The Day After: An American Spinoff of Protect and Survive

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Turning and turning in the widening gyre​
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;​
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;​
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,​
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere​
The ceremony of innocence is drowned;​
The best lack all conviction, while the worst​
Are full of passionate intensity.​
-William Butler Yeats​
 
Update.

THE DAY AFTER


The Berlin Crisis of 1984

Within minutes of the first shot across the East German border, both NATO and the Warsaw Pact rushed into a flurry of motion. East Germany reacted first. All crossings between the two Germanys were closed. International flights on their way to Berlin were prevented from crossing the border. Trains sat idle on their rails, and the closure of the highways caused a traffic clog that stretched all the way from the West German border to Berlin. In some areas telephone lines were cut and radio frequencies were jammed. West Berlin was stranded.

Lacking any readily applicable solution, NATO resorted to violent rhetoric. Headlines decried the Soviet’s procedure as a “gross overreaction.” Some rightwing American political commentators argued that the “quarantine” of West Berlin was an act of war. That morning’s Pravda carried the headline: AGRICULTURE PLAN FOR THE NEXT YEAR. The Soviet media remained eerily quiet about the Berlin Crisis.

After a series of dramatic diplomatic deals, a solution was hammered out between the two power blocks. Or rather the Soviets forced the West’s hand. The Soviets agreed to allow restricted civilian and diplomatic traffic between West Berlin and the rest of the free world. Any military movement was to be considered by the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact as an act of war. Later, historians would remark that the Soviet’s restrictions were almost, word for word, the same restrictions placed upon Cuba in 1962.

However the early stages of the Berlin Crisis were not isolated to Germany. Following what shreds of information we were able to recover from the former Soviet Union, their preparation to war plans were initiated like clockwork. Unlike their American and NATO counterparts, the Soviet Union and her allies needed much longer to prepare for war. While Soviet plans were enacted in early January to make up for their much weaker economies, America and her allies only began preparing in late January.

Soviet “Tractor Parts” and a plethora of “Civilian Transportation Aircraft” began arriving among communist aligned countries around the world. From Angola to Cuba, Soviet the merchant marine offloaded millions of tons of material, equipment, and “foreign advisors.” Even more disturbing were a series of flat black shipping containers labeled “diplomatic baggage.” NATO intelligence services had been receiving reports of such crates appearing in a series of the Soviets closest aligned allies. However these reports quickly were buried as other more serious signs of mobilization, Eastern European Air Forces scrambling, the cancelation of military leaves across the Warsaw Pact, and the brutal repression of a Polish workers movement.

As long as the diplomatic channels remained open NATO had decided to try that route as long as possible. However even then a diplomatic solution seemed unlikely. One French diplomat remarked after a particularly difficult meeting that “giving the bastards Berlin” was the only way of coming to a peaceful solution. His German counterpart replied that “Germany would lose every man, woman, and child” before Berlin would again fall into the hands of the Soviets.

Ever since the beginnings of the Crisis, the Soviet Government had begun to restrict air traffic between West Berlin and the rest of the world. The flight lanes allowed to western powers became more and more restricted. Soon only a handful of routes were allowed, and the bottleneck quickly caused massive congestion above the airport. Prices sky rocketed as the number of flights approved for transit to West Berlin dwindled. All across Warsaw Pact nations, air forces were readied and civilian traffic was constantly watched. Any divergent traffic was reported as “possible spy aircraft.”

The immediate backdrop of the ill fated flight of KLM 146 was the Geneva Conference. Trying in one last desperate bid to return tensions to a semblance of normality, both Secretary of State George Schultz and Soviet Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko met in Geneva, Switzerland for a series of negotiations. The conference became an unmitigated disaster.
Schultz is quoted as lambasting the Soviet mobilization efforts as “leading toward war.” Andropov icily replied that the declaration of SDI in and of itself was a mobilization of the American nuclear arsenal. For the next three days neither side budged, both essentially arguing that the other was forcing them to go to war.

When it was shot down the ill fated flight 146 was traveling its normal route. An international flight from Istanbul to Amsterdam it crossed past Bulgarian airspace on its way north. Under normal circumstances KAL 146 drew little attention from the Soviets. However, with both the Soviet Union and the United States on edge since beginning of the student riots, things took a turn for the worse.

