Dewey defeats Truman, as expected TL

As it has been predicted by the polls for months, Election Night on November, 2 1948, the Republican New York Governor Thomas Edmund Dewey is elected President of the United States over incumbent Democratic President Harry S. Truman, by 267 electoral votes to 225, and despite losing the popular vote. The GOP also lose control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives.

Dewey's narrow presidential victory and loss of the Congress is blamed on its internal dissensions between him and Taft's conservatives, the reputation of "Do-Nothing Congress" made by Truman and the quite spineless campaign of Dewey.

However, the blow is harder for the Democrats. Everything is blamed on Truman's falling popularity, and it seems that the Democrats couldn't have retained the White House long after FDR has passed away. The pro-civil rights platform presented by Hubert Humphrey (who becomes Senator from Minnesota) is also viewed as either a too early or too bad swift for the Democratic Party, as Thurmond' States Rights Party took 39 electoral votes Truman would've needed, and therefore force the Democrats to concentrate over their Southern electorate. Former Vice-President Wallace's Progressives also fail their entrance into national politics, due to their poor score.

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Thomas Edmund Dewey (NY)/Earl Warren (CA) - Republican - 22,020,585 (45,13%) - 19 states carried - 267 electoral votes (50, 3%)

Harry S. Truman (MO)/Alben William Barkley (KY) - Democratic - 24,150,051 (49, 49%) - 25 states carried - 225 electoral votes (42, 4%)
James Storm Thurmond (SC)/Fielding Lewis Wright (MS) - Dixiecrat - 1,176,125 (2.41%) - 4 states carried - 39 electoral votes (7, 3%)
Henry Agard Wallace (IA)/Glen Hearst Taylor (ID) - Progressive - 1,157,326 (2, 37%) - no states carried, no electoral votes
 
Summary/List of US Presidents:

33 - Harry S. Truman (D-MO) April, 12 1945-January, 20 1949
34 - Thomas E. Dewey (R-NY) January, 20 1949 (1-
 
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Accompanied by Vice-President Warren and First Lady Frances Dewey, Thomas Edmund Dewey is sworn as the 34th President of the United States by Chief Justice Fred M. Vinson on January, 20 1949, succeeding to Harry S. Truman. At 46, he is the first US President to be born on the 20th Century, and the second youngest ever inaugurated, behind Theodore Roosevelt, beating by two days Ulysses Grant. In a more ordinary detail, he is also the first President to wear facial hear since Taft.

His cabinet appointments reflect the President's will to build a team of experts able to overpass both the challenges of the beginning Cold War and the internal dissenssions of the GOP. If his own advisers such as John Foster Dulles, Herbert Brownell Jr. and James Hagerty are respectively appointed to the positions of Secretary of State, Attorney General and Press Secretary, appeals are also made to the moderate wing of the Republicans, with Joseph William Martin, Jr. and Arthur Vandenberg made Secretary of Treasury and Ambassador to the United Nations, and the Conservatives, with his 1944 running mate John W. Bricker appointed Secretary of Commerce. To the Democrats' dismay, Secretary of Defence James Forrestal re-appointed to his function following pre-election negotiations, although it's rumoured that Forrestal is work exhausted.

In his inaugural speech, Dewey continues the style he has chosen throughout the campaign: avoiding faux-pas and infuriating any side of the side. Praising FDR's record, he vows to continue the Marshall Plan for Europe, although he criticizes the Containment policy to be too soft towards the USSR. He announces he will encourage the constitution of greater alliances between non-communist countries,mostly defensive, ready to defend democracy in a country overwhelmed by communists which ask so: the opinion is still shocked by the Berlin airlift. He also coins the term of Roll-Back doctrine, adding an offensive aspect to the Containment policy, thus contempting the hawks of the US military.

On the internal policy side, he continues to praise the New Deal, but sees Truman's continuation as been uneffective and constituting useless spending. The American economy boost results must be used to improve everyday life in America, helping medical security and decrease taxes (the abolition of the poll tax being on the Republican platform): the term of Welfare country Dewey used created a lot of debate in the US, liberal economists taking it as a snub, while Dewey was only attempting to describe his view of America as a place of prosperity for everybody, responding to the Soviet paradise propaganda and further implementing America's prominent place in the opinion of its foreign allies. However, many political analysts noticed the lack of reference to the Civil Rights' issues in Dewey's inaugural speech.
 
