Triple Calamity: What if the Three Most Important Men in the Executive Branch Died in One Night?

Liberty or Death, President John Sherman, March 16th 1893

"My friends! Twelve days ago I informed the public, of a grave injustice brought upon the American soldiers in the African Continent! It is my solemn duty now to address your body with regard to the grave crisis that has arisen in the relations of the United States and United Kingdom by reason of the attacks and threats to our sovereignty and the sovereignty of Liberia, that have been consistently leveled upon us, since the beginning of this year.

The Founders of the republic fought with great fervor, against the tyranny of the British crown. Now it is our duty, to follow in the founders great footsteps!

The present crisis is but the successor of other similar threats which have occurred in the British Empire against the United States! The United States has put to great effort and expense in enforcing its neutrality laws, caused enormous losses to American prestige, caused irritation, annoyance, and disturbance among our citizens, and by the exercise of cruel, barbarous, and uncivilized practices of colonization and extortion of their colonies, chief among them Sierra leone, they have shocked the sensibilities and offended the humane sympathies of our people.

Our people have beheld a series of threats that escalated to brutal attacks!

Our trade has suffered; the brave men of the African Expeditions, were ruthlessly surprise attacked, by men they had parlayed with! Our brave boys, were slaughtered by British hands, only a day after Mr. Pattison was horrifically killed. London sought to attack us, in our time of desperation and attack us they did!

The efforts of Britain were increased, both by the dispatch of fresh levies to the Niger River and by the addition to the horrors of the strife of a new and inhuman phase happily unprecedented in the modern history of civilized Christian peoples. . . .

This is not to mention a massive threat is now held against our sacred ally, in Liberia. They have assisted us and for it on March 4th, British naval vessels appeared ready to attack! If it wasn't for our brave boys, they may have done so!

In this state of affairs the previous administration found itself confronted with the grave problem of its duty. Mr. Grant's message this January reviewed the situation and narrated the steps taken with a view to relieving its acuteness and opening the way to some form of honorable settlement. The Prime Minister, Mr. Gladstone, seemed unwilling at the time. The former administration, pledged to reparation without concession, again the British maintained their ultimatum.

Do not be fooled by their recent acceptance of Italian Arbitration! It is only done to confuse our people and bide their time for another attack!

These elements of danger and disorder already pointed out have been strikingly illustrated by a tragic event which has deeply and justly moved the American people. I have already transmitted to Congress the report of the naval court of inquiry on the destruction of the battleship John Quincy Adams just outside of Freetown during the night of the 13th of March. The destruction of that noble vessel has filled the national heart with inexpressible horror. Two hundred and fifty-eight brave sailors and marines and two officers of our Navy, reposing in the fancied security of a friendly harbor, have been hurled to death, grief and want brought to their homes, and sorrow to the nation. LIKE IN THE BOSTON MASSACRE OF OLD! THEY WERE SLAUGHTERED BY BRITISH OPPRESSORS! My friends! I cannot let America be trampled on any longer! Those boys ought to be avenged, like our forefathers would have said. GIVE US LIBERTY! OR GIVE US DEATH!

With this last overture of British treachery mere days ago, the executive is brought to the end of his effort to find peace. . . .

I said in my inaugural message, “It is to be seriously considered whether the Niger situation possesses a belligerent threat from London against our favor.” The only proof I have seen in my short term as President is that there is very much, a belligerent threat!

As to the first it is not to be forgotten that during the last few months the relations of the United States has virtually been one of friendly intervention in many ways, each not of itself conclusive, but all tending to the exertion of a potential influence toward an ultimate pacific result, just and honorable to all interests concerned. The spirit of all our acts hitherto has been an earnest, unselfish desire for peace and prosperity in the African continent, untarnished by differences between us and the British Crown, and unstained by the blood of American citizens.

I do not take the prospect of a conflict between us and London lightly. I say now that the odds are large, the war will be hard fought, our resolve will. be. tested. BUT AGAIN! AS OUR FOREFATHERS YELLED GIVE US LIBERTY! OR GIVE US DEATH! WE HAVE A DUTY TO YELL THE SAME! Their victory against all the odds, with far less unity, proves to me that perhaps the odds are not so stacked against us.

The grounds for such a war may be briefly summarized as follows:

First. In the cause of humanity and to put an end to the threats against the brave citizens of liberia and troops of the African Expedition.

Second. We owe it to the losses on the John Quincy Adams, to redeem their loss with a great fight for Liberity!

Third. The right to intervene may be justified by the very serious injury to the commerce, trade, and business of our people, and by the wanton destruction of property and devastation of our rightful Fort at Fort Grant.

Fourth, and which is of the utmost importance. The present condition of affairs in Africa is a constant menace to our peace, liberty and freedom, and entails upon this government an enormous expense. If they can push around and beat us in our land across the sea, what is to stop Victoria and Gladstone from jumping across the pond to push us around some more?

The long trail has proved that the object for which Britain has waged the war cannot be attained. In the name of peace, in the name of liberty, in behalf of endangered American interests which gives us the right and the duty to speak and to act, the aggression from the British must stop!

In view of these facts and of these considerations, I ask the Congress to authorize and empower the president to take measure to secure a full and final measures to beat the British for a third time in conflict! And to use the military and naval forces of the United States as may be necessary for these purposes.

And in the interest of humanity and to aid in preserving the lives of the starving people of the Liberia I recommend that the distribution of food and supplies be continued, and that an appropriation be made out of the public Treasury to supplement the charity of our citizens.

The issue is now with the Congress. It is a solemn responsibility. I have exhausted every effort to relieve the intolerable condition of affairs which is at our doors. Prepared to execute every obligation imposed upon me by the Constitution and the law, I await your action. . . .

I urge you, GIVE US LIBERTY! OR GIVE US DEATH!"

-President John Sherman in his address to Congress requesting a Deceleration of War against the United Kingdom


THE FINAL VOTE IN THE HOUSE
260-112 The Resolution Passes
THE FINAL VOTE IN THE SENATE
63-31 The Resolution Passes

WAR IS DECLARED


"In the aftermath of the Declaration of War by Congress, Prime Minister Gladstone, who had set his remaining political power on peace, sat stunned. He could not comprehend what President Sherman was thinking. The Empire would clearly win in any sane man's eyes. Seeing no other option in the early morning on the 17th, Gladstone requested Queen Victoria issue a royal proclamation declaring war on the United States.

An hour later, Gladstone went before the Commons and announced that the Queen had agreed to declare war on the United States. He then told them that he was too old to properly carry out the duties of Prime Minister in such a trying time. (Though in reality, he simply knew that a motion of no confidence was already taking shape from the Tories.) Gladstone announced he would be resigning effective immediately. He then told the shocked commoners that he had already advised the Queen who his replacement should be.

Right after the Declaration of War was released from Buckingham Palace, the Queen also announced that, on the advice of Gladstone, he was to be replaced by the Right Honorable, The Earl Spencer. A man experienced in government and well versed in warfare."

-from Gladstone's Last Stand
by Garrett Hart, published 2002

John-Poyntz-Spencer-5th-Earl-Spencer.jpg

THE RIGHT HONORABLE, EARL JOHN SPENCER, PRIME MINISTER OF THE UNITED KINGDOM
opposition to the declaration of war was championed by Populists and some Liberal new Englanders.
 
