I would question why? I think just a larger or changed WNT allowance?
A couple reasons, I think: First, I think the RN would be reluctant to scrap 15in armed battleships so close to their completion, be they QE or R class. Second, Japan doesn't have the numbers for a larger allowance. I doubt they would be interested in keeping
Kawachi and
Settsu in a scenario where the RN is 'all 15in'. Third, while the USN has the numbers, again they would be retaining older 12in armed ships while the RN is all '15in' armed. Finally, I doubt the RN would want the USN and IJN programs that are still on the stocks to continue, be they
Tosas or
Amagis or
South Dakotas or
Lexingtons, as they would wreck the 35,000 ton limit and make older ships death traps should they come into combat with the ships the Washington Treaty historically canceled.
I do think there is an off-chance that each power might be allowed to build one or two treaty compliant new ships, just so the RN can put the lessons of Jutland into practice, but the point of the treaty system was to end the arms race, not to slow it.
Hood was the reason the RN historically only two new 16in armed ships, as she was so far outside the qualitative 35,000 ton limit, though still 15in armed. In the initial draft of 'ships to be retained the RN's premiere capital ship would have been
Hood, the USN's
Maryland and the IJN's
Nagato. The problem was
Mustu, and historically when the Japanese wouldn't give her up, the compromise was made. But the RN was already willing to forego a 16in armed ship.
If you've seen the
F2 and F3 designs over on the BC Board, the our member JohnFrench has stated that the ship the RN really wanted to build on 35,000 tons was F3, but after the treaty was signed they felt compelled to build a 16in armed ship.
My additional thoughts,