AHC: Save Sears

Not at all certain of anything. have read a economics magazine article, and followed a discussion here on the subject & it looks unpredictable. Sears shot itself in the ass in the 1980s, by not modernizing its old paper catalogue to the internet. Even to someone as ignorant about the net and web as I circa 1988 this one looked like a no brainer. Yet Sears management missed it entirely. They had the infrastructure, the experience, the suppliers, for warehouse to customer delivery. Investing in translating the paper catalog to a cyber sales point looked like a no brainer to me & a number of my peers. WTF?

Unfortunatly the year 2000 may well be to late to save Sears this way. They'd missed the boat, so far out of sight they could not even wave at it. It would certainly be a uphill battle building Sears online presence back up to what it had in direct distribution presence back at its peak.

I do remember when Sears had a small store presence. The 1950s seems to have been the peak for that model. Dollar General has a retail store on every corner, perhaps Sears could develop a presence with smaller & more acessable stores. One reason I did not purchase at Sears as often is the cost of the time traveling to their single regional location, and transiting the large site to make a small $100 tool purchase.
One of the great unanswered questions of American business...how could they miss? Someone invented moving pictures, porn struck immediately...the Wright brothers flew their junkie little kite, in no time, people were dropping bombs...the internet came along and Sears did...nothing...too busy laughing at Montgomery Wards, I guess.
 
The best way to prevent Sears from falling apart requires a earlier POD (Prior to 2000).

The most likely ways that would have saved Sears would have been.

1. - Sears does not ever become Complacent and does respond to the ever changing Retail market.
2. - Sears does not go overboard on diversification like they did (They should have just stopped the diversification after they had introduced and rolled out the Discover Credit Card).
3. - I do agree with others on this board that Sears should have made it's entire General Merchandise Catalog available for purchase online to everyone who has Internet access the moment the Internet starts gaining steam and allow Site-to-Store shipping as a option (As a cheaper option) like Walmart does these days.
4. - Sears should have invested in the upkeep of all of it's stores which includes replacing outdated equipment and remodeling to keep the appearance of the stores up to date.

Keeping Lampert from having anything to do with Sears under any circumstance would help massively.

An earlier POD would help but I didn't want to make it too easy and enable people to use too much 20/20 hindsight. Even the best companies will make mistakes.

1. True, complacency is almost always a problem with long established companies and that was certainly true of Sears.
2. Certainly stay away from Kmart. Merging two declining companies together just makes one giant declining company. It did nothing for Sears and just added to its debt. Even at the time I wondered why would they even think of merging with Kmart?
3. Yes, it should have gotten onto the internet sooner and made everything it sold available for purchase on it. Although Site-to-Store is a good model that is 20/20 hindsight. Maybe after Walmart established it and it looked like it was going to work.
4. Definitely, a store that looks like it comes out of 1955 is going to do well only with older customers. You can't expect a new generation of customers to go to a store that looks like where there parents and grandparents shop and eventually the old generation die off.

Lampart was certainly an anchor for Sears. Him not buying the company is a great help.
 
Shamless plug in of my thread https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/sears-bankruptcy-discussion-thread.457425/
Anyway the main problem for Sears is Eddie Lampert, I am being completely serious keep him away at all cost. if you want to save Sears you must do the following.
#1 Get the Company a grade A CEO or owner who has experience in retail and preferably experience with dealing with mail order companies, a businessman who if even not at all technical savy him or herself, see's the internet as a possible market to expand into and is willing to take risk there.
#2 Sears needs to downsize, one of its problems was too many unprofitable stores that weren't needed, this deadweight needs to be cut.
#3 Sear needs to realize that keeping quality from declining should be #1. Sure Walmart may seem to be were the moneys at but they need to stop trying to emulate them as a sales model, they should go back to their roots as a provider and repairer of just about everything of quality.
#4 Don't drop video game's and quality electronics like Lampert did, no one buys from a store that sells Toshiba laptops in the late 2000's.
#5 Once Sear's online sales take off they should they should invest heavily their ASP in software and advertisement beat Amazon to the punch.
If all these things are done Sears could probably stick around another hundred years or more, and just maybe buy back Sears Tower.

1) Yeah, Lampert was definitely an anchor. I don';t know if there are other companies he could run well but retail stores are clearly not it.
2) More importantly product lines. If something is no longer profitable for you get rid of it. I doubt clothes were a big money maker for Sears. Assuming that was true don't sell clothing.
3)Yep, Walmart already had that market. They couldn't dream of competing in the Walmart niche.
4) Assuming that they were really selling them in Sears in the first place. If Sears weren't competitive in electronics than dumping them wasn't a bad idea. You can't be competitive in everything.
5) An old and established company beating Amazon to the punch is unrealistic. Even so it should have went on the internet sooner and in a big way.
 
