Plausibility check: Russia never goes communist, develops into a democratic country. How do they celebrate Christmas ?

In OTL history, Russia's relationship with the Christmas holidays and the Christmas festive season has been complex. Especially in more recent modern history, of the last ca century or so. Traditionally, most Russian Christians have been Russian Orthodox, so it's no surprise that they celebrated and celebrate the Nativity, and thus Christmas, according to the Julian Calendar. Thus, they celebrate Christmas on the 6th and 7th of January, instead of Most other Orthodox Christians and related eastern-rite churches, primarily in eastern Europe, and parts of central, northern and southern Europe, also celebrate the Nativity/Christmas according to the Julian Calendar.

The big divergence between Russia and other majority-Christian countries in their celebrations of Christmas occured in part thanks to the October Revolution and Russia's transition to a communist regime. Though there had been some brief occassional periods in soviet history where religion was somewhat more tolerated than usual, overt displays of religiousness were heavily discouraged. There was a long-term forced secularisation process that lasted for some seventy years and also impacted the observance of many holidays. In the Christmas context, celebrating Christmas, whether according to the Gregorian or Julian calendar, was discouraged. The emphasis had been shifted fully towards the celebration of New Year's Eve and New Year's Day.

Famously, though Russia had adopted the tradition of the holiday tree like many modern countries, it was not actually recognized as a Christmas tree. The USSR era had introduced the present form of the "yolka"/"fir-tree" in the mid-1930s as their official centrepiece to the winter holidays, and it was not a Christmas tree, but a New Year's tree. Even well over thirty years after the USSR had ceased to exist, and a century after the creation of soviet Russia, In OTL modern day Russia, Christmas is still perceived primarily as a very private religious holiday, whereas the actual main celebration for most of the public (whether religious or secular) is the celebration of New Year's Eve and New Year's Day.

Interestingly enough, OTL countries that were once a part of the USSR, but were more on the periphery, and had local independence movements or enjoyed independence before forced annexation into the USSR, seemed to have kept up more distinctly Christmas traditions for decades. Even though these traditions were often just as "underground" and "private" as in the rest of the USSR, the people in the more peripheral member republics of the USSR seemed to have kept the idea of a more distinct Christmas season (based on either the Gregorian or Julian calendar) alive for much longer.

As a result, the Baltic countries returned to both religious and secular Christmas traditions right after the fall of communism and the renewal of their independene, and Ukraine had also openly celebrated both western-rite (Gregorian calendar) and eastern-rite (Julian calendar) Christmas holidays since at least the 1990s, if not since the tail end of the 1980s. Speaking for other former East Block countries that were not directly part of the USSR, the suppression of Christmas was even less successful there, and places like Hungary, Poland, Czechoslovakia et al never stopped celebrating Christmas (western-rite and eastern-rite) and New Year's in their own preferred way, at all. Even Russian efforts at forced cultural exports like Dyed Maroz ("Father Frost") couldn't supplant either Saint Nicholas and the Christchild. (Tellingly, with the return to democracy since the 1990s, even Santa Claus has had no success in supplanting them, either.)

Russia was the core and leading part of the USSR, and also of the tsarist Russian Empire before it, so much is obvious. This might explain why implementing an "let's-erase-Christmas-from-public-reverence" campaign worked more easily there, as Russia proper had generally few areas that would want to become independent or follow a more unique set of local traditions, including public holidays (both secular and religious). Still, it's remarkable that whereas the peripheral former USSR countries that are (more or less) majority-Christian had largelly returned to age-old and evolving Christmas traditions, many similar to celebrations in Catholic and Protestant countries and in Orthodox countries, Russia has largelly avoided this even during the last thirty years, when displays of religiousness are no longer ostracized. On the upside, an OTL modern day Russian Orthodox Christmas is almost strictly religious in its focus, it's not really commercialized with ancilliary stuff, but on the downside, Russians seem to have become very different to the majority of Christmas-celebrating countries in Europe, Asia and elsewhere.


Let's now imagine a world where the Russian monarchy wasn't done away with and was forced to reform into a constitutional monarchy, or a world where the October Revolution never succeeded, for whatever reason, and Russia had eventually become a democratic Russian Republic. In both scenarios, the old Russian Empire is gone by the ATL early 21st century.

