MotM 1: In the Course of Human Events

Krall

Banned
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The Challenge
Make a map showing a successful independence movement.

The Restrictions
There are no restrictions on when your PoD or map may be set. Future maps are allowed, but blatantly implausible (ASB) maps are not.

What constitutes "success" is open to interpretation, but at the very least the independence movement must have a separate, functioning government that controls some territory.

If you're not sure whether your idea meets the criteria of this challenge, please feel free to PM me.

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The entry period for this round shall end on Saturday the 27th of July.

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THIS THREAD IS FOR ENTRIES ONLY.

Any discussion must take place in the main thread. If you post anything other than a map entry (or a description accompanying a map entry) in this thread then you will be asked to delete the post. If you refuse to delete the post, post something that is clearly disruptive or malicious, or post spam then you may be disqualified from entering in this round of MotF and you may be reported to the board's moderators.


Remember to vote on the previous round of MotF!

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In the hope of being the only entry and winning by default :)cool:), I've completed my map.

I went for a sort of encyclopædia-style; I'm not entirely pleased with the result, but it's good to try new and artistic things when map-making. The idea is that this depicts the state of Biafra some (indefinite) time after gaining independence following a prolonged Nigerian Civil War. The western portion of the Niger Delta, which in OTL was captured early on in the war by the Nigerian army, was not recaptured by Biafra, and so the peace accords held at Praia, Cape Verde, resulted in an independent Biafra without the western Niger Delta.

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A poor map, and an old idea. Just want to throw my hat into the ring. The premise is that the British negotiate their way out of the American Revolution before it happens. The colonies become 'Shires' within Great Britain, and various tribes are given some measure of autonomy, though some are interfered with more to some degree or another. In the 1830s, slavery is abolished and the southern colonies rise in rebellion. At the rebellion's height, much of the Ohio Country was in danger of being pulled away, as were the Caribbean colonies. The Navy managed to squash the rebellion in the Caribbean, and the Seminoles helped put down the rebellion in Florida. French intervention saved the new 'United States of America' at the 11th hour, and a severe dint has been knocked in Britannia's imperial armour.

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The rebirth of Arab nationalism in the late 2030s had a side-effect: a revival of Kurdish nationalism. In 2040 the Kurdish Spring began, and before the decade would even be halfway out, there would be a united Kurdish republic in the Middle East.

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Independence of Catalonia and the Basque Country.

Late 2014 - Advanced elections; Spanish govt. breaks down due weak economic recovery. By the end of the year, unemployment has dropped below 20%, after having peaked at 26% in early 2013. Nevertheless, the unemployment reduction is virtually nil, and the yearly economic growth still falls below 0.5%

2015 - Unemployment goes below 19%. the economic growth at 0.6%.
The Popular Party finishes its internal struggle with the exit of the major libertarian and conservative figureheads to create a new party: UpE (Unidos por España).

2016 - Unemployment remains between 18-19%. Economic growth gave a respite with almost 1%. Inflation reaches 3%.

After being delayed several times, the ruling parties in Catalonia, CiU and ERC, organize a consultive referedum about a hypothetical independence of Catalonia. The PSC supports it in the Catalonian parliament, which forces the PSOE govt. to legalize it.

With a turnout of 35% of the voters:
33% support independence and EU integration
10% support independence out of the EU
26% support a federation to Spain with explicit recognition of the self-determination
1% supports statu quo and
30% supports the disolution of the Catalonia into a centralist Spanish state.


2017 - Unemployment remains stable between 18-19%. Economic growth stunts again, and reduces to 0.7%. As the inflation reaches 4%, Spain is agreed to have fallen into stagflation. The crown's prestige hits a new low when evidence appears of members of the royal family having profited 20 years earlier from illegal arm trading.

The PNV follows the Catalonian example and organizes a referendum with the same choices. With a turnout of 60%, the results are:
45% support independence and EU integration
7% support independence out of the EU
5% support a federation to Spain with explicit recognition of the self-determination
25% supports statu quo and
18% supports the disolution of the Basque Country into a centralist Spanish state.
Nevertheless, the results vary wildly between Alava (that supports majoritarily statu quo and centralism) and Vizcaya and Guipuzcoa, that support majoritarily the Basque sovereignty.

