mons, Belgium. A land mine blew up under the bridge on which Haig's car was traveling, narrowly missing Haig's car and wounding three of his bodyguards in a following car.[12] Authorities later attributed responsibility for the attack to the Red Army Faction (RAF).

Assuming Haig still got the job, you know what you could do with this.
 
In 1978, Governor George Busbee who had succeeded Jimmy Carter in 1974 was term limited. (An attempt to extend the governorship to two terms [a sitting first term governor re-eligible for one more term] was defeated in 1976, due in large part to anti-extension campaigning by term limit activists).

Lt. Governor Zell Miller ran for election against Republican Rodney Mims Cook Sr. and Independent candidate former Atlanta Mayor Sam Massell. The strength of Massell's campaign was to "clean-up" the "business of state government" by electing a business man and "sending the politicians to do some honest work."

The First Round:

Massell -- 39%
Cook --- 36%
Miller --- 24%
Others --- 1%

Run-Off

Massell - 53%
Cook -- 47%

Sam Massell was elected Governor of Georgia from 1979 - 1983, one term limit still in effect. He was also the first Jewish Governor of Georgia.

One of Governor Massell's notable assistants was a mathematician and computer analyst he "borrowed" from Coca-Cola to help revise Georgia's information management systems - a 34 year old named Herman Cain.

You know, this reminded me of something. The best indication we have that the traditional two-party system in America is breaking down in this timeline is the success of independents in gubernatorial races.

Counting third parties, we know of at least five independent governors in America: Pete McCloskey in California, Charles Mahoney in Montana, Ed Crane in Idaho (a Libertarian, actually, but still not one of the main parties), Bernie Sanders in Vermont, and now Sam Massell in Georgia. Possibly there are even more, because Drew didn't outline all of the 1978 gubernatorial elections.

Also, speaking of this, I wonder if Dick Randolph, the first Libertarian elected to a state legislature (Alaska's in 1978), might show up at some point. He could've made a strong showing for Governor in 1978, or perhaps in the future.

Oh, and Merry Christmas Drew. :)
 
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I get the impression that if the TL has any overarching theme, it's this. Drew is to be commended for pulling it off quite subtly if this is the case though, this TL absolutely does not feel like one of those ones where events have been railwayed into an underlying story regardless of plausibility.

It started with a nudge in '72 that threw it off balance, so yes this, along with the effects of the poor economy, has an overall theme of changing how elections are done in the U.S. over time.

Usually, in real history, changes take place over time, and not suddenly - unless there is a rare compelling reason for them to do so. Part of this TL is to simulate that by having different things happening at different rates, and sometimes failing, as can often happen but often doesn't in other TL (where the ideal usually comes together with predictable certainty).

vultan said:
You know, this reminded me of something. The best indication we have that the traditional two-party system in America is breaking down in this timeline is the success of independents in gubernatorial races.

That is part of it, but the third parties have to coalesce into a force that can win seats in legislatures and in Congress. Historically, independent governors have usually had poor records at governing because the Democrats and Republicans in the legislature ganged-up against them, until (in many cases) the independent drifted into one party or the other.

For a third party to be really successful they have to capture a zeitgeist of the period in a way that their opponents don't -- such as the Republicans in the 1850's (industrialization and changing views on slavery and other social issues in the North).
 
Any chance that Phyllis Schlafly might throw her hat in the ring in 1980? She could be ripe as a Thatcher-like run, if she does so Drew.
 
Having watched this thread on and off for several years, I'm inclined to say that while I can see a lot of the third party activity building, I suspect that the "R" and the "D" are likely to endure as the "big two", and that third parties would tend to get subordinated to them to some extent. Electorally, I would point out that sooner or later, those third parties end up tied up in government, and then they promptly tend to lose their "protest vote" appeal (witness the LibDems in the UK or the FDP in Germany right now IRL...both got into government for the first time in a while, and both saw their shares in the polls collapse as a result).
 
’79 - Hell of a Year I

February 1979
Commercial flights into Rhodesia (and domestic flights within Rhodesia) are terminated due to the danger of flying over combat zones (ZPLF rebels are firing at airliners with Strela-2 rockets).

February 25, 1979
Soyuz 32 launched into Earth orbit. Delivered crew to Salyut 6 station. The Soyuz 32 capsule returned unmanned to Earth on June 13, 1979. (The Soyuz 32 crew had originally been intended to trade places with the Soyuz 33 crew in April, however the Soyuz 33 suffered a technical failure and had to abort its mission before reaching the Salyut 6 station).

March – May 1979
Continuing border skirmishes between Portugal and Spain escalate through the spring. Cuban troops are detected operating with their Portuguese counterparts. In Portugal the revolutionary government lead by Vasco Goncalves and Álvaro Cunhal tries to stir up public support by denouncing the fascist aggression of the Spanish regime.

March 2, 1979
The Senate Judiciary Committee begins hearings on the candidacy of Gov. Richard Lamm (D-CO) for the office of Vice President of the United States.

Tapes – NSC Meeting – March 3, 1979

Graham Claytor (Secretary of Defense): The Iraqis have six divisions, roughly half their army, invested in this Saudi operation, and three more divisions in Kuwait as an occupation force and a reserve, though I doubt they will need it. The fall of the monarchy left the Saudi military in a precarious state, and the Iraqis have made short work of them in the Gulf and Red Sea coast areas. Mainly the Jihadi group have been driven into the deserts and are conducting a guerrilla war.

Bill Nichols (White House Chief of Staff): Effectively, Iraq has annexed Kuwait and Saudi Arabia?

Claytor: Not politically, not that I’m aware of, but ...

Cyrus Vance (Ambassador to the U.N.): They have filed a legal claim to Kuwait with the UN calling it as a integral part of the Ottoman province of Basra, to which they contend modern Iraq is the political heir. Nothing’s been said about Arabia yet; their Ambassador to the UN, Salah Omar Al-Ali has been selling this as a humanitarian exercise, Iraqi Arabs helping brother Arabs, etc.

President Wallace: Thing is, they still have the oil...

Henry Jackson (Secretary of State): Some of the most productive oil fields on the planet, and a grip on the western end of the Persian Gulf, and now potential influence in the Red Sea stretching around Jordan to Egypt. The Israelis are in near hysterics thinking they are being encircled by Iraq.

President Wallace: Can we push him out?

General Louis H. Wilson, Jr USMC (Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff): Yes. Essentially we would be looking at a two stage operation. First we would need to degrade his defences and infrastructure with a sustained air campaign launched from carriers and air bases in Oman, the United Arab Emirates and Iran – as well as long range bombers based on Diego Garcia and from Europe. Once we have sufficiently destroyed his air power, and blown holes through his ground capabilities, we would then need to launch a ground force invasion using amphibious landings along the coast, coupled with an overland strike from whatever neighboring countries would give us consent for staging and launching an invasion. Israel would of course be the best equipped as a staging area from a ...

Vance: Forget it. We involve Israel in this and we’ll turn this into a Holy War between ourselves and the Arabs, and other Muslims, especially if we invade Arabia of all places.

Jackson: The Israelis could be of immense help.

Nicholas A. Veliotes (Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern and South Asian Affairs): Ambassador Vance is right on the perceptual question, especially with our military still in place in Syria, involving Israel in a military action could widely be seen as a crusade. We would also have to address the question of Mecca and Medina, the two holy cities, which are closed to non-Muslims. If our forces entered those cities, under any circumstances, and especially to expel an Arab army that has largely been welcomed by the populace, we could face serious blow back across the region and beyond.

Paul Nitze (National Security Advisor): Surely we can develop an information program to explain our actions to our allies, after all they must see the risk...

Veliotes: Of the Iraqi military conquering a sizeable chunk of the Arab world by force – yes a number of them, not least King Hussein and President al-Gamsay, are wetting their pants at the thought of what he might do next. But for the populations in those countries, this is not as much of a crisis as the religious rebellion was. Don’t forget, a lot of Arabs were happy that we got rid of Bayannouni, but at the same time they hated that we did it.

Nitze: That’s a contradiction.

Jackson: Welcome to the Arab mind.

President: General Wilson, how big a force would you need to do this?

Wilson: Eight, nine divisions plus naval assets and a Marine Expeditionary force – perhaps as big as Operation Bold Eagle.

Nichols: You sound like this could be a major war, like Vietnam.

Wilson; Not like Vietnam Mr. Nichols, but we are talking about a significant use of military power. I might add that if we push him out of Saudi Arabia we would also have to consider a follow-on operation to take back Syria, and move into Iraq proper, if we were to completely neutralize his fighting capabilities. For the last part we are ideally suited to strike from Syria and Iran as well.

Vance: With all due respect, General, that could ignite the entire Middle East.

Nitze: Let’s keep in mind that in order for our forces to get from Syria to Iraq, they would have to go over a Soviet division encamped on the border.

Nichols: Are the Soviet forces in Syria helping the Iraqis with this?

Lew Allen (Secretary of National Intelligence Coordination and Oversight): We have no evidence of it, no.

Dr. Fred Ickle (Director of Central Intelligence): They are arming Iraq, which is a Soviet client. I’d call that evidence of assisting them.

Allen: There has been no direct Soviet military involvement, and I might add that the Iraqis have also been purchasing French equipment, which they have publicly claimed is superior to the Soviet materiel – with the exception of tanks – that they have been getting. Our assessment, and its one shared by the British, is that in taking the oil fields, the Baath regime is attempting to come out of the Soviets shadow and establish itself as a regional power. They seemed to have learned a lesson from Nasser and Sadat about relying too heavily on the Soviets when the chips are down.

Ickle: We still have to face the possibility that this is part of a Soviet move to gain a grip on the world’s oil supply.

Nitze: Added to their reserves, this could make the Soviets the world’s oil superpower. That’s something that we can’t allow.

Stephen L.R. McNichols (Secretary of the Treasury, past Secretary of Energy): I can’t see it as being that co-ordinated; the Iraqis are not going to play second fiddle to the Soviet Union on the oil question. Frankly this is an effort by Baghdad to take control of OPEC and dictate terms on the oil world market. If anything, we are looking at a situation where the Iraqis and the Soviets would, effectively, be commercial competitors.

Nitze: You make that sound like a good thing.

McNichols: It could be, long term. Right now this has driven oil prices through the roof, and had a slowing effect on our economy...

Nichols: Which we need like a hole in the head...

McNichols: ... but a long term projection could see a head-to-head competition between the Iraqis and the Russians to grab market share put a downward pressure on the oil price; it could – possibly – undue a lot of the damage going as far back as seventy-three.

Vance: But can we countenance an invasion and conquest of a sovereign nation by Iraq without putting up some sort of resistance? Anything less could be like Munich all over again.

Veliotes: It will make Iraq into a regional bully, and frankly this Saddam Hussein is the worst possible sort to be in charge of something like this. This character is an Arab Stalin.

President: That bad? Doesn’t his President – what’s his name –

Jackson: Al-Bakr; he’s Hussein’s uncle –

President: Doesn’t his uncle have some control over him?

Ickle: Our confidential sources indicate that Saddam Hussein was planning a coup against his uncle, but it was sidetracked by this operation.

Vance: Your Israeli sources?

Ickle: They know the territory – their survival depends on it.

Allen: We’ve sounded out our Arab sources, and so have our British friends. There’s agreement that Hussein is an aggressive, strongman sort – he is the unofficial head of the secret police in Iraq – and there have been rumors of a coup against al-Bakr.

President: Why don’t we inform al-Bakr, have him get rid of this ingrate?

Jackson: We lack a reliable channel to carry such a message and guarantee that it is given any credibility. President al-Bakr may view something like that as a provocation, or an attempt by us to divide his government.

President: Can we deal with this Saddam character? Maybe we can tame him?

Veliotes: That might come at a high price, as we can’t be sure he would keep his word.

Nichols: He’s a bottom dealer?

Veliotes: The guy once was a thug and an assassin. Now he’s the Vice President and a military hero, but deep down, he’s still the thug. He’ll probably do a deal he considers advantageous to him and keep it, for as long as he has the advantage.

President: A military fight, to push him out, would have heavy casualties?

Wilson: That’s always difficult to predict, Mr. President, but we would be looking at something around a thousand dead, at least, in the first phase of land operations.

Claytor: General Wilson is being conservative with his numbers.

President: Can we blockade his oil output?

Admiral Thomas B. Hayward (Chief of Naval Operations): We can close him off at the straights of Homuz, the Red Sea and Suez. The Navy can seal him up tight.

Allen: Iran won’t let him export oil through their territory – heck, an embargo of Iraqi oil would be a boon to their industry.

McNichols: Turkey might be a weak link here. The Turkes regime has really destroyed their economy, and even if they agreed on an embargo officially, the black market would be rife.

Nitze: If we could identify pipelines and transport routes, they would all have to go through Kurdish territory along the border, right?

McNichols: Yes. The Turks are still fighting an insurgency along their border with Iraq – in fact their military has been co-operating with the Iraqi Army on this.

Nitze: What if we armed the Kurds as a buffer force; made it possible for them to close that border – maybe even recognized a Kurdish state up there, then –

Jackson: Hold on. Admittedly our relations with Turkey have been strained the last few years, but they are still – at least technically – an ally. You start this up and we could open ourselves up to a serious charge of meddling in Turkish internal affairs which Ankara won’t take sitting down.

Allen: I would like to add that the Kurdish issue extends into Iran too. If we start meddling with Kurdish autonomy in that region we could upset the balance in Iran as well.

President: So what we got is, a big and maybe bloody war to throw them out; an embargo that’s got a hole in it, unless we meddle in Turkey’s problems, which could turn Turkey and maybe Iran against us; or we make deal with this pole cat and let him keep what he snatched. Does that about cover it?

(No one responds to the President’s question).

President: What if we drop a nuke on the bastard?

McNichols: Excuse me, Mr. President, do you mean a nuclear weapon?

President: What else have we got the things for, except to use ‘em in tight places?

Claytor: We use them to counter a nuclear threat from a nuclear equipped power, like the Soviet Union or China. Our policy has never been to use them against a non-nuclear force, and especially not as an alternative to ...

President: The Hell you say, Graham. FDR and Truman were both ready to use nukes on non-nuclear forces to end the War – give ‘em Hell Harry did just that. Nixon tried to use a nuclear alert in sixty-nine to try and scare the Russians into backing off their support for North Vietnam. Ike threatened to go nuclear in Korea –

Claytor: That last one is an urban legend, and the sixty-nine alert brought us the closest to a real war with the Soviet Union since the Cuban Missile Crisis. It was a freshman mistake by President Nixon.

Jackson: If we take this thing nuclear, the Soviets won’t sit still for it. That’s a whole new order of threat, beyond just the oil question.

President: What will they do? Attack us?

Nitze: I doubt it, that would mean the end.

Veliotes: Since we are talking about using a nuclear weapon on an Arab army, it will cause an uproar throughout the Arab world – and especially if we do it in the home of Islam’s holy places. We could literally be staring down the face of anti-western Jihad from Morocco to Pakistan if we did that.

Allen: The Soviets will respond in some way, they won’t just sit around. At worst they could decide to go tit-for-tat and use a nuke to support Portugal or Cuba or North Korea as retaliation. Almost certainly I would think that they would try to get Baghdad to accept tactical nukes as a defensive measure – as a sign of Soviet support for Iraq – and that would not be in our interests at all.

Jackson: Taking this nuclear would be a very bad thing. We should end that discussion right now.

President (laughs): You gentlemen need to learn how to take a joke. I was just askin’ about what it could do. For now, General Wilson you prepare a conventional force plan, Admiral Hayward, let’s put in place a plan for a sea blockade. Let’s look at what we can do with the Kurds along the border, and any way we can bring Turkey and Iran on board. Henry, see who we’ve got who can open a channel to al-Bakr and this Hussein guy, maybe we can cut a deal.

Vance: What is our position on Kuwait?

President: Official U.S. policy is that we oppose the invasion of a sovereign nation, but we’ll give the UN time to work something out. Someone might want to communicate to the Iraqis is that half-a-loaf is better than none.

Vance: Trade Kuwait for Saudi Arabia?

President: Well, these Arabs, they like a good bargain, right?
--------------------

Henry Jackson, Cyrus Vance and Nicolas Veliotes get into an elevator after the meeting.

Veliotes: Do either of you think he was really joking?

Jackson and Vance offer no response.

----------------------------------

March 7, 1979
The largest Magnetar (Soft gamma repeater) event is recorded.

Hu Jiao-mu, one of the few members of the pre-Lesser Mao PRC leadership to have escaped from China, now lives in exile in Moscow. Hu (who was Mao Tse-tung’s main secretary from 1941 to 1966) is a bitter opponent of the Lesser Mao and his eccentric leadership in Peking. Hu, who once directed the propaganda organs of the PRC, is a vocal proponent of the theory that the Lesser Mao has in fact murdered the old Chairman and hijacked the Chinese Revolution; he also proclaims that Mao Yuan-jin is insane and should be removed from office for the sake of all Chinese. Under Soviet patronage in Moscow he has formed an exile government for the People’s Republic of China with himself as Acting General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party. His exile government is recognized as the legitimate government of the People’s Republic of China by the Soviet Union, the Warsaw Pact states, Mongolia, the Democratic Progressive Republic of Portugal, Cuba and North Korea. It is accorded observer status at the non-aligned movement, and Soviet and Cuban influence is brought to bear to gain it recognition from a number of African states. North Vietnam remains the only Communist nation not to recognize Hu’s government, due in part to North Vietnam’s growing interdependence with the United States and South Vietnam – and also because of increasing ties with the Taiwanese government. However, North Vietnam has “informal” relations with Hu’s government facilitated by the Soviets.



The Democratic National Committee announces it will use the same calendar of presidential primaries in 1980 as was used in 1976 (with a Democratic incumbent in the White House the Democratic primaries are not expected to be significant – although a challenge to President Wallace is not out of the question).

March 8, 1979
Philips demonstrates Compact Disc publicly for the first time.

Los Angeles Times contributor Robert Scheer publishes a book called A Hope and a Prayer: How we are one mishap away from a Nuclear Disaster, which is an indictment of the civilian nuclear power industry in the United States. Scheer’s thesis is that in the speed to build civilian nuclear power plants as a policy choice for reducing oil dependency in the United States, the NRC and DOE have overlooked slipshod safety standards at many nuclear power plants around the country and that in others safety concerns and minor accidents have been downplayed in order not to damage the reputation of the nuclear industry.

In his book Scheer charges that the nuclear lobby managed to kill a movie script written by James Bridges, Mike Gray, and T.S. Cook to be called The China Syndrome about an accident at a nuclear power plant. Scheer details how one of the project’s early backers, actor Michael Douglas, was blackmailed into backing out of the project while the studio interested in doing the film, Columbia Pictures, saw a sustained drop in its stock with a threatened boycott over a film that would “kill jobs” (construction in the nuclear industry being a big opportunity at this time for unemployed workers) and which was set to feature the “unpatriotic” Jane Fonda. The Wall Street pressure on Columbia’s stock (which couldn’t be traced to a specific source, yet seemed to involve a number of the street’s leading investment houses – all of whom had varying stakes in nuclear energy providers) left the studio vulnerable to a takeover, which caused the Columbia board to back away from the project, and then see its stock value rebound.