Liberty or Death, President John Sherman, March 16th 1893

"My friends! Twelve days ago I informed the public, of a grave injustice brought upon the American soldiers in the African Continent! It is my solemn duty now to address your body with regard to the grave crisis that has arisen in the relations of the United States and United Kingdom by reason of the attacks and threats to our sovereignty and the sovereignty of Liberia, that have been consistently leveled upon us, since the beginning of this year.

The Founders of the republic fought with great fervor, against the tyranny of the British crown. Now it is our duty, to follow in the founders great footsteps!

The present crisis is but the successor of other similar threats which have occurred in the British Empire against the United States! The United States has put to great effort and expense in enforcing its neutrality laws, caused enormous losses to American prestige, caused irritation, annoyance, and disturbance among our citizens, and by the exercise of cruel, barbarous, and uncivilized practices of colonization and extortion of their colonies, chief among them Sierra leone, they have shocked the sensibilities and offended the humane sympathies of our people.

Our people have beheld a series of threats that escalated to brutal attacks!

Our trade has suffered; the brave men of the African Expeditions, were ruthlessly surprise attacked, by men they had parlayed with! Our brave boys, were slaughtered by British hands, only a day after Mr. Pattison was horrifically killed. London sought to attack us, in our time of desperation and attack us they did!

The efforts of Britain were increased, both by the dispatch of fresh levies to the Niger River and by the addition to the horrors of the strife of a new and inhuman phase happily unprecedented in the modern history of civilized Christian peoples. . . .

This is not to mention a massive threat is now held against our sacred ally, in Liberia. They have assisted us and for it on March 4th, British naval vessels appeared ready to attack! If it wasn't for our brave boys, they may have done so!

In this state of affairs the previous administration found itself confronted with the grave problem of its duty. Mr. Grant's message this January reviewed the situation and narrated the steps taken with a view to relieving its acuteness and opening the way to some form of honorable settlement. The Prime Minister, Mr. Gladstone, seemed unwilling at the time. The former administration, pledged to reparation without concession, again the British maintained their ultimatum.

Do not be fooled by their recent acceptance of Italian Arbitration! It is only done to confuse our people and bide their time for another attack!

These elements of danger and disorder already pointed out have been strikingly illustrated by a tragic event which has deeply and justly moved the American people. I have already transmitted to Congress the report of the naval court of inquiry on the destruction of the battleship John Quincy Adams just outside of Freetown during the night of the 13th of March. The destruction of that noble vessel has filled the national heart with inexpressible horror. Two hundred and fifty-eight brave sailors and marines and two officers of our Navy, reposing in the fancied security of a friendly harbor, have been hurled to death, grief and want brought to their homes, and sorrow to the nation. LIKE IN THE BOSTON MASSACRE OF OLD! THEY WERE SLAUGHTERED BY BRITISH OPPRESSORS! My friends! I cannot let America be trampled on any longer! Those boys ought to be avenged, like our forefathers would have said. GIVE US LIBERTY! OR GIVE US DEATH!

With this last overture of British treachery mere days ago, the executive is brought to the end of his effort to find peace. . . .

I said in my inaugural message, “It is to be seriously considered whether the Niger situation possesses a belligerent threat from London against our favor.” The only proof I have seen in my short term as President is that there is very much, a belligerent threat!

As to the first it is not to be forgotten that during the last few months the relations of the United States has virtually been one of friendly intervention in many ways, each not of itself conclusive, but all tending to the exertion of a potential influence toward an ultimate pacific result, just and honorable to all interests concerned. The spirit of all our acts hitherto has been an earnest, unselfish desire for peace and prosperity in the African continent, untarnished by differences between us and the British Crown, and unstained by the blood of American citizens.

I do not take the prospect of a conflict between us and London lightly. I say now that the odds are large, the war will be hard fought, our resolve will. be. tested. BUT AGAIN! AS OUR FOREFATHERS YELLED GIVE US LIBERTY! OR GIVE US DEATH! WE HAVE A DUTY TO YELL THE SAME! Their victory against all the odds, with far less unity, proves to me that perhaps the odds are not so stacked against us.

The grounds for such a war may be briefly summarized as follows:

First. In the cause of humanity and to put an end to the threats against the brave citizens of liberia and troops of the African Expedition.

Second. We owe it to the losses on the John Quincy Adams, to redeem their loss with a great fight for Liberity!

Third. The right to intervene may be justified by the very serious injury to the commerce, trade, and business of our people, and by the wanton destruction of property and devastation of our rightful Fort at Fort Grant.

Fourth, and which is of the utmost importance. The present condition of affairs in Africa is a constant menace to our peace, liberty and freedom, and entails upon this government an enormous expense. If they can push around and beat us in our land across the sea, what is to stop Victoria and Gladstone from jumping across the pond to push us around some more?

The long trail has proved that the object for which Britain has waged the war cannot be attained. In the name of peace, in the name of liberty, in behalf of endangered American interests which gives us the right and the duty to speak and to act, the aggression from the British must stop!

In view of these facts and of these considerations, I ask the Congress to authorize and empower the president to take measure to secure a full and final measures to beat the British for a third time in conflict! And to use the military and naval forces of the United States as may be necessary for these purposes.

And in the interest of humanity and to aid in preserving the lives of the starving people of the Liberia I recommend that the distribution of food and supplies be continued, and that an appropriation be made out of the public Treasury to supplement the charity of our citizens.

The issue is now with the Congress. It is a solemn responsibility. I have exhausted every effort to relieve the intolerable condition of affairs which is at our doors. Prepared to execute every obligation imposed upon me by the Constitution and the law, I await your action. . . .

I urge you, GIVE US LIBERTY! OR GIVE US DEATH!"

-President John Sherman in his address to Congress requesting a Deceleration of War against the United Kingdom


THE FINAL VOTE IN THE HOUSE
260-112 The Resolution Passes
THE FINAL VOTE IN THE SENATE
63-31 The Resolution Passes

WAR IS DECLARED


"In the aftermath of the Declaration of War by Congress, Prime Minister Gladstone, who had set his remaining political power on peace, sat stunned. He could not comprehend what President Sherman was thinking. The Empire would clearly win in any sane man's eyes. Seeing no other option in the early morning on the 17th, Gladstone requested Queen Victoria issue a royal proclamation declaring war on the United States.

An hour later, Gladstone went before the Commons and announced that the Queen had agreed to declare war on the United States. He then told them that he was too old to properly carry out the duties of Prime Minister in such a trying time. (Though in reality, he simply knew that a motion of no confidence was already taking shape from the Tories.) Gladstone announced he would be resigning effective immediately. He then told the shocked commoners that he had already advised the Queen who his replacement should be.

Right after the Declaration of War was released from Buckingham Palace, the Queen also announced that, on the advice of Gladstone, he was to be replaced by the Right Honorable, The Earl Spencer. A man experienced in government and well versed in warfare."

