Star Trek
“If someone tells you they can’t solve a problem, it’s not because the problem’s impossible to solve. It’s because they gave up.”
-Edward Teller-
“If someone tells you they can’t solve a problem, it’s not because the problem’s impossible to solve. It’s because they gave up.”
-Edward Teller-
It was supposed to be a new strategy for the Soviet Government. Taking a page from his rival, President Reagan, General Secretary Vladimir Semichastny decided to boost morale among the Soviet military and defense industry with an in-person rally despite advice against it from the Politburo. Flying from Moscow in October 5, a Tupolev Tu-154 airliner and the Soviet version of Air Force One, he stopped in Magnitogorsk to speak to the workers at the city’s metallurgical works. The visit was a public relations goldmine for the Soviet leader, and all seemed well as October 5 began to head toward Vladivostok.
White House audio transcript, July 11th, 1978
Meeting between President Reagan, SecDef Teller, SecState McCarthy, National Security Advisor Jim Webb, and Chief of Staff Cheney
McCarthy: That was the embassy in Moscow. They don’t have any new information for us on the General Secretary.
Reagan: [Sighs] Jesus Christ. We don’t know if he’s alive or dead. [pause] Who would replace him if he does in fact die?
Webb: Dobrynin is the most likely choice, yet we believe that Viktor Grishin or even Brezhnev could have an opening. Dobrynin has made too many enemies, and KGB head Andropov seems to be suffering from an unknown illness. He’s out.
Cheney: We cannot stay silent forever Mr. President. The public is paranoid, and rightly so, after the BBC report made news…
Reagan: Don’t you think I know that, Dick?! What is the status of our forces? Are they on alert?
Teller: They are at DEFCON Four, Mr. President. Zumwalt and I recommend that they be upgraded to DEFCON Three if there’s no change in response from the Soviets after three more hours.
McCarthy: That would needlessly antagonize them.
Webb: I agree with Gene. They’re paranoid right now, and any aggressive moves would only play into that.
Teller: They’re paranoid right now, Jim! For all we know one of the hardliners will have taken over and is prepared to attack us at a moment’s notice.
Webb: Unlikely…
Cheney: But we cannot be sure, can we?
Teller: Kissinger and Langley says there’s a non-zero chance…
Reagan: Enough. We’ll give the Soviets another twelve hours. If there’s no response, go to DEFCON Three.
Teller: Yes, Mr. President.
[phone rings]
Reagan: The hotline. [answers] This is President Reagan… Yes?... That’s a relief… Yes, thank you Minister Dobrynin… Semichastny is alive, and expected to recover.
[relived breaths]
(end transcript)
Discovered in the wreckage – one of the roughly two dozen survivors, only one making it out without injury, miraculously enough – Vladimir Semichastny was in a coma for one week before waking, spending five months in the hospital/rehabilitation. For the rest of his life, he’d walk with a limp. Yet, his iron rule and immense reputation from doubling the size of the Soviet Empire so soon after the disaster of Prague Spring allowed him to remain General Secretary against a rabidly ambitious Politburo.Meeting between President Reagan, SecDef Teller, SecState McCarthy, National Security Advisor Jim Webb, and Chief of Staff Cheney
McCarthy: That was the embassy in Moscow. They don’t have any new information for us on the General Secretary.
Reagan: [Sighs] Jesus Christ. We don’t know if he’s alive or dead. [pause] Who would replace him if he does in fact die?
Webb: Dobrynin is the most likely choice, yet we believe that Viktor Grishin or even Brezhnev could have an opening. Dobrynin has made too many enemies, and KGB head Andropov seems to be suffering from an unknown illness. He’s out.
Cheney: We cannot stay silent forever Mr. President. The public is paranoid, and rightly so, after the BBC report made news…
Reagan: Don’t you think I know that, Dick?! What is the status of our forces? Are they on alert?
