@Agricola64 Why the five or six long posts, all in a single row? You can multiquote, you know.
-- I find it provides a crisper articulation of points to do it that way.
I find your repeated use of would-be-folksy "There's an old saying..." arguments to be intellectually poor.
-- this is what is commonly known as "metaphor" and "allusion" and "figure of speech". People always dislike and find grating the rhetorical flourishes of someone who's disagreeing with them; that's human nature. The more effective the rhetoric, the more the person who disagrees with the argument will dislike it. The concept of "identity-protective cognition" comes into play there.
I also don't buy arguments like "Well, the tsarists turned into wannabe devil-worshippers because they felt the need to convolutedly misinterpret and randomly adopt elements from the Yazidi religion",
-- That's not an accurate redaction of what I originally said, which was that the Russian would-be worshippers of Evil simply grabbed for any cool, mysterious-sounding phrase they vaguely knew about and thought would fit and be resonant. And since they (mistakenly, but in tune with the general noise level of European concepts of Yezidism at the time) assumed the Yezidi were Satanists in the sense they had in mind, and they used terms like "Peacock Angel".
The use of the term "Chernobog" is a similar superficial skimming of (the admittedly very poorly recorded) pantheon of pre-Christian Slavic paganism, about which we know little and people in the 1870's knew even less. It sounds ominous, Chernebog was commonly identified with Satan, so go for it. That seems, from the internal evidence in the text, to be the mechanism at work.
The Theosophists were conducting similar raids on the terminology and conceptual store-box of Hinduism and Buddhism at the same time in OTL, though admittedly in a rather more sophisticated way. But then, they weren't traumatized and starving, or trying to find a way to make psychologically tolerable the necessity to do extremely horrible things to survive.
1.) Even accounting for what 19th century Russia was like, how it was run, and what potential knuckleheads there were in its nobility and military, I still don't understand what would compel them to drop all the previous decor and religious/cultural traditions
-- well, an apocalyptic catastrophe that devastates the Earth, kills most of the human race, destroys their country and forces them to flee in conditions of madness-inducing horror might, just possibly, leave people feeling somewhat bereft and culturally adrift and vulnerable to a charismatic type who has an integrative "explanation" of what's been going on. That's certainly a plausible hypothesis, IMHO.
How that would play out
in detail would depend entirely on random, personal factors. There's no
one answer to questions like that.
So yeah, in those circumstances absolutely nothing would
compel them to do so. But then, nothing would
prevent them from doing so either.
Unlikely things happen all the time; the origins of Wicca, or Mormonism, or Islam, or post-Petrine Christianity, or the Bahai offshoot of Twelver Shiism, all contain unlikely strings of coincidences and low-probability events and people acting in rather weird ways. None could have been realistically foreseen beforehand; they only look plausible in retrospect. There are sects in the Middle East which still venerate a mad 11th century Egyptian ruler. (Who R.E. Howard used as the template for a rather good story.)
Alternate history is a series of non-falsifiable hypotheses. You can't
prove or
disprove a damned thing, no matter how long you argue. All you can say is that something is more or less plausible... in your opinion, and we all know what opinions are like, eh? For example, I find Terry Bisson's
Fire On the Mountain a fantastically unlikely alternate history of the 1860's, but what the hell, I can't prove it, though I could argue the case at length.
We could maybe explain the random apocalyptic cannibal Russians away with "oh, the meteor shower and minor nuclear winter happened, therefore doomsday cults !", but... Why didn't the Angrezi Raj create some crazy post-apocalyptic doomsday religion of their own, then?
-- two reasons; first, they had somewhat less trauma, and second, why not? That's the way it fell out. "Sensitive dependence on initial conditions", to coin a phrase. What would be really unlikely would be to have everyone react in the same way.
Russians were and are a superstitious, unthinking lot, unlike those always perfectly rational awesomesauce people from the British Empire".
-- if they were perfectly rational, would they have a religion at all? Much less a syncretistic mishmash of Christianity and Hinduism? And of course Russia was, in fact, a much more backward and premodern country than the UK in the 1870's; as late as the 1920's, there were witchcraft panics involving multiple murders in villages less than a day's walk from Moscow, and Soviet researchers found that popular conceptions of cosmology were full-blown medieval in the same areas.
and the oddly evasive treatment of Muslim characters
-- there's one major Muslim character in
The Peshawar Lancers, the disguised Afghan prince Ilderim (or was it Ibrahim?) Khan, and I didn't see anything "evasive" about him; he's a dashing adventurer with his own agenda, who helps the protagonist for perfectly rational reasons of his own. They're enemies who respect and rather like each other, and who fought a common opponent for a while. If the interests of their respective nations/dynasties/whatever require that they fight, they'll fight, without any personal animosity.
really smack of a rather orientalist attitude.