Bridges told Scheer how he and his life partner actor Jack Larson were the subject of campaign of harassment, smears and “outing” until he withdrew from the project.

Scheer also notes that a science fiction project named Star Wars created by the late George Lucas was smothered because its climax featured an exploding reactor (although an animated version with just that ending was in wide release by 1979).

Scheer’s book became all the more eerie in its prescience because it was released to the market (and had trouble getting shelf space in many book retailers due to pressure from “outside” on the companies in the distribution channel) three weeks before the Three Mile Island disaster, which seemed to be the fulfilment of Scheer’s warning.

It was the publicity that A Hope and a Prayer received in the weeks after the Three Mile Island incident which propelled it onto the bestseller list, which in term overcame the resistance in distribution channels to it.

It is worth noting that A Hope and a Prayer was banned as “dangerous” by Japanese authorities.

A Hope and a Prayer won the 1979 Pulitzer Prize for Investigative Reporting.

Price of oil: $ 33.00 (94.00)
Inflation: 4.3%
Unemployment: 7.2%

March 9, 1979
Carlos Humberto Perette of the Radical Civic Union Party is elected as President of Argentina. He is inaugurated for a six year term on April 12, 1979.

Michael Stewart, the former Foreign Secretary in the Wilson Labour government, is appointed to head a high level British delegation which resumes talks with Sinn Fein in Rambouillet, France.

March 13, 1979
Maurice Bishop leads a successful coup in Grenada.

March 15, 1979
Hayao Kinugasa joins the Japanese government as Minister without portfolio responsible for Combined Defence and Industrial Strategy. He is in fact responsible for the nuclear weapons and submarine programs. Kinugasa's inclusion in the Cabinet represents the first inclusion of a military man (although Kinugasa is retired) in a Japanese cabinet since 1945. This draws some attention and criticism in Japan, where this move is explained as a "measured reaction" to the growing danger from China.

Tapes – Camp David - March 15, 1979

Denis Healey (British Prime Minister): Surely George, Henry, one principle we must stand-by here is that we cannot allow Kuwait’s sovereignty to be undermined by Iraqi aggression. No matter how we come out of this, we must stand firm for a complete restoration of Kuwait’s independence.

Henry Jackson (Secretary of State): That’s where we may have to differ. The fact of the situation is we may stand a better chance of getting Iraq to quit Arabia if we let them hold onto what they are calling province nineteen.

James Callaghan (British Foreign Secretary): Just because they are calling it that, does not make it so, anymore than the fact of the Anchluss made Austria’s eradication acceptable.

President Wallace: Point is, we got have some bargaining room in this. Look, Henry’s already laid it out, we have a chance to make a real difference here.

Healey: Rewarding aggression is hardly a difference I’d like to put my name to.

Callaghan: I would venture to say that the other Gulf Kingdoms will look at this and, frankly, wonder how long until you decide to a deal with their existence. This is a very slippery slope, gentlemen.

Jackson: We respect your point, and our military build-up in the Gulf has been designed to re-assure the other Kingdoms, as well as Iran, of our resolve. They have nothing to worry about.

Healey: So what has poor Kuwait done to earn your undying wrath?

President: I guess it’s like building a highway. Some poor farmer’s gonna get caught in the way, and he’s gonna lose his farm, but that’s the sad fact o’ life cause the highway has got to be built.

Healey: What?

Jackson: It’s a historical fact that we now call Kuwait was part of the Ottoman province of Basra, so in essence we are restoring an older order in the region.

Callaghan: That can be disputed, not least by Ottoman treaties with the Emirs of Kuwait recognizing them as equals with the Turkish Sultan. I don’t believe at all that Kuwait was subject to the Ottomans in that way, and I do know the current Emir will adamantly reject such an interpretation. You need to get some better historians to look at this, Henry.

President: We’re not here for a history lesson. Like I said a minute ago, no one likes taking away a man’s farm, but that highway has got to be built. We’re talking about a post-Opec reality here, and I think that’s gonna be good for your country too, right gentlemen?

Healey: It is abjectly cynical in my view, and smacks of imperial arrogance on our part.

President: So, you want to say that next time you go out looking for votes? Or you want to have your British voters happy with the price of oil comin’ down and them lookin’ at the Labour Party as the ones that helped make it happen?

Healey: For the record, we do not make policy – especially something of this consequence – on that basis.

Callaghan: We can, however, see the point of a post-OPEC reality, not just in electoral terms, but in terms of creating greater global stability.

President: You see now, building that highway ain’t so bad after all, is it?
--------------------------------------------------------------

March 16, 1979
The committee headed by the English judge Harry Bennett, which was set up to investigate allegations of ill-treatment of people held in interrogation centres in Northern Ireland, published its report (Bennett Report, Cmnd 7497). The report found that there were instances where there was medical evidence of injuries sustained in police custody which were not self-inflicted. The report made a number of suggestions and the Labour government undertook to implement two major recommendations. The first that closed-circuit television cameras should be installed in interview rooms and the second that those being detained should have access to their solicitor after 48 hours in custody. Most of the other recommendations were implemented over the next two years by the Labour government.

President Ahmed Hassan al-Bakr of Iraq arrives in Moscow for talks with Soviet officials. It is believed in these meetings that Yuri Andropov and KGB Chairman Fedorchuck warned al-Bakr of a forthcoming coup attempt by his Vice President and now Governor of Arabia and Kuwait. The Soviets did this likely as they considered al-Bakr a more reliable partner in Baghdad than the mercurial Saddam Hussein. Al-Bakr reportedly agreed to coordinate oil production with the Soviets in return for their assistance.

The Lebanese Central government begins to re-assert authority over the nation; however dangerous schisms between the Christian and Muslim communities remained unresolved. The Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon is also a point of contention. For the moment the various militias are exhausted after years of battle and apart from local skirmishes, 1979 sees an overall decrease in violence.

On board an RAF Vickers VC-10, en route to London from Washington

David Owen (Defence Secretary): He said that? Building a highway?

Callaghan: He has a point with the analogy, even if it is a little...ah...

Owen: Sounds like a home counties politician at a local council, not the President of the United States.

Healey: He is their version of a local councillor; he was governor of an unimportant state – Alabama – rather like West Yorkshire, before this. Pity of their system is that you can go from that straight into being head of state.

Owen: But still, can we countenance selling out Kuwait like that, even for a prospect of getting a handle on the oil situation? I mean, even forty years after Munich, can we ...

Callaghan: The rather more pertinent point David, what can we do about it? Certainly, we don’t have the military capability to do it ourselves, and the French are quite happy to go about business as usual with the Iraqis no matter what they do. If Wallace wants to play the great game and try and re-align the Middle East, what good does it do us to make too much of a fuss?

Healey: No need for us holding the knife for him while he stabs one of our oldest friends in the region in the back.

Callaghan: I quite agree with both of you, on an emotional level. The trouble is, we can’t let emotion run away with us here. Wallace is going to do whatever he wishes, no matter our objection.

Owen: Plain as that may be, it’s still hard to stomach. But Jim has a point, what with our commitments in Madeira, Cyprus, Syria and Hong Kong, frankly we can’t do much on our own. Not unless you’d like to go on a huge re-armament program, Prime Minister.

Healey: Very droll, David.

Callaghan: One has to wonder about the President’s health, though. He looked very pale and drawn, and did you notice his hands were shaking.

Healey: Yes, but that may not mean anything. Roosevelt ran the equivalent of two wars from a wheelchair, and people said he had an unhealthy pallor.

Owen: Only at the end. He was quite robust up until the last months.

Callaghan: My point, David. I had a strong sense that we were seeing a replay of FDR at Yalta.

Healey: Henry Jackson seems to be running the show on this anyway. This is his misbegotten brainchild. Time will come when the Americans will rue this, if not today, someday. Jim, one thing we should do is give the Emir and his people asylum in the UK. If we must go along, let them at least see that we are reluctant.

Callaghan: Yes, Prime Minister.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

March 17, 1979
The Penmanshiel Tunnel in the U.K. collapses, killing 2 workers.

The Republican National Committee announces that for the 1980 Presidential Primaries and Caucuses that Iowa (Jan 21), Puerto Rico (Feb 17) and New Hampshire (Feb 26) will allocate delegates on a winner take all basis. The next set of primaries and caucuses beginning with Massachusetts and Vermont on March 4 through to Pennsylvania on April 22 will use a proportional system to allocate delegates. Starting with Texas on May 3 through to a Super Tuesday on June 3, which includes California and Ohio, delegates will be allocated on a winner take all basis. Each state will receive a number of Super Delegates equal to its Congressional Representation (i.e. one super delegate for each Congressional District, plus two for its Senators) and one for its Governor (535+3+50=588). The District of Columbia will be allocated 3 super delegates (to be chosen by the RNC). Where a Congressional district, Senate seat or a Governor’s office is filled by a Republican, that elected official will serve as a super delegate. State Republican conventions will choose the people to fill those super delegate slots where the current office holder is not a Republican: super delegates for Congressional districts must be residents of the districts; super delegates for Senatorial and Gubernatorial slots must be residents of the State in question. The total number of voting delegates for 1980 will be 2258 + 588 = 2846 (1424 needed for the nomination).

This new system is weighted to weed out (or in fact discourage) any nuisance candidates as early as possible in the first two months, then provide an opportunity for serious contest between surviving contenders, before choosing a nominee in some of the large delegate contests in May and June. The super delegate concept has been added to act as a party control or break should the nomination be a tight contest, and unlike a pure primary and caucus system, the super delegate model will (the RNC hopes) give the party establishment some input into who the nominee will be. It also aims to give representation to Republicans who reside in areas where Democrats or third party members hold elected office. The RNC is concerned with keeping outsiders or odd-ball candidates (and/or Ronald Reagan) from achieving and early lead and hijacking the nominating process (there is some concern being expressed that a Republican Wallace or a charismatic irregular like Pete McCloskey could use Wallace-like populist techniques to win the nomination). Above all the system is designed to produce a nominee-designate before the Republican National Convention, so that the Convention can act as uniting event rather than a brokering event.

The Iraqi Army occupies much of urban Saudi Arabia, driving the revolutionaries out into the desert and south toward Yemen, where they are given hiding places and support from various tribes.

March 18, 1979
Ten miners die in a methane gas explosion at Golborne Colliery near Wigan, Lancashire.

March 20, 1979
Yonaguni Island is evacuated by Japanese authorities. The official (and widely questioned) reason given is mercury poisoning of the waters.

March 22, 1979
Members of the Irish Republican Brigade (IRB) killed Richard Sykes (58), then British Ambassador to the Netherlands, and also his Dutch valet Krel Straub (19), in a gun attack in Den Haag, Netherlands.

The IRB carried out a series of attacks across Northern Ireland with 24 bombs exploding on same day.

March 24, 1979
The Muslim Brotherhood stages a three day protest in Cairo and Alexandria against the military regime headed by President al-Gamsay. The former Army Doctor and militant Ayman al-Zawahiri is present and involved in the Cairo protests.

The House Judiciary Committee votes 10 – 7 to delay hearings on Gov. Lamm’s candidacy “until the Nicaraguan affair can be fully investigated.” Attempts in May, June and September to overturn this stop fail to gain majority support, even after the Senate Judiciary Committee approves Lamm’s nomination. Many Democrats begin to voice the concern that Republican Speaker Lott is trying to preserve his position as next in line to the Presidency as the question of impeachment becomes more of a reality.


March 25, 1979
The first fully functional space shuttle orbiter, Columbia, is delivered to the John F. Kennedy Space Center, to be prepared for its first launch.

March 26, 1979
Marshall Hyung-ju, “The Eternal Marshall” of North Korea, dies in unexplained circumstances (a factory roof collapsed while he was inspecting the facility- forty six engineers and builders are later executed for this). He is replaced as North Korean leader by a politburo of four men, composed of colourless party bureaucrats few in the west have ever heard of before.

The Egyptian military cracks down the Muslim Brotherhood, arresting a number of its members. Ayman al-Zawahiri flees into exile in Mali.

Efforts to impose UN sanctions on Iraq are frustrated by vetoes at the Security Council by the Soviet Union and by France.

March 28, 1979

Crisis at the Three Mile Island Nuclear Power Plant near Harrisburg, Pennsylvania begins.

The accident began at 4 a.m. on Wednesday, March 28, 1979, with failures in the non-nuclear secondary system, followed by a stuck-open pilot-operated relief valve (PORV) in the primary system, which allowed large amounts of nuclear reactor coolant to escape. The mechanical failures were compounded by the initial failure of plant operators to recognize the situation as a loss-of-coolant accident due to inadequate training and human factors, such as human-computer interaction design oversights relating to ambiguous control room indicators in the power plant's user interface. In particular, a hidden indicator light led to an operator manually overriding the automatic emergency cooling system of the reactor because the operator mistakenly believed that there was too much coolant water present in the reactor and causing the steam pressure release. The scope and complexity of the accident became clear over the course of five days, as employees of Met Ed, Pennsylvania state officials, and members of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) tried to understand the problem, communicate the situation to the press and local community, decide whether the accident required an emergency evacuation, and ultimately end the crisis. The NRC's authorization of the release of 40,000 gallons of radioactive waste water directly in the Susquehanna River led to a loss of credibility with the press and community.

In the end, the reactor was brought under control, although full details of the accident were not discovered until much later, following extensive investigations by both a presidential commission and the NRC. One report concluded that "there will either be no case of cancer or the number of cases will be so small that it will never be possible to detect them. The same conclusion applies to the other possible health effects". Several epidemiological studies in the years since the accident have supported the conclusion that radiation released from the accident had no perceptible effect on cancer incidence in residents near the plant, though these findings are contested by one team of researchers. Cleanup started in August 1979 and was projected to take in close to two decades to complete, with a total cost projection of about $1 billion. The incident was rated a five on the seven-point International Nuclear Event Scale: Accident With Wider Consequences.

This incident causes the NRC and the Department of Energy to conduct a closer review of the nuclear power plants that have been constructed (or are under construction) over the past decade.

March 29, 1979
Sultan Yahya Petra of Kelantan, the 6th Yang di-Pertuan Agong (Head of State) of Malaysia, dies in office. He is replaced by Sultan Ahmad Shah of Pahang.

Quebecair Flight 255 was a scheduled flight from Quebec City to Montreal. On March 29, 1979, a Fairchild F-27 registered CF-QBL flying the route crashed after an engine exploded shortly after take off, killing all three crew and 14 out of 21 passengers. The crash occurred minutes after it took off.

Lt. General Alexander Haig, previously commanding the multi-national force in Syria is placed on overall charge of the U.S. forces in the Persian Gulf and North-eastern Africa. His headquarters is located in Iran.

The U.S. moves ships, men and equipment into bases in Oman, the United Arab Emirates, North Yemen and Ethiopia, ringing the Arabian peninsula with U.S. forces. The British, the Canadians, the Australians and the Dutch also contribute to the multi-national force being put in place to threaten the Iraqis if required.

The Soviets step up their naval presence in Kuwait, South Yemen and Somalia in an effort challenge the U.S. push against the Iraqis.

March 30, 1979
Airey Neave, then Conservative Party spokesperson on Northern Ireland, was injured by a booby-trap bomb attached to his car as he left the car park at the House of Commons. The Irish National Liberation Army (INLA) claimed responsibility for the attempted murder. Neave survived the blast, losing his left foot and suffering sustained shrapnel damage to both legs which had to be repaired through a series of surgeries. The bomb, which should have been powerful enough to kill him, fizzled, creating a much smaller explosion. The likely reason was inferior or contaminated explosives (later revealed to have come from a secret joint MI6-British military covert action to sell the IRB and INLA defective weapons and explosives

Less than three years after the murder of the Queen, questions were immediately raised about government security, given that an INLA strike team had gotten into the HofC car park. Enoch Powell MP rose in the House on April 5 to claim (with much rhetoric and not much proof) that it had been American Special Forces and not the INLA which had tried to do away with Neave, to prevent him from becoming Opposition Leader. (Neave was by now a contender to replace Geoffrey Howe as permanent leader of the Conservative Party).

The government of Quebec proposes a referendum to give it the power to negotiate sovereignty with Canada. The referendum is to take place in 1979. The Lougheed government in Ottawa denounces this moves and begins a anti-referendum campaign. Canadian Justice Department lawyers immediately go to court in attempts to challenge the constitutionality of the referendum.


March 31, 1979
The last British soldier (belonging to the Royal Navy) leaves the Maltese Islands, after 179 years of presence. Malta declares its Freedom Day (Jum il-Helsien).


March – October, 1979


Between March and October 1979 the war in Rhodesia continues to deteriorate. After the use of more mustard gas and other chemical weapons, the Rhodesians beat off another ZPLF attack.

The Rhodesians then press the attack against ZPLF bases in Zambia, and in the process inflict significant damage on the Zambian air force and on Zambian military units.

This forces Zambia into a war with Rhodesia. The combined Zambian and ZPLF invasion of Rhodesia compels South Africa to come to Rhodesia’s aid in what is the long term strategic defence of South Africa from the encroachment of Soviet backed radicalized African armies on its border.

By mid-October the sides have clashed in Rhodesia, destroying much of the northern half of that country. The Zambians and ZPLF, while inflicting heavy casualties, are unable to defeat the South African and Rhodesian forces in the field. The Rhodesian and South African Air Forces gain air superiority and inflict heavy damage on Zambia and ZPLF support facilities. Soon there are instances of Zambian civilians turning on the ZPLF and civil war breaking out between pro-ZPLF and anti-ZPLF factions in Zambia.

Civilian casualties are very high and the warfare is reportedly brutal.

The war, although reported on, goes largely underreported in the West because of events in Arabia, the Iberian Peninsula and Italy compete for attention and immediacy.
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April 1, 1979
The Pinwheel Network changes its name to Nickelodeon and begins airing on various Warner Cable systems beginning in Buffalo, New York, expanding its audience reach.

President Wallace signs into law a Defense authorization for the development of Stealth technology aircraft.

April 1 – April 18, 1979
Police lock Andreas Mihavecz in a holding cell in Bregenz, Austria, and forget about him, leaving him there without food or drink for eighteen days, until he is rescued by chance by another officer who is curious about the strange sounds and revolting smell coming from the supposedly empty cell. (Mihavecz survives by licking dampness off the walls of his basement cell).

April 2, 1979
Sverdlovsk Anthrax leak: A Soviet biowarfare laboratory at Sverdlovsk accidentally releases airborne anthrax spores, killing 66 plus an unknown amount of livestock.

U.S. Fifth fleet units begin deploying in Oman, the United Arab Emirates and in the Persian Gulf. Fifth and Sixth Fleet units also take control of the sea lanes leading to the Suez canal.

April 5, 1979
The Senate Judiciary Committee votes to recommend the nomination of Gov. Lamm for the office of Vice President.

April 6 – 8, 1979
The Metz Congress was the seventh national congress of the French Socialist Party (PS) which took place on 6, 7 and 8 April 1979. The debate was influenced by five years of President Mitterrand’s administration, with a great deal of division over his “pragmatic” versus “party driven” policies during his tenure. This included debates over nuclear energy and foreign policy programs and whether or not the Common Programme with the French Communist Party (PCF) should be abandoned in the face of forthcoming legislative elections scheduled for October 1979.

