So far, we've had a lot of US maps, but what about a UK map?
Some polls in 1997 had Blair far further ahead than his actual margin. One poll showed Blair on 51%, with the Conservatives on 27%. With that result, around fifty more seats would have swung to Labour, giving them around 476 seats...
It's fairly badly off for the North East (only Vermont and Pennsylvania are poorer in the region), and there was a big swing towards Trump indicating relatively populist policies fit the area well.
I also based it on equivalents - I looked at places like Crawley and Stevenage which have similar...
This is brilliant, but I'm not convinced by a few of your calls - I'd put Virginia and Illinois as firmly Remain, for example, while the Leave side would probably carry Pennsylvania, Florida, and Arizona (former due to huge Leave margins around Scranton and Pittsburgh, latter due to all of the...
I actually could see the New Dems led by an OTL Lib Dem, maybe Nick Clegg. If he was still in Sheffield Hallam, I'd expect that seat to be safe New Dem, so he should have held it until the present day.
What about some sort of referendum, as opposed to an election?
Specifically, it might be interesting to have some sort of Irish independence referendum, if it makes sense based on the POD.
Obviously the party system would depend on the POD, but what about a stronger Yorkshire Party (or some other Northern English party)? Perhaps a more socially conservative party, based around rural Ireland and parts of England, could also play a role.
I see your gerrymandered Romney map and raise you a Clinton 538-0 map:
All fifty states are in fact contiguous (Alaska is now part of Hawaii, and Fairfield County, CT is now technically the state of Alaska), though some are reduced to single counties while others stretch from San Francisco to...
The only other issue that I can see is in Oxon. It pains me to say it (as I'm a Lib Dem who lives in the constituency) but the third seat in "Oxford and Thames Valley" should probably be Labour. Oxford West was a big margin for the Lib Dems over Labour, but Oxford East was much bigger, and...
I think Montana might just flip R too, given that while 55% of the population are urban, the urban areas have more children and immigrants who won't be in the electorate. Good map though, surprised about the Plains.
After a lot of digging, I've found evidence that the 1992 vote in Nebraska was as follows
Clinton: 57,467
Bush: 121,342
Other: 65,473
Bush: 121,342
ATL Clinton: 122,940
So Clinton wins Nebraska's 3rd District, by a narrow 1,598 (0.65%) margin.
What seems fascinating to me is how many towns and cities with two constituencies now have the more C2DE seat being (more) Conservative and the more ABC1 seat being Labour. Just at a glance, this seems true of Norwich, Reading, Swindon, Milton Keynes, Newcastle (Central vs East), Barnsley...
Given that the Libertarians nearly edged over 5% there, and the fact that Wilson would go down like a cup of cold sick in Portland, I would flip Oregon too in this scenario.