2018 - Unemployment oscillates between 16-17%. Economic growth of 1.1%. Inflation of 5%: Spain remains in stagflation, and the neokeynesian measures of the PSOE are acknowldeged by the govt. to have failed. Nevertheless, neither PP nor UpE manage to capture the social disenchantment due to their mutual attacks, and PSOE wins another term.
The prince Felipe is discovered to have had an extramarital affair and his wife divorces him.

2019 - PSOE govt. begins the talks with the leaders of the nationalist parties, to organize 3 bonding referenda: change of the Spanish Constitution into a Federal Republic, independence for Catalonia (province by province) and independence for the Basque Country (province by province).
All three referenda are approved in their respective circunscriptions, and the Courts are dissolved and convene into a Constitutive Assembly.

2020 - The new constitution is approved by the Constitutive Assembly and then by popular referendum. This constitution included provisions for the independency of Catalonia and the Basque Country, which are immediately enacted, requiring new referenda in those regions. Catalonia votes for independency (62% yes, 35% no, 3% blank or non-valid), Guipuzcoa and Vizcaya too (71% yes, 2% no, 27% blank or non-valid), but Alava votes to stay in Spain (21% yes, 73% no, 6% blank or non-valid).

2021 - 3 states are now where two years before only Spain existed:

-Republica Federal Española (RFE): Formed by the states of Madrid, Galicia, Andalucia, Navarra-Alava, Valencia, Baleares and Canarias, and the Autonomies of Asturias, Cantabria, La Rioja, Leon, Old Castille, New Castille, Extremadura, Aragon, Catalunya Occidental (special statute) and Murcia. States have a higher degree of autonomy than the autonomies during the previous monarchic period, while Autonomies have returned the organization of Healthcare and Education to the Federal govt. The states of Andalucia, Navarra-Alava and Valencia are themselves composed by Autonomies.

-Catalunya: Formed by the former Autonomy of Catalonia, it has extended a permanent invitation to join them to: Cerdaña (France), Andorra (indep.), Catalunya Occidental, Valencia and Baleares (RFE) while explicitly stating that this invitation should not be understood as irredentism. There are 2 "special linguistic areas": Barcelona Metropolitan Area, where Spanish language shall have special protected status, and Val d'Aran, where the Provenzal Aranes dialect will enjoy that status too.

-Euskal-Herria: Formed by the former Spanish provinces of Vizcaya and Guipuzcoa, following the Catalonian constitutional wording, has extended a permanent invitation to join them to the state of Navarra-Alava (RFE) and Iparralde (France).

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‘Confederazione, costituzione e libertà’​

In 1848 the oppressed nations of Europe rose up against the reactionary internationalist order of Metternich and the nobles and privileged ones. In Italy where the population held liberal and “even” democratic very much since the Napoleonic era, the Concert of Europe had imposed an Austrian-dominated order in which many petty kings and dukes ruled autocratically, their thrones safely guarded by the pervasive and effective threat of Austrian intervention and safeguarding of the status quo. Prior to the revolutions and the Risorgimento, Italy was divided into eight states, one of them, the Kingdom of Lombardy-Venetia little more than a puppet of the Habsburg rulers in Vienna.

But the 1848 Revolutions changed all that. 1848 was probably the last time that Western Europe would suffer a crisis of the pre-capitalistic economic order: a bad harvest resulting in widespread hunger. At the same time a capitalistic crisis took place. The worst of both worlds had combined and menaced the livelihood of the European proletariat, whom inflamed by their poverty and their repressive environment finally rose against the establishment.

Events spread quickly from Paris, where the Orleans monarchs were deposed just 18 years after being crowned after another Parisian revolution. It took place in February. By March, Italy, Austria and Germany were already undergoing revolts and social upheaval. Soon, many rulers would grant moderate constitutions, such as the Statuto Albertino in Sardinia. But that was not enough as the desire for a united Italy was too strong.