Carl,

The internet didn't go live until 1991, so in '88 it was still a DARPA idea.


Sears problem was they created a niche for the mid-to-upscale, beating the likes of Macy’s, Kaufmann’s and JC Penny, and Americans (and Canadians for that matter) were largely headed for discounters. Their house brands were good (Kenmore, Craftsman, Die Hard) but their every-day was nondescript. If women can get housewares with Martha Stewart's name on them, and clothes with Jacqueline Smith or Kathy Ireland from Kmart, what do I need a Sears for?


Women's apparel is a huge money maker. It's meant to be profitable even at a sale price. Sears had little to nothing to draw women into its stores. And Brand Loyalty can go extinct in a generation.


When Walmart became the number one store in America, they passed both Kmart and Sears. The previous year, Sears was number 1, Kmart was number 2 and Wally World was number 3. The next year, Walmart was number 1, Kmart was number 2 and Sears was number 3. And Kmart at the time was gunning for Sears, they were bringing in things like furniture and office equipment to compete with Sears. Walmart was gunning for Kmart the entire time; they knew exactly who to beat.


Walmart passed Kmart in women's apparel sales when they had several hundred fewer stores than Kmart. Sam Walton was no dummy; one of the ways he did this was he laid out his stores with the women's apparel between the entrance and the Crafts department. Who does crafts? Women, and Sam forced them to walk through his apparel to get to their hobby. At the time, Kmart was trying to get away from Crafts, and reducing the SKUs ("skews" - Stock Keeping Units) in the department. And besides, it was over by domestics, not apparel. Sears had little to no crafts items to speak of.


As for Amazon, let's not forget that company HEMORRHAGED cash for several years. See:


https://www.theatlas.com/charts/BJjuqbWLz


It took Amazon YEARS to turn a profit. So I don’t see jumping on the internet retailer bandwagon early as saving the company. But I will say one thing that Amazon did while they were losing money like the Federal Government; they got people familiar with ordering stuff from Amazon, so maybe an early presence would similarly help Sears later.

And Sears did not merge with Kmart; they were purchased for 11b dollars. Kmart changed the name of the combined company to “Sears Holdings” and moved their headquarters from Troy, MI to Chicago. In my opinion this was the Pennsylvania Railroad and New York Central all over again; the PennCentral combined all of their weaknesses and none of their strengths. So too Kmart and Sears.

When I was in retail in the ‘90s, studies showed people treated Walmart like a convenience store, shopping there over 5 times a week on average. Target was a destination store, shopped barely over two times a week. Kmart was in between, nearly 3 times a week. Sears was (and is) a destination store; people don’t go to Sears for convenience, they go to Sears to GO TO SEARS.

Another problem for Sears is their stores are largely tied to malls, and malls are, have been for years, dying in America.

I thought their small hardware/appliance stores were an excellent concept, but as opposed to Dollar General, which is going everywhere Walmart is NOT, they still located in retail heavy spaces, plazas mostly but it did get the company name away from malls. I don’t know if they were profitable or not, but they should have been.

I don’t know if there is a recipe to save Sears, even now. They need increased traffic, which means increased sales, and I don’t know how you do that with stores tied to dying malls, and discounter retailers everywhere. Maybe going to stand alone stores in the 1980s would have helped, but brick and mortar isn’t exactly the shining path forward. And now that they’ve shed their house brands, I don’t know what draw they have left.

Lampert supposedly wants both companies to do more online business, but as a consequence, he was not spending any money on the stores themselves. Many are in disrepair.

And online retailers need to be thorough. I recently bought a fridge from a local appliance store. Good price, and I was able to see and measure the thing to make sure it would fit the space. I was also recently looking to replace a Craftsman staple gun. Two of them were on Sears’ website, no measurements nor guidance on which gun used which size staples. So I did not make a purchase. Maybe I’ll go to Lowe’s and find a match someday. But a lack of detail cost Sears a sale.

The bottom line for Sears is capital goes where it’s treated best. To Tonrich’s point, Sears customers thought their capital wasn’t being treated best at Sears.


My thoughts,
 
Carl,

The internet didn't go live until 1991, so in '88 it was still a DARPA idea.


Sears problem was they created a niche for the mid-to-upscale, beating the likes of Macy’s, Kaufmann’s and JC Penny, and Americans (and Canadians for that matter) were largely headed for discounters. Their house brands were good (Kenmore, Craftsman, Die Hard) but their every-day was nondescript. If women can get housewares with Martha Stewart's name on them, and clothes with Jacqueline Smith or Kathy Ireland from Kmart, what do I need a Sears for?


Women's apparel is a huge money maker. It's meant to be profitable even at a sale price. Sears had little to nothing to draw women into its stores. And Brand Loyalty can go extinct in a generation.


