Saratoga of the South: An Alternate History of America

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Chapter 22: King Louis XVI's Miracle Years
Chapter 22: King Louis XVI's Miracle Years

After the signing of the Treaty of Vienna, the French had reasons to be proud of their investment in the American rebels. They had won a complete victory, recovered Gibraltar for their Bourbon cousins in Spain, had won a decisive victory at Boston, reclaimed New France, and had their navy break the line in a historical first.
Despite France having had all of those successes, they had come at a cost. The national debt had skyrocketed to 10 billion livres thanks to funding their participation in the Revolutionary War through loans. It was clear that something needed to be done to attempt to lower that number, and grumblings over bread prices meant that King Louis XVI and his ministers would have to handle things delicately in order to protect the successes of their intervention in America. But little did the monarchy know that the tides of prosperity had turned in their favor.

The first blessing was that the harvest of 1785 had been a success, which meant that the price of bread dropped by 10 percent. For the rest of the decade, each harvest would be good to very good, and the resulting taxes were able to go towards repayment. The grumbling among the lower classes was less vocal then before, and that meant that a rumored calling of the Estates General was put on the backburner. It has been speculated by historians that had the harvest of 1785 been a bust like it had been the previous year, the monarchy would have faced a crisis that could have rocked the institution to it's very core, and even caused an untold wave of destruction throughout the country.

But before the famine ended, there was one minor event in 1783 that made news because of who was involved. In the spring of 1783, there was a house fire in the city of Arras. Maximilien Robespierre was a young lawyer who had resigned as a local judge after his discomfort over the death penalty being a constant feature in the cases he was presiding over. Robespierre died in the house fire, and a man who was rumored to have ambitions beyond Arras, and had become someone who was expected to move onto greater challenges. But what his death meant was that a voice that could have been important in any reform of the French political system never got much of a chance to advocate for those changes that he was rumored to support.

But what ended up helping the French begin to pay their debts back was a simple invention. Honoré Blanc had been taking the concept of interchangable parts that had been seen in bullets and trying to work towards bringing that system to artillery. One night in 1788, Blanc realized that there could be uses in the civilian world, and decided to test if machines and mechanisims that were used in farming could benefit from having interchangable parts. It turns out that Blanc was right. He set up the Blanc Company, which ended up selling interchangable parts for farming mechanisims throughout France. As a result, the durablity of tools increased and the farmers were able to replace individual parts at a lower price than before. With more money in their pockets, the French economy entered a boom period, and the technology quickly spread to New France. In New France, agricultural output increased, and immigration to Montreal and Quebec increased at a steady if unspectacluar rate.
The 1780s were called the Wonder Years for King Louis XVI. Talks of reform were at a lower boil, the national debt was slowly going down, and the populace was much happier. It was a good time to be a French subject, and as the 1790s dawned, the decision to support the Americans looked like it was the right bet.

Author's Notes: So France is in a far better spot than OTL. By butterflying OTL's French Revolution and increasing the agricultural output of France, King Louis XVI comes out a lot better in TTL than in OTL. There will be an analogue to the French Revolution, but that is for a different chapter and a different monarch. Using Blanc's ideas in the civilian realm is something that I was toying with, as it wouldn't be too much of a stretch. Thanks again for your continued feedback, and for reading this timeline. I also want to congratulate all of the people who were nominated for the Turtledoves this year, as there has been a lot of great and interesting timelines on this fourm in the past year. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to share them.
 
Chapter 23: Storm Clouds Form
Chapter 23: Storm Clouds Form

By the dawn of 1790, settlement in the Ohio Country had been settled by thousands of settlers who had migrated from all over North America and Europe. Driven by cheap land, the desire to start a new life, and the restlessness that compels people to take a leap into the unknown, the Ohio Country was an ideal place to begin a life anew in the vastness of the frontier. The only problem was that the Ohio Country already had inhabitants who lived there for centuries, and weren't about to surrender their lands.

In 1791, Tecumseh had grown concerned about the encroachment of local settlers onto Shawnee lands, and disputes over a variety of issues had strained relations between the Shawnee and Governor of the Ohio Country George Rogers Clark. Clark had been waging war against the natives since the Revolutionary War, and wanted to make sure that the frontier was safe for American settlers. Both Clark and Tecumseh were proud men who believed in the righteousness of their cause, and did not have a good working relationship.

In June of 1791, Tecumseh and his brothers had secretly concluded an agreement with the British authorities in Canada for assistance in fighting the Americans. Despite Tecumseh's distrust of the British, he felt like the Americans wouldn't back him, and the French had never been close to the Shawnee. The Shawnee had not been isolated during the period after the Conference of Nations, and had seen the anger towards the Americans build up in the East and the Ohio Country.
Clark hadn't been blind to the threat. In letter after letter to Philadelphia, Clark had warned Congress and President Washington that something was happening, and that the army needed to be readied in order to deal with the tribes before a major loss of life happened. But the American government had been hesitant. The army had trained officers and regular soldiers, but the lack of full scale battles meant that the Greene Doctrine had been untested, and Greene in particular was concerned about the readiness of the troops.

As 1792 dawned, the uneasy peace that had existed in the Ohio Country was fraying. Tecumseh had gotten his coalition formed in secret, and Clark had been calling out the militia for regular drills as it would take time for the American regulars to get out to the frontier to defend the American settlers.
Perhaps the best quote about the situation in the Ohio Country came from a young British officer. Arthur Wellesley was a young officer who had been secretly sent to liaison with Tecumseh and be a point of contact between the Crown and the Tecumseh. In his diary, the young officer was quite clear about what he thought.