-from Gladstone's Last Stand
by Garrett Hart, published 2002

John-Poyntz-Spencer-5th-Earl-Spencer.jpg

THE RIGHT HONORABLE, EARL JOHN SPENCER, PRIME MINISTER OF THE UNITED KINGDOM
Also Spencer is chosen to succeed Gladstone, because Gladstone holds a deep trust in him. he's about twenty years younger and knows his way around the navy and military affairs. He is also was the Lord President of the Privy Council. His record is impressive. It's also important to note that this is the first major divergence in foreign leadership in Triple Calamity...

Spencer obviously was never PM in OTL.
 
"Sherman didn't have a cabinet. The Senate would refuse to give him one. In a 55-39 vote, the Senate decided not to table the vote on a vice presidential elect. The new President pro Tempore Connecticut Liberal, Orville H. Platt, promised to hold another vote on March 6th. Sherman called this move preposterous. Saying that adding any chaotic constitutional confusion during a time of such a crisis was ill-informed and dangerous. Platt didn't seem to care; the vast majority of the Liberal Party disliked Sherman. They saw the old man as a relic of the old Liberal Party; they only made him the Pro Temp to isolate him in a distant position. Obviously, they didn't expect him to become president. Platt and the Liberals wanted to see him exchanged for Custer as soon as possible. The Populists were also no friends with Sherman; as they saw it, considering Weaver came in second place, Tillman and the Populists should take control. They were united in their votes for Tillman. The final faction in the Senate then was the Republican Party. Inherently, the Republicans weren't opposed to Sherman, nor were they opposed to his internationalist leanings.

Sherman identified them as his only hope for staying in office. Sherman sat down with Cushman Davis on March 5th and agreed to a tacit alliance. The Republicans would deadlock the Senate vote for as long as possible until something more suitable could be arranged between Sherman and the Liberal leadership.

On March 6th, four votes were held in the Senate to elect a president. Though there were a lot of heated attempts to break the deadlock, the vote remained steady at

39 for Custer (36 Liberals, 3 Republicans)

30 for Tillman (all 30 People's Unionists)

19 for Harrison (16 Republicans, 3 Freedmen)

2 Abstentions (2 Liberals)

all short of the 48 needed for a majority. Cushman had clearly kept his word. Sherman and his gutted bureaucracy have now turned to the British issue. On March 7th, word from the jungle finally made it to Monrovia. Exact casualties from the skirmish of the 4th were reported; they were minimal, but Pershing expected another attack to come soon. Pershing was requesting further orders. Sherman ordered Monrovia to send him a messenger ordering him to stay in steadfast defense, not parley with the British, and fire on them if they approached. Sherman then ordered another 5,000 men from South Carolina to Liberia ASAP. He also sent another four ships to connect with Dewey. All of these orders were given on the 7th.

From our knowledge, on the same day, London gave orders to Freetown as well. These orders were explicit: Downing outnumbered Pershing, gave Pershing another ultimatum, and prepared to move in again in a heartbeat. Gladstone authorized Governor Flemming to raise troops and sent another 2000 British regulars from Gibraltar to Freetown.

On the 8th, Gladstone went before Parliament, and responses began to be weighed. Gladstone held a minority government, but he knew that retaliation was popular among the Tories. Though war was brought up, the idea was pulled from debate by Gladstone himself. Gladstone proposed instead that Parliament endorse the sending of more troops and vessels to Freetown. (This was a play for extra political standing.) Parliament overwhelmingly passed the endorsement. Soon after, they passed another resolution condemning the United States. After this session of Parliament, it is known that Gladstone discussed the idea of war with the Queen, though he did not suggest it to her. (This was on purpose, as any suggestion of war would bind Victoria to declaring it.) The aging Queen also approved of Gladstone's most recent military actions.

From what could be gathered, both DC and London understood that war was not inevitable. Sherman, in his parleys with the Canadian ambassador between the 4th and 8th, seemed at least semi-willing to back down or at the very least pay some form of reparation.

On March 9th, news arrived from Paris. From President Sadi Carnot. The French offered to arbitrate the conflict. Mere hours later, two more offers for arbitration would arrive. One from Tzar Alexander in St. Petersburg and a second from King Umberto of Italy in Rome. Once the arbitration offers were extended, Gladstone and Parliament were strongly against French arbitration, still only semi-trusting Paris. They rejected the offer. They also rejected the Tzar's offer on the 10th, fearing grudges from the Crimean conflict. Gladstone accepted the Italian offer, believing it would be the most fair.

Gladstone then made a speech to with full force to Parliament on the 10th, where he hedged all his bets on arbitration. He told Parliament that peace was at hand and that once Sherman inevitably agreed to the deal, all would be well. Gladstone decided to play as the Great Peacemaker, the way he'd save his premiership from sinking any further into irrelevancy.

Congress was fine with all three nations arbitrating. Once the British had outright declined the French and Russian offers, Speaker Reed and Pro Temp Platt urged Sherman to take the Italian deal and handle the crisis over pen and paper. From what we know, he planned to do just that in the lead up to March 11th—that is, until he got word from his allies in the Senate.

Davis and the Senate Republicans planned to end the constitutional crisis at home and vote for Custer when Sherman accepted Italian arbitration. They were just waiting for the threat of war to get out of their way. After getting this confirmed on March 12th by outside sources, Sherman came to the realization that he would lose his job.

John Sherman had sought the presidency his whole life; he envisioned for himself the grandest presidency of all. He knew he was destined for great things; he would far surpass his brother in relevance; he would be the president who beat Britain and brought the country back together after these hard decades.

We don't know exactly what he did, but we do know this. On March 13th, Commodore Dewey was ordered to pass Freetown a second time. While passing the shore, two stories were crafted.

The one that the British newspapers ran with and widely publicized was that the American vessels entered British waters. Three destroyers left dock to meet them, mere seconds after the American vessels fired at the British ones. The British quickly returned fire and triumphantly sank the vile USS John Quincy Adams. The Americans fired back, damaging the starboard bow of the HMS Albert. After the American ships fled with their tails between their legs, shocked at British prowess!

The one that the American newspapers ran with and widely publicized was that US vessels peacefully passed by Freetown on a regular patrol outside British waters. Then they were confronted with British ships. After firing warning shots to get them to move, the British vessels returned fire, sinking the great USS John Quincy Adams. The shocked and honorable Commodore Dewey returned fire, damaging a British ship, and withdrew to avoid any more casualties.

The truth is probably a mix of the two. All we truly know is what came next.

A speech in Westminster before the Commons

And a Speech in Congress before both houses..."


-from The Trilogy
by Kieren Hutchison, published 1999


-
NEXT UP! LATER TONIGHT A FULL TRANSCRIPT OF SHERMAN'S "LIBERTY OR DEATH" SPEECH IN CONGRESS!

For those just showing up read from here down to get caught up on the war stuff.
 
The question is could the US pull enough attention from Britain that an alt-WWI starts early , or forces the Brits into a more or less white or just slight win peace to avoid a continental Hegemon, which is their biggest worry, especially once that can project enough naval might to threaten them?

the Brits are going to want a quick knockout, and that isn't happening- the US is pretty self-reliant, and can absorb losses the way Russians can, and they can adapt fairly quickly.

The Brits best strategy would be to win big quickly, then ask for a small win, while trying to destabilize the US with its internal divisions to pressure the US into the humiliation without too much pain. If the divisions in the US heal over from this, Britain's in a long slog and they'll eventually have to deal with rebellions with their colonies and trouble in Europe. It's not as much American exceptionalism as it is British overextension that is going to put Britain on the clock.
 
