If World War II Never Happened: A FIFA World Cup Timeline

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 60 - Romanian Deadweight
UEFA Euro 1992 - Group Stage​

Title holders the Netherlands edged out Scotland 1-0 before being held to a goalless draw versus Bohemia despite dominating the match. Nevertheless, a 3-1 triumph over Romania ensured the Dutch advanced as group winners. After their opening loss, Scotland drew 1-1 with Romania and defeated Bohemia 2-0 when it mattered most to advance as runners-up, as the Bohemians and Romanians previously failed to break each other done in a 1-1 stalemate.

Group A of UEFA Euro 1992. ​

After a tragically disappointing campaign in Germany two years prior, this was a redemption-seeking Sweden. Their respectable 1-1 draw with France was followed by a 1-0 win against Portugal. However, Sweden's true crowning moment came in the final group game versus England, which was won 2-1 and saw the hosts score the goal of the tournament. England's two measly points were obtained in goalless draws against Portugal and France - the latter of the two advanced thanks to their 2-1 victory over neighbours Portugal.

Group B of UEFA Euro 1992. ​

Wales failed to obtain any points in their 1976 Euro debut. Eight years later, they were just as unsuccessful. By 1992, eight additional years had passed. Would Wales finally find some success? In their opener, Wales managed to obtain their first Euro point in a 1-1 draw versus Serbia. This was followed by an expected 2-1 loss to the reigning world champions Germany, meaning Wales had to defy the odds and defeat the Soviet Union - who previously drew 1-1 with Germany and 0-0 with Serbia - to advance. That's just what they did, defeating the Soviets 2-0. However, Germany still won the group thanks to their entertaining 3-2 win over the Serbians.

Group C of UEFA Euro 1992.​

Sighs of disappointment plagued the newly built Parken Stadium [1] in Copenhagen as Denmark drew 0-0 with Ireland in their Euro opener, and when the final whistle sounded after a second goalless draw - against Italy - booing occupied the stadium with even greater frenzy. Denmark finally got on the scoresheet 11 minutes into the match against Croatia, but when the Croats equalized after an hour, Denmark's flop seemed sealed. However, the Danes found another goal and ultimately advanced behind Italy, who beat Croatia 1-0 and Ireland 2-0. Ireland's 1-0 win over Croatia was not enough for advancement.

Group D of UEFA Euro 1992. ​

Tell me your predictions for the rest of the tournament:

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[1] Opened in September 1992 IOTL, but due to Denmark being a Euro host ITTL it would have been built in time for the tournament here.

In case you missed my edit to the previous post: I messed up slightly with the seeding. Instead of basing the UEFA coefficients on a team’s points per game in the qualifiers for UEFA Euro 1992 and the 1990 World Cup, I did it for Euro 1988, not the 1992 edition. This has now been corrected and is the explanation for why a comment predicts a team to advance from a group it’s not even in. However, note that Bohemia and Portugal were the only teams that had to switch groups, and these changes does not affect the knockout stage or outcome of the tournament compared to what would have happened without my minor mistake.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 61 - Danish Cryptonite
UEFA Euro 1992 - Knockout Stage​

The first knockout tie was the most anticipated, featuring France and title holders the Netherlands, who almost also became world champions two years before. As expected, the Dutch opened the scoring, but few would've predicted them to have acquired a 2-0 lead by just the 19th minute. France got on the scoresheet early in the second half, which merely prompted the Netherlands to strengthen their defensive grip on the game. Le Bleus were never close to finding a second.

Hosts Sweden topped a highly competitive group. Nevertheless, they were in the Euro knockout stage for the first time in history, as was Scotland, who silenced Råsunda when they opened the scoring in the 11th minute. Sweden responded well, but failed to break down the Scots throughout the remainder of the half. After the break, the Swedes were back with a plan, equalizing in the 54th minute and going in front shortly past the hour mark. Sweden were in the final four.

Denmark had a period of decent major tournament success behind them However, reigning world champions Germany were always the favorites. Played in Oslo, it was Denmark's first match outside of Copenhagen and Brøndby. But in Norway, the Danes would essentially have home advantage regardless. Accordingly - but also shockingly - Denmark did take the lead in the 18th minute. Excellent saves by Peter Schmeichel enabled them to defend it, and when the lead was sensationally doubled late in the second half, the historic result was confirmed. The world champions were eliminated.

The best quarter-final was not saved for last, as Italy ran out 1-0 victors against Wales, who exceeded expectations and could be proud of their campaign.

Denmark were back in Copenhagen for the semi-final against the title holders and played in high gear from minute one. By just the 33rd minute, Denmark led 2-1. Though tragically, the Dutch equalized as added time was approaching. Some heroic Schmeichel saves took the game to a shootout, despite the Danes also creating some dangerous opportunities. Here, Schmeichel took his valiant efforts to greater heights when he took his Denmark to the final.

Sweden had learned their lesson after falling behind early against Scotland. Against Italy, the Swedes sensationally soared to a 2-0 lead before half-time. After the break, Italy were rejuvenated and were the better team. Inevitably, they got on the scoresheet. In the 74th minute, though they could have done so sooner. Nevertheless, Sweden's last-ditch defending was enough to scrape to the final.

Sweden had not played in a major final in 34 years and had not won anything in 12 additional years. Their opponents were their neighbors and arch-rivals Denmark, who played in their first final ever after an extremely hard route there. They had grown into the tournament magnificently after their underwhelming group stage display. The final was a close, tense and entertaining game that was goalless for the opening 45 minutes. However, with close to an hour played, Tomas Brolin put his Sweden in front. This lead was successfully defended, and the Swedes were European champions for the first time in history.

Knockout stage of UEFA Euro 1992. ​

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All three of you correctly predicted the quarter-final winners. Well done!

Stay tuned for the 1994 World Cup, where a lot of interesting changes await.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 62 - Fight-or-Flight
Prelude to the 1994 FIFA World Cup​

The United States were awarded hosting rights in July 1988, beating out Morocco’s bid. Chile withdrew before voting took place. The 1994 FIFA World Cup was played from June 17 to July 19. Maintaining the previous format, the 32 participating teams were divided into eight groups of four, from which each winner and runner-up would advance to a knockout stage to decide the winner. For the first time in history, three points would be awarded for a win instead of two.

Zambia qualified from Africa to make their debut, despite their squad being tragically decimated in a plane crash on their way to a World Cup qualifying game in Niamey, Niger, in April 1993. Inspired by some superb goalkeeping by Liverpool’s Bruce Grobbelaar in the qualifiers, Zimbabwe was Africa’s second debutant. Nigeria also qualified for their first World Cup.

Saudi Arabia qualified for their maiden World Cup, while Japan reached the tournament for the first time since 1946. Iraq were back after missing the 1990 tournament.

Bolivia returned after missing the three preceding World Cups, finishing fifth in the CONMEBOL qualifiers and defeating Australia across two inter-confederation play-off legs to earn their spot.

Mexico returned after being banned from the 1990 qualifiers, while Canada qualified after missing the previous edition of the tournament. El Salvador qualified for the first time since 1982.

Norway’s golden generation sensationally finished ahead of the Netherlands and England to qualify for their first World Cup since 1938! Contrastingly, England failed to qualify for the first time in 48 years, a fact made more humiliating by a couple of English tabloids previously criticising FIFA’s 1990 expansion of the World Cup, arguing that it would “destroy the quality of the tournament”. Switzerland’s World Cup drought ended too, reaching the tournament for the first time since 1966.


