How did a Kingdom of Brazil evolve that became independent in 1683?

This is part of a larger timeline which I called "Habsburg Concordia", which explores a world where the Habsburgs won the 30 Years War, in this topic I want to explore a specific country, Brazil and how PoD can modify your story:
==============================================================================================================================
The situation of the Kingdom of Brazil in 1703, after the acclamation of King João V
Teodosio_principe.jpg
800px-Lu%C3%ADs_de_Vasconcelos_e_Sousa%2C_3.%C2%BA_Conde_de_Castelo_Melhor.png

King Teodosio I of Brazil in his youth (Left), King João V of Brazil after his accession in 1703​
November 22, 1703 was a sad day in Brazil, that morning the young kingdom lost its first monarch, Teodosio I of Bragança died at dawn in the city of Salvador, capital of the Kingdom of Brazil, on the same day his eldest son , Prince João was acclaimed king, although there was an initial controversy about what his royal name would be, soon the prince made it clear that he would reign as João V, making clear the claims of the Kingdom of Brazil as the direct successor of the old Kingdom of Portugal.
Teodosio I was a sad man when he died, having been forced to abandon his homeland and throw himself into a foreign land and spend the rest of his life there, ruling a kingdom isolated from the world, but how did that happen?
This question can be answered by going back a few decades, respectively until the accession of Philip IV of Spain and III of Portugal, the new king had a different approach to Portuguese issues. Taxes on Portuguese merchants were increased, the Portuguese nobility began to lose their influence in the Spanish Cortes, and government posts in Portugal were increasingly held by Spaniards. Ultimately, Philip IV and III tried to make Portugal a Spanish province, and the Portuguese nobles lost all their power.
Such action led to growing discontent in Portugal, pro-independence sentiments became increasingly popular, when an armed uprising was about to erupt in the late 1630s, this was avoided thanks to the Spanish victory in the 20s Years War (1618-1638) when taxes were severely lowered with the end of the expensive war, this however would only postpone the worst.
At the beginning of the 1660s, Portugal found itself in the same situation as in previous decades, with a smaller and smaller number of foreigners in power, being swallowed up by the influence of Spain, this situation culminated in a revolution organized by the nobility and bourgeoisie, carried out on the 1st of December 1663, eighty-three years after the coronation of Philip I (Philip II of Spain), the first "double monarch".
The support of the people became evident almost immediately, and in a matter of hours, Philip III's 3rd cousin, João, 8th Duke of Bragança, was hailed as King João IV of Portugal; the news spread like wildfire across the country. This coup started the so-called "War of Acclamation" between 1663 and 1683, Spain sought to isolate Portugal militarily and diplomatically, and Portugal sought to find the resources to maintain its independence through political alliances and maintaining its colonial revenues.
Militarily, the War of Acclamation consisted mainly of border skirmishes and cavalry incursions to plunder border towns, combined with occasional raids and counter-invasions, many of them disheartened and underfunded, this situation remained so for nearly fifteen years.
From the second half of the 1670s the luck of the Portuguese began to decline, Portugal was essentially an isolated state from the rest of Europe, having help from enemies of the Spanish Habsburgs such as Louis XIV's France, this help was very precarious, and the war had remained in a stalemate for the last few years, this impasse was changed after a series of massive defeats in 1675 and 1676 on the Portuguese Spanish frontier that allowed the entry of Spanish forces into Portuguese territory for the first time in twelve years, the period between 1675 to 1680 was marked by more and more defeats for Portugal, after the fall of the city of Porto in August 1679, the territories dominated by Portugal were limited to Lisbon and the archipelago of Madeira.
From 1680 the fall of Lisbon became a matter of time, so a retreat to the Archipelago of Madeira was planned, however the already very old King João IV knew that Madeira Island would soon be captured by the Spanish fleet, the priest António Vieira pointed out the idea of transfer to Brazil, an idea already presented a few years before, throughout the year 1680 several members of the nobility began to leave Lisbon, it was only in December that the king left the city, along with the rest of the royal family and their supporters, Lisbon would fall to the Spanish in January.
João IV's health was already very good, the transfer to Madeira Island only worsened the situation, the king ended up dying on February 1, 1681, at the age of 77, his son Teodosio was quickly acclaimed as King of Portugal, knowing that Madeira Island would soon be taken, the new king soon prepared the flight to Brazil, this effectively happened on July 8, 1681, when the king and a fleet of more than 20 ships, taking almost all the members of the Bragança family, Noble supporters, employees and personal items left for Brazil.
The squadron landed in the city of Salvador on October 10, 1681, being received by the Governor-General of Colonia, Roque da Costa Barreto, the members of the royal family were housed in government buildings, while the other aggregates spread across the city, in homes confiscated from the population.
Although there were plans to continue the war, with the idea of gathering a fleet of ships to invade Madeira Island (taken by the Spanish Armada in August 1681), and from there to attempt an invasion of southern Portugal, King Theodosio I knew although taking Portugal was impossible, after two more years of war by proxy and some conflicts in the south of the colony, Portugal and Spain made peace in January 1683, Spain, although reluctant, was already tired of the long war, besides the Spaniards knew they could not take Brazil.
Knowing that he would never return to Portugal, Teodosio I ended up elevating the colony to the status of Kingdom on May 31, 1683, when he was acclaimed as Teodosio I of Brazil and crowned in Salvador in a luxurious ceremony, the new Kingdom of Brazil was the first As an independent country on the American continent, eight years before the declaration of independence by the Confederation of Columbia in 1691, Brazil evidently declared itself as the successor of the Kingdom of Portugal.
Teodosio I reigned for 20 years, ruling a kingdom isolated from the world, Spain in its fury had tried to isolate the new kingdom from Europe, in 1684 having prohibited slave trading posts from doing trade with Brazil, something that effectively should have the economy of Brazil, in addition, the sugar trade began to decline, although news of the discovery of gold in the Province of São Paulo encouraged the now king João V, the king already wanted to transfer the court for a long time, this only gave him yet another excuse, the new king wonders what future is in store for his kingdom?
 