When Walmart became the number one store in America, they passed both Kmart and Sears. The previous year, Sears was number 1, Kmart was number 2 and Wally World was number 3. The next year, Walmart was number 1, Kmart was number 2 and Sears was number 3. And Kmart at the time was gunning for Sears, they were bringing in things like furniture and office equipment to compete with Sears. Walmart was gunning for Kmart the entire time; they knew exactly who to beat.


Walmart passed Kmart in women's apparel sales when they had several hundred fewer stores than Kmart. Sam Walton was no dummy; one of the ways he did this was he laid out his stores with the women's apparel between the entrance and the Crafts department. Who does crafts? Women, and Sam forced them to walk through his apparel to get to their hobby. At the time, Kmart was trying to get away from Crafts, and reducing the SKUs ("skews" - Stock Keeping Units) in the department. And besides, it was over by domestics, not apparel. Sears had little to no crafts items to speak of.


As for Amazon, let's not forget that company HEMORRHAGED cash for several years. See:


https://www.theatlas.com/charts/BJjuqbWLz


It took Amazon YEARS to turn a profit. So I don’t see jumping on the internet retailer bandwagon early as saving the company. But I will say one thing that Amazon did while they were losing money like the Federal Government; they got people familiar with ordering stuff from Amazon, so maybe an early presence would similarly help Sears later.

And Sears did not merge with Kmart; they were purchased for 11b dollars. Kmart changed the name of the combined company to “Sears Holdings” and moved their headquarters from Troy, MI to Chicago. In my opinion this was the Pennsylvania Railroad and New York Central all over again; the PennCentral combined all of their weaknesses and none of their strengths. So too Kmart and Sears.

When I was in retail in the ‘90s, studies showed people treated Walmart like a convenience store, shopping there over 5 times a week on average. Target was a destination store, shopped barely over two times a week. Kmart was in between, nearly 3 times a week. Sears was (and is) a destination store; people don’t go to Sears for convenience, they go to Sears to GO TO SEARS.

Another problem for Sears is their stores are largely tied to malls, and malls are, have been for years, dying in America.

I thought their small hardware/appliance stores were an excellent concept, but as opposed to Dollar General, which is going everywhere Walmart is NOT, they still located in retail heavy spaces, plazas mostly but it did get the company name away from malls. I don’t know if they were profitable or not, but they should have been.

I don’t know if there is a recipe to save Sears, even now. They need increased traffic, which means increased sales, and I don’t know how you do that with stores tied to dying malls, and discounter retailers everywhere. Maybe going to stand alone stores in the 1980s would have helped, but brick and mortar isn’t exactly the shining path forward. And now that they’ve shed their house brands, I don’t know what draw they have left.

Lampert supposedly wants both companies to do more online business, but as a consequence, he was not spending any money on the stores themselves. Many are in disrepair.

And online retailers need to be thorough. I recently bought a fridge from a local appliance store. Good price, and I was able to see and measure the thing to make sure it would fit the space. I was also recently looking to replace a Craftsman staple gun. Two of them were on Sears’ website, no measurements nor guidance on which gun used which size staples. So I did not make a purchase. Maybe I’ll go to Lowe’s and find a match someday. But a lack of detail cost Sears a sale.

The bottom line for Sears is capital goes where it’s treated best. To Tonrich’s point, Sears customers thought their capital wasn’t being treated best at Sears.


My thoughts,

I agree about it being too late to save Sears now, it should be liquidated. It is better for everyone IMO. The debtors get paid off and the employees look for jobs now when there are jobs to be had rather than in a recession when they have to compete with everyone.

Bottom line I think Sears needed to update their decor and they needed to focus in on their core business which was tools, appliances and auto repair. Maybe add construction material such as lumber and auto parts Dump anything that isn't selling.
 
I worked in Sears for two weeks selling mattresses. The store was fine and they are the best performing store in the mid Atlantic(Bel Air MD). However there was some areas that were imploding aka electronics. Another Sears near me (White Marsh MD) stopped selling electronics altogether. Don't go in the Sears in York Pennsylvania. Extremely small and outdated. The Lancaster one is nicer.
 
I worked in Sears for two weeks selling mattresses. The store was fine and they are the best performing store in the mid Atlantic(Bel Air MD). However there was some areas that were imploding aka electronics. Another Sears near me (White Marsh MD) stopped selling electronics altogether. Don't go in the Sears in York Pennsylvania. Extremely small and outdated. The Lancaster one is nicer.

Yeah, electronics is simply not its niche. It needed focus which is something Lampart seems to be bad at.
 
Keep the catalog and put it fully orderable online at the earliest possible moment

That seems to be the ultimate answer. Sears was Amazon before the Internet but for whatever reason they decided to totally abandon the delivery business model at the exact moment that it came roaring back to life.

They don't even need to beat anybody to it, Sears just needs to jump on the bandwagon. They have all the business and infrastructure to start serious home deliveries of virtually everything well before Amazon.
 
