You can also see this with other Republicans during Reconstruction. Grant was pretty sympathetic to Johnson at the start of reconstruction-by the time he was president he was waging a full on war against the Klan in the South and was championing radical reconstruction. The South is not going to respond well to even moderate reconstruction, and it is going to prompt a change in strategy.This. Lincoln was a moderate yes, but the thing is the South did not give a damn about moderation. They were hard-right reactionaries, and weren’t going to willingly give an inch. Lincoln’s views went harder as time went on, you can see this in his wartime policies from civilian property to emancipation. The same IMO will be true of post-war Reconstruction. He’ll start lenient. Then when the South gets to the mass murder, terrorism, and every other thing the South did he’ll be 100% behind Grant marching troops in.
Well, an interesting point of departure here is Johnson's position and his policy towards reconstruction and the radicals in Congress likely emboldened the south to be even more resistant and more willing to hold out. Potentially if the federal government is acting uniformly from 1865 onwards through at least 1869, there is a bit less oxygen for southern massive resistance to build up to a point where it cannot be extinguished.What troops though?
A decade after Appomattox the US Army was down to about 30,000 men, only about 3,000 of whom were in the South - nowhere near enough to police everything from Chesapeake Bay to the Rio Grande. And even in the {unlikely) event of the whole Army being brought back east, it could not remain there for any length of time, as western settlers etc would have to be protected.
And even were this to somehow happen, the Kluxers would only do what they did OTL in 1871-2 - lie low for a spell until most of the troops went away again.
Military reconstruction was feasible while the Union had a million or more troops in the South , but not once 99 percent of them had collected their bounty money and returned home.
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