Good Geopolitical analysis, though when the FSB find out the perpetrator, then all hell will break loose. Not only the government, but also the people. Like so many people above me who have stated already, the assassination of the monarch only increases sympathy for the monarchy. The aftermath is going to be gruesome.
Thank you! Of course the sentiment in favor of the monarchy would increase. If I didn't comment on it, it was because I didn't see any flaws in that logic. The NBAL guys wanted to kill the monarchy and instead they have turned them into martyrs ...
Speaking of martyrs, was Nicky II and his family canonized in this TL? If so, did I miss it or don't remember it. If not, will it happen? It's not that I have a special interest in it happening, it's just curiosity.
I'm waiting to see who turns out to be the guilty.
I don't know... Saudi Arabia is a possibility but I think the USA would have also financed the NBAL jut to weaken Russia. In the long terms could evolve in a major PR disaster when it is revealed that they have financed those groups
My approach in this case is that the US funding would be like Operation Cyclone in Afghanistan: instead of giving the money directly to the Taliban, the CIA or the US agency behind it, it gives the money to Saudi Arabia, or others. intermediaries (Pakistan in Operation Cyclone). And then they pass it on to the Taliban or, in this case, to the NBAL.
But yeah, that wouldn't change that America gave money to killers of Czarin.
@Whiteshore now I'm curious now that Sarthak includes that as a conspiracy theory in this TL, just to see the butterflies. You don't even need to go into detail if you don't want to, just mention it as some background.