Alternate Electoral Maps
- Thread starter Tayya
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Using the RCP delegate calculator, I pitted Ron Paul (2012) vs. John Kasich, based on their percentages in each state*.
Kasich won the popular vote ~56%-44%, but Paul, being Paul, stole the nomination through a narrow win in Florida, unopposed victories in Colorado and North Dakota, and winning just enough unpledged delegates to reach a majority. (It also didn't help that Kasich's votes were mostly concentrated in the northeast.)
I imagine winner-take-all would be done away with after this...
*based on actual vote count, Kasich would win by a huge margin.
Kasich won the popular vote ~56%-44%, but Paul, being Paul, stole the nomination through a narrow win in Florida, unopposed victories in Colorado and North Dakota, and winning just enough unpledged delegates to reach a majority. (It also didn't help that Kasich's votes were mostly concentrated in the northeast.)
I imagine winner-take-all would be done away with after this...
*based on actual vote count, Kasich would win by a huge margin.
And here's a margin map of FDR vs. Goldwater.
Which colour is who's?
Blue is FDR and red is Goldwater. I'm both surprised it's more regional than I expected and less smooth a gradient than I expected.
Nixon improved in...quite a few states, actually:
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Louisiana
Maryland
Mississippi
Nevada
New Mexico
Oregon
South Carolina
Texas
Utah
Virginia
The 2012 US Election in the State of Scotland*
Background: Scotland is a state in the British Isles region of the United States of America and one of the 55 comprising the United States. It was first admitted to the US in 1801 along with the Kingdoms of Wales and Ireland, with England having become the center of the United States when its government collapsed in the American Revolution. It consists of 33 counties, with the state capital being Edinburgh in Lothian County and the largest city being Glasgow in Renfrew County.
http://s1376.photobucket.com/user/s...2 US Election_zpsispci2q4.png.html?sort=3&o=1
Outcome of the 2012 Election: At the Presidential level, Scotland has been a Democratic stronghold since 1976, although prior to this it was an industrial swing state and has become considerably more liberal over the years, which has damaged Republican strength there over time. In 2012, it awarded its 7 electoral votes to Barack Obama by over 63% of the vote to Mitt Romney's 35%, a Democratic victory margin of 28%. Obama's most populous county win was in Renfrew County, which has trended Democratic since the 1930s thanks to its heavy industry base and the urban nature of Glasgow, whilst Romney performed best in the sparsely populated counties in the Borders such as Wigtown County and Roxburgh County.
On the Congressional level, Democratic Governor Jim Murphy has represented the state since 2006, being re-elected twice since then. In the House, the Democrats hold all five Congressional districts, and in the Senate, its two seats are held by Alistair Darling (senior) and Kezia Dugdale (junior).
Since the 2014 Congressional elections, the Republicans have scarcely fielded candidates in Scotland, with three districts going unopposed. One of the remaining ones (the fifth, which predominantly covers the Highlands and Islands) was surprisingly close between the sitting Democrat Alistair Carmichael and Alex Salmond, who represents the Scottish National Party, a small group which supports independence for Scotland. Despite this, the Republicans are especially badly hit as Scots have shifted away from them even further following Trump's nomination.
*note: this is an ASB scenario.
http://s1376.photobucket.com/user/stupidstuffwillhappen/media/State of Scotland 2012 US Election_zpsispci2q4.png.html?sort=3&o=1
Background: Scotland is a state in the British Isles region of the United States of America and one of the 55 comprising the United States. It was first admitted to the US in 1801 along with the Kingdoms of Wales and Ireland, with England having become the center of the United States when its government collapsed in the American Revolution. It consists of 33 counties, with the state capital being Edinburgh in Lothian County and the largest city being Glasgow in Renfrew County.
http://s1376.photobucket.com/user/s...2 US Election_zpsispci2q4.png.html?sort=3&o=1
Outcome of the 2012 Election: At the Presidential level, Scotland has been a Democratic stronghold since 1976, although prior to this it was an industrial swing state and has become considerably more liberal over the years, which has damaged Republican strength there over time. In 2012, it awarded its 7 electoral votes to Barack Obama by over 63% of the vote to Mitt Romney's 35%, a Democratic victory margin of 28%. Obama's most populous county win was in Renfrew County, which has trended Democratic since the 1930s thanks to its heavy industry base and the urban nature of Glasgow, whilst Romney performed best in the sparsely populated counties in the Borders such as Wigtown County and Roxburgh County.
On the Congressional level, Democratic Governor Jim Murphy has represented the state since 2006, being re-elected twice since then. In the House, the Democrats hold all five Congressional districts, and in the Senate, its two seats are held by Alistair Darling (senior) and Kezia Dugdale (junior).