The unification began, as things usually do, in Milano, where on March 19th, the population rose against the Austrian rule and requested help from King Charles Albert of Sardinia, known for his liberal sympathies. He would declare war on Austria on the 23rd, crossing the Ticino. After a string of defeats, the large army of the Austrians fortified their positions in their stronghold, the quadrilatero, a series of forts in the area formed by the four cities of Verona, Legnano, Mantua and Peschiera. There they waited for Charles Albert to approach.

Meanwhile further south, the population rose against the liberal-turned-reactionary Pope Pius XI, who fled Rome to the safety of the Neapolitan fortress of Gaeta. Meanwhile, a republic was declared in Rome, the Repubblica Romana, a radical (ie. Democratic) regime governed by a triumvirate, the base for future republican governments in Italy.

And even further south, in the island of Sicily, the population rose against the Neapolitan king, Ferdinand II and establishing their own rule under the pretext of the restoration of traditional rights. But Sicily, largely agrarian and without proper defence mechanisms to defend themselves and having just expelled the Neapolitans from Messina at a high price approached Ferdinand, the second son of the Savoyard king Charles Albert to be their king. He accepted and soon he would reach Salerno, the capital of the new Savoyard kingdom.

After he was given faulty information, the Savoyard army marched to the quadrilatero, where after several weeks of siege, they were defeated in the battle of Custoza, forcing the Savoyards to sign an armistice with Austria, but it was not to be for too long.

By 1849, as the situation in Hungary was so bad that some forces from the Austrian army had to be sent from the quadrilatero to defend Vienna and join other forces, the reduced Austrian army was therefore an easy prey for the now bigger, if not as professional, new army of Charles Albert, which thanks to the support of several thousand Italian volunteers would win a very narrow conflict.

However, the Austrian troops were able to retreat more or less in an orderly manner and were able to regroup in Venetia, where, the St. Mark Republic survived, although not for long as thanks to the reinforcements from Slav troops and some Hungarians (the revolt there had been handled for now) Venice would fall.

In Rome, the treacherous Emperor-President Louis-Napoleon Bonaparte attacked the Republic, although thanks to the vigour of Garibaldi and his troops, they would be repelled, although at a great cost. The Sicilian new state also seemed to be slowly growing in strength, although their conflict with Naples would not be over until 1850, when Britain brokered an uneasy peace.

In September 1849, Charles Albert would sign a treaty with Austria marking the border of the Northern Italian Kingdom (the union of Sardinia and Lombardy) in the Adige, that way giving the kingdom access to the Adriatic Sea and controlling the quadrilatero for strategic purposes. Charles Albert would frm that moment onward be called the ‘Shield of Italy’ as his was the only Italian state to border Austria and hence it fell upon him the task of defending Italy from future attacks.

In November, hundreds of delegates from the Savoyard kingdom, the Tuscan Republic, the Roman Republic and from Sicily (although as observers) met in Rome to discuss the formation of the Italian Confederation. The Confederation was structured following a loose federal model, with the central state having very limited powers, even in military matters while headed by two consuls.

But the new Italy, lacking Venetia and Naples was too small and many liberals, radicals and proto-socialists in these states felt that it was not enough. Indeed, for them the Italian Confederation, despite its internal troubles was the liberal and democratic alternative to the autocratic rule of the Austrians in Venice and the Bourbons in Naples. Therefore the situation was not stable and indeed, as the Austrian Empire was on the brink of collapse by 1852.

Then in 1853 the conflict erupted in Venice when a group of naval dockworkers carrying red and Italian flags while in strike were shot by the local garrison, mostly manned by Hungarian and Slavic troops, widely hated in the city and killing 6 men and injuring another fifteen.

This was the spark. In a matter of hours, as the message spread through the city and the adjacent countryside, the population took whatever arms and wearing tricolour cockades, people marched singing Italian songs towards the city’s government buildings and particularly the garrisons, where the few Italian troops switched sides and joined the mob.

The city’s government, unwilling to fight, gave in to the Italian city councillors and a new Venetian Republic was created, knowing that, even in weakness, the Austrians were still a force to be reckoned, the Venetians asked for help from their fellow Italians and Charles Albert decided to intervene, feeling the opportunity to increase his importance and that of his domains within Italy.