Tell me your predictions for these interesting groups:

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Stay tuned for the group stage!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 63 - Three-For-All
1994 FIFA World Cup - Group Stage​

Implementing three points for a win proved to be a genius move, as the goal-per-game ratio soared up compared to Germany '90. Group A was no different, though the opening game only saw two goals as hosts the United States drew 1-1 with Switzerland. A footballing backwater for decades, the U.S. had long waited to organize a major tournament. However, success would have to wait, as they also drew 1-1 with Colombia, but almost found the winning (own) goal when the Colombian defender Andres Escobar cleared an attempted cross just wide of his post. The American's 1-0 loss to Romania cemented the hosts' elimination. The Romanians ultimately topped the group thanks to defeating Colombia 3-1 on matchday one, despite suffering a shocking 4-1 loss to Switzerland. In the final round, Colombia found a crucial 90th-minute goal to run out 3-0 victors versus Switzerland to advance in second from this free-for-all group.

Group A of the 1994 World Cup. ​

Brazil topped Group B as expected, defeating the Soviet Union 2-1 and Cameroon 3-0 before being held to a respectable 1-1 against Norway. Long overdue returners Norway were solid, but suffered from an inability to score goals. Despite edging out Cameroon 1-0 on matchday one, the Soviet Union later inflicted that losing scoreline on Norway to eliminate them. Most notably of all, the Soviets obliterated Cameroon 7-1 to secure advancement. The match did see Roger Milla, 42, become the oldest World Cup goalscorer of all time, though.

Group B of the 1994 World Cup. ​

Just like in 1978, Bolivia failed to find success, albeit in a highly competitive group, as they lost 1-0 to Germany and Korea, and 3-1 to Spain. However, the group's true fiasco was Spain, who were eliminated after losing 2-1 to Korea and "only" managing a 1-1 draw against title holders Germany. However, despite advancing, the Germans suffered their own humiliation by dropping a three-goal lead to draw 3-3 with the Koreans, who topped Group C against the odds.

Group C of the 1994 World Cup. ​

Canada's greater support from the stands was not enough to find success, losing 3-1 to Argentina, 3-0 to Bulgaria and 2-0 to Nigeria. They did find their first World Cup goal in their 3-1 defeat to Argentina in a game that's unfortunately more remembered for Diego Maradona's drug-fueled manic celebration. A subsequent drug test confirmed the suspicions and resulted in his expulsion from the tournament. Argentina's chances still appeared good, though, as they subsequently won 2-1 over debutants Nigeria, who previously announced themselves by brushing aside Bulgaria 3-0. However, in a shocking twist, this Hristo Stoichkov-inspired Bulgaria defeated Argentina 2-0 to advance ahead of them. Especially sensational given that Bulgaria had only qualified by the skin of their teeth at France's expense, following a last-minute winner.

Group D of the 1994 World Cup. ​

World Cup debutants Croatia sensationally defeated Italy 1-0 in the first round. This was followed by an unexpected 2-1 loss to Mexico. However, the Croatians still defeated Zimbabwe 1-0 to top Group E. Zimbabwe also made their debut and only conceded three goals, largely due to some great goalkeeping by Bruce Grobbelaar. They managed a 1-1 draw versus Mexico in the opener, but lost 1-0 in their other two matches. Italy shockingly failed to advance, as they also failed to break Mexico down in their 1-1 draw against them.

Group E of the 1994 World Cup. ​

The European champions Sweden sought and found redemption after their miserable 1990 flop, beating Saudi Arabia 3-2 before eclipsing Belgium and Morocco with 2-1 triumphs. Debutants Saudi Arabia bounced back to defeat Morocco 2-1 and Belgium 1-0 to reach the round of 16. Belgium's initial 1-0 win against Morocco was not enough for advancement.

Group F of the 1994 World Cup. ​

Serbia unexpectedly won the competitive group by beating Japan and the Netherlands 1-0 before holding Uruguay to a 1-1 draw. The Netherlands finished in second thanks to their opening 2-1 win over Uruguay and 1-0 victory against Japan. Uruguay's 1-0 triumph over Japan was not enough to reach the last 16. Japan's 48-year hiatus was not worth the wait, as they were pointless again.

Group G of the 1994 World Cup. ​

Following the tragic 1993 plane crash that decimated Zambia's squad, football was not the biggest focus of Group H. The Danish players barely celebrated despite outclassing debutants Zambia 5-0. However, the Zambians did bounce back to heroically defeat Iraq 2-1. Nevertheless, their penultimate 3-1 loss to Bohemia resulted in elimination. The Bohemians replicated that scoreline versus Iraq and defeated Denmark 2-1 to top the group. Denmark advanced too, following their 3-1 triumph over Iraq on the final matchday.

Group H of the 1994 World Cup. ​

Pundits and fans were intrigued by the knockout stage bracket, as Romania, the Soviet Union, Korea, Bulgaria, Croatia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia or Denmark would play in their first World Cup final.

Let me know your predictions:

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Credit to @Mildtryth for getting the most predictions right, but also a shoutout to @jycee for correctly predicting the upset in Group E.

Stay tuned for the round of 16 matches!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 64 - Independent
1994 FIFA World Cup - Round of 16​

Amidst Independence Day fireworks, Romania and the Soviet Union kicked off the knockout stage. The match was blistering from the first minute, and saw Romania took the lead in the 11th minute. The Soviets equalized through a correctly awarded penalty five minutes later, only for the Romanians to add a second less than two minutes after that. The remainder of the opening half failed to see more goals, but in the 58th minute, Romania extended their lead. The Soviet Union found another goal of their own, but never a third. Romania were in the quarter-finals for the first time in history. They were far from the only team to manage that feat this summer.

In Dallas, Bulgaria went in front versus Korea after just seven minutes. The Koreans responded quickly and equalized less than 10 minutes later. Despite still being an entertaining match, it slowed down a decent amount and became characterized by more hesitation. No more goals. Not in the second half. Not during extra time. After a lacklustre penalty shootout, Bulgaria were ultimately victorious against favorites Korea.

East Rutherford saw a greatly anticipated rematch between Brazil and Colombia. This tie was not nearly as even as the 1990 battle, with the Brazilians scoring once in each half to win 2-0.

Reigning champions Germany brought down surprise package and debutants Nigeria back down to earth in Chicago. After just 12 minutes, the Germans led 2-0. The Nigerians found a consolation goal in the 25th minute, but Germany found a third before the end of the first half. Nigeria's 90th-minute consolation goal was too little too late.

Croatia and Saudi Arabia both played their first World Cup knockout match ever in Orlando. The Croats took an early lead and doubled it shortly into the second half. The Saudis found a blistering consolation goal in the 85th minute, but Croatia were in the quarter-finals.

After a goalless first half between Serbia and Denmark, the Serbs made it 1-0 in the 54th minute, only for the Danes to equalize less than two minutes later. Incredibly, Serbia restored their lead almost immediately after the subsequent kick-off, which ended up being enough to advance.

Sweden opened the scoring versus Mexico in the sixth minute. Before the first half ended, the Mexicans levelled the scoring. Sweden restored their lead in the 51st minute, but Mexico equalized again. However, two minutes before the amount of added time was revealed, the Swedes added a third to reach the quarter-finals.

In a replay of a 1990 semi-final, Bohemia played against the Netherlands. Just like four years prior, the Dutch took an early lead. However, the Bohemians found two goals in the second half to eliminate the 1990 runners-up.

