My bet would be on Australia and New Zealand surviving but being under martial law for at least the remainder of the 80s. Argentina and Brazil are more difficult to predict, though. Civil war in those two countries (and the rest of Latin America, for that matter) is quite plausible, and even complete state collapse isn't out of the realm of possibility IMO. If they do survive, it'll be under military regimes like in the aforementioned AUS and NZ.I think Australia and New Zealand will likely go for something like COVID restrictions but in steroids. Very heavy rationing, very heavy government oversight, and some hardcore import substitution. I do agree that they could pull it off. They won't be some economic superpower but they will likely be the most functional nations in the world.
However, a country like Argentina is going to go through some hard times. At the time, the economy was in a very fragile state and it was very dependent on US investments. It's uncertain if they can come on top of this event.
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