Soon, the Italian forces, organized into three armies, the Legio I Sapaudiana and the Legio II Toscana and the Legio III Romana, although the Legio II and III cooperate closely and worked as a single force marched eastwards and northwards towards Venice, where the uprising had already spread to the Italian port of Fiume and where the Italian minorities in Istria had already risen up, to the displeasure of the local German nobility and the Slavic peasantry or in the snowy regions of the Italian Tyrol.

The nationalist agitation spread south to Naples, where Ferdinand responded the only way he knew, by crushing opposition. Indeed, as a result of the upheaval, he decided to invade the Roman Republic, also due to the influence of the Pope from Gaeta, who desired to return to Rome. And although he was successful, the invasion would cause his eventual downfall.

In the weeks following the crossing of the Adige in June 1853, the Austrian troops were defeated by the Italians time after time and indeed, they advanced quickly towards Trent and to liberate the sieged city of Trieste. But these quick advances were not enough, and indeed by November as the campaign halted due to the freezing winter, large areas of Venice and Friuli were still controlled by the Austrians, who were being helped by the local Slavic peasants, who feared the possibility of an Italian state imposing its language and culture upon them.

In the northern front, the North Italians and Toscan and Venetian volunteers fought against the Austrians until the treaty of Prague was signed later on 1854, in which, as a result of the massive Second Hungarian Independence War and the invasion from Germany, the empire disbanded. Tyrol, however, would belong to Germany, rather than Italy, creating a room for future conflict between the two liberal states of Germany and Italy.

Meanwhile, in southern Italy, the "Garibaldian" troops, recruited throughout the Confederation and quickly trained by Garibaldi and his troops of revolutionaries. The invasion was quick and the legionnaires were split into two bodies, the first, would siege Gaeta and drive the Pope out, which failed. While the main army marched towards Naples, a task in which they were successful, however even after taking the city, Ferdinand did not surrender and indeed, Garibaldi pursued him until the climax in the battle of Taranto, in which, the Savoyard troops of Vittorio Emmanuele joined with Garibaldi's to finally defeat the reactionary king. And yet, for a time, most of the Neapolitan countryside remained loyal to the vacant Bourbon throne. Naples would, thanks to the influence of Vittorio Emmanuele become the second monarchy (as Sicily would not join until later that decade) in the Confederation, and liberal Louis, Count of Aquila and younger brother of Ferdinand II, would become the new King of Naples.

The Map

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Well, I've found myself saddled with a lot of other things, and this isn't exactly what I was going for, but it's not going to get any better.


Briefing to Her Majesties Government from the Foreign and Commonwealth Office regarding the recent developments in the renewed Ambazonian conflict, March 28th 1986

