The Southern Victory

This is definitely interesting. Really different from every other timeline about Confederates- winning the war and all.

Pretty cool.
 
I know that I have not yet posted anything soon but once I return from vacation in the next few days, I'll get to work on drafting the post war parts. Any ideas for what should happen next. I'm thinking of not having the 7 weeks war happen so the GC stays intact and haveing an Italian civil war. Anyone up for a Prussian Philippines too?
 
Nameing Missouri

Here the end of the ACW


The Invasion of Maryland and Pennsylvania

The Confederates spent the rest of June and all of July and August preparing their forces and mopping up Union troops in North-West Virginia. By September, they were ready to invade Maryland. On September 4, 1862 the Army of Northern Virginia, led the their newly appointed commander General Robert E. Lee crossed the Potomac River north of Washington and advanced into Maryland. The Confederates had made good progress and Lee eventually divided his army into four parts as it moved deeper into Maryland. General McClellan began moving his 87,000 troops out of Washington on September 7 to stop the Confederate invasion. However McClellan did not realize that Lee had divided his troops. However his fortunes had turned when two Union scouts discovered a set of detailed plans about Lee’s movement throughout Maryland. McClellan learned that Lee had divided his army and he realized that he could catch up to the larger part of it near the town of Sharpsburg and possibly even defeat it. However McClellan took no action because he was worried that if he engaged Lee, he would bring together his divided forces and outnumber McClellan. As a result, the Army of the Potomac just followed Lee’s troops for the next several days into Pennsylvania.

The Battle of Hanover/Indian Run

McClellan finally engaged Lee’s Army at the little town of Hanover, Pennsylvania on September 14. This battle had all the makings of an epic battle, with several thousand men fighting on each side. The Army of Northern Virginia had been traveling up Frederick Street when the encountered the Army of the Potomac stationed there at about 10:00 AM. This led to a small battle between the Confederate scouts and the much larger Union force in the town. The Confederates then retreated down the road to tell the advancing column what had happened. South east of the town, Confederate cavalry encountered more Union troops. Meanwhile, the Army of the Potomac believed that the Confederate’s that they had just met were part of a small group of soldiers that had entered the area in search of supplies. As a result the Union army sent out it's own scouts to peruse the Rebels. However, they soon realized that the scouts were part of the main force of the Army of Northern Virginia. By noon, both armies had begun engaging each other. The Union army had begun the battle by sending about half of their soldiers into the fray but by three o’clock, they had deployed all of their forces just outside of Hanover along Frederick Street and were locked in a stalemate with the enemy. In an effort to break the deadlock, McClellan ordered his artillery to take up positions on a hilled cemetery and shell Confederate troops on the south side of Indian run. But, McClellan had made a huge mistake by not leaving enough men behind in the town itself to prevent anyone from striking from behind. Lee soon realized this and ordered his cavalry under the command of J.E.B. Stuart to sweep around the town and attack McClellan’s troops from behind. The plan was a stunning success and at five o'clock the Confederate Cavalry started to charge down Frederick Street from the north while Lee’s troops advanced from the south and crossed the bridge that stretched Indian Run. The Union artillery opened fire on the bridge in an effort to stop the Confederate charge. After a few minutes, the Union batteries succeeded in knocking out the bridge. But this would prove to be a terrible mistake because Lee had intended for the Union artillery to destroy the bridge, thus trapping McClellan between J.E.B.’s cavalry and Lee’s troops. Upon realizing that they were surrounded, the Union troops either surrendered, or tried to cross the river while being fired upon by Confederate troops along the shore. The Battle of Hanover Run turned out to be a total disaster for the Union, especially moral wise. Within the next few days, Lees army marched unopposed into Baltimore. The war in the East, was over.