I'll be watching this with interest, since the very first TL I came up with was one where Dewey won the Electoral Vote while losing the popular vote, and was succeeded in 1952 by... Harry Truman.
 
I am of the opinion that 1948, is an election that should not be won. I assume that Dewey, like Truman would have entered the Korean War. Which means by 1952, there is a stalemate in Korea and President Dewey gets the blame. The revelations of communists in the government like wise make the incumbent look bad. Maybe a Democrat, not Joe McCarthy goes on a reckless crusade against communism.
 
1949

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Mao Zedong proclaiming the People's Republic of China (1/10/1949)

Most of the first year of Dewey's presidency was filled with ongoing or scheduled events, with which the Truman administration was already dealing and almost completed. Among these events, President Dewey saw the end of the First Arab-Israeli War, of the Indo-Pakistanese War, of the Berlin Blockade, and the Greek Civil War, the creation of the Federal Republic of Germany (and its communist counterpart, the German Democratic Republic), the signing of the North Atlantic Treaty and the Geneva Conventions.

What was different is how the Dewey administration dealt with. The recognition of Israel was among the promises of the Republican platform, but Dewey felt infuriated by the fact the Israelis hadn't respected the 1948 UN decision and spread disorder among the Arab nations, while some hawks of the State Department bring by Dulles the kibutzzim as a Zionist avatar of Soviet collectivism. The end of the Greek Civil War gave some credit to the efforts of the Containment doctrine, while Dulles used the signing of North Atlantic Treaty to begin an approach to pro-American countries not officially engaged, in order to make them sign a formal alliance against the USSR by 1951, unveiling his policy of Pactomania. As for Germany, Secretary of Defense Forrestal advocated for a limited reconstitution of the German Army under Japanese supervizion, a view he had already supported for Japan under Truman: according to some historians, this controversial proposal was among the factors that led to his temporary retirement from his position on March, 28, officially for nervous treatments. His vacancy was filled by General Omar Bradley.

But two major events, that none could've predicted, came for Dewey and forced him to speed up his foreign policy:

-The victory of Mao Zedong in the Chinese Civil War. On January, 26, Dewey was freshly installed in the Oval Office when he received news of the fall of Beijing to Communist forces. The Asian theatre had been mostly ignored by the Truman administration, that was preparing the withdrawal of US forces from South Korea and Japan; this was against the Roll-Back doctrine of Dewey, who feared that a communist Asia become an infinite resource of manpower for the USSR, and the communist plague spread to newly independant India. Everything was too late for Chiang Kai-Shek, who had been anyway selling US material to his enemies. When on October, 1st, Mao officially proclaimed the People's Republic of China, Dewey replicated by stopping the US withdrawal from South Korea and Japan and sending military aid to the Chinese Nationalists in Taiwan. Proposals of funding of the French forces engaged in Indochina were rejected by the French government. This move infuriated Stalin, who had a serious trump card since...

-He had detonated the first Soviet Atomic Bomb on July, 14. These news took two months to be confirmed by the State Department, as it was believed that the Soviet nuclear program wasn't so well advanced. Dewey was forced to moderate Dulles' zeal, aware that by now, the opponent had powerful weapons on its own. As a result, the Presidency decided to not infuriate the Soviets further in Europe, as the Greek and Turkish matters weren't as urgent as under Truman, but maintained the US presence in Asia.

In internal policies, Dewey appointed as Associate Justices two men: John Johnston Parker of North Carolina, who had been Alternate Judge at the Nuremberg Trials, and his fellow New Yorker John T. Loughran, Chief Judge of New York Court of Appeals. The nomination of Parker was another snub to Civil Rights Sympathizers, as the Judge was known for anti-African American statements when he ran in 1920 for Governor of North Carolina. He had also already been rejected by the Senate in 1930. And seeing that Forrestal was not yet recovering from his exhaustion, and after rumours of a tentative of suicide had spread, Dewey forced him to resign from the Defence Department, putting his name in the ballot for the Republican nomination as Senator for New York, in order to replace Robert F. Wagner (he would win the same year against former Governor Herbert H. Lehman)...Many names passed about the next Secretary of Defense, and the ones that most returned were those of Acting Secretary Bradley and former Chief of Staff Dwight Eisenhower, whose political affiliation hadn't been yet clairified.