Since the 2014 Congressional elections, the Republicans have scarcely fielded candidates in Scotland, with three districts going unopposed. One of the remaining ones (the fifth, which predominantly covers the Highlands and Islands) was surprisingly close between the sitting Democrat Alistair Carmichael and Alex Salmond, who represents the Scottish National Party, a small group which supports independence for Scotland. Despite this, the Republicans are especially badly hit as Scots have shifted away from them even further following Trump's nomination.
*note: this is an ASB scenario.
http://s1376.photobucket.com/user/stupidstuffwillhappen/media/State of Scotland 2012 US Election_zpsispci2q4.png.html?sort=3&o=1
Seeing the county election model I was doing have a bunch of Green counties in Colorado, I was curious how much of the Eastern Plains I'd have to lop off to make it so the Greens would win the state. Turns out I'd have to roughly cut the state in half at the foothills. The Greens win the western half by about 0.1% over the Democrats with 27.09%, and the GOP comes in third about 0.5% behind the Democrats. 
Thande
Donor
I managed to miss these before, so just to say excellent work, it's something I've always wanted to see since I first read DoD.
Come to think of it, what does the OTL South get called in DoD one wonders...the Northern Gulf states, the Old South?
IIRC the Eastern Seaboard states are "the East", and the Gulf Coast and inland South is "the Midwest".
Done with the county map up to the Mississippi. North Dakota is so far the Reform Party's best result, and the only state where they've received over 30% of the vote.
The yellow county in Iowa is Jefferson County, where John Hagelin of the Natural Law Party received 21% of the county vote in 1996 and 14% in 2000. Hagelin is from Jefferson County which explains that, and when I saw I didn't even need to double his vote average to make him win the county, I couldn't resist.
The yellow county in Iowa is Jefferson County, where John Hagelin of the Natural Law Party received 21% of the county vote in 1996 and 14% in 2000. Hagelin is from Jefferson County which explains that, and when I saw I didn't even need to double his vote average to make him win the county, I couldn't resist.
Attachments
Continuing with the DoD maps from here, here and here. This is the last *US election for which I have complete data, so expect a lull before I get to the Yankee ones.
The 1892 election was the first conducted after the 1890 census, which reapportioned the electoral vote to the strong benefit of the Northwest, and in particular the Great Plains, at the expense of the East and the Gulf States losing significant vote weight. In a different world, these changes would've benefitted the Patriots greatly, but as it stands, that was not to be. The Patriots' core vote of Plains farmers and Southwestern hacienda workers (who traditionally voted as instructed by their employers) was beginning to loosen throughout the 1880s, and only the incumbency and popularity of President Corbin staved off the party's decline. Until 1892, that is, when both factions walked out of the convention in protest. The Plains farmers had long been up in arms over the expansion of large-scale plantation agriculture into their region, which they saw as unfair competition against free labor, and when the Patriots had eight years in office and did nothing to stop this, the farmers began to grow discontented with the party. State parties such as the Wilkinson Progress Party and the Kansas People's Party had been founded during Corbin's years in office, but in 1892 they made common cause. When the Patriot convention looked like it was about to nominate notoriously pro-slavery Governor Emil Burke of Pennsylvania, the Plains delegates left the convention, forming a national People's Party and nominating maverick Senator William Shipstead of Wilkinson [a sort of William Jennings Bryan figure] for president. The People's Party adopted a platform calling for the abandonment of the gold standard, the abolition of national banks, and the curtailing of indentured labor in the northern states [although he did stop short of calling for abolitionism, because of course he did, this is DoD].
The southwestern blancos also bolted from the Patriots, forming the Reform Party and nominating Emilio Canalizo of Veracruz on a ticket of equality and justice for all white men [again, this is DoD; if you think anyone in the *US is going to give half a fig about the non-white population and still win significance, you're pushing your luck].
The rump Patriot Party decided to drop Burke, nominating instead the more traditional Eastern Patriot, Senator Charles Ramsey of North Carolina. His running mate was Colonel John Watson, a veteran of the Mexican war who still carried a bullet in his shoulder, and was hoped to add a bit of badly needed war-hero charisma to the ticket.
The Democrats, meanwhile, were chugging along just fine - they had a popular incumbent who looked like he was actually supporting the common man, notably setting up the Industrial Commission to prosecute cartels in the railroads. President Mahan decided to drop VP Mitchell from his ticket for re-election, instead choosing Governor Luis Terrazas of Chihuahua, a veteran politician of the southwest who was also the first blanco to be nominated by a major party.