Last edited:
Major Timeline Changes (1630-1703)
PoD takes place in November 1630, however there have been some changes since the 1570s

November 1630: Cardinal Richelieu is dismissed by King Louis XIII, his resignation leads to a new religious war in France, allowing the Huguenots and the French Catholic League to rise again and leading to the collapse of the Franco-Protestant Alliance.

November 1636: The Dutch Republic falls to the forces of the Catholic League, several refugees flee to England and the Americas

March 1637: the Dutch Occupation of Pernanburco ends

December 1637: The Shimabara Rebellion begins, unlike OTL southern Japan was much more influenced by Portuguese and Spanish traders, thanks to that the island of Kyusho is much more Christian than in OTL, from the end of the 1620s Christians begin to infiltrate the Japanese army having much more military power when the rebellion starts.

July 1638: The Twenty Years' War ends with the Peace of Prague and the victory of the Catholic League, among the terms of the treaty are:
  • The division of the Bradenburg-Prussian electorate between the Holy Roman Empire and the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth.
  • The monarchy of the Holy Roman Empire being a hereditary monarchy to further centralize power in the Habsburgs and avoid further wars of succession.
  • The Netherlands being reincorporated into the empire in a unique situation, a junior branch of the Habsburgs was sent to rule the Council of Flanders formerly ruled by Spain, merging the duchies of Burgundy, Lorraine, Flanders, Brabant and Holland as the Kingdom of Burgundy within the Holy Roman Empire, in an attempt to make Holland more loyal, having much more autonomy within the new kingdom and converting them back to Catholicism.

September 1638: the last Tokugawa Daymo surrenders to Christian rebels, a new government is established in Kyoto with the leader of the rebellion, Amakusa Shiro being proclaimed Emperor and Kagae Nobuie as new Shogun.