The man who finally got the job on December, 3 was another WWII General, who was replaced at his then commandment by Admiral Chester Nimitz. The 2nd US Secretary of Defence was Douglas MacArthur.
 
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1950, part 1 - Matters at home...


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Dewey's two main opponents from the Republican Party: Robert Taft and Joseph McCarthy.

With the 1950 midterm elections in sight, and aware that the stopping of welfare measures would slow down support to the Republicans until the first measures to bring down the taxes, Dewey put all his efforts on a hawkish foreign policy, appealing to a non-partisan vote of an increasing budget to the Defence Department and a slowing down of the US troops withdrawal in Japan, Germany and Taiwan. In the backrooms, Dewey's foreign policy was carried by the young and dynamic Senator from Massachusets, Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr., who had been appointed Director of the Central Intelligence Agency in January. Dewey gave orders to implement the project of a hydrogen bomb, led by Hungarian-born physicist Edward Teller and Polish-born mathematician Stanislaw Ulam. He ordered Adenauer to stop his efforts to strike a bargain with GDR about reunification; refused to give China's seat in the UN Council of Security to the People's Republic of China; reinforced US presence in Taiwan in response to the Sino-Soviet pact of mutual defence signed on February, 14; recognized with reluntance the independance of Indonesia, due to Sukarno's leftist tendancies; renewed his offer of assistance to the French government in trouble in Indochina; he also sent a letter of congratulations to the new Belgian King Baudouin, whose oath of office had been disturbed by Communists. Eisenhower is appointed Commander-in-Chief of the NATO in Europe on December.

However, Dewey wasn't applicating his anticommunist stance at home. His famous quotation, "You can't shoot an idea with a gun", had earned him his victory on Stassen in the 1948 Republican primairies; he remained attached to it, refusing to pronounce a formal ban of the US Communist Party, this policy culminating on his veto of the McCarran Internal Security Act on September, which vowed to require the registration of communist organizations with the Attorney General and establish investigations on persons suspected of subversive activities. The Democrat-controlled and the Conservative Republicans overcame the Presidential veto. The arrest of Alger Hiss and Klaus Fuchs had began to spread a feeling of a communist conspiracy in the US inner circles.

Dewey's image was shaken in the beginning of the year by the Democratic opposition, in the person of the Democratic Senator from Tennessee, Carey Estes Kefauver, who had introduced on January a resolution calling for an investigation of organized crime in the US. Although corruption was seen as rampant already under the Truman administration, FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover had denied the ascendancy of organized crime in the US political life. The Kefauver hearings, that began on May, took place in many places throughout the United States, and many of its testifyers saw their carrers broken, from mobsters Willie Moretti and Frank Costello to politicians as former New Jersey Governor Harold G. Hoffmann and New York City Mayor William o'Dwyer; recorded live on TV, the hearings made much to Kefauver's popularity, who quickly became a contender for the 1952 Democratic Convention. At some point, during the hearings, some Democrats and journalists began to raise the name of President Dewey himself, who should've been, according to them, called to testify before the Kefauver Committee in order to clarify his links with the Crime Syndicate during his tenure as New York Governor. Many saw this move as a crime of lese-majesty, as Dewey had built his Gubernatorial, and later Presidential carrer over his reputation of "Gangbuster", celebrated for his successful efforts against Mafia (such as convicting Lucky Luciano) as District Attorney of New York County; his crimefighting achievements were even a source for a Hollywood movie, where his alter ego was impersonated by Humphrey Bogart. The opponents' plan was to make Dewey testify before the Committee to protest of his innocence, and then attack him on grounds of perjury if he was proved to be implicated in links with the Organized Crime. Kefauver, a Liberal Democrat who didn't disliked much Dewey, eventually refused to attack personally the President and didn't called Dewey to testify in front of the Committee.