From the remains of news papers and broadcasts we learn a few key facts. Along its route a transponder was out. Unlike KAL 007, KLM 146 did not fly in and out of Warsaw Pact airspace. The entirety of its flight, once it crossed the Bulgarian border until the attack, was spent in Bulgarian airspace. There also was little chatter between the Dutch airliner and the pursuing Bulgarian fighter. The Dutch refused to identify themselves properly according to international protocol, and the pursuing fighter did not identify itself.

The end result was tragedy.

Hundreds of civilians were killed, and the Soviet’s non-cooperation in the search and rescue effort doomed the few survivors of the crash to death. Even worse than the human tragedy was the diplomatic fallout. That day the Soviet delegates were called back to Moscow. The American delegation left two days later. Both sides left with a sour taste in their mouth. War seemed closer than ever.

*The Conscript walked through the streets of Warsaw.

His rifle in his hands.

Curfew.

Midnight.

“Enforcement.”

He wasn’t alone of course, a fellow conscript stood by his side.

But he still felt alone.

So alone.

Walking down the empty and silent streets all he could think about was the noise.

The people shouting.

The flapping of banners and flags.

The singing.

The orders, barked like a mad dog.

The gun fire.

The screams and shouts.

Walking down the dark and inky streets all he could think about was the sights.

Red blood on white faces.

Lifeless eyes staring back.

A child’s hand.

A lone man crying over a body.

Walking down the streets past the factories all he could think about was the stench.

The metallic smell of blood.

The acrid gunpowder.

The smells of fear.

Walking down the streets past the square, already wiped and washed of blood and bodies, all he knew.

The world was already over.
 
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As I posted over in the original P&S thread.

Yes, this is scary.


GEORGIA
Primary:
Warner-Robins AFB (SAC bombers, Macon), Dobbins AFB (Marietta), Fort Benning, Fort Stewart, King's Bay, Moody AFB, Atlanta.
Secondary:
Albany, Brunswick, Savannah.
Tertiary:
Augusta, Columbus, Stockbridge, Marietta.


With Augusta GA, you have Fort Gordon, the home of the US Army Signal Corps. They train all branches of the service there, not just the Army in communications. There are also intelligence units there that do signals interpretation. Currently they are dedicated to the Middle East, but in 1984, they would probably be dedicated to Eastern Europe. The base also has a large medical complex that has bases from as far away as Puerto Rico feeding patients to it. It is far enough from the main city of Augusta and sits above it, that a bomb hitting over the base may leave the city itself intact, especially since it sits in a river valley. The southern portion of Richmond county is toast, though it's not heavily populated in that period of time. Today it's the fastest growing part of the area. However, there are other targets in the area for the Russians to hit.

Bush Field is big enough to handle any military craft of the day. The military used it, and still does, use it to train their pilots in landing and take off procedures, especially cargo craft.

The Savannah River Site is just across the river from Augusta and is still making nuclear material for the US at the time of this story. I wouldn't be surprised if it had several bombs designated for it's destruction. Depending upon the size of the bombs it may or may not affect Augusta. It's about 15 miles away from down town Augusta, at the same level as the city, so there is no real protection as their might be from an attack on Fort Gordon

Clarks Hil Lake (now Strom Thurmond lake) is about 22 miles from Augusta up the Savannah River and is one of the top 10 largest COE projects east of the Mississippi. I'm not sure if the USSR would leave such a target intact. Destroying it would flood the area below it, including Augusta.

Augusta also has the largest medical community and hospital system outside of Atlanta.

Plant Vogtle, a nuclear power plant, was under construction at this time, but probably not a target.


SOUTH CAROLINA
Primary:
Charleston complex (submarine base, area east of Summerville between Goose Creek and Folly Beach), Myrtle Beach AFB, Shaw AFB.
Secondary:
Parris Island Marine Base.
Tertiary:
Aiken, Columbia, Greenville, Greer, Hardeeville (Savannah, Georgia), North Augusta.

This is a bit silly. Hitting North Augusta is really superfluous, since hitting Augusta means North Augusta will get it as well, as the river dividing them is not that wide.

