The War was a continuation of the conflict of the Norman invasion...The only postbellum ways to change the Lost Cause sentiments would be to change the ethnic composition of the South
The 800lb gorilla in 1945 was Stalin and the SU. The (West) Germans had to play ball with the Wallies because the only alternative was to be left at the mercy of the Soviets. This meant that thy had to do a quick change act, transforming themselves into lifelong anti-Nazis <g> , pretending they were glad to be rid of Hitler and would henceforth be a model democracy. They could not afford the luxury of being nostalgic for the Third Reich. By the time the Soviet threat finally vanished in the 1990s, the pretence had perhaps become reality - or then again perhaps not. We shall see.
The true parallel to the situation in 1865 is not 1945 but 1918. Soviet Russia then was too weak to pose the existential threat that it did 27 years later, so the Germans were free to nurse their grievances against the Wallies, and focus on overturning the Treaty of Versailles. The South, likewise, was free to focus on overturning Reconstruction, because there was no "worse" to make it keep tight hold of a Northern "nurse".
Regardless of what Seward bragged about like going to war with Britain/Canada, he would most likely have done the same as Lincoln in regards to Britain. In fact, he might have actually emphasized more on ending slavery, which would have resulted in greater approval from Britain.
The CSA simply could not win without British intervention.
The election did not tip Lincoln's way because he was seen as less threatening to the South than Seward. Lincoln was treated with extreme hyperbole as a radical that he really wasn't in some Southern states; in others, where he probably could have picked up more of the vote, he was undercut by John Bell and the Constitutional Union Party. Lincoln himself was not treated with hostility in most of the upper South, at least not until the call for volunteers, a move that seriously backfired. Many of the influential old Whig newspapers in Kentucky, Tennessee, and Virginia actually spoke of him fairly positively while still encouraging a vote for Bell.Seward very likely couldn't have won the election, looking at the percentages Lincoln got and he (Seward) was considered very threatening to the South, more so than Lincoln; that might be sufficient to drag more of the border states into the CSA, particularly given what decisions Seward takes as the situation develops (Not removing Fremont like Lincoln did, for example). This could be sufficient to secure a peace by exhaustion in of itself, as the South came within a hair of that in 1864. As far as the foreign policy angle, that I'm not sure as Seward did threaten the British via official channels in the Summer of 1861-before Trent.....
For this I will quote David T here:The election did not tip Lincoln's way because he was seen as less threatening to the South than Seward. Lincoln was treated with extreme hyperbole as a radical that he really wasn't in some Southern states; in others, where he probably could have picked up more of the vote, he was undercut by John Bell and the Constitutional Union Party. Lincoln himself was not treated with hostility in most of the upper South, at least not until the call for volunteers, a move that seriously backfired. Many of the influential old Whig newspapers in Kentucky, Tennessee, and Virginia actually spoke of him fairly positively while still encouraging a vote for Bell.
Seward was rather a problem who was unlikely to be reelected because he could not unite the factions of the Republican party, which really wasn't even a singular party as of yet. The Know Nothings distrusted him, the Free Soilers who many of which were former Democrats remembered his staunch old Whig partisanship, and his best asset, being a New Yorker, limited his appeal in the Midwest. Lincoln by contrast likely underperformed in New York, but was able to take all of its electoral seats, while appealing strongly in the Midwest, and unified the party through his personal charisma and replication of the Harrison 1840 "common man" shtick, which believe it or not actually was very effective. He retained old Whig voters (outside of the Upper South), but was not nearly as involved in Whig partisan politics and therefore did not have as many enemies as Seward.
Will he win? Almost certainly, yes. It was the election of 1858, not that of 1860, whch showed that the country was ready to elect a Republican president. In particular, the Democratic Party was shattered in Buchanan's own state of Pennsylvania, one of the keys to Buchanan's victory in 1856. The state's delegation to the US House went from 15 Democrats and 10 Republicans after the 1856 election to 20 Republicans and 5 Democrats after the 1858 one--and two of those five were anti-Lecompton Democrats.
By 1860 any plausible Republican presidential candidate would probably have carried Pennsylvnaia. The only states that Lincoln won really narrowly that year were California (4 electoral votes), Oregon (3), Illinois (11), and the four electoral votes he got in New Jersey. If we assume that Seward would lose all 22 of these electoral votes, he would still have 158, six more than were needed to win. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1860
For Seward to fall short of an Electoral College majority, he would have to lose either New York, which Lincoln carried (against a "fusion" ticket) by 7.4 points or Indiana which Lincoln carried by 8.7. Neither of these seems likely to me. Apart from Seward's home-state advantage, New York had already gone for Fremont in 1856, and the Republicans also carried the state in 1858 despite the failure to arrange a joint ticket with the Americans and despite the presence of a radical abolitionist ticket headed by Gerrit Smith. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_state_election,_1858 As for Indiana, it would be close in a two-man race, but Senator Jesse Bright was bitterly opposed to Douglas, and as a result Breckinridge got 4.5 percent of the vote there, more than in any other state of the Old Northwest. This would be more than enough to assure the election of any Republican presidential candidate--and Seward after all would not be *that* much weaker a candidate than Lincoln. (Some of the former Know Nothing element of the Republicans did dislike Seward, but to compensate he might get more immigrant votes.)
If the goal is to reduce Lost Cause nostalgia,
not giving back the slavocrat elites control and replacing slavery with sharecropping (as in OTL), then it behooves there to be drastic changes made.
Also, if the goal is to have Lee and leading Confederates debase themselves in embarrassing proclamations rejecting their secessionism, publicly soiling their names, then who does the Lost Cause lionize then? The leaders who died in the war, and did not live to reverse themselves after? Perhaps. But it would still be a powerful anti-symbol.
