What If Planes Were never Invented?

It was early in the morning, Friday of December 18th, 1903. In a large American city, people were going to work, stopping by to get their issue of the day's newspaper. In the paper, there was a small headline, occupying no more than a quarter of a page, that barely caught the eye of anyone but aviation enthusiasts. Yesterday, there was an accident near Kill Devil Hills, in California - two brothers flew their newly constructed machine and crashed, neither surviving the accident. Most people shrug it off, as yet another of many faliures bound to happen in the process of innovation.

In the following years, each subsequent test either gives unsatisfactory results or comes with injuries or deaths. By 1914, scientific community has largely abandoned hope of producing an airplane-like machine capable of flying any significant distance.

World War I erupts. Both sides, as per tradition, use cavalry for reconnaissance, but that quickly proves to be inefficient. With the information about German advance lacking, BEF is encircled and nearly destroyed at Mons. The battle of Marne is a draw, and Paris is still endangered, however the Russian army scores a crushing victory catching Germans by surprise at Tannenberg, forcing them to abandon the Schlieffen plan and redirect some troops to the East.

The fighting continues as usually. German offensive operations are marginally more successful than in OTL, and Entente is put in somewhat difficult position because of German near total air superiority thanks to their airships. Entente eventually develops their own airship fleet, outproduces Germany and establishes air superiority. Airships become more efficient fighting machines, and see use in 1918 Spring Offensive, where Entente eventually overpowers Germany and force it to capitulate, ending World War I.

Bitter and beaten Germany attempts to make a comeback under the leadership of Adolf Hitler, and attempts to utilize airships on large scale in it's new doctrine - the Blitzkrieg. However, airships prove unsuitable for the task, doing negligible damage to the Allied troops. German war machine is significantly less effective than in OTL. French army holds it's ground after being pushed back some, and Germany gets bogged down in trench warfare again. German scientist attempt to create a new type of flying machine - the helicopter - but before any significant number is produced, USSR invades German sphere from the east. Without Luftwaffe to provide him with air superiority over the Red Army, Hitler is defeated by 1942.

Japan was still nuked, although the Atom Bomb was deployed from a gigantic ship cannon.

Back in Europe, the Red Army and the Allied forces are on the brink of open conflict, as both attempt to persuade neutral nations to join their respective blocks. Fortunately, the development of nuclear missiles by both sides, soon followed by Japan, prevented this from happening. All three sides engage in multiple proxy wars around the globe, where helicopters start taking the spotlight. But this flying machine cannot replace the planes entirely - it is slower and has shorter range. Helicopters are never used commercially, where ships and airships (the latter now abandoned by the military) remain the most used in civilian overseas transport.

As a result, the world is overally less connected, and all three superpowers have no ability of a fast, immediate response, and don't have an advantage so terrifying as a quick, devastating airstrike, over the smaller nations. The world is much more multipolar, with smaller nations not having to fear a bombing campaign (at least not a very effective one) from a far-flung superpower. Many wars also prove significantly more bloody - for example, in 1999, NATO is forced to deploy ground troops to Kosovo, and experiences a grinding, bloody campaign against the Serbian defenders, diminishing the alliance's image in the world. The terrorists hijack a US blimp and fly it into the Twin Towers, raising concerns for the safety of this mode of travel. Humanity never develops full control of the air, and that's where we are today.
 
IMO it is ASB that no one can't invent planes. Humans have tried flying things already ages and even if Wrights fail, someone inevitably would succeed later and probably yet before WW1.
 

Garrison

Donor
It was early in the morning, Friday of December 18th, 1903. In a large American city, people were going to work, stopping by to get their issue of the day's newspaper. In the paper, there was a small headline, occupying no more than a quarter of a page, that barely caught the eye of anyone but aviation enthusiasts. Yesterday, there was an accident near Kill Devil Hills, in California - two brothers flew their newly constructed machine and crashed, neither surviving the accident. Most people shrug it off, as yet another of many faliures bound to happen in the process of innovation.

In the following years, each subsequent test either gives unsatisfactory results or comes with injuries or deaths. By 1914, scientific community has largely abandoned hope of producing an airplane-like machine capable of flying any significant distance.
Sorry but the highlighted borders on ASB. Aircraft aren't magic and if the Wright brothers failed someone else would have succeeded soon after. The idea that people would just give up on the airplane is honestly nonsensical.
 
It was early in the morning, Friday of December 18th, 1903. In a large American city, people were going to work, stopping by to get their issue of the day's newspaper. In the paper, there was a small headline, occupying no more than a quarter of a page, that barely caught the eye of anyone but aviation enthusiasts. Yesterday, there was an accident near Kill Devil Hills, in California - two brothers flew their newly constructed machine and crashed, neither surviving the accident. Most people shrug it off, as yet another of many faliures bound to happen in the process of innovation.

In the following years, each subsequent test either gives unsatisfactory results or comes with injuries or deaths. By 1914, scientific community has largely abandoned hope of producing an airplane-like machine capable of flying any significant distance.

World War I erupts. Both sides, as per tradition, use cavalry for reconnaissance, but that quickly proves to be inefficient. With the information about German advance lacking, BEF is encircled and nearly destroyed at Mons. The battle of Marne is a draw, and Paris is still endangered, however the Russian army scores a crushing victory catching Germans by surprise at Tannenberg, forcing them to abandon the Schlieffen plan and redirect some troops to the East.

The fighting continues as usually. German offensive operations are marginally more successful than in OTL, and Entente is put in somewhat difficult position because of German near total air superiority thanks to their airships. Entente eventually develops their own airship fleet, outproduces Germany and establishes air superiority. Airships become more efficient fighting machines, and see use in 1918 Spring Offensive, where Entente eventually overpowers Germany and force it to capitulate, ending World War I.

