"Schwarz-Rot-Gold für immer" A victorious Weimar Republic

Chapter 1: Ebert lives
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"Louise please, I do not have time for this. I need to take care of this court case, then I'll see a doctor for my stomache ache" he tried to deflect her question, but as usual, he had little chances. He was probably the most powerful man in Germany, its president and yet his wife could always command him like a little child.
"The court cases will proced with or without you. But the Republic need its president in good health and alive. Please, do it for me"

Friedrich Ebert sighed, in the end she was right as usual and as if to reinforce her point, he felt sharp sting in is abdomen, when he tried to stand up to embrace her. "As always my dear, you are much wiser than me"

What a life saver Luise Ebert, Reichspräsident Friedrich Eberts wife had been to him during this conversation in 1924. While her husband still protested, his doctor in the end forced an operation on him, during which his gallblader and his appendix were removed. While still weakened by this operation, he had to witness the courts ruling of the so called "Beleidigungsprozess". This court case was about a Gemran newspaper putting blame on Ebert for the defeat of the German Empire during the Great War, Ebert had answered these accusation by sueing the paper for defamation. Now the courts ruling was, on first glance, in Eberts favour, as it found the newspaper guilty. However, the court also noted, that the newspaper had not lied by blaming Ebert.

"Still so many monarchists and reactionaries in the courts, its disgusting" Louise commented, as she and her husband received the news. But her husband, although still weak, placed a calming hand on their shoulder and said "Don't worry about them dear. Sooner than later they will be history. We will bring change and progress, if they like it or not"

"First you'll have to get back your strenght. Than we'll deal with this situation and whip a government into shape. And then we'll make sure you get reelected next year" Friedrich Ebert sighed, this still somewhat distant election would be a nightmare for sure. He was a democrat through and through, but whenever he thought about the next presidential election, he couldn't help but envy the old Kaiser, who never had to face such hardships.


Friedrich and Louise Ebert:
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This an idea I have had for quite a long time. What if Friedrich Ebert does not die in office and instead remains Reichspräsident and continues to fight for the young Weimar Republic. Does it have a chance to resist what lays ahead, could he and his allies lead the Republic to a propserous and peaceful future?
I'll probably post a few thing over the weeks and see how popular this is, so stay tuned.​
 
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Go for it.

BTW: Eberts term would have ended on June 30th 1925, while it is possible for the Reichstag to extend it (again) with 2/3 majority, that's rather unlikely.
 
Chapter 2: The Weimar Coalition
The Weimar Coalition

"Herr Stressemann, Herr Marx, Herr Weser. Otto, Hermann" It had been two months since the operation and the Reichspräsident had recovered. He wasn't feeling completely well, but that was an untainable dream for a man of his position and "form" anyway. The right-wing and monarchist press was still running amok with the court case and it was still hurting him. But, to protect the Republik, he had to take these insults and carry on. The election was much more important than this court case, which is why the leaders of the SPD and the other democratic parties (DDP, Zentrum and DVP) had gathered here.

"It is good to see you in good condition, Reichspräsident. Loosing you to something like that would have been an unimaginable loose" Stresseman and he earned a deep chuckle from Ebert. "Always the diplomat this Stresseman" he thought to himself, before he moved on to the topic at hand.

"The election will soon be upon us. The Parlamentswahlen last December had been a sucsess for us, pushing back against that brown and communist rabble" the man surrounding him mumbled in agreement, although there was a certain tension in the air. Just a few weeks earlier they had done everything they could to keep the SPD out of the governement. Although a comfortable majority would have been possible for the so called "Weimar Coalition", they had decided against it, instead support the independent Luther as Kanzler and forming a coalition with the right-wing DNVP. But for now, Ebert, Wels and Müller ignored this slight and focused on the much more important election ahead.

"While you have fullfilled your duties as Präsident like nobody else could have and although you have been the unmoving beam of stability within our nation, you must know, Reichspräsident, that it is rather hard for us to fully support you. We would risk our current coalition with DNVP" Marx didn't sugarcoat the situation and one could almost see Stressemann and Weser whince at this bluntness. However he was correct, the DNVP and it newspapers had always been the ones that used every opportunity to attack the Reichspräsident. Their coalitions partners openly supporting him would certainly put the coalition under great pressure. Which was even more worrying for them, considering the usually rather volatile nature of governments in Germany.