The question is could the US pull enough attention from Britain that an alt-WWI starts early , or forces the Brits into a more or less white or just slight win peace to avoid a continental Hegemon, which is their biggest worry, especially once that can project enough naval might to threaten them?

the Brits are going to want a quick knockout, and that isn't happening- the US is pretty self-reliant, and can absorb losses the way Russians can, and they can adapt fairly quickly.

The Brits best strategy would be to win big quickly, then ask for a small win, while trying to destabilize the US with its internal divisions to pressure the US into the humiliation without too much pain. If the divisions in the US heal over from this, Britain's in a long slog and they'll eventually have to deal with rebellions with their colonies and trouble in Europe. It's not as much American exceptionalism as it is British overextension that is going to put Britain on the clock.
It’s funny because most of Europe is in panic mode. This war shouldn’t have happened, and realistically it wouldn’t have happened if anyone else were president of the United States.

Basically none of the nations in Europe are very happy that this war just started and want to see it end relatively fast.
 
The question is could the US pull enough attention from Britain that an alt-WWI starts early , or forces the Brits into a more or less white or just slight win peace to avoid a continental Hegemon, which is their biggest worry, especially once that can project enough naval might to threaten them?

the Brits are going to want a quick knockout, and that isn't happening- the US is pretty self-reliant, and can absorb losses the way Russians can, and they can adapt fairly quickly.

The Brits best strategy would be to win big quickly, then ask for a small win, while trying to destabilize the US with its internal divisions to pressure the US into the humiliation without too much pain. If the divisions in the US heal over from this, Britain's in a long slog and they'll eventually have to deal with rebellions with their colonies and trouble in Europe. It's not as much American exceptionalism as it is British overextension that is going to put Britain on the clock.
This is sorta reminding of an Afghan quote by Jack Carr:
The Americans have the all clocks but we have all the time
 
The question is could the US pull enough attention from Britain that an alt-WWI starts early , or forces the Brits into a more or less white or just slight win peace to avoid a continental Hegemon, which is their biggest worry, especially once that can project enough naval might to threaten them?

the Brits are going to want a quick knockout, and that isn't happening- the US is pretty self-reliant, and can absorb losses the way Russians can, and they can adapt fairly quickly.

The Brits best strategy would be to win big quickly, then ask for a small win, while trying to destabilize the US with its internal divisions to pressure the US into the humiliation without too much pain. If the divisions in the US heal over from this, Britain's in a long slog and they'll eventually have to deal with rebellions with their colonies and trouble in Europe. It's not as much American exceptionalism as it is British overextension that is going to put Britain on the clock.
As I've stated earlier this era is one of the few times the British can essentially ignore everything else in the world and focus on the war. There shouldn't be anything that would set off an early WW1 happening, there's not even any events you could really move up in Europe to set that up during this era. As for the US absorbing the losses I mean yes theoretically they can. But how are things going to feel like to the average citizen two years from now when they've lost every oversea possession, the navy is likely down to just USS Constitution and a few torpedo boats and while they may be advancing in Canada they're taking horrendous losses doing so for only a few meters of ground at a time? As for British overextension? Yeah India isn't going to rebel anytime soon, this is the era of a "loyal" India as well.
 
This is a mess.

I imagine the United States could take a serious pounding, I just hope that we can keep Ben Tillman away from any sort of executive position. Because the populists might well win in 1896.

Of course, that means William Jennings Bryan so he might be able to steer them away from anything global. Plus his youth won't come into question, a really old man was the one who pulled the trigger so he wouldn't lose his position.

I see William Jennings Bryan winning rather handily in 1896, and maybe actually serving out one term without incident. Of course there's a guy in September of 1901..
 
It’s funny because most of Europe is in panic mode. This war shouldn’t have happened, and realistically it wouldn’t have happened if anyone else were president of the United States.

Basically none of the nations in Europe are very happy that this war just started and want to see it end relatively fast.

That leads to the question how much pressure could they put on the Brits to stop it? The French and Germans aren't going to work together, and no other combination would have enough of a navy to do anything, and the whole continental isn't going to threaten an embargo- it's not that important to them.

The US is screwed here, the question is how screwed, and whether the Brits make it too insulting that it makes the US desire revenge the way the French did against Germany. When this war is over, the US military doctrine will become how to beat the Brits at sea, and they do have the capacity to rebuild, innovate, and produce enough to do it eventually, and a US-German anti-British alliance would almost be a certainty. This might also have cultural impacts on America, given how much the influence of German culture was reduced during WWI, the inverse might happen ITTL.

Britain would likely find itself diplomatically isolated afterwards, which could also end up disasterous for the ottomans if the Three Emperor Alliance continues to be a thing, and will be disasterous for France no matter what.

The only countries I could see being British allies afterwards are Japan, maybe some South American countries, and the Ottomans, and the Frnech only if they were suicidal.

I could also see the US developing unrestricted submarine warfare early ITTL.
 
That leads to the question how much pressure could they put on the Brits to stop it? The French and Germans aren't going to work together, and no other combination would have enough of a navy to do anything, and the whole continental isn't going to threaten an embargo- it's not that important to them.

The US is screwed here, the question is how screwed, and whether the Brits make it too insulting that it makes the US desire revenge the way the French did against Germany. When this war is over, the US military doctrine will become how to beat the Brits at sea, and they do have the capacity to rebuild, innovate, and produce enough to do it eventually, and a US-German anti-British alliance would almost be a certainty. This might also have cultural impacts on America, given how much the influence of German culture was reduced during WWI, the inverse might happen ITTL.

Britain would likely find itself diplomatically isolated afterwards, which could also end up disasterous for the ottomans if the Three Emperor Alliance continues to be a thing, and will be disasterous for France no matter what.

The only countries I could see being British allies afterwards are Japan, maybe some South American countries, and the Ottomans, and the Frnech only if they were suicidal.

I could also see the US developing unrestricted submarine warfare early ITTL.
See why would the pressure be on the British to stop it? Even from a neutral PoV it's more or less the US that wanted the war with the British trying for peace. If anything Europe is going to more on their side then the Americans. If any nation ends up diplomatically isolated Post-War it's more likely the US then the British.

If the US is smart what it would do is try and take Western Canada and just hold it till wars end. If they do that even if they fail to take Eastern Canada the British will have to return something for it. Otherwise Canada isn't going to be able to feed itself anymore.

I just realized this means Rough Riders of the North. TR better tame and ride into battle an actual bull moose at some point!

One last point, USW might work if it was later but the issue the submarine isn't matured enough technology yet to be an actual threat.
 
See why would the pressure be on the British to stop it? Even from a neutral PoV it's more or less the US that wanted the war with the British trying for peace. If anything Europe is going to more on their side then the Americans. If any nation ends up diplomatically isolated Post-War it's more likely the US then the British.

If the US is smart what it would do is try and take Western Canada and just hold it till wars end. If they do that even if they fail to take Eastern Canada the British will have to return something for it. Otherwise Canada isn't going to be able to feed itself anymore.

I just realized this means Rough Riders of the North. TR better tame and ride into battle an actual bull moose at some point!

