Carl,
The internet didn't go live until 1991, so in '88 it was still a DARPA idea.
Sears problem was they created a niche for the mid-to-upscale, beating the likes of Macy’s, Kaufmann’s and JC Penny, and Americans (and Canadians for that matter) were largely headed for discounters. Their house brands were good (Kenmore, Craftsman, Die Hard) but their every-day was nondescript. If women can get housewares with Martha Stewart's name on them, and clothes with Jacqueline Smith or Kathy Ireland from Kmart, what do I need a Sears for?
Women's apparel is a huge money maker. It's meant to be profitable even at a sale price. Sears had little to nothing to draw women into its stores. And Brand Loyalty can go extinct in a generation.
When Walmart became the number one store in America, they passed both Kmart and Sears. The previous year, Sears was number 1, Kmart was number 2 and Wally World was number 3. The next year, Walmart was number 1, Kmart was number 2 and Sears was number 3. And Kmart at the time was gunning for Sears, they were bringing in things like furniture and office equipment to compete with Sears. Walmart was gunning for Kmart the entire time; they knew exactly who to beat.
Walmart passed Kmart in women's apparel sales when they had several hundred fewer stores than Kmart. Sam Walton was no dummy; one of the ways he did this was he laid out his stores with the women's apparel between the entrance and the Crafts department. Who does crafts? Women, and Sam forced them to walk through his apparel to get to their hobby. At the time, Kmart was trying to get away from Crafts, and reducing the SKUs ("skews" - Stock Keeping Units) in the department. And besides, it was over by domestics, not apparel. Sears had little to no crafts items to speak of.
As for Amazon, let's not forget that company HEMORRHAGED cash for several years. See:
https://www.theatlas.com/charts/BJjuqbWLz
It took Amazon YEARS to turn a profit. So I don’t see jumping on the internet retailer bandwagon early as saving the company. But I will say one thing that Amazon did while they were losing money like the Federal Government; they got people familiar with ordering stuff from Amazon, so maybe an early presence would similarly help Sears later.
And Sears did not merge with Kmart; they were purchased for 11b dollars. Kmart changed the name of the combined company to “Sears Holdings” and moved their headquarters from Troy, MI to Chicago. In my opinion this was the Pennsylvania Railroad and New York Central all over again; the PennCentral combined all of their weaknesses and none of their strengths. So too Kmart and Sears.
When I was in retail in the ‘90s, studies showed people treated Walmart like a convenience store, shopping there over 5 times a week on average. Target was a destination store, shopped barely over two times a week. Kmart was in between, nearly 3 times a week. Sears was (and is) a destination store; people don’t go to Sears for convenience, they go to Sears to GO TO SEARS.
Another problem for Sears is their stores are largely tied to malls, and malls are, have been for years, dying in America.
I thought their small hardware/appliance stores were an excellent concept, but as opposed to Dollar General, which is going everywhere Walmart is NOT, they still located in retail heavy spaces, plazas mostly but it did get the company name away from malls. I don’t know if they were profitable or not, but they should have been.
I don’t know if there is a recipe to save Sears, even now. They need increased traffic, which means increased sales, and I don’t know how you do that with stores tied to dying malls, and discounter retailers everywhere. Maybe going to stand alone stores in the 1980s would have helped, but brick and mortar isn’t exactly the shining path forward. And now that they’ve shed their house brands, I don’t know what draw they have left.
Lampert supposedly wants both companies to do more online business, but as a consequence, he was not spending any money on the stores themselves. Many are in disrepair.
And online retailers need to be thorough. I recently bought a fridge from a local appliance store. Good price, and I was able to see and measure the thing to make sure it would fit the space. I was also recently looking to replace a Craftsman staple gun. Two of them were on Sears’ website, no measurements nor guidance on which gun used which size staples. So I did not make a purchase. Maybe I’ll go to Lowe’s and find a match someday. But a lack of detail cost Sears a sale.
The bottom line for Sears is capital goes where it’s treated best. To Tonrich’s point, Sears customers thought their capital wasn’t being treated best at Sears.
My thoughts,