Just a mini-map I quickly made, set in the same world as the last one I posted on this thread. Got stumped with the Worlda of the rest of TTL, which at the moment stagnates at half-done. Did manage to cook up a wee bit of lore on the matter of TTL's USA:
1. Best Whig presidential performance since the 1908 presidential election.
2. Third consecutive time the Whigs will lead the under-25 vote, and the first time they will achieve a majority of under-25 votes.
3. Worst performance by the Federalists in the New England region since 2004.
4. The Federalists may also receive their lowest ever share of the (Non-Hispanic) Black vote, though with a narrow majority maintained; conversely this might also mark their highest ever share of the Hispanic-American vote, also a majority.
5. The Democratic-Republicans may gain control of the Senate - with a projected net gain of +5 for a majority of 43 seats out of 80.
6. Prospects for the House of Representatives[5] point to yet another Hung House; the ninth in a row.
7. This may mark the first time the presidential election will have a second round since 2012[6].
8. Likewise, this may also be the first time the President and Vice President elects will belong to different parties since the 2nd Martinez-Livingstone Administration[7]
ABS[1] nationwide opinion poll for the upcoming 2024 Elections
Published on the 17th of April 2024
"Which party do you intend to vote for in the First Round[2] of the 2024 Presidential Election?"
Projected Popular Vote: Federalist - 41%, Democratic-Republican - 39%, - Whig - 18%, Other parties - 4%
Projected Electoral Vote[3]: Federalist - 256, Democratic-Republican - 239, - Whig - 61, Other parties - 9
NO CANDIDATE IS PROJECTED TO WIN MAJORITY OF 283+ ELECTORAL VOTES IN THE FIRST ROUND
Projection for Second Round[4]: Lean Federalist
Assuming the polls hold:Published on the 17th of April 2024
"Which party do you intend to vote for in the First Round[2] of the 2024 Presidential Election?"
Projected Popular Vote: Federalist - 41%, Democratic-Republican - 39%, - Whig - 18%, Other parties - 4%
Projected Electoral Vote[3]: Federalist - 256, Democratic-Republican - 239, - Whig - 61, Other parties - 9
NO CANDIDATE IS PROJECTED TO WIN MAJORITY OF 283+ ELECTORAL VOTES IN THE FIRST ROUND
Projection for Second Round[4]: Lean Federalist
1. Best Whig presidential performance since the 1908 presidential election.
2. Third consecutive time the Whigs will lead the under-25 vote, and the first time they will achieve a majority of under-25 votes.
3. Worst performance by the Federalists in the New England region since 2004.
4. The Federalists may also receive their lowest ever share of the (Non-Hispanic) Black vote, though with a narrow majority maintained; conversely this might also mark their highest ever share of the Hispanic-American vote, also a majority.
5. The Democratic-Republicans may gain control of the Senate - with a projected net gain of +5 for a majority of 43 seats out of 80.
6. Prospects for the House of Representatives[5] point to yet another Hung House; the ninth in a row.
7. This may mark the first time the presidential election will have a second round since 2012[6].
8. Likewise, this may also be the first time the President and Vice President elects will belong to different parties since the 2nd Martinez-Livingstone Administration[7]
[1] The American Broadcasting Service - America's answer to the BBC and the CBS (Canadian Broadcasting Service). Has since eclipsed both to become world's the largest English language public broadcaster.
[2] Runoff/Two-Round voting has been in use in the United States since 1876. The old first past the post system was at the time blamed for the controversies of the 1870 congressional elections, which are often cited as the catalyst for the American Civil War (1870 to 1876).
[3] Per the 1876 Constitution, electoral votes are distributed in accordance to the performance of a presidential candidate within a state. The candidate who leads the popular vote in a state automatically receives the two EVs from the state's senatorial seats. These are counted for purposes of apportionment, meaning that for states with only one House seat, the candidate with the second highest PV share wins the third EV. In the case of the District of Columbia, which does not have any seats in the Senate (due to not being a state) but is entitled to a single seat in the House (per Amendment XXII), the winner of the popular vote in the combined entirety of the district receives the 1 EV from the House Seat. Its second and third electoral votes are awarded to whoever leads the PV in the portion of the district north of the Potomac (DC - Maryland Side) and whoever leads the PV in the portion of the district south of the Potomac (DC - Virginian Side).
