AH Challenge: Modern Mediterranean Pirates

Matt Quinn wrote:

"A cargo ship w/ torpedo tubes under the waterline could provide some very nasty surprises, though I think they'd be too slow-moving for a one-on-one duel with a modern warship (unless it's ambush)."


Mr. Quinn,

It would be a nasty surprise. Unfortunately piracy depends on taking and looting ships and not merely sinking them! ;)

"Al-Qaeda with one or two Kilo-class submarines (though training a crew might be somewhat difficult) could make maritime trade very interesting if they decided to park themselves in a sea lane somewhere and raise hell."

Training would be a bitch as would reloads, but an Al-Qaeda commerce raiding and/or interdiction mission around the Horn of Africa would be interesting...

"Carlton_Bach's scenario is very interesting--the Mediterranean basin as a post-Soviet mess."

Yes, very much so. It's a keeper.

"How come merchant ships aren't armed these days? Some of these Malay pirates might get a nasty surprise if their little cigarette boat is riddled with .50 caliber fire."

Expense mostly. The losses inflicted by the pirates don't yet outweigh the costs required to arm and man merchants. Also don't forget the new 'kinder, gentler', 'touchy, feely' major nations of today. You strafe ONE speedboat with .50 cal even though it could be lobbing RPGs at you and the entire Third World starts sputtering about neo-imperialism, neo-colonialism, etc. I'd lay a dollar to a donut hole that the Indo and/or Malay governments would even try to press murder charges. Far better to muddy the picture with bogus criminal charges than admit you cannot control your own coastal waters.

Remember when the Mars rovers landed earlier this year? A couple of guys from Yemen brought up charges in the UN General Assembly that NASA had violated the Outer Space Treaty and the GA actually looked into it! That's the kind of world we live in now.


Bill
 
Big guns might work for crippling a ship and/or scaring the crew into stopping. The torpedoes might be for "destroying the evidence" or dealing with governmental interference (how many destroyer captains expect a container ship to start shooting at them?).

However, something tells me that sinking a warship in sneak attack would be a one-time deal--such a trick won't work twice. Plus whoever's lost that ship is going to be mightily PO'd and send everything after the armed ship.

Here's another idea for modern-day pirates. In some "failed state" with a coastline (perhaps Somalia), perhaps naval commanders strike out on their own with their elements of the fleet. Think the naval equivalent of Afghan or Somali warlords.
 
6th Fleet

Yeah, I agree about the lack of feasibility of Med pirates today posing as much of a threat to regional peace and security as is the case in the Carribean and SE Asia, esp given the presence of the US 6th Fleet and NATO air and naval bases in Italy.

However, Matt Quinn, I do like your idea of further afield Somali naval warlords along the lines of a waterborne version of Aideed's 'Technicals' from BHD- that could work in the Red Sea, and I've read that since 9/11 the Somali coast is actually very dangerous for commercial shipping due to the presence of such modernday pirate bands.
 
well heres an article abound modern day pirates

http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/FJ19Ae01.html

The unipolarity of the United States and its near domination of the world's oceans by its naval fleets ensure that no other nation could build a navy with enough strength to rival the US in the near future. Washington's unchallenged dominance is an obvious strategy in view of the strategic situation that currently favors the US.

Since the Korean War, the US Navy has been reduced to what are in essence support and transportation roles for US ground and air forces fighting their conflicts on land. The recent wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have further increased these protectionary maritime roles along sea routes that deliver oil to the United States and its allies. The use of the navy in opposing other potential enemy naval fleets is almost moot. The last major naval engagement was a short, one-sided operation between the US fleet and Iraqi naval assets in the 1991 Gulf War. Thereafter, the US Navy largely played a deterrent role, as seen in the Taiwan crisis in 1996 when China fired missiles in the waters around Taiwan. This was reaffirmed once again by US Admiral Thomas Fargo in a message to Beijing, stating that US naval forces would be used in defense of Taiwan should war break out over the Taiwan Strait.