Ultimately Shipstead's ticket proved even more successful than the Patriots had feared. He carried every single state in the Plains, coming close to second place in the electoral vote. What was worse, he split the vote in the Free Trio badly, allowing the Democrats to carry all three states despite Mitchell being absent from the ticket. The Reform Party, by contrast, was a damp squib, getting no more than 20% of the vote in any single state and failing to break 1% nationally. Its supporters would claim election fraud against them, but such claims weren't very likely - well, certainly not likely enough for anyone to ever act upon them.
The overall result was a Democratic landslide, with Mahan being confirmed in office by nearly three quarters of the electoral college. Having returned to the New White House, the President set about to deepen his reform agenda in hopes of attracting Populists to the Democratic fold. Before his second term was up, constitutional amendments had been passed to allow a progressive federal income tax and the direct election of senators. Moreover, civil service reform was instituted, and the remit of the Industrial Commission was expanded to include heavy industry as well as the railroads. America had entered a new age.
The 1892 election was the first conducted after the 1890 census, which reapportioned the electoral vote to the strong benefit of the Northwest, and in particular the Great Plains, at the expense of the East and the Gulf States losing significant vote weight. In a different world, these changes would've benefitted the Patriots greatly, but as it stands, that was not to be. The Patriots' core vote of Plains farmers and Southwestern hacienda workers (who traditionally voted as instructed by their employers) was beginning to loosen throughout the 1880s, and only the incumbency and popularity of President Corbin staved off the party's decline. Until 1892, that is, when both factions walked out of the convention in protest. The Plains farmers had long been up in arms over the expansion of large-scale plantation agriculture into their region, which they saw as unfair competition against free labor, and when the Patriots had eight years in office and did nothing to stop this, the farmers began to grow discontented with the party. State parties such as the Wilkinson Progress Party and the Kansas People's Party had been founded during Corbin's years in office, but in 1892 they made common cause. When the Patriot convention looked like it was about to nominate notoriously pro-slavery Governor Emil Burke of Pennsylvania, the Plains delegates left the convention, forming a national People's Party and nominating maverick Senator William Shipstead of Wilkinson [a sort of William Jennings Bryan figure] for president. The People's Party adopted a platform calling for the abandonment of the gold standard, the abolition of national banks, and the curtailing of indentured labor in the northern states [although he did stop short of calling for abolitionism, because of course he did, this is DoD].
The southwestern blancos also bolted from the Patriots, forming the Reform Party and nominating Emilio Canalizo of Veracruz on a ticket of equality and justice for all white men [again, this is DoD; if you think anyone in the *US is going to give half a fig about the non-white population and still win significance, you're pushing your luck].
The rump Patriot Party decided to drop Burke, nominating instead the more traditional Eastern Patriot, Senator Charles Ramsey of North Carolina. His running mate was Colonel John Watson, a veteran of the Mexican war who still carried a bullet in his shoulder, and was hoped to add a bit of badly needed war-hero charisma to the ticket.
The Democrats, meanwhile, were chugging along just fine - they had a popular incumbent who looked like he was actually supporting the common man, notably setting up the Industrial Commission to prosecute cartels in the railroads. President Mahan decided to drop VP Mitchell from his ticket for re-election, instead choosing Governor Luis Terrazas of Chihuahua, a veteran politician of the southwest who was also the first blanco to be nominated by a major party.
Ultimately Shipstead's ticket proved even more successful than the Patriots had feared. He carried every single state in the Plains, coming close to second place in the electoral vote. What was worse, he split the vote in the Free Trio badly, allowing the Democrats to carry all three states despite Mitchell being absent from the ticket. The Reform Party, by contrast, was a damp squib, getting no more than 20% of the vote in any single state and failing to break 1% nationally. Its supporters would claim election fraud against them, but such claims weren't very likely - well, certainly not likely enough for anyone to ever act upon them.
The overall result was a Democratic landslide, with Mahan being confirmed in office by nearly three quarters of the electoral college. Having returned to the New White House, the President set about to deepen his reform agenda in hopes of attracting Populists to the Democratic fold. Before his second term was up, constitutional amendments had been passed to allow a progressive federal income tax and the direct election of senators. Moreover, civil service reform was instituted, and the remit of the Industrial Commission was expanded to include heavy industry as well as the railroads. America had entered a new age.
Done with the county map up to the Mississippi. North Dakota is so far the Reform Party's best result, and the only state where they've received over 30% of the vote.
The yellow county in Iowa is Jefferson County, where John Hagelin of the Natural Law Party received 21% of the county vote in 1996 and 14% in 2000. Hagelin is from Jefferson County which explains that, and when I saw I didn't even need to double his vote average to make him win the county, I couldn't resist.