Let me know your knockout stage predictions:

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Credit to @Looper for correctly predicting 7/8 round of 16 matches.
Stay tuned for the remaining knockout stage!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 65 - Serbs You Right
1994 FIFA World Cup - Remaining Knockout Stage​

The first quarter-final was a rare World Cup derby between Bulgaria and their northern neighbours Romania. Both sides had, despite possessing strong teams, exceeded expectations and would for sure be devastated to exit now. The match was intense, both when it came to challenges, goalscoring attempts, and overall frenzy. However, the deadlock wasn't broken until Hristo Stoichkov eased in a superb free-kick in the 75h minute. Just a few minutes later, Yordan Letchkov doubles Bulgaria's lead with an arguably even more impressive diving header from right outside the penalty area. Romania also played well and did get on the scoresheet in the 88th, but a second goal never came.

Dallas, Texas. Another rare East European World Cup derby, though the stakes were incomparably different. Less than a decade ago, Croatia and Serbia were engulfed in a deadly war. Metaphorically speaking, the match was 'deadly' too. Croatia opened the scoring after exactly 20 minutes, while Serbia equalized in the 32nd minute. However, the Croats were given a huge advantage when Serbia's Zoran Mirković was given a straight red following a foolishly miss-timed challenge. Though he appeared somewhat regretful, the Croats were not happy. Perhaps this rage contributed to Zvonimir Boban being shown a second yellow by the Costa Rican referee a few minutes into the second half. The match remained fierce. Free-kicks. Challenges. Yellow cards. Inspiring efforts. But goalless. Extra-time was an identical story, though with more tired players. The Serbian goalkeeper became a hero in the shootout.

After a goalless first half, the greatly anticipated match between title holders Germany and the top all-time World Cup champions Brazil kicked into gear. The Brazilians made it 1-0 in the 53rd minute and doubled the advantage 10 minutes later, only for the Germans to score a consolation goal almost immediately after kick-off. Germany finished their comeback in the 76th minute, but Brazil were just a cut above the Germans, adding a third goal to secure advancement and exorcise their 1990 minutes.

The incredible set of quarter-finals was crowned by the most dramatic match of them all. A genius free-kick set piece put Sweden in front after 77 minutes, but they lost focus and suffered a devastating late Bohemian equalizer in the 88th minute. Things didn't become better for Sweden during extra time when they were reduced to 10 men. Bohemia's 102nd-minute goal appeared to secure them a sensational second consecutive World Cup semi-final, and cement Sweden's fate. However, a Hail Mary pass enabled Kennet Andersson to head in the equalizer in the 115th minute. Despite missing the opening penalty kick, heroic goalkeeping by Thomas Ravelli took Sweden to their first World Cup semi-final in 36 years and inflicted a rare shootout loss upon the usually emphatic Bohemians.

Before 1994, Bulgaria and Serbia had never reached the final eight of a World Cup, let alone the semi-finals. Nevertheless, the winner of their Pasadena match would reach the final. Serbia broke the deadlock in the 17th minute. However, Stoichkov's terrifying attacks forced Serbia into some risky defensive challenges within their penalty area. There were few protests when the referee pointed to the penalty spot right on the stroke of halftime. Stoichkov was never in doubt. Both sides were equally improved in the second half, ultimately cancelling each other out. Still, Serbia's squad was slightly more complete and saw them go in front in the 75th minute. Would Serbia face Brazil or Sweden in the final?

In the 1958 World Cup final, Sweden lost on home soil against Brazil, who then became world champions for the first time in history. Now the sides faced off again. Brazil and especially Romario had the upper hand versus the Swedes, who nevertheless played well. However, after being reduced to 10 men in the second half, they could no longer resist and Romario found the winner in the 80th minute.

Fortunately for Sweden, they emphatically obliterated Bulgaria 4-0 in the third place play-off to at least go home with silverware. Despite the big loss, the Bulgarians could be proud of their World Cup campaign.

Brazil were back in a World Cup final. Order was restored. But Serbia had no intention of respecting the status quo, impressively having the upper hand for the opening 15 minutes. The Brazilians were rattled, but assumed control after the opening onslaught seized. Seemingly inevitably, Romario put Brazil in front after 65 minutes and secured his country their fourth World Cup title, after a historically long hiatus of near misses. Serbia could take pride in their campaign, too.

Knockout stage of the 1994 FIFA World Cup. ​

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Credit to @Looper for getting the most knockout predictions right! Stay tuned for the prelude to UEFA Euro 1996, which will be a really interesting tournament.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 66 - Head-to-Head
Prelude to UEFA Euro 1996​

The format remained unchanged, with the 16 teams being divided into four groups of four, from which each winner and runner-up advanced to a knockout stage to decide the winner. This European Championship was, like the 1992 edition, also co-hosted by more than one country. Belgium and the Netherlands were awarded hosting rights in May 1992 over Portugal and a fellow joint bid with Austria and Hungary. England considered launching a bid before deciding against it due to having organized Euro 1980 relatively recently.

European title holders and 1994 World Cup bronze medalists Sweden shockingly failed to qualify, as did the 1992 Euro runners-up Denmark. Bulgaria, Norway and Switzerland were other notable absentees. Slovakia were painfully close to qualifying, finishing level with France and Romania on 19 points, only missing out on a spot because of head-to-head results. Turkey qualified for their first major tournament ever [1]. Croatia were notably emphatic in the qualifiers, being triumphant in all matches except one and winning home and away against Italy, who nevertheless also qualified.

The seeding method established for the previous Euros was maintained, with co-hosts Belgium and the Netherlands being automatically top seeded. The 14 remaining teams were seeded according to their UEFA coefficients (Sweden would have been top seeded irrespective of their coefficient if they qualified) [2].

Let me know your group stage predictions:

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[1] Turkey failed to qualify for the 1954 World Cup ITTL.
[2] Do you want an image of the team seeding for these Euros too and going forward, or is that besides the point?

Stay tuned for intriguing group stage matches!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 67 - Crowning Moments
UEFA Euro 1996 - Group Stage​

After their Euro 1992 group stage exit and failure to qualify for the 1994 World Cup, this England team had a lot to prove. England's doubters weren't exactly silenced after they drew 1-1 with Ireland in their opener, and after holding Germany to the same result, The Three Lions needed a victory versus Serbia to advance. They did manage to win, 1-0. However, it was Germany who topped the group by defeating Serbia 2-0 and Ireland 1-0. Having reached the final of the World Cup just two years prior, Serbia suffered a disappointing group stage exit despite edging out Ireland 2-1.

Group A of UEFA Euro 1996. ​

Belgium's 3-1 premiere loss to Spain, in Brussels, set the tone for what would be a horrendous campaign for the co-hosts. They only managed a 1-1 draw with Scotland before suffering a humiliating 2-0 defeat to rivals France to finish dead last. Scotland's opening goalless draw with France lost any initial perceived importance after the Scots failed to beat Belgium and narrowly lost 2-1 to Spain, who won the group. France held Spain to a 1-1 draw and advanced as the runner-up.

Group B of UEFA Euro 1996. ​

Italy started their campaign with an entertaining 2-2 draw with the Soviet Union. This was followed by a 1-0 win over Romania, and the Italians had one boot in the quarter-finals. However, Bohemia managed an impressive 3-1 win to deny the Italians that privilege. Just like at the 1994 World Cup, Italy obtained four points and were eliminated in the group stage. Meanwhile, Bohemia previously edged out Romania 1-0 before featuring in a spectacular 3-3 draw with the Soviets to top the group. The Soviet Union secured advancement by defeating Romania 2-1 on the final matchday.