That seems to be the ultimate answer. Sears was Amazon before the Internet but for whatever reason they decided to totally abandon the delivery business model at the exact moment that it came roaring back to life.

They don't even need to beat anybody to it, Sears just needs to jump on the bandwagon. They have all the business and infrastructure to start serious home deliveries of virtually everything well before Amazon.

exactly, Amazon didn't kill Sears. Sears killed themselves and Amazon simply filled the gaping hole Sears left in a market that Americans have been shown to want for over a century.
 
In the mid 1990s have Sears start selling on line. They already have the delivery system in place , it wouldn't be to difficult.
A could become Amazon before Amazon was even an idea.
A lot of people seem to agree with me.
 
In the mid 1990s have Sears start selling on line. They already have the delivery system in place , it wouldn't be to difficult.
A could become Amazon before Amazon was even an idea.
A lot of people seem to agree with me.

And as online sales become more and more popular they can transition the stores into showrooms and distribution centers for their products.
 
In the mid 1990s have Sears start selling on line. They already have the delivery system in place , it wouldn't be to difficult.
A could become Amazon before Amazon was even an idea.
A lot of people seem to agree with me.

That takes near 20/20 hindsight, It would be doing what almost no other big company was doing. In the '90s the big drivers on the internet was porn and theft.
 
That takes near 20/20 hindsight, It would be doing what almost no other big company was doing. In the '90s the big drivers on the internet was porn and theft.
But, they were doing it, or at least, they had built their rep on a version, the catalog store. Selling on the net doesn't take 20/20 vision, maybe only 20/40, to be viable. They missed the boat...it wasn't camouflaged or hiding, they just plain missed it!
 
But, they were doing it, or at least, they had built their rep on a version, the catalog store. Selling on the net doesn't take 20/20 vision, maybe only 20/40, to be viable. They missed the boat...it wasn't camouflaged or hiding, they just plain missed it!

Was the catalog store on the internet? How did it work?
 
Was the catalog store on the internet? How did it work?
Catalogs were mailed to regular customers' homes, ordering was on the phone. Others could go to nearest store and access catalog and order there. Delivery was by Post Office to home or order made it's way to nearest Sears store for pickup. Pretty straight forward. Whole process facilitated by Sears absolute returnability guarantee, which was a big deal in those days.
 
Catalogs were mailed to regular customers' homes, ordering was on the phone. Others could go to nearest store and access catalog and order there. Delivery was by Post Office to home or order made it's way to nearest Sears store for pickup. Pretty straight forward. Whole process facilitated by Sears absolute returnability guarantee, which was a big deal in those days.

I knew about that but that had zip to do with the internet. The Sears Catalogs came out what? 1920 or so? To change from that model to the internet was far from obvious in the 1990s . It certainly had a lot of experience in mail deliveries , which would have helped, but it wasn't obvious yet. A lot of dot com companies went belly up during the 90s so it probably looked like not being the way to go.

The biggest problem Sears has right now is that there is no real reason to buy from Sears. The biggest mistake Lampert made (And he made a LOT of them!) was selling Craftsmen Tools and Kenmore.. What reason was there to buy from Sears after that?
 
I knew about that but that had zip to do with the internet. The Sears Catalogs came out what? 1920 or so? To change from that model to the internet was far from obvious in the 1990s . It certainly had a lot of experience in mail deliveries , which would have helped, but it wasn't obvious yet. A lot of dot com companies went belly up during the 90s so it probably looked like not being the way to go.

Richard Sears first catalog was jewelry and watches in 1888. The Sears, Roebuck and Co catalog debuted 1893-94.

http://www.searsarchives.com/catalogs/history.htm

Early catalogs included kits for houses. The last time they offered automobiles was 1953-54, I think, a version of the Kaiser Model J....
 
That takes near 20/20 hindsight, It would be doing what almost no other big company was doing. In the '90s the big drivers on the internet was porn and theft.
The market was actually predicted in 1962 just watch an episode of The Jetsons.
They already have the delivery service going to a computer-based service would have actually made sense just for the cost of labor it would have saved.
 
I worked in Sears for two weeks selling mattresses. The store was fine and they are the best performing store in the mid Atlantic(Bel Air MD). However there was some areas that were imploding aka electronics. Another Sears near me (White Marsh MD) stopped selling electronics altogether. Don't go in the Sears in York Pennsylvania. Extremely small and outdated. The Lancaster one is nicer.

Sears in York is gone...
 
Richard Sears first catalog was jewelry and watches in 1888. The Sears, Roebuck and Co catalog debuted 1893-94.

I have a Sears catalog from 1907. They have basically everything that isn't perishable. Some of the language is hilarious. A teddy bear is a "Sensible and excellent toy". There are also cocaine teething drops for babies, that work in minutes.
 
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