Eight years after his establishing control of the party, and five years after his election as President, François Mitterrand faced internal opposition. Michel Rocard, who joined the PS in 1974, led the right-wing of the party. He criticized the Common Programme, and decried it as being "archaic" and "unrealistic". He advocated an alignment with contemporary European social-democracy and an acceptance of the market economy. For Mitterrand, these propositions threatened to split the "Union of Left". (Despite the fact that Mitterrand and the PS government had quietly been doing that in small, incremental changes to the economy which had fallen under the bland – and largely [and deliberately] unclarified – term of “co-operative alignment”)*.

Rocard was supported by Pierre Mauroy. He had been number 2 of the party since 1971. He represented the survivors of the French Section of the Workers' International (SFIO) who denounced the hegemony of Mitterrand's supporters in the party.

Jean-Pierre Chevènement and his left-wing CERES faction advocated a return to closer relations with the PCF.

Despite the division between the wings of the PS, no one was ready to create an open schism in advance of the 1979 elections, although this unity may not have been as strong when the 1981 Presidential election was considered, specifically the idea of an inter-party challenger to Mitterrand for re-election was not ruled out. Mitterrand’s ally, Lionel Jospin, was nonetheless re-elected First Secretary of the PS with only token opposition.

*Famously characterised as the “round about” policy from Mitterrand’s 1978 comment – “We will co-operate with our European counterparts on the alignment of important sectors of our economy; while alignment shall be directed to improving our economic relations through co-operation, this does not mean that we shall surrender those essential values of our policies which protect the rights and protections of French workers, nor will co-operation be a formula to harm French well-being to the benefit of foreign interests.”


April 10, 1979
A tornado hits Wichita Falls, Texas, killing 42 people (the most notable of 26 tornadoes that day).

The Italian government proposes a bill (The Security Law 1979 [SL-79]) which would outlaw “conspiratorial association” by government officials with “outlawed organizations.” The measure is widely seen as an effort by the Berlinguer government as a tool to crack down on right wing organizations and certain businesses which have been conspiring with – variously – the Mafia and what are seen as front organizations for right wing terror groups. At the same time Prime Minister Berlinguer wants to create a legal pre-text for clamping down on hard left organizations giving assistance and support to groups like the Red Brigades, and to expand Italian law so that the Justice system can prosecute Italians who involve themselves with foreign terror organizations.

A number of right wing political groups, many with ties to the police, military and intelligence service (and some with Vatican connections as well) react with outrage to SL-79 which they see as being aimed at shutting them down.

April 10 -12, 1979
Soyuz 33 launched into Earth orbit. Returned to Earth on April 12 after failing to dock with the Salyut 6 station. The Soyuz craft suffered engine failure, which prevented it from docking.

Israeli jets destroy a Syrian National Police arms bunker near the Israeli border. Further Israeli flights over Syria are challenged by the US Navy and US Air Force.


April 11, 1979
British and Canadian troops invade Grenada and remove the revolutionary government of Maurice Bishop. In Britain the Healey government cites the extra – legality of the undemocratic coup in a Commonwealth nation as grounds for the military intervention. Prime Minister Lougheed of Canada uses similar arguments to justify the involvement of Canadian support troops. Although Eric Gairy, the former Prime Minister, returned to the Island, he was discouraged buy the British from standing for another term. New elections were called under British supervision.

April 13, 1979
The La Soufrière volcano erupts in St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

Silvio Berlusconi, the owner of Telemilano and the media company Finivest, begins to harangue the government’s SL-79 law as an attack on press freedom. In a fitting irony, SL-79 is openly compared to Mussolini’s Acerbo Law, which suppressed opposition press fifty-six years earlier. (SL-79 was not an attempt to change the Italian political system like the Acerbo Law had been, but Berlusconi’s media outlets shaded the lines to evoke bitter memories of the Mussolini regime and hope that they were transferred to Berlinguer’s government).

April 15, 1979
Montenegro Earthquake: A major earthquake (7.0 on the Richter scale) strikes Montenegro (then part of Yugoslavia) and parts of Albania, causing extensive damage to coastal areas and taking 136 lives; the old town of Budva is devastated.

The MEK (People's Mujahedin of Iran) organizes a series of strikes throughout Iran. The strikers demand better wages and elections.

President Mitterrand visits President al-Bakr in Baghdad. They jointly announce a deal whereby Iraq will evacuate Arabia once “stability has been restored” and a “government with wide domestic support in Arabia” can be organized. The French President’s visit, highly criticized by many as a “sell-out” to aggression, includes a commercial side deal for a number of French industries, including arms manufacturers and the civil nuclear energy field.

Of note, the Iraqi deal is criticized from the right but not as much from the left. Many leftists welcome the liberation of the former Saudi Arabia from a medieval theocracy by a nominally socialist Arab entity. The Soviets also command support for Iraq from those groups they control or influence. There is also an element that is anti-corporate and sees the Iraqi move as frustrating western corporations, and as such lends a voice of radical support to the invasion.

The House Judiciary Special Select Sub-Committee Inquiry into Legal Questions Pertaining to the Conduct of the U.S. Military and the Wallace Administration with regard to Covert Policy in Nicaragua (the Harsha Committee after its Chairman Rep. Bill Harsha (R-OH)) begins hearings in Washington. Over the course of its mandate, the Harsha Committee hears testimony from U.S. military personnel, CIA operatives, foreign nationals, reporters and Nicaraguan representatives from both the government and the Sandinista movement.

April 16, 1979
During the Senate debate on the nomination of Gov. Lamm, Sen. Gary Howard (Bible-LA) attempts to filibuster the nomination of “a homicidal abortionist to the second highest office in this land. God will curse this Senate if we elect such a man, with blood on his hands, to the Vice Presidency.” Sen. Howard attempts to read the Bible into the Congressional Record as part of his filibuster, which is finally stopped after four hours.

Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-AZ): “What is this, the United States Senate or a revival meeting?”

Sen. Jacob Javits (R-NY): “No, this has become the Gong Show.”


April 17, 1979
Four Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC) officers were killed when the IRB exploded an estimated 1,000 pound van bomb at Bessbrook, County Armagh. [This was believed to be the largest bomb used by the IRA to this date.]

April 19, 1979
Agnes Wallace (40), a Prison Officer, was shot dead and three of her colleagues injured when the Irish Republican Army (IRA) carried out a gun and grenade attack outside Armagh women's prison.

The Iranian Army forces crack down on the strikers.

April 21, 1979
Amid the turmoil General Hamid arrests the remaining members of the National Salvation Counsel. The same day the figurehead Shah Reza appoints Hamid as the new Prime Minister. In his first statement as the new Prime Minister, General Hamid outlaws the MEK and other “pro-communist” groups.

April 22, 1979
The Albert Einstein Memorial is unveiled at The National Academy of Sciences in Washington, DC.

The body of Martin McConville (25), a Catholic civilian, was found in the Bann River, at Portadown, County Armagh. McConville had been abducted by Loyalists one month earlier and had been beaten to death.

April 23, 1979
Fighting in London between the Anti-Nazi League and the Metropolitan Police's Special Patrol Group results in the death of protestor Blair Peach.

Soviet Communist Party General Secretary Mikhail Suslov dies after a serious illness. His death is not announced until after the May Day celebrations in the Soviet Union.

After several months of intensive fighting PRC forces withdraw into the highlands of Laos adjacent to the PRC border with Laos. The last of the PRC forces also withdraw from North Vietnamese territory as their position there is tactically difficult under sustained action by North and South Vietnamese ground and air units.

From March through October 1979 the main focus of North and South Vietnamese forces, along with Lao national forces (the Lao government [Republic of Laos]) now largely under the influence of the Pathet Lao Green (or Nationalist) forces, is to suppress on-going guerrilla activities by the Pathet Lao Red (or Maoist) forces. In addition to operations in Laos, the Maoist Pathet Lao also stage cross border raids into North Vietnam.

The PRC itself begins training a contingent of anti-Hanoi Vietnamese Maoists to act as an insurgent force in the border area and to penetrate into North Vietnam.

In Vientiane the Nationalist Pathet Lao consolidates its hold on the post-royal government, declaring the country to be the Republic of Laos and promising a platform of national development and agrarian reform. Elections are put off until “development has reached a level to sustain proletarian education prior to mass involvement in balloting.” Code: The Pathet Lao Nationalists want to “train” the population how to vote while indoctrinating them with Pathet Lao ideology.

While North Vietnam and India recognize the new government in Laos, the United States and the South Vietnamese government continue to recognize the now exiled Royal government which takes refuge in Switzerland.

May 1, 1979
Greenland gets home rule.

At the invitation of Berlusconi and other Italian private financiers former American President and right-wing media personality Spiro Agnew gives a series of speeches in Rome, Milan, Turin and Genoa all denouncing the Communist government as a danger to Italians and the security of all of Europe.

Kremlinologists note the absence of General Secretary Suslov at any of the May Day celebrations in Moscow. Yuri Andropov and Premier Pelse lead the official delegation which watches the parade from the top of Lenin’s tomb. Also notable by his absence is Konstantin Chernenko. The Defence Minister, General Viktor Kulikov and the Deputy Premier Grigory Romanov, and the Party Central Committee Secretary Nikolai Ryzhkov are noted as standing close to Andropov and Pelse, indicating that they may have gained more prominence in the hierarchy. Also prominent with the senior leadership is Moscow Party boss Viktor Grishin. Hu Juan-ju is also given a place of honour in the official line-up with other foreign Communist dignitaries.

In Peking, Mao Yuan-jin is formally proclaimed the “Guardian of the Chinese Revolution,” “First messenger of the Eternal Chairman” and “the Guide of Heaven.” In his May Day address he proclaims the “Chinese Revolution” as “the master of all” and anything outside of it “below the value of dung.” Many China watchers conclude that this is the formal coronation of the Lesser Mao as the great Helmsman’s successor in public (the transfer of power having occurred in secret many years before). Although Mao Yuan-jin – “the Guardian” – maintains the fiction that his aging Uncle is alive and in seclusion, passing messages to the masses through his “First messenger”, most experts are in agreement that Mao Tse-tung is most likely dead.

May 2, 1979
The Senate votes 58 – 40 (1 absence, 1 abstention*) to approve the nomination of Gov. Lamm to the office of Vice President. (* Sen. Ronald Galtieri (Lib.-MT) argues that the 25th Amendment violates the spirit of the Constitution because it was not included in the Constitution by the Founders (on this principle he rejects all amendments incorporated after the end of the first generation [13th amendment on]; his argument is that all of the amendments written after the passing of the founders either tinker with their design for limited government or have been designed to increase government power over the individual. In the case of the 25th amendment he argues that the amendment has, against the designs of the founder, removed a power from the states (electing a Vice President by electors chosen at the state level) and arbitrarily given that power to Congress (appointing a Vice President)).
Even after the Senate vote the House Judiciary Committee, citing the Harsha Committee hearings, still refuses to conduct hearings on Gov. Lamm’s nomination.


Keith Joseph (MP – Cons. (Leeds North East)): In conclusion, I would like the honourable Foreign Secretary to explain why this government has allowed the Iraqi aggression to go unchecked, and in effect allowed Iraq through the use of military muscle to swallow-up two sovereign nations? Are we to conclude Kuwait is the Rhineland and Arabia somehow approximates the Sudatenland?

Hecklers (Conservative benches): Peace in our time!

Hecklers (Labour benches): Heil Howe!

James Callaghan (Foreign Secretary): Were the honourable member to consult a map, I’m sure he would find that the sands of Arabia are at some considerable distance from the Sudatenland, just as this affair is at some distance both in strategic and diplomatic terms from the long past crisis he alludes to. Oh, and to our friends who chant ‘Peace in our time’ as a barb, I would remind them that they are the words of a Tory Prime Minister spoken over the corpse of a free nation for which he chose the role of undertaker.

Hecklers: (Jeers; Boos)

Speaker: Order! Order! The Honourable Foreign Secretary.

Callaghan: Thank-you, Mr. Speaker. To the substance of the honourable members question, let me say that His Majesty’s government is working in close concert with our allies through diplomatic and other means to assert our case that this action by Iraq is contrary to all international law and that it shall not be allowed to stand as is. Diplomacy being a complicated and at times delicate process, I cannot give the full content of on-going talks in this house, but I can assure you that the policy we have chosen will both express our national outrage, without closing the doors to peaceful settlement, and that, Mr. Speaker, stands in stark preference to one of war which can only bring bloodshed and ruin.

Michael Hesletine (MP - Cons. (Henley)): Will this government give this house and the world its assurance that it will demand nothing less than the restoration of the Emir of Kuwait to his rightful throne, and will this government commit to the restoration of a free and independent Kuwait to her people as a minimum and necessary condition for any agreement. And if not, will this government commit itself, with our allies, to liberating Kuwait by force, if needs be?

Barbara Castle (Deputy Prime Minister): My honourable friend is quick to have us make so many commitments; one wonders if his portfolio is fully invested in Kuwaiti dinars.

Hecklers (Conservative benches): Foul! Foul!

Hecklers (Labour benches): You certainly are!

Castle: This government has undertaken to give the Emir of Kuwait and as many of his people as can reach us shelter, and we will continue our efforts to see a peaceful and equitable resolution. We have full faith in our armed forces, should they be called upon, but that means we have no less faith in our diplomats, as should our honourable friends across the aisle. Sadly, to those who hope to make a quick killing on their BA or Rolls Royce stock over a war scare, I can only say we are not in the business of making munitions dealers happy. Sorry, you’ll have to give peace a chance.

Enoch Powell (MP – UU (South Down)): “When will this government take heed of British interests and stop being the lap dog of the United States? Can the Minister rise in this House and in all candour tell us that British interests are promoted somehow in all this chicanery in Arabia? Can we not say that while we disapprove of what has happened, and the government that has replaced the Saudi King, we can also say that it is not in our national interest to become involved in this mire? If the United States wishes to dictate to the Arab world what path it should follow then let it, but let it not use British blood and British treasure in pursuit of this goal.”

James Callaghan (Foreign Secretary): “The honourable member speaks of the matter as if we can stand by and look upon it with the dispassionate distance of an Oxford Tutor considering some particularly complex but utterly academic problem. The fact is that the situation on the Arabian peninsula is central to the security of the world, and to the energy security of the United Kingdom. Let’s not forget that point – our economic and military security is directly tied into this matter. Far from being a lap dog, Britain acts in concert with our allies, including the United States, to ensure not only our security, but to ensure the spirit of international law is enforced.”

Powell: “Arabia today is occupied by an Arab dictatorship, an offensive blood thirsty tyranny to be sure, but one not as vile as the mindless fanatics who so recently terrorized the Arab peninsula. While it is true that Britain suffers from the resulting high oil prices, I must ask if our military involvement, which if it comes to conflict will only reduce – not increase – the flow of oil, I must ask if this is truly in our interest, or solely in the interest of the United States, which seeks for itself the role of hegemon and global policeman. In the days of Britain’s Empire we would have acted to stop this without hesitation. The result might well have been a lingering war that would have slowly bled the British Empire and returned only more bodies to the lament of British mothers and to fill the ground with the spent remains of our young and brave. We in Britain, with a little discipline, can survive this distant conflict. It is only oil hungry, power hungry America that sees the need to intervene, and they are more than ready to squander as many British lives in that interest as they deem necessary. To this, let us say instead, good luck but do not involve us. Let America fight in the Arab sands, and let Britain instead determine a path of energy self-sufficiency that will release us from the grip of these oil potentates and America’s imperial hubris for good.”

Denis Healey (Prime Minister): “Our government is taking every measure to avoid war and to resolve the Arabian dispute peacefully. President Wallace himself has assured us that his last option is to fight the Iraqi occupier. Rather we show force to back-up owe willingness to use force if required, but not out of necessity. Great Britain and the United States wish the Iraqis and all other parties to know that we will negotiate from strength, and we will not accept being dictated to on a matter so vital not only to our security, but to the peace of the world. It is crucial that order and stability is returned to the Arabian Peninsula, and all of our moves are aimed at this principle.”

Powell: “I take no comfort in President Wallace’s assurances? I am rather minded to believe that by following this policy Great Britain will be co-opted into Manifest Destiny Today, Manifest Destiny Tomorrow and Manifest Destiny Forever. Is that not where our current path will lead?”

Callaghan: “Many honourable members of this house have found fit to use the Munich analogy to disparage what they perceive as the lack of our government’s resolve on a number of occasions with regard to our conduct of foreign affairs. Now, when we are faced with a dictator acting with force to take neighbouring territory, and now that we contemplate action to stop this aggression, from where do we hear the echo of Munich? It seems to be coming from South Down. Perhaps the honourable member would decamp himself to Baghdad and there acquire President al-Bakr’s signature on a document guaranteeing peace in our time. This, it seems to me, are the implications of his words in this House.”

May 3, 1979
Airey Neave leaves hospital.

Margaret Thatcher, the former Conservative MP from Finchley, organizes the advocacy group “Justice in Ireland.” JII opposes any settlement with Sein Fein that does not involve total disarmament and prosecution of all armed militants.

The Soviet Union officially announces the death of Mikhail Suslov.

Yuri Andropov is announced as Suslov’s successor as General Secretary of the Soviet Communist Party. Viktor Grishin is named as Second Secretary, or Andropov’s party deputy. A previously obscure figure, Vladimir Pavlovich Orlov is named to replace Andropov as Interior Minister while an even more obscure figure, Vitaly Ivanovich Vorotnikov, succeeds Grishin as Moscow Party boss. Vitaly Fedorchuk becomes the General Secretary of the Ukranian Communist Party, while Filipp Bobkov succeeds Fedorchuk as Chairman of the KGB, with Vladimir Alexandrovich Kryuchkov as his Deputy. Ruslan Imranovich Khasbulatov and Yevgeny Maksimovich Primakov begin to gain prominence as advisors to Andropov on economic and foreign affairs, and are both made candidate members of the Politburo. Marshall Sergei Leonidovich Sokolov becomes Deputy Defence Minister (noted as an odd arrangement that puzzles western observers because in terms of military rank he is Defence Minister Kulikov’s superior, yet in his current post he reports to Kulikov as a subordinate).

May 4, 1979
General Hamid reaches a bargain with Ayatollah Taleghani and Ayatollah Hussein-Ali Montazeri to gain clerical support for this crackdown on the MEK. Hamid’s cabinet is to include a clerical advisor whose role is to advise, not to impose. The government becomes more solicitous of the clerical establishment as a result.

May 6, 1979
An undercover member of the Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC) and an undercover member of the British Army were both shot dead by the IRB at Lisnaskea, County Fermanagh.

The Credolo incident. Pietro Credolo, an assistant to the Italian Defence Minister Sandro Pertini, is arrested in a “love nest” with several call girls. Found in the “love nest” with Credolo are state papers on Italian security and NATO related papers. Two of the prostitutes are known to receive frequent trade from the Soviet Embassy in Rome, and among their clients are listed the Military attaché and the suspected chief of the KGB residency.