In the first scenario, maybe the ruling family agreed to constitutional reforms for the interwar years, with Russia democratizing and becoming a Russian-speaking UK or Sweden, only for the royals and their circle launching some coup and rolling back the reforms a decade or two later, by the time of some ATL equivalent to world war two. It doesn't go well for imperial family, there's a counter-revolution against the Romanovs, ridding them of power. However, the monarchy is preserved, but a new dynasty is founded from some cadet branch of the formerly ruling Romanvos or a related European royal family. The empire in its original sense is abolished and dissolved, many of the peripheral countries of the former empire declare independence. In the post-war and post-crisis years, the Russian constitutional monarchy continues to democratize and becomes a modern developed country, though it's not always smooth sailing.

The second scenario is a bit less complicated. The Russian Republic of 1917 prevails, the communists never come to power. Despite some efforts to keep the former empire together, they lose control of its peripheral parts in the 1920s and these declare independence and become modern countries (Finland like in OTL, Ukraine regains independence full-time, the Baltics keep their independence, etc.) Due to this and due to internal problems, there are many predictable power struggles and power plays over the years, but in three or four decades, Russia eventually stabilizes (á la France's or South Korea's eventual political stabilization by the later 20th century, or like the UK when it was forced to dissolve the British Empire). ATL Russia becomes a respected and developed democratic republic. Again, it's not all smooth sailing, but they do manage to mature as a democratic country.

So, in either of the two scenarios, how would the resultant ATL Russia's celebrate the December and January holidays, including Christmas ?

I think it's obviously likely that most Christians in Russia would celebrate according to the Julian Calendar, so Christmas would be in early January, not in December. (The western-rite Christian minorities would likely celebrate in December.) Beyond that more obvious fact, I'm not sure.

Did the OTL Romanovs import any German and British customs of celebrating Christmas during their reign, prior to 1917 ? Could these continue or be even expanded, and we might see more secular celebrations of Christmas in Russia include these elements, or even Russian Orthodox Christmas celebrations adopting some of these "new-fangled western traditions" ?

Would Christmas in Russia retain a more strictly-religious perception or would it become a general public holiday like in the "West", with Russians grumbling about the "commercialization" of even Orthodox Christmas ? Could there be a backlash, maybe even among Russian royals, towards the "western Christmas traditions" and some period of campaigning for a "return to the humbler Orthodox Christmas traditions", or such ? Also, on that note, could the newer introduced traditions include Christmas season recipes not traditional to Russia, in addition to Christmas season decorations not traditional to Russia ?

How would a democratic tsarist monarchy or a democratic Russian Republic in an ATL present day celebrate the Christmas holidays ?

I wonder what you fine ladies and gentlemen can come up with.
 
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Maybe like Japan, where Christmas is a Big Deal, with no religious aspect whatsoever. See this video (which is great fun): if you look carefully, you'll see that the shopping plaza the band marches through has lots of Christmas signage and decorations.
 
Ukraine had also openly celebrated both western-rite (Gregorian calendar) and eastern-rite (Julian calendar) Christmas holidays since at least the 1990s
I don’t know about recent changes but I thought Dec. 24 wasn’t a national holiday in Ukraine? That is to say, shops and government offices would still be open and your employer wasn’t obligated to give you time off on that day.
In OTL modern day Russia, Christmas is still perceived primarily as a very private religious holiday, whereas the actual main celebration for most of the public (whether religious or secular) is the celebration of New Year's Eve and New Year's Day.

On the upside, an OTL modern day Russian Orthodox Christmas is almost strictly religious in its focus, it's not really commercialized with ancilliary stuff,
This is indeed the big difference between Christmas in Western and “East Block” countries in my personal experience. You put it very succinctly.
but on the downside, Russians seem to have become very different to the majority of Christmas-celebrating countries in Europe, Asia and elsewhere.
Honest question: why do you view this as a “downside”? You yourself pointed out that neither communism nor western commercialism succeed in replacing local Christmas traditions in Central Europe — and presumably you view that as a good thing. So why is Russia having differing Christmas traditions a bad thing?
Would Christmas in Russia retain a more strictly-religious perception or would it become a general public holiday like in the "West", with Russians grumbling about the "commercialization" of even Orthodox Christmas ? Could there be a backlash, maybe even among Russian royals, towards the "western Christmas traditions" and some period of campaigning for a "return to the humbler Orthodox Christmas traditions", or such ?
First you have to ask when did Christmas stop being a religious, family oriented holiday in America and Western Europe and instead turn into a money-printing scheme for major businesses?