"I will be honest with you Herr Ebert. THe DNVP has offered us to form a "Reichsblock" and elect the mayor of Duisburg Karl Jarres and many in my party are favouring it. While I would personally prefer your continued presidency, I can not just turn against my party in that regard. I am sorry" Ebert was no suprised by Stressemanns words, of course there had been rumours about this right-wing coalition to elect their own president and in the end the DVP had always tried to keep the SPD as far away from power as they could. He barely nooded as an answer and after a few moments, Stresseman took his leave and silence remained in the room. Even without the DVP, they could hope to win the election, if the Zentrum and DDP would united behind Ebert.

"While I and Herr Weser are willing to support you, we can not be sure that our parties will completely stand behind you. We will have to fight hard for you to win. Also, while the Zentrum will do all it can, the BVP is much less willign to do that". Marx explained what Ebert already knew, but he was neither angry nor annoyed by this. It was actually reassuring to know that at least the Zentrum and DDP would support him, even if they didn't show much enthusiasm for it.
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Well, this part was mostly talking and setting up the coming election. The SPD stands behind Ebert, the DDP accepts him, the Zentrum/BVP alliance is split and the DVP is on the DNVPs side. How will the election go and who will become Germanys Reichspräsident. The future of the nation is on the line.​
 

Deleted member 94680

Watching this one. Nice to see a Weimar TL where the PoD is in the '20s.

Be interesting to see what changes you have planned, Weimar had many systemic weaknesses that laid the foundations for it's downfall. Hopefully it'll be more than one man staying around longer than OTL.
 
Chapter 2: The first round of the election
The first round of elections

„Wählt Jarres, wählt SCHWARZ-WEIß-ROT!“ the poster was the usual DNVP garbage and Joachim had little interest for the “big and strong imperial eagle” that “proudly” spread its wings across the poster. Joachim on the other hand was plastering his own poster right next to it, so that people would know which party was the one helping the actual people and not the aristocracy and the capital.

“Wählt Fortschritt und Freiheit. Wählt Schwarz-Rot-Gold. Wählt den Reichspräsidenten Friedrich Ebert“ was written in bold letters on his own poster and he let it sink in for a moment. The text in the top of it, directly above the head of the president, whos stoic and determined gaze called upon all true democrats to fight for the Republic. On the bottom was the German flag, with the three partys of the “Weimar Koalition” filling their respective colour. The Zentrum und the black band, the SPD on the centre red band and the DDP on the golden band. It filled Joachim with pride for a few moments, before he went on.

“However, he didn’t get far, before he ran into the “Braunes Pack” the Nazis and their friends. They were 4 and Joachim was alone and they had already spotted the posters in his hand. He wasn’t one of them, so he was an enemy and they were nothing but brutal thugs. They would have showed that, were it not for the Schupo patrol that passed them right now. Here in Nürnberg, the Bayrische Schutzpolizei was not the biggest friend of the socialists, but they were much, much less friendly to the Nazis, even if Nürnberg was their stronghold. The police men looked at the Nazis thugs, almost telling them to do it, to beat up this red and in return be turned into bloody pulp by them. The Nazis were not stupid enough for that, in the end like most bullies and thugs they were cowards and only felt save if they outnumbered their foes. And four of them against a dozen policemen didn’t sound fun.

So they just hurried away and Joachim decided to stay as close as he could to the patrol until, five minutes later he ran into a larger group of Reichbanner men. The police also eyes the Reichsbanner suspiciously, afterall the Reichbanner was dominated by SPD, but just marched on. In the end the Reichsbanner usually only defended itself and didn’t cause trouble, which made them much more bareable for the police then the Nazis thugs.

“Joachim, plastering on your own again? One day you’ll get you skulls smashed in by the thugs you crazy idiot” his troops leader, Michael commented while smiling, it was all ok.

“If we only run around in big groups we’ll never get the city covered” Joachim defended himself, but his commander only shock his head as Joachim now joined the group. He was right in the end, but plastering the entire city was not worth loosing half his group to the Nazi thugs.



In Berlin, the situation was also tense, but still more civil than in Nürnberg. The Völkische and their Nazi thugs were much weaker here and the Preußische Schutzpolizei was much, much less tolerating of them. The Nazis had learned their lesson after the first two clashes, after several dozen of them had ended up in the hospital with cracked skulls they no longer challenged the police and made sure to only act when they were absent. There were still clashes between the DNVP followers and the Reichsbanner, but those were mostly just shouting matches or at best small brawls, that were quickly ended by the police. The poor DVP on the other hand desperately tried not to get caught in between. To their own allies they were untrustworthy for having cooperated with the socialists before, to the Reichsbanner they were traitors who sold out the republic. They were not to be envied.