The War in Kentucky, Missouri and Louisiana

Following the disastrous battle of Shiloh, General Grant and the Army of the Ohio was forced to retreat deep into Kentucky because of Confederate attempts to take the state. In early July, Confederate General Braxton Bragg crossed the Tennessee-Kentucky border with hopes to secure the state for the Confederacy. His advance into Kentucky had been relatively unchecked and by mid August, his forces had occupied Lexington. Bragg then planed to move through Frankfort and take Louisville. However, the fleeing Army of the Ohio had arrived in Louisville first, this meant that Bragg would be forced to fight another battle. The two forces met at Frankfort on August 16. after several hours of heave fighting, the Confederates were forced to retreat, however despite the tactical victory for the Union, it was a strategic victory for the Confederacy because while the Union Army was drawn away from Louisville, Confederate Cavalry and some light foot soldiers occupied the city. This was a major morale boost for the Confederates. The victory would not last long though because the Union soon retook the city. Following this string of events, a stalemate would last until the end of the war. The situation in Missouri was almost the same as in Kentucky. The Union being forced to flee before the much smaller, but better led Confederate Army. In fact after the Battle of Pea Ridge, Brigadier General Samuel R. Curtis began a huge retreat across southern Missouri all the way to the Independence. All the while, they were harassed by Confederate raiding parties. Missouri was not the most ideal place to be stationed in as a Union soldier in the first place. Ever state the Confederates crossed the state line, the huge guerrilla war between Pro-Union and Pro-Confederate sympathizers that had been plaguing the state since it's government had tried to seceded from the United States back in 1861, grew even more intense. And despite the rise of Pro-Confederate forces in southern Missouri, Major General Earl Van Dorn and his Confederate Army could not advance past the Union stronghold at
Independence. So the Confederates called on Major General Sterling Price and his soon to be legendary Army of Missouri to make a raid parallel to the Mississippi River all the way to St. Louis and then west to Jefferson. Price met the call and in June his Army began “Price’s Raid” they soon drove through Union held Missouri and terrorized the Union held countryside. Price’s first major encounter with Union forces was on June 10 at Fort Davidson. This fort was crucial on the road to St. Louis. Following a quick Confederate victory, the Army of Missouri then moved on to Washington County and then encountered General Andrew J. Smith who was in change of the defense of the St. Louis area. The two cavalry armies met at the city of Potosi on June 14 in what was to be one of the largest cavalry battles west of the Mississippi River. Despite being a strategic stalemate, the Union forces were forced to withdraw because of a major Confederate attack on Independence further south. By June 17, the Confederate cavalry were just outside of St. Louis. With Union forces spread out so thin and with the extra Confederate reinforcements arriving from Texas, St. Louis fell on June 30 and Independence fell on August 1.

The Final Months Of The War

In the waning months of the war, Union morale was at its lowest point ever. Despite retaking Louisville and capturing New Orleans, Union forces elsewhere were falling apart. In Arizona, the Confederates had complete control, in Missouri, the cities of St. Louis and Independence had fallen and in Maryland, General Lee’s troops made camp in Baltimore. President Lincoln was desperate for a victory. His only chance to win the war was to take advantage of the Union toehold in Louisiana. The new strategy was to Follow the Mississippi River up to Vicksburg and the Red River to Shreveport. The Union Army of the Gulf set out on the “Louisiana Campaign” on August 1, the same day that the capital of Missouri fell to the Confederates. The campaign began very well and on August 10, the state capital of Baton Rouge fell. The next major battle occurred on August 16 at Yellow Bayou and was another Union victory. The situation was becoming a major distraction for the Confederates who were busy launching another attack on Louisville and trying to cross the Missouri River. The Army of Mississippi (The same army that was defeated during the Battle of New Orleans) was recalled from Kentucky on the 11 and by the 27th, had arrived In Vicksburg. Meanwhile, Elements of the Army of Missouri were dispatched to Shreveport to protect the new temporary capital of Louisiana. Following the battle of Yellow Bayou, the Army of the Gulf split in two, one heading to Vicksburg and the other to Shreveport. With subsequent Union victories on September 3 at Grand Ecore and September 12 at Mansfield, the city of Shreveport was just a few miles away. The Confederates made a last stand just outside of Shreveport on September 20. but failed to defend the city. The Union troops continued to make thier drive north. Meanwhile on the Mississippi River, the the second half of the army of the Gulf faced a stronger foe. The Army of the Mississippi was out to get revenge for the loss of New Orleans earlier that year. The Union army only managed to advance just south of Vicksburg before suffering a humiliating defeat at the hands of the Army of Mississippi in the battle of Vicksburg.​