Pietro Credolo’s plight becomes a sensation as the right wing media tries to spin it not as an accident, but as a situation where Credolo was caught deliberately making top-secret state papers available to “agents of the Soviet government.” When the government at first defends Credolo, its media opponents spin that into something more sinister – along the lines of “we always warned you Berlinguer and the Communists were a tool of the Soviets and here is the proof.” Berlusconi personally accuses the Prime Minister of treason and espionage and calls for his removal.

Under intensive questioning in the Italian Parliament, Berlinguer says that the Credolo matter will be looked into completely, but he expresses the opinion that Credolo was foolish rather than treasonous, and he refuses to call for Minister Pertini’s resignation. This produces more denunciations on the right.

Foreign observers, and British ones in particular, are stuck with the similarities between this and Britain’s 1963 Profumo scandal, which brought down the MacMillan government over a similar sort of scandal (although no state papers were involved in the Profumo case). More than a few commentators wonder if Credolo was set-up, as this crisis seems to have a staged quality.


May 8, 1979
The Woolworth's store in Manchester city centre in England is seriously damaged by fire; 10 shoppers die.

A state funeral is held in Moscow for Mikhail Suslov.

May 9, 1979
A Unabomber bomb injures Northwestern University graduate student John Harris.

Lech Wałęsa, then a Polish dissident and trade union activist, is arrested for “agitation” by the Polish authorities. As his punishment he is sent to a “fraternal, volunteer labour center” along the Soviet border with the People’s Republic of China. As an electrician, Walesa’s job is to maintain the power grid along the wall built by the Soviets on their border with China.

A car bomb explodes near the Abdeen Palace as President al-Gamsay is driving by. He and several of his bodyguards are injured by shrapnel.

May 10, 1979
The Federated States of Micronesia becomes self-governing.

In the United States a judge ruled that a group of men, believed to be members of the Provisional Irish Republican Army (PIRA) and also considered to be responsible for bombing the Ripon Barracks in North Yorkshire, should be extradited to Britain.

May 12, 1979
The Japanese, South Korean and French governments negotiate an agreement for the Japanese and Koreans to quietly lease space on Moruroa, a French owned South Pacific Island, where the French have conducted nuclear weapons tests. In a related agreement the Japanese reach agreement with the French to license produce two variants of the French Redoutable class ballistic missile submarine. Japan is intending to use the submarines to carry a nuclear missile force aimed at China.

In the years since there has been much debate as to who knew what and when they knew it about the South Korean-Japanese (and the associated Taiwanese) nuclear weapons program. Officially, the Wallace Administration claimed to know nothing about it, but this flies in the face of the obvious intelligence coming into Washington that the Japanese were testing weapons and buying ballistic missile submarine designs from the French. While Paris may not have sought explicit U.S. permission to do this, it is unlikely that they would have done the deal with the Japanese without at least a tacit nod of approval from some official quarter in Washington as the question of proliferation remained central to both governments. The Asians were developing their own Force frappe to protect themselves from the increasingly unstable regime in Peking which threatened them all with nuclear weapons. The French understood this.

It is likely that senior figures in Washington looked the other way (and did not communicate the extent of this activity to President Wallace and his senior advisors) in order to maintain a wilful ignorance of this activity, and avoid the associated risks of either extending an American nuclear umbrella to Asia or risk relations with Tokyo and Seoul over the question. This preserved America’s flexibility of response should any of these nuclear weapons actually be used in combat. (It should be noted that the majority of Japanese and South Korean citizens were kept in the dark about this activity; secrecy was an important shield from political criticism at home for both governments, and so U.S. silence may have been a deliberate act not to provoke a domestic political crisis in either country. The Taiwanese program was not as secret, as the Taipei government wanted the Peking rulers to know that they had their own nuclear deterrence force, and received less resistance to the idea from the Taiwanese population). In August 1979 the U.S. government sold Taiwan the former U.S.S. Sam Houston, an Ethan Allen class ballistic missile submarine which had been decommissioned from the U.S. Navy for this exact purpose. It is unlikely that Washington could have been as ignorant as they later claimed to be about what the Taiwanese were going to do with this operational sea-launching missile platform.

May 13, 1979
Progress 6, an unmanned rocket with no return capability, is launched to deliver additional supplies to the Salyut 6 crew.

May 14, 1979
Skylab VIII launches, with a crew: Vance Brand (Commander), Don Lind (CSM pilot), William B. Lenoir (Mission Engineer specialist). The mission of the SkylabSkylab A vehicle, whose orbit is disintegrating, and to dismantle sections of it, so that when it re-enters Earth's atmosphere it will be in smaller pieces, which will be more likely to burn-up in the atmosphere and not hit the ground. De-orbiting the Skylab A vehicle had been considered by NASA but abandoned as not being cost effective. VIII is to visit the old

May 17, 1979
Portuguese units, supported by Cuban, East German and Czech units, invade Spain on a mission to “secure the border from the fascist attempts to undermine the people’s revolution in Portugal.”

May 19, 1979
Andrei Gromyko officially retires as Chairman of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet (the ceremonial Soviet head of state or “President”) to become the President of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations. Yuri Andropov assumes the office of Chairman of the Presidium, which effectively makes the formerly ceremonial office more powerful when combined with Andropov’s Party leadership. In protocol terms this places Andropov on par with other world leaders as an official head of state.

The United States begins separate bilateral talks with Saddam Hussein about the future of Saudi Arabia and the development of an oil export deal. Any oil export from Arabia is for the future, as the oil infrastructure in Arabia has been all but destroyed by the Iraqi invasion. This enhances the influence of Iraq as its own oil export capability, plus the Kuwaiti export capability, acquire more importance on the international oil market.

The United States floats offers to trade Kuwait for Iraqi withdrawal from Arabia.


May 21, 1979
Dan White receives a light sentence for killing San Francisco City Supervisor Harvey Milk and wounding Mayor George Moscone. Gay men in the city riot, leading to violent confrontations between them and San Francisco Police and California National Guard units.

The Montréal Canadiens defeat the New York Rangers 4 games to 1 in the best-of-seven series, winning the Stanley Cup.

The United States government offers to send the Skylab IX mission to Salyut 6 with Dr. Kerwin aboard to check on the two Cosmonauts stranded on the Salyut 6. The Soviet Union turns down the offer.

The U.S. House of Representatives passes an airline de-regulation bill by a vote of 231 – 204. The Bill becomes mired in the Senate for the remainder of 1979. It becomes a particular target of Sen. Edward Kennedy who is trying to line-up union support for Democratic primary challenge to President Wallace. The President has indicated that he will sign the bill once it reaches his desk.

May 23, 1979
Questioning of Major Oliver North USMC – Harsha Committee

Rep. Del Latta (R-OH): Major North, from where did your orders come?

North: I received orders from my superiors, which included the military attaches at our Embassy.

Latta: And your mission was to support the Somoza regime?

North: My mission was to help Nicaraguan people to fight the Cuban and Soviet backed Communist forces who wanted to imprison that country. My mission was to preserve freedom.

Rep. Morris K. Udall (D-AZ): What right did you have get involved at all? This Congress specifically passed a ban prohibiting direct U.S. military involvement in the Nicaraguan Civil War.

North: That was no civil war. It was funded from outside, from Moscow.

Udall: In what capacity were you involved?

North: Adviser.

Udall: Did you kill anyone?

North: I defended myself if required.

Udall: I see. What were you doing at the Nicaraguan parliament the day it was stormed by Somoza troops? Advising?

North: I was there as a tourist that day, sir.

Udall: A tourist?

North: Yes sir.

Udall: Isn’t it true that you were directly in command of that operation?

North: No.

Udall: Then how do you account for reports of you giving orders to Nicaraguan National Guard troops as they operated against FSLN guerrillas who had seized the parliament building?

North: They were wrong.

Udall: And the film of you there, that day, is it wrong too when it shows you giving orders to a Major Bermudez.

North: We were having a discussion.

Udall: About what?

North: He wanted to know if Notre Dame had a chance of making the play-offs that year.

Udall: Do you know what the term civil contempt means, Major North?

North: I can say, with all civility Congressman, that I’m getting a lesson in it now.

Udall: You think you’re funny?

North: I think I’m a patriot working for his country, following the rightful orders of his President in combating our enemies – freedom’s enemies.
----------------------------------------

Agnew on Point
“Here again we see the nasty, know nothings of negativity casting their evil spell of liberal loathing over the patriotic protectors of our great land. Morris Udall and his cowardly clutch of Castroites should be ashamed for their conduct before a fine example of our brave American heroism.

“As you well know my friends, I have no kind words for General Secretary Wallace and his Sovietized Administration; however, in this case I must give my support to the effort to preserve a free government in Nicaragua from the pervasive penetration of perfidious communism. Had noble young patriots such as Major North not stood-up and done their duty, today Nicaragua might well be under the iron clasp of Moscow and Havana tyranny. General Secretary Wallace may have given the order to stop this, but it was the noble service of Major North and his brothers-in-arms, standing shoulder-to-shoulder with President Somoza’s brave National Freedom Guard, which threw the red tide back into the sea, and sent Castro’s welps skulking back to Havana with their tails between their legs.

“For Morris Udall to now call that service into question is nothing short of treason. Udall has shown his cowardly colors, and he plans to use them to destroy a noble solider. I have no doubt that he is not alone in this; that General Secretary Wallace is in back of this. You see, my friends, the General Secretary doesn’t want Major North around to tell the truth, so he and his commissar Udall have conspired to blacken his name.

“Why? Because Major North, a true patriot, did his duty too well and foiled General Secretary Wallace’s plan to see Nicaragua fall to the Communists and then to blame the military for his evil deeds. You see, Major North was meant to be the fall guy to cover their pernicious tracks. But instead Major North outfoxed them, proved himself a loyal patriot, and saved freedom in Nicaragua. This they cannot stand, and this is why Commissar Udall must now destroy him.

“I encourage Major North to resist this vicious attack by the cowardly curs of conciliation. I call on you my friends, to send your support to the true patriot, Major North. And I call on you to tell your Congressman to remove this General Secretary and place a true patriot – a true servant of this country and its people – in the White House.”
--------------------------------------------


May 25, 1979
American Airlines Flight 191 was a regularly scheduled passenger flight in the United States from O'Hare International Airport in Chicago, Illinois, to Los Angeles International Airport. On May 25, 1979, the McDonnell Douglas DC-10-10 operating the route crashed moments after takeoff from Chicago. All 258 passengers and 13 crew on board were killed, along with two people on the ground. It was the deadliest air disaster in the history of the United States, as well as the second deadliest involving a DC-10, after Turkish Airlines Flight 981.

Sen. Kennedy uses this disaster to help stall the airline deregulation bill.

Investigators found that as the jet was beginning its takeoff rotation, engine number one on the left (port) wing separated and flipped over the top of the wing. As the engine separated from the aircraft, it severed hydraulic fluid lines and damaged the left wing, resulting in a retraction of the slats. As the jet attempted to climb, the left wing aerodynamically stalled while the right wing, with its slats still deployed, continued to produce lift. The jetliner subsequently rolled to the left and reached a bank angle of 112 degrees (partially inverted), before impacting in an open field near a trailer park located near the end of the runway. The engine separation was attributed to damage to the pylon rigging structure holding the engine to the wing caused by inadequate maintenance procedures at American Airlines.

While maintenance issues and not the actual design of the aircraft would ultimately be found responsible for the crash, the accident and subsequent grounding of all DC-10s by the Federal Aviation Administration added to an already unfavorable reputation of the DC-10 aircraft in the eyes of the public caused by other unrelated accidents.


John Spenkelink is executed in Florida, in the first use of the electric chair in America after the reintroduction of death penalty in 1976.

British spy Oleg Gordievsky has been promoted to KGB liaison with the Central Committee, which in practice means that he manages many of Andropov’s intelligence briefings. This gives him (and his British handlers) rare access into the inner core of Soviet thinking and intelligence. Gordievsky in turn passes on a report which causes consternation and debate within the British and American military establishment for years to come. Gordievsky’s report – called “the Leningrad Catalogue” to obscure it’s source (and attributed to a Leningrad source to all but a few top intelligence officials) – jars western nerves on these two points:

1] He claims that Soviet military construction (in particular naval, missile and nuclear programs) are pushing the Soviet industrial economy to the breaking point. Specifically, Gordievsky is advising the west that Andropov knows that the Soviet economy is nearing the breaking point, and that he and Romanov will have to act in some fashion to remedy this. While this is accepted in London, it flies in the face of the “Team B” theories of CIA Director Ickle, National Security Advisor Paul Nitze and SNICO Lew Allen. This causes them to dismiss Gordievsky as a disinformation agent.

2] Gordievsky claims that Suslov, who contracted a serious flu after his trip to Cuba at the beginning of 1979, was poisoned while convalescing. Gordievsky does not point directly at Andropov and Fedorchuk, but the implication is between the lines of his report on what he calls “a whisper making the rounds in Moscow.” The allegation, which ironically is considered more acceptable in Washington than in London, leads many to question Gordievsky’s reliability.

May 26, 1979
The Nicaraguan National Guard scores a significant victory against the remaining FSLN forces, which are forced to scatter after their defeat. Daniel Ortega, their political leader, flees into exile in Havana.

Speilberg Film announces that actor G.W. Bush will play the lead character, an adventurer-archaeologist called Montana Jones, in an up-coming spoof of 1930’s B-serials to be called Raiders of the Lost Ark.

Skylab IX launches to the Skylab B laboratory with crew: Alan L. Bean (Commander), Owen K. Garriott (Science Pilot), Joseph P. Kerwin (Physician). Their mission is to fire a booster to raise Skylab B's orbit in addition to conducting a number of other tests and experiments. During the mission the Skylab VIII visits the SkylabSkylab IX crew in firing the orbital raising booster. With six astronauts at the Skylab B over four days, this represents the largest manned space mission to date by NASA. B and assists the


May 27, 1979
Indianapolis 500: Rick Mears wins the race for the first time, and car owner Roger Penske for the second time.

The PJO backs Malian General Sekou Bamako who leads a coup against President Moussa Traoré. As President Bamako gives the PJO greater access to Malian state resources. He also cracks down on “westernism” in Mali and declares Sharia law to be the law of the land. The Bamako government also forges close relations with Col. Qaddafi in Lybia.

May 28, 1979
The Portuguese and allied forces penetrate into Spain as far as front line running approximately from Salamanca to Seville before entrenched Spanish defenders manage to hold them. In the north Portuguese troops make little progress beyond Ponteverda and Monfote de Lemos ; here they face not only Spanish troops but also exiled Portuguese troops which have been fighting the DPRP Communist forces in the mountains since 1975.

The Portuguese are assisted by a rising in the Basque region against the central government, which diverts Spanish military and security forces.

May 29, 1979
A substantial seismic disturbance is detected in the area of Yonaguni Island, but which to many scientists seems uncharacteristic of an earthquake. It is in fact a top secret underground nuclear weapons test being conducted by the Japanese.

In a historic public meeting in Hue (the ancient capital of the Vietnamese Empire) President Ton Duc Thang of North Vietnam, Prime Minister Pham Van Dong of North Vietnam and President Truong Quang Ngô of South Vietnam sign an agreement of “Mutual Respect and Dialogue” between the two regimes. Though not advertised as such, the agreement is effectively a diplomatic recognition by each regime of the other. Among other things it allows Saigon and Hanoi to explore a status of forces agreement involving the Southern troops currently deployed in the North and along the North’s border with Laos. The agreement also delineates “spheres of operations” between the two in Laos. “Information offices” are established in Hanoi and Saigon which are, effectively, embassies between the two regimes. At the request of the Saigon government the United States recognizes the agreement as well.

The United States opens a consulate in Hanoi.

May 30, 1979
The UN Security Council votes for a series of sanctions against the Democratic Progressive Republic of Portugal, but these are vetoed by the USSR.


June 1, 1979
The Vizianagaram district is formed in Andhra Pradesh, India.

The Seattle SuperSonics win the NBA Championship against the Washington Bullets.

The UN Security Council votes for a series of sanctions against Spain, but these are vetoed by the United States, with Great Britain abstaining.

June 2, 1979
Soviet spy John A. Walker is tasked by his Soviet handlers to obtain the complete blueprints and specifications of a Nimitz class nuclear powered aircraft carrier.

Nicaraguan President Anastasio Somoza Debalye announces that he will not step down as previously agreed, but will seek another term in office in an election to be held on September 2, 1979.

Skylab VII returns to the Earth.

June 3, 1979
A blowout at the Ixtoc I oil well in the southern Gulf of Mexico causes at least 600,000 tons (176,400,000 gallons) of oil to be spilled into the waters, the worst oil spill to date. Some estimate the spill to be 428 million gallons, making it the largest unintentional oil spill until to date.

Ron Dellums and Ralph Nader announce that they will run a joint ticket for the New Progressive Movement, with Dellums as Presidential candidate and Nader as Vice Presidential candidate. Not facing primaries, Dellums and Nader will instead work to sign-up voters in key states (i.e. build a grassroots network) and make the effort to get on as many state ballots as possible.

The Pope condemns the war in the Iberian Peninsula. He is disregarded in his own country, where the regime considers him to be an enemy. Meanwhile conservative clerics in Spain, many of whom are still closely associated with the regime, suspect that the Pope has leftist tendencies, so they too counsel the Falangist government of Prime Minister Milans del Bosch to disregard him.

The Spanish government at first rallies its people behind the call to defend the nation against an invader. However, with the constant bombardment of Portuguese propaganda which aims to convince the Spanish people – and the leftists among them in particular – that the goal of the Portuguese is to liberate their oppressed brothers and not gain territory in Spain, some resistance begins to surface to the Spanish regime from within the Spanish population.

The Basque region of Spain officially declares its independence from Spain. The Soviet Union immediately recognizes the new Basque Republic.


June 4, 1979
Flight Lieutenant Jerry Rawlings takes power in Ghana after a military coup in which General Fred Akuffo is overthrown.

Italian President Norberto Bobbio offers his support to the “elected government.”


June 5, 1979
Anatoly Dobrynin, the Soviet Ambassador to the United States, is named to replace the retiring Valerian Zorin as the new Soviet Foreign Minister. Unlike Zorin, Dobrynin is made a candidate member of the Politburo at the time of his appointment. The former Soviet Ambassador the UN Nikolai Fedorenko is named as the new Soviet Ambassador to the United States.

Morocco attempts a military intervention to remove President Bamako’s government from office. Bamako’s forces are backed in fighting the Moroccans by the PJO. Algeria also intervenes on the side of Mali, largely to prevent Morocco from gaining the upper hand in Mali, creating a tense stand-off in the area.


The United States offers support to Spain, and begins airlifting and sea lifting supplies.

The United States and the Royal Navy begin blockading Portuguese mainland ports.

June 6, 1979
Soyuz 34 launched into Earth orbit. An unmanned craft, the Soyuz 34 returned the Soyuz 32 crew from the Salyut 6 to the Earth on August 13, 1979.


June 7, 1979
The first direct elections to the European Parliament begin, allowing citizens from across all then-9 European Community member states to elect 410 MEPs. It is also the first international election in history.

