Sealion '41

This is "inspired" by the Sealion Coxed thread. It depends on Hitler being as frothingly insane in the earlier period of the war as he was later on. So yes, this is somewhat ASB, but unlike the other thread, for better or worse, this is my own work.

Comments, critisism, flaming etc is welcome, and to be honest, expected.
(well, the flaming is)

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Sealion 41
Battle Of Britian continues as per OTL, Op Sealion postponed Sept 17th.
Autumn 40-Spring 41 London Blitz as per OTL.
April 8th 1941,
Prime Minister Churchill, as was his habit at the time, alighted to the roof to watch the raid in progress. Walter Thompson, his long standing bodyguard and the PM's Secretary accomppanied him to the roof. Thompson, ever mindfull of the effects of Shrapnel from bombs and the British Anti aircraft Artillery had asked, remonstrated and at times begged the PM not to do this, citing the numerous risks of making such observations. It was on this occasion that his warnings, while disregarded by Churchill as being "the clucks of a worried mother hen", it was on this occasion that these warnings were to be prophetic. In the words of Chief INspector Thompson, "We had been watching for some time, the PM was preparing to return below when an almighty crash went off nearby. All of us on the roof were thrown from our feet by the blast wave as, and we still to this day do not know whether it was a lucky German bomb of a stray Flak shell, whatever it was exploded not far away. As Miss Hempford and myself gathered our senses, we became aware that the PM hadn't moved. Upon checking him, I noticed he had recieved an injury to his head as there was significant blood pooling on the floor near to the wound. At this point, privately I thought that the PM was already dead, but advised Miss Hempford to call for a doctor immediately. By the time we had gotten the PM to the ground floor, he had lost most of the colour from his cheeks, (and I suspect, so had I at this point). He was placed on a strethcher and moved immediately to St Thomas' Hospital in Lambeth. On Arrival at the hospital the PM was immeditely seen by a Doctor and his room placed, at my orders under armed Police guard".
The result of the Doctor's examination was that although the wound itself was comparatively minor, it had resulted in a significant amount of bruising to the brain from which at that point, it was unclear, in the doctor's opinion, whether the Prime Minister would recover. Cabinet was informed, and in the interim, Clement Attlee, became acting Prime Minister, until such a time as either Sir Winston recovered, or died and a replacement could be selected.