But in the end, the election remain relatively civil and then, the day was there. Millions of people had lined up even before the polling stations opened, but still with only 66% the turnout for the first round was underwhelming.

Friedrich Ebert and his wife were sitting in the presidential residence, away from the constant new results that flooded the headquarters off all parties. They would sit here and wait, until the first proper results came in. By then it was already three in the morning.

“The President is in the lead. 44% of the vote and at least 6 points in the lead” the aide came into their private quarters and the atmosphere noticeably relaxed. They had not achieved a absolute majority, not that he had expected one, but he was still leading. This was a good sign, they could build upon this. Maybe, just maybe they could be lucky and actually mobilize enough people to win the second round. All they needed in that was a simple majority.

Friedrich and Louise hugged each other tightly, it was a good night after all.



Two days later, the final results were in and Eberts had decreased by quite a little. He had gotten 44% and Jarres 40%, with the remaining votes split between Thälmann, Held and Ludendorff. Their worst case would be the BVP and Völkische rallying behind Jarres, together they could maybe beat them. However, while the SPD, Zentrum and DDP leadership was discussing their plans for the next round, a messenger ran into the room, panicked and panting heavily.

“The DNVP has nominated a new candidate, Jarres is out” the present men and women were shocked at first,but gathered themselves quickly. The DNVP loosing its cool and throwing in a new candidate could fracture the right and make Eberts victory much easier. But, once the messenger said the name of the new candidate, everybody fell into eerie silence.

“Hindenburg, they nominated Hindenburg” this was really bad. Jarres was a DVP man, but he was an opponent they knew and respected. Hinderburg was worse, much worse. A open monarchist, an incredibly popular monarchist, “Der Held von Tannenberg”. All the right wing and even many liberals could gather behind this new candidate, the election would be much closer now.

Finally, Ebert stood up and with a determined and strong voice declared “We have won the first round and we will win the second election, too. We will defend our republic. Freedom and equality will triumph over the reactionaries”

Jarres addressing followers during his election campaign
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Friedrich Ebert addressing a crowd during his campaign
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New poster for Hindenburg
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Very interesting idea for a surviving Weimar Republic and not one I've seen before.

Why is turnout lower than in OTL March 1925 election (66% vs 66.9%)? Were some voters of DVP and Zentrum who in OTL could vote for Marx or Hellpach not comfortable with voting for Ebert but neither for Jarres and just stayed home?

I'm very much looking forward how you have Ebert beat Hindenburg, which IMO would be very difficult (for DVP and Zentrum voters the choice between Ebert and Hindenburg is quite a different one than the OTL one between Marx and Hindenburg and even OTL Marx lost some more right-leaning Catholics to Hindenburg, for example Catholics in Silesia or Eastern Prussia who in OTL mostly voted for Marx, although Hindenburg gained some votes there, might be tempted to defect to the man who won Tannenberg).

I see two possible ways for it (but that is just me):
(1) Hindenburg has a serious health scare which sometime in July 1925 which depresses Reichsblock voter turnout and Ebert squeezes over the finishing line (OTL Hindenburg due to increased turnout in the 2nd round gained 3 million votes in comparison to Jarres, Held and Luddendorf in the 1st round of voting while Marx gained 'only' around 500.000 new votes compared to the 'Weimar candidates' in the first round, so if depressed enthusiasm for Hindenburg to due ill-health leads to him gaining few new votes Ebert could win)

(2) Fürstenenteignung becomes an important campaign topic, which might be possible since the whole discussion that led to the referendum started with the Reichsgericht judgment of 18 June 1925 that struck down the Saxe-Gotha law confiscating the lands of the House of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha (if the first round of voting happens on June 30 as planned the timing works). This might help Ebert in two ways: Fürstenenteignung is popular with the public even among Catholics, liberals and some right-leaning voters and with Hindenburg presumably vigorously advocating against it it might tarnish his appeal and boost that of Ebert, plus this might push Thälmann to withdraw his candidacy as the KPD in OTL worked with the SPD on this issue following an United Front policy in OTL and beginning in April 1925 the mood within the KPD and Comintern became somewhat more open to working with the SPD in an United Front and his almost 2 million voters showing up for Ebert would have him win.
Looking very much forward for what you have in store for Ebert vs Hindenburg (vs Thälmann)
 
Chapter 3: Interviews and heroes
Chapter 3: Interviews and heroes

„Guten Tag Herr Reichspräsident“ this was a rather rare occasion, the Tägliche Rundschau was well known as one of the largest papers supporting the DVP, so they were usually not on good terms with the Reichspräsident. Still, Ebert was here and he was about to have an interview with them. They had considered not doing this, but the Vorwärts, the SPDs own newspaper would have chased them through the country if they hadn’t. Also, an interview with Ebert would surely increase their sales, so there was that, too.