This isn’t a rhetorical question — if the capitalist takeover of the holiday occurred “relatively” recently (first half of 20th century, with Coca-Cola inventing the modern image of Santa Clause and whatnot), then I would presume a similar process would occur in a Russia that’s open to international businesses and isn’t separated from the West by the Iron Curtain. The only difference would be the date on which the Day of Commercial Greed is set (Jan. 7 vs Dec. 24).

But if the secularization of Christmas in the West predates the 20th century (I recall hearing that the cultural importance and many traditions of the “Western” Christmas could be traced back to ~1850s) then one has to ask why the same didn’t happen in the lands of the Russian Empire at the same time?
 
Maybe like Japan, where Christmas is a Big Deal, with no religious aspect whatsoever. See this video (which is great fun): if you look carefully, you'll see that the shopping plaza the band marches through has lots of Christmas signage and decorations.
I have my doubts that Christmas in ATL Russia would wind up like that, for the simple reason that Russia already has Christmas.

Unless they celebrate it twice, and the December celebrations are utterly commercialized, while the January celebrations are not at all, competing with each other - an overly black-and-white scenario that I don't find that plausible - I just don't see how Christmas in an ATL Russia could become like Christmas in Japan. Japan's Christmas is heavily secularized and "for-show" (outside of Christians) exactly because Japan has never been a majority-Christian country, unlike Russia.

I don’t know about recent changes but I thought Dec. 24 wasn’t a national holiday in Ukraine? That is to say, shops and government offices would still be open and your employer wasn’t obligated to give you time off on that day.
There might have been an exception for members of the wester-rite churches.

This is indeed the big difference between Christmas in Western and “East Block” countries in my personal experience. You put it very succinctly.
All right. Thanks.

Honest question: why do you view this as a “downside”? You yourself pointed out that neither communism nor western commercialism succeed in replacing local Christmas traditions in Central Europe — and presumably you view that as a good thing. So why is Russia having differing Christmas traditions a bad thing?
I put it as a "downside" because, particularly after 1922, what importance there was for Christmas in Russian society and culture had diminished greatly, with seven decades of communist efforts to eradicate the holiday from public consciousness. Russia's celebrations of Christmas, even as a wholly religious holiday, were already precarious, but the events of the last hundred years have put it in an even more precarious position. In msot of Europe, Easter and Christmas are seen as some of the biggest and most crucial Christian religious holidays. In Russia, this is not really so, especially not in the last hundred years. This is unprecedented anywhere in Europe, even in more heavily secular European countries. Things weren't helped by the fact that Orthodox worship was publicly shunned until just over thirty years ago, or that the Orthodox church has been heavily controlled politically by the Russian state.

If you look at today's OTL Russia, many people don't celebrate Christmas at all, not even in a secularized fashion. The biggest holiday is not Christmas at all, nor even Saint Nicholas Day (something you'd expect from an Orthodox country), but a very secularized celebration of New Year's that's often even more commercial than the commercialization of Christmas in the west (a trend that's already calmed down since its heyday in the 1990s and 2000s).

First you have to ask when did Christmas stop being a religious, family oriented holiday in America and Western Europe and instead turn into a money-printing scheme for major businesses?
If you look at it that way, you might as well go back to at least the 19th century...

The big difference is that the whole commercial angle has not been enforced by the state in countries with a more democratic history. There's plenty of Christmas celebrating in "the West" that's very traditional and not very commercial.

Whereas in Russia, an already subdued celebration of Christmas was even more de-emphasized and discouraged during the last 100 years, and aside from people encouraged and enforced by the state itself to celebrate New Year's instead (on purely anti-religious and state propaganda grounds), there had been no alternatives for celebrating Christmas in a religious manner, or at least a secular spiritual manner.