While all of this was happening, on the other side of the world two powers would make a decision that would settle the outcome of the war once and for all. After hearing the results of the war in Maryland along with other Confederate victories, the governments of both the Second French Empire and the British Empire discussed whether or not to recognize the C.S.A. On September 30, 1862 The government of London formally recognized the Confederate States of America . Becoming the first nation to do so. Paris followed suit on October 2. Within a month, several other nations recognized the new republic. There were some notable exceptions though. The Russian Empire, having been a long time enemy of England and a supporter of the USA during the war refused to recognize the Confederacy. Despite the refusal of Russia to recognize the Confederacy, the new nation had become allies with two of the strongest powers on the globe. President Lincoln realized that the war was virtually over, the next step that England and France would surely take would be to order the United States to make peace with the Confederacy. On October 19 they did just that. Lincoln tried in vain to keep the inevitable from happening, even arguing with the French and British ambassadors for 4 1/2 hours but by the end of the day, he was forced to agree to peace talks. At 10:00 AM eastern time October 20, a cease fire was declared all along the US-CS border. The next step was to draft a peace treaty.​

The Treaty Of London


Following the cease fire, it was decided that London would be the site of the peace talks. Representatives from the USA, CSA, England , France, Italy, Austria, Prussia, Spain, Portugal and many others arrived to conclude a lasting peace. (Russia declined an invitation. Still being pro-Union it would, take two years for them to recognize the CSA) The major terms of the treaty were:

1.The United States of America were to recognize the Confederate States of America as an independent nation.

2.The United States of America were to recognize the states of Florida, Georgia, Alabama, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, Tennessee, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, Texas, Missouri below the Missouri River (The Union kept the rest of the state and renamed it [I don't have a clue, any ideas?]) and Kentucky as Confederate states. The Indian Territory and the so-called Confederate Arizona Territory were given to the CSA as territories while the Union incorporated West Virginia as the 35 state.

3.Both sides were to swap all prisoners.

4.The Confederates were to withdraw from Maryland and any other Union territory north of the new boundary while the Union were to withdraw from Louisiana.

Following the signing of the Treaty of London on December 3, the United States government rejected a proposed amendment to the US constitution that would ban slavery from the rest of the Union. This move was made in order to keep the remaining slave states happy. The US government also unofficially moved the capital to Philadelphia. Congress would still meet in Washington and the President would still live there but if relations with the Confederates got hot, the US government would de-facto move to Philadelphia.

(Well thats the rest of the war! I'll post a map of NA when I can figure out what to name the Union half of Missouri, How about just North Missouri?)
In a certin part of the world people from downstate pronounce it Missourah, upstate it's Missouree. Perhaps a phonetic spelling would help with renameing.
 
First off, I like this TL exceedingly. Given the already-commented-on tweaking to Union naval policy, then everything there appears very plausible.

But I take exception to 2 battles.

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First, as has been commented on, Shiloh. Both sides' armies were green, almost entirely. If there is a rainstorm overnight, then you still have Buell's fresh army in position. Grant's original plan, which Buell okayed, was just a general along-the-line attack. Such an attack would surely mire down in the mud. But Buell has as many fresh troops on the field as the Confederates had organized at all - only 15,000 Confederates actually in position, an equal number still plundering.

So the Confederates may very well hold their positions against Buell's attack. But no way short of ASB will they be able to launch an effective attack of their own. In OTL, 3 more Union divisions arrived late on the second day and were not used at all (McCook, Crittenden, and Thomas' divisions, the latter of which was actually experienced) - so in order to have the scenario you described play out, you need to have the Confederates beat a number of Union troops equal to themselves, 3 Times in 2 Days!

And therefore, if the Union does have to retreat, they do not lose 15,000 captured and 9,000 missing. At most 10,000 from both categories combined. Which means that the balance of power in the west is still strongly with the Union, which means they do not have to retreat all the way back to Kentucky, and even if they do there is no reason for the Confederates to follow them in a timely fashion.

Which does not necessarily mean you scenario is implausible, but that you need at least 1 more decisive Confederate Win to make it play out.

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Second, which I am surprised no one has commented on, Seven Pines/Fair Oaks. It is easy enough to butterfly away both the acoustic shadow and Johnston's wounding. But that is not enough for a decisive Confederate win.

The problem with the Confederate attack was a lack of coordination - divisions traveling down 3 roads, and blocking each other. You need a local PoD in the battle-planning stage to overcome this, which is also plausible.

But you cannot prevent Johnston from holding half of his army in reserve and guarding the Chickahominy River (Jones', McLaws', and A. P. Hill's Divisions). The most additionally aggressive he can be from OTL is to directly order Longstreet's and Whiting's divisions up the Nine Mile Road to support D. H. Hill (and Huger) who were already (sort of) engaged.