"I am under no illusions that the coming struggle is going to be a brutal one. Tecumseh is someone who is smart beyond his years, and with the aid that the Crown has given him, the Americans can be kept at bay. The French know nothing about this, and I can't wait to see what sort of conflict will emerge. This might not be revenge for Guilford Courthouse, Charleston, and Boston, but the Americans have no idea what is to come."
The War for the Old Northwest was about to begin, and nothing would ever be the same. All that was needed was a spark, but nobody knew what that spark would be.

Author's Notes: Yes, I did have the Duke of Wellington not go with the East Indian Company as in OTL. The War for the Old Northwest is going to be a major conflict, and very much an analogue to the War of 1812 in OTL. Wikipedia was used as always, and other than that no new sources were used. I hope you enjoyed this chapter, and feel free to leave any comments or questions you have.
 
Chapter 24: Britain's New Strategy
Chapter 24: Britain's New Strategy

After the end of the Revolutionary War, it was clear that Britain had found a way to turn what should have been a colonial rebellion into a defeat that had reversed plenty of gains that had been made in earlier wars of the 1700s. Gibraltar, New France, the United States of America, and Florida had all been lost, and Lord North would never again return to anything close to the power that he had once enjoyed. With France starting to rebound financially, Spain reintegrating Gibraltar into their empire, and Britain having suffered through the defeats of 1781, the question facing Britain was a simple one. Where would be the best place to recover national pride?

It was determined that a total review of the British forces in the Revolutionary War would be led by Parliament and authorized by King George III. The review began in 1784, and involved reviewing accounts of soldiers of every rank, interviewing officers, and studying the battles and replaying them through war games. After everything was done, Parliament would commission a report that would be known as the Inquiry of 1784.

The first reason identified by the Inquiry was that the failure by the British forces to finish what they had started at the Battle of Long Island gave Washington the time he needed to pull out victories at Trenton and Princeton, and the Continental Army had been underestimated. While Washington had done a magnificent job in surviving that dark period of the war from the point of view of the Americans, it wasn't as if the British hadn't made any glaring errors. Long Island was a successful night march and well fought, and Howe had fought well at White Plains.

The second reason was that the British had struggled with communication. It must be acknowledged that it took weeks for the commanders in America to communicate with the British Isles, and that British officers had complained about micromanagement from an ocean away. But British officers had struggled with working together. The two chief examples were Howe's failure to join with Burgoyne's offensive during the Saratoga campaign, and Cornwallis defying Clinton's orders to not invade North Carolina during 1781.

The third reason was that the British had to face multiple opponents all over the world. The French and Spanish help to America cannot ever be overstated, and the United States to this day has prominent paintings of all of the major battles of 1781 hanging at all government buildings. Britain would need to firm up alliances, and began to strengthen their relations with Prussia and look for another alliance to balance the Franco-Spanish alliance.

But the biggest reason according to the Inquiry was that the British needed to take a serious look at how officers were appointed. The idea that a commission could be bought had been a traditionally part of the army culture, and the high command was aghast at the idea that the NCO should be promoted. This recommendation would be tabled, but would be revisited down the line for another war.

Britain decided to focus more on Africa and India, while making sure that they were arming their native allies in preparation for another war in America. Knowledge of their secret shipments was highly guarded, and nobody would find out for years. Until one officer would, and the War for the Ohio Country would break out.

Author's Notes: And we are back. This chapter is designed to show that Britain was looking at their defeat, and the desire for revenge is similar to OTL France after the French and Indian War. Thanks again for reading, and feel free to share any comments or questions.
 
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Chapter 25: The Election of 1792
Chapter 25: The Election of 1792

As the second presidential election neared, the question everyone in America was asking was what would Washington do? He had served his nation admirably in a variety of roles for a long time, and while Washington was excited about what he had accomplished, he also desired to return to Mount Vernon and resume his life as a gentleman planter and private citizen. In meetings with his cabinet and former Contiential Army officers, Washington was advised to serve another 4 year term. Washington agreed to serve one more turn, and in late 1791 announced that he would seek another term as president.

The announcement was a decisive moment, as those who were rumored to be interested knew that it would be better to wait until 1796. The reason for this is that Washington had done a fine job. The population was increasing year over year, cheap land in the Ohio Country had attracted both immigrants and Americans to settle across the Appalachian mountains. Washington ended up winning handily, with 67% percent of the vote, with John Adams getting 20%, and other minor candidates taking up the rest of the vote as certified by the electors. Adams was named Vice President after the election was certified.

The structures of government under the Constitution had been getting bedded in, and the army was being well-trained under the leadership of Knox and Greene. All in all, the United States was finding it's feet as a nation, but there were storm clouds brewing.

The Treaty of Vienna had brought France back into the equation in North America, and with France looking to expand the boundaries of New France. Combine that with Britain secretly funding and supplying tribes with weapons to fight against their enemies, the Ohio Country and the border regions became a land that was full of intrigue, shifting alliances, and secret deals.

For a generation of young officers, the struggle for the destiny of the Ohio Country and the surrounding areas would become a defining moment in their lives. For a young man named Napoleon Bonaparte, his discovery one afternoon would change history in a way that nobody would see coming.

Author's Notes: And we are back. So this chapter is just setup, as Washington winning a second term wouldn't be ASB. Napoleon is going to play a big factor in the next stage of this timeline, but it won't be in any of his OTL campaigns. Thanks again for reading, and feel free to ask any questions.
 
Things are going to get very hot, and there will be a president different from OTL by the end of the war.
Assuming this is based on the Northwest Indian War of OTL, I'm guessing that George Washington won't survive past 1795 and John Adams comes to power two years earlier. I hope Washington doesn't die though.
 
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