Background information for the current conflict
The routes of the current conflict stretch back to the independence of Cameroon in 1960, and the position at that point of the former British Cameroons where, on the advice of Sir Andrew Cohen, our representative to the UN trusteeship council at the time, a referendum was held in 1961 on whether British Cameroons should join with Nigeria or with French Cameroon. While the, Muslim majority, north voted to join Nigeria, the Christian majority south voted for union with Cameroon, forming a localised Anglophone minority in the otherwise francophone country. This territory, marked in black on the accompanying map, corresponds to the claimed borders of the Ambazonian Free Army (AFA) and the government of the self-proclaimed Republic of Ambazonia, known also as South Cameroons or West Cameroon (Cameroun Occidental).
Initially, president Ahidjo, a Muslim from the north of Cameroun, was respectful of the autonomy of the Anglophone community, but following the rebellion of the ‘Union of the Peoples of Cameroon’ group, he created a new constitution that established a unitary state. Since that point the Anglophone community of Cameroon has grown increasingly concerned about being shut out of government and the increasingly exclusive dialogue of ruling Cameroon National Union Party, with several political organisations dedicated to striving to gain independence for the region forming in the 70s, initially peaceful, but with the formation of the AFA upon Ahidjo’s stepping down in favour of fellow muslim Maigari Bello Bouba in 1979, the conflict began to turn violent, eventally erupting into a full war in late 1980. This ended a year later by UN ceasefire with the AFA in effective control of most of their claimed territory, a civilian government forming with the capital at Buea and headed by the political wing of the AFA- the Ambazonian Nationalist Party (ANP).
We suspect that Yaoundé’s reopening of the conflict at the present juncture represents an attempt by the Bouba government to stive off opposition from Paul Biya and others from the largely Catholic south of the country. Fighting began 2 weeks ago, and since then the AFA have been forced to fall back, with Buea being cut off from the rest of the controlled territory. Nigeria, however, has now become involved in the conflict beyond simply supplying the AFA, and have invaded the northern part of Cameroon and sent some troops into Ambazonia- though relations remain tense due to Nigeria’s seizure of the Bakassi peninsular in the last conflict.
Disposition of Forces
Our intelligence indicates that the AFA’s major military positions at the current time, highlighted in Green on the map, are at Aboa, Bamenda, Batomo, Esu, Fontem, Lobe, Nkambe and Debundscha, the latter of which is currently severely threatened by Cameroonian advances. There is also some presence at the settlement of Mayo Darlé in Cameroonian territory. They are currently advancing on Foumban and other border areas in what is suspected to be a move to draw off troops from the advances in Ambazonia.
Nigeria’s invasion, the approximate front line of which is highlighted in blue, appears to be well supplied, and it is likely to continue to gain ground. Based on our contacts in Calabar, Makurdi and Yola there is organisation and supplies enough stockpiled for a 3 month operation on the current levels.
Cameroon’s troops appear to be in disarray. While advances in the Buea area are continuing, The Ekokum salient is expected to collapse soon as troops withdraw to Kumba. Our contacts in Douala, Nkongsamba and Youndé report great disquiet and concern among military leaders, and it is viewed as likely that Cameroon will be forced to fall back further.
Recommendations on Policy
It is recommended that the current non-interventionist policy be continued, and that Her Majesty’s government continues the current attempts to establish a new ceasefire both through international and local channels. It is thought, however, that the Nigerian intervention will tip the scales in favour of Ambazonia, and that it may well serve the nation’s interests to recognise the independence of the Republic after this war is finished. It is considered highly unlikely that Cameroon will be able to end the 5 year existence of the independent republic at present.
 
Al Qaluza

In the early 1600s, the Kingdom of Morocco does a good job consolidating its authority. Due to butterflies, the 30 years war is delayed until 1675 (and is 26 years long). Morocco joins with France, and is able to take Granada and Andalucia (France takes Catalonia, and sends a Bourbon to sit on the throne of the rest of Spain). The Hapsburg Spanish flee to the Americas. The Moroccans follow, in an attempt to create their own colonial empire. They only just manage get a lost colony of their own established, before it is taken from them (Morocco sides with Bourbon France in the equivalent of the 7 years war, and France still loses).

Al Qaluza, as it comes to be called (the name comes from this:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calusa#Name) , is turned into a sort of British protectorate. The British don't really want to absorb those Arabs, and so the local sultan rules. As the 'Columbian' Revolution breaks out in 1799, the Sultanate is overrun by the rebels. It becomes part of the Union of Columbian Republics (even more decentralized than the OTL U.S.). But Al Qaluza is home still to many Muslims, British Sympathizers, and Hostile Native Tribes (who've mostly converted to some form of Islam).

So in 1849, after much debate, Al Qaluza is allowed to peacefully leave the Union. But, per its independence agreement, it can never have a Sultan again, and must be a republic. Today, Al Qaluza (or simply 'Qaluza', as many Non-Arabs call it) is a vibrant two-party democracy, with over 80% of its population in Muslim. Immigration was slow at first, so Natives make up slightly more of the population than OTL Florida. Many people from the Middle-East (escaping modern violent dictatorships) have moved to the peaceful, rich, and neutral nation of Al Qaluza. There are also large numbers of blacks (more so than in OTL Florida) given that Al Qaluza was the last modern nation to abolish slavery (in 1890!!!). Its economy is closely intertwined with both New Spain and the URC. These days, it is a bastion of Liberal Islam.

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