One last point, USW might work if it was later but the issue the submarine isn't matured enough technology yet to be an actual threat.

Generally the international community vaguely supports the British. Sherman knew that even if the Italians arbitrated the ruling would probably be in London's favor, mostly because technically Fort Grant is in the British claim.

As for the northern rough Riders... uh... :coldsweat: no comment...
 
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Teaser
THE NEXT CHAPTER, Chapter 34: ANGLO AMERICAN WAR I- WILL CONSIST OF ALL OF THIS STUFF, Should be out tonight or sometime tomorrow

- American Political Shenanigans

- British Political Shenanigans

- Public opinion in Britain, USA and Canada

- American War plan cooking

- British War plan cooking

- News headlines on early engagements

- Closer look at early engagements


So it'll be all the really early stuff in the conflict, March-July 1893, don't expect major battles next chapter, it's mostly bills, training and preliminary actions. The most deadly fight in the next chapter happens at sea.
 
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Chapter 34: THE ANGLO-AMERICAN WAR I
"The Senate officially tabled the motion to elect a vice president on March 18th due to the war. Platt and the Liberal leadership assured that the vote would happen just after the war. This was very unpopular among the populists, who at this point had already carved out a position of total opposition to the war. In fact, James Weaver went as far as calling the US the aggressors in the war. Though this certainly didn't make him or his party very popular, it was appealing to many tiring workingmen.

Ben Tillman actually filed a lawsuit against the Senate for the tabling, saying that postponing the vote was unconstitutional. Realistically, he was right, but with war fever taking hold of the nation and the government, the case was shot down in the courts. Tillman would try and get it to the Supreme Court over the course of 1893, but the court consistently ignored him.

Thomas Custer was also pretty angry with the tabling at first, though he was eventually calmed down. Mere hours after the declaration of war was made, President Sherman nominated Thomas Custer to be his vice president. This led to a confusing moment where the Senate tabled the motion to elect a 'Vice President Elect' only to elect Custer as Vice President to John Sherman in the very next vote. Either way, Custer was placated and in total support of Sherman and the war. The Senate also quickly moved to pass Sherman's cabinet and pass a conscription law, all by a broad Republican-Liberal coalition.

The Grand Liberal-Republican Coalition of the late 1870s and early 1880s had returned! Both parties' agreed to pass any requests from the Sherman administration to support the war effort. Though both the LNC and RNC assured it would only be for the duration of the conflict."

-from The Trilogy
by Kieren Hutchison, published 1999



The Sherman Administration
Vice PresidentThomas Custer
Secretary of StateWalter Q. Gresham (Until 1895), William E. Chandler
Secretary of the TreasuryJoseph B. Foraker (Republican)
Secretary of WarGeorge Armstrong Custer
Attorney GeneralWilliam H. H. Miller (Republican)
Postmaster GeneralWilliam Lyne Wilson
Secretary of the NavyHilary A. Herbert
Secretary of the InteriorWilliam T. Sampson
Secretary of AgricultureJulius Sterling Morton

"Prime Minister Spencer quickly moved to craft a coalition upon taking No. 10. The Tories agreed to coalesce around the government for the remainder of the war, under the only condition that a general election be called at its conclusion. Spencer agreed to those terms. With a united Parliament, Spencer mostly dropped most of the Irish National MPs from the cabinet and quickly replaced them with Tory ministers. He then assembled a large number of military advisors, placing the War Office under the command of Field Marshal Garnet Joseph Wolseley.

After the reshuffle, Spencer moved to ensure that relationships in Parliament were steady. The Liberals introduced the 'Defense Against the Yankees Act' on March 19th, meant to give the government wide-ranging war powers. It was passed with no trouble and even whipped for by Lord Salisbury in the House of Lords; by March 21st, the Queen had marked the bill with royal accession. Seeing that the Tories were being truthful in their agreement to collation, Spencer then introduced a conscription bill, fearing a lack of volunteers.

The other political reality that is often forgotten is the stage in Canada. Prime Minister John D. Thompson was only a few months into the office, yet the chaos in the south was now testing him. Thompson had been suspicious of American ambitions since he came into office. Over the course of February, the potential for a conflict between London and DC was raised many times in the Commons and the Senate. The general agreement was that war was unlikely, and parliament refused to act on superstition.

Thompson was unconvinced. He began preparations for a possible war with the US behind the scenes. On February 25, the Canadian War Department prepared a quick report for Thompson that spelled out the dire situation Canada was in. In all realistic circumstances, it would take at least a couple months for British forces to arrive in Canada in any large capacity.

In other words, the first attacks would have to be defended by Canada alone. Thompson made the decision to ensure that the Canadian Army prioritized the ports along the St. Lawrence. It was made clear that no men would be lost over grassland; all they had to do was make sure the ports to the Atlantic stayed open so that London could flood in and support the front.

Initially, these early Canadian war plans were slow and small in scale. After the battle in the jungle on the 4th, though, the Canadian army began to take these concerns far more seriously. So too did Parliament. On March 6th, the Canadian Parliament condemned American aggression. By March 16th, as communication from Washington went silent and it became known that Sherman was preparing a speech to a joint session of Congress, the Canadian parliament finally acted.

They passed sweeping new powers meant for the Prime Minister and officially asked the War Office to prepare for the potential of war. The following day after the United States declared war, Victoria ordered the Governor General, Lord Stanley, to approve any and all laws passed by the Canadian parliament relating to any conflict with the United States, greatly expanding Canada’s militaristic autonomy on the eve of war."

-from Lord Spencer
by Gretta Huemer, published 1988



"In the lead-up to the breakout of the war, the people of the US, UK, and Canada were extremely weary of conflict. Pretty much during the entirety of January and February, the people felt detached from the happenings and threats from the Niger River. Most of these threats were ignored. Not even the newspapers paid much attention; there were more interesting things to talk about than a war destined to not happen.

It was only after the fourth that concern began to properly grow. What I think is interesting is the difference between how journalists handled the rising tensions after the battle in the jungle. In the US, yellow journalism began to take hold. Papers in the west and mid-atlantic began to publish stories of horrific British crimes during past wars; they'd play up the damage done on the 4th and they'd exaggerate the tensions between Washington, D.C., and London. One of the main points made was that the Battle in the Jungle came only a day after President Elect Pattison's death. Many newspapers blamed the British for hitting America while they were down. (It's debatable whether any of the British troops along the Niger actually knew the details of the Pattison derailment.) Either way, this story caught on.

In New England and Canada, most newspapers tried to do the exact opposite. Journalists would appeal to pragmatism and the need for peace. This reflected the opinions of both populations as well. Even after the destruction of the JQA, many in New England really only offered tacit support for the conflict, and the vast majority of Canadians wanted to sue for peace. Uninterested in fighting Japanese invasions...

On the 17th, just after Sherman returned from the joint session, he met with Nelson Miles and the entire war department, including George Armstrong Custer, who was a day off from being confirmed as Secretary of War. The purpose of this meeting was to discuss the plans for the war. How would the United States pull out a victory? Well, the thing is, basically everyone in that room agreed they stood no chance in any war lasting a long time. They had a populace with an already fizzling interest in the conflict, an economy that would most certainly collapse after a major British blockade, and a lot of fronts they couldn't necessarily handle.