Northern Ireland was treated as a single constituency with three seats being contested by 13 candidates. The election was by Proportional Representation using the Single Transferable Vote (STV) system while the rest of the United Kingdom (UK) continued to use the 'first past the post' system . Ian Paisley, then leader of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), topped the poll with 29.8 per cent of the first preference votes and was elected on the first count. John Hume, then deputy leader of the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP), got 24.6 per cent of the vote and narrowly missed the quota but was elected on the third count. John Taylor, Ulster Unionist Party (UUP), got 11.9 per cent of the first preference vote and was elected on the sixth count.

June 8, 1979
Questioning of Secretary of State Henry Jackson – Harsha Committee

Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX): The question I want answered Mr. Secretary is, did the President authorize the expenditure of taxpayer funds on a military assistance project in Nicaragua which Congress had barred by law.

Jackson: This administration followed a policy of supporting an ally in the struggle against Communism, mainly through technical and non-lethal aid. Was some of that converted to military use? Possibly. Unfortunately we can’t control every aspect or activity in a foreign nation.

Paul: But that’s exactly your responsibility Mr. Secretary, as a steward of the public trust, to watch over what is done with our money. So, I’m asking again, did the President authorize an illegal use of tax payer money.

Jackson: Since the Constitution gives to the President the authority to decide on matters of foreign affairs, I can’t judge what an illegal use might be.

Paul: Was money ear-marked for non-military support transferred over to support military operations?

Jackson: Money that was allocated for peaceful aid was used accordingly. I can’t answer for what happened on the military side, and frankly I won’t. The fact that you have granted to yourself, without a firm Constitutional basis, the right to dictate what is, and what is not illegal in foreign policy, does not necessarily give to this or any Congress that right.

Paul: We allocate the money – the taxpayers money, we have the right.

Jackson: You need to examine what occurred in all of this. Nicaragua was spared from going down the Cuban path to tyranny and subjugation. The Cubans and Soviets were deprived of a foothold on the North American continent, from which they could have furthered their subversion of other allied democracies. That, Mr. Paul, is a significant victory for our side, and I might add it was our obligation to the other nations of this hemisphere under the terms of the Rio treaty.

Paul: If you trespass on my land, I don’t care how many skunks you kill, you’re still trespassing on my land, Mr. Secretary. Not to put too a fine a point on it, but if this money was misallocated from peaceful use to military operations, then I have to ask if the President is guilty of ordering an embezzlement of public funds.

Jackson: Don’t be ridiculous.

Paul: I kinda find it ridiculous that the hard-working American taxpayer has to put-up with his money being handed over to ruthless dictators – gangsters in uniform really – just appease the anti-Communist lobby here. Where is it written in the Constitution that we have to be savior of every tin pot dictator? Our imperial power in the last thirty years has made us arrogant, so arrogant that now the President thinks he can violate the laws of Congress and misappropriate public money for a purpose it was never intended.

Jackson: Is there a question, or are you making a statement, Congressman?

Paul: Actually, I think it is you and the President who are making a big statement about what is wrong with this country.
-------------------------------------------------

June 10, 1979
The Iranian Army and armed MEK guerrillas clash in Isfahan, which leads to a street battle. Air Force jets are called in to pummel urban blocks where the MEK hold-up, leading to a large number of civilian deaths as a result of bombing.

Israeli jets over-fly Arabian air space, offering an apparent show of force against the Iraqi occupiers.

US combat jets based in Syria and on the Mediterranean fly missions to warn off Israeli aircraft.

June 11, 1979
Hollywood Actor John Wayne (Marion Morrison) dies from cancer.

June 12, 1979
Bryan Allen flies the man-powered Gossamer Albatross across the English Channel.

Israeli jets stage a “mock attack” on the U.S.S. Kitty Hawk carrier group as it transits the Mediterranean off the coast of Israel. Israel later claims that it was an exercise and that the proper notification to the U.S. was “lost in transmission.”
While the center in the Spanish-Portuguese war bogs down into trench warfare and stalemate, a Portuguese offensive in the north manages to attain a link-up with the Basque nationalist forces.

Spanish forces, supplied from the sea by the United States Navy, continue to hold a pocket of northwest Spain from Oviedo to St. Eugenia.



June 13, 1979
The Soyuz 32 capsule was returned unmanned to Earth. (Soyuz 32 had the same kind of faulty engine design as Soyuz 33, while Soyuz 34 had received a technical upgrade based on findings from an examination of the data from Soyuz 33. Soviet space flight authorities decided not to risk the crew's life by returning them in the Soyuz 32 capsule and thus sent a new one to retrieve them).


June 18, 1979
The Soviet Navy begins escorting supply ships sailing into Portugal, in effect daring the US Navy and the Royal Navy to challenge them. The Soviets also begin convoying more supplies and troops across the Atlantic from Cuba to Portugal, again demonstrating that they have power in the Atlantic and defying the U.S. blockade around Portugal.

While the Wallace Administration and the Healey government agree to keep all third country and unescorted ships out of Portuguese ports, the British adamantly refuse to challenge the Soviet escorted ships directly, as Britain does not want to escalate the crisis into a war. The U.S. reluctantly concedes to this point for now, hoping that its reinforcement of Spain will over time win out. In the meantime the CIA continues to feed support to anti-regime elements in the DPRP.

California Proposition 12 is approved for the June 3, 1980 primary ballot. The proposition will ask California voters if they will approve of the secession of the northern counties of California to form a new State.


June 20, 1979
American Airlines Flight 293 was a domestic American Airlines flight which was hijacked by Nikola Kavaja, a Serbian nationalist and anti-communist, on June 20, 1979. During the hijacking Kavaja demanded and received another airplane with the intent of crashing it into the headquarters of the Yugoslav Communist Party.

Nikola Kavaja was one of six Serbs convicted in May 1979 for the November 1975 bombing of the Yugoslav consul’s home in Chicago (He later claimed to have also tried to assassinate Tito with a rifle in Catoctin Mountain Park, Maryland during the Yugoslav Marshall's 1971 visit to Camp David). On June 20, 1979, Kavaja, already released on bail, took over the Boeing 727 shortly before it landed in Chicago from New York by threatening the pilots with a homemade bomb. He demanded the release of Stojilko Kajevich, a Serbian Orthodox priest and accomplice in the consul home bombing who remained in jail. After letting the passengers and most of the crew members go, Kavaja forced what was left of the crew to fly back to New York, where he demanded a Boeing 707 to fly him to Ireland. At the direction of President Wallace, FCTB Special Anti-Hijack Units stormed the aircraft at this point, killing Kavaja and one of the crew.

June 23, 1979
In Sydney, Australia, New South Wales Premier Peter Coleman officially opens the Eastern Suburbs Railway. It operates as a shuttle between Central & Bondi Junction until full integration with the Illawarra Line in 1980.

French President Francois Mitterrand attempts to intervene and negotiate a cease fire by the Portuguese, but is rebuffed by Goncalves.

June 24, 1979
Bologna: founding of the Permanent Peoples' Tribunal, an international opinion tribunal, at the initiative of Senator Lelio Basso.

The MEK reaches an agreement with the PKK (Kurdistan Workers Party) to share operational facilities in the Kurdish areas of Iran and along the Iran-Iraq border.

June 25, 1979
Mons, Belgium: The NATO Supreme Allied Commander General Frederick C. Weyand USA is assassinated by the Red Army Faction terrorist organization. A land mine blew up under the bridge on which Weyand’s car was traveling, killing the General and two of the three bodyguards in a following car (the third was seriously wounded).

As a result of this action the United States put further pressure on the Kohl Government to take a harder line against the terrorist networks operating in Germany. (Something the Kohl government was doing anyway, but the murder of a high profile American General helped to galvanize some political support). RAF member Rolf Clemens Wagner was assassinated in October 1979 (it was believed by U.S. Special Forces in retaliation for this attack).

General Henry E. “Gunslinger” Emerson, the hero of Vietnam, replaces Weyand as NATO Supreme Allied Commander.

June 28, 1979
The unmanned Progress 7 rocket is launched to bring more supplies and equipment to Salyut 6.

The Spanish Air Force briefly obtains air superiority thanks to the support from the United States, however this is soon countered by supplies of SAMs and other anti-aircraft weapons from the Soviet Union.

July 1, 1979
Sweden outlaws corporal punishment in the home.

The Mandarin Restaurant chain begins operation in Brampton, Ontario.

The Sony Walkman goes on sale for the first time in Japan.

July 8, 1979
Los Angeles passes its gay and lesbian civil rights bill.

July 9, 1979
A car bomb destroys a Renault owned by Nazi hunters Serge and Beate Klarsfeld at their home in France. A note purportedly from ODESSA claims responsibility.

The MEK opens a liaison office in Moscow. MEK guerrillas also receive training in the Soviet Union and North Korea.

July 11, 1979
NASA's first orbiting space station Skylab A begins its return to Earth, after being in orbit for 6 years and 2 months. Most of it burns up in the Earth’s atmosphere, however several pieces make impact in the Pacific Ocean.

The 1979 Garuda Fokker F28 crash occurred on 11 July 1979 when a Garuda Indonesia Fokker F28 airliner on a domestic flight in Indonesia from Sultan Mahmud Badaruddin II Airport, Palembang, to Polonia International Airport, Medan, struck Mount Sibayak at 5,560 feet (1,690 m) on approach to landing. There were no survivors.

July 12, 1979
Kiribati declares independence from the United Kingdom.

Carmine Galante, boss of New York City’s Bonanno Crime Family, was assassinated just as he finished eating lunch at Joe and Mary's Italian-American Restaurant in Bushwick, Brooklyn along with Leonard Coppola, a Bonanno capo and restaurant owner/cousin Giuseppe Turano, a family soldier. At 2:45 pm, three ski-masked men came into the restaurant and opened fire with shotguns and handguns. Cigar still clenched in his mouth, Galante was shot dead along with Coppola and Turano.
A fire at a hotel in Saragossa, Spain leaves 72 dead. This is the worst hotel fire in Europe in decades.

British Prime Minister Denis Healey criticised the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) after it had broadcast an interview with a member of the Irish National Liberation Army (INLA).

The U.S. uses its naval power to interdict the flow of construction material and resources into Iraq, Kuwait and Arabia in order to pressure Iraq into compliance.

July 14, 1979
Questioning of Director of Central Intelligence Dr. Fred Ickle – Harsha Committee

Paul Boutelle (SWP-NY): Did you know about the death squads operating in Nicaragua? And did you try to stop them?

Ickle: We were, of course, aware that this activity was going on, and on several occasions the Ambassador spoke to President Somoza about cutting it out. But we had no direct control or knowledge.

Boutelle: Did the President know?

Ickle: There was mention of some related activities in his briefings, but it was a minor point.

Boutelle: So Wallace knew Tacito was murdering thousands of his own people – the poor, the outcasts of his plantation – and yet our President did nothing. In fact, our President knew what was going on and signed-off on aid to the guy anyway? Is that what you are saying here?

Ickle: No, it’s what you’re saying, Congressman.

Chairman (Rep. Bill Harsha (R-OH)): I don’t think this is getting us to the point...

Boutelle: The Hell it isn’t! Man, this is the point. Wallace helped this monster kill thousands, and now he’ll kill thousands more, and they call it a minor point? Hell, we need to impeach George Wallace for ten thousand murders.

Chairman: That’s enough, Mr. Boutelle! This is not a...

Boutelle: Not a what? Courtroom? It’s exactly that. Its where we call them to account for the results of their policies. Look at what they’re doin’ to the people of Portugal. We should be asking how much money they’re pouring into fascist Spain.

Chairman: Mr. Boutelle, you have been warned.

Ickle: Gentlemen, do I need to be here for this?
------------------------------

July 16, 1979
A coup attempt against Iraqi President Hassan al-Bakr fails. Mass arrests of a number of senior Ba’ath Party officials and Army officers follow.

July 17, 1979
Ian Paisley, then leader of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), interrupted the opening proceedings of the European parliament to protest that the Union flag was flying the wrong way up on the Parliament Buildings.

July 18, 1979
Ian Paisley, then leader of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), tried to interrupt Paddy Donegan, then Taoiseach (Irish Prime Minister) and President of the European Council, but was shouted down by other Members of the European Parliament (MEPs).

July 19, 1979
Maritza Sayalero of Venezuela wins the Miss Universe Pageant; the stage collapses after contestants and news photographers rush to her throne.

July 20, 1979
Vice President Saddam Hussein re-affirms his loyalty to President al-Bakr.

Sen. Howard Baker (R-TN) announces that he will seek the Republican Presidential nomination in 1980.

July 21, 1979
It was announced that Pope Pius XIII would pay a visit to Ireland on 29 September 1979. Ian Paisley, then leader of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), and the Orange Order warned that he should not visit Northern Ireland.

Gov. Donald Rumsfeld (R-IL) announces that he will seek the Republican Presidential nomination in 1980.


July 31, 1979
Dan-Air Flight 0034 was a fatal accident involving a Hawker Siddeley HS 748 series 1 turboprop aircraft operated by Dan Air Service Limited on an oil industry charter flight from Sumburgh Airport, Shetland Islands, to Aberdeen Airport. The crash, which occurred on 31 July 1979 50 m (160 ft) offshore following the aircraft's failure to take off, resulted in the aircraft's destruction and 17 deaths of 47 on board (15 of 44 passengers and both pilots).


August 1, 1979
An initiative by Senator Edward Kennedy and Governor Hugh Carey of New York to stop the sale of arms to the RUC by US manufacturers is undercut when the Wallace Administration green-lights the sale. The aim of Kennedy and Carey and other of their supporters had been to try to bring pressure on the British government to reach a settlement in the Northern Ireland conflict. President Wallace and Secretary of State Jackson however had sided with the British, who had placed the order for the RUC, and in so doing had continued the US official policy of not interfering with Britain’s policies in the conflict.


August 3, 1979
Dictator Francisco Macías Nguema of Equatorial Guinea is overthrown in a in a bloody coup d'état lead by Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo.

French troops are mobilized along the border between France and Spain to prevent incursions from Spain and to add extra protection to the land border. French air force jets no fly into border areas, keeping Spanish and Portuguese air force jets away from the French border.

August 4, 1979
Opening game of the American Football Bundesliga played between Frankfurter Löwen and Düsseldorf Panther, first-ever league game of American football in Germany.

The infamous “Bad Brother” operation begins in Khartoum, Sudan. A senior Iraqi General, Mushad al-Quami, tries to defect to the Americans, by entering the U.S. Embassy and asking to see the CIA station chief. While he waits, an American man approaches him, tells him to leave the Embassy, and meet him and his associates at another part of town.

General al-Quami leaves the Embassy, to the puzzlement of the local staff. He meets his CIA contacts at a food packing plant in Khartoum and agrees to spy for the United States inside the Iraqi regime.

What al-Quami doesn’t realize at the time is that the CIA officers who diverted him are in fact Israeli Mossad who have taken over the General as an agent in a “false flag” recruitment. The U.S. Embassy is not aware of what happened, so the brief encounter with al-Quami is never properly reported to the U.S. intelligence authorities.

The recruiter who sat down beside al-Quami in the Embassy waiting area and spoke with him briefly is a Mr. Walter Parton, a business man from Wilmington, Delaware who proceeds to his scheduled meeting with the Trade Counsel to discuss export opportunities – and thus not arousing suspicion at the time. (The real Walter Parton is tracked down years later in Wilmington and found to be truck driver whose identity was appropriated: most importantly the real Parton had never applied for a passport in his life).

The Israelis had been watching al-Quami, who was in Sudan supposedly on a military assistance mission, and had worked out that he was planning a discreet visit to the U.S. Embassy during his stay. Six Walter Parton type figures (three, including Parton, used U.S. identities, two used British identities and one used a Canadian identity) had appointments with assorted officials at the U.S. Embassy, so that the Israelis had coverage for intercepting al-Quami when he decided to drop in.

August 5, 1979
As the Spanish war bogs down into a stalemate, and the United States and Soviet Union continue to warily circle one another at sea, there are several risings by leftists in Spain. The Spanish government is now forced to deal with an insurrectional element that is starting an urban guerrilla war in its rear.

The Moroccan military destroys what is left of the Polisario Liberation Front in Mauritania.


Agnew On Point

“My friends, we are clearly at a moment of history, a defining moment for Christian civilization, one when we could permanently enshrine Western and Christian values as the first principles of this Earth. We have in our hands today the power to end the curse of Islam and its threat to western civilization forever. We could safeguard Israel and our nations vital strategic interests by instructing our great military to take Arabia and expel the unbelievers from the peninsula.

“For centuries the Mohammedans have sat atop the sea of oil and arrogated to themselves the right to determine the price of oil and hold the destiny of western enterprise – the very foundation of your job and well being – to their pleasure. Well, no more! Today we can act to place the single largest supply of oil on this planet under our wiser, more enlightened care, and throw the infidels and god haters from the sands of Arabia for good.

“What stands in the way of our fulfilling this glorious, God anointed destiny? What wishy-washy weakling would dare pass-up the opportunity to stand firm for western Christian values against the infidel?

“General Secretary Wallace, that’s who. He, who has the power, has elected to stand aside at this critical hour of civilization. General Secretary Wallace would rather bow before the Arab sword than take measures to ensure your energy security. General Secretary Wallace believes it is all right for you to pay three, even four dollars a gallon for gas when, with but one stroke of his pen, General Secretary Wallace could reduce the cost of gas to thirty or forty cents. Wouldn’t that help your family?

“Why doesn’t General Secretary Wallace act? Could it be that his show of extorting money from the oil companies was an act, and that he has been captured by the oil lobby? Could it be that Wallace is throwing you, your family, your well being and the future of Christian civilization under the bus in return for a fat check from the oil lobby, a check made out in the funds extorted from you every time you go to the pump.

“Could that be why General Secretary Wallace does not act?”
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------


August 6, 1979
Technicians at Thames Television go on strike following a long-running dispute.

An MEK taskforce successfully detonates three bombs at Iran’s Bandar Abbas oil processing facility, causing a fire and damaging Iran’s oil exporting capability.

Charles J. Wright, the Mayor of Davenport, Iowa, officially enters the 1980 Democratic Party Iowa caucuses. The event goes largely unnoticed at the time.

August 7, 1979
Eamon Ryan (32), a civilian in the Republic of Ireland, was shot dead by the IRB during a bank robbery in Strand Street, Tramore, County Waterford.

August 9, 1979
A nudist beach is established in Brighton, UK.

Raymond Washington, co-founder of the Crips street gang is killed in a drive-by shooting in Los Angeles (his killers were not identified).

August 10, 1979
Michael Jackson releases his first breakthrough album Off the Wall. It sells 7 million copies in the United States alone, making it a 7x platinum album.

The whole of the ITV network except the Channel Islands is affected by a technicians' strike for eleven weeks.

Pat Robertson announces that he will seek the Democratic nomination for President in 1980.

Robertson: “You see here my membership card in the West Virginia Democratic Party. Some of you may wonder why I choose to seek the Democratic nomination and not the Republican one. Well, to begin with, my father was a Democratic Senator from West Virginia for many years, and as the bible commands that we should honor our father, so I honor him in my choice of parties. Secondly, I find in the Democratic party a flock that has strayed furthest from the path of the righteous one and into the inequity of sin and division. So it is here, to those in greatest need of spiritual as well as temporal leadership, that I offer myself-up as leader and future President.”