1640: The New government of Japan begins the Japanese Inquisition and converts most of Japan's population to Catholicism

1655: The Great Northern War begins between Sweden, Russia and Denmark-Norway

1660: The Great Northern War ends, Sweden loses land to Denmark-Norway and Russia and maintains a strong desire for revenge

May 1662: After conflicts between Emperor Shiro and Shogun Kagae, a religious civil war begins between extremist Christians (Kagae) and moderate Christians (Shiro)

October 1662: Princess Maria Teresa of Spain marries a Portuguese noble in an attempt to improve relations with Portugal

November 1662: Moderate Christians win the Japanese Civil War and the position of Shogun is abolished with the Emperor Shiro passing to concentrate the powers

December 1663: The War of Acclamation begins in Portugal

1668: Japanese colonization of Taiwan begins

July 1681: The Bragança family flees to Brazil

January 1683: Princess Maria Theresa of Spain gives birth to Prince Carlos Filipe of Habsburg

January 1683: War of Acclamation ends with Spanish victory, the Braganças retain control of Brazil

May 1683: King Teodosio I is crowned King of the Kingdom of Brazil

September 1683: The Great Turkish War of 1683-1699 begins would be very similar to the OTL in the eastern theater, however, with the exception of France, besieged by the Habsburgs on all sides, deciding to intervene in an attempt to cripple Europe's ruling house, The France would lose the next war and was forced to hand over some land to Flanders and the Duchy of Savoy, who allied with the Habsburgs but managed to divert Holy League troops away from the main theater, prompting the Ottomans to hold on to Transylvania in peace.

February 1685: After his accession, James II begins a much more aggressive pro-Catholic campaign than in the OTL, with most Protestants converting or fleeing to the Americas

1685: Spain prohibits African slave factories from trading with Brazil, this generates an economic crisis in Brazil, effectively ending the Brazilian slave trade

1687: The Unification of Japan begins, the old feudal system of the Daymos is gradually replaced by a centralized government under the figure of the Emperor in Tokyo

1688: A Protestant revolt begins in England, led by Princesses Mary and Anne, and several Protestant nobles in an attempt to overthrow James II

1689: Without international support, the Protestant uprising in England fails, Princesses Anne and Mary flee to Denmark while James II takes advantage of the situation to destroy the powers of parliament, several refugees flee to the American colonies where a general revolt begins, this begins to Columbia War of Independence

August 1689: Pope Innocent XI dies, in the 1689 Papal Conclave Paluzzo Paluzzi Altieri degli Albertoni is elected as Pope Urban IX

September 1690: Columbia's Declaration of Independence is signed in New York

1692: King James II reunites the Kingdoms of England, Scotland and Ireland into a new kingdom called the "United Kingdoms of England, Scotland and Ireland"

1697: Pedro I of Russia travels to Spain and Austria during the "Grand Embassy", thanks to which Russia ends up becoming an ally of the Habsburgs in the coming years

June 1698: Pope Urban IX dies, at the 1698 Papal Conclave Galeazzo Marescotti is elected as Pope Clement XI

1699: The Great Turkish War of 1683-1699 ends with Habsburg Victory

August 1700: After a decade of fighting the Columbia War of Independence comes to an end after the expulsion of the last English troops, the Confederation of Columbia is a Confederal Republic controlled by English Protestants and Dutch refugees from Europe, ruled by the Congress of New York , formed by former members of the English parliament who fled after the failed Protestant revolt of 1688-1689

November 1700: Prince Carlos Filipe of Habsburg, son of Princess Maria Teresa of Spain succeeds King Carlos II of Spain, avoiding a disastrous war of succession, he adopts the name Carlos III of Spain

September 1701: Dies King James II and VII of the United Kingdoms of England, Scotland and Ireland (UKOEEI), they are succeeded by their son James III and VIII

October 1701: Emperor Amakusa Shiro dies at age 80, after 63 years of reign he is succeeded by his son Amakusa Ujitaka

November 1703: Teodosio I of Brazil dies at the age of 69, he is succeeded by his eldest son who takes the name João V
 
What happens next?
  • How will the Kingdom of Brazil evolve in the 18th century?
  • How does an early end to the slave trade affect Brazil?
  • How does the economy develop in this Brazil?
  • Who does King Teodosio I marry? and João V?
 