Aiken county is the size of Rhode Island. The city of Aiken sits on top of a plain about 400 higher than Augusta is. SRS is in the SE part of the county. A hit there, could leave much of the rest of the county relatively untouched.

I don't see how Columbia, SC is a tertiary target in the same category as Aiken or North Augusta. Fort Jackson is located there and is one of the main training bases for basic training for the Army. It is a state capitol. There is an airport that's large enough for military traffic of any size. There is a state Air guard base just outside of the city that has a fighter wing and air transport capability. It's a transportation center as 3 interstates and several railway lines intersect there. I think the Soviets would have hit it sooner.


Torqumada
 
Welcome Back, General!

Welcome Back, General :)

I am liking this and looking forward to the road ahead...

The only "issues" ....

" Land of Flatwater was produced by the Nevada Memorial Board,

Nevada? Nevada? :)

Land of Flatwater was written by a group of researchers at two of Nebraska's universities. As of February 21, 2011, a new edition of the story is in the works with team scouring the country and the surviving world to tell the Nebraska story of the 1984 War, and its aftermath.

"NATO was caught between a rock and a hard place. If they started to mobilize their forces, it would be an obvious sign that they were ready to wage war, and were not committed to a diplomatic peace. The public image they had portrayed throughout the whole crisis. On the other hand if they did not mobilize until it was too late, there could be a good chance of being caught flat footed by the Soviet Union."

NATO has been mobilizing since October 1983, especially the American and British commitments and those commitments intensified after the student riots turned shootouts in East Berlin on October 30, 1983. You've had two months of student riots in East Germany since and it makes a good bridge to the mess that happened on January 1, 1984.

(also don't forget the December 29, 1983 air incident off the Florida coast.)


"The immediate backdrop of the ill fated flight of KLM 146 was the Geneva Conference. Trying in one last desperate bid to return tensions to a semblance of normality, both President Reagan and Premier Andropov met in Geneva, Switzerland for a series of negotiations.

Yes, there was a conference in Geneva it started the week before KLM 146 was shot down, however the participants were Secretary of State George Schultz and his staff and Soviet Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko. Andropov wasn't traveling to the bathroom in the hospital he was staying in, let alone going to Switzerland.

The conference was still going on as KLM 146 was shot down. A session between Soviet and American negotiators scheduled for that in Geneva was cancelled as the Soviet negotiating team was called back to Moscow. Secretary of State George Schultz and his staff returned to Washington 2 days later after a meeting with NATO ministers in Brussels.
 
This is a very good list. I would add Columbus and Cincinnati to it, though. You could probably write off nearly all of the US State capitals.


Is Cleveland's survival still canon?

Ignore this, it is mere filler.
 
Welcome Back, General :)

I am liking this and looking forward to the road ahead...

The only "issues" ....



Nevada? Nevada? :)

Land of Flatwater was written by a group of researchers at two of Nebraska's universities. As of February 21, 2011, a new edition of the story is in the works with team scouring the country and the surviving world to tell the Nebraska story of the 1984 War, and its aftermath.



NATO has been mobilizing since October 1983, especially the American and British commitments and those commitments intensified after the student riots turned shootouts in East Berlin on October 30, 1983. You've had two months of student riots in East Germany since and it makes a good bridge to the mess that happened on January 1, 1984.

(also don't forget the December 29, 1983 air incident off the Florida coast.)




Yes, there was a conference in Geneva it started the week before KLM 146 was shot down, however the participants were Secretary of State George Schultz and his staff and Soviet Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko. Andropov wasn't traveling to the bathroom in the hospital he was staying in, let alone going to Switzerland.

The conference was still going on as KLM 146 was shot down. A session between Soviet and American negotiators scheduled for that in Geneva was cancelled as the Soviet negotiating team was called back to Moscow. Secretary of State George Schultz and his staff returned to Washington 2 days later after a meeting with NATO ministers in Brussels.


Nevada!!!!! :eek: SUPER DUPER TYPO! *facepalm* "And this kids is why you get an editor!"

-Fixing....now
 
So I fixed my inaccuracies, and I placed the December scuffle in Florida in the last post. It fit better in the essay on December 1983.