April 1941
As with all such things, desite strenuous efforts to the contrary, word of the Prime Ministers condition leaked out, and equally unsurprisingly, made it's way across the channel. When the informatiuon was passed to Admiral Kanaris, he made every possible effort to varufy the information before passing it to Hitler. Hitler's reaction was predictable: With the main source of British resistance out of the way, They would offer the same peace terms as in 1940, while at the same time, orders to prepare Sealion once more were also drafted.
Through the respective diplomatic missions in Switzerland, the peace terms of 1940 were again offered, forwarded to London, and again, this time with the unqualified support of Lord Halifax, rejected out of hand.
On the 23rd of April 1941, Hitler gave the order that Operation Sealion was to proceede no later than May 15th 1941.
It must be said, that a number of senior German officers attempted to dissuade from this course of action, and in a desperate attempt to get Hitler to see sense, both Kesselring and Raeder resigned their positions, replaced by Ernst Udet and Karl Donitz respectively. Unusually for Admiral Donetz, his view of this particular order and the preparations are absent from his autobiographical book, "8 Jahre Und 20 Tag" (8 years and 20 days), although we believe through other sources, that although he felt the operation would have minimal chances of success, he could let down his comrades in the Navy, or have the deaths of German soldiers on his conscience by performing his duties in a slipshod manner.
In their initial orders from the same day, Donitz ordered a significant force of U-Boats to Scarpa flow, the mouth of the River Tyne, and to Portsmouth and Southampton in an effort to inflict losses heavy enough to reduce the Royal Navy's ability to resist an invasion in the short term, while Ernst Udet, merely dusted off the original plans for Eagle Day.
It is unfortunate for both the Kriegsmarine and the Luftwaffe, that Station X, the British code breaking effort based at Bletchley House in Buckinghamshire had been successfull in their in their endeavours to break German codes and within 24 hours of the orders being issued, the same orders, presented in clear text were passed to the RAF and Royal Navy, and as we see, not a moment too soon.
The fleet at Scarpa Flow were by and large put to sea with immediate effect and ordered to Belfast, a token fleet, made up mostly of WWI era Destroyers recently gifted from the United States Navy, was left to act as a decoy, and following the attacks, great quantities of oil were released into the flow and set alight, giving the impression to German recconoisance aircraft, that the fleet had indeed been sunk.
The German actions against the flotillas at dock in the Tyne, at Portsmouth and Southampton among others, was mainly reduced to mine laying. The Kriegsmarine suffered significant losses among it's mine laying submarines, with official British news reels claiming that a new and improved ASDIC system was in operation, in order to disguise the breaking of German codes.
The Brititsh recieve further good news on April 29th, as Churchill regains consciousness. Unlike the news of his injury, this news is successfully kept under wraps as at this stage it is unknown to what level the Prime Minister has recovered.
May 1941.
The Luftwaffe begin concerted daylight fighter sweeps along the south coast, while at the same time bringing reserve fighters and bombers from the Ostfront reserve in order to increase the pressure on the RAF. During the sweeps, the losses in aircraft are more or less even, however, the RAF are able to recover many more of their pilots, returning them to their squadrons, German and Italian pilots are sent to POW camps. After a report is passed to Udet showing the comparative losses of machines and Pilots, he responds that this is only temporary, and the pilots will be liberated once German victory is achieved. No one notices the slight increase in Bomber losses, due to better equipped RAF Nightfighters now patrolling the skys.
Initial tests on the Prime Minister show that although there is no serious mental damage, his short term memory and balance have been seriously affected. There is no current estimate of how long it will take for him to recover.
May 7th 1941
Without consulting meteorlogical reports, Hitler sets the date of invasion to Sunday May 18th. Orders are issued immediately to all Air, Sea and Land forces.
May 9th - 17th
Station X again breaks the coded message and is able to confirm that the invasion is set for the 18th. All leave is cancelled, and where ever possible, all RN, RAF and Army units are recalled to be rearmed and re-equipped. Information coming in from agents in France, the Netherlands and Norway confirms that men and materiel previously earmarked for Sealion are being moved as a priority to towns and villages in the vicinity of Calais. RAF fighter and ground attack sweeps are scaled back, although strategic bomber raids on Germany continue as before. Many fighter squadrons are moved north out of the way of the expected air offensive prior to invasion. Coastal towns and villages already evecuated due to the invasion threat of the previous summer are quietly re-occupied by British and commonwealth units moving in only by night to avoid German reconnaissance aircraft.
SOE provide extra materials to French and Dutch resistance groups ready to begin a sabotage campaign the moment the invasion fleet sails for England.
May 14th - Royal Navy flotillas sortie from their ports under cover of darkness and rendeverous south of Ireland. RN mine sweepers clear the north and south entrances to the channel, recently sown with mines by the Germans. Destroyers report increased U Boat activity, sinking 7 for the loss of 2 destroyers and 1 frigate. 1 new Enigma machine is captured from the sinking submarines and sent to Bletchley Park immediately.
The Abwehr become aware of the change in British pattern of operation, but are informed by their agents in Britain, (captured and turned almost immediately on their arrival in Britian), that this is due to confusion in the British military, while one, claiming to work in the Ministry of war, forwards a faked document claiming that the British are moving their forces for a large scale raid on Norway. In reality, all of these agents are controlled by MI5.
Admiral Kanaris passed his concerns to Hitler suggesting that the Invasion be postponed while these new developments are examined. Himmler, wanting to take the Abwehr under the wing of the SS starts rumours that Kanaris is working for the British.
May 17th 1941
the Royal Navy Flotillas begin a coast hugging sortie towards the channel ready to intercept the German invasion fleet.
Late Afternoon, RAF fighter, ground attack and light bomber squadrons, begin to move to bases in the Midlands. Dummy aircraft are set up on the South coast airfields and given tanks of old rags, oil and kerosene. As the Luftwaffe begin their attacks on the airfields, they report that the RAF has been caught completely unawares and that almost all the fighters have been destroyed on the ground. Goering reports the destruction of the RAF to a gleeful Hitler who decrees that the British will be clamouring to surrender by the end of the week.
Midnight, 18th May 1941
The German invasion fleet begins to cross the channel. Luftwaffe bombers now concentrate their attacks on the Kent coast around the landing areas. Luftwaffe night fighers report minimal air activity by the RAF.
3.30am, with the first wave of the invasion fleet nearing the English coast, the Royal Navy launch the largest fleet action seen since WWI Crossing the T En masse and steaming backwards and forwards through the cross channel convoy. Of the 23,000 men on the barges in that crossing, less than 500 make it to the English shore. Around the same time, Luftwaffe transport aircraft carrying the airborne element of the assault are shot at by the Naval task force taking some losses, as they near the coast, they are attacked by RAF Night fighters, mostly Britol Blenheim and the new Bristol Beaufighter, inflict nearly 50% casualties. The German troops that do land, are quickly surrounded by British troops, and although they continue to fight on for up to 2 days, most are either dead or surrendured by mid-day 18th May.
At first light, mass formations of almost every available RAF aircraft capable of fighting begin raids all along the French coast. The resistance cut roads and rail links bringing down communications. Although the RAF suffer significant losses, the Luftwaffe are rendered combat incapable for nearly two days while airfields and aircraft are repaired. The biggest loss however, and one they would never fully recover from, is the loss of pilots and trained ground crew.
By Midday, 18th May, it has become clear that the Invasion is an abject failure. German Losses are upwards of 38,000 men, Hundreds of ships and aircraft. The loss of morale is greater still. Losses on the Allied side are 238 aircraft of mixed types, 823 Aircrew, 4 destroyers and numerous small motor torpedo and fast attack boats.
4.00pm - On learning that the invasion has failed, Heinrich Himmler orders the arrest of Wilhelm Kanaris and his senior officers on the charge of high treason, using the rumours he himself started as the basis for the arrests. The Abwehr is disbanded and the Intelligence service is turned over to the SS.
At the same time, Admiral Raeder meets Carl Goerdeler and Ulrich von Hassell to discuss, "hypothetically", the fate of Germany after the failure of Sealion.