Group C of UEFA Euro 1996. ​

Similarly to their southern neighbour, fellow co-hosts the Netherlands didn't live up to the expectations, despite avoiding a group stage exit. The opening 1-1 draw with Croatia in Amsterdam left a lot to be desired, but the subsequent 3-0 demolition of debutants Turkey brought some sense of security for the Dutch. However, they weren't the number one attraction of the group. Since Euro 1984, Portugal didn't have a lot of fond major tournament memories. This summer they were unforgettable, though. The deceivingly close 1-0 triumph over Turkey was followed by a great 3-1 victory over Croatia. However, Portugal's true crowning moment came on the third matchday, when they won 3-2 over the Netherlands in Amsterdam. Nevertheless, the Dutch still advanced since Croatia could 'only' beat Turkey 2-0. The Turks suffered a disappointing winless and even goalless tournament.

Group D of UEFA Euro 1996. ​

Tell me your knockout stage predictions:

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Stay tuned for the historic knockout stage.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 68 - Silence Is Golden
UEFA Euro 1996 - Knockout Stage​

Germany and France kicked off the quarter-finals in a straightforward but entertaining affair. Le Bleus' goal early in the first half never saw a response. France were in the semi-finals.

The second quarter-final was a similar story. Although Spain's first goal was disallowed for offside, La Roja broke the deadlock shortly afterwards and successfully defended it for the remaining 90 minutes. The success was especially welcome given Spain's 1988 group stage exit on home soil and failure to qualify in 1992.

Somewhat embarrassingly, co-hosts the Netherlands played their first knockout match in Bruges, not Rotterdam, due to their failure to top Group D. Their opponents were Bohemia, who impressively won a tough group and had turned into a bit of a rival for the Dutch, following their recent battles at major tournaments. The Bohemians had most recently eliminated the Netherlands in the last 16 of the 1994 World Cup, but Oranje took the lead in Bruges. Despite not playing on their own soil, the Dutch enjoyed unofficial home advantage from the stands. But Bohemia was not discouraged. This was a top match between two solid teams and, accordingly, the Bohemians eventually levelled the score. Extra time didn't see any goals, despite the newly introduced golden goal rule [1]. The penalty shootout did, however, mostly from the accurate Bohemians. The hosts suffered a disappointing exit.

Portugal was the clearest remaining front-runner, given their emphatic group stage display. However, their lack of recent knockout stage experience showed, and the Soviet Union went in front early in the second half. The Portuguese woke up and grew into the game, but never found the equalizer. Instead, a last-minute counter-attack enabled the Soviets to make it 2-0.

In the first semi-final, a perfectly timed lob in the 31st minute granted Radek Drulak a one-on-one with the French goalkeeper. A composed finish put the Bohemians in front. France were pretty bleak, though not terrible, but failed to find the equalizer despite notably thundering a shot at the crossbar. Bohemia were in their maiden Euro final, and their first major tournament final since 1934 if you count them as the successor team of Czechoslovakia.

The second semi-final was in many ways a similar story, though Spain did equalize after the Soviet Union took the lead early on. Extra time didn't see a 'golden goal', but the penalty shootout did, along with a couple of great saves. The Soviet Union were in the final.

Despite winning the inaugural 1960 European Championship and reaching a lot of semi-finals early on, the Soviet Union had been labelled 'sleeping giants' by a fair few, though much more 'sleeping' than 'giants'. Their Euro 1988 semi-final run was preceded by three failed qualifying campaigns, and followed by a group stage exit, while they have not reached the final four of a World Cup since 1966. In many ways, Bohemia was the antithesis. Following years in isolation during the 'Nazi era' and decades of failed qualification attempts, Bohemia finally started reaping the benefits of their football development programme in the late 1980s. By 1996, they were one of the best teams in Europe. Football fans were hoping for a repeat of Bohemia's and the Soviets' spectacular 3-3 draw in the group stage. However, given it was a final, the stakes and nerves were naturally much more palpable. The first half was goalless, but Patrik Berger was given a golden opportunity to break the deadlock. He took it. Bohemia in front, but the Soviets never stopped playing and the seemingly inevitable equalizer did come after 15 minutes. For the first time since 1980, a Euro final reached extra time. Fittingly, a Soviet golden goal in the 110th minute decided the final, leaving the Bohemians silenced and devastated, while the Soviets finally won another major title.

Knockout stage of UEFA Euro 1996. ​

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[1] I toyed with the idea of removing the golden goal rule, but decided against it since FIFA's misguided incentives to add the rule are still present ITTL (to produce more attacking play during extra time and reduce the number of penalty shootouts). It was comically proven to not work at OTL's Euro 1996, where four of seven knockout stage matches went to penalties (three of which even finished 0-0), but I digress. The negative tactics used during OTL's Italia '90 likely played a role in FIFA's decision to add the rule (keep in mind that it was first introduced in 1993, despite not being implemented at the 1994 World Cup). Although TTL's 1990 World Cup in Germany saw 0.18 more goals per match, I don't think that's enough for FIFA to not implement the golden goal rule.

Credit to @jycee for getting the most knockout stage predictions right.

Stay tuned for the prelude to the 1998 FIFA World Cup!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 69 - Apart From
Prelude to the 1998 FIFA World Cup ​

France were awarded hosting rights over England and Morocco in July 1992. The 1998 FIFA World Cup was played from 10 June to 12 July. Maintaining the previous format, the 32 participating teams were divided into eight groups of four, from which each winner and runner-up would advance to a knockout stage to decide the winner.

Having first entered qualification for the 1994 World Cup with apartheid recently abolished, South Africa now qualified for the first time [1]. The only other debutant was Jamaica, though there were some overdue returns. Iran, Portugal and Tunisia all qualified for the first time in 20 years. Lithuania missed out on qualification by a single point, but the most notable absentee was Bohemia. Bulgaria and Scotland are also worth mentioning.

Title holders Brazil and hosts France were automatically top seeded, while the six remaining Pot A teams were selected based on their recent World Cup performances [2]. Those teams were Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark, Korea, Serbia and Romania, which raised some eyebrows since it meant countries such as Argentina, England, Italy, Spain and the European champions the Soviet Union were not top seeded.

Tell me your group stage predictions:

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[1] I went back and forth between apartheid South Africa lasting longer or shorter ITTL, ultimately landing on neither as you can make good cases for both outcomes.

Spoiler: Argument for apartheid lasting longer ITTL

"Since no Holocaust nor WW2, there is not such stigma with racism and civil rights movement would rise later, countries probably are not so bothered with Apartheid SA. In other hand there is not excuse for such aid without Cold War. Things might go pretty differently. Apartheid might even last longer than in OTL." - @Lalli

Spoiler: Argument against apartheid lasting longer ITTL

"Without a Cold War, and especially if you don't have Marxist regimes coming up in the area post-independence, apartheid might end sooner. The United States (and maybe Britain) will have far less of an excuse to support the apartheid regime without the "communist spectre" hanging around South Africa, so the anti-apartheid international pressure might get stronger sooner." - @Mildtryth

[2] I channelled my inner nonexistent mathematician and used FIFA’s algorithm from OTL and applied it to TTL’s teams, though without factoring in the FIFA Rankings since they would have been different here and (almost) impossible to calculate. However, it’s largely a moot point as they would likely align with each respective team’s World Cup performance and thus not lead to changes in the seeded pot either way.

The funny number part is here! Stay tuned for the group stage.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 70 - Crisis Management
1998 FIFA World Cup - Group Stage​

Portugal returned with a promising generation after a long World Cup hiatus. On paper, their opening 1-1 draw with Brazil should have paved the way for advancement. Instead, they replicated that scoreline against the less fancied Norway before suffering a catastrophic 3-0 defeat to Morocco to cement their flop. Morocco, who started their campaign with a 2-2 stalemate versus Norway, suffered their own 3-0 loss against Brazil and missed out on the second spot by the skin of their teeth. After drawing their first two games, Norway needed a miraculous win against title holders Brazil to advance. All Norwegian hope was extinguished in the 78th minute when Brazil took the lead. Except it wasn't. Norway equalized five minutes later before Kjetil Rekdal scored the, by far, most important penalty in his country's history. Norway topped the highly competitive group. Brazil also advanced. Barely.