What happens next?
  • How will the Kingdom of Brazil evolve in the 18th century?
Brazil probably expanded its territories in a similar way in the 18th century.
  • How does an early end to the slave trade affect Brazil?
Rather, when the slave trade was abolished in OTL the slave trade had to be reorganized internally, this also means that the slave population of Brazil is much smaller, the slave population in Brazil in 1700 was around 200 thousand being that the population was around 300 thousand, this however also means that as portugal is under spanish rule there is no more portuguese immigration to Brazil
  • How does the economy develop in this Brazil?
Quite different, considering that Brazil is isolated from Europe means that most of the gold that Brazil got in the 18th century will stay in Brazil instead of going to Portugal or England.
  • Who does King Teodosio I marry? and João V?
Teodosio would likely marry a European princess, perhaps a princess of the House of Savoy, perhaps Marie Jeanne Baptiste de Savoy-Nemours or Princess Louise Christina of Savoy (1629-1692), probably the second.
As for Prince João V, I would need to know when he was born to speculate on any candidate
 
Brazil probably expanded its territories in a similar way in the 18th century.

Rather, when the slave trade was abolished in OTL the slave trade had to be reorganized internally, this also means that the slave population of Brazil is much smaller, the slave population in Brazil in 1700 was around 200 thousand being that the population was around 300 thousand, this however also means that as portugal is under spanish rule there is no more portuguese immigration to Brazil

Quite different, considering that Brazil is isolated from Europe means that most of the gold that Brazil got in the 18th century will stay in Brazil instead of going to Portugal or England.

Teodosio would likely marry a European princess, perhaps a princess of the House of Savoy, perhaps Marie Jeanne Baptiste de Savoy-Nemours or Princess Louise Christina of Savoy (1629-1692), probably the second.
As for Prince João V, I would need to know when he was born to speculate on any candidate
João V was born in 1661
 
Last edited:
Does that mean that Brazil TTL has a smaller population?
Unfortunately yes, unless Spain allows immigrants (which I find quite unlikely).
The lack of Portuguese immigration however may open space for immigration from other parts of Europe (Brazil would be forced to open ports to foreign nations as it is no longer subject to Portugal) attracted by Brazilian gold, perhaps Brazil could receive several Irish immigrants during the Irish Famine of 1740-1741.
 
How could this work practically?
For the first part; if there's a incentive for the europeans to marry natives they will do so, it was fairly popular among the men to take many indigenous wives and that worked in some places(see Paraguay) to get high birth rates, without additional portuguese immigration they'll most likely are going to get assimilared into a creole brazilian culture
For the second one; one of the key points I've read that lead to Quebec's population growth was their desire of cultural preservation while facing british domination and assimilation
If this "Brazil' fears being overtaken by other powers surrounding it, like the spanish for example, they might pursue larger families to increase their numbers
 
For the first part; if there's a incentive for the europeans to marry natives they will do so, it was fairly popular among the men to take many indigenous wives and that worked in some places(see Paraguay) to get high birth rates, without additional portuguese immigration they'll most likely are going to get assimilared into a creole brazilian culture
For the second one; one of the key points I've read that lead to Quebec's population growth was their desire of cultural preservation while facing british domination and assimilation
If this "Brazil' fears being overtaken by other powers surrounding it, like the spanish for example, they might pursue larger families to increase their numbers
They can also encourage foreign immigration, as I said earlier, Brazil would be forced to open ports to foreign nations, as it is no longer subject to Portugal, in which case the vacuum created by the lack of Portuguese immigration would be compensated by the arrival of several immigrants much more earlier than OTl, they would be encouraged by the discovery of gold at the end of the 17th century which would attract people from several countries (In OTL the Portuguese had to ban Portuguese immigration to Minas Gerais to avoid depopulation), this could attract French, German, Poles and mainly Irish (Due to the Irish Famine of 1740-1741), besides this timeline there will be a war in Europe between 1748 and 1757, called the Nine Years' War, which can increase the immigration flow
 