End of part one.
 
I'm glad to see this 'Alt' Sealion (1941) fails as expected. However, I think it is very very hard to argue that some significant resistance is going to be put up by the armed forces. In April 1941:

Greece is still an active Ally and Yugoslavia is heading that way.
Preparations to invade the Soviet Union will be underway. Abandoning that is going to be difficult.
Anyone with any sense will realise if it can't be done in 1940, it certainly can't be done in 1941.

Hitler is Hitler, and as far as I can see, you could posit Hitler practically wanting ANYTHING (The moon, Mars, whatever) and I could reasonably expect he'd order it to happen. However, even his most loyal generals will tell him it is a disaster waiting to happen.

Interested though... do continue.
 
I was partially inspired by some of the comments Hitler made after the death of President Roosevelt as a rough yardstick for Hitlers mindset. Even at that stage of the war he is alledged to have seen that as a pre-ordaned sign that he could still win the war. So for something similar, earlier on, I think it is possible to trigger such a bizarre gamble.

Without giving too much away, the loss of Raeder and Kesselring are just the beginning...

Oh crap - I forgot about Africa. oops.
 
May 19th -31st 1941
In Germany and Britain, studies to learn from the failures of Sealion take place with somewhat differing results. In Britain, the failure is attributed to the breaking of German codes and the forewarning that they gave, along with the ability of the Royal Navy and the RAF to respond quickly.
In Germany, the official report states that the Invasion plans were betrayed by spies placed by British Intelligence, and that intelligence provided by the Abwehr was fabricated by enemies of the state. This was used as the basis for a number of trials, resulting in the death by executions of Kanaris and his senior staff.
The SD, now controlling the Abwehr sends messages to it's "spies" in England recalling them to Germany. Most of the agents advise that for various reasons, they are unable to return straight away or are "arrested and executed", (those who turned fully and committed to the Allied cause after learning of the deaths of the Abwehr leaders and many of their associates, or for other reasons, began to actively collaborate with MI5, assisting with interrogations of captured aircrew or newly landed spies).
In occupied France reprisals against the French for assisting in the defeat of Sealion are extreme, In towns where the townsfolk refuse to give up all the Maquis, the population are decimated, literally 1 in 10 executed at random, including women and children. In smaller villages and Hamlets, the entire populations are moved to German concentration camps or massacred by Sondercommando units. These continue until 4th June 1941. Far from crushing French resistance, it is merely hardened.
In Berlin, Hitler is persuaded to postpone Operation Barbarossa by the skillful arguments of a number of Generals, members of the as yet undiscovered Berlin Schwatze Kappela, intent on removing Hitler from power. Operation Barbarossa is postponed first to July 1st, then July 31st, August 16th and finally, September 1st. A build up of tension between Finland and the Soviet union prompts Hitler to make troop transfer agreements with the Finns in return for allowing Finland to purchase arms and materiel from the Germans, (same as in OTL).
Following his meeting with Carl Goerdeler and Ulrich von Hassell, Admiral Raeder petitions successfully to resind his resignation, and rejoin the Kriegsmarine. Donitz remains in his position, but makes Raeder Generaladmiral Marine-Schützen, head of the German Marines.
May 21st - Admiral Donitz orders the Bismark and Prinz Eugen to hold at Bergen pending further orders. He consults with Raeder regarding the original orders and decides, on the suggestion of Admiral Raeder to cancel the initial sea cruise of both ships.