Now doubtless that would have decimated the Union IIIrd and IVth corps even more than in OTL. But we must consider D. H. Hill's rate of advance. He pushed the troops before him with ease, until he reached the Seven Pines junction. Here the 3 roads used in the Confederate attack run together, and the Union redoubt (already constructed) guarded all of them. Doubtless the Confederates could overrun these, but it would take time. Their numerical advantage from converging is nullified by their disorganization from converging.

And even if they do win there, Sumner and the IInd corps are now arriving, and they are actually trained. Once again, no way short of ASB can the now-reduced Confederate force throw back a third Union corps, significantly larger than both the IIIrd and IVth.

By nightfall, McClellan realizes that the battle was a fiasco. Being of a defensive mind, he pulls back over the Chickahominy to the north, to consolidate towards his supply base. Yes he can do this. Once the three roads converge, as they go eastward they come closer and closer to the river. The farther back the Union pulls, the safer their position is. Johnston's men are disorganized from the morning and afternoon attacks. Even if he goes outside of his defensive mindset and launches a late afternoon attack, the most it amounts to is a frontal assault against a continually-strengthening Union line, and cannot make the Confederate tactical victory into a decisive one in just 1 day - and after 1 day, McClellan retreats.

The IIIrd and IVth corps are destroyed. The cream of his army is still present, and still outnumbers whatever force Johnston sends out, still leaving people to man the city defenses. And once again, no way outside of ASB are 65,000-70,000 men casualties/prisoners from that battle. If we assume that the entire 2 corps are hors de combat, that is ~40,000 at the absolute pushing-credibility most, and poorly trained ones at that. Which leaves McClellan with ~90,000 men of the better-trained IInd, Vth, and VIth corps.

Again, I'm not saying that this cannot play out into the scenario you describe. But you need at least another battle to make it happen. You need a super-ultra-7-days, if that's not butterflied away, and you need to find McClellan a reason to stay where he is, to let himself be defeated again (assuming he's still in command of course).

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On this subject, if the drive on Memphis is butterflied away previously, there is no reason to Lincoln to pick Pope to replace McClellan, Pope not having his string of victories beyond New Madrid and related. Lincoln in fact has no good choices - Grant, Sherman, and Buell are tainted at Shiloh, and his choices in the east are Sumner, Porter, Franklin, and Burnside - a quite mediocre lot. You could get interesting results here.

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And in some sense, I do sincerely apologize for "just" poking holes in your TL, but I do believe that they are fatal if not addressed even briefly.

And I will happily share my own Confederate Victory TL with you if you ask for it (PoD Post-Vicksburg !!!), but apparently the detail level was too high to get many responses. I'm seriously considering making it a book...

Perhaps then I could have Grant and the Army of Ohio falling back to the Tennessee-Kentucky border and then pulling back once it appears that there are several Pro-Confederate revolts in Kentucky. With this news, Lincoln would order his army back into the state to keep it under control.

As for 7 pines, I really cannot think of a way to decimate the Union forces to the point that I need to ITTL. Any more ideas?
 
Here is North America after the war:

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I know it was already established as such in your TL, but I highly doubt that would be the division of Missouri. Essentially because this would (barely) leave Saint Louis in the CSA. Saint Louis was by this time a major city of 160,000, had a huge immigrant population of Germans and Irish (with the dominant Germans major supports of the union), had few slaves and, IOTL, saw no military action.

Because of all this, I'm pretty sure some "carve out" for Saint Louis would be undertaken. Perhaps when the Missouri loops Northeast, instead the border instead travels straight East.
 
Chapter II: Post-War North America
The Post-War Confederate States of America
Following the cession of hostilities in late 1863, the Confederate Congress decided that Jefferson Davis’s term began in 1862 so the next election would take place in 1867 and the new president would be sworn in during the first week of February. Following the end of the war, the Confederate Government set out to finalize the way that the CSA would be run. Davis spent the rest of his term fixing the kinks in the Confederate Government as well as greatly expanding the largely non-existent Confederate Navy by producing several more “Virginia” Class ironclads. The Confederate Army also expanded during this period and saw action in Missouri, Kentucky and Eastern Tennessee suppressing pro-Union revolts. In 1865, the Confederate territories of Arizona and the Indian Territory were also organized into incorporated territories that would eventually find their way into statehood.

