No Naval Treaties 1922/30/36? Consequences & build your own navy fleet.

Would any government pre-Cold War have considered the Soviets as a potential naval "sleeping giant"
Probably not but the threat, apart from fomenting world wide revolution by workers, the SU threatens Europe, China and India by land making it most people's problem.
 
Might the US (or the RN?) put some money into fleet tankers or other auxiliaries? I'm thinking partial subsidy, with the wartime right-of-navy-use caveat.
Unlikely RN had bases everywhere and US had a large section of its electorate who did not want to fund expeditionary stuff, if they are buying more warship they will if anything be even more short for money.
The WNT had the effect of making Super Dreadnoughts 13.5"/14" viable longer. This isn't the case. In particular, as pointed out the 13.5" ships need to be refitted. Their engines are direct drive, boilers are coal fired, they are not bulged, are lighter gunned than peers (10-13.5" vs 12-14") and optimised for the North Sea. It makes perfect sense to replace these with N3 and perhaps a follow on class depending if the US continues on slow BB or moves to a fast Battleship. After the G3 and N3 we are talking mid-late 1920's when even the Iron Dukes should be up for disposal, especially if expensive refits are skipped.

By this stage the RN are really stuck for potential foes. Treasury wont accept the US as a potential adversary and Japan is in alliance leaving French or Italian navies as the bogey-man. Swapping 2 25,000 ton old ships for a new built 50,000 ton one is a really good deal IF the RN can make a convincing enough pitch.
Yes the 13.5"RN/14"USN/IJN are no longer viable against the major navies but against minor navies especially for RN against the Europeans ie France & Italians who are likely to still have the OTL ships due to funding from after WW1, a 13.5" ship will still be very useful against French 4x305/3x340mm or the Italian 5x 12" ships that make up the bulk of the European fleets until the late 30s? (not sure if France would build say one of Béarn or another ship in class etc as a BB using the material they had made so far for entire class without WNT for 1 extra ship, but it don't really matter)

I agree RN and others would skip refit, but I doubt they would be disposed they would just be tied up in forgotten rivers for the next 10-20 years like RN did pre WW1 and USN did post WW2 for very little money, and they are still far better than HMS Jervis Bay or HMS Rawalpindi..... even if they might still die like the WW1 old ships did.
 
Italy is a mess, in the immediate - it's just bled dry by WW1, and OTL they had put all naval construction on hold before the treaty even existed. Up to 1925 nothing changes significantly, I expect - maybe the Caracciolo isn't actually scrapped, but it sure isn't getting completed.
Afterwards, things can get a bit better. Maybe the Caracciolo is completed as carrier (as had been planned), which is going to be a general boon for the RM - Italy was a pioneer in air warfare, by this point, so naval aviation might get a reasonable push from that. The real issue is Mussolini, because Fascist governments always have a fantastic hard-on for battleships: even Japan balanced Pearl Harbor with building Yamato and Musashi. But if, just if, that can be avoided, Italy could go in OTL Japan's footsteps for much of the same reasons: carriers are cost-effective, battleships are very much not, and Italy needs cost-effective stuff in order to remain competitive.
Another butterfly is (sadly) no Zaras as we know them - the whole reason for building them doesn't exist. Might get uparmored Trentos at some point, but they won't fight Wichita for best-armored CAs of WW2.
 
What’s the WTRE?
A project by a bunch of online serious naval nuts to roleplay the Washington Treaty negotiations to see if they could learn anything. It has to be 15 years old now. There is a huge word doc overview floating around but goodness knows what happened to the role play. One of the things that came out of it was the discovery/popularising that the UK could afford the G3s on the budget settings of the day.

Unlikely RN had bases everywhere and US had a large section of its electorate who did not want to fund expeditionary stuff, if they are buying more warship they will if anything be even more short for money.

