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  1. WI: Lenin's untimely death

    He was the original man who held Stalin's position, and backed Trotskyism.

  2. What if the Germans in 1942 only seized Stalingrad in 1942 and did not go south.

    Why don't we assume that stopping at Stalingrad and no Caucasus offensive means exactly what it says and what is said is exactly what's meant? :rolleyes: As opposed to discussing a rapid capture of Stalingrad and *then* an offensive in the exact opposite scenario to that specified in the OP...

  3. WI: Lenin's untimely death

    There were two Smirnovs, just as there were two Kamenevs.

  4. Different luck May 1940

    It sets up a Nazi defeat circa 1943 at the latest, and would certainly pave the way for the great Allied offensive of 1941. The Nazis will never launch a Holocaust in this scenario, and there will not be an Eastern Bloc. The Soviet occupation of Poland will stick because after encountering Nazi...

  5. WI: Lenin's untimely death

    My guess is that this actually produces the cult of Lenin the Martyr, his successors manage to eke out an inglorious victory over their horribly outnumbered and far weaker opponents (like OTL), and that Smirnov becomes the ATL's evil dictator that ruined the glorious Soviet experiment. Outside...

  6. Is USSR doomed if Japan invades?

    1) My argument is that this is true, but the changes in it had nothing to do with either Europe or Japan's clashes with the USSR. 2) Yes, actually, it rather does when we remember that the purpose of this was to deter Japan's expansion at a point in time when Japan's expansion was that of a...

  7. Is USSR doomed if Japan invades?

    1) Yes, and this is all well and good but it doesn't answer my question, which is not disputing that the USA might take different actions but asking how and why they wind up doing this, which you have yet to satisfactorily answer other than "because they do." 2) Not at all, I'm just asking...

  8. Is USSR doomed if Japan invades?

    1) What part of "there needs to be much, much more to the Japanese running out of oil than 'USA doesn't decide to let them do it'?" is so all-fired incomprehensible here? Until you're willing to both read and answer this question, and not by repeating "because the scenario requires it" this will...

  9. Is USSR doomed if Japan invades?

    The return to this is that the invasion of Indochina was not, strictly speaking, at all necessary IOTL. Vichy France had already given Japan everything it wanted IOTL by diplomacy. Due to the inability of the senior officers to corral their subordinates, the Japanese invaded Indochina...

  10. Is USSR doomed if Japan invades?

    To which the easiest counterpoints are that your point relies on magical thinking, namely that the absence of some bombs and shells somehow impacts the offensives in the West, when in all cases logistics and strategic incapability on the Nazi side pre-ordained the outcomes regardless of what...

  11. Is USSR doomed if Japan invades?

    Yes, and your idea of tennis consists of repeating the same thing over and over again and ignoring any of the counter-points raised against it, such as for example the root of Japan's Strike South and the embargo being deeply inlaid into the IJA's structure, to a point where a POD changing this...

  12. Is USSR doomed if Japan invades?

    Given said intervention does nothing to solve the oil embargo, which existed for reasons unrelated entirely to the war in Europe, and that such an attack results in a maximum six months collapse of Japan altogether and thus an abrupt termination of the Pacific War, it doesn't affect the battle...

  13. How many wars would happen in Middle East if Israel never existed

    IMHO less the Nakba and more things like the King David Hotel bombing. Attacking Arabs would be one thing to Western opinion then. Terrorism against British soldiers and civilians? Completely different.

  14. How many wars would happen in Middle East if Israel never existed

    In that case we're agreed.

  15. WI: Northern Greece largely abandons for more defensible position

    True. It would be particularly interesting, for a certain definition of interesting, to see what happens if/when the RAF launches one of its first devastating bomber raids on Ploesti around the time of the winter 1941 disasters starting in the USSR..........and for that matter oil is the one...

  16. What if Germany didn't attack Poland.

    That one might work, albeit it'd torpedo the German system so badly Germany would be likely to have an economic meltdown before its military system is set to rights.

  17. What if Germany didn't attack Poland.

    Both of these scenarios neglect the deeper rationale for warfare, to say nothing of Hitler's solemnly pledged word being utterly and totally worthless.

  18. How many wars would happen in Middle East if Israel never existed

    I disagree, Israel will still rise regardless or there'd at least be an attempt to make it for most of the same reasons. Thanks to Al-Husseini the Palestinian leadership had self-destructed, and Zionism was going for a Jewish state, period, and no outsiders were going to interfere with that...

  19. What if Germany didn't attack Poland.

    There's a lot more to not having a war over Poland than Mussolini, especially as the Hossbach Memorandum made it clear that the goal of Germany was a general European war. The particular crisis that creates it is incidental to this goal.

  20. WI: Northern Greece largely abandons for more defensible position

    No, as Barbarossa is logistically and strategically going to fail regardless, while the Soviets have both a poor plan and poor distribution of troops, so they'll still be bled heavily regardless.
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