This moderation wasn't followed by another opponent to the President who came from his own party and attacked him on the core of his policies: anticommunism. On Feburary, 9, in a speech at Wheeling, West Virginia, Republican Senator from Winsconsin Joseph Raymond McCarthy claimed that the US State Department had been filled with 205 communists, both under the Truman and the Dewey Administration. The Committee led by Democratic Senator from Marylard Millard Evelyn Tydings, constituted in order to confirm McCarthy's claims, concluded its hearings by characterizing the Senator's accusations as vague, but bringing suspicion about the loyalty of the State Department personel. Secretary of State Dulles vehemently denied the claims made by McCarthy, but the celebrity of this character was already done, as he was secretly supported by Republican Senator from Ohio Robert Alphonso Taft, head of the Conservative Republicans and fierce opponent to Dewey, who saw McCarthy as an useful speaker able to attack Dewey on his right. McCarthy thus became the political protégé of his colleague from Ohio.

The opposition to Dewey even seemed to reach its peak with the November, 1 Assassination Attempt. Two Puerto Rican independantists, Oscar Collazo and Griselio Torresola, decided to go to Washington D.C. and to assassinate the President of the United States, in order to bring international attention to the Puerto Rican claims to independance. Truman had begun in 1948 a series of works inside the White House in order to repair its various structural defaults and improve the building itself; Dewey and his family were forced during the renovation to reside at Blair House. The two nationalists opened fire with policemen near the Blair House, mortally wounding Police officer Leslie Coffelt, who in turn managed to kill Torresola, while Collazo was incapacitated. President Dewey, who was quietly sleeping on the second floor, saw nothing of the event and was left unharmed by the shotout. CIA's efforts to find Puerto Rican connections with the Soviet Secret Services proved to be uneffective, while Dewey considered ways to give Puerto Rico a State status.

But all these internal problems proved to be quite easy compared to 1950's major event...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanisław_Marcin_Ulam
 
1950, part 2 - ...Trouble abroad


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Secretary of Defence MacArthur with SCAP Nimitz in Tokyo, September 1950, preparing Operation Arthur (landing in Inchon)

Stalin already had the occasion to see up to what Truman was ready to go, with the Berlin Blockade and the Czech coup. With the stalemate in Europe created by the failure of the Berlin Blockade, the partition of Germany and the scheduled neutrality of Austria, Stalin had free hands for expansion in Asia, considering that reinforcements of US presence in Asia were nothing less that bluff, along with Dewey and Dulles' Roll-Back policy. Aware that Dewey wasn't followed at home by his opposing Congress and the internal dissensions within the Republican Party, Stalin felt that the opportunity had come for testing the new President of the United States.

French had trouble with the Viet-Minh in Indochina, Huk communist guerillas were still ongoing in Philippines, and continental China, even though it was ruined, had signed a pact of mutual defence with the USSR, and would begin its expansion by invading Tibet, considered a rebel province, on October. But Stalin had already picked the area where the confrontation would happen: the Koreas.

Split in two since 1948, the former Japanese province was divided between a Stalinian North under Kim Il-Sung and an anticommunist South under Syngman Rhee, each of them vowing to reunite Korea under their own system. US troops were still stationed in South Korea, but were very reduced, under command of Supreme Commander of the Allied Powers in Japan Chester Nimitz, who had replaced MacArthur when the latter was appointed US Secretary of Defence. The tension between the two countries was a perfect spark to trigger a war.

Claiming that South Korean troops had attacked them by crossing the border, elements of the North Korean Army crossed the 38th Parallel, which served as the border between the two countries, in the morning of June, 25 1950. The South Korean Army gave only a few resistance, deserting en masse: SCAP Nimitz ordered to US troops stationed in Korea to retreat as quickly as possible to Japan, viewing there would be unable to defend the country by themselves. The United Nations Council of Security condemned unanimously North Korean agression, and voted Resolution 83 on June, 27 that recommanded to member states to assist the South Korean regime. The success of these votes were due to the fact that the USSR had been boycotting the Council of Security in protest to the absence of the People's Republic of China from it.

The same day, President Dewey made a statement ordering to all US armies, on sea, ground and air to give support to South Korea, and gave Defence Secretary MacArthur free hands to handle the crisis in case of military intervention. Secretary of State Dulles took the news with delight: the Korean War was the best occasion to experiment the new Roll-Back Policy on real conditions, not only containing the communists, but also ousting communism from the Korean Peninsula, stating "it was a duty for democracy to destroy the puppet regime of Kim Il-Sung".

