I don't know. They still got drummed by the Company.
Cornwallis was about to fail miserably in the third Anglo-Mysore war before the Maratha showed up and saved his army. The previous two wars had been draws and the fourth was only won because of reasons that go beyond “army quality”.
Really tho, talking about armies being “on par” with each other is not a useful way to look at why wars were won in post-Mughal India. Warfare was influenced by finance, stability, environment, access to certain resources, particular methods and ways of warfare, etc etc etc. “ Even “westernization” and modern tech was implemented in very different ways across India, that weren’t necessarily better or worse for each particular circumstance.
As for the OP, an India united by a challenger state would be far more capable in many respects than Qing China. Economically, warfare wise, etc, challenger states are vigorous regimes with the ability and inclination to develop very well. They don’t have the structural flaws inherent in the Qing regime to hold them back and they have a big head start on development and westernizing where necessary. Honestly, they would probably still be better even when only ruling parts of India in a continuation of the post-Mughal “warring states period”. Better than any state outside Europe actually and even some states in Europe. When you start really researching it’s amazing how much potential you find.
I could easily see Mysore or the Sikhs succeeding in uniting India but don’t have a particular PoD at the moment. The Maratha could def unite India either by winning Panipat by picking a different main general or by having Peshwa Madhav Rao live as long as the other Maratha rulers instead of falling sick and dying early. Both PoD maintain a strong central government instead of devolution to a confederative structure like OTL. This is crucial.
This is all off the top of my head. Might add more later
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