“Shall we start?” they were sitting in a small lounge, that had been provided by one of the editors, Ebert himself was only escorted by two plain clothes bodyguards who constantly scanned their surroundings. Heinrich Rippler, the editor in chief would conduct this interview and after Ebert nodded, they started.

Rippler: “Herr Reichspräsident. For over six years you have been the head of state of the Reich, that we all know. Many readers surely wonder how you see your presidency, so that shall be the first question. How do you see your presidency? Are you satisfied with your achievements and the current situation of our nation and people”

Ebert took a few moments, Rippler was a veteran and had sprinkled in numerous traps and landmines into this seemingly honest question. He couldn’t just say that everything was good, after all most of the last six years had been one crisis after another. And worse, if he said that everything was good, the right-wing would immediately scream about how he “wants Germany to be on its knees forever”. In the end, he would have lied anyway if he said he was satisfied.

Ebert: “I think we can all agree on one thing. These first years of our republic have been rather troubled and dangerous. We had Communists and Militarists rising up, we had a currency out of control and a Rhineland occupied by foreign powers. While we are at peace, this peace still has cost us a lot to uphold”

Ebert now took a deep breath and waited for a moment to give his next words more gravitas as he went on

“But, we are on a good way. We have made great success in the last few years. Our democracy is getting stronger, the currency has worth something again and our economy is improving and I promise the German people that it will continue to improve. And now, with our home finally save and improving again, we can start to rebuild our position in the world. That I promise you”

Rippler showed no reaction to Ebert’s answer, while he scribbled down in his notebook, not that he needed to, with the other half a dozen journalists observing them and them also recording this interview.

“You just spoke of our position in the world. Many believe that this very situation is your and your parties fault, that it was the SPD that stabbed our unbeaten army in the back, with strikes and uprisings. What do you think of these accusations, after all the courts just did declare that calling you traitor can be appropriate”

Ripple was not holding back punches, but Ebert did not show any anger or surprise on his face, as he took a few seconds to gather his answer.

“We did not call upon the people to strike. Were there SPD members among those who striked? Surely, just like there were many SPD members in the army or in any other institutions. The people and soldiers striked and rebelled out of hunger and anger. They were hungry because for four years the Oberkommando and government had not been able to adequately provide supplies for either the army or the populace. And they were angry because of incompetent, pompous generals, born into privilege demanding sacrifice and bravery, while they hid in bunkers and office at home”

There was silence and for a moment Rippler looked at Ebert completely shocked, had Ebert of all people really just said that? Ebert, the Realpolitiker of compromise had just shifted the blame on the High Command and Kaiser? But the president was not done.

“You may say that without Hindenburg that saved the Reich in the east, when he threw the Russians of our soil, a fact I can’t dispute. But, it was this very Hindenburg and his lacky Ludendorff who continued to fight, continued to waste German blood, long after they realized the war was lost. They caused the United States to join the war, they betted all that remained of German strength of arms on an honestly desperate offense against the Entente. And then, after they exhausted all of Germanys strength, squeezed out the last bit of strength the people had and left the army barely able to stand, they turn around and blame us for all of this”

Everybody in the room seemed frozen, had the President really just said, what he said? The SPD debating their fault in the defeat was nothing new, directly returning the blame onto the Oberkommando however was new. Especially Hindenburg had always been considered somewhat immune to any criticism and Ebert had never tried to challenge that situation, at least till now.

“Are you suggesting, that you blame our brave men who fought in the trenches for our defeat, president?” Ripplers answer was to be expected, it was the usual tactic used to deflect blame away from the generals, by accusing one of blaming the entirety of the military.

“Of course not. Our soldiers fought bravely in the trenches, they are not to blame. As I said, those that commanded them to die by the thousands for a few feet of dirt are. The Kaiser fled and abandoned any of his responsibilities as the leader of the Reich. He now lives in comfort in the Netherlands and schemes to one day return. The generals and aristocrats that first lead us into disaster and then absolved themselves of any blame also walked free and still happily live on their massive estates. For Ludendorff and Hindenburg this is barely a game, another Plan spiel like the Great War was for them”

Ebert needed a second to catch his breath, he usually wasn’t somebody who talked himself into a frenzy, but he had nearly done that just now. Rippler and everybody else present was still fixated on him and finally he went on.