Thus the world's strategic naval situation is one of uneasy balance and inactivity. Naval forces will not likely have opportunities to pit their firepower against each other in the future. But navies will need to remain strong as another threat requiring the use of naval power now lurks in the shadows.

September 11, 2001, highlighted terrorism as a new worldwide security threat, and modern terrorist groups have already demonstrated a capacity for creative horizontal escalation, with possible development toward terrorist operations at sea.

Southeast Asia in particular is a region where maritime security is of foremost importance to its seaborne trade and commerce. Geographically, Southeast Asia is in essence a maritime region dotted with thousands of islands and islets amid larger landmasses and peninsulas. At present, Southeast Asia is divided politically into a number of nation-states with growing economies and industries and an ever-widening middle class. National self-interests and different social priorities and agendas, however, dictate that regional partners do not usually see eye-to-eye with regard to maritime-security policies.

The threat of piracy and maritime terrorism remains real and ever-present. Thus it is of great interest to the 10 member countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) - in particular, Singapore - seeking to devise a maritime policy with some permanency, one that will benefit the security of all state players concerned.

It is not enough to limit maritime security to just brown-water (shallow) security patrols, as is evident by the history of piracy in Southeast Asia and modern cases of maritime terrorism, seen through the acts of the militant Islamic group, the Abu Sayyaf, among others.

History of piracy in Southeast Asian waters
Piracy has long plagued the waters of Southeast Asia. During the 19th century the Malacca Strait was already an important waterway for ships traveling from India and the West to China. Today, a third of the world's trade passes through the narrow sea channel bordering Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia. The region and the surrounding seas of the Malay Archipelago are dotted with thousands of islets, narrow straits and sheltered rivers, all of which make perfect hideaways. This geographical fact, along with other factors, favored the rise of piracy: the geography of the Malay Archipelago makes effective sea patrol a daunting, if not impossible, task.

Pirate crews included the local Malay aborigines, or the Lanuns, a seafaring people. They hail from surrounding coastal villages in what make up the territories of Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines today. There were also substantial numbers of Chinese pirates from the north, usually outcasts from the mainstream Chinese society of the old Ching Dynasty, who found a niche for themselves by preying on trading ships plying the South China Sea in their seafaring junks.

Piracy then was regarded among Southeast Asian rural societies as a form of social mobility, as it brought easy wealth to its perpetrators and also entailed bravery, tactical and navigational skills as essential virtues. This brought about an entire sub-class or caste in Southeast Asia's rural social structure.

Also, the coming of European colonizers abruptly upset the old traditional trades of Malay society, when restrictive monopoly systems of trade were imposed, causing certain sections of society to suffer economic downgrading. Economic necessity drove many individuals to pursue piracy as a form of living.

To a certain extent as well, piracy was a form of irregular warfare waged by local peoples to resist European encroachment. To curb piracy, the British and the Dutch drew an imaginary line of demarcation separating the Strait of Malacca, with agreements to pursue and annihilate pirates within their spheres of influence.

Incidentally, the British-Dutch demarcation line is now the modern line of separation between Malaysia and Indonesia, and like the dividing line, the problems of administering the Malacca Strait have persisted to contemporary times. Ideally, it would be best to place the strait under the control of a single political entity; this would ensure a more unified form of maritime policing. But political realities dictate otherwise.

Still, early European efforts to curb piracy had the intended effect. Piracy declined in the late 19th century because of three factors:
1) the increased frequency of naval patrols by colonial powers;
2) established political control of Malaya (now Malaysia and Singapore) by the British, leading to better political stability and improved economic conditions that caused piracy to steadily lose its appeal as a way of life;
3) naval superiority in the form of steamships against wind-powered pirate sailing ships.

Modern piracy
Pirate and merchant ships during colonial times could carry cannons aboard a form of defense. That was possible because weapons such as muskets, pistols and cannons then were regarded as normal commodities for trade in the same manner as silk or spices. In modern times, only ships belonging to state navies or maritime authorities can be armed with heavy weapons - ie, high-caliber guns, missile launchers, or torpedoes capable of sinking other vessels. Also, only state authorities have a license to either commission the manufacture of such weapons, or obtain them by purchase from foreign arms merchants. All other ships possessing such arms do so illegally.

