Wow never thought I'd be correcting someone's math on this forum.
60,000/35,000,000=0.00171428571
180,000,000*0.00171428571=308,571.4278
~309,000 is quite a bit more than 180,000.
Next, the 60,000 number is from 2014, when Afghanistan had a total population of 32.8 million (and that's not considering that more than 3 million of whom live outside of Afghanistan).
60,000/32,800,000=0.00182926829
180,000,000*0.00182926829=329,268.2922
So no, more like 329,000.
Now to posit an alternative measuring stick to the Taliban (who notably have a particularly divisive ideology and are associated with a non-majority ethnic group). Yugoslav Partisan strength in late 1942 was around 135,000. The Kingdom of Yugoslavia had a prewar population of around 14,000,000.
135,000/14,000,000=0.00964285714
180,000,000/0.00964285714=1,735,714.2852
That's a lot of partisans!
.001*180,000,000 = 180,000
You'll have to forgive me for limiting myself to three decimal places instead of 11.
Regardless of that, if you're wanting to be so precise we're going to have to significantly trim your figure down, as the 180 Million is the Pre-War population of the USSR in its entirety. You've stipulated Ural borders, so that automatically cuts out:
Kazakhstan,
with 6,195,000 (1940)
Tajikistan,
with 1,489,000 (1940)
Turkmenistan,
with 1,302,000 (1940)
Uzbekistan,
with 6,430,000 (1940)
Kyrgyzstan,
with 1,483,000 (1940)
I've had trouble finding population data for Siberia, with the best estimate I've found being 16,576,400 In 1938. This seems pretty accurate, given that equates to 15% of the RSFSR's population being in Siberia; the modern figure for the Russian Federation is 25%. If this isn't precise enough for you,
you're welcome to try sorting through the Oblast Data. So, that's 33,475,400 removed from 180,000,000. Next, given what the Germans overrunning the USSR would entail, let's eliminate their OTL war losses of 26,600,000 from the total as a matter of simplicity; you can certainly argue deaths would be higher, but I'll leave that to you. So, finally, you get:
119,925,600 in the occupied USSR
You could argue this is still too high, as the 1937 census only found 162 million so the official Census was off and the 1940/1941 figures generally include the occupied areas in the Baltics, Poland, and such. For simplicity's sake, I'll again just stick to this figure.
119,925,600*0.00964285714 = 579,298
To put this further into perspective, a report to Stalin from September 1942 listed 11,055,700 on active service in the army, navy, NKVD forces that January. meanwhile according to Muller-Hillebrand on 1/07/42, German strength in the East was 2,847,000 men, not including SS and forces in Finland; adding those brings the total to just shy of 3.1 Million. So that's 3.56 Soviets to every German. Taking into account most of those partisans are untrained civilians equipped with whatever they can find, lack armor support, air support, logistics, coordination and a hell of a lot other things to say the least, don't overestimate them.
Meaning they aren't going to get drones, kevlar body armour, and modern medicine anytime soon to help mitigate losses.
Which aren't needed to win Anti-insurgency operations and never were. Given as outlined above as compared to what occurred IOTL, German losses in the occupation in the East will be negligible.
And any support for anti-partisan operations in the east is support that isn't going towards fighting the west.
More than made up for by the reduction of forces in theater by at least 1.5 Million and the massively reduced overall logistical burden. It's simply impossible for civilians hiding in the woods taking potshots at Germans to equal the strain facing 10 million Soviets in mechanized formations did to said Germans.
As opposed to being worked to death as German slave labour?
You're welcome to cite anywhere I suggested that was preferable. The point being that, in either case, they're no help to the partisans.
And that number is laughable. Germans had around 500,000 men in the General Government at any time in the war. 500,000 men for a portion of the rather divided Polish resistance.
I would like to see a citation of this 500,000 number, especially with specifics, given that we both know, if there was that many, they were mostly rear service personnel maintaining the rail logistics of the forces in European Russia.
Railways and bridges don't guard themselves. Being absolutely massive, European Russia has quite a lot of those to guard. So it's a fallacy to assume that combat is the only thing capable of tying down soldiers.
Sure, but they don't have to guard all ground nor are the partisans going to be in a position to do a whole lot of what you suggest. To put this into perspective, in the buildup to Bagration Moscow was inserting Partisans into the German rear where they joined up with existing forces and then proceeded to, in a coordinated manner, place thousands of charges on the German railway network. What happened? They, at best, shutdown rail traffic.....
for about a day. Take in note, this was with organized, trained cadres directed and supplied by Moscow taking part.
Initially sure, but after the western allies cripple the Luftwaffe and degrade Germany's industrial and transportation capabilities... Then the Wehrmacht units dispersed across European Russia start looking quite vulnerable to the vengeful Soviets.
Those Soviets at best will never be in a position to do so and at worst won't even exist to take advantage of that. The Asian USSR lacks the industry, population and agricultural depth to supply any sort of offensive and it's honestly up in the air whether the Soviet state could even survive being confined to such an area even without considering offensive operations.