The following day, on June, 28, Seoul felt to North Korean forces. The South Korean rout continued. On July, 7, Resolution 84 gave to the United States the control of the United Nations forces that would be sent to defend South Korea. The US contingent was of course the most important, and given to General Omar Bradley. It was helped by troops from Australia, Belgium, Canada, Colombia, Ethiopia, France, Greece, Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Philippines, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey and United Kingdom. Adressed by MacArthur, the Congress released funds for the US intervention in Korea. By August, South Korean forces had managed to stabilize the front near the city of Pusan, in the South East, but said it wouldn't last long against them.


After reinforcing the Pusan Perimeter with backup coming US bases in Japan, General Bradley landed in Inchon on September, 15, on the west of the 38th Parallel, in an audacious move drawn by MacArthur himself: landing in the middle of North Korean-controlled territory, where they had only a few troops, the UN forces met a great success, disrupting and cutting in half North Korean forces, allowing the UN troops to enter in Seoul on September, 26 and cross themselves the 38th Parallel in October, 7. The Yalu river, which served as border between China and North Korea, was reached by October, 26. President Dewey, along with Defence Secretary MacArthur, made a short and highly publicized meeting in Wake Island with General Bradley, almost confident in a successful end to the crisis, while Secretary of State Dulles was writing a demand of unconditional surrender adressed to Kim Il-Sung. But Ridgeway warned them about another actor: communist China.


Mao, strengthen by his pact of mutual defence with the USSR, was much worried by US reinforcements and protection of Taiwan, a suspicion that was confirmed by the successful UN counter-attack on North Korea. Having started the invasion of Tibet with a few troops, he felt that he was the next on Dewey's bellicist agenda, and had declared many times since June that he was ready to do anything he can to protect China's national security. Chinese troops began to gather on his order in Manchuria, just after the UN had crossed the 38th Parallel: the so-called People's Volunteer Army was comprised by 70% by regular elements of the People's Liberation Army. Sending Zhou Enlai to Moscow to persuade the Soviets to help him, the Red Army only promised air support no nearer than sixty miles from the battlefront.

On October, 31, Chinese volunteers crossed the Yalu and made contact with US troops: this intervention, although unofficial, lead to a first US retreat. The fight continued until late November, where hundreds of thousands of Chinese troops assisted with Soviet air support crossed the border and forced UN troops, badly equiped against Korean winter, to retreat through the 38th Parallel. By December, 31, communist troops were approaching Seoul.


Defence Secretary MacArthur was put furious by the Chinese intervention. Adressing the Press and the President himself, he asked for the use of nuclear force against Chinese troops in order to force them to stop their offensive in front of US superiority. Dewey argued that it was precisely what Stalin wanted: he would use his own nuclear weapons, trigerring a Third World War with all the terrible consequences that it would carry. MacArthur said that the Soviets had just announced the creation of their nuclear force, which was not so developed compared to the US one that existed since 1945, and that the use of nuclear force by President Truman against Japan allowed the United States to restrict the human losses that would've been made in case of a conventional invasion of Japan. Dewey told he was no President Truman and that Japan wasn't allied with a country that possessed itself nuclear weaponry.


Secretary of Defence MacArthur threatened to resign if the President was to do nothing against China. Dewey knew that MacArthur was leaning towards Taft's conservatives, and that the ousting of a war hero would encourage his opponents and lower his popularity. On November, 5, two days before the 1950 midterm elections, he announced that he had listened to the advices of General MacArthur and would take action against the People's Republic of China; ironically, he officiously recognized the Chinese communist regime by saying that.

The 1950 midterm elections on November, 7 see the Republicans narrowly winning the majority of the Senate, by 49 to 47, thanks to newly elected Senator Forrestal of New York and the narrow victory of Prescott Bush in Connecticut. However, although the Republicans manage to gain 31 seats in the House of Reprensentatives, they can't remove the Democratic domination of the lower House by 232-202. Thus Dewey can't really see if the Americans are approving his policies or not. But thanks to the Senate, he can begin to make it study his project of retaliation against China.

By late December, US Air Force elements under command of General Curtis LeMay begin to strike Southern China since their bases in Taiwan. Secretary of State Dulles announce that he will visit in January the Council of Security to persuade them to extend Resolution 84 to China and any foreign power which could interfere in the intervention against North Korea. Soviet Foreign Minister Vyatcheslav Molotov announces that the Soviet boycott of the Council of Security will continue.

The world holds his breath...
 
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Any comment?