Georgia

During the war, Georgia was a major manufacturer of arms and other industrial equipment. Following the war, the state continued to be the major manufacturer of goods and industrial equipment. Georgia also became a major transportation hub following the war, with new lines being built and train running through cities like Atlanta, Savannah and Augusta every day. The city of Savannah also gained a reputation of a major port city.

Louisiana


Louisiana was one of the few deep southern states to be hard hit by the war. It did however make a speedy recovery and the city of New Orleans soon became one of the richest cities in the nation because every Union commercial ship on the Mississippi river had to pass through New Orleans on its way to the gulf. Louisiana did however have problems. Due to its swampy topography and overall isolation form the surrounding states, only the cities industrialized while the rural parts of the state were left untouched.


Alabama

Alabama changed little in the years following the war. The state was still a major cotton producer. One major change for Alabama was its new position as home to the Confederate “Gulf of Mexico Fleet”-stationed in Mobile. While the rest of the state was degraded to a cotton producer, Mobile soon became one of the top naval ports in the CSA. During the Davis administration, Mobile was known for it’s ironclad and frigate production and by 1868, the “Confederate States Naval Academy” was set up in the city. In (OTL Birmingham. I NEED A NAME), the city soon developed to become the "Pittsburgh of the south" with abundant natural resources in the region to fuel it's growing economy and population.

Florida

Florida remained an uninviting and desolate place following the civil war. Being isolated from the rest of the nation and only consisting of about 150,000 people based off of the last census, it was by far the least populous state in the nation until Arizona was incorporated. Despite its insignificant position in the Confederate States, Florida would soon become a springboard for the Confederate intervention in Cuba in the future.

Mississippi

Mississippi was the second state to secede from the US and was a heavily conservative state. Being so not much changed during the post-war years. The state did however receive a considerable amount of money form taxing Union boats traveling down the Mississippi River to the Gulf of Mexico in the years after the war. This led to a bombing economy within a decade after the war


South Carolina

South Carolina had long been a region that supported state’s rights and slavery. Following the election of Abraham Lincoln in 1860 South Carolina became the first state to secede from the Union. Following the Confederate victory in late 1862, the streets of Charleston filled with thousands of citizens celebrating the independence of their new nation. South Carolina was one of the few Confederate states that were already industrialized by the time the war ended. In the following years, South Carolina was to become known for its shipbuilding and became an major economic center for the Confederacy as goods from Europe flooded the ports of Charleston and was then shipped to the far reaches of the nation.

Texas
Texas declared independence from the United States on February 1, 1861, and later joined the CSA in early March. Texas was useful in the war for its contribution of soldiers for the army and cavalry. Following the end of the war, Texas began to swell in population as many people from the battleground states of Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri and Virginia decided to start a new life in the west.

Virginia
Virginia was arguably the most important state in the Confederacy during the war Not only did it house the national capitol and the Confederate White House, it also provided several thousand soldiers for the war effort. Following the end of the war, Virginia became the most industrialized state in the Confederacy. The Virginia Military Institute or VMI also became the “West Point of the south”. The city of Hampton Roads became a shipbuilding city and naval port while other Cities like Arlington housed many of the members of the “Army of Northern Virginia” In the decades to come, Virginia industrialized at such a fast rate that it began to rival the Union states of Illinois and New York.


Arkansas

Arkansas was still a sparsely populated state in most areas. With only one major battle taking place at Pea Ridge, the state was relatively untouched from the war. Arkansas did receive a large population influx as people began to move west in the years following the civil war.

North Carolina
North Carolina was an important source of soldiers, supplies, and other war material to the CSA during the war. The city of Wilmington for example was one of the leading ports for the Confederacy, becoming a vital lifeline of trade with England and France. Large amounts of weapons, ammunition, and other military supplies traveled from Wilmington throughout the South. Following the End of the Civil War, North Carolina reverted back to a tobacco producing state but Wilmington joined the cities of Mobile, Hampton Roads and Charleston as one of the several major ports. Within a few years, Wilmington’s population surpassed the state capital of Raleigh and became the most populous city in the state.

Tennessee
Tennessee was one of the few states in the west that had sustained severe damage in the war. In the years following the war, Tennessee was also a hotspot for Union supporters and three years after the end of the fighting and the treaty of London, the East Tennessee Rebellion of 1865-1866 took place, it was not until General Longstreet entered the state with his army that the rebellion ended. In later years, Many cities returned to normal life, Memphis for example became the home port for the Confederate Brown-Water navy. Despite the end of the rebellion, any people in East Tennessee were hostile to the rest of the Confederacy and every now and then, an act of violence in the state was attributed to East Tennessee rebels trying to succeed from the state and the Confederacy.

