I like it. I think we should keep Colorado as part of Sonora. I'm not sure why an authoritarian Tabasco would reunite with the socialists, except an invasion.This is going to be part 1 of my ongoing final check of the world, filling in plot holes and trying to get a character of the world down. This is an exercise in trying to understand what happened here, and these are all suggestions so don’t assume they automatically need to be taken for granted.
Part 1 – Mexico and Central America
Current canon has a Big Mexico that existed the Colombian Revolution under her own volition, separate from the efforts down south. Then in the early 1900s, we currently have a handwave that has Mexico fall apart. So, this part will attempt to establish a backstory for the revolution.
Mexico became independent thanks in part to the ‘black robes’ of the Jesuits who came back shortly after a similar OTL expulsion, and used their ties with both the peasants and the landowners to coordinate revolution Mexico became independent with all the mainland, minus Cuba. She quietly left the Colombians to their struggles, and withdrew from affairs south of Panama. Mexico does not escape the civil unrest that sweeps Latin America post-revolution, this is how Nicaragua and Costa Rica get free and remain free of their two large neighbors. This is all already written in my Colombian Revolution post.
Pre-Rev, Mexico looks like this:
What I wish to explore is how Mexico comes to fall apart. I think the answer lies in this established revolutionary era and geopolitics. Mexico faces unrest, and the two groups with the most power at the time were the generals and the ‘nationalist’ church and their liberal allies. What I am proposing is the church wins this conflict, which is why the warlord peninsula states remain free. These liberals get their constitution and weak republic. The problem is that for all their lofty goals the politicians that get elected care more about protecting their interests, strengthening their home power bases, toppling their enemies, and seizing total power. The central government is weak, and the provincials are strong, federal, and where most democracy is actually happening. Struggles and the threat of violence force the few democrats to remain to call in a caudillo they hope to control and prevent what happened to early Colombia.
What happens next should be something akin to the Porfirio government…but different. The new strong center clamps down on the regional governments, destroying the budding democracy there and leaving legacies for future rebels. Instead, the center becomes all-powerful. Like the Porfirio, the government industrializes Mexico via foreign investment, but this is balanced between a confident Colombia, America, and Europe. The financial rise of Colombia will coincide with more pressure on Mexico to comply with Bogota. Democracy still exists in the center, but with supreme power in the hands of a caudillo, parties are played against one another for his gain. The military isn’t really a institution of any value beyond the elite guard, since Mexico is on good terms with her one large neighbor, and the Caudillo government doesn’t want any rivals from the barracks.
So, we have two underlying problems: Colombia and America’s rise and demand for Mexican markets, and a center that is out of touch with the people and lacks the might to crush a true revolution. Surrounding these issues are minor issues like a powerful and wealthy Clergy, drought from water redistribution to plantations, a growing middle class with demands of democracy and liberal rights, a growing labor class with social demands, peripheral minority growth, and a world order that encourages imperial occupation of minor powers.
With all the dominos lined up, a single trigger will see the entire regime descend into chaos. What I’m proposing first is to push the Mexican Revolution forward a few years, so that it starts before the war. This is first a struggle over the central government, with local identities reasserting themselves as power bases, secessionist fronts, or self-organized defense regions. But they are all loyal to the central government. What should change is the arrival of a Centralist-Socialist government in Mexico City, one that forges ties with the Italians and their new Socialized Church. With the world at war, but not wanting to provoke the Reds to enter against said nation, arms start flowing in against the new government. But when war, fails, the provincials settle into roles as protectorates of one international power or another.
So here is where we get to the states. Tejas, Durango, Tabsco, and Sonora all make sense from a rebel-turned-secessionist point of view – especially if the Socialist government is a Southern radical in the vein of Zapata. California, Deseret, and Guatemala all make sense as peripheries that secede. Considering the domination of the Henequen haciendas and the castes in the region, Yucatan seems like an ideal state that would remain loyal to the central government via revolution. However, the geographic separation forces the establishment of a independent government.
This leaves three governments currently ‘out of time.’ Oaxaca regionalism doesn’t make sense in the context of a southern-based central government, and the separatist movement there is more a modern phenomenon. The Rio Grande remained loyal to the central government in OTL civil war, the conflict there is from the 19th century. Then finally we have the curious case of Colorado. The region lacks an identity in OTL around this period, and certainly wouldn’t remain unoccupied. So, I will suggest something radical – it becomes part of Sonora, forming a new Republic of Grand Sonora. Sonora after all is the center of anti-socialist liberalism during the revolution.