Yes the 13.5"RN/14"USN/IJN are no longer viable against the major navies but against minor navies especially for RN against the Europeans ie France & Italians who are likely to still have the OTL ships due to funding from after WW1, a 13.5" ship will still be very useful against French 4x305/3x340mm or the Italian 5x 12" ships that make up the bulk of the European fleets until the late 30s? (not sure if France would build say one of Béarn or another ship in class etc as a BB using the material they had made so far for entire class without WNT for 1 extra ship, but it don't really matter)

I agree RN and others would skip refit, but I doubt they would be disposed they would just be tied up in forgotten rivers for the next 10-20 years like RN did pre WW1 and USN did post WW2 for very little money, and they are still far better than HMS Jervis Bay or HMS Rawalpindi..... even if they might still die like the WW1 old ships did.
I can't but think of the French old battleships in WW2. Absolute death traps.

I think we need to remember the role of a battle cruiser. Tootle half way around the world at 20 knt. Catch and smash the weaker opposition, then be back home in time for kippers. It is not hard to imagine a G3 in this role. Use their speed to base out of swing points like Gibraltar. Brutalise the older Italian ships, then back to the Rock.

For a 13.5" battleship to do the role they need multiple ships The lack of speed means they need to be closer to Italy. This meanins more 13.5" battleships at Gibraltar for the same coverage. So much for the crew savings. You can begin to see how one G3 replaces four battleships. This goes back to Jackie Fisher, Dreadnought, and Invincible. Speed is more than a tactical power. It is a strategic power.

Of course if someone is willing to pay the bill they can have super ships too. That is why N3s exist. But that is an expensive game and only a few nations can play it.
 
I can't but think of the French old battleships in WW2. Absolute death traps.

I think we need to remember the role of a battle cruiser. Tootle half way around the world at 20 knt. Catch and smash the weaker opposition, then be back home in time for kippers. It is not hard to imagine a G3 in this role. Use their speed to base out of swing points like Gibraltar. Brutalise the older Italian ships, then back to the Rock.

For a 13.5" battleship to do the role they need multiple ships The lack of speed means they need to be closer to Italy. This meanins more 13.5" battleships at Gibraltar for the same coverage. So much for the crew savings. You can begin to see how one G3 replaces four battleships. This goes back to Jackie Fisher, Dreadnought, and Invincible. Speed is more than a tactical power. It is a strategic power.

Of course if someone is willing to pay the bill they can have super ships too. That is why N3s exist. But that is an expensive game and only a few nations can play it.
Yes this is all true, but keeping the 13.5" ships in a river for next to nothing means that if you need to send the G3s (and N3s) to the far east to fight IJN you can reactivate the 13.5" to guard UK otherwise you are stuck in OTL situation that you can't realistically send a sufficient force east.
 
I know this will be shouted down but here goes:-
In 1918 at the armistice the RN realise that the Hawkins class cruiser is not what it really needs, so the construction of the unlaunched three are suspended on the slips.
In 1919 it is decided to use the three sets of boilers and turbines from these ships to re-engine and boiler the Three surviving "cats", Lion , Princess Royal and Tiger. This not only rejuvenates them but also reduces their crew numbers for peace time deployment. With oil tanks replacing bunkers their torpedo protection is somewhat improved as well.
whether later they all get Kongo type rebuilds is another matter.
Lion and Princess Royal could possibly loose their Q turrets, so that they can get more deck armour thus making them similar in profile to the two R class battle cruisers.
The KGV's 14" gun was IIRC designed to fit on the slides of the existing 13.5" mount so if they were to be fully rebuilt later they could perhaps be up gunned at the same time.
Imagine force Z with Repulse, Renown, Lion, Princess Royal and Tiger plus a couple of Ark Royal class carriers, Dream on!!
 
I know this will be shouted down but here goes:-
In 1918 at the armistice the RN realise that the Hawkins class cruiser is not what it really needs, so the construction of the unlaunched three are suspended on the slips.
In 1919 it is decided to use the three sets of boilers and turbines from these ships to re-engine and boiler the Three surviving "cats", Lion , Princess Royal and Tiger. This not only rejuvenates them but also reduces their crew numbers for peace time deployment. With oil tanks replacing bunkers their torpedo protection is somewhat improved as well.
whether later they all get Kongo type rebuilds is another matter.
Lion and Princess Royal could possibly loose their Q turrets, so that they can get more deck armour thus making them similar in profile to the two R class battle cruisers.
The KGV's 14" gun was IIRC designed to fit on the slides of the existing 13.5" mount so if they were to be fully rebuilt later they could perhaps be up gunned at the same time.
Imagine force Z with Repulse, Renown, Lion, Princess Royal and Tiger plus a couple of Ark Royal class carriers, Dream on!!
Why would you want to cut the Hawkins class cruiser without total hindsight of WNT? They are by far the best existing cruisers existing until the post WNT building rush?

