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  1. WI: Jerry Brown wins 1992 Democratic nomination, endorsed by Perot

    Bush was unpopular at the time and the GOP's 1980s planks had faltered under recession and the collapse of the USSR. Brown's ideological pivoting and substantial breaking from the Democratic old guard helps but I think a significant issue may be his "flake" factor -- making unforced errors like...
  2. Had FDR Lived Until 1948(& Still Been POTUS)Would HE Have Recognized Israel?

    Why not? Recognition of Israel took a lot of the question of the status of Jewish refugees off of the US/UK/Commonwealth, who still weren't that keen on letting large numbers in even after the war afaik.
  3. How does a Nixon win in 1960 shape the political parties going forward?

    It might complicate the calibration of the New Right somewhat -- a third of African Americans could still be Republicans, the white South might still be suspicious of the GOP until desegregation and voting rights is baked in. Or I guess you can just delay the Goldwaterite takeover until 1972.
  4. WI: Nixon administration (competently) pays off burglars, Watergate never fully revealed?

    I feel like even if it isn't Watergate it's something else: Nixon probably won't dial back on his paranoid chicanery not just because his psychology but he probably won't grasp the relationship between the press and politicians was changing as the public became more politically skeptical, where...
  5. Why is Russian Empires authoritarianism considered untenable?

    I could agree with this. But I think it's hard to avoid WWI altogether.
  6. Why is Russian Empires authoritarianism considered untenable?

    Even without WWI the political set-up wasn't stable and barely staved off a revolution in 1905.
  7. AHC: A Bearded POTUS after 1950

    Senator Phil Hart?
  8. WI: President Nixon (1961-???)

    Vietnam is the really big question -- but then wasn't Nixon supportive of JFK-LBJ policy before pivoting to Vietnamization when running in '68?
  9. WI: President Nixon (1961-???)

    Nixon is going to support something along the lines of CRA/VRA while making a Rockefeller gesture towards law-and-order if he makes it to two terms. Going "demagogic" isn't really an option, even in his '68/'72 bids he made a clear punch at the center.
  10. What would a Gore Presidency look like?

    Why is no Iraq for certain? Deposing of Saddam somehow was bipartisan consensus and Gore would receive the same intelligence (not to mention played a role in increasingly "warming" the Cold War with Baghdad under Clinton -- it wasn't all "peaceful" sanctions).
  11. How would Bush be remembered if Gore won in 2000 and captured or killed Bin Laden at Tora Bora?

    The thing is too the 9/11 conspiracy was already financed and in operation with people training in the US by Nov. 2000 and the FBI wasn't that even-odds close to figuring out what was going on. I don't think a Gore Presidency would go much differently.
  12. Reagan's "monkeys" comment to Nixon leaked before 1980 campaign

    I don't see it happening because back then there was much more of a public-private distinction on what the media would leak about politicians. But if it did happen it's less about what voters think and more about how GOP apparatchiks would take it (including the substantial pre-Reaganite old...
  13. Ford wins in ‘76. Candidates in ‘80

    I think it defaults to Carey unless Brown avoids his "Moonbeam" turn.
  14. If FDR absolutely wanted, could he have killed or substantially diminished segregation?

    Northern whites didn't really start to budge on support for civil or voting rights until the 1940s, really. That wasn't all due to Game of Thrones from the White House not could it be really.
  15. If FDR absolutely wanted, could he have killed or substantially diminished segregation?

    If he didn't die in 1945, he could have done what Truman did, before and beyond that, no. The social base for desegregation simply doesn't exist beforehand.
  16. Democratic economic policy in a Democratic 1980s

    Tax cuts and deregulation but more on an "economic rationalist" bend, probably a serious attempt at universal health care. Dunno how PATCO would have gone down.
  17. Communist Anglo-Saxon country

    I think Jim Crow renders this impossible in the 20th century, unless the revolutionary wave in Europe from 1917-1923 is way more successful and there's an...idk, communist Eurasia versus capitalist USA war where the latter collapses. But then you've effectively run into a "socialist world" timeline.
  18. Change 1968 and 1970 elections, do the 80s become progressive

    You'd get left-neoliberalism of a sort. It could be a relatively sedate and rationalist Bob Hawke kind, a dramatic shift that poisons the party leadership with the base of the David Lange type, or a forced pivot from the left of the party like Mitterrand.
  19. Impact of 3 one-term presidencies: Bush, Kerry, McCain?

    Obama '12 seems likely to me: both parties will be extensively internally hollowed out by this point.
  20. Reagan vs. Kennedy in 1984

    Other than Reagan overseeing a roaring economy that year, Kennedy's charisma is gonna get overshadowed by his...uh, baggage. "Where's Mary Jo?"
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