[4] Also per the 1876 Constitution: The declared running mate of a presidential candidate who wins in the first round automatically becomes Vice President. Should no candidate hold an electoral majority, the two candidates with the most electoral votes advance to a second round. The winner of the second round becomes President, the loser becoming the Vice-President. Any unlikely ties that arise are broken first in favour of the candidate who led in more states, and if persistent in favour of the candidate with more popular votes. This replaced the prior system wherein the runner-up of the electoral vote automatically became Vice President if first place received a majority, with the contingent congressional elections in event of no majority abolished in light of their redundancy.
[5] Currently contains 483 seats. Under the "Vermont Rule", the constituent to representative ratio is to be determined by the population of the least populous state in the Union. This is where the first 482 representatives come from, with the 483rd being the single representative the District of Columbia is entitled to under the 22nd Amendment.
[6] When incumbent President Newton Livingstone Jr. (DR-VA) lost re-election to then-incumbent Vice-President (and his predecessor in the Presidency) Richard Martinez (F-TX). Livingstone had previously served as Martinez's VP during the latter's first administration as a result of losing in the second round of the 2004 election. He went on to unseat him as Democratic-Republican nominee in 2008, but had to take him on as Vice-President due to the election once again going into a second round, effectively swapping positions. With 2012 becoming the third election in a row to necessitate a second round, Livingstone re-assumed his old role as Martinez's Vice President.
[7] March 4th 2013 to March 4th 2017. Having served two complete terms, President Martinez was ineligible to run again for office in 2016. Becoming D-R nominee for the fourth consecutive time, Livingstone won back the Presidency - this time with a comfortable first round majority of 317 EVs out of 551.
[2] Runoff/Two-Round voting has been in use in the United States since 1876. The old first past the post system was at the time blamed for the controversies of the 1870 congressional elections, which are often cited as the catalyst for the American Civil War (1870 to 1876).
[3] Per the 1876 Constitution, electoral votes are distributed in accordance to the performance of a presidential candidate within a state. The candidate who leads the popular vote in a state automatically receives the two EVs from the state's senatorial seats. These are counted for purposes of apportionment, meaning that for states with only one House seat, the candidate with the second highest PV share wins the third EV. In the case of the District of Columbia, which does not have any seats in the Senate (due to not being a state) but is entitled to a single seat in the House (per Amendment XXII), the winner of the popular vote in the combined entirety of the district receives the 1 EV from the House Seat. Its second and third electoral votes are awarded to whoever leads the PV in the portion of the district north of the Potomac (DC - Maryland Side) and whoever leads the PV in the portion of the district south of the Potomac (DC - Virginian Side).
[4] Also per the 1876 Constitution: The declared running mate of a presidential candidate who wins in the first round automatically becomes Vice President. Should no candidate hold an electoral majority, the two candidates with the most electoral votes advance to a second round. The winner of the second round becomes President, the loser becoming the Vice-President. Any unlikely ties that arise are broken first in favour of the candidate who led in more states, and if persistent in favour of the candidate with more popular votes. This replaced the prior system wherein the runner-up of the electoral vote automatically became Vice President if first place received a majority, with the contingent congressional elections in event of no majority abolished in light of their redundancy.
[5] Currently contains 483 seats. Under the "Vermont Rule", the constituent to representative ratio is to be determined by the population of the least populous state in the Union. This is where the first 482 representatives come from, with the 483rd being the single representative the District of Columbia is entitled to under the 22nd Amendment.
[6] When incumbent President Newton Livingstone Jr. (DR-VA) lost re-election to then-incumbent Vice-President (and his predecessor in the Presidency) Richard Martinez (F-TX). Livingstone had previously served as Martinez's VP during the latter's first administration as a result of losing in the second round of the 2004 election. He went on to unseat him as Democratic-Republican nominee in 2008, but had to take him on as Vice-President due to the election once again going into a second round, effectively swapping positions. With 2012 becoming the third election in a row to necessitate a second round, Livingstone re-assumed his old role as Martinez's Vice President.
[7] March 4th 2013 to March 4th 2017. Having served two complete terms, President Martinez was ineligible to run again for office in 2016. Becoming D-R nominee for the fourth consecutive time, Livingstone won back the Presidency - this time with a comfortable first round majority of 317 EVs out of 551.
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