Teller: They are at DEFCON Four, Mr. President. Zumwalt and I recommend that they be upgraded to DEFCON Three if there’s no change in response from the Soviets after three more hours.
McCarthy: That would needlessly antagonize them.
Webb: I agree with Gene. They’re paranoid right now, and any aggressive moves would only play into that.
Teller: They’re paranoid right now, Jim! For all we know one of the hardliners will have taken over and is prepared to attack us at a moment’s notice.
Webb: Unlikely…
Cheney: But we cannot be sure, can we?
Teller: Kissinger and Langley says there’s a non-zero chance…
Reagan: Enough. We’ll give the Soviets another twelve hours. If there’s no response, go to DEFCON Three.
Teller: Yes, Mr. President.
[phone rings]
Reagan: The hotline. [answers] This is President Reagan… Yes?... That’s a relief… Yes, thank you Minister Dobrynin… Semichastny is alive, and expected to recover.
[relived breaths]
(end transcript)
Yet, everyone could tell that Semichastny had changed. Oftentimes one would find him staring into space – especially at the towers of St. Basil’s Cathedral, closed since the Revolution. Arriving to become the General Secretary’s personal bodyguard after all others had died in the crash, a young KGB Senior Lt. Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin would later recall the quiet brooding of Semichastny. “Almost as if he was… haunted by something.” He told no one of it, not even his family. No one would ever know what had changed him so greatly, but the ramifications would soon be heard across the world.
In Europe, the mid-seventies was a time of tumult. Portugal had fallen to communism and was going through a round of purges and radical social change, Spain was democratizing after longtime ruler Francisco Franco passed away, France sputtered along under the unstable Second Mitterrand Government, and Greece faced clashes between far-right elements and the emboldened communists. Only Germany, under the steady hand of the popular Helmut Schmidt, managed to recover quickly from the violence and economic stagnation from before – but it was a close call, and his government only stayed strong due to the fracturing of his opponents.
In Italy, the moribund coalitions brokered by the State Department and Foreign Office that kept the Christian Democracy governments of Aldo Moro and Giulio Andreotti collapsed after stagflation, trade union strikes against austerity measures, and the increase in Red Brigade terrorist attacks caused the Socialist Party to break the coalition. In the following election of 1978, the Communists topped Christian Democracy, but couldn’t form a coalition government with the Socialists because of a splinter third party – the Free Democratic Left. Founded by the charismatic and popular Enrico Berlinguer, it split from the Communists over anger at the latter’s continued allegiance to Moscow. It combined a novel concept called “Eurocommunism” with explicitly Freyist beliefs (from the left rather than the right, as was the case with the German NPD and Japanese Minseito). To the relief of NATO, Berlinguer and the FDL were able to get enough concessions from Andreotti to be able to form a working coalition without the Socialists. Italy stayed in NATO, on firmer ground.
Pushing back against the apoplectic rhetoric many in the media were fond to use over the tensions in Europe and the implications of Semichastny’s near death, Reagan and his team saw the personnel shifts (conducted by Semichastny in the aftermath of October 5) within the Politburo as a subtle change in Soviet policy. Whatever it was, they were going to run with it.
And the newfound fear over Soviet power and instability could be utilized for Reagan’s next defense policy rollout.
Edward Teller had a distinguished scientific career prior to assuming the mantle of Secretary of Defense. He was one of the original members of the Manhattan Project, vital to the development of the first nuclear fission bomb. After his controversial testimony in the security clearance hearing of his former Los Alamos Laboratory superior J. Robert Oppenheimer, Teller was ostracized by much of the scientific community. He continued to find support from the U.S. government and military research establishment, particularly for his advocacy for nuclear energy development, a strong nuclear arsenal, and a vigorous nuclear testing program. He was a co-founder of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), and was both its director and associate director for many years. He would gain notoriety in the 70s for being a proponent of using state of the art scientific solutions for major problems in the world.