Kentucky

Following the civil war, one major problem for Kentucky was where would the capital go. The original capital was Frankfort but during the war, Bowling Green was the capital. This debate was finally settled when it was decided that Bowling Green would keep the seat as the state capital. With this behind them, the people of the state of Kentucky would finally be able to pick up where they left off. Things would never be the same again though because in the years after the war, the Confederate Army began to fortify the Kentucky border with its hostile neighbors. The Ohio River soon became a huge defensive line consisting of Cannon emplacements, bunkers, hills, outposts and several military bases. Elsewhere in the state, many por-Union revolts would take place as a large portion of the population were anti-Confederate and wanted the state to re-unite with the Union once more. These rebellions and attitudes to the lawmakers in Richmond resembled that of St. Louis and Missouri as well as Eastern Tennessee.

Missouri
Missouri was the site of very few battles in the Civil War, however those battles determined the outcome of the war west of the Mississippi river. Following the Treaty of London in December of 1862, half of Missouri was under the control of the CSA and the other half was given to the United States. The Confederacy was given St. Louis as it was south of the Missouri River. Soon, the city of St. Louis would become a great fortified city and was the linchpin of all Confederate defense in the state. While the city was under Confederate control and heavily fortified, many of it's citizens were resentful of the Confederacy and had the same attitudes to the "The Slaveholders in Richmond" as the people in Eastern Tennessee.
 
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I know it was already established as such in your TL, but I highly doubt that would be the division of Missouri. Essentially because this would (barely) leave Saint Louis in the CSA. Saint Louis was by this time a major city of 160,000, had a huge immigrant population of Germans and Irish (with the dominant Germans major supports of the union), had few slaves and, IOTL, saw no military action.

Because of all this, I'm pretty sure some "carve out" for Saint Louis would be undertaken. Perhaps when the Missouri loops Northeast, instead the border instead travels straight East.

I've mentioned this. below. Missouri, like Eastern Tennessee and parts of Kentucky are very anti-Confederate and it takes a great deal of troops and money to keep them under control.
 
Intervention in Cuba? Ah, so this TL is intended to have very little basis in reality.

Not so much an intervention as it is an offer to buy it. Remember, Davis and the Democrats thought that they could buy it after the war. If the rebellion in the 1870's worked out, Spain could have said "Enough is enough" and sold it. Then the CSA would go in and "pacify" or at least try to pacify the population. To be honest though, such a venture would likely fail for the Confederate Army. Don't you think?
 
Since Spain would refuse to sell and the rebellion failed miserably the rest isn't even a starter.

Why would they refuse to sell? In the rebellion of the 1870's they agreed to meet the rebels demands that did not include independence. However the agreement was never put into place and another rebellion in the 1890's took place that became the Spanish-American War. What if, the Spanish thought that since another rebellion will likely pop up soon, they'd better "run with the money" and sell the island to the CSA. The CSA then goes into their own version of Vietnam and things start to fall apart as they are clueless of the territory and the rebels are able to defeat them in guerrilla tactics. Tell me why Spain would not sell them.
 
I've mentioned this. below. Missouri, like Eastern Tennessee and parts of Kentucky are very anti-Confederate and it takes a great deal of troops and money to keep them under control.

No, you misunderstood me, my point was there's no way in hell the U.S. would give up a city it held the entire war, which was full of people who are perfectly willing to be Americans at the peace table. I think the union would sooner give away Southern Illinois and Indiana quite honestly.

As an aside, Atlanta as the "Pittsburgh of the South" doesn't make much sense. Birmingham (or something else near the same location) would be the center of southern industry, as the area has abundant coal and steel reserves.
 
No, you misunderstood me, my point was there's no way in hell the U.S. would give up a city it held the entire war, which was full of people who are perfectly willing to be Americans at the peace table. I think the union would sooner give away Southern Illinois and Indiana quite honestly.

As an aside, Atlanta as the "Pittsburgh of the South" doesn't make much sense. Birmingham (or something else near the same location) would be the center of southern industry, as the area has abundant coal and steel reserves.

Well you see, St. Louis was captured in 62'. There would likely be a mass exodus of people after the treaty was signed. You are right about Birmingham. TBH, I was about to correct that!
 
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