I love the idea, but Clinton really messes up the scores in Arkansas and Louisiana - you might want to use different formulas for the Clinton South at least.
Yeah, it does kind of seem like that. For at least this version though I didn't want to do adjustments to the calculations for each state. I also want to see what the rest of the South looks like first, it might just be Arkansas and Louisiana that look off.
EDIT: The other reason could be that so far, Arkansas and Louisiana are the states with the two lowest percentages of votes going to neither Dems or the GOP. The Greens and Reform got just over 21% combined in each of those states with my current model.
Sounds like a plan. It could also be used for a Bill Clinton 2000 scenario, I guess!
The European Community is the (at least in 1966) quasi-federal entity comprising most of continental Europe. Created in 1956 after the ratification of the Treaty of Paris with the creation of the EPC, an umbrella organisation with both economic and political aspects and which also contains the EDC and the ECSC. The EC is still in the making. Although the polity (country?) has its own Armed Forces, the EDF (European Defence Forces) and has progressed quite quickly in political and economic integration, there is a lot to do just yet before the EC becomes something akin to Switzerland. For instance, the Member States still try to fight for their right to operate independently on foreign policy issues, even though they never have control of military or commercial issues, and some aspects of the military, like nuclear weapons proliferation remain beyond its reach (currently an intergovernmental project, F-I-G). The EC has legitimised itself thanks to its status as the second most important NATO member or the exceptional economic growth that Europe is experiencing, not seen since the Belle Époque, and ongoing since the mid-1950s.
Europe really is flourishing, however questions abound how fair it is abound. Social policy is an area that dominates the European political debate, as countries remain rather reticent to share it, given their differences. Whereas France wishes to expand its model of worker's rights protection through the Community, Germany and Italy are reticent, as their cheap workforce is one of their comparative advantages. Germany could accept it in exchange of the process of monetary stabilisation and convergence speeding ahead, but the French are not too keen on that either. But 1966 was a year marked by social conflicts, because in Italy, in France and even in Germany, not to mention Belgium, it's been a year of labour demands and class conflicts, with a high amount of strikes and social conflicts as Saarbruck and the national authorities try to placate these movements by giving in to their demands through further social funding or legislative means.
As it stands, the EC is practically a dominant party system, with the Christian-democratic Union of European Democrats (UED) as the main political party, dominant in every single Member State save France and Denmark. Indeed, the party has been in government at the European level since 1956 and at the national level, it's practically been in government non-stop since WWII. The Union consists of several national federated parties, but the most important ones are the Italian DC and the German CDU-CSU. The politically vague name is the result of a compromise between French and German members, as the former would not accept a clearly confessional name. The current President of the European Executive Council (EEC) is Pierre Henri-Teitgen, a Frenchman, previously a Minister in various French governments and known for his radically pro-European beliefs, sometimes clashing with the national chief executives.
On the right of the spectrum it is possible to find the European Liberal League (ELL), successor of the European Economic League association. It is not so much a proper political party as a group of the various national liberal and conservative parties. The ELL is relatively sceptical of the European integration, mixing federalist rhetoric with a more nationalist outlook, particularly in Germany. The leading party is the French PRC (Parti républicain du centre), led by Roger Duchet, and which happens to be the most pro-European of the lot of them. It is also the most anti-communistic and pro-free market of all the groups, although it makes common cause with some UED elements.
The left is very divided between the European Socialist Party (ESP), strong in Germany and northern Europe, but weak in Italy and France and the Communist Group (CG), strong in Italy and France, weak elsewhere and banned in Western Germany. Although originally sceptical of the whole European integration process, decried by the SFIO as a 'little, Jesuitic Europe', its internationalism, focus on economic and social welfare combined with anti-communism have turned them around. It also helps that amongst the post-war generation of social democrats there are many pro-Europeans (Spaak, Mollet, Saragat, etc.). Indeed, the ESP is currently in a grand coalition arrangement with the UED, backing the EEC.
Needless to say, the Communists, still tied to Moscow are not happy about an organisation that they perceive as radically opposed to Moscow's interests and yet another instrument of capitalist oppression. Well, except for the PCI, but it does not admit it yet, but it's warming up to the internationalism of the EC. Especially given that once you're in, there's no going out.
The Radical Rally (RR) is a bit of an oddity, the last remnants of the non-Marxist left that still exists in Europe. Basically it's a three-party group, although it really is a one party group, given that the French PRS is so much more stronger than any other radical party. Like the Liberals, they are bit sceptical of the European project, but back wholeheartedly its policies of industrial rationalisation, modernisation and concentration. Especially once it became apparent that France would not be bought out by the dynamic German economy - to Mendès-France's satisfaction.