Seems grim. It was. But most of the generals also agreed on a narrow path to victory.

First, Liberia needs to be abandoned. Get Pershing and Dewey home and cancel the deployment of any reinforcements heading there. It was a lost cause, and there was no point fighting over it.

Second is the economy. Get in contact with the major businesses in the US and get them to do their part; supercharge the industry. Also, the navy on the east coast should do whatever is possible to keep New York, Charleston, and Baltimore ports open. Try to convince the French and Russians that they need American trade; thus, they should put pressure on London. It wouldn't stop the economic collapse, but if all went well, it should postpone it.

Third, abandon the Pacific; it's a lost cause. It would be a waste of the navy to have any ships out there that aren't defending the California coast or bombarding Vancouver.

Finally, rush Canada. Secure the Maritimes and the ports on the Quebec coast. Cut them off from the Atlantic and stall any large-scale British deployment. Don't bother with the cities initially; Ottawa and Toronto will be hard to take; just try and surround them. On top of that, use the troops out west to secure as much of Western Canada as possible. If all goes well, they could perhaps start to negotiate with the crown.

Sherman had gotten himself into the war quickly to keep his job. Now he needed to get himself out of the war just as quick to do the same."

-from The Trilogy
by Kieren Hutchison, published 1999


"
The plan conducted between Spencer, Wolseley, and the War Department was short and sweet. As far as they were concerned, victory would be easy. It was going like this.

-Strangle the American economy by sea.

-Snatch the American islands in the Pacific and take the Nicaraguan Canal Zone to continue the canal's construction under British leadership.

Get as many men to Canada as fast as possible and beat the American invasions down.

Counterattack the American north, bombard some coastal cities, and force the weakened Americans to the negotiating table.

As far as Spencer could see, the war could be feasibly ended by 1892, with major concessions given to Britain. He and his generals agreed; D.C. stood absolutely no chance in the conflict to come."

-from Lord Spencer
by Gretta Huemer, published 1988



SECOND BATTLE IN THE JUNGLE
A Race to the Sea! Brits chase Pershing as he attempts to flee the Heart of Darkness
-Washington Post, March 20th 1893

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BRITISH STOP PURSUIT AT THE LIBERIAN BORDER
Pershing and the remaining African Expedition arrive in Monrovia to escape back home!
-Washington Post, March 22nd 1893



ROYAL NAVY ARRIVES TO BLOCKADE MONROVIA
A whole fleet of British ships have trapped Dewey and Pershing in Africa according to our sources.
-Washington Post, March 23rd 1893



MEN SIGN UP IN DROVES EVERYWHERE BUT NEW ENGLAND
Recruitment is having a felid day in every part of the nation but our home in the North. Read more on page eight.
-Boston Tribune, March 23rd 1893

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SPENCER MOBILIZES THE ROYAL NAVY, TRADE IMPACTED
New York harbor is eerily silent today as ships cannot leave for Europe after multiple convoys were stopped and attacked en route to France.
-New York Times, March 31st 1893

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SHERMAN PROMISES THE BLOCKADE CAN BE RAN
The Department of War has released information to help would be merchants run the British blockade. "it is at it's beginning, the brits are spread thin."
-New York Times, April 2nd 1893



YANKS ATTACK CANADA
General Wesley Merritt of the United States Armed Forces has invaded into New Brunswick
-The Times, April 10th 1893

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BATTLE OF MONROVIA
With British troops en route to Monrovia from Freetown, Dewey rushes to break the Royal Navy's blockade. Only two ships make it. Disaster for the Yanks!
-The Times, April 12th 1893

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MONROVIA FALLS
The Vile Major Downing enters Monrovia with little resistance as President Cheeseman surrenders
-The New York Times, April 15th 1893
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DEWEY AND PERSHING UNDER PURSUIT TOWARDS DOMINICA
The two surviving ships after the engagement at Monrovia are in dangerous waters.
-The Charleston Herald, April 17th 1893



BERMUDA BOMBARDED
Navy reports major damage done to Bermuda overnight.
-Washington Post, April 17th 1893

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DOMINICA PREPARES FOR THE WORST, ADMIRAL SAMPSON SAILS OUT TO SUPPORT DEWEY'S ESCAPE
As Dewey and the survivors of the African expedition arrive to Dominica, the Navy sends reinforcements.
-Washington Post, April 19th 1893
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¡BATALLA EN EL MAR! ¡SAMPSON CUBRE EL RETIRO DE DEWEY! ¡BRITÁNICOS ENVIADOS A CORRER!
¡El almirante Dewey llegará sano y salvo a Dominica junto con los 500 supervivientes de la expedición Pershing!
-Dominican Post, April 22nd 1893

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SANDWICH ISLANDS SEIZED WITH LITTLE RESISTANCE
The War Office has announced a successful seizure of the Sandwich islands. The Royal Navy says there was a very small American presence that quickly surrendered.
-The Times, April 29th 1893

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FREDERICTON IN YANKEE HANDS!
Americans reported on the streets of New Brunswick's capital today after a quick battle outside the city. No comment from the Prime Minister.
-The Ottawa Herald, May 2nd 1893
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GENERAL MERRITT BLOCKS ALL ROADS TO NOVA SCOTIA
As the American Occupation of New Brunswick comes to it's beginning, our boys are blocking the roads towards Halifax.
-The Augusta Tribune, May 5th 1893



BATTLE OF WINDSOR, YANKEE FORCES SUCCESSFULLY PUSH OUR BOYS FROM WINDSOR. MEN FALL BACK TO TORONTO.
Windsor falls as the Canadian army plans to create a new line of defense ahead of London to stop any further American advancement.
-The Toronto Times, May 8th 1893

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SHERMAN SENDS GENERAL SHAFTER TOWARDS QUEBEC CITY!
A large army, primarily made up of the former occupiers of the Striker States, has been sent north to block off the St. Lawrence headed by General Shafter.
-The St. Louis Tribune, May 12th 1893
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SPENCER PROMISES BRITISH TROOPS TO ARRIVE IN CANADA BY LATE JULY!
Rapidly moving ahead of schedule, the Prime Minister hopes to get boys in Canada within two months.
-The Times, May 15th 1893



SKIRMISH OUTSIDE VANCOUVER!
American troops begin their attack of western Canada. Small militias have been organized of primarily untrained western Canadians to beat back the yanks.
-The Ottawa Times, May 17th 1893
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INDIAN ATTACKS
Rumors of British interference as Natives attack American troops in Adams along the Canadian border.
-The Sewardton Times, May 20th 1893
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GUARD BEAT BACK!
In a huge shock the Washington National Guard has been forced to retreat from British Columbia after losing a skirmish to an under-armed group of Vancouverites.
-The San Francisco Chronicle, May 22nd 1893
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SEATTLE BOMBARDED
Earlier this morning the Royal Navy came from the Pacific and bombarded Seattle. The shelling lasted two hours, untold amount of casualties and damage.
-The Los Angeles Times, May 23rd 1893



GRUMBLES FROM PARIS
French officials express a willingness for trade to resume with the United States in the aftermath of the first month post blockade.
-The Times, May 25th 1893
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THE GREAT FACE OFF
Shafter forced to stop as large Canadian Army under L. N. F. Crozier stands in their way outside Montreal.