Thus – especially considering Teller’s volatile temper – eyebrows were raised when Reagan selected him for Secretary of Defense over a large field of distinguished officials, generals, admirals, and businessmen. Teller would institute much of Reagan’s agenda quite well, but any decent manager could have done so. Why was a physicist required? It would become apparent in May 1978, when Reagan addressed the nation from the Oval Office.
“After careful consultation with my advisers, including Defense Secretary Teller, I believe there is a way to protect our nation from potential annihilation without a game of chicken that would lead to world holocaust. Let me share with you a vision of the future which offers hope. Let us turn to the very strengths in technology that spawned our great industrial base and that have given us the quality of life we enjoy today.
What if free people could live secure in the knowledge that their security did not rest upon the threat of instant U.S. retaliation to deter a Soviet attack, that we could intercept and destroy strategic ballistic missiles before they reached our own soil or that of our allies?
Conceived by the combined scientific minds of our best and brightest – Secretary Teller among them – current technology has attained a level of sophistication where it's reasonable for us to begin this effort. It will take years, probably decades of efforts on many fronts. There will be failures and setbacks, just as there will be successes and breakthroughs. And as we proceed, we must remain constant in preserving the nuclear deterrent and maintaining a solid capability for flexible response. But isn't it worth every investment necessary to free the world from the threat of nuclear war? We know it is.”
The reaction was swift. Initial confusion turned into a media buzz of massive proportions, not seen since the Assassination of Mickey Hargitay nearly five years before. Liberty Conservatives, political moderates, and Minaprogressives were ecstatic at the plan, which Gallup would find getting over 70% support from the public after further explanations from Teller and the Defense Department. The Press dubbed it “Star Trek” after the popular TV show and movie franchise, and it greatly upended the traditional defense doctrine of the Cold War era. If the Strategic Defense Initiative worked, then Mutually Assured Destruction would be irrelevant.
Many would credit the push for SDI to what would happen next, but Reagan and his team would later recall their shock at the Soviet Union’s actions. Ambassador Dmitry Polyansky was immediately recalled to Moscow in September. His replacement was a relative unknown to nearly everyone in the west and the Soviet Union, but SecState Eugene McCarthy understood the significance of the pick as soon as he met with the new ambassador. Semichastny’s new choice, Mikhail Gorbachev (Gorbachev wouldn’t be Semichastny’s only new appointment; he would slowly retire hardliners such as Yuri Andropov and Leonid Brezhnev and promote others like Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, Boris Yeltsin, and Alexander Yakovlev).
These massive replacements of senior officials by less tested moderates was possible in the Soviet Union for several reasons. First, the Focoist coups and almost overnight expansion of the Soviet Empire to hard to control places such as Brazil and Africa worried many about biting off more than they could chew. “We’ve expanded gloriously, Comrades,” Semichastny said to the Politburo. “Now we must rest in preparation for the next meal.” If moderating slightly would give them breathing room to digest their gains then it would be worth it. Additionally, the notification by Red Army commanders that the arms race was slowly bankrupting the nation also sobered many. But mostly, Vladimir Semichastny had the mantle of leadership. He held the loyalty and respect of party members and the Soviet people for expanding the nation’s domain, bringing them glory, and saving the USSR from humiliation after Prague Spring. Even though KGB leaders such as Andropov or Chebrikov disliked him following the replacements, the KGB rank and file were behind their former boss 100%, as was the Red Army. Removing him like they did Khrushchev was suicide, and only Semichastny had the force of will and dignitas to attempt such a sea change in policy at the perfect moment.
Gorbachev’s first action as Ambassador was to inform Reagan that Semichastny wished to hold a summit to decrease the astronomical tensions between the two superpowers. This stunned Reagan, who imagined this would eventually happen, but not as soon as it did. Agreements to meet were discussed, along with a state visit to Moscow by Vice President McCall next January. However, Reagan first wanted a mandate to approve SDI. And he would seek such a mandate in the 1978 midterm elections, hoping to turn what was usually a rebuke of the President into an endorsement.