Modern piracy is a form of organized crime on the high seas. Pirates utilize light arms such as assault rifles, pistols or hand-held rocket launchers. Their vessels generally do not have guns of a large caliber capable of engaging in naval combat. In fact, pirate ships masquerade as ships performing a variety of other innocent roles, including cargo transport or fishing, in order to escape suspicion from maritime authorities.

In Southeast Asia, measures for monitoring ships' seaworthiness remain relatively inadequate. Drowning and losses of sailors at sea are fairly common, and many incidents go unreported. This is particularly so for unregistered, privately owned vessels, which may be used for piracy. Pirate vessels, however, may have their shipboard engines augmented for the optimum speed achievable for their class of ship, to enable them to pursue a target or flee from pursuers. In the case of smaller vessels, sometimes ship stability and necessary safety measures such as ballast are sacrificed for the acquisition of higher speeds. A typical pirate operation would involve the pirate ship intercepting or catching up with its designated target ship; its crew would then openly display their light arms and threaten to open fire unless the target ship halts and allows boarding parties.

The following acts constitute piracy, under international law:
1) kidnapping of the crew or passengers of another ship, for purposes of ransom;
2) robbery;
3) murder;
4) unlawful seizure of cargo or other shipboard valuables;
5) hijacking, again for purposes of ransom;
6) sabotage, resulting in the ship subsequently sinking.

As in most crimes, criminals seek to wipe out evidence or traces of their activities. In fact, the difficulty of locating evidence lost at sea accounts for the apparent callousness involved in maritime crimes as compared with land-based crimes. It is not uncommon if the above-mentioned acts are committed in a consecutive fashion, with the victimized ship eventually being sunk and the bodies of its victims thrown into the sea. Robbery, for instance, may be followed up with murder so no witnesses are left behind to testify against the perpetrators.

Investigations by the International Maritime Bureau show a disturbing trend of increased frequency of violence at sea, with 50 attacks of piracy within Indonesian territorial waters out of 182 reported worldwide for the first six months of 2004. That is a substantial statistic that does not reflect well on the security level of Southeast Asian waters.

Commercial shipping
The modern equivalent of merchant ships, commercial shipping vessels, perform a variety of functions that represent international maritime trade. The most common functions of modern shipping include the transport of cargo, passengers or supplies to other ships. Two factors, time and cost, determine the dynamics of commercial shipping and influence the routes from one destination to the next.

Time especially is greatly important in directly affecting global commerce in other industrial or commercial sectors of the economy. That is why there has been so much concern over sweeping maritime security checks to be carried out in compliance with the anti-terror standards set by the International Maritime Organization (IMO). Such security measures, while helping to deal with the piracy problem, increase transport times and costs. In particular, the delay for security checks for oil tankers may result in further skyrocketing of the price of petroleum. Commercial ships, therefore, spend as little time as possible out at sea, taking the shortest and most direct routes to their destinations.

Unlike naval shipping, where ships are deployed according to where they are required (the proximity to flash points or areas of conflict), commercial ships usually use pre-determined sea routes calculated to give the shortest traveling time, with allowances for wave and weather conditions. The planning of ship routes is based on the following factors:
1) linear routes of sail where possible; ie, ships travel in straight lines instead of curves;
2) sailing near coasts and port locations whenever possible, for the purpose of safeguarding against unexpected contingencies at sea; 3) utilizing narrow straits or sea channels that cut down on traveling distance. The Suez Canal is an example of saving on nautical distance from Europe to Asia.

Thus it is possible for resourceful pirates to make simple but sound plans for ambushing a selected target ship, based on information about the ship's sailing timetable. Such details may be obtained by bribery - or by direct inquiry from various sources.