Bitter and beaten Germany attempts to make a comeback under the leadership of Adolf Hitler, and attempts to utilize airships on large scale in it's new doctrine - the Blitzkrieg. However, airships prove unsuitable for the task, doing negligible damage to the Allied troops. German war machine is significantly less effective than in OTL. French army holds it's ground after being pushed back some, and Germany gets bogged down in trench warfare again. German scientist attempt to create a new type of flying machine - the helicopter - but before any significant number is produced, USSR invades German sphere from the east. Without Luftwaffe to provide him with air superiority over the Red Army, Hitler is defeated by 1942.

Japan was still nuked, although the Atom Bomb was deployed from a gigantic ship cannon.

Back in Europe, the Red Army and the Allied forces are on the brink of open conflict, as both attempt to persuade neutral nations to join their respective blocks. Fortunately, the development of nuclear missiles by both sides, soon followed by Japan, prevented this from happening. All three sides engage in multiple proxy wars around the globe, where helicopters start taking the spotlight. But this flying machine cannot replace the planes entirely - it is slower and has shorter range. Helicopters are never used commercially, where ships and airships (the latter now abandoned by the military) remain the most used in civilian overseas transport.

As a result, the world is overally less connected, and all three superpowers have no ability of a fast, immediate response, and don't have an advantage so terrifying as a quick, devastating airstrike, over the smaller nations. The world is much more multipolar, with smaller nations not having to fear a bombing campaign (at least not a very effective one) from a far-flung superpower. Many wars also prove significantly more bloody - for example, in 1999, NATO is forced to deploy ground troops to Kosovo, and experiences a grinding, bloody campaign against the Serbian defenders, diminishing the alliance's image in the world. The terrorists hijack a US blimp and fly it into the Twin Towers, raising concerns for the safety of this mode of travel. Humanity never develops full control of the air, and that's where we are today.

As noted this is highly unlikely as if we're being technical the Wright's only were the first "controlled" powered flight nowhere near the first "flight" (which was the 1890s) and others flew powered controlled flights soon after. (Arguments are still made the Wright's were not the first :) )

Powered heavier-than-air flight was going to happen sooner rather than later and there's almost no chance it won't be wide-spread once it happens.

Randy
 
Glider flight, by the Wrights and others, was already well established. Clement Ader had already flown a recognisable powered aircraft several years earlier, even if the limited directional control disqualifies it from being the official 'first'. The PoD needs to be pushed back pretty far to keep aircraft on the ground for another century or more.

A couple of other points:
1 - Helicopters are more complex than fixed wing aircraft. If you have the technology and aerodynamic know-how to build a helicopter, you would have built an aeroplane first.
2 - Kitty Hawk is in North Carolina rather than California, and the Wright brothers generally went up in the early Flyers one at a time, so it's unlikely that an accident would have killed both men (albeit the survivor might well give up on flight afterwards).
 
Hot air balloons already existed long before airplanes. I think they go back to the late 1700s.

The ability of birds to fly obviously proves that heavier than air flight is possible too - mankind just has to figure out how to do it.

So yeah, I think the premise is ~ASB...
 
People had been experimenting with gliders OTL since at least 1891. Once a viable glider is figured out, it is only a matter of time until engines become powerful and light enough to attach to one to make a powered aircraft.


In order to make aircraft impossible I think you need to make internal combustion engines impossible, by altering the world to lack fuel or necessary materials. Either that or make the air inhospitable to aircraft, by making gravity too strong or wind too strong and constant (have us live on Jupiter), or alter the laws of physics so that lift is not a thing. Or find a POD that prevents technology from developing to early 1900 levels. All of these are considered to be topics for the ASB forum.

German scientist attempt to create a new type of flying machine - the helicopter -
Helicopters are far more complicated and technically demanding than the first aircraft. A helicopter is a plane with the wing spinning around on top. A world without planes will not include helicopters, unless you explain how in some detail.
 
1 - Helicopters are more complex than fixed wing aircraft. If you have the technology and aerodynamic know-how to build a helicopter, you would have built an aeroplane first.
Right. What I said, but your said it first.
 
@Terragenesis1989

Hello!

Perchance t'is not that airplanes are 'Never' invented instead might it be the case that they are invented 'LATER' ?

The Wright Brothers owned and operated a bicycle shop. Sadly, due to poor driver skills of early American Duryea drivers both Brothers were sadly expired in separate road incidents.

Their research, like that of Da Vinci, missed by the march of progress.

This leaves airships as the Queens of the sky's as heavier-than-air development continues to stagger along in fits and starts. No other developer quite putting the correct horse power to air screw design correctly.

With the fall of the world's powers into massive conflict. Nations again turn to the tried and tested 'Observation balloon' to try and gain scouting advantages since the poor cavalry are no match for mud, machine guns and barbed wire.

From here the turning point is airships changing the balance as they duel one another for aerial dominance.

Hope that helps for starters. 😀

*At work.
 
IMO it is ASB that no one can't invent planes. Humans have tried flying things already ages and even if Wrights fail, someone inevitably would succeed later and probably yet before WW1.
This. Plus there were prior experiments, and LTA airships. In fact the latter went back decades.
 
Perchance t'is not that airplanes are 'Never' invented instead might it be the case that they are invented 'LATER' .
Inventions can be delayed, often by decades. With engines and fuel available, airplanes would come by the thirties, so a WW1 without them is possible. The best example of a "delayed" invention was the lifesaving technique known as CPR, not perfected until 1958, incredibly late in my opinion.
 
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