“I want to tell the German people something. Make no mistake, this election is not one between candidates of differing ideologies that all wish to shape our democracy. It is between democracy on one and the return of the monarchy on the other side. The very same monarchy that lead so many of us to loose their brothers, fathers and sons in the trenches. The very same monarchy, where they people and nation are reduced to nothing but the toys of aristocrats, whose only qualification for power is a thousand years tyranny. We fought for seven years to create and protect our democracy and if I am re-elected, I will dedicate my second term to ending the tyranny of the aristocrats in all of Germany”

Ripplers eyes almost seemed to bulge out of his skull. Ebert had pretty much scored a triple in terms of statements nobody would have expected from a “Realpolitiker” like him

First, turning the “Dolchstoß” around and putting the blame, openly, on the high command, some of which were still considered heroes. Second, claiming that Hindenburg was barely a puppet of the old Kaiser, thereby questioning his legitimacy and honesty. And lastly, he awakened a spectre despised by the right, a spectre the SPD had never let out, as it could lead the right to openly and finally break with the republic. “Fürstenenteignung”.

But, Ripple had to admit, there wasn’t much sense in Ebert holding back anyway. In the end it was as he had just said. It was an election and options were either democracy or a return of the Kaiser, a Kaiser who would surely be vengeful against all those, who “betrayed” him.



“This is a scandal, how dare this red parasite to put the blame on me. I held the Reich together, I lead the Reich through the war and I would have won the war, had it not been for these red bastards”

Paul von Hindenburg was usually a calm man, during the war he had been the calm counter to the brash and aggressive Ludendorff. But right now he was enraged about Ebert’s interview, about his accusations and he was almost just as enraged about the fact, that a self proclaimed nationalistic newspaper would have published this garbage. In his rage, he even forgot the fact, that he had in fact back then blamed the SPD to rid himself of any fault in relation to the defeat. Afterall he had not signed the peace treaty, although he had been aware that the “unbesiegte Armee” had pretty much been dead while standing, with only another strong offensive by Entente necessary to end the war.

But this did not matter, this interview mattered and it enraged him beyond belief. For ten minutes he had already been storming up and down his office, cursing out Ebert, cursing out Rippler and cursing out everything and everybody he could. During these ten minutes, his son Oskar had just there at attention, observing his raging father, not willing to make himself a potential target of the rage of the old man, something he had experienced quite enough of in his childhood.

Finally, however, he spoke, hoping to calm his father.

“Father, this is a sign that the Bolsheviks and their treacherous compatriots are desperate. They desperately seek to gain more vote and now they hope, that Russia’s puppets will support them, if they threaten us with “Enteignung”. It just shows that we will win”

This did not work on the old Feld Marshall, as he grabbed the copy of the “Tägliche Rundschau” and held it into his sons face.

“Then why is it printed here. Why would they even print this? Stresemann has always been a friend of these godless reds, does Rippler now support them, too? Has this traitorous, two-faced little…”

The old man stopped, his face turning pale, as gasped for breath for a moment, his son immediately rushing to his side, as he sat down, almost collapsed into his office chair. Cold sweat covered his forehead and immediately Oskar von Hindenburg called for an aide to call a doctor.



“Hindenburg’s campaign delayed! A light heart attack forces the “Held von Tannenberg” to cancel several speeches” one of the paper boys screamed, as he tried to sell his goods. In the end the heart attack had been very light, although old Hindenburg was still very robust and it had only taken him a few days of rest to recover. Still, it had reminded everybody how old Hindenburg really was, even more so compared to Ebert, who was just in his mid fifties. This had managed to drown out the outcry that Ebert’s interview had created the day before. He had quite literally opened the box of the pandora. However he would not do anything more, that could be seen as giving in to the KPD. The “Fürstenenteignung” was a bipartisan issue, pretty much supported by everybody that is not either an Prussian aristocrat or on the payroll of one. He was probably actually doing many of them a favour, ever since the war the agriculture in “Ostelbien” had never recovered and was quickly approaching a total collapse. Taking away these often debt riddled estates would actually be preferable to many of them.

But, if he gave ground on any other topic that the KPD also supported, it would be his doom, it would break the Weimar coalition and probably cause them all to gather behind Hindenburg. No matter how old or sick the old soldier was.