By the end of May, the Prime Minister has recovered the majority of his short term memory and his balance, and against medical advice, decides to resume limited duties and public appearences. The day to day running of the country is handles by Clement Attlee, as before.
General Rommel sends a request to OKW for reinforcements for the African campaign. The request is refused on the basis that insufficient resources are available following the aborted invasion of England, and that the Operation against the communist menace is still scheduled to succeed. Rommel requests permission from OKW to consolidate his lines prior to reopening an offensive against the Commonwealth. The request is devolved to Generalfeldmarschall List, (based in Greece, he is the closest to Africa and is ajudged to have the best view), who is reported to have signed it along with the message "Do as you feel you need to ensure the best result". Rommel accepts this without question.

June 1941
David Stirling writes the last proposition paper regarding special raiding units. A month later it is accepted and the SAS is born.
Churchill is medically adjudged to have fully recovered from his wounds and retakes control of day to day activities. One of his first activities is to visit areas of the south coast affected by the fighting. At one stop in Wittersham, a small Kent village defended soley by Brigadier Percy Hobart (ret) and a platoon of Home Guard volunteers, the village had been described as "a hedgehog of bristling defiance" during the fighting. While speaking with Hobart, Churchill listens with great interest to his ideas regarding specialist armoured vehicles. While the Whitehall establishment give scant regard to the idea, Capt B H Liddell Hart, writes to Churchill and shortly after writes an article for the Sunday Pictoral critisizing the inertia within the war department over the matter leading Churchill to personally call Brigadier Hobart out of retirement.
The first design of what become known as "Hobarts Funnies" is a tank with a mounted roller of carpet to get tanks through soft sand or other unstable ground in the desert campaign.
A small commando raid into occupied Belgium runs aground and sinks 2 container ships at the Entrance to the harbour at Zeebrugge. Although neither ship is particularly large, or are able to block the entrance, it does enable the commandos to get onto the dock reletively unscathed and complete their diversionarry mission of setting fire to a store of remaining barges similar to the type used in the invasion attempt. The force of 100 commandos and the crews of the two shipsare able to escape on a third ship of shallow draught brought to Westerdam. 2 commandos are killed and 4 injured, along with 2 navy crewmen injured. Vice Admiral John Hughes Hallett puts forward the idea that this can be used to form bridges to get armoured forces ashore in the eventual invasion of the Continent.
Towards the end of June, the north African Campaign settles into a near stalemate as the Germans are taking no major offensive action, while the Allies continue with a build up of resources.