August 11, 1979
The former Mauritanian province of Tiris al-Gharbiyya in Western Sahara is annexed by Morocco.

The 1979 Dniprodzerzhynsk mid-air collision occurred on 11 August 1979 when two Aeroflot Tupolev Tu-134s collided over the Ukrainian SSR, near Dniprodzerzhynsk. All aboard both aircraft were killed. The Head of Ukranian civil aviation was removed from his post and later shot over this incident.

Representatives from the Irish National Caucus paid a visit to Northern Ireland and said that the Caucus intended to make the conflict in the region a major issue during the 1980 US Presidential election.

Former Senator Strom Thurmond (R-SC) announces that he will seek the Republican Presidential nomination in 1980.

Thurmond: “Governor Reagan can’t win; he had his chance in seventy-six but couldn’t make it, and quite frankly, when his voice was needed most, he went soft on the true conservative values I will fight to bring to the White House.”

August 13, 1979
The two Soyuz 32 Cosmonauts return to Earth on the Soyuz 34 capsule. Their mission had lasted 175 days, a new endurance record surpassing the 139-day mission by the Soyuz 29 crew in 1978. Both Cosmonauts had some trouble speaking for a time after landing, Lyakhov lost 5.5 kg during the flight (Ryumin's weight was the same) and both experienced a 20 per cent reduction in lower leg volume. They recovered in seven days, several days faster than expected.

At the behest of his controllers, General al-Quami begins feeding disinformation about Saddam Hussein to Iraq’s Secret Police.

August 14, 1979
A freak storm during the Fastnet Race results in the death of 15 sailors.

August 18, 1979
President al-Gamsay of Egypt visits Moscow in order to solicit military assistance and aid. He also wants supplemental training by the KGB for his internal security forces.

August 22, 1979
Terence Boston, Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, rejected a proposal that Hugh Carey, then Governor of New York, should chair talks in New York between Boston and Patrick Cooney, then Irish Foreign Minister.

August 24, 1979
Former Gov. Ronald Reagan, the 1976 Republican presidential nominee, announces that he will seek the Republican Presidential nomination in 1980.

August 27, 1979
An effort to assassinate Earl Louis Mountbatten of Burma (the King’s uncle) by certain members of the IRB is foiled when the Irish Gardia intervene and defuse a bomb aboard Lord Mountbatten’s fishing boat. (Earl Mountbatten was in County Sligo in the Republic at the time). Apparently, the PIRA and Sinn Fein arranged the tip-off to the Irish police. In a latter statement the PIRA noted that “killing one royal didn’t do much good” and “killing a second will only hurt the people.” The PIRA statement also referred to the irresponsible action of “hot-heads” who “think with their rifles and bombs instead of their heads,” an obvious swipe at their break-away cadres who formed the IRB.

On the same day, the Warrenpoint ambush occurs: Irish Republican Brigade members attack a British convoy at Narrow Water, County Down, killing 18 British soldiers.

August 28, 1979
John Hardy (43), a Catholic civilian, was shot dead by the Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) at his home in Ashton Street, New Lodge, Belfast. The UVF later claim the murder is in retaliation for the attempt on Earl Mountbatten’s life.

August 29, 1979
A national referendum is held in which Ethiopian voters approve a new liberal constitution, promulgated by President Aman Mikael Andom to placate the United States.

British Prime Minister Denis Healey paid a visit to Northern Ireland to hold discussions on security.

The Vatican announced that Pope Pius XIII would, at his insistence, travel to Armagh, Northern Ireland during his forthcoming visit to Ireland on 30 September 1979.

August 30, 1979
As a part of Prime Minister Healey’s consultations a decision was taken by the British government to increase the size of the Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC) by 1,000 officers to 7,500. This reflected a continuation of the policy of 'Ulsterisation' or 'police primacy'. There was some continuing friction between the British Army (BA) and the RUC over this policy.

U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Rep. Trent Lott (R-MS) announces that he has established an exploratory committee for a possible run for the Republican Presidential nomination in 1980.

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Last edited:
’79 - Hell of a Year II

September 1, 1979
The U.S. Pioneer 11 becomes the first spacecraft to visit Saturn, when it passes the planet at a distance of 21,000 km.

Religious and pro-government protestors conduct protests outside the Soviet Embassy in Tehran. They denounce the Soviet government for supporting the MEK.

Gerry Lennon (23), a Catholic civilian, was shot dead by Loyalist paramilitaries at his workplace on the Antrim Road, Belfast.

The Dauphin County, Pennsylvania District Attorney’s office begins looking into laying criminal charges against the operators of the Three Mile Island nuclear facility.

On orders from President Wallace two ballistic missile submarines are deployed on special duty. The USS Kamehameha (SSBN-642) takes up station in the Indian Ocean off the coast of the Arabian Peninsula. The USS Stonewall Jackson (SSBN-634) is deployed to the Atlantic waters off the coast of Portugal.

President Wallace (once the submarines have been deployed): “Now let Lisbon and Baghdad know who’s in the neighborhood.”

September 2, 1979
Anastasio Somoza Debayle is re-elected President of Nicaragua in an election that is widely regarded as fixed (he received 82% of the vote). His principal opponents were Violetta Chamorro (widow of Pedro Chamorro) and Francisco Urcuyo (the colourless speaker of the Nicaraguan Assembly and a Somoza stooge). The Chamorro forces cry foul over the results of the election, creating and international scandal.

September 3, 1979
Henry Corbett (27), a Catholic civilian, was shot dead by the Ulster Freedom Fighters (UFF), a cover name used by the Ulster Defence Association (UDA), at his home in Bawnmore Grove, Greencastle, Belfast.

(Labor Day 1979): A large crowd marches on the White House, demanding that President Wallace “liberate Arabia for Christian civilization and cheap oil.” One of the keynote speakers for this event is Spiro Agnew who addresses the protestors at a rally before the Lincoln Memorial.

These protestors clash with another large peace and jobs demonstration being lead through Washington by the Rev. Jesse Jackson and Ron Dellums.

September – October 1979
Large (and at times raucous – in clashes with police) peace protests fill the major cities of the world through the fall of 1979. Many of these protests also have an economic character as they are “peace and jobs” protests. In several American cities these protestors clash with conservative counter-protests that demand that the Wallace Administration invade Arabia and Portugal.

September 5, 1979
British Prime Minister Denis Healey and Irish Taoiseach Paddy Donegan meet in London to discuss security matters, especially as pertains to the forthcoming visit of the Pope.

A coup takes place in Italy. Elements of the Army and security services move to arrest the government. A junta is formed to govern the country lead by former General Vito Micelli, former Head of military intelligence; General Giuseppie Santovito, Head of Military intelligence; Admiral Giovanni Torrisi, Chief of the General Staff; General Pietro Musumeci, Deputy Head of Military Intelligence and Umberto Ortolani. All of them are members of the secret Masonic lodge known as Propaganda Due (P-2).

The majority of the Cabinet, including Prime Minister Berlinguer, are arrested at the Palazzo Chigi (official Prime Minister’s office and Cabinet meeting place) and held incommunicato in a military prison.

Soon after making its decleration of having assumed power at the Palazzo Chigi, the Junta goes to the Quirinal Palace to receive the President’s blessing. President Norberto Bobbio refuses to see them and orders his guards to arrest the Junta, which leads to a tense stand-off in the plaza in front of the Presidential palace.

President Bobbio manages to appear on television (the Junta have seized RAI broadcast facilties, but an intrepid BBC crew gets into the Quirinal Palace, where President Bobbio uses them to broadcast to the world).

President Bobbio : “This action is illegal, and as President of the Republic I do not recognize it, nor will I offer its leaders any form of legitimacy. I denounce these bandits and criminals and traitors; they have defiled their oath and their action stands against the very foundation of our democratic state. Only the people may chose a government through the ballot. Only criminals and traitors would use the gun to steal the nation. I call for the immediate release of the President of the Council and our Ministers. By my authority under the Constitution I declare for all the world that they are the only legitimate government of the Italian Republic.”

BBC: “What if they try to arrest you, sir? I mean, they could easily overwhelm your guard.”

President Bobbio: “I have instructed the guard not to fire; I will not see young patriots bloodied in a hopeless fight for my sake. If the traitors wish to arrest me, I am here, I await them. Should they arrest me, they will do further violence to the sanctity and law of our Republic – they will attack the very nation itself. If they do this, then they will stand before the world as the blackest of traitors, and I will not flinch before such scum. I will stand for the people and nation of Italy, I will stand for the law, as long as there is breath in my body. This is my duty as President, and my commitment as one who loves his nation and stands by our Constitution.”


The Harsha Committee recommends the impeachment of President George C. Wallace on the count of violating the law by order the armed forces of the United States to provide direct military assistance to the Somoza regime in direct violation of pertinent Congressional Acts prohibiting this activity.

September 6, 1979
Gov. Hugh Carey (D-NY) announces that he will challenge President George Wallace for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 1980. Many regard this as a pre-emptive challenge by party liberals to prevent Sen. Ted Kennedy from entering the race. Gov. Carey is regarded as “more electable” than Kennedy who, while a well-regarded standard bearer for the liberals, is seen as having too many liabilities in a knock down fight with President Wallace. In terms of personal styles, Gov. Carey is also seen as a better match for Wallace, and someone who can go head-to-head with either Baker, Reagan or Rumsfeld in the fall campaign.

Gov. Carey: “Challenging the President of our own party is always difficult, but there comes a moment when I, as a public servant, have to stand on principle over party considerations. Three years ago we supported then Governor Wallace on a promise of change and we believed a better future for all Americans who have been hit hard by these tough economic times. Over the last three years President Wallace has made a big show of doing that, but has done little to bring it about. Watching this President I have seen a re-emergence of a mean, hard-spirited George Wallace of old, a man who threatened to run over protestors and treat our most vulnerable citizens to a dose of tough love. I am not a fan of oil corporations, but neither am I a fan of using public office for extortion, which seems to be the only answer President Wallace has for these tough economic times. What is more, instead of addressing our urgent domestic needs, President Wallace has chosen to squander our precious resources on an illegal war to prop-up a ruthless dictator in Nicaragua, and to underwrite foreign causes which are of little concern or value to the American taxpayer. This is not the President Wallace who in his inaugural address promised us a new way, a change from the era of lavish American investment in foreign adventures that we can no longer afford. The heart and soul of the Democratic Party, and all Americans, are with the welfare and betterment of our citizens, and with the development of this nation as a peaceful beacon of democracy and human rights in the world. For this reason, to promote these values, to bring the Democratic Party back to the job of healing our nation in times of adversity, as the great President Franklin Roosevelt once did with the New Deal, for this reason I announce that I will seek the nomination of the Democratic Party for the Presidency of the United States.”


President Mitterrand: “France denounces this unlawful act against a peaceful and democratic partner nation. All of the French nation stand with President Bobbio and the Italian people in their call for the so-called Junta to stop this madness and release Prime Minister Berlinguer and his cabinet at once. Our government stands ready to assist the government of the Italian Republic, should President Bobbio or the Prime Minister request our aid. I have directed our Ambassador in Rome to proceed with dispatch to the residence of the Italian President, there to communicate our support and to stand with President Bobbio in support of constitutional and democratic government. And let all be warned, should anyone interfere with our Ambassador in this, France will regard such action in the gravest possible terms.”

Foreign Secretary Callaghan: “This is a foolish act, and one which cannot stand. Great Britain will not recognize this so-called emergency government made-up of conspirators under any circumstances. We call for the immediate return of the properly elected Constitutional authorities to their offices. Further, Cabinet has also directed that our Ambassador, Sir. John Littney, proceed with all speed to the Quirinal Palace, there to stand with President Bobbio and the Italian people in a show of solidarity for the right of democratic government to stand against those who would usurp proper, legal authority.”

Secretary of State Jackson: “The United States condemns this action without reservation or qualification. This is nothing but an attempt by an armed few to take-over a Constitutional, elected government, and the United States stands opposed to this kind of action. We fully support President Bobbio and his efforts to restore lawful order in Italy. On behalf of President Wallace I call on the leaders of this unlawful coup to release Prime Minister Berlinguer and his Cabinet unharmed, and restore them to their rightful place as the elected government of Italy. The President has instructed Ambassador Gardner to call on President Bobbio at his official residence as soon as possible, and there to express the solidarity of the United States with his call for Constitutional government, and to stand with President Bobbio and the Italian people in this hour of peril.”

By nightfall of the first day there are thirty-six foreign Ambassadors encamped at the Quirinal Palace, they include the Ambassadors or Ministers of The United States, the United Kingdom, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, the Federal Republic of Germany, Austria, Luxembourg, Lichtenstein, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Argentina, the Republic of Vietnam, Singapore, Israel, Ireland, India, Costa Rica, Mexico, Colombia, Peru, Nigeria and – adding a bizarre note of solidarity to the situation – the Ambassadors from the Soviet Union, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Bulgaria, Poland, the German Democratic Republic, Cuba and the Democratic Progressive Republic of Portugal are present.

Of the major democratic countries, only Japan refuses to participate. The Ambassadors from Brazil, Egypt, South Korea, Libya, Algeria and the Philippines are politely thanked by President Bobbio but sent away, because they represent largely military regimes. Spain is also conspicuously absent from those countries offering support to the President.

With the Ambassadors arrives further international press coverage.

September 7, 1979
The Entertainment Sports Programming Network, known as ESPN, debuts.

South Korean General Chun Doo Hwan attempts to stage a coup against President Kim Jong-pil’s government, but the coup fails when President Kim rallies support from politicians and other elements of the South Korean Army opposed to General Chun. General Chun and a number of his co-conspirators are arrested. President Kim then announces that he will step down at the end of his term in September 1981, after elections are to be held. After the coup a revised South Korean Constitution is promulgated limiting the President to one six year elected term. The President is to be chosen by a popular vote of the people, but the election must be confirmed by a majority vote of the parliament.

Iraqi Vice President Saddam Hussein relieved of his state offices and placed under arrest by President al-Bakr. He is accused of conspiring with Israel and the United States in an attempt to turn Arabia and Kuwait over to them. The President’s eldest son, Haytham Al-Bakr, a Baghdad lawyer, is sent to replace Saddam as governor of Arabia. Meanwhile General Abdul Mashid, an al-Bakr loyalist, is named governor of Kuwait.

James Molyneaux succeeded Harry West and became the leader of the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP).

An attempted rally by PCI supporters in Rome is put down by military authorities using tear gas and rubber bullets.

General Orazio Giannini, commander of the Guardia di Finanza, and a P-2 member, refuses to participate in the coup and indicates that his Financial Guards force will not help either. This is the first sign of a crack in the solidarity of the coup plotters.

Pietro Longo, secretary of the Italian Democratic Socialist Party (PSDI), and a member of P-2, denounces the coup.

Pope Pius XIII denounces the Italian coup and calls for a restoration of the elected government.

September 8, 1979
Word of the Stewart-Sinn Fein talks at Rambouillet begins to leak in the British media, drawing fire from Ian Paisley, Airey Neave, Enoch Powell and others who oppose talking to the paramilitaries or those politically linked to them.

A second rally and march on the Palazzo Chigi is organized by a broad spectrum of PCI supporters, members of other parties and the trade unions. Agostino Cardinal Casaroli, the Vatican Secretary of State and most senior Italian official, agrees to join the march. (The Pope had expressed a desire to do this, but was persuaded not to because he was a Portuguese national rather than an Italian: it was felt an Italian Cardinal leading the procession would have greater impact).

Nonetheless, Pope Pius XIII addresses the crowd as it gathers outside of the walls of the Vatican to encourage a peaceful restoration of the government.

Fearful of a reaction, the coup plotters do not interfere with the protest.

The second protest on the Palazzo Chigi causes the Junta to withdraw its offices to the Ministry of Defence. At the end of the second march (which ends at the Quirinal Palace) President Bobbio (without bodyguards) appears before the crowd and makes a defiant speech denouncing the coup and upholding the Republic. He is cheered by the crowd and personally blessed by Cardinal Cassaroli.

Events in Rome are broadcast by Eastern Bloc media as an example of the failure of western style democracy and in solidarity with the PCI government. The images of popular protest however inspire other ideas not intended by the Soviet and East Bloc authorities.

The Catalan region of North Eastern Spain declares its independence from Spain. The Soviet Union immediately recognizes the new Catalan government.

September 9, 1979
The long-running comic strip For Better or For Worse begins its run.

Pope Pius XIII, in his capacity as the Bishop of Rome, begins talks with the Junta in an effort to get them to surrender. The Junta are reportedly deeply divided as a result of the national and international reaction to their coup.

A third march in Rome, this time on the Ministry of Defence.

Against the advice of his security experts, President Mitterrand of France files into Rome and makes a visit to President Bobbio at the Quirinal Palace.

Heeding a request from the Pope, the Chief of Police of Rome announces that his men will not fire on protestors.

September 10, 1979
President Agostinho Neto of Angola (MPLA) died in a hospital in Moscow, while undergoing surgery for cancer, shortly before his 57th birthday. Jose Eduardo dos Santos succeeded him as President.


On the fourth day the coup collapses. Prime Minister Berlinguer and his Cabinet are released when a detachment of Italian police loyal to the President march up to the front gate of the prison where they are being held with a court order signed by a magistrate ordering their release to the custody of the President of the Republic. The Governor of the prison, after some hesitation, decides to release the Cabinet to the police.

In a moment of solidarity Prime Minister Berlinguer and President Bobbio embrace in a public gesture in front of the Quirinal Palace. The Prime Minister calls the President Bobbio a hero of the Italian people, and promises “there will be no vengeance, only justice” and that “Constitutional government has been restored by the valliant people of Italy who would not bow down before these usurpers of the people’s rights.” Berlinguer also thanks the foreign governments that supported them in the crunch.

Of the coup plotters and supporters Umberto Ortolani, Gusieppe Santovito, Giovanni Torrini and Silvio Berlusconi are arrested. Vito Micelli flees to Spain, where he finds that he is not particularly welcome: the Spanish deport him back to Italy in November. Pietro Musumeci disappears for a time, his whereabouts being a mystery for over a year, before he is located in Chile, where the government gives him asylum. Other supporters and enablers of the coup are also arrested or flee Italy to other countries (usually under assumed identities). Roberto Calvi, one of the main bankers of P-2 is also arrested, while the mysterious head of the order, Licio Gelli, disappears and becomes an international fugitive. (Calvi and Gelli were in the background during the Junta’s activities).

In the United States, Attorney General Bayh initiates a legal inquiry to determine if Spiro Agnew’s speaking tour prior to the coup constituted material support for the Italian coup, and if so, can the former President be charged under the Neutrality Act (or be deported to Italy if the Italians want to charge him).

With Saddam Hussein relieved of his state offices and the Iraqi controlled Arabia ringed with U.S. forces, and the Saudi revolutionaries hold-up in the desert among sympathetic tribes, Washington brings new pressure on Baghdad to end its occupation of Arabia.


September 12, 1979
Hurricane Frederic makes landfall at 10:00 p.m. on Alabama's Gulf Coast.