General Mung Beans - I decided to trigger the Korean War in this TL, considering that Stalin would still use it as a way to see the US reaction in case of an attack.

Oakvale - Interesting, but I wonder if Truman would've campaigned in 1952 anyway. He was quite unpopular in 1948, and according to himself, he had decided not to run in 1952 long before Kefauver beated him in the Democratic Primaries.

Paul V McNutt - I also decided to retain McCarthy, here encouraged by Taft's Conservatives, who in OTL despised Dewey. Any name for an anticommunist Democrat who could join McCarthy in his Witch Hunt?

Glenn67 - What is a sharkjumping TL for you?
 
Any comment?

General Mung Beans - I decided to trigger the Korean War in this TL, considering that Stalin would still use it as a way to see the US reaction in case of an attack.

Oakvale - Interesting, but I wonder if Truman would've campaigned in 1952 anyway. He was quite unpopular in 1948, and according to himself, he had decided not to run in 1952 long before Kefauver beated him in the Democratic Primaries.

Paul V McNutt - I also decided to retain McCarthy, here encouraged by Taft's Conservatives, who in OTL despised Dewey. Any name for an anticommunist Democrat who could join McCarthy in his Witch Hunt?

Glenn67 - What is a sharkjumping TL for you?

In another Dewey defeats Truman TL posted in this forum, Clint Eastwood became President of the US. There was another one in which Buddy Holly and the Jiles (Big Bopper) Richardson were elected to Congress.
 
One thing to note is that the only reason the Korean War became a UN backed operation is because the USSR was boycotting the Security Council at the time.

If they don't, butterflies, do so ITTL than the UN will be prevented from supporting the South Koreans by the Russian veto.

Anyway, I'm certainly interested. Assuming Dewey survives the '52 election does he still support the coup in Iran?
 
As it has been predicted by the polls for months, Election Night on November, 2 1948, the Republican New York Governor Thomas Edmund Dewey is elected President of the United States over incumbent Democratic President Harry S. Truman, by 267 electoral votes to 225, and despite losing the popular vote. The GOP also lose control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives.

Dewey's narrow presidential victory and loss of the Congress is blamed on its internal dissensions between him and Taft's conservatives, the reputation of "Do-Nothing Congress" made by Truman and the quite spineless campaign of Dewey.

However, the blow is harder for the Democrats. Everything is blamed on Truman's falling popularity, and it seems that the Democrats couldn't have retained the White House long after FDR has passed away. The pro-civil rights platform presented by Hubert Humphrey (who becomes Senator from Minnesota) is also viewed as either a too early or too bad swift for the Democratic Party, as Thurmond' States Rights Party took 39 electoral votes Truman would've needed, and therefore force the Democrats to concentrate over their Southern electorate. Former Vice-President Wallace's Progressives also fail their entrance into national politics, due to their poor score.

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Thomas Edmund Dewey (NY)/Earl Warren (CA) - Republican - 22,020,585 (45,13%) - 19 states carried - 267 electoral votes (50, 3%)
Harry S. Truman (MO)/Alben William Barkley (KY) - Democratic - 24,150,051 (49, 49%) - 25 states carried - 225 electoral votes (42, 4%)
James Storm Thurmond (SC)/Fielding Lewis Wright (MS) - Dixiecrat - 1,176,125 (2.41%) - 4 states carried - 39 electoral votes (7, 3%)
Henry Agard Wallace (IA)/Glen Hearst Taylor (ID) - Progressive - 1,157,326 (2, 37%) - no states carried, no electoral votes

Let's see Dewey wins the electoral votes but is behind Truman in the popular vote by a magin of just over 2 million votes, far too controversal. I think you should narrow the popular vote margin to say the least.
 
Sorry, I have been busy with my real life these last days.

Glenn67 - I will try to keep US politics coherent in this TL, but who knows, with the butterflies?

RedRalphWiggum - Thanks.

Electric Monk - The main reason for the Soviet boycott of the Council of Security was the fact that the US had decided not to give China's seat to the People's Republic of China. As Dewey hasn't decided to leave Chiang Kai-Shek behind in TTL, I guess the USSR would've followed this policy.

Standard X - I wanted to report how narrow the 1948 election was. But if you think I should give Dewey an extra of 1 million voters more, I would do it, if you see any event in the campaign that would help him so.
 