July 1941
The RAF and Luftwaffe recommence operations, this time with the RAF having the upper hand. Aircraft production was barely slowed during the invasion attempt, and a number of Lease/Lend Aircraft begin to arrive including P40 Warhawks which are routed to RAF Middle East Command.
German reconoisance flights over the Soviet Union begin to be scaled back. In the Kremlin, Stalin carries through a soft purge of those that reported that Germany has been planning an invasion with the offenders being demoted and sent to the Far East Command. In the meantime, diplomatic negotiations with Finland continue with Soviet demands becoming more aggressive. The Finnish Government make further overtures to the Nazi government for Support. The Nazi government sell the Finns a number of frontline fighters and bombers, as well as small and medium arms. Plans for German artillery pieces, including the FLAK88 are procured by VALMET and the first Flak 88's are rolling off the line by the end of the month.
RAF Fighter sweeps see a kill rate of approximately 2.9:2 in favour of the RAF. Although more German Pilots are recovered, (mostly those shot down over France or Belgium), a greater number of Allied Pilots make their way back to Britian thanks to the native resistance groups operating in the area.
RAF Bomber operations increase against Germany with the use of night time area bombing. By Mid July, the number of bombers used and sorties flown exceeds those of the Luftwaffe for the first time in the war.
Royal Navy Intelligence and SIS become aware that their contacts in the German intelligence network have dried up. Other intelligence officers make descreet enquiriesas to what has happened. The deaths of Kanaris and the fate of the Abwehr become known to the allies. Operation Hollywood, and effort to fake credible footage of Hitler and other Nazi high ups engaged in sadomasochistic, homosexual or other deviant* practices gets underway.

August 1941
Operation Armada begins in the African deserts. The aims of the operation are two fold: Relieve Torbruk and create a defensable line to prevent further German incursions, while reinforcing Torbruk from the sea. The initial push by the Commonwealth forces sees some success, however the convoys travelling from Malta to the besieged garrison suffer significant losses, only 70% of the intended resupply of men, equipment and supplies makes it in. The additional forces are welcomed however and are immediately put out to relieve soldiers on the front lines. Further supply convoys suffer less and less losses as the American supplied P40 Warhawks begin to arrive in theatre until by the end of August, one convoy, MX1423 although suffering some damage for a submarine attack, arrives complete in Torbruk.
By this stage, the Desert Luftwaffe, suffering from a lack of replacement aircraft, aircrew and spare parts is down to 78% of it's starting size, meaning it is finding it difficult to maintain it's core duties of air superiority over Axis held territory. Rommel makes further demands for reinforcements and equipment from both the German and Italian governments. While the Italian government agrees and sends another 2 divisions, plus an air wing, the German command again refuses. On September 1st 1941, Rommel is recalled to Germany for consultations with OKW.

September 1941
British commando raids on the Lefoten Islands cause little actual damage except to a fish oil processing plant. the German garrison suffers only minor injuries, however 1 British commando and 1 Norwegian civillian are killed and small numbers wounded. The raid is claimed as a success by the British and a failure by the Germans. In the Middle East, the land Offensive, bouyed by reinforcements from India, Australia and South Africa relieves Torbruk.
While convalessing from the conditions of desert service, Rommel meets with Admiral Raeder, and later Goerdeler and Von Hassell. The upshot is that he agrees, hypothetically, on what path the German government should take in the event of some as yet unspecified catastrophe.
Border clashes between Finland and the USSR take place at a low level, but although trumpeted by PRAVDA as naked Finnish Aggression, STAVKA do not use this as a provocation to war, however it is hinted at during trade negotiations relating to Petsamo.
The air offensive against Germany heats up with the RAF comitting over 500 bombers to attack munitions plants in the Ruhr. Casualties are running at 17% among bomber crews, leading to Arthur Harris gaining the nickname Butcher Harris among the crews.


*by the standards of the time
 
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Bit of a necro post, but would anyone genuinely be interested in seeing thsi continue?
 
They've pushed back Barbarossa to one month before the fall rains turn the roads in Russia to mud? This'll be awesome.

Operation Hollywood, and effort to fake credible footage of Hitler and other Nazi high ups engaged in sadomasochistic, homosexual or other deviant* practices gets underway.
*by the standards of the time

"Ensign Jones? We've done an exhaustive search, and it seems that of all the men serving in His Majesty's armed forces, you bear the closest physical resemblance to Adolf Hitler. British Intelligence would like you to volunteer for… how do I put this…"
 
Thanks.
I'm working on the next installment - Oct to Dec '41 at the moment.
I'm thinking the Far East will continue pretty much as per OTL inc Japanese attck on Pearl Harbour.
 
September 1941 (Continued)

As preparations for the commencement of Operation Barbarossa near completion, Hitler calls a conference of his Generals. During the conference, Hitler wavers in his plan to attack the Soviet Union. A number of Generals offer cogent advice on why the attack should be postoned, lack of winter provisions, state of the transport networks, disposition of troops on both sides. The argument that finally sways Hitler comes instead from Albert Speer stating that a devestating development in weapons technology could remove the need for a protracted campaign, and such a development would be ready for demonstration soon. Hitler agrees and Op Barbarossa is provisionally postponed until March 1st 1942.