Sorry trying to remember everything (especially with the reliability of our search function here on the site) is a little taxing. However once we get past D-Day thing should get better from there.

We're heading toward (kind of) undiscovered country.

I will update once a week on WEDNESDAYS.

If you're doing a TL set in America, go ahead an post what you've got. I'll PM you a link to my Excel spreadsheet with the TL roughly sketched out so you can work off of that (and get spoilers! :D).

Thanks for all of your support,

-Gen_Patton
 
We are watching how a technical problem escalates into a serious political crisis that keeps worsening until it becomes WW3.

Keep it coming, Gen Patton!:)
 
So how did Centre County PA fare? We've north of Harrisburg, south of Erie, Philly is to the south east, Pittsburgh is to the south west.
 
Nothing south of Sarasota was hit. That excludes forT myers and Naples. Gainesville also was not hit and several other places on florid as list probably were not hit.
 
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Part III: The Last Day

Part III: The Last Day


February 21st 1984


The Russians dashed on towards that thin red line tipped with steel.


-W.H. Russell (1854)


It is perfectly obvious that the whole world is going to hell. The only possible chance that it might not is that we do not attempt to prevent it from doing so.


-J. Robert Oppenheim (1946)


We forget everything. What we remember is not what actually happened, not history, but merely that hackneyed dotted line they have chosen to drive into our memories by incessant hammering.


- Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn (1973)


Washington's militaristic policy, whipping up international tension to the utmost, is pushing mankind towards nuclear catastrophe.


- Konstantin Chernenko (February 3rd 1984)


My God, it’s over.


-Walter Cronkite (February 21st 1984)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Update Tomorrow! :D Guess which quotes are OTL and ATL!
 
The Conventional War

The Conventional War.

Most modern histories of the ‘84 War would stop here and speculate on the Conventional War. Large amounts of data would be compiled and the historian would take time to discuss battle plans, the characteristics of specific tanks, and, as always with military histories, discuss major battles and decisions from famous commanders. From a purely academic standpoint, such undertakings have been fraught with misinformation, data gaps, and in some cases outright lies. [1] The total annihilation of most units involved in the conventional war by tactical nuclear weapons ensures that what little data and eyewitness accounts from the conventional front remain sketchy at best.



Yet many efforts have managed to sift out some truth from the fiction. Independent researchers racing against the clock have taken down thousands of eyewitness accounts from among surviving German civilians and NATO and Warsaw Pact servicemen. In a heroic effort they have managed to collect one of the largest historical databases on the planet. Many of their notes can be found at the National Archives in Columbia displayed with artifacts from both the German and Asian fronts. [2]


Their efforts have been hampered in recent years as what few surviving service members from the conventional fronts are dying at alarming rates. It has been widely predicted that by 2015 every uniformed member of the United States Armed forces who participated in the conventional fighting will have succumbed to cancer, leukemia, or another genetic disease or disorder.



Among the histories of the conventional war, one stands out as particularly well researched and written. Thomas Clancy’s Men like Wolves chronicles the war with as much clarity and poise as his other works. [3] Interspersing their stories of duties before the war, the actual conventional fighting itself, and their lives after with shreds of evidence and overviews from generals’ perspectives, Thomas Clancy’s national best seller has been compared to the classics of military history. Anyone interested in the conventional war should check it out from their local library or order it through the Federal Mail Library service. [4]


From all its publicity and its drama the Conventional War appears more significant that it actually is. From the moment the first shot was fired in anger, both the USSR and the United States had come to the conclusion that strategic nuclear war was inevitable. The Conventional War only served to stall for time. Time desperately needed for evacuation.


*The Private had joined the Army to see the world. Having never left his hometown of Iberia, Missouri, and without any money for college, the choice seemed natural.



“No wars were going to be fought back then.” He remembers, leaning his head back on a hospital bed, he looks much older than his 32 years of age, like all of the veterans I have encountered. “And if the next war was going to be fought I wouldn’t...” his voice trails off.


