KOALITIONSVERHANDLUNGEN ZIEHEN SICH IN DIE LÄNGE. Düsseldorf. Armin Laschet has become more busy than he had expected due to his unexpected, yet narrow election victory. All of his options hold promises as well as traps.
A grand coalition with the SPD would mean a massive majority in the Landtag, however given that the Social Democrats hold two seats more than the CDU, this government would be headed by them, at least if following tradition.
More different to negotiate would be a partnership between three parties. However, Greens and the almost Galtist Liberals hardly mix. Also, the Greens wished to hold onto the school ministry and after long negotiations still demand a veto on educational matters, whereas the Conservatives made reviewing school-policies a cornerstone of their election promises.
Some voices from the party’s Federal Headquarters in Frankfurt also demanded that Laschet was open to co-operate with the Nationalist Deutsche Partei, even if not by including them into government. However, Laschet was quick to push this thought away as “irresponsible, if not treacherous”.
The Rhineland’s center of power – the black shadow of the CDU has fallen upon it.
CDU BAUT MEHRHEIT IN WESTFALEN AUS. Münster. „It would have been better the other way around“commented Frank Baranowski with regards to the recent election in neighbouring Rhineland. The SPD’s candidate seemed to stand a fighting chance against the popular incumbent during most of the campaign. After having lost the election to become head of state against Edwin Moses, Ministerpräsident Karl-Josef Laumann seemed increasingly lackluster.
Two impeccably timed moments a fortnight earlier however changed the head-to-head race into a contest the 56-year-old mayor of the FRG’s 12th-largest city, Gelsenkirchen, could hardly hope to win. First of all, Armin Laschet, a CDU-politician quite similar to Laumann in style (just a little bit less tall, less loud, less folksy), surprisingly unseated Ministerpräsidentin Kraft next door. And just two days later, Laumann presented his plan to resign from office in early 2019 after 11 years as Ministerpräsident. He also presented a popular newcomer in the party as successor: former soccer national player and present-day MdB, the Halteraner Christoph Metzelder. 23 years younger than Laumann, Metzelder should still be in his late 30s when moving into the Ministerpräsident’s office in Münster’s Schloß.
The momentum changed and rewarded the CDU almost with an absolute majority (47.6%). They’ll hold exactly half of the seats in the Landtag and any coalition partner (until now, this role fell to the Green party, however the Liberal FDP also offers itself) would almost be a “fifth wheel on the cart”. Laumann might feel lucky and rely on changing majorities.
The SPD fell to 26.3%, the Green party fared better than in the most recent elections in Federal länder, attaining 8.9%, while the momentum of the Conservatives also hurt the FDP (7.4%), but couldn’t stop the DP from returning to the Landtag after decades of absence.
Black. Wide. Strong. Campaign promises can be that simple, and that reliable.