Mid September, first tests of a road laying tank, based on a Matilda II, has a roll of Canvas held to width with wooden slats, mounted on the rear of the hull requiring the tank to reverse across the terrain. Initial tests show that over short distances, (the rolls can only carry 30 yards of the slatted canvas), the roll greatly assists the tank across both soft sand and loose shingle. A second test mounting the roll to the front of the New Churchill tank shows more promise, however the wooden slats are destroyed by the weight of the new tank. Hobart is able to use off cuts of steel in place of the wood and this meets with greater success. A run of 100 bolt-on carpet layer units is ordered for field testing in North Africa.

October 1941

Beria concludes Stalin's soft purge of STAVKA. Zhukov is ordered to prepare plans for an invasion of Finland following the Petsamo talks. Provisionally a date is set for Spring 1942. Molotov begins a diplomatic campaign against Finland, accusing them of using the Petsamo talks as a delaying tactic in order to engage in a new attack on "the peace loving free workers of the Soviet Union", citing the continued mobilisation of Finnish reserves as notheing but the preparations for war. Molatov, and the Soviet Leadership are unaware how accurate those words are.
RAF Fighter Sweeps of Western France, Belgium and the Netherlands continue with the kill ratio increasing to 3:2 in the RAF's favour. An increase in Bombing raids over Germany leads to a corresponding increase in lost aircraft, however recovery rates of downed air crew continues to increase meaning that the majority of surviving aircrew landing in occupied territory being recovered, with only crews landing in Germany proper facing the prospect of internment as POWs. Among the pilots returning is Wing Co Douglas Bader.
The first five SGRT (Soft Ground Road, Tank), attachments are fitted, (quickly gain the nickname Sarge due to the similarity to the abbreviation for Sergeant - SGT), and tested around Torbruk. Initial reports are favourable and the Steel & Canvas production model is brought in.
Kesselring, Rommel and Raeder meet to ostensibly discuss the situation in North Africa. In gaurded tones, they also discuss hypothetically how to protect Germany in the event of a "Counter revolutionary Putsch by undesirable elements, or an attack by a third party nation". It is agreed that a Transitional Military government would be required followed at a later date by the gradual move to Civillian Rule once the danger had passed. When Raeder passes the content of the discussions to Von Hassel & Goerdeler, they are initially concerned at the idea of a military government, Raeder suggests a compromise, that civil matters such as agriculture and civil health remain the sole responsibility of the civil government and that Law & Order will be the first area to be returned to the civil government on the restoration of order. Each of the men, in unspoken agreement begin to quietly canvass support among their subordinates.


November 1941

Finnish Border guards report an increase in cross border travel from Soviet territory. Most of the visitors claim to be lumber buyers for various state organisations. Whilst tailing the "lumber buyers", Valpo officers observe them behaving in a suspicious manner. At the same time, unknown to Valpo, Finnish military intelligence notice their sources in Karelia going quiet on them, NKVD counter intelligence action is suspected.

Prior to being recertified for Flying, Wing Co Bader is asked to look into the feasibility of fighter escort for daylight bombing raids. Bader revisits his "Beehive" plan for bomber tactics and works it for fighters to protect the bombers. The range of protection is determined by the range of the Spitfire's fuel tanks, but the option for daylight tactical bombing with heavy fighter escort is put forward to the Air Ministry for evaluation.
By the end of November, Bader recieves his certification and returns to 11grp over seeing among others, his old squadron - 242 Sqn.

Operation Crusader begins to ensure that Torbruk is secured. In addition to the main sweep along the coastal road, the 7th Armoured Division, spearheaded by Sarge Churchills and supported by the South African ist Infantry Division land to the west of Torbruk to block any possible reinforcements for the Axis forces. Although the small combined force land in good order and are able to clear the beaches with no issues, by the time they have formed up and taken their position the main Axis force under General Ludwig Crüwell have already retreated to El Agheila. The operation is ajudged a success and glowing reports regarding the effectiveness of the Sarge Tanks leads to greater thought being given to specialist armoured vehicles. By the year end, the flail tank attachment has been tested and sent for field testing with the 8th Army.