If you have hindsight do you anyway not just finish them with easier to use 6" guns (say hold a test on the 7.5" idea on an existing CL and find them to had to hand load and then fit twin 6" open mounts for better arcs as well) so they can count as CLs for 1LNT......?

If you can keep Lion, Princess Royal and Tiger and afford to rebuild them why not just build something new and better? I mean why not complete the 3 admirals semi sisters of Hood ships, Anson, Howe & Rodney? USN gets another Colorado USS Washington (BB-47) at WNT maybe and IJN would want one, but that would then be start issue with ratios...?
 
I know this will be shouted down but here goes:-
In 1918 at the armistice the RN realise that the Hawkins class cruiser is not what it really needs, so the construction of the unlaunched three are suspended on the slips.
In 1919 it is decided to use the three sets of boilers and turbines from these ships to re-engine and boiler the Three surviving "cats", Lion , Princess Royal and Tiger. This not only rejuvenates them but also reduces their crew numbers for peace time deployment. With oil tanks replacing bunkers their torpedo protection is somewhat improved as well.
whether later they all get Kongo type rebuilds is another matter.
Lion and Princess Royal could possibly loose their Q turrets, so that they can get more deck armour thus making them similar in profile to the two R class battle cruisers.
The KGV's 14" gun was IIRC designed to fit on the slides of the existing 13.5" mount so if they were to be fully rebuilt later they could perhaps be up gunned at the same time.
Imagine force Z with Repulse, Renown, Lion, Princess Royal and Tiger plus a couple of Ark Royal class carriers, Dream on!!
To be fair, with all these butterflies would that Task Force and combat situation even happen as OTL?
 
I carriers are cost-effective, battleships are very much not,

What costs are you using for carriers? The RN's official accounting was that even in peacetime, when aircraft lasted for five years, a 23,000 ton carrier cost about 125% as much as a 35,000 ton battleship to own and run on an annualised basis.

In wartime you're looking at closer to five weeks lifetime for each carrier aircraft, which ramps up costs enormously when you allow for keeping 300-400% back-up of aircraft and aircrew in the supply chain at all times to replace wastage.
 
What costs are you using for carriers? The RN's official accounting was that even in peacetime, when aircraft lasted for five years, a 23,000 ton carrier cost about 125% as much as a 35,000 ton battleship to own and run on an annualised basis.

In wartime you're looking at closer to five weeks lifetime for each carrier aircraft, which ramps up costs enormously when you allow for keeping 300-400% back-up of aircraft and aircrew in the supply chain at all times to replace wastage.
And how useful was that 35k tons battleship, compared to the carrier? I say this as an absolute fan of battleships who thinks that they were killed some 20 years too early by the poor showing of Japanese AA: if you need to wring the most use out of a capital ship, carriers were the way to go from at least mid-WW2. Still think battleships were the go-to for ship-to-ship fights, ideally! But a navy isn't made only for ship-to-ship fights.
 
Why cancel the three unfinished Hawkin's class? because come the cessation of hostilities it becomes clear to the Admiralty that the threat of large German cruisers that the Hawkins had been designed to counter had and would now never exist.
As to Force Z, one can but dream.
 
Why cancel the three unfinished Hawkin's class? because come the cessation of hostilities it becomes clear to the Admiralty that the threat of large German cruisers that the Hawkins had been designed to counter had and would now never exist.
As to Force Z, one can but dream.
At the same time, though, the Royal Navy is facing block obsolescence of its cruiser fleet and really can’t afford to let go of three fast, modern, well-armed ships. This especially when everyone and their mother was circling toward building 8” cruisers in numbers.
 
