You could try Carter (1980) vs. Hoover (1932), that'd probably be more even
Then Carter would win pretty big.
I guess I'll try both to see which one is more even, but not now. It's late. Those three were just because I found the comparisons interesting:
Nixon/Clinton: Candidate wins in a three way race between the incumbent party and a significant third party challenger. This President keeps many of his predecessors' policies in place, but with a new conservative/liberal face. Despite being reelected by a large margin, He was (nearly) impeached two years after being reelected.
Carter/Bush: The devout Christian governor of a large, Southern state was (re)elected by a narrow margin. He was a good man, but was troubled by a bad economy, crisis in the Middle East, and not being prepared to be President. He left office with low approval ratings, to be succeeded by...
Reagan/Obama: The charismatic outsider campaigned on restoring Hope. He was elected by a large margin, but governed much more moderately than he campaigned. The economy still improved under his tenure. He is a very polarizing President, and is likely to be succeeded by a member of his own party who is experienced in foreign policy issues.