As an "Intellectual exercise", Stalin orders STAVKA to consider a plan for "re-uniting mis placed Soviet Territory in two seperate regions currently occupied in part by other powers". The plan is to be submitted by the 1st December with a thoretical execution date of Mid February.


December 1941

STAVKA drop the pretense on Stalin's orders. The plans for the invasion of Finland and Poland are presented to Stalin and his cabinet for approval. Stalin makes a small number of minor changes and the plans are approved with a start date of March 1st 1942 to coincide with the end of the 5 year defence plan begun in 1937.

Early Versions of the A-4 Rocket and the Fi 103 Pilotless bomb are demonstrated to Albert Speer who endorses the recommendation that they are demonstrated to RLM as soon as possible.
The demonstration is given just before Christmas. Although the A-4 is dismissed by Hitler as being "like an artillery shell that's a little bit bigger and a lot more expensive", however he see's the potential of the Fi 103 and it is agreed by RLM that funding will be made available for the project with a production prototype to be demonstrated no later than Feb 1st 1942.

In Whitehall, Lord Mountbatten presents the War cabinet with plans for a raid on a French coast port to take place in the Spring on 1942. The concept is to take and hold a coastal port for a period of a day or so as a proof of concept prior to a fullscale Liberation of France and the defeat of Germany. The proposals are Saint Malo in Normandy, Dieppe, north of LeHarve or Zebrugge in Belgium.

December 7th 1941, the Empire of Japan attacks the American Pacific fleet at Pearl Harbour, (attack and results as OTL). The United States of America declares War on the Empire of Japan, and the following day, Germany declares war on the United States of America.

Kesselring, Rommel, Raeder, Goerdeler and von Hassell meet at a Christmas party. They decide a plan to take effective control of the government in the event of an "unprecedented National Emergency". In order to avoid any suspicion, it is decided that this plan will take the name of an already approved civil defence plan and name it Fall Valkyrie.
 
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So the Germans and Soviets are planning on attacking each other at similar times? In that case the advantage could go to he who strikes first.

By OTL events around Pearl Harbour do you mean that american is at war with Germany?
 
Edited, thanks for the heads up.

The far east will go more or less as original. Currently the USSR and Japan have a non-aggression pact, (IIRC), so the eastern frontier should be safe for now.
For the moment, I'll leave the far east and concentrate on Europe and USSR. If all goes to plan I'll do the far east as a seperate line, affected by the butterflies from Europe and it's own PODs.
 
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I would laugh so hard if neither side realised what was going on and tey both ordered their troops to cross the borders on the same day really and wonder how much longer it will be before North Africa is firmly in the hands of the allies
 
So the Germans and Soviets are planning on attacking each other at similar times? In that case the advantage could go to he who strikes first.

That could be particularly bad for the Soviets, if they're taken by surprise. Supply depots and large concentrations of relatively elite units would be on the border or very near to it in preparation for offensive action. That leaves them extremely vulnerable to being cut off and destroyed in the initial kettle battles.

That still probably leaves the USSR better off than OTL, simply because there's been more time to build reserves and expand capacity away from the front, and rebuild the Soviet officer corps. Still, the initial battles might have brutally high losses even compared to OTL, particularly among the USSR's best quality troops.

The USSR is getting relatively stronger compared to Germany, but the latter isn't completely standing still in terms of weapons development given the last updates, and has been given more time to logistically prepare for Barbarossa. Might we see the kind of mutual body-blows of OTL-1943 begin almost immediately after the initial blitzkrieg and kettle battles?
 
Flip a coin

Back fom the grave again. I'm revisiting this thread, so am deciding who attacks who first. The relative start dates are likely to be within a few weeks of each other so there will be no significant advantage.

I suspect that the Germans would recover better in the event of a Soviet attack although a change in government could infact be exactly the wrong thing to do.

Back to this soon methinks.
 

sharlin

Banned
I think though the soviets will do a lot better, they would have been churning out the T-34 and KV-1 which the Germans have no match for and next to no information on and the standard german tanks performed indivdually poorly against the new Soviet vehicles, it was their coordination and training that allowed them to prevail.
Also more modern fighters would be in service and if both sides are ready for an attack there's less risk of one side or the other getting caught on the ground.
 
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