Group A of the 1998 World Cup. ​

The surprise 1994 runners-up Serbia performed well in the group stage, winning 2-1 over Cameroon and Chile before drawing 2-2 with Italy, whose objective was to avoid another group stage debacle. Despite "only" drawing 2-2 with Chile, Italy eased past Cameroon 3-0 to advance in second. Cameroon's only point was earned via their 1-1 draw with Chile, who also failed to advance.

Group B of the 1998 World Cup. ​

In stark contrast to most other constellations, Group C was extremely polarized despite offering some entertaining matches. Hosts France breezed past debutants South Africa 3-0. This was followed by an even more emphatic 4-0 demolition of Saudi Arabia and a mutually beneficial but entertaining 2-2 affair versus the Soviet Union. The reigning European champions essentially shared the top spot thanks to their 2-0 and 2-1 wins against Saudi Arabia and South Africa. The bottom echelon also featured in a 2-2 draw on the final matchday.

Group C of the 1998 World Cup. ​

Group D as in 'death'. Nigeria sensationally defeated Spain 3-2 before suffering an equally sensational 4-1 loss to Denmark, who drew 0-0 with Paraguay in their opener. The Paraguayns also featured in a goalless draw versus Spain. However, Paraguay's defense reigned supreme and ensured that they topped the group despite scoring the fewest goals, largely due to the 3-1 triumph over Nigeria. Despite struggling, Spain were in control of their own destiny on the final matchday, but could "only" beat Denmark 2-1. As a result, they suffered a shocking consecutive World Cup group stage exit. The Danes advanced and breathed a sigh of relief.

Group D of the 1998 World Cup. ​

The greatly anticipated Benelux derby disappointingly failed to produce goals. The Netherlands went on to win the group by beating Japan 3-0 and drawing 2-2 with Mexico, who replicated that scoreline versus Belgium and also beat Japan, 3-1. The Japanese failed to advance despite obtaining their historic first World Cup point in a 1-1 draw against the undefeated but eliminated Belgians.

Group E of the 1998 World Cup. ​

Germany won the top-heavy Group F by defeating the United States and Iran 2-0, while also edging out neighbours Austria 2-1. The main talking point was the highly politically charged match between America and Iran. In the end, Iran ran out 2-1 victors, but fears of fan violence never came to fruition. Following their opening 1-1 draw with Iran, Austria just had to beat the United States to reach the last 16. However, they instead suffered a humiliating 3-0 defeat to the unfancied Americans. Austrian football was sent into crisis, while Iran advanced to the World Cup knockout stage for the first time in history.

Group F of the 1998 World Cup. ​

Romania edged out Colombia 1-0 and scored a last-minute winner in their 2-1 triumph against England. The point earned in the 1-1 draw with Tunisia was enough to win the group. Despite losing to Romania, England's 2-0 victories over Tunisia and Colombia was enough to reach the knockout stage. However, Colombia's lone 1-0 win over Tunisia was not enough.

Group G of the 1998 World Cup. ​

On matchday one, Argentina brushed aside Korea 3-1, while Croatia hammered debutants Jamaica 4-1, though they could still take pride in getting on the goalsheet in their maiden World Cup match. In the next round, Argentina and Croatia shockingly and emphatically both obliterated Jamaica and Korea 5-0 respectively. Croatia's and Argentina's 1-1 draw was just a formality as both sides had already secured advancement. Asia's powerhouse Korea disappointed their continent, despite edging out Jamaica 2-1.

Group H of the 1998 World Cup. ​

Tell me your round of 16 predictions:

--------------------------
Special thanks to @jycee who volunteered to create graphics of venues and general infoboxes for previous World Cups! I've only added up to the 1962 tournament as of now, but more will be included in the future!

Credit to @Mildtryth for getting the most group stage predictions right. Stay tuned for the round of 16 matches!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 71 - Ready, Set, Piece!
1998 FIFA World Cup - Round of 16​

The knockout stage was kicked off with a fierce affair between Serbia and title holders Brazil - in a rematch of the 1994 final no less. Serbia unexpectedly opened the scoring after just two minutes, but Brazil still completely turned the game on its head to lead at half-time. Serbia equalized shortly into the second one, only for Brazil to score their penultimate third around the hour-mark.

The second tie was not as blistering, with Italy edging out Norway by a single goal scored in the 18th minute.

Next, it was time for hosts France to enter the knockouts with Denmark. An early penalty put Le Bleus in front, but Denmark levelled the scoring through the same method. However, France found the final goal 10 minutes into the second half to secure advancement.

Just like in Paraguay's two opening matches, the score was 0-0 after 90 minutes. This was especially contentious given that FIFA deployed the 'golden goal' rule at a World Cup for the first time in history. Extra time was tight, but the fellow undefeated Soviets capitalized on an opportunity in the 114th minute to reach the quarter-finals.

Mexico sensationally went ahead versus Germany early in the second half, but the Germans were shaken back to their senses and scored twice to ultimately win 2-1.

Iran had done well to reach the knockout stage but were a little out of their depth in the knockout stage against the Netherlands, despite only losing 2-0.

Argentina made it 1-0 against Romania after a brilliant set piece, and immediately stole the ball after Romania's subsequent kick-off. A failed challenge resulted in an Argentinian penalty just a minute after they opened the scoring. Devastatingly, Romania fell behind 2-0, while Argentina ultimately advanced with that scoreline.

Croatia took the lead against England through an early penalty, only for the 18-year-old Michael Owen to equalize with a remarkable individual performance. The intensity of the match persisted throughout the remaining opening 90 minutes, despite the goalscoring not doing so. Extra time failed to split them too, though there was no absence of dangerous chances. However, this affair would be decided by penalties. Croatia were more clinical and advanced to back-to-back World Cup quarter-finals [1].

​

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[1] No Beckham red card ITTL. However, Croatia are a bit stronger here so these factors kinda "negate" each other.

Credit to @Mildtryth and @jycee for both getting 7/8 round of 16 predictions right!

Tell me your predictions for the rest of the tournament.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 72 - Saint Karpin
1998 FIFA World Cup - Remaining Knockout Stage​

The first quarter-final was deceivingly eventful early on. Brazil opened the scoring after just two minutes, only for France to equalize around the first quarter. However, after that, occasional periods of mild entertainment were followed by more frequent safe football. Throughout the first half. And second. And extra time. All penalty shootouts are tense, but this one was more charged than usual. Host France were victorious in the end, while title holders Brazil would leave this tournament without silverware.

Despite being plagued by a lack of goals and similar doubtfulness as the preceding quarter-final, the Nantes match between Italy and the Soviet Union was a bit greater in intensity. However, the man of the match Roberto Baggio failed to project his calm demeanour upon his teammates during the penalty shootout, as the Soviets scraped by again. Only just.

Diego Simeone's first-half antiques caused a German player to snap right on the stroke of half-time. Argentina made full use of the extra man throughout the remaining 45 minutes, winning deservedly 3-0.

Croatia proved they were the real deal by, not only taking the lead against the Netherlands, but re-taking it after the Dutch levelled the scoring. All of this was during the first half, naturally making the second one more defensive.