Even though consumer culture was not like in "the West", pre-1991 Russian regimes in particular encouraged a very secular and very consumerist/materialist approach to even New Year's Eve celebrations. If you also look at a lot of the post-1917 faux-lore, like Dyed Moroz, Snegurochka, et al, there's not much of a difference between the "Coca Cola Santa" and adding "Christmas elves" and "Rudolf the Red-nosed Reindeer" to at least the "pantheon" of American Christmas celebrations. At the same time, the US never tried to erase the celebration of the Nativity and the religious side of Christmas, and how intensely people focused on that side or not was up to them. In pre-1991 Russia, the decision was definitely not on you as a citizen, and unless you lived somewhere remote, openly celebrating even just a traditional Orthodox Christmas could get you into trouble with the authorities.

This isn’t a rhetorical question — if the capitalist takeover of the holiday occurred “relatively” recently (first half of 20th century, with Coca-Cola inventing the modern image of Santa Clause and whatnot), then I would presume a similar process would occur in a Russia that’s open to international businesses and isn’t separated from the West by the Iron Curtain. The only difference would be the date on which the Day of Commercial Greed is set (Jan. 7 vs Dec. 24).
Again, this depends on the countr you're talking about. While there is some commercialization of Christmas in Europe, it's wrong to assume it's anywhere near the levels in the US. Even back in the day, or now, it's not anywhere near US levels here in Europe. And in countries of central Europe, though there is a commercial side to Christmas and has been for many decades, people would be uncomfortable about throwing away older traditions for Christmas, and the majority (at least of religious people) would be also up in arms about removing or diminishing the strong religious aspect of the holidays. Even a country like Czechia, which tends to be very secular on the outside, had not-very-religious people, secular people protesting in favour of the Christ Child and against Santa Claus. That really says something.

Personally, I think it's all right most of Europe prefers a pluralist view of Christmas. You don't have to celebrate it religiously, but it should still be a holiday about the family getting together, regardless of whether you celebrate it in a secular manner or in a religious manner. There is a commercial side to Christmas in Europe (things like annoying TV ads would certainly have you believe that), but Christmas in most of Europe is seen as private and familial, and a time for silence and calm while being together with family.

But if the secularization of Christmas in the West predates the 20th century (I recall hearing that the cultural importance and many traditions of the “Western” Christmas could be traced back to ~1850s) then one has to ask why the same didn’t happen in the lands of the Russian Empire at the same time?
Which is why I brought up the 19th century commercialization of Christmas, especially in industrialising countries like the UK, but also elsewhere. ;) This includes "fads" like the spread of the Christmas tree, which was not a universally accepted Christmas decoration until the influence of various royals throughout Europe in the 19th century, including the Habsburgs in Austria-Hungary.
 
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The emphasis on New Year as the big winter holiday is not a purely Soviet invention. This was more-or-less set in motion all the way back by Peter I. In fact, early USSR, in their atheistic zeal, atempted to do away with any sort of a winter holiday entirely. Before them, New Year was overtaking Christmas as the main winter event in 1905 already. The attention between the two tended to rotate before the 20th century, actually.

Ded Moroz as a gift giver character is also something that arose independently from the Soviets. The process has been going on since the 1880s, and the role has been cemented by early 1900s. This pre-Soviet card depicts a gift-giver who is unambiguously Ded Moroz and is referred to as such.
 
Traditionally, in Christianity developing out of the Greek Orthodox tradition, Easter is the most important holiday of the calendar, rather than Christmas. So how Christmas is celebrated or not in a non-Communist Russia could be open-ended - or would be, were it not for a controversy regarding a Serbian mathematician's work over the Revised Julian calendar (conserving the traditional date of Easter while placing Christmas on the same date as Catholic and Protestant Christians). The controversy was such that to this day, in modern Greece, there are groups of "Old Calendarists" who refuse to accept the Revised Julian Calendar and still celebrate Christmas on the traditional date (as is the case in Russia, although Russia is not "Old Calendarist" per se - the ROC simply never showed up to the conference discussing it because it had other more pressing issues at hand). Finland's Orthodox Church, as an aside, accepts the Revised Julian Calendar, but officially calls it the Gregorian calendar in order to conform to Finnish law.