-The New York Times, May 28th 1893
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"When asked to describe the early phases of the Anglo-American War, one must first understand that neither Britain nor the United States were ready for war. March and April were mostly uneventful as citizens signed up for service and the preexisting armies of the two nations slowly began to mobilize. That said, the first proper engagement came along the Niger River. After Major Downing was informed of the war's start, he once again attacked Fort Grant. After a quick battle, Pershing and his men fled the jungle and began rushing for the Liberian border, being chased by Downing's men. Skirmishes continued during the pursuit until Downing stopped and turned around. Going back to Freetown and letting Pershing go to Monrovia.

Pershing, upon arriving in Monrovia, realized very quickly that they were stuck. Commodore Dewey, who waited with his small fleet for Dewey, was now trapped in the Monrovian port by a British blockade. They were outnumbered and outgunned. For the next couple weeks, Pershing and Dewey discussed what to do. Eventually, they agreed that staying would be a death sentence. Word arrived that nearly 7,000 men from Freetown were just entering Liberia. The Liberian government seemed eager to surrender, and it was all but assured that more British ships were on the way. So, on April 11th, Dewey said screw it, took 1900 of the 2500 American men aboard his five ships, and sailed head-on into the British blockade. After an hour, only two American ships had passed through the British wall. Three had been sunj, with most of their crews being captured.

Dewey's main ship, the Iowa, which carried Pershing, and the USS Baltimore successfully made it through the blockade despite the chaos. The two ships were now going full speed ahead to the nearest American port in Dominica. Back in Monrovia, the 600 American troops left in the city put up a minor fight against the onslaught of Britons, but they stood no match. Monrovia fell, and with it, so did Liberia.

Dewey and Pershing now sailed straight towards another much larger blockade. Though the British blockade of the US was still generally forming, President Sherman understood that the survival of Pershing and Dewey was paramount to American prestige. He ordered a surprise attack on Bermuda, led by Rear Admiral Sigsbee, to distract part of the British blockade. This was mostly successful, with minimal American losses. Dewey, for his part, was being trailed by eight British ships under the command of Admiral Richard Hamilton. It was a race, and Hamilton was picking up speed.

By the 18th, it seemed inevitable that Dewey would be caught up too before he could make it home. That was until he saw a large fleet of 10 American ships approaching. An American fleet had been sent to reinforce Dewey under Admiral Sampson. They were successful. After a quick fight with Hamilton, two British ships were sunk, and the rest fled. Dewey was saved.

Back on dry land, the Americans began their invasion of Canada. This started with General Fred Merritt being sent north to capture New Brunswick and Nova Scotia from mainland Canada. Merritt had nearly 7,500 federal troops on April 10th. Throughout his month-long campaign, he never faced a proper Canadian army. Instead, he only fought a series of skirmishes on his way to Fredericton. Merritt did actually face a small Canadian force when finally arriving in Fredericton, but it was underequipped and mostly made up of the local defense force. Instead of properly facing them, Merritt shelled them out of the city and then had his cavalry surround the 1,000-man regiment.

By mid-May, Merritt had accomplished his task and severed Halifax from Canada. The War Department then ordered him to stay put. When Merritt told them of the complete lack of proper resistance, D.C. shrugged their shoulders.

After success in the Maritimes and the assembly of more federal troops along the Canadian border, the next attacks began. One movement through Windsor towards Toronto, one up into Vancouver, another towards Winnipeg, and a final (and largest) meant to seize control of the St. Lawrence Delta under General Shafter.

The Battle of Windsor could be considered the first proper battle of the war, as a well-trained Canadian regiment went head-on with an American one, but I hesitate to call it that. Only 55 people were killed, and the Canadians soon withdrew from Windsor to establish a better frontline near London. The Americans that left Michigan were soon stopped in their tracks from the much more well-defended position and got bogged down into a defensive line of their own.

The attack at Winnipeg had to be delayed as some plains Indians rose up and attacked the men stationed to attack, and the Washington National Guard, which was assembled to seize Vancouver, was sent running by a larger force of scantily armed militia men. Soon afterwards, the Royal Navy, which had just secured Hawaii, bombarded Sealte, killing over 300 people and striking panic in every city in America. In other words, things could've been going better.

Finally, there was Shafter's offensive. The big flashy one with nearly 14,000 men and orders to secure St. Lawrence. As Shafter moved north, he was consistently pestered by Canadian cavalry and scouts. Unlike Merritt, Shafter quickly realized there was quite a large Canadian army ahead. He was right. By the end of May, he was faced with it."

-from The Anglo-American War
by Terry Hurst, Published 1977


-
SO THE WAR HAS BEGUN!

The first major battle will be gone over tomorrow.

Have fun with this long chapter and have fun discussing it friends! Ask any questions you have!
 
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Man even if the US can't pull out a decisive victory here, the bad feelings this war would create will ensure that US Anglophilia is dead. When WWI comes around, the US will join Germany and any gains Britain makes in this war will be reversed.

One way or another, Canada will be American.
 
December 15th, 1892: Lieutenant John Pershing is sent beyond the borders of Liberia north, along the Niger River, with 2000 men of the 'African Expedition.' Meant to expand the Liberian borders. 200 men stay in Monrovia with orders to keep the Liberian government loyal.

December 18th, 1892: Pershing's boys set up their first camp ten miles from the Liberian border.

December 23, 1892: Camp One is abandoned.

December 23rd, 1892: Locals spot the Americans while they leave camp.

December 26th, 1892: At the second base camp, orders are sent via messenger that they ought to cross the Niger River and move west.

December 27th, 1892: Pershing's men agree, moving west into what is mostly uninhabited British-claimed territory.

December 29th, 1892: Locals, seeing the Americans, inform British authorities.

January 1st, 1893: The expedition finds a large clearing in the brush with suitable soil. He decides it is a good spot for a fort.

January 2, 1893: A messenger is sent back to Monrovia to inform them of the new fort location and asks for reinforcement, supplies, and preliminary settlers.

January 3rd, 1893: After receiving orders from London, Governor Flemming of the Sierra Leone Colony sends Major Thomas Downing and 2500 men to ask the Americans to return to their side of the Niger River.

January 6th, 1893: Downing and Pershing meet. After a tension-filled discussion, Pershing refuses to leave until orders return from Monrovia.

January 8th, 1893: The messenger returns from Liberia; he informs Pershing that supplies and settlers are on the way to the newly named Fort Grant. Pershing then sends him back to Monrovia with news of the British presence.

January 9th, 1893: Another 100 British forces arrive to support Downing outside Fort Grant.

January 10th, 1893: Downing and Pershing meet a second time and agree to avoid any violence.

January 10, 1893: Upon arriving in Monrovia and informing American command of the situation, word is sent to Washington, D.C. On the same day, Governor Flemming sent word to London of the situation.

January 11, 1893: President Grant gives orders to not retreat from the clearing and force the British to chicken out. The same day, Prime Minister Gladstone orders that Downing issue an ultimatum.

January 12th, 1893: Orders make it to the two commanders; both follow their orders, and nothing changes.

January 13th, 1893: Again, both American and British commands in Sierra Leone and Liberia inform their respective governments.