Potentially giving control to black militias could be a stick to threaten disaffected southerners with
No, not unless you somehow gut the Radical Republicans in 1864; Reconstruction was always going to spur such feelings and you can only avoid that by doing the aforementioned.
Now they call him president :-D.French that want a monarchy
Recent elections have clearly shown that radical nationalism is still a thing in Germany.Fuhrer
Let's not make a Entities - CSA can easily be described as a representative of peripheral capitalism (which is why the southern loyalists had the opportunity to gain the necessary influence).plantation neo-feudalism
Sure we could have let the South rejoin the Union, and still keep slavery, or just deal with the race issue as they saw fit.
Just what kind of reconstruction would you suggest? Pay the South reparations? Build federal monuments to the noble cause of the Confederacy? Teach in schools that the Union was wrong to use force to prevent disunion? The war was the fault of the North for not enforcing the "Fugitive Slave Act", and for not letting the slave power expand wherever it wanted to? Better still teach that the war was fought over tariffs, and Northern greed? Would these things have made Southerners less upset about rejoining the Union?
Sure we could have let the South rejoin the Union, and still keep slavery, or just deal with the race issue as they saw fit. Just what kind of reconstruction would you suggest? Pay the South reparations? Build federal monuments to the noble cause of the Confederacy? Teach in schools that the Union was wrong to use force to prevent disunion? The war was the fault of the North for not enforcing the "Fugitive Slave Act", and for not letting the slave power expand wherever it wanted to? Better still teach that the war was fought over tariffs, and Northern greed? Would these things have made Southerners less upset about rejoining the Union?
The election did not tip Lincoln's way because he was seen as less threatening to the South than Seward. Lincoln was treated with extreme hyperbole as a radical that he really wasn't in some Southern states; in others, where he probably could have picked up more of the vote, he was undercut by John Bell and the Constitutional Union Party. Lincoln himself was not treated with hostility in most of the upper South, at least not until the call for volunteers, a move that seriously backfired. Many of the influential old Whig newspapers in Kentucky, Tennessee, and Virginia actually spoke of him fairly positively while still encouraging a vote for Bell.
Seward was rather a problem who was unlikely to be reelected because he could not unite the factions of the Republican party, which really wasn't even a singular party as of yet. The Know Nothings distrusted him, the Free Soilers who many of which were former Democrats remembered his staunch old Whig partisanship, and his best asset, being a New Yorker, limited his appeal in the Midwest. Lincoln by contrast likely underperformed in New York, but was able to take all of its electoral seats, while appealing strongly in the Midwest, and unified the party through his personal charisma and replication of the Harrison 1840 "common man" shtick, which believe it or not actually was very effective. He retained old Whig voters (outside of the Upper South), but was not nearly as involved in Whig partisan politics and therefore did not have as many enemies as Seward.
You forgot to add "Hang Grant" while you were at it.
--Every election in the USA shall be by universal manhood suffrage*. No restrictions upon this shall be permitted under any circumstances
--Hang or exile Lee and every Confederate military officer who held a Union rank of one star General or higher pre-war, or who rose to such rank during the war. Any who surrender rather than being captured get to pick their poison: Death or exile.
The problem is, that will only encourage the LCM because a lack of punishment for starting a violent uprising over not being allowed to lord it over the northern states and expanding slavery every which-way anymore, will only encourage another rebellion attempting to restore the "peculiar system". You need to make clear the consequences of treason, while investing in the region to flip the common people over to the government's side by offering them steady cash.Even northern states won't ratify that. Many had residency or other requirements. There's a reason the 15A was worded as it was - that was the most that was likely to be ratified.
This would drive Grant, Sherman and other Northern heroes out of the Army and into the Democratic camp, since it would be a repudiation of the surrender terms which they had negotiated in good faith.
Anyway, nothing in your proposal would have any effect whatsoever on the Lost Cause myth - unless perhaps to reinforce it. Similarly hardline policies by Britain did nothing to extinguish Irish nationalism.
To avoid the LCM you need *less* change, not more. The less difference there is between before and after, the less there is to wax nostalgic about.
The problem is, that will only encourage the LCM because a lack of punishment for starting a violent uprising over not being allowed to lord it over the northern states and expanding slavery every which-way anymore, will only encourage another rebellion attempting to restore the "peculiar system". You need to make clear the consequences of treason, while investing in the region to flip the common people over to the government's side by offering them steady cash.
And as it is, the 15th amendment was easily circumvented by Jim Crow laws for decades. There can't be a loophole the size of a truck that potential coup governments can get through to retain power.
Those traitors only turned their coat to fight for America again because the government had sold out and let them indulge their fantasies of racial superiority on the legal stage. I'm proposing that proactive action be taken to avoid and suppress the negative social impacts of the lost-cause myth, because IMO it's completely impossible to prevent it from materializing in SOME way.What need to punish anyone when the sons of the traitors and even some of the traitors themselves, were willingly fighting for the US only 33 years after Appomattox - and would probably have done so earlier had the US been at war with anyone during that period. Why waste energy punishing traitors who will soon cease to be traitors if left alone. And how would doing so make the slightest difference to the LCM?
For Pete's sake, why do you suppose that the North never worried about the growth of the LCM - and even embraced it? Because they knew it didn't matter. It wasn't of the slightest importance if some people wanted to prance around in Confederate uniforms - just as long as said people were perfectly happy to fight for the US when it was at war?
It was the same in Britain. Seventy years after Culloden, King George IV was prancing around in a kilt - because Jacobitism was so thoroghly scotched that it was now safe to romanticise it.
Because if there are obvious loopholes that let voting bans be rules-lawyered through, the 15th amendment isn't worth the paper it's printed on.How is it of the slightest importance what loopholes an Amendment does or doesn't contain if there is no way to get it ratified?