Neither Croatia nor the European champions the Soviet Union had played in a World Cup final before, adding a new dimension to the semi-final in Marseille. Despite reaching this stage, the Soviets had only made it this far by the skin of their teeth and some critics even accused them of being frauds. Croatia were slight, but clear favorites. The favourites went in front immediately in the second half, yet somehow, the Soviets discovered a new level of clarity in their gameplay which enabled them to return. Right before extra-time was the most likely outcome, the Soviets took the lead and defended it despite relentless attempts from the tournament's best player and top goalscorer, Davor Suker.

The second semi-final was eerily similar, in its build-up, stakes, conditions and outcome. Hosts France had only scaped by in the knockout stage, while the Argentines had easily brushed aside their two previous opponents. As expected, Saint-Denis was stunned silent as Argentina went in front late in the first half. However, France and Lillian Thuram in particular found motivation from deep within and turned the game on its head, winning 2-1.

The bronze match was a group stage rematch. Croatia pounced on a depressed Argentina, who would only be happy with gold, and won 2-1 to secure their first World Cup medal.

The final was another group stage rematch - between two countries who had never won the World Cup. Zidane sent the home fans into a frenzy when the opened the scoring, but the 10-minute joy was not made to last as the Soviets made it 1-1. France "restored order" early in the second half, but two subsequent Soviet goals - one in the 74th and the other in 88th minute, scored by Valery Karpin - stunned the packed, newly built stadium silent. The Soviet Union were world champions.

Knockout stage of the 1998 FIFA World Cup. ​

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Credit to @jycee and @Mildtryth for again getting the most predictions right.

Stay tuned for Euro 2000.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 73 - A Watched Pot Never Boils
Prelude to UEFA Euro 2000​

The format remained unchanged, with the 16 teams being divided into four groups of four, from which each winner and runner-up advanced to a knockout stage to decide the winner. In July 1995, England were awarded hosting rights over Portugal and another joint bid by Austria and Hungary.

Slovakia qualified for their first major tournament ever, notably beating Romania’s golden generation, which nevertheless also secured a ticket to England. Bohemia and Sweden made impressive returns after failing to qualify for the 1998 World Cup. France qualified by the skin of their teeth due to winning a high stakes playoff vs Norway, making the Scandinavians a notable absentee. Belgium had a terrible qualifying campaign and were also nowhere to be seen. Fellow 1998 World Cup participants Austria failed to qualify too, though their absence could hardly be considered surprising given their dreadful display in France.

The seeding, which was again based on UEFA coefficients’, garnered some attention from pundits: Romania and Bohemia in Pot 1, Slovakia in Pot 2, but the Netherlands in Pot 4, France and Italy in Pot 3, to mention some noteworthy talking-points.

Tell me your group stage predictions:

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Thank you all for 50,000 views! That's over 20 TIMES the number of people that live in the village I grew up in, so this popularity really blows my mind in a good way.

Stay tuned for future parts.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 74 - Three-For-All
UEFA Euro 2000 - Group Stage​

The European Championship was back in England for the first time in 20 years. That was the last time The Three Lions won a title, but their group stage display seemingly promised a 1980 repeat. After edging out Turkey 2-1, the home fans caused an earthquake in London when England beat Germany 2-0. A blistering 3-2 triumph over Croatia cemented England's top spot. Turkey desperately wanted to redeem themselves after a dreadful winless and goalless campaign four years prior. Despite minor improvements in the form of scoring in their loss to England and holding Croatia to a goalless draw, Turkey's tournament would make or break versus Germany. Hakan Sukur ensured they made it with a brace that was left unanswered. Turkey won 2-0. Germany could only manage a 1-1 draw with Croatia and finished dead last. German football was sent into a crisis. Turkey were sent to the quarter-finals.

Group A of UEFA Euro 2000. ​

Hailed as a genuine dark horse contender by many, Romania couldn't rise to the level of top European sides, despite beating Sweden 2-1 in their opener. Italy brushed aside the Romanians 2-0, while Portugal won 1-0 thanks to a last-minute goal. The 'top dogs' of the group, Italy and Portugal, featured in a spectacular 2-2 draw on matchday one. In the end, Italy's superior goal difference rendered them group winners. Sweden flopped miserably, also losing 1-0 to Portugal and 2-1 to Italy in addition to the defeat suffered versus Romania.

Group B of UEFA Euro 2000.​

Group C was as blistering and dramatic as they get. Serbia didn't feature in just one, but two 3-3 (!) draws - against the title-holding Soviet Union and 1996 semi-finalists Spain. Sandwiched between those stalemates was a crucial 2-0 win over Denmark. Spain also scored twice to beat Denmark, despite suffering a consolation goal. This was followed by an entertaining 2-2 deadlock with the Soviet Union, who brushed aside Denmark 3-0 in the final round. As the group stage concluded, UEFA officials had to dig deep into the tiebreakers to split the top three. Serbia and the Soviet Union advanced. Barely.

Group C of UEFA Euro 2000. ​

Featuring both the European and World Cup runners-up, Bohemia and France, Group D was sure to be a solid one, especially given the inclusion of debutants Slovakia - who had been great in the qualifiers - and the usually solid Dutchmen. Slovakia were unfortunately way out of their depth as they failed to score a single goal in their losses - 3-0 to France, and 2-0 versus rivals Bohemia and the Netherlands. France subsequently defeated Bohemia 2-1 and spectacularly drew 2-2 with the Netherlands to finish in first. Bohemia's opening 1-0 triumph over the Dutch proved to be vital.

Group D of UEFA Euro 2000. ​

Tell me your knockout stage predictions:

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I swear I've used this title before? Oh well, it fits again. Stay tuned for the knockout stage.

Credit to @Mildtryth for getting the most predictions right (again)!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 75 - Match of the Millenium
UEFA Euro 2000 - Knockout Stage​

Hosts England got a brilliant start to the knockout stage, leading Portugal 2-0 after just 18 minutes. However, the electric atmosphere was greatly dampened as the Portuguese scored not just one, but twice before the break. Any hint of English optimism completely vanished when Portugal took the lead in the 59th minute. England were never out of the game tactically, though, creating opportunities and restoring national pride and hope when they made it 33 in the 77th minute. As is all too common, the game slowed down during extra time - despite remaining entertaining. Regardless, the sides would be split by penalties. England's opening miss proved devastating. Everyone else scored, including the Englishmen, and Portugal won 5-4. A devastating exit for the hosts, it goes without saying.

Two years prior, France suffered a devastating home loss in the World Cup final to the Soviet Union. Le Bleus were out of blood versus the Soviets, who also held the European title. After an eventful first half, France lead 2-1. Despite intense offensive efforts from the Soviet Union, France defended their lead and advanced.

Bohemia eased into a 2-0 lead against Serbia, who restored hope by getting on the scoresheet less than two minutes into the second half. But Bohemia were always the better team, adding a third and fourth, while Serbia only scored their second in the 92nd minute. The 1996 runners-up Bohemia made it to the semi-finals again.

After a goalless first half, Italy opened the scoring versus Turkey in the 52nd minute. The Turks always stayed in the game and equalized 10 minutes later. However, after 20 additional minutes past, Italy were awarded and converted a penalty to edge out the victory.

As expected of a semi-final, the battle between Portugal and Bohemia was tense. The Portuguese acquired an early lead and, despite playing well, Bohemia failed to level the scoring.

Shortly into the second half, Italy went in front versus France. It appeared to to be the winner, but a last ditch attack saw Le Bleus equalize in the 94th minute! Psychologically devastating for the Italians. Thirteen minutes into extra time, things turned even worse - for Italy - as David Trezeguet made it 2-1 for France. The controversial golden goal rule ensured the score was final.