So, something like this post-revolution:
Central America in the modern era is therefore one of the Cold War battle-lines. Socialists in Mexico and Yucatan, American and Colombian backed Democrats and Authoritarians in the North and South, German backed Authoritarians in Tabasco – and all sides fighting for market penetration. Coups, guerrillas, and ‘preservations of order’ in the minor states seem like the order of the day. However, I don’t think the region should just remain the same. Therefore, here might be where Oaxaca becomes free via rebels, but also perhaps Tabasco falls and reunites the twin socialist governments. After all, it would be hard for the Germans to retain their southern ally this deep into the Americas. If Colorado gets free, it would be now via foreign intervention. The downfall of Italy and other multi-polar combatants in this more modern détente brings some stability to a region once plagued by internal strife. Maybe Mexico will hold elections, but voting now for the first time cannot change almost a century of Socialism and anti-clericalism. The idea is to get something a little 'different' from a usual divided Mexico.
So something like this at the end:
When concerning the rest of Central America and the Caribbean, just remember how the US treated this region in OTL. Now you have two overbearing powers, one to the north, one to the south. This is why we had Haiti an ally/puppet of the Dominion for a long time, it reflected American interests down south. Today, maybe there is free trade blocs going on between the various Central American states and the two powers who are on friendly terms.
I like it. I think we should keep Colorado as part of Sonora. I'm not sure why an authoritarian Tabasco would reunite with the socialists, except an invasion.
Reason Bolded. Mexico has a hard time recognizing all the separatists as legitimate, so when alliances falter, she pounces.
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In this case, I find it hard why Oaxaca would still be independent. I think this should be what should be the final Mexico.
What's next?
Wouldn't the White population be located in the highlands because of the tropical diseases found along the coast, or was medicine advanced enough by that time to sustain a large white population?I'm gonna develop New Guinea in the meantime.
There are two main languages in The Republic of New Guinea: German, and Pisin-Sprak, a German pidgin language that is used as a lingua franca.
The economy of New Guinea is better than OTL PNG (Papua New Guinea), and there is far less crime in the cities. Because of the beaches and profitable Bird-of-Paradise trade, German settlers are a sizable minority, mostly concentrated in the coasts. Most of these settlers speak the New Guinea dialect of German (known as Neu-Guinea Deutsch), which is closely related to Low Saxon and Prussian dialects in Metropolitan Germany. The majority of these settlers come from wealthy, even noble families. Thus, the German-speaking coastal areas are extremely wealthy, while the inland native areas are poorer and far more rural. The Republic still has strong ties to the Reich, and is a very popular tourist destination, with flights from Berlin and Hamburg to Humboldtstadt (OTL Jayapura) and Herbertshöhe (OTL Kokopo) happening almost everyday in the wintertime.
@Oryxslayer any suggestions?
Well actually I probably didn't think this through, the actual reason of the larger amount of settlement is more... complicated.Wouldn't the White population be located in the highlands because of the tropical diseases found along the coast, or was medicine advanced enough by that time to sustain a large white population?
Well, that's quite unfortunate for the natives. What were the crops grown by German colonists on plantations?Well actually I probably didn't think this through, the actual reason of the larger amount of settlement is more... complicated.
For inspiration, I turn into this Germanpropagandanews page stating: "... according to our opinion it might be possible to create out of the island a German Java, a great trade and plantation colony, which would form a stately foundation stone for a German colonial kingdom of the future." So, the ports, such as Herbertshöhe, Humboldtstadt, and Fierlstadt are significantly larger than OTL, and the flatter coastal areas are turned into plantations, with the natives being exploited. There is so much plantations that many Americans refer to New Guinea as "Germany's South" The highlands are relatively intact, since the Germans discovered that the native Birds-of-Paradise feathers never run out, bird-of-paradise hats became a international craze.
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An example of such hats.
So, there are so many Germans in New Guinea because the Germans turned it into their Java.
Mostly cash crops that could grow well in the tropics such as tobacco, cotton, sugar cane, bananas, coffee, palm oil and rubber. In the west, the Germans also had spice plantations, since the Moluccas (also known as the spice islands) were literally right next door. There were also a few tea plantations in the highlands, but since China was nearby, they didn't find a whole lot of success in that.Well, that's quite unfortunate for the natives. What were the crops grown by German colonists on plantations?
That is for sure.Also, when concerning Papua, there are people on the island even today in OTL who are as close to outside the political system one can get. It wouldn't be hard for a white government to rule the coasts and towns, while some highlands tribes are basically left to their own devices.
@Spens1 could you make the political parties of new guinea?
okSure? I'll have a read of the background information (they're German right?) and i'll make a list.
thank youSegregierten Regierung makes no sense in German, use something like Rassentrennung instead.