So in a democratic, non-Communist Russia, the first international controversy pertaining to Christmas the ROC would face is over the dating, and hence whether or not to adopt the Revised Julian Calendar. Most likely the Church will accept it and hence celebrate Christmas on the same date as the rest of Europe, with a loud minority who refuse to follow along (much like the thing with the Old Believers).
 
I put it as a "downside" because, particularly after 1922, what importance there was for Christmas in Russian society and culture had diminished greatly, with seven decades of communist efforts to eradicate the holiday from public consciousness. Russia's celebrations of Christmas, even as a wholly religious holiday, were already precarious, but the events of the last hundred years have put it in an even more precarious position. In msot of Europe, Easter and Christmas are seen as some of the biggest and most crucial Christian religious holidays. In Russia, this is not really so, especially not in the last hundred years. This is unprecedented anywhere in Europe, even in more heavily secular European countries. Things weren't helped by the fact that Orthodox worship was publicly shunned until just over thirty years ago... If you look at today's OTL Russia, many people don't celebrate Christmas at all, not even in a secularized fashion.
This is news to me.

I had never come across data showing what % of Russians celebrate Christmas but if we look at things like church attendance we see that post-Soviet Russia isn’t much different from Western Europe:

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Things weren't helped by the fact that… the Orthodox church has been heavily controlled politically by the Russian state.
That is an… odd remark to make when arguing about the decline of Christmas/religiosity.

Yes, the Russian Orthodox Church works hand-in-glove with the government (and Russia isn’t unique here — many countries with state churches derived from Byzantine traditions have similar arrangements). But arguably the Russian government had even more control over Church affairs in the past: beginning in 1721 and for nearly 200 years afterwards the position of R.O.C. Patriarch was abolished — instead the church was governed by the Most Holy Synod, a council comprised of clergymen and laymen appointed by the Tsar. Yet religiosity was higher in those days than it is now.
The biggest holiday is not Christmas at all, nor even Saint Nicholas Day (something you'd expect from an Orthodox country), but a very secularized celebration of New Year's that's often even more commercial than the commercialization of Christmas in the west (a trend that's already calmed down since its heyday in the 1990s and 2000s).

…in Russia, an already subdued celebration of Christmas was even more de-emphasized and discouraged during the last 100 years, and aside from people encouraged and enforced by the state itself to celebrate New Year's instead (on purely anti-religious and state propaganda grounds), there had been no alternatives for celebrating Christmas in a religious manner, or at least a secular spiritual manner.

Even though consumer culture was not like in "the West", pre-1991 Russian regimes in particular encouraged a very secular and very consumerist/materialist approach to even New Year's Eve celebrations. If you also look at a lot of the post-1917 faux-lore, like Dyed Moroz, Snegurochka, et al, there's not much of a difference between the "Coca Cola Santa" and adding "Christmas elves" and "Rudolf the Red-nosed Reindeer" to at least the "pantheon" of American Christmas celebrations. At the same time, the US never tried to erase the celebration of the Nativity and the religious side of Christmas, and how intensely people focused on that side or not was up to them.
Yes, the Soviet government openly suppressed religiosity (especially in the early days) and promoted materialism — no argument there.

I just find the capitalist takeover of the holiday much more cynical — claiming to uphold the holiday tradition while flipping the message of the celebration on its head and making it all about the bottom line.
In pre-1991 Russia, the decision was definitely not on you as a citizen, and unless you lived somewhere remote, openly celebrating even just a traditional Orthodox Christmas could get you into trouble with the authorities.
This depended on the time period. Even Stalin rehabilitated the Church and eased restrictions on worship to raise moral during WW2. And one of the most common polemics deployed against the R.O.C. nowadays is the accusation that the ranks of its priesthood had been stuffed to the gills with government spies since Soviet times. Now ask yourself this — why would you fill the priesthood with spooks and informants, then prevent them from gathering HUMINT by stopping the public from going to church? ;)
 
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