-- I take it this is a reference to that well-known work of Alternate History fantasy-fiction with a similar title, by Edward "Munchausen" Said? Oh, really now.
whether they be certain ethnicities, religions, social groups, etc.
-- in
The Peshawar Lancers the only "groups" which don't contain both positive and negative individuals are Jews and French Catholics; I suspect that this is because there wasn't plot-room to have more than one walk-on character for each.
lady in the ISOT novels apparently has people cooked and eaten (?!),
-- that would be Alice Hong, the murdering sadistic nutcase mistress of the Big Bad, William Walker (note the name). There are plenty of well-authenticated cases of people of that stripe doing that sort of thing. Besides which, it's a trope. Someone gets off the stage in an SS uniform, kicks a dog, and eats a baby. Is this the good guy, or the bad guy?[/QUOTE]
the rather insulting concept of post-Change refugees turning into basically mindless zombies (WTF) purely out of a week's hunger...
-- rather more than a week, though it starts when people get extremely hungry and give way to despair. There's abundant historical cases of both opportunistic and predatory cannibalism in cases of severe famine combined with social atomization and breakdown; and trauma of that depth, with taboo-violation, does have profound psychological consequences, including but not limited to PTSD. See the Volga famine in 1921-22, the Holodomor, the Great Leap, and so forth. Cannibalism is certainly not a viable long-term subsistence strategy for any substantial number of people, but IIRC that's never suggested in any of the books in question. I imagine that the laws of nature going screwy would add to the stress.
The Russians in The Peshawar Lancers are practicing
ritual cannibalism, as part of their religion, for which there is considerable historical precedent. Limited cannibalism for symbolic reasons is quite common, often as a social dominance marker.
roundly ignores plenty of the more realistic outcomes that could be at hand.
-- well, as the Germans say, "Na... und?" If all
possible outcomes can happen (as in the many-worlds hypothesis) then why should you limit yourself to "likely" ones? Occam's razor visibly doesn't apply to the history that led up to us, which is full of coincidences and long-shots; why should AH be more boring, unless from some weird type of intellectual puritanism?
We're talking about Alternate History here (where nothing can be proved or disproved) and a rather gonzo subbranch of AH at that. The fact that something is unlikely doesn't mean it can't happen, it just means it's less likely to happen... but sometimes the dice roll 6 several times in a row. For example, the outcome of the American Civil War (and hence the whole course of the 19th and 20th centuries) may well have depended on three cigars falling out of a messenger's pocket, to take one well-known example. WWI starting when it did happened because a car took a wrong turn and then the engine stalled.
Likewise, the course of WWII would have been very different if Halifax, rather than Churchill, had been PM in the spring and summer of 1940; Halifax wanted to negotiate, and would probably have taken the terms Hitler was prepared to offer which for reasons of his own were rather generous. But Churchill nearly died repeatedly all through his adult lifespan; he was recklessly brave in combat (charging with the 21st Lancers at Omdurman is just one example) and was very ill and had near misses in traffic accidents during the 1920's and 30's; and he had a very unhealthy lifestyle, guzzling rich food, drinking heavily, and smoking like a furnace.
So the question is not whether the Clan Mackenzie or the PPA are the most likely outcome of the initial circumstances in
Dies the Fire; the question is whether they're the equivalent of fate rolling 6 several times in a row, or the equivalent of the dice floating up into the air and spontaneously bursting into flames. Which can be argued (indefinitely) but even that can't be proved or disproved.
If it's "multiple 6's" then the question is not one of AH plausibility, but how well they fit the demands of the narrative structure of the book -- we're talking about
fiction here. That's what AH is, a sub-genre of science fiction, emphasis on the second word. It's about
stories. Stories are neither true nor false. They fulfill a reader's needs, or don't; it's a matter of taste, which is purely subjective.
but because he just felt writing it that way, damn everyone else's opinions.
-- what value of "everyone" are you using? You? Your immediate social circle? The book-buying market, whose overall opinion seems to be rather favorable? Why should X's opinion count for more than Y's? Why should Stirling pay any attention to X's opinion? Would it make him more money, or give some sort of personal satisfaction, or what? Do you pay any attention to his opinions of what you write? It's human nature to overestimate the size and importance of the pond we hop around in, but really, it's a good idea to resist that temptation.
This is the way it works with fiction writers: mostly, they write for a combination of fun (because storytelling is a compulsion) and reward. Emphasis on the 'fun' part because it's impossible to tell in advance whether a lot of other people will find the product enough fun to part with some of their beer money.