1951

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US and British troops in the ruins of Hong Kong, May 1951

Having to lead a stalemate war in East Asia, Dewey saw the year 1951 as another terrible year for his administration, both abroad and at home.

Senator McCarthy continued his irresistible rise during the year, backed by Conservative Republicans and anticommunist Democrats. With the help of the hearings made by the House Committee on Un-American Activities, chaired by Georgia Representative John Stephens Wood, McCarthy put up an atmosphere of suspicion and informing on US bureaucracy. The Red Scare exploited by McCarthy and his allies is further revived by the current events: on April 5, the death sentence of Julius and Ethel Rosenberg as they were found guilty conspiracy to give informations to the Soviet Union about the Atomic Bomb revived the anticommunist paranoia, despite the outcry throughout the world created by President Dewey's refusal to spare them.

The State Department and the CIA were seeing enemies rising everywhere in the world. The election of Jacobo Arbenz Guzman as President of Guatemala in March made Dulles afraid after a potential alliance with the country's communists and the expropriation of the powerful United Fruit Company, main bearer of the US control in Central America, and to which he had been linked as a businessman. In the same way, on April, 29, Mohammed Mossadegh succeeded Hossein Ala' as Iranian Prime Minister: unlike his predecessors, partisans of a compromise with the British about the exploitation of Iranian oil, Mossadegh was in favor of nationalization; the following day, the immediate nationalization of the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company, already made on March, 15, was ratified by the Iranian Parliament, to which the United Kingdom responded by an embargo on Iran: the State Department feared that Iran, a country bordered by the Soviet Union, could be put in trouble. The creation of the European Coal and Steel Community on April, 18, between France, the Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, West Germany and Italy put the foundations of an European free trade area and limited Europe's dependance on the Marshall Plan and US economic aids. France was having trouble in Morocco, quickly curbed by General Alphonse Juin, and also in Indochina, where the stalemate was beginning for French forces, as the Viet Minh was being helped by Chinese resources: at home, communists came in the lead in the French June legislative elections, followed by the Gaullists: the rightist ruling coalition proves to be quite weak and unstable. The Chinese, by the way, began to fund the Thai communist resistance that was created after the military coup in Thailand on November. On July, 20, King Abdullah of Jordan was murdered by an islamist in a mosque, severing the negotiations between Israel and the Arab countries.

However, US allies were having some successes throughout the world, mostly in the ballots. On September, 1, the Australia, New Zealand, United States Security Treaty (ANZUS) was signed, putting in effectiveness a military alliance between the USA, Australia and New Zealand. In spite of the assassination of Prime Minister Liaquat Ali Khan on October, 16, Pakistan remained on US side. On October, 25, Labour, incapacitated by the economic matters and its snubs in foreign policy, lost the UK general election: the old Winston Churchill came back to the 10, Downing Street, that he had left in 1945, along with the Conservatives.

In a more neutral tone, the 22nd Amendment, ratified on February, 27, arrived to forbid any future President to get beyond FDR's record, as it limited to two terms the US Presidents. President Dewey, as he grandfathered the law, along with former President Truman, weren't concerned by the Amendment. But before thinking to his reelection next year, Dewey had to think to the situation in Korea and China.

In their newly inaugurated building, the United Nations Assembly identified the PRC as the agressor in the Korean War on February, 1, thus confirming the US bombing of Southern China that had been lasting for a month...And the fall of Seoul to Chinese-North Korean forces on January, 17. This decision gave the United Nations free hands against China, as the USSR was still not moving. The UN counter-attack led by Bradley and Matthew Ridgeway in Korea allowed its forces to take Seoul back on March, 14, and cross again the 38th Parallel on April, 22. The frontlines in Korea then froze, due to the huge forces on each side.

But things went worse in southern China.

LeMay's carpet bombing, modeled on the strategy that had been applicated against Germany during WWII, proved quite uneffective against the PRC: Chinese cities were already in ruins and the peasants were left unconcerned by the bombs. Worse: the damages made by the bombs were used for Chinese propaganda, that was reused by Soviets and communist sympathizers to depict American cruelty. As the Chinese were completing the invasion of Tibet, the risk of an attack on India arrived, but Nehru vehemently refused to formally join US side in the Cold War. And by May, Mao Zedong issued a statement where he called to "the reconquest of the whole China by its rightful inhabitants against the imperalist Western settlers".