Reports come out of Egypt that the government has put down an attempted coup by extremists in the officer corps with links to the Muslim Brotherhood.

Inspired by the Pope, who is the former Bishop of Lisbon, and rumors of what has just occurred in Italy, there are a number of anti-regime and anti-war demonstrations in Lisbon, which are put down by force.

September 16, 1979
Two families flee from East Germany by balloon.

Yuri Andropov (Official Statement): “The Soviet people stand by the revolutionary cause of the Portuguese proletariat and support their struggle against the fascist oppressors who have conspired to destroy the Portuguese people’s just revolution against their capitalist-imperialist oppressors. The Soviet people do not seek war, but neither will they stand by while their Portuguese comrades are oppressed by the forces of imperialistic-capitalist counter revolution. The free and democratic Soviet working people stand in solidarity with their Portuguese comrades, and will stand by the patriotic Soviet forces who work to support and defend the Portuguese revolution.
The United States and its imperialist-capitalist lackeys claim that they are using force in an effort to preserve international order and accuse us, the Soviet and Portuguese proletariat, of endangering the world peace. To this we say, no, it is you who endanger the world peace with your bluster and counter-revolutionary arrogance. You fear the spirit of revolution, and the solidarity of the international proletariat against your Wall Street oppression, and so you send your Navies and Marines as enforcers to prop-up the fascist order in order to silence the voice of the revolution and oppress the working people. This we cannot allow.”

September 17, 1979
The Italian Parliament is dissolved and new elections are called for October 14. The Prime Minister believes that he needs a new mandate from the people before taking any political actions as a result of the coup. Berlinguer is popular and it is widely believed that his government will be returned to office. He also wants the mandate to clear the air over the Credolo scandal which started the matter; but he needs the people to endorse his judgment in keeping on his Defence Minister etc.

September 18, 1979
A US Navy F-14 and a Soviet operated Yak 40 being used as a reconnaissance aircraft collide over the Atlantic off the coast of Portugal. Two American personnel and nine Russians and three Portuguese nationals are killed. The situation leads to a tense few hours as both sides bluster about who is at fault, before backing away from open hostilities.

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U.S. Strategic Forces at DEFCON 3 – Medium Readiness.
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From Newt Gingrich ---- The Wallace Non-DoctrineForeign Affairs – February 1996

To call George Wallace’s approach to the Arabian Crisis of 1979 the “Wallace Doctrine” – as some historians have in their reckless zeal to affix a greater vision to Wallace’s incremental groping in the dark – would be to distort the level of thinking that was going on in the Administration as events unfolded in 1979.

What is clear is that Wallace, ignoring Paul Nitze’s advice to intervene directly (and putting paid to the notion that Nitze somehow pulled the President’s strings on foreign policy), paid head to Secretary of State Henry Jackson and decided that American interests could best be served by squeezing Iraq rather than initiating a direct military confrontation. Sending General Haig and a sizeable military contingent, including three carrier groups, to the region was more of a PR exercise to boost morale in the critical border states of Oman, the Gulf Kingdoms and North Yemen. The presence of American troops made it clear to Baghdad and Moscow that the line was going to be drawn around the periphery of the Arabian peninsula and that no further military adventuring by Iraqi President al-Bakr’s rebel nephew Saddam Hussein was going to be permitted.

Moscow took note of this point and while the Soviet Navy tweaked the American nose from time-to-time – if only to prove that the Soviet Union was a global power – they never seriously challenged the American deployment. With Iraq as their only substantial ally in the region (even though they were re-building relations with a post-Sadat Egypt at the same time) the Soviet Union had limited recourse to challenge the United States as directly as they did in the Iberian War Crisis in the Atlantic, where they had more at stake and more cards to play. In fact, apart from Iraq, the Soviets could count on only South Yemen and Somalia – neither of which could be classified as substantial military powers – and the U.S. backed coup in Somalia in September deprived them of even that limited ally.

While Paul Nitze favoured a more direct military confrontation with the Iraqis to drive them out of what had been Saudi Arabia, Henry Jackson and Treasury Secretary Stephen McNichols (more in his capacity as the former Energy Secretary) persuaded the President to take a more graduated approach. The President himself was more inclined to a negotiated settlement, using Kuwait as a trading chip for Arabia (an approach that disturbed the British). As he was noted as saying at the time, “I don’t want to send American boys to fight for sand: I am not goin’ down LBJ’s road on this.” The Jackson-McNichols plan that was adopted – and which some want to call the “Wallace Doctrine” – was to squeeze Iraq through a series of sanctions and controls on their oil export capability. All the while the U.S. assisted in the development of a post-OPEC association among Iran, Venezuela, Nigeria and Mexico. These four producers, joined by increasing North Sea output from Great Britain and exports from Alberta in Canada, gladly helped to fill the gap and demonstrated to the Iraqis the limited potential of Arabia, whose oil infrastructure had been completely destroyed at this point and would require serious investment to rebuild. Without engaging direct American military force in a combat role, over time the Administration was able to persuade the Iraqis to relinquish their hold on Arabia.

But this took time, and so it appeared to some that the Wallace Administration was vacillating over a serious breach of international order, especially as Iraq’s occupation of Arabia dragged on through 1979. As the late Henry Jackson often pointed out, and as Stephen McNichols continues to do, their slow-motion approach achieved a number of goals. These were:

1) The Iraqis and not the United States bore the brunt of fighting the Islamic Revolutionaries who had overthrown the Saudi monarchy. U.S. public opinion (and much less that of our principle European allies) was unwilling to countenance another Syria, especially not while U.S. troops were still required there to prop-up the post-Ba’athist regime. The Iraqis fought the so-called Caliphate in Arabia, which was contained as an Arab Civil War, and made it harder for other fanatics to characterise what was going on as a crusade by the infidel west against Islam’s holy places (although some like Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood and the PJO in Mali tried to characterize what was going on as just that).

2) OPEC was buried once and for all and the foundations for a post-OPEC system that was friendlier to the West were lain, largely through diplomacy that went unnoticed at the time.

3) The Soviet Union was peripheralized in the Arabian area and in the horn of Africa. The U.S. deliberately placed troops into Ethiopia and nurtured a coup in Somalia not just in regard to the Arabian crisis, but also with a wider view to reducing the Soviets reach in that strategic area. In this they succeeded.

4) The domestic U.S. oil production industry was given another shot in the arm during this period. This was going to prove vital in bringing back the U.S. economy.

5) During the crisis the United States, the United Arab Emirates and Oman agreed to build a pipeline across Oman and by-passing the Strait of Hormuz. This gave Oman a vital oil terminal on its Indian Ocean coast, greatly increasing Oman’s regional significance: this was important as the Sultan was a close U.S. ally. This also reduced the strategic vulnerability of the Strait of Hormuz as a choke point for oil supplies in a future crisis.

6) The Iraqis were forced to concede that no amount of help from the Soviets or the French could allow them to become a regional power, not without dealing directly with the United States and Iran. The Arabian crisis and its aftermath were thus to have a significant impact on Iraq’s political and strategic thinking.

7] The United States began to encourage Kurdish autonomy in Northern Iraq, although this was a delicate process with respect to Iran and Turkey, and had to be done quite covertly. The main issue was to use the Kurds as a control over Iraq’s northern land borders.

Detractors often note that an independent Kuwait was thrown under the bus in this process, a point which would continue to rankle the British policy makers for some years to come. Jackson and McNichols both argued that Kuwaiti sovereignty was an acceptable price to pay, and that the U.S. military commitment to the other Gulf states had assured them that they would not be treated in a similar manner. Still, and this is the point they like to gloss over, the roughshod treatment of Kuwait did foster a notion that the U.S. regarded the smaller petro states as little more than poker chips to be traded, and the Iraqis, as well as the Iranians, took this message away as well, which would cause future trouble.

What happened in the Arabian crisis could not be considered a “Wallace Doctrine” because it had no broader application other than the circumstances of this crisis; and in the case of Kuwait created an opening for future difficulty. Other instances of aggression could not be this easily managed, and other breaches of the international order – such as what occurred in China over the next decade, or indeed even in the Iberian War Crisis that unfolded at the same time as this crisis – could not be fit neatly into a formula where a little rational pressure and time could achieve a desired result.

And finally it was Jackson and McNichols who would prove to be the strategic players in this. President George Wallace, it has to be noted, was a very sick man whom we now know was in deteriorating health throughout the multiple crises which challenged him in 1979. This was not publicly known at the time, but it that knowledge subsequently leads us to re-examine who the principle players were and what lessons we can draw from the Arabian crisis of 1979.
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From Anatoli Dobrynin – Memoirs

Andropov was of the opinion that the Arabian situation was an Iraqi problem. Al-Bakr had made his mess, he could deal with the problems. Our Navy was sent merely to reinforce our position as a first rank power, there was never any consideration that we would fight the Americans just to save Arab face.

The Portuguese affair was a different matter. As the General Secretary’s statements of the period made quite clear, Andropov and the rest of the Politburo considered this to be a question of Revolutionary solidarity. The fascist regime in Spain – which after all had consorted with Hitler and sent troops to fight us in 1941 – was conspiring to reverse the Portuguese Revolution, and this we would not allow, anymore than counter-revolutionary forces had been allowed to undermine Communist regimes in East Germany, Hungary of Czechoslovakia. Portugal’s Revolutionary regime, like Cuba’s, had fought its own way into power, and that made it an even more valuable example of the viability and enduring nature of Communist ideology, which so many argued had been killed by Stalin. Andropov was determined not to let Portugal to succumb to imperialist conspiracy, because to do so would send a message to all other revolutionary regimes that the Soviet Union was not a reliable partner.

Of course, the recent demise of Suslov had a hand in this too. Many had found the timing of Suslov’s death to be convenient, and there were many who ready to spread scurrilous rumours about Andropov and the KGB having taken a hand in rushing the former General Secretary into the grave. From a political standpoint Andropov now had to prove that he was a more committed Communist than Suslov, if only to persuade the Suslov adherents of his own fitness to lead the Party and the nation. For better or worse, the Portuguese revolutionary struggle with Fascist Spain came along at just the time when Andropov needed to prove his ideological credentials, and so it became a testing ground for his fitness to lead. That was a most unfortunate circumstance.
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September 19, 1979
An MEK guerrilla successfully fires an anti-tank rocket into the U.S. Embassy compound in Tehran, detonating the fuel tank on a delivery truck and killing three U.S. Marines on guard duty.

Kevin Lynch (23), the INLA gunman captured at the scene of the assassination of Queen Elizabeth II on June 12, 1976, has since been convicted and sentenced to death under the Prevention of Terrorism Act (1974). A date for his execution has not been set yet because the mechanism for carrying through a death sentence was not put in place by the Heath Conservative government which pushed the bill through parliament. The Healey Labour government, which now bears the responsibility of carrying through the sentence has been slow to act out of a lack of enthusiasm over the matter.

Meanwhile Lynch has filed an appeal with the European Court of Human Rights citing his detention and sentencing in Britain as cruel and unusual punishment. On September 19, 1979 the Court upholds that contention and issues an order for the British government to vacate the original conviction and sentence.

This places the Healey government, which has no political commitment to the death sentence, in the awkward position of having to defend it, and resist the ECHR ruling on grounds it does not ideologically believe in.

Enoch Powell (MP – UU (South Down): “Who are these European judges to render any verdict on British Justice? From what place do they come? What law do they represent? Who are they to call us unjust before the awful legacy of their history and their tradition? In this land we have had law and justice for nine-hundred years, while their continent has bowed to the caprice of absolute monarchs, the vanity of power mad tyrants and the bloody madness of revolutions. Britain has suffered none of these, and stood against them from Europe, yet now they call our practices “barbaric?” Where was their sanctimonious condemnation when this man – if you care to call him that for I see little of a man in this cowardly villain – when this cur plotted in low places to murder our beloved sovereign, and struck her down with a blood thirsty disregard of not only the law, but of civilized behaviour? How dare these Europeans say we are barbarians, when their hypocrisy in this mocks the very foundations of civilization?

Now, it is well known that I oppose the death penalty, and in discussing this case I feel no greater conflict than between that high principle and my utter revulsion that such a low beast as this should be allowed to draw breath after so vile an act as his. I cannot in good conscience call for his death; as I have not done so in this House to date, I will not do so now. But I must demand of this government that – especially in this case, where the crime was against the crown, the very heart of the sovereignty of Britain – I must demand that this government stand-up to these European interlopers and say without hesitation – no and be gone! And if to do this we must cut our ties to this so-called European Community, which increasingly takes on the character of a European Empire – or perhaps, by stealth a European Soviet – then I say cut the chord and be done with it!”

Airey Neave (MP – Cons. (Abingdon)): “I share Mr. Powell’s outrage at the arrogance of this decision, and his contempt for those who made it. However, I do not share his qualms on the central subject. I say to this government, show some backbone – if you’ve got it. Answer the European court just so: hang the bastard!”

(Mr. Neave was later cited by the Speaker for his use of un-parliamentary language, for which he apologized).

Cledwyn Hughes (Home Secretary): “This government will consider all aspects of this matter with care; but you can be assured that we will not flinch on the issue of British legal sovereignty, particularly where the crime in question was the murder of our late, beloved Sovereign, and the crime so horrendous an attack on our nation.”

Neave: “Don’t flinch - hang him! And hang the Damn Eurocrats behind the judgement if they dare show their faces here!”

Powell: “Recently, one hears more and more of an agreement being made at a Baronial castle in France, an agreement to “co-exist” with the terrorists who call themselves “republican” or “nationalist,” but are more fit for names I shall not utter in respect of this House. One hears from leaks to the press that Michael Stewart, once the Foreign Secretary, has met with criminals at this Rambouillet palace, this Versailles for French Presidents, that Mr. Stewart has met with men with British blood on their hands, men whose lives are mired in the murderous violence of the paramilitaries, and that he has come close to an agreement with these low characters. Not a Versailles, not a victory of law and order, but a new Munich, a covenant with evil that lays Britain bare and gives licence to the lawless? Can it be true that the British lion has lain down before the paramilitary and surrendered our law to the bloodied hands of terror?”

Denis Healey (Prime Minister): “This government, like its predecessor, has been engaged in all possible initiatives to bring about a resolution of the bloodletting in Ireland. We have, contrary to the hysterical and utterly irresponsible characterizations made by some, dealt with paramilitaries from a position of strength, a strength that comes from being the side of law and order. Any agreement Mr. Stewart may have considered has been with the utmost understanding that the other side will lay down its arms and respect the law. Any understanding otherwise is false. Any thought of an agreement otherwise, is mistaken. We do not seek a peace for our time, we are demanding a peace that respects law and justice and the rights of all citizens for all time.”

Neave: “Hog wash! Surrender is surrender, no matter how you dress it up!”

Powell: “I shudder when I hear of governments making peace for all time, or any time, with those who understand only the way of violence. I shudder, because when I hear those words, I know bloodshed will follow. I pray to God that I am wrong, but know in my heart I am right, and I cry for all the innocent blood that will be shed as a result of this capitulation to violence and anarchy. Let no one in this government doubt for a moment that they bear that blood on their hands, and the responsibility on their head, for surely we will see more, not less, violence if we give in to these brutes.”


September 22, 1979
In Somalia General Mohamed Ali Farrah Aidid overthrows pro-Soviet dictator Mohammed Siad Barre in a coup. President Aidid has the backing of the CIA (which helped with his coup) and he in turn allows US Forces to be based in Somalia, depriving the Soviets of a basing facilities in the region.

The South Atlantic Flash is observed near Bouvet Island, thought to be a nuclear weapons test. Although official U.S. government reports would later attribute this to a faulty sensor on a Vela Hotel observation and spy satellite, sources in South Africa would confirm that this was the result of a South African test of a nuclear weapon. (South Africa it should be noted was covertly supplying uranium to Israel, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea at this time).

A Muslim brother sets himself on fire in Tahrir Square in Cairo to protest the military government.

September 24, 1979
The Board of Governors of the United States Federal Reserve vote down a proposal to change from an interest rate target policy to a money supply target policy.


September, 25, 1979
Robin Day presents the first edition of the debate programme Question Time on BBC 1.

September 26, 1979
After three weeks of debate and procedure delays, the House of Representatives votes 251 – 184 to uphold the article of impeachment against President George C. Wallace and refer the matter to the Senate for trial. More than a few pundits quip that Trent Lott is already selecting the new drapes for the Oval Office.


From the Diary of Bill Nichols

I tried to encourage the President with the observation that the Senate was unlikely to convict on so weak a case. Lott had leaned on Harsha, who had leaned on his committee members, to get the impeachment vote, not out of principle, but just so that he could get a leg-up on the other Republicans in reaching the Presidency. Texas’ Ron Paul, the quasi-libertarian and all-around loose cannon, who generally disagreed with the Nicaragua policy and felt the President should be impeached, nevertheless called the pressure on the committee to vote for impeachment by the House Republican leadership “Gestapo-like” in its intensity.

“Bring it on,” the President growled in reply. “They take this to the Senate floor and I’ll make monkeys out o’ all of ‘em.”

In the meantime we launched our ad campaign. We had corralled a number of celebrities – many of them Democrats but not Wallace supporters - to do television spots for us condemning the Republicans in the House for, as we called it, “endangering Constitutional government” by not letting the House vote on Dick Lamm’s nomination. Lott, still a little green around the ears, was behaving like a power-hungry fool, and we were going to nail him for it.
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September 27, 1979
Angolan government (MPLA) forces attack into Southern Zaire, ostensibly to attack UNITA bases. In fact they are stirring-up local resistance movements in an effort to further destabilize the Zairean regime.

Oval Office Tape – September 28, 1979

Paul Nitze (National Security Advisor): Mr. President, we have proof that the Russians are escalating the present crisis, broadening it.

President: What do you mean?

Nitze: Show him.

National Reconnaissance Office Briefing Officer (Identity Classified): Mr. President, these photos were taken early this morning by our Keyhole satellite watching the Mariel Naval facility in Cuba. They were reconfirmed by a reconnaissance pass over Mariel by one of our SR-71’s.

President: Looks like a submarine.

NRO(BO): Our Navy experts have positively identified it as a Delta III ballistic missile submarine.

Nitze: Sixteen submarine launched ballistic missiles, God knows how many warheads, all within five minutes striking distance of the Continental United States.

President: What the hell are they playing at?

Nitze: A warning over Portugal, maybe the Middle East, warning us they can escalate at any time.

NRO(BO): Sir, our analysts believe that they could have sailed her in at any time underwater and been less conspicuous. Instead they surfaced her at sea and sailed the sub into Mariel out in the open.

President: They want us to know that they’re there.

Nitze: As a warning: Andropov is flexing his muscles.

President: I’d have thought that Portugal was more than enough flexin’. What the hell are those Red bastards playin’ at?

Nitze: You may go.

The NRO(BO) leaves the Oval Office.

Nitze: We’d better pray this doesn’t leak to Congress, or we’ll have a firestorm up there.

President: Like we don’t now? All Castro has to do is publish one photo in his papers and it’ll be all over Miami in ten minutes, and three minutes later I’ll have half the Florida delegation on the phone demanding we bomb the place. Christ!

Nitze: That stunt back in February didn’t help. This will only add to that as proof of Soviet hostile intent.