The threat of piracy, of course, is of concern to shipping companies and ship owners. However, piracy alone does not deter merchants from continuing to send their ships along well-established, logical trade routes instead of round-about sea routes to avoid pirates. Such rationale has justifications. The oceand are immense, and even in narrow sea straits, the odds of encountering pirates is small. If encountered, evasion is still possible because the sea, unlike land, allows vessels to maneuver in almost any direction desired.

There is also the question of cost. Running long, round-about sea voyages to avoid pirates is simply not cost-effective. Shipping companies, therefore, will logically take the calculated risk of sending their ships along old trade routes, knowing full well the possibility of being prey to pirates and maritime terrorists.

The responsibility of protecting sea lanes, therefore, lies with state governments.
 
It striuck me at lunch to day that an ATL South Africa would fit the bill nicely for our failed state/pirate haven. It's not in the Med so it doesn't meet the original poster's requirements, however it does meet many others. To whit:

- Nice heavily travelled sea lane. Lots of oil and other goodies round the Cape!

- Ports that handle many different types of cargos. Items up to and including oil can be offloaded at SA ports.

- Unlike the Med, the region is distant from most places and there is lots of 'room' for the pirates to operate in.

- The SADF navy would have plenty of modern weapons and vessels for the pirates to use. Just the thing pirates need to take ships quickly AND jam their cries for help! Imagine pirates using helos instead of ships!

- An entire continent which is already heavily involved in smuggling in which to dispose of your loot. Thanks to a plethora of kleptocratic governments and plain old corrupt management, official trade in Africa is tiny. Damn near everything for sale in Africa has been smuggled through somewhere.

A good POD for this would be the recent and relatively bloodshed-free hand over of power between the Afrikanner(spelling?) government and the ANC. Make DeKlerk(spelling?) less concilatory, make Mandela less 'saintly', and let SA devolve into a snakepit ala Zimbabwe; i.e. black and white 'homelands' fighting it out, warlords scrambling for power, political chaos, etc. All those SADF military goodies would be up for grabs including whatever navy or coastal patrol stuff is available - including with the skilled manpower to use it all. Without gov't paychecks coming in, crews may be easily tempted to 'go a-pirating'.

It wouldn't last too long. It would be a race between the pirates running out of fungibles and unable to maintain their vessels and the Western navies showing up to stop the party. It would be interesting however!


Bill
 
Some time ago, I was part of a RPG where you either ruled over an OTL nation or some large terrorist/crime/rebel group.
I opted to become leader of a China based pirate empire.
Here are some things I came up with to score some cash:
- raid ships for cash, smallarms, crew DVDs/CDs/Console games, etc ... useing zodiacs and small (frigate sized) vessels (you know, OTL)
- capture (smaller) ships and sell them to nations that were willing to turn a blind eye (ie. China) usually for reuse or scapping (agian, OTL)
- useing these frigates sized ships, having armed them with conceiled rapid fire canons/machine guns, (think German AMCs during WWII) I'd smuggle really hot contraband (including refugees) to the less powerfull nations (and if some coast guard/navy ship came to close ...)
- useing the same ships, ship rebels/terrorists in large numbers to the less powerfull countries
- selling out the above rebels/terrorists to the governments of the countries I was shipping them to
- extortion (as in, pay up or your ships turn into submarines) of brokers
- I was just getting into extorting governments via sinking tankers near their tourist heavy coasts
- and if a government took actions against me, I'd send captured cargo ships full of something explosive into their harbours with suicide crews and blow them up next to some real expensive hardware

I spent most of the game trying to secure a Romeo from the Chinese or a Kilo from the Russians/Ukrainians

Much of the above is quite ASB in the real world but then again ... with enough funding (think rich Saoudis with a grudge against the west) it just might be doable.
Getting any of the above set up in the med ... you'd really need a country to support these pirates. Lybia? Algeria? Syria? of course, any country that goes down this road would quickly find a shitload of Turkish/Greek/Italian/French/Spanish navy vesels sitting off their shores.
Some alliance of a soviet oriented Turkey (or surviving Ottoman Empire) with some uber powerfull north African state (think Lybia+Egypt+Tunesie ... again, Soviet backed?) might do the trick
 
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