Why cancel the three unfinished Hawkin's class? because come the cessation of hostilities it becomes clear to the Admiralty that the threat of large German cruisers that the Hawkins had been designed to counter had and would now never exist.
And at the same point the British now need cruisers for cruising, rather than scouting in the North Sea. The wartime C&D class are awfully cramped, while the Hawkins class are not and thus better suited for long duration cruisers to maintain the Empire. The Hawkins being larger also have vastly better upgrade potential than any existing cruiser class

Yes the ideal solution is a 7-8000 ton newbuild vessel, but the Hawkins have already been laid down and money spent on them. You can complete three of them for less than the cost of 3 newbuild 7000 ton 6" cruisers
 
At the same time, though, the Royal Navy is facing block obsolescence of its cruiser fleet and really can’t afford to let go of three fast, modern, well-armed ships. This especially when everyone and their mother was circling toward building 8” cruisers in numbers.
Would everybody build 8" without the Hawkins? Everybody wanted them but if say the Hawkins had gone for 10x 6" guns in open twins on centre line with side guns cut to save weight or replaced by AA 4" and make more room for aircraft? Would anybody want to push past 6" at WNT (maybe the wrong thread...)?
 
Would everybody build 8" without the Hawkins? Everybody wanted them but if say the Hawkins had gone for 10x 6" guns in open twins on centre line with side guns cut to save weight or replaced by AA 4" and make more room for aircraft? Would anybody want to push past 6" at WNT (maybe the wrong thread...)?
Yes. The Furutakas were a response to the Omahas, and had 8” guns. The French were almost certainly going to go for that to match German Versailles-compliant ships. And if Japan and France are going to 8” guns, the US and Italy are going to match.
 
The proto-Pensacolas are bigger with more 8". The Pacific powers were always the drivers behind the 8" cruiser.

Also centreline 6" are not a given at this point. Director fire is brand new.
 
And how useful was that 35k tons battleship, compared to the carrier? I say this as an absolute fan of battleships who thinks that they were killed some 20 years too early by the poor showing of Japanese AA: if you need to wring the most use out of a capital ship, carriers were the way to go from at least mid-WW2. Still think battleships were the go-to for ship-to-ship fights, ideally! But a navy isn't made only for ship-to-ship fights.

As someone who isn't a battleship fan, I'd say that history shows that battleships were very useful in the Med and therefore you need some of them. I read your post as inferring that the Italians should have had a carrier-heavy navy which doesn't seem optimum to me. If you meant a "balanced" fleet then I'd agree with you.

I'd be concerned because in the Med any carrier has the problem that it's likely to be within range of an overwhelming amount of shore-based air and therefore its aircraft must be fighting against heavy odds. At least with a battleship against aircraft it's an assymetric battle and one that they weren't as bad at as is often claimed.

The other thing is that a carrier isn't cost effective if you can't afford one of economical size. I think I've messed around with the RN figures and it seems as if a carrier with jut 36 aircraft will cost about twice as much as a 35,000 ton battleship in wartime and that's a low-end estimate. Once you've allowed for CAP and strike escort fighters and recee aircraft you'll be sending strikes of maybe 8 planes at the Brits per carrier, and given how much carriers cost the Italians couldn't have many of them. History shows that such small strikes are often completely ineffective.

In the battle of Crete, for example, even against the Luftwaffe the old battleships were arguably more useful than the shiny new carrier. For some time the battlewagons formed the basis for the fleet at sea and it actually didn't do too badly while the big ships were there. The carrier, in contrast, didn't do much and was quickly knocked out. Obviously the Med. carriers were vital a lot of the time but that was as part of small balanced fleets rather than as carrier-heavy ones.

I'm not arguing against a balanced fleet or a "fighter carrier" for the Italians; both would have been excellent IMHO. A small but fast fighter carrier could have protected the Italian fleet and given it much better recce, without spurring the Brits to put more resources into carriers. But I just can't see that a carrier-heavy fleet (if that was what you were advocating) was going to be a practical thing to create in the late '30s when the simple physics indicated that your carriers would have no chance to launch fighters once an incoming strike was detected, that you wouldn't be fighting the British, and that the French bomber "would always get through".
 
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I understand it's tangential at best, but could you please send me the doc(s) in PM or post them here for future reference? I can't seem to be able to find a working link.
Attached. Sorry about the zip. The boards don't allow doc, but the allow zip?
 

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