President: You were trying to gin-up some anti-Castro, let’s nail Cuba feelin’ with that fake MIG crash in Texas. Texas – Hell, you might as well throw a lit match on dry hay.

Nitze: That’s done now. Now we have to deal with this.

President: Well I sure as hell ain’t gonna hole-up in here and have me a missile crisis.

Nitze: You don’t have that luxury, not with Arabia and Portugal – at least JFK didn’t have another shooting war at the time.

President: Son of a bitch!

Nitze: This makes it impossible for you to trade Kuwait to the Iraqis for Arabia.

President: What’s one got to do with the other?

Nitze: You give al-Bakr Kuwait just to get the oil fields, you’ll open yourself up to even more trades, and Andropov has got more than just oil fields to hold to your head.

President: Our heads!

Nitze: Yes, our heads.
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September 29, 1979
Pope Pius XIII visited Drogheda, County Louth, Republic of Ireland. The Pope spoke to an estimated crowd of 250,000 people and appealed for an end to violence in Northern Ireland, "On my knees I beg of you to turn away from the paths of violence and to return to the ways of peace.” To underscore his point, the Pope excommunicated fourteen of the worst offenders (in terms of violence against civilians).

The Pope visits the retreat in Demagore where on September 16, 1975 six friars were killed in a raid by British forces who mistakenly believed the place to be a PIRA safe house. The Pope conducts a mass for the souls of the “martyred” friars.

Enoch Powell (MP – UU (South Down): “It’s a damned provocation by the head of the Roman Church. How dare he?”

Ian Paisley and some 8,000 Loyalist protestors march through Armagh, Northern Ireland to protest the Pope’s Mass to be held the next day, Sunday September 30. Violence erupts as Loyalist supporters clash with Roman Catholic supporters.

September 30, 1979
The Hong Kong MTR begins service with the opening of its Modified Initial System (aka Kwun Tong Line).

Ian Paisley and a number of Loyalists are stopped by British troops from marching against the Pope in Armagh. When Paisley tries to march through the line of troops and police he is arrested and detained until October 2.

Pope Pius XIII conducts an open air mass in Armagh, Northern Ireland amidst very right security (ironically both the PIRA and its militant wing the IRB provide “unofficial security” from the Roman Catholic side. The real concern is an action by the INLA or by Loyalist paramilitaries).

October 1, 1979
The Vela Hotel satellite observes a second flash off of the South African coast. The National Reconnaissance office concludes that this is a second nuclear test by the South Africans.

Nigeria terminates military rule. The Second Nigerian Republic is declared.

The USS Henry B. Wilson (DDG-7) has a close encounter with two Soviet destroyers, the Ochakov and the Azov as they attempt to transit into the Persian Gulf. The Wilson manages to compel the Soviet destroyers to reverse course without firing.

King George VII: “Of course I am still grieved by my Mother’s murder; who would not feel bitter emotion and recrimination at such an offence. As I have said, most recently to Senator Kennedy, I understand how the victims of crime feel when one of their loved ones is taken from them in a violent manner. I know the terrible, burning rage, the feeling that all one wants is revenge – an eye-for-an-eye sense that comes almost as second nature. In our conversation Senator Kennedy and I shared our understanding of that feeling, one he has borne many more times than I in his life. But equally, we must rise above our feelings, above the pettiness of what the Americans call a gut reaction. An eye-for-an-eye is a prescription for a society that will quickly become blind. So, I cannot help but find promise in the idea that we are talking with the other side in this long conflict, not because we embrace the path of violence, but rather we must have the courage to bring it to an end, and in a way that leaves us not blind, but in a position to bind up our wounds, to give due reverence to the past and to grieve our losses, but also the chance to move on to the future.”

Enoch Powell: “Disgusting. “

Airey Neave: “Had they succeeded in killing me, and if my son had said that about me, had decided to coddle my murderers like they were some minor offender, then I should have haunted him the rest of his days. Here’s to hoping our good King has many restless nights ahead of him.”

Denis Healey (to his assistant): “Kindly express to the Palace our – disquiet – over this utterance which, frankly, he’s got no business making. And let them know that we should like it if Senator Kennedy or anyone of his ilk should never again appear on His Majesty’s calendar.”



Rumours filter out of Mainland China that there has been an uprising by PRC troops in Kwangsi Province (troops mainly who had been engaged in the war in Laos and North Vietnam) against the regime’s security forces.


October 2 – 7, 1979
Pope Pius XIII tours the United States.

Price of oil: $ 51.00 (149.00)
Inflation: 9.1%
Unemployment: 8.3%


October 2, 1979
Religious protestors seize the Soviet Embassy in Tehran. A tense stand-off begins as forty-seven Soviet diplomats are held hostage by the protestors. The government is reluctant to storm the Embassy for fear of killing the Soviet diplomats. The protestors demand that the Soviets stop supporting the MEK and that an Islamic Republic be declared in Iran.

The Soviet government warns the Iranian government to resolve the hostage situation quickly or it might feel obligated to use its own forces. The Soviets and Iranians also argue over jurisdiction. The Soviets want to send in their own Spetsnaz Special Forces to liberate the Embassy as they do not want to grant Iranian forces permission to enter the Embassy grounds. The Iranians do not want the Spetsnaz troops operating on their soil.

In a statement the Provisional Irish Republican Brigade (IRB) rejected Pope Pius XIII's call for an end to the violence in Northern Ireland. The IRB declared that it had widespread support and that Britain would only withdraw from Northern Ireland if forced to do so: "force is by far the only means of removing the evil of the British presence in Ireland ... we know also that upon victory the Church would have no difficulty in recognising us".

The PIRA and Sein Fein also reject the Pope’s call as “premature.” “While we prefer to negotiate,” a PIRA communiqué notes, “we reserve the right to return to full military operations should efforts to reconcile with the British government fail. In the end, only the complete withdrawal of British forces and civilian government officials from Northern Ireland is the one and only condition upon which we can foresee the struggle ending.”

Sir Denis Arthur Greenhill, the former Chairman of the Joint Intelligence Committee and Permanent Under-Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, was appointed to a new post of security co-ordinator for Northern Ireland. [This is seen as an attempt to improve relations between the Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC) and the British Army.]

NSC Tapes – October 2, 1979

Director NRO (Identity Classified): Our satellites detected a nuclear flash here, in Kwangsi Province, south of Nanning, early this morning. Both seismic recording and air sampling have confirmed that a nuclear event took place. South Vietnamese observers several hundred miles away noted a flash in the general north east direction and felt both seismic shocks and winds consistent with such an event.

Secretary of State Henry Jackson: A nuclear event?

Gen. David C. Jones (USAF Chief of Staff): A nuclear weapon was used.

DNRO: Our preliminary estimate would be something in the range of thirty to forty kilotons – devastating but not huge – possibly mounted on one of their CSS-2 IRBMs.

President: On their own people?

DNRO: Over the past week we have noted some unusual military manoeuvres on the ground involving several armies located throughout Kwangsi. We attributed these either to a preparation for a possible new campaign in Laos, or to an exercise. There were unconfirmed rumors of a rising by some troops, but we lacked hard intelligence to make that determination. This morning’s events would tend to give those rumors more weight.

President: What happened then? Did someone screw-up with a nuke durin’ a practice?

DNRO: This was bigger than a tactical warhead. We also detected an IRBM launch and followed its track from Lop Nur – which as you know is the Red Chinese strategic development and testing site – to Kwangsi. Our only plausible conclusion is that this was a deliberate launch of a strategic weapon against these armies and the surrounding population center.

Paul Nitze (National Security Advisor): It looks like they used a nuclear weapon to put down an insurrection among their troops, maybe even a coup attempt.

President: Christ Jesus and Joseph! Are they crazy?

Nitze: We have more and more circumstantial evidence that Mao’s nephew, who seems to be the big boss now, is off-balance.

Jackson: According to President Chiang and his intelligence people, the so called “Lesser Mao” is an out-and-out psychotic. Someone, supposedly from inside the regime, recently published a book about him Hong Kong. They claim he had a British actor killed because he didn’t like the movie they were going to make about a Chinese villain – it was going to be a James Bond film.

President: If he’s using nukes on his own people, he’s goddamn certifiable.

Dr. Fred Ickle (Director of Central Intelligence): I have just received a report that Chinese state television is blaming us for this event.

Admiral Thomas B. Hayward (CNO): For the moment, Mr. President, we have to place the Pacific fleet on alert. We have to be ready if the Red Chinese decide to strike against Hong King, Japan or anywhere in Asia.

Jones: We have also noted an increase in the alert levels in the Soviet Union.

Jackson: They are reacting to this insanity. Don’t forget, they share a border with this lunatic.

Nitze: We have to respond with a comparable alert.

Jackson: That could unnecessarily escalate tensions – do we need that?

General Louis H. Wilson USMC (Chairman, Joint Chiefs): We need to match the Soviet alert in order to keep our readiness levels in parity with theirs. If they decide to go on the attack, we must be ready to match them at a moments notice.

Jones: I agree, sir.

Hayward: The Navy can be your spear Mr. President, but only if you are ready to unleash it if the enemy tests us.

President: Increase the alert. Henry, let Moscow know that this is aimed at what just happened in China.

Nitze: That’ll only help if they’re thinking the same way. They could just as easily be using China as a pretext for a bigger move.

Wilson: Then we’ll be ready to catch ‘em.
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From the Diary of Bill Nichols

After the NSC meeting of October 2, Jackson approached me and asked about the President’s health. The Secretary was worried about what the strain was doing, given his collapse a year earlier, and the belief some in the Cabinet held that the President had never fully recovered from that. Jackson noted in particular the President looked very pale and his hands were shaking.

I told the Secretary that the President was fine and that his physician had given Wallace a clean bill of health.

Of course, I was shading the truth, hoping Henry would take my word for it and squelch anymore rumors about the President’s health. The real story was that it was all getting to him, and it was a wonder that he was holding-up with it all coming down at once.
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U.S. Strategic forces placed at DEFCON 2 – War Ready Alert.

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Pat Robertson: “The time of Jesus’ return may well be upon us; the signs and portents are clear. The next four years could see the coming of the New Jerusalem and the Judgment. That is why your vote for President this time is so important, because it is not just an ordinary election. In 1980 the American people will be called upon to choose the leader who will safeguard them on the road to their eternal destiny. These are the stakes in 1980. It’s not about taxes or the state of the American union; it’s about the state of each and every American soul.”

Gov. Donald Rumsfeld (R-IL): “In recent events we see the proof of the old saying: Democrats get us into wars, but it takes Republicans to win them.”
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This is increasingly feeling like a really long prologue to a game of DEFCON... Not that I'm complaining :D

It's nice to see Italy actually turn out alright though, what are there relations with the Yugoslavs?

It's also interesting to see how much more assertive the Soviets are being in the aftermath of Syria.

With regard to the Spanish crisis, how much de facto control do the Basque and Catalan separatists actually have?
 

Spengler

Banned
Hmm, I think the Hearse races have started in the soviet union. Also I wonder if China blowing up might actually save the world from what looks like could be a nuclear war. Also I like how your completely tearing apart the Big Tent nature of American politics, really it would take what you suggest to do that.
 
Another impressive update. One thing I'm wondering (which you somewhat accidentally inspired me to wonder about): With airline deregulation obviously gummed up, what are we likely to see in that industry going forward? i.e. What would an un-regulated airline industry have looked like 5-10 years later, particularly with massive failures apparently going on (per a post of yours from August)?

Also, as a pet issue (and the bit that was inspired by your SecDef choice given what Claytor did later IRL)...what's going on over in the railroad industry? In particular, what's up at Amtrak? Actually, for that matter, is Southern even looking to dump the Crescent onto Amtrak, or are they "toughing it out" (as I could see that and the Piedmont Limited chugging along ITTL)?

For some background that I've pulled up (Wikipedia's blackout is comically weak...you pull the article you want up via Google and you kill the page load before it switches over), Amtrak picked up most of the NEC in the mid-1970s. It also placed the following equipment orders (funded with federal money, of course):
-Amfleet I: 1974-77 (492 cars, 444 still on the roster as of 2010)
-Superliner I: 1978-81 (284 cars, 247 stil on the roster as of 2010)

Mind you, the bidding process began a few years before the delivery dates (the Superliner I order was placed in 1975 and the Amfleet I order in 1973, for example). Also, at this time Amtrak was still using a /lot/ of "Heritage" (i.e. ex-private railroad) equipment, ranging from Santa Fe hi-levels to ex-Penn Central "roach coaches".

I'm particularly asking because up until the late 1970s, Amtrak was mostly expanding and restoring service as agreements could be reached with state governments to sponsor restoring services (and there were some fun on/off situations as an agreement would be reached and then fall apart). However, one big thing that helped Amtrak not collapse was the two-stroke oil crisis of 1974/79, boosting ridership (and in fact basically pushing Amtrak to capacity in 1979 IRL, hence the Superliner order getting expanded IRL). I've noticed that you have at least some of the private railroads getting back into the game (again, per that post freom August)...any idea as to who is getting back in and fighting with Amtrak for those customers?*

Likewise, I notice that you have the Penn Central actually continuing (and apparently likely to emerge from bankruptcy)...I'm trying to think about how this would impact all of the stuff that Conrail triggered in the NE, since there was one big mess of consolidation all at once with that project. Also, how're the mergers progressing (both historically successful and historically unsuccessful)? "Horizontal" mergers (such as the Southern/SP/MoPac merger that was mooted at one point, until IIRC SP mucked it up by demanding 55% of the resulting company) might be interesting to see play out, particularly as Conrail has been clearly written out (and we've still got a half-dozen roads in the Northeast...how /is/ that going to shake out, anyway?).


*I ask this because any railroad that joined Amtrak has to give Amtrak basically whatever access Amtrak wants to them. Now, they can mishandle the dispatching (as SP did to the point of being sued at one point) and they can cause other sorts of trouble (letting specific tracks degrade, for example), but they pretty much have to give access.

Mind you, this gets /very/ interesting if the Rock Island doesn't go under as it did IRL, since they kept their remaining passenger services IRL and thus don't face this competition. Even if the merger with UP went through, I /think/ the Rock Island portions of things might still have been locked out of Amtrak's "automatic access" areas, though I'm not sure there.

The Rio Grande and Georgia RR, who declined to join as well, would also be interesting situations. Something similar applies with Southern (who joined-but-didn't) as well as one or two lines in the Midwest which Amtrak declined to run trains over (as well as those RRs, such as the FEC and WP, which were out of the business by 1970). Santa Fe is another fun case, as John Reed is still at ATSF...he /really/ didn't want to join Amtrak, but gave in due to some bottom line issues with the lower-string trains that they couldn't axe. Considering that he revoked the Santa Fe Chief trademarks over service on the Super Chief IRL, he's one I can see picking this fight pretty vigorously. I can also see Seaboard getting back into things, given that they were still investing in the passenger side of things right up until the late 60s (when network collapses elsewhere started eating into some of their Florida business).

On the other hand, SP is probably out no matter what, given their exposure to the authorities in California and the hell they've been putting the Sunset Limited through over the last 50 years (the present tense is intentional)...but then again, Pete McCloskey might be trying to start up some of the same trains that Brown did IRL (the Spirit of California, among others). I also can't see C&O-B&O/Chessie jumping back in too eagerly (their markets just stank and the through times from Washington-Chicago through central West Virginia have always been a mess). The risk of at least some sort of ICC tinkering coming back would keep some of the lines a bit shy here.

[Can you tell I'm into trains?]
 
When and how did the Iraqis reach the Red Sea? Have they occupied Mecca and Medina? Their logistics must be seriously strained. And the Israelis would have struck at their forces by now.

I've said it before and I'll say it again, the Iranians have to get involved in the Arabian Peninsula or they're fucked. And I think the regime would have popular support to do so. Hell, I think they're facing popular pressure to do so. Strange that the Iranian option is not even being discussed in the White House.

Something's not right about the list of countries recognizing the PRC government-in-exile. Mongolia is as much of a Soviet puppet as North Korea and just as close to China geographically, so I would expect them to recognize it as well. Same for North Vietnam and Laos, since there's not really anything the Lesser Mao can do in retaliation that he isn't already doing, and the communist states in Africa. Some other non-communist but Soviet-leaning regimes might be persuaded to join in, possibly India. Romania would refuse as a matter of principle.

The farmer ought to get compensation for the expropriation. The British and Americans should look into paying off the emir.

Since Wallace has already discussed the Iraqi situation with the British, why not discuss it with the French next? Have he and Mitterrand even met yet?

If you mean to say that the Islamic revolutionaries have been driven towards North Yemen, then keep in mind that the country is divided religiously between Sunnis and Zaidi Shiites. Their presence will seriously destabilize the situation.

Actually, speaking of North Yemen, I'm surprised their government didn't make a deal with Iraq after it invaded the Caliphate. Support the operation in exchange for Asir, Najran and Jizan. Though perhaps they tried but were refused because al-Bakr figured he didn't need their support. But even them, they could've tried an uncoordinated simultaneous invasion to conquer the disputed provinces and obtain a security zone against the Iraqi menace.

And speaking of uncoordinated simultaneous invasions, the Caliphate's other neighbors could've tried something similar once the Iraqis crossed the border.

President Lott... God help us!

Since you mentioned the deployment of forces in Ethiopia and Somalia, what's happening with the ongoing war between them? I get that the Somalis and their allies are doing well, but the crucial question is how close they are to taking Dire Dawa and cutting off the railway link to Djibouti (is it still French, BTW?). I'd certainly expect the Ethiopians to demand increased US support in exchange for access.

What do developments in Laos spell out for the Hmong?

What is "The Basque region of Spain?" Just the Basque Provinces or Navarre as well? And I doubt the Soviets would recognize it because the French would go ape-shit.

How is Morocco able to intervene in Mali?

OK, I'm seriously not buying the Iberian War as it's unfolding. The Portuguese regime should be struggling to control the northern part of its own country, there's no way it linked up with the Basques. With both countries backed by a superpower and facing internal instability, it all comes down to numbers. The Portuguese don't have them.

President Rumsfeld... God help us!

I'm also not buying the quick Moroccan victory over POLISARIO.

Agnew's speech on Islam is going to play out real well in the Muslim world. The first 3 paragraphs anyway, since the people who'll be making a fuss about it will have every interest in making his bigoted rambling look like official US policy.

President Lott... No, wait, I've already covered him.

As to the Catalans, same as the Basques. France would see their declaration of independence as a threat to its own territorial integrity and Soviet recognition would seriously damage relations between them.

Well, at least Italy doesn't look like it's going to hell in a handbasket.

Back to the Horn of Africa: I don't think the new Somali regime would be so eager to grant the United States basing rights. The quandary that the Soviets faced in the region in OTL - how to maintain an ally while cultivating ties with its mortal enemy - has been transferred to the US, with Ethiopia and Somalia switching places.

Oh, Nitze, you motherfucker! My face fell the second your name was mentioned in this TL and you sure as hell didn't disappoint.

The British king is still a bachelor, right? Anything happening on that front?

President Wallace... God help us! The man's a monumental screw-up. It's scary to think that there are people who would do a worse job and might get their chance.
 
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