The 1966 election did not constitute a major shift, the same coalition was re-edited (for the last time), in order to further advance in the institution-building process and expand the EC's legitimising base. Teitgen would renew his electoral mandate, although not for much longer; practically ten years in power is a long time. The election was marked by an improvement of the French Christian democrats resulting in the UED ending 19 seats away from an absolute majority. But social troubles are soon to break the pacific picture.
Europe really is flourishing, however questions abound how fair it is abound. Social policy is an area that dominates the European political debate, as countries remain rather reticent to share it, given their differences. Whereas France wishes to expand its model of worker's rights protection through the Community, Germany and Italy are reticent, as their cheap workforce is one of their comparative advantages. Germany could accept it in exchange of the process of monetary stabilisation and convergence speeding ahead, but the French are not too keen on that either. But 1966 was a year marked by social conflicts, because in Italy, in France and even in Germany, not to mention Belgium, it's been a year of labour demands and class conflicts, with a high amount of strikes and social conflicts as Saarbruck and the national authorities try to placate these movements by giving in to their demands through further social funding or legislative means.
As it stands, the EC is practically a dominant party system, with the Christian-democratic Union of European Democrats (UED) as the main political party, dominant in every single Member State save France and Denmark. Indeed, the party has been in government at the European level since 1956 and at the national level, it's practically been in government non-stop since WWII. The Union consists of several national federated parties, but the most important ones are the Italian DC and the German CDU-CSU. The politically vague name is the result of a compromise between French and German members, as the former would not accept a clearly confessional name. The current President of the European Executive Council (EEC) is Pierre Henri-Teitgen, a Frenchman, previously a Minister in various French governments and known for his radically pro-European beliefs, sometimes clashing with the national chief executives.
On the right of the spectrum it is possible to find the European Liberal League (ELL), successor of the European Economic League association. It is not so much a proper political party as a group of the various national liberal and conservative parties. The ELL is relatively sceptical of the European integration, mixing federalist rhetoric with a more nationalist outlook, particularly in Germany. The leading party is the French PRC (Parti républicain du centre), led by Roger Duchet, and which happens to be the most pro-European of the lot of them. It is also the most anti-communistic and pro-free market of all the groups, although it makes common cause with some UED elements.
The left is very divided between the European Socialist Party (ESP), strong in Germany and northern Europe, but weak in Italy and France and the Communist Group (CG), strong in Italy and France, weak elsewhere and banned in Western Germany. Although originally sceptical of the whole European integration process, decried by the SFIO as a 'little, Jesuitic Europe', its internationalism, focus on economic and social welfare combined with anti-communism have turned them around. It also helps that amongst the post-war generation of social democrats there are many pro-Europeans (Spaak, Mollet, Saragat, etc.). Indeed, the ESP is currently in a grand coalition arrangement with the UED, backing the EEC.
Needless to say, the Communists, still tied to Moscow are not happy about an organisation that they perceive as radically opposed to Moscow's interests and yet another instrument of capitalist oppression. Well, except for the PCI, but it does not admit it yet, but it's warming up to the internationalism of the EC. Especially given that once you're in, there's no going out.
The Radical Rally (RR) is a bit of an oddity, the last remnants of the non-Marxist left that still exists in Europe. Basically it's a three-party group, although it really is a one party group, given that the French PRS is so much more stronger than any other radical party. Like the Liberals, they are bit sceptical of the European project, but back wholeheartedly its policies of industrial rationalisation, modernisation and concentration. Especially once it became apparent that France would not be bought out by the dynamic German economy - to Mendès-France's satisfaction.
The 1966 election did not constitute a major shift, the same coalition was re-edited (for the last time), in order to further advance in the institution-building process and expand the EC's legitimising base. Teitgen would renew his electoral mandate, although not for much longer; practically ten years in power is a long time. The election was marked by an improvement of the French Christian democrats resulting in the UED ending 19 seats away from an absolute majority. But social troubles are soon to break the pacific picture.
Last edited:
MoralisticCommunist
Banned
A 'little' thing I made, the most realistically I could, and borrowing from Ares96's style of electoral map-making. The description will have to come tomorrow, though. I was really happy with the result so I didn't want to wait
Wow that is one of the most beautiful election maps I've ever seen!
Thanks but to be fair, the awesome style was developed by Ares96 and Thande on the OTL Election Map while the colour scheme is not mine, credit goes to USeletionatlas.org's Velasco.
Thande
Donor
Impossible to calculate as the Euro votes are (haha, were!) only counted by council area.
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