Both Portugal and France were in their first Euro final in 16 years. In 1984, Le Bleus won 2-1. Who would be victorious in the new millenium? France had the experience of featuring in a World Cup finals two years earlier, but Portugal opened the scoring in the 19th minute. The French equalized a few minutes into the second half. Extra time came - and seemingly went - as penalties approached. Technically, penalties were reached. At least one. Awarded by the Swedish referee. Zidane scored and France were European champions after another golden goal.

Knockout stage of UEFA Euro 2000. ​

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Incredibly, ALL of you predicted the same winners. Credit to all of you, I guess?

Stay tuned for the prelude to the 2002 FIFA World Cup, which feature a lot of interesting changes.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 76 - Seoul-Searching
Prelude to the 2002 FIFA World Cup ​

Korea were awarded hosting rights [1] over Mexico and Japan in May 1996. The 2002 FIFA World Cup was played from 31 May to 30 June. Maintaining the previous format, the 32 participating teams were divided into eight groups of four, from which each winner and runner-up would advance to a knockout stage to decide the winner.

The European qualifiers were characterized by a lot of upsets. Slovenia topped a highly competitive qualifying group ahead of France and Serbia to make their World Cup debut. France ultimately eased past Scotland 5-1 on aggregate, despite losing 1-0 in Glasgow, to qualify via the play-offs. Group B saw the biggest shock, with the Republic of Ireland qualifying over the Netherlands and Germany, the latter of whom were eliminated on goal difference [2]. The Netherlands failed to utilize their lifeline and were surprisingly defeated 1-0 on aggreggate by Turkey in the play-offs. Hakan Sukur scored the goal which earned his country a World Cup spot for the first time in history. Despite finishing five whole points behind Portugal, Italy avoided disaster by beating Belgium 4-1 on aggreggate in the play-offs. The fourth play-off saw Romania edge out Bohemia 2-1, making the 2000 Euro semi-finalists a notable absentee again.

Ecuador impressively finished second in the CONMEBOL qualifiers to make their World Cup debut. Senegal was Africa’s lone debutant. Australia edged out Bahrain in the OFC-AFC play-off to qualify for their first World Cup in 28 years. The CONCACAF-CONMEBOL saw Colombia brush aside Honduras [3].

I'm curious to here your group stage predictions:

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[1] South Korea co-hosted the tournament with Japan IOTL. However, Japan still earned a spot via the qualifiers ITTL.

[2] It might seem crazy that Germany failed to qualify since they reached the final IOTL, but they really weren’t great back then. Despite not being bad, the main reason they reached the final IOTL was that they got an easy road there and Oliver Kahn had the tournament of his life. I don’t think they would have qualified from such a tough qualifying group, given how good Ireland was at that time.

[3] There’s no UEFA-AFC play-off ITTL.

Stay tuned for the exciting group stage!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 77 - All Across the Land
2002 FIFA World Cup - Group Stage​

After their abysmal 1998 showing, Korea [1] was highly pressured to perform well on home soil. The team delivered with sweeping performances, brushing aside Australia 3-0 - in their long overdue return, before edging out the United States 2-1 and Portugal 1-0. All across the land, Korean fans eagerly awaited the knockout stage [2]. The United States tragically fumbled a three-goal lead to draw with Portugal on the first matchday. But the worst was yet to come. Despite having just been obliterated 4-0 by Portugal, Australia stunned the fancied Americans with a 3-2 win [3], but it was Portugal who reached the last 16.

Group A of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. ​

Spain were determined to not suffer a third (!) consecutive group stage exit at the World Cup, and it showed in their gameplay. Following La Roja's 2-1 triumph over Romania, the Spaniards brushed aside Paraguay 3-1 before featuring in a blistering 3-2 victory over South Africa. Romania had only barely qualified on the fumes of their 'golden generation', and when the tournament came around, the smoke had completely vanished. South Africa edged them out 1-0, Paraguay 2-1. The opening 2-2 draw between Paraguay and South Africa ultimately saw the latter advance to the knockout stage for the first time in history, on goal difference.

Group B of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. ​

Brazil dominated Group C as expected, edging out Turkey 2-1 in a surprisingly narrow encounter before hammering China 4-1 and Costa Rica 5-2. Debutants Turkey went on to draw 1-1 with Costa Rica. This was followed by a historic first World Cup win - 3-0 versus China, who suffered a close 2-1 loss to Costa Rica on matchday one. Turkey's superior defense ensured they advanced on goal difference. China failed to improve on their 1990 campaign, scoring one goal in each match but losing all of them.

Group C of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. ​

Group D as in 'death'. European champions and 1998 World Cup runners-up France were determined to find the trophy missing from their cabinet, but were dealt a major blow in the opener when debutants Senegal held them to a 1-1 draw. However, Le Bleus subsequently edged out Colombia 1-0, and order was seemingly restored. Denmark got a solid start by beating Colombia 2-1. Senegal again drew 1-1 in the second round, this time versus Denmark. France were pressured to beat Denmark in the final round, as a Senegalese victory would ensure they advanced over the Euro champions even if France held the Danes to a draw. Senegal did ultimately resist a Colombian comeback to win 3-2, but against the script, Denmark defeated France 2-1. Maybe it was 'D' as in 'Denmark', not 'death'.

Group D of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. ​

In their opener, Italy demolished Saudi Arabia 5-0. This was followed by a 2-2 draw with an Ireland side hailed as a dark horse by many. Some people even considered them genuine title contenders. A close 1-0 triumph over Cameroon cemented Italy's top spot. Having also drawn 1-1 with Cameroon, Ireland crucially defeated Saudi Arabia 3-0 to advance as runners-up. Saudi Arabia's tournament was catastrophic, winless and goalless, but Cameroon's 1-0 win over them was not enough to reach the knockout stage.

Group E of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. ​

Sweden twice came back from behind to beat Iran and Nigeria respectively 2-1. However, against the group's powerhouse Argentina, the Swedes acquired a sensational lead through a marvelous free-kick. Heroic goalkeeping ensured Argentina's 88th-minute goal merely was an equalizer. Still, the goal difference Argentina gained in their 1-0 and 2-0 wins over Nigeria and Iran ensured the Argentines topped Group F ahead of Sweden. Nigeria's 1-0 victory against Iran was not enough for advancement.

Group F of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. ​

England edged out debutants Ecuador in their opener, but in the second round, The Three Lions had two (!) goals wrongfully disallowed [4], meaning they only drew 1-1 with Croatia, who previously lost 1-0 to Mexico. The Mexicans went on to win 2-1 over Ecuador, who scored their maiden World Cup goal in the encounter, before holding England to a mutually beneficial 1-1 draw, though The Three Lions were kicking themselves, or rather the referee, for not topping the group. Ecuador enjoyed a historic 1-0 triumph over Croatia in the final match, but it was not enough to advance. Croatia's performance was unworthy a World Cup bronze medalist.

Group G of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. ​

The title-holding Soviets won Group H as anticipated, easing past Tunisia 3-0 before, somewhat unexpectedly, merely drawing 1-1 with Japan. However, the Soviets won 3-2 against Slovenia to finish in first. Japan drew 2-2 with the debuting Slovenians in round one. Slovenia couldn't break down Tunisia either as they drew 1-1. On the other hand, Japan did just that when it mattered most, defeating Tunisia 2-0 to advance to the knockout stage for the first time in history. Slovenia's World Cup debut was grealy disappointing, given they qualified from such a tough group.

Group H of the 2002 FIFA World Cup. ​

I'd love to hear your round of 16 predictions:

----------------------------------------
Credit to @Mildtryth for getting the most predictions right.