January 14, 1893: With great haste, the British Ambassador in Washington, D.C., issues a formal complaint to the President. News in both the UK and US picks up on the story.

January 15th, 1893: Monrovia gets to work on a telephone line between Fort Grant and Liberia. President Grant publicly refuses to order Pershing to retreat and pushes London to give up.

January 16th, 1893: Gladstone orders British troops to return to Freetown.

January 17th, 1893: Major Downing withdraws back to Freetown, and Pershing declares victory.

January 19, 1893: Newspapers report an American victory in the standoff.

January 20th, 1893: The British ambassador to America declares that the fight is not over.

January 25th, 1893: A telephone and telephone operator arrive at Fort Grant, shortly after the telephone line is connected.

January 26th, 1893: Extra-british forces leave Gibraltar for Freetown.

January 31st, 1893: Settlers arrive at Fort Grant along with the requested supplies. Including three pieces of artillery.

February 5, 1893: Fort Grant celebrates the House's election of Robert E. Pattison as president elect.

February 7th, 1893: 4600 British forces assemble in Freetown.

February 8th, 1893: D.C. is informed of the increased troop presence, and negotiations with London begin.

February 15th, 1893: Negations fall through as Britain refuses to allow Liberia to gain any territory. Downing and the 4600 men are ordered to once again stand off with Pershing.

February 16th, 1893: Gladstone officially issues a ten-day ultimatum for American removal.

February 17th, 1893: Panic starts in both the US and UK.

February 18th, 1893: Downing arrives outside Fort Grant.

February 19, 1893: Though saying nothing publicly, Grant sends a direct order to Pershing to not move no matter what happens.

February 21st, 1893: The State Department tells the press they believe the British will back down.

February 23rd, 1893: Major Downing privately urges Pershing to leave Fort Grant. He tells him that London was very serious about the situation. Pershing declines.

February 24th, 1893: Haitian war hero Commodore George Dewey and three United States naval vessels are sent from Savannah port towards Freetown.

February 26th, 1893: The ultimatum deadline expires. Downing receives no orders.

February 27th, 1893: Downing requests some sort of order.

February 28th, 1893: Freetown orders him to stay put.

March 1st, 1893: Dewey arrives just outside of Freetown. They pass by the shore before sailing to Monrovia to refuel.

March 2, 1893: President Pattison is killed in a train derailment, and the American government flies into chaos.

March 3rd, 1893, 7:22 AM: In the early morning, the Royal Navy sails to Monrovia and does the same intimidating sail by tactic Dewey employed. Dewey orders his ships to leave port and requests that the British ships leave.

March 3rd, 1893, 9:32: Freetown sends a message to Downing. To this day, the intent of the message is unknown. It states, '"New orders are to come soon, Yankees in chaos back home." This message causes British troops to be on edge.

March 3rd, 1893, 10:44: A young American private yells mocking terms over at the British. This has been a common occurrence, but usually the British don't respond. This time was different. Supposedly, British troops responded by making fun of Pattison's death. Something the American troops were yet to hear about.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:01: Once the death of Pattison was confirmed to the troops, both sides began to get angry. Yelling began.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:13: A gunshot rings out throughout the jungle. No one knows who shot first. Soon after, a gunfight begins.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:17: Close quarters combat begins as some American troops rush out of the makeshift walls of Fort Grant.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:22: Downing hears about the skirmish. Unsure of what to do, he tries to calm the situation.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:23: Pershing is awoken from his nap by screams. He is told the British attacked; he orders all men in Fort Grant to the walls and to the dugouts.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:25: The Americans lose close quarters combat and retreat back to Fort Grant under fire. Troops on the walls of Fort Grant fire at undefended British troops.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:28: Major Downing is told that the Americans in the Fort are firing on British troops; he is also told that the Americans started the engagement. Downing, seeing no other option, orders the British troops to storm Fort Grant.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:38: Cannon fire from the British camp hits the makeshift walls of Fort Grant. Pershing, now fearing a full-scale attack, orders the telephone operator to inform Monrovia of the British attack. Then he and his officers leave Fort Grant from the back and go to a nearby outpost on a hill.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:40: British troops begin their first assault of Fort Grant. At the same time, the telephone operator informs Monrovia of the chaos. Soon after, the telephone line was cut by British forces.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:42: American troops rush to wheel out artillery provided on January 31st and set it up on the walls.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:44: Commodore Dewey is informed of the situation in the jungle. Now, fearing that the British ships outside Monrovia will attack the city, he orders warning shots on the British vessels.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:46: Captain Hannity of the HMS Albert is confused by the escalation orders retaliatory warning shots. Hannity is told by his junior officers to withdraw.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:47: Dewey, now fearing the worst, orders a salvo from the USS Iowa, intended to miss the Albert.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:48: One shot of the slavo hits the HMS Albert. Captain Hannity, now knowing he was under fire, orders a retaliatory salvo as the other two British ships close in to support the Albert. Hannity is told again to withdraw, this time with far more intensity from his junior officers. After a second thought, he agrees. Hannity orders all three British ships to return to Freetown.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:50: The confused Dewey celebrates a victory; word is quickly sent to DC that the British have now tried to attack the Americans on land and sea.

March 3rd, 1893, 11:55: After American artillery from within Fort Grant is finally set up and fires on the British position, the British withdraw. Gunfire stops, and both sides dig in and prepare for another engagement in the near future.

March 3rd, 1893, 12:40: After counting the dead American casualties in the jungle, they stand at 13 and the British casualties stand at 7. With 33 injuries on both sides,.

March 3rd, 1893, 12:44: One British sailor had a heart attack and died shortly after the engagement with the Iowa. He is mourned aboard the HMS Kent.

March 4, 1893: John Sherman is inaugurated President of the United States. In his inaugural address, he informs the public of the battle in the jungle and at sea. He then informs the people that, due to the cutting of the phone line, they have no contact with the African expedition. He says "I MUST ADMIT! My friends the worst has entered my mind, that our boys in the jungle have been slaughtered! I promise you, we will not rest until justice is served. THAT BASTARD GLADSTONE MUST HAVE A DAMN GOOD EXPLANATION!" Earthquaking and shocked cheers rumbled throughout the Capitol steps.

March 4th, 1893: Shocked newspapers publish the news of the battles. Mass panic follows in the US, Canada and UK.

March 5th, 1893: 10 Downing Street officially places all blame on the Americans, saying that the attacks by the USS Iowa and the battle in the jungle were clear provocations and that Parliament would be considering anything at it's next session.

March 5th, 1893: Queen Victoria releases a statement. She condemns the United States for its actions in Africa and announces that she and Prime Minister Gladstone will ensure that justice upon the Americans is served. The Queen then issues a royal proclamation expelling the American ambassador from London.

March 5th, 1893: Sherman asks the British Ambassador to leave as well, he is given a train ticket to Ottawa. Now the only line between the two is a telephone line from the D.C to Ottawa. Sherman says that he will only hear British words from a Canadian diplomat who he "trusts more".

NEITHER DC OR LONDON HAVE ANY CONTACT WITH MAJOR DOWNING OR LIEUTENANT PERSHING BY MARCH 5TH
Just to be clear is Pershing like the Lt Col or an actually Lt taking part in the expedition? Because it sounds like a Lt is leading an regiment size unit.
 
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