They can also encourage foreign immigration, as I said earlier, Brazil would be forced to open ports to foreign nations, as it is no longer subject to Portugal, in which case the vacuum created by the lack of Portuguese immigration would be compensated by the arrival of several immigrants much more earlier than OTl, they would be encouraged by the discovery of gold at the end of the 17th century which would attract people from several countries (In OTL the Portuguese had to ban Portuguese immigration to Minas Gerais to avoid depopulation), this could attract French, German, Poles and mainly Irish (Due to the Irish Famine of 1740-1741), besides this timeline there will be a war in Europe between 1748 and 1757, called the Nine Years' War, which can increase the immigration flow
In addition, we can make the São Paulo coffee cycle start earlier, there was an attempt to grow coffee in the Amazon in the Early 18th century, so there may be a successful attempt to grow coffee in the south of the country that would end up attracting immigrants.
 
Last edited:
It still did reasonably well(as well as a portuguese colony can be anyway) since the Northeast had the brazilian colonial capital Salvador till it was officially moved to Rio de Janeiro in 1763 and it was the economic focus(if having infraestructure developed with slave plantations can be considered a positive) of the portuguese on Brazil till the Minas Gerais Gold Rush in 1690
Afterwards...it went as well you'd expect
The Northeast was openly neglected for quite a good while, leading to a cycle of separatist rebellions(many from Pernambuco itself) and violent repressions that despite Pedro II's late efforts made their way even past the Republican Era
 
It still did reasonably well(as well as a portuguese colony can be anyway) since the Northeast had the brazilian colonial capital Salvador till it was officially moved to Rio de Janeiro in 1763 and it was the economic focus(if having infraestructure developed with slave plantations can be considered a positive) of the portuguese on Brazil till the Minas Gerais Gold Rush in 1690
Afterwards...it went as well you'd expect
The Northeast was openly neglected for quite a good while, leading to a cycle of separatist rebellions(many from Pernambuco itself) and violent repressions that despite Pedro II's late efforts made their way even past the Republican Era
Well, Salvador is the capital of the Kingdom of Brazil now, the seat of the royal court, and will likely remain for quite some time (The capital will likely be moved south anyway) with the king so close certain problems in the region may well be resolved
Also the effects of the PoD on the region in OTL the sugar trade began to decline after the Dutch abandoned the colony and started to cultivate in the Caribbean, in this world the Netherlands if it exists, this can allow the sugar trade to remain profitable for a longer period of time, in addition, the slave trade between africa and brazil effectively ended, in the long term this can greatly influence the region
 
Indeed
I think with the court in Salvador what will be a must now is solving the drought issues
Thats the main problem with OTL mortheast to this day and with them there it will be a matter of survival getting a constant water supply for their cities, sugar canes in particular also consume a lot of water and that'd be a problem even if food & drinking werent a issue as basic human needs
But hey at least that gives the portuguese a reason to get creative! Maybe they could dust off those old roman canal plans, either that or the Exodus
 
Indeed
I think with the court in Salvador what will be a must now is solving the drought issues
Thats the main problem with OTL mortheast to this day and with them there it will be a matter of survival getting a constant water supply for their cities, sugar canes in particular also consume a lot of water and that'd be a problem even if food & drinking werent a issue as basic human needs
But hey at least that gives the portuguese a reason to get creative! Maybe they could dust off those old roman canal plans, either that or the Exodus
I remember reading an alternative story where the Portuguese built a network of water canals connecting the entire northeast,
would that be logistically possible in 1703?
 
Top