Loads of upsets and there's more to come in the knockout stage! Stay tuned.

[1] Side note: I've decided it makes sense to remove Korea's dubious, arguably corrupt refereeing ITTL. Though there's no hard evidence of corruption IOTL, the refereeing in South Korea's semi-final run was absolutely disgraceful, especially the matches against Italy and Spain. I highly recommend you watch highlight of those matches, but prepare to become furious. There's also a great Planet Football article written by Phil Iwaniuk. Oh, and it doesn't help that one of those referees was later convicted for smuggling heroin. However, ITTL, Korea are much stronger and would be confident enough not to resort to such dubious tactics.

[2] Another side note: For logistical reasons, OTL's knockout pairing method was different due to Japan co-hosting the tournament. The pairing method will be "normal" ITTL since Korea is the lone host.

[3] The United States are done a bit dirty ITTL since Portugal (due to also playing at the 1998 World Cup here) and Korea are stronger.

[4] I said I'd remove corrupt refereeing, not incompetent refereeing.

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 78 - Bright and Early
2002 FIFA World Cup - Round of 16​

The hosts Korea got a dream start when they took the lead against South Africa in the very first minute. It was not made to last, though, as the Africans equalized around the half-hour mark. Still, the second half saw Korea further cement their status as the stronger team, which accordingly saw them be rewarded with a winning goal in the 88th minute.

The Iberian derby between Spain and Portugal was perhaps the most anticipated last 16 tie. Spain found an early breakthrough in the eighth minute. What followed was a hard-fought game with fierce challenges, plenty of opportunities, one of which found the back of the net in the 90th minute. Portugal's Rui Costa became hero when he equalized to take the game to extra time. However, the game's true saviour was Iker Casillas. His saves were crucial for Spain in the shootout.

Shortly into the match, Sweden surprisingly went in front versus Italy, who nevertheless equalized 25 minutes later. The second half, though entertaining, failed to produce additional goals. Sweden were painfully close to finding a golden goal, but Anders Svensson's stunning roulette and subsequent strike hit the wrong side of the crossbar. Instead, Italy found a golden goal of their own in the 104th minute.

The Argentina-Ireland match was eerily similar to the Iberian debry of yesterday. Argentina scored early on, and, following an intense game, Ireland equalized in the dying minutes. Again, extra time slowed the game down, and, just like in 1990, a golden Irish team lost on penalties.

For the first time in history, not just one, but two African teams reached the knockout stage. Senegal were hoping to exceed South Africa's display, which they inititally did by obtaining a sensational lead in the 37th minute. They defended it throughout the remainder of the first half and hour. However, Brazil's quality was inevitable and saw them equalize in the 67th minute before going in front exactly 20 minutes later. A heartbreaking exit for the debutants, who could be proud of their campaign.

Following the group stage, Denmark were huge favorites against Turkey. Nevertheless, it was the debutants who opened the scoring after merely 14 minutes. Despite this, Denmark largely remained the stronger team, even though Turkey were respectable too, but the Danes just couldn't find the back of the net, largely due to some goalkeeping heroics by Rüştü Reçber. Turkey reached the quarter-finals as the only remaining debutant! It was a devastating exit for Denmark, who had been hailed as a real outside title contender by some after topping the group of death.

Cheered on by greater numbers from the stands, Japan took the lead versus Mexico in the eighth minute, only for the Mexicans to level the scoring after less than four minutes passed. However, Japan restored their lead after an hour played to continue their historic World Cup run.

Millions of England fans set their alarms for 6:30 AM to catch their crucial match against the title-holding Soviets. Just like in every other match of the round, an early goal was scored. This one by England, who twice extended their lead to lead 3-0 during half-time. The Soviets were rejuvenated in the second half, scoring twice, but England resisted the comeback. It was the worst performance of a reigning World champion since Italy lost 3-2 to Korea in 1986. The same scoreline as England won with now, fittingly.

Tell me how you think the rest of the knockout stage plays out:

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Credit to @ArupinumMaivista for getting the most round of 16 predictions right, 7/8.

Stay tuned for the exciting conclusion of the knockout stage!

 

[NTF aka Seb]

Part 79 - Hand In Hand We Play
2002 FIFA World Cup - Knockout Stage​

Korea were back in the World Cup quarter-finals for the first time since 1986, but this time with the support - and pressure - from their home fans. Those fans, and the millions watching from home, went wild as Korea took the lead in the 23rd minute. However, Rivaldo brougth them back down to earth when he equalized for Brazil in the dying seconds of the first half. The second half started with a slight advantage for Brazil, but when Ronaldinho got sent off before an hour was played, there was nothing separating the two sides. In fact, the Koreans occassionally looked the better team. Nevertheless, no additional goals were scored, including during extra time. Brazil had traumatic memories of penalty shootouts. It's how they were eliminated four years prior. Also in the quarter-finals. Also against the hosts. Tragically for the Brazilians, their demons were not exorcised. The hosts won the shootouts to not just make Korean history, but Asian history, as the first side from the contintent to reach the semi-finals.

After a goalless first half, Spain opened the scoring versus debutants Turkey a few minutes into the second half, despite a good performance by the Turks. Nevertheless, Spain's goal was left unanswered and they advanced to the semi-finals for the first time in 60 years!

Japan stunned Italy in the ninth minute. Would the first semi-final be an all-Asian affair? The first hald made that seem like the case, as Japan defended their lead. However, Italy equalized in the 51st minute. Eventually, Italy found themselves in another dramatic period of extra-time. It was here Japan ultimately crumbled after a heroic performance, following an Italian golden goal.

The most anticipated quarter-final was saved for last: Argentina against England. After hitting the post, it was England who found the first, and ultimately final goal, through a David Beckham penalty on the stroke of half-time.

In 1986, Korea beat Italy 3-2 to reach the final eight. Twenty years before that, the Koreans brushed them aside 2-0. Korea was somewhat a bogey team for Italy and, indeed, the hosts opened the scoring after just three minutes. However, a correctly awarded penalty enabled the Italians to level the score. Midway through the second half, Italy took the lead for the first time. But in the 88th minute, Seoul and Korea exploded when the hosts made it 2-2. Italy found themselves in a devastating third consecutive period of extra time. Devastating for Korea, that is, as Italy found yet another golden goal to reach their first World Cup final in two decades.

England were hoping to reach their first World Cup final in well over three decades, while Spain were aiming for heights never reached before. England made it 1-0 in the 33rd minutes, suffering a catastrophic - or euphoric if you're Spanish - equalizer late in the second half. To be blunt, the extra time was boring. Iker Casillas' heroics had been instrumental in Spain reaching this stage, but his teammates failed to capitalize on a couple of saves as England ran out victors.

In the bronze match, Spain took the lead almost immediately after kick-off, while Korea equalized just a couple of minutes later. The blistering tempo of the match persisted, and before the 20th minute, Spain had completely turned it around. Despite remaining energetic, the game failed to produce more goals. After far too long a wait, Spain were World Cup medalists.

Two traditional powerhouses determined to end their tournament droughts - that was the setup of the final. Typically, it was a goalless first half due to nerves and the tremendous stakes. However, the match was decided through an unusually great goal by World Cup final standards. A long-distance strike from Vincenzo Montella in the 67th minute. When it mattered most, Italy closed out a game before extra time, resulting in a fourth World Cup title.

Knockout stage of the 2002 FIFA World Cup.​

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Most of you got 3/4 right, but credit to @jycee for correctly predicting Korea's upset!

Stay tuned for the prelude to UEFA Euro 2004!