On May, 24, People's Liberation Army elements made a surprise attack on the garrisons of Macau and Hong-Kong.

It was of course impossible to the few Portugueuse troops stationed in Macau to resist against the Chinese armies: disobeying to Salazar's orders to "never surrender", Governor Albano Rodrigues de Oliveira signed his capitulation on May, 25 and was captured by Chinese forces along with other members of his staff, after a few losses. The attack on Macau was seen as an evidence of Chinese deliberate agressivity, as Portugal wasn't even a member of the United Nations, kept on a distance for its links with Nazi Germany. Secretary of State Dulles decided to implement negotiations for admission of Portugal and Spain in the United Nations as a result. On the other side, in Hong Kong, Governor Alexander Grantham managed to put in place a fierce resistance to the Chinese invaders along with the Hong Kong Military Service Corps, long enough so reinforcements from Taiwan and Singapore could arrive in Hong Kong, transported by elements from the US 8th Fleet stationed in Taiwan straits. After two weeks of fierce fighting, the People's Liberation Army withdrew from Hong Kong outskirts. The city, which had not yet recovered from the Japanese occupation, was left destroyed but still independant. Due to the weakness of Chinese Navy (if there was one), no attacks on Taiwan were expected: but due to the uneffectiveness of Kuomintang's commandment and the risks coming from a landing in continental China, no plans were drawn for a direct participation of Chiang Kai-Shek in the war.

President Dewey had believed that the strategy of carpet bombing against China to distract and weaken them in order to regain control of the Korean peninsula was a good deal to counter Secretary MacArthur's demands of a nuclear bombing of Mandchuria and a Taiwanese landing in continental China. The stalemate near the 38th Parallel, the uneffectiveness of the carpet bombing and the attacks on Hong Kong and Macau proved the dullness of this strategy. In June, MacArthur came back to his attacks towards the Dewey administration, accusing them of softness and incompetence and threatening them with his own resignation: rumours began to spread of a deal between him and Taft about a challenging run against Dewey for the 1952 Republican Convention as the Conservative candidate.

Dewey was left totally paralyzed by the situation. As a result, he kept the carpet bombings and the stalemate in Korea continuing for five months, spinning out his final decision about the war, along with tense meetings with MacArthur and his other generals. Leaving China as the agressor in Asia would leave a powerful ally to the Soviet Union, and nothing would, in the future, prevent China for intervening in Indochina, Thailand, and even Philippines, India, Japan...In short, as Asia's communist policeman. He couldn't even think to reelection with an ongoing failure in Korea and a dissenting popular general on his own camp. But the nuclear option was the worse: even if the Soviet Union hadn't much reacted since the beginning of the crisis, Dewey knew that Stalin was impatiently for this Rubicon crossing to break all hell loose on its borders, beginning with an intervention along with the Chinese forces and, why not, an invasion of western Europe? But the Soviet nuclear arsenal was certainly quite reduced by now, and unlike China, North Korea had no direct treaty of mutual assistance with the USSR.

On December, 22, President Dewey announced that he would run for reelection next year. In the same time, Operation Nicholas was officially given green fire by the Defence Department.

On December 29, Operation Nicholas was put in application. A B29 dropped an atomic bomb below the city of Pyongyang, the North Korean capital. The city was totally wiped out. Prime Minister Kim Il-Sung, along with other officials, were missed in action. Chinese and Soviet delegations in Washington and in the United Nations didn't made any statement yet, until January.
 
Sorry, I have been busy with my real life these last days.

Glenn67 - I will try to keep US politics coherent in this TL, but who knows, with the butterflies?

RedRalphWiggum - Thanks.

Electric Monk - The main reason for the Soviet boycott of the Council of Security was the fact that the US had decided not to give China's seat to the People's Republic of China. As Dewey hasn't decided to leave Chiang Kai-Shek behind in TTL, I guess the USSR would've followed this policy.

Standard X - I wanted to report how narrow the 1948 election was. But if you think I should give Dewey an extra of 1 million voters more, I would do it, if you see any event in the campaign that would help him so.

Adding a million more votes to Dewey would be a good idea. As for what event in the 48 campaign would get him more votes I would have to do my research and get back to you on that.
 
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