Posterwagon advertising the potential of a "Fürstenenteignung"
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This has been awesome so far! Can't have enough "Weimar survives" timelines, which is actually maybe my favourite alternate history scenario somehow
 
First, this is an excellent TL so congratulations to @THorius for some fine writing and thinking.

In terms of foreign policy, where would a continuing Weimar sit? There had been rapprochement with Russia (Treaty of Rappallo) but how would a reasonably democratic Germany respond to the rise of authoritarianism in eastern Europe and to fascism in Italy? Would the Entente sense a chance and offer some realpolitik (in terms of reduced or annulled reparations) in exchange for improved relations with the former enemy?

Would a democratic anti-Communist Germany pivot to the Entente in the 1930s? Seems improbable given the history of WW1 and yet there would be a common distrust of Bolshevism and Fascism so who knows? I'm not imagining peace in Europe ad infinitum - you'd still have a Spanish Civil War and tensions elsewhere.
 

Deleted member 94680

In terms of foreign policy, where would a continuing Weimar sit? ... Would the Entente sense a chance and offer some realpolitik (in terms of reduced or annulled reparations) in exchange for improved relations with the former enemy?

Would a democratic anti-Communist Germany pivot to the Entente in the 1930s? Seems improbable ...
I imagine internal pressures (Junkers, the Reichswehr - black and regular - and Freikorps, as well as Monarchist holdouts) would at best allow Weimar to “cosy up to” the Entente in exchange for latitude in dealings with the ‘red menace’. It would need to be a temporary measure at best.
 
...
In terms of foreign policy, where would a continuing Weimar sit?
...
What will the Weimar military be like in the future In terms of size and modernizations?
... these questions are perhaps a wee bit too early and answering them now ... won't that be spoilering ? ... and depriving us readers the tensioned anticipation ? 😋

However ... dear @THorius ... GREAT read so far, really like it.

Nevertheless ... some wee comments ... probably mainly questions of taste.
  • only this as hinting at differing 'facts' : Hindenburg never ever 'campaigned' neither during his first election nor his second candidacy. Quite the contrary his candidacy in 1925 as well as in 1932 were both conditional on explicitly NOT doing any campaigning/public appeareances and esp. not public speeches. IIRC in 1932 he only made - a by others well prepared - radio speesch at a certain toppic in his role as Reichspresident but not - officially - counted as 'campaigning speech'
  • also I've never read of Hindenburg been able to such ... fierce reactions at all ... for all episodes of his life (maybe one reason he actually became as old as he did : his inherent, ingrained, him chracterising, overall phlegma). If you could name me your/a source for such ? ... I would be very thanfull.
  • IMHO Hindenburg after such an ... 'offense' as ridden by Ebert would possibly indignated rather quit the campaign at all (as he threatened IOT in 1932 after some of Goebbels attacks against him. Brüning wrote on several occasions [letters, memoirs] what it took him to keep Hindenburg on board in 1932). Hindenburg would probably - as you described it - feel betrayed as for becomming candidate unhinderd support had been promised to him (by the higher up party-funcionaries of the 'conservatives' ... with rather less direct influence on someone like Rippler).
Therefore you might not even "need" a medical/physical reaction (but it's only my personal taste looking for non-medical changes/butterflies/PoDs [as the often so beloved 'fish bone' killing someone]).

Your characterization of Ebert ... NICCCCE 😁.
Him being in a somewhat more 'striking back' attitude this time by turning the back-stab legend against the military (what I can't remember him actually doining IOTL) after his recovery from illness much related (at least in perception) to the numerous feuds about defamation of him ... rather well probable
As well as his bringing up the 'Fürstenenteignung' as a campaigning theme. It was a topic alreayd on the political agenda of Weimar for all its existence. ... and in that the pro-expropriation leaning attitude of the majority of Zentrum-electors was known. ... and with him as president there would very likely NOT being a presidential demand (as in OTL by Hindenburg or rather his entourage) declaring the question for plebiscite into a 'constitution-changing' law turning the necessary numbers of votes from relative majority of actual voters to absolute majority of all of the electorate.

However : GREAT STUFF so far


Another wee footnote : Prussia
IOTL Zentrum and SPD made a deal :
For Braun becomming Prussian Ministerpresident​
he withdrawed his candidacy (despite scoring before Marx IOTL)​
and the SPD supported Marx candidacy as Reichspresident​

What happen to this deal ITTL ? ... with Brauns candidacy butterfied away ? ... will Marx become Prussian Ministerpresident instead ? ... what a Pandoras Box of possible butterflies 😜
 
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