The Researcher asked the Private if he could remember where he was on the 21st. After a long pause, he answers. “Holding the same ridge.”
His unit was deployed along a ridgeline in a forgotten forest next to a village of which he cannot remember the name. It was dark, cold, wet and rainy. As dawn broke, the Russians attacked quickly and furiously. Aircraft, then helicopters, then artillery, then tanks and finally infantry swarmed the American position. Like a scene out of World War I, the Private’s unit held for their lives.


 
Preparation for War

Preparation for War

The preparations for war had slowly gained momentum since the beginning of the East German student riots. The Governments had tried secrecy at first, hoping that there was still a hope for peace. Working in the shadows, equipment was checked, food stores readied, and gold relocated, all according to pre-created plans.



Among these plans were a series of operations designed to preserve the cultural and political heritage of the United States.
Working closely with FEMA and the Smithsonian Institute, the National Archives had prepared CONTINGENCY PLAN TWAIN in case of the worst: nuclear war, mass pandemic, nor total civilization collapse would erase America’s mark on the world forever. [5] Detailed in it were locations for close to one million artifacts of varying degrees of importance and size spread throughout the United States. Some were relocated to basements. Others were placed in underground vaults and bunkers. And the most important were relocated to Site R.


CONTINGENCY PLAN TWAIN began, fittingly with the three most important documents in American History. The Constitution, The Declaration of Independence, and first edition copy of Mark Twain’s The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn.

FEMA is readied to PHASE II.

*The Archivist hurried alongside the Signal Corps soldiers. He had thought of saying something about the importance of the documents, and extreme caution, but decided against it. The reverent look on the soldier’s faces as they gingerly placed the self-contained, atmospherically perfect, blacked out to prevent yellowing, and everything-but-a-nuke-proof boxes on floor of the helicopter were evidence enough. These men were honored to be selected for their job.

The Museums were closed, the schools were closed, and the country seemed to be grinding to a halt. Many predicted the end was near. A homeless man had ambushed him on his way in to work, begging to see the Constitution one last time…

Looking back later, if their helicopter were to crash on its route north the three boxes would survive the impact better than any of the people. Luckily enough for the passengers, there were no complications as the helicopters touched down.

They rushed past security guards, down impassive hallways, down number and color coded floors to a room deep in the complex.
The size of an aircraft hanger, and the deepest room in the bunker, its singular purpose was to be the safe-deposit box for the shreds of American history in the coming fire.

The three boxes were placed in their own room, hooked up to their own generators and left alone in the dark.

Around the cubicle sized room, other pieces of history were being placed.

The Wright Flyer sat in a crate, next to a cannon from Fort Sumter.

Records of Louis Armstrong mingled with the works of Emerson and Frost.

A boxed Edison light bulb sat next to an M-1 Garand, which in turn lay packaged across from Neil Armstrong’s boot and a sliver of moon rock.

The threads of American history all jumbled together.


Waiting for the end.

Gen_Patton’s Notes:

[1] My hypothesis, due to most orders having been given over radio, few if any written orders survived. Only fragments of battle plans are left from the pre-war days. However many of these have been met with large degree of skepticism since the famous Ronald Reagan’s Last Word to the Men has been revealed to be a forgery and a hoax.

[2] The National Archives has replaced most private museums since the days of fire, and is as this is written the largest museum and library in the world. Many public museumettes can be found in major towns, slowly rebuilding their collections from the days gone by. Many collections have been found relatively intact, if you are willing to brave the radiation, dig through the rubble, blast open the basement vault doors and then waste the gasoline getting the artifacts out.

[3] I figured no one would be interested in military fiction in this TL. War just ruined mankind. Looking at some of Tom Clancy’s non-fiction works, I came to the conclusion that he would take more of a military historian’s path ITTL. Perhaps he could co-author a book with Stephen E. Ambrose…

[4] With most brick and mortar libraries being converted into housing for refugees, and most their contents burned to keep people warm during the brutal winters, the only library left is a national system available through your local post office. You mail them a request; they mail you a card and a post back date. Not sending a book back is considered stealing federal property, much in the same vein as raiding a reclamation resource caravan. A capital offense.
 
My God, it’s over.


-Walter Cronkite (February 21st 1984)

A guess: he would have said this on CBS right after the Kessel bomb.
 
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