The House of Palaiologos, Against the Tide: An Eastern Roman Timeline

Sorry its taken so long (researching national heroes of Balkans nations can take quite awhile), but here's a big update for the weekend.

"When walking the razor's edge, it pays to tread carefully." Niccolo Sforza, Italian philosopher, author, and political theorist.

1454 Mehmed, now fully feeling the effects of his loss, readies himself to return to the battlefield. Although his pride would have him immediately attack the Byzantines in reprisal for their defiance, pragmatism wins out, and in early spring he turns west and takes 40,000 men out of his forces at Adrianople to deal with the Albanians on the border. Over the past several months their raids have become more and more damaging, and have continued despite the onset of winter. Besides that, Albania had been in open rebellion under George Kastrioti Skanderbeg for a decade, and Mehmed saw this as an opportunity to eliminate an annoying thorn in his side while he waited for his fleet to be assembled at Thessalonica.

His forces arrived at the unofficial border of Albania on March 3rd, and shortly thereafter besiege the castle of Kruje, the main headquarters of Skanderbeg. Despite launching several assaults on the small and beleaguered garrison the Ottomans are repelled each time. The siege only ends when, in the early morning hours of April 5th, Skanderbeg and the garrison sally forth, and quickly breach the western perimeter of the siege lines. By the time the Ottoman main force knows what is happening Skanderbeg and the 2,000 men of the garrison are gone, vanished with the rising sun. Now defenseless, Kruje is taken with no further casualties, but no significant supplies are found within, and Mehmed must spend two precious weeks resupplying, rearming, and garrisoning the fortress to insure that it isn’t used to further hinder him. By April 21st Skanderbeg has every lord in Albania sending him troops and money, and the Venetians giving him foreign backing. His forces are still greatly outnumbered by Mehmed’s, but they are able to garrison every fortress and hill fort in Albania against invasion, making every inch Mehmed gains so difficult that by summer he has only just managed to secure the area surrounding Kruje completely.

Despite the fierce resistance along the way, Mehmed manages to bring 38,000 of his original 40,000 men (roughly 1,500 casualties, and 500 men left to garrison Kruje) to Lezhe, which is acting as capital for the Albanian League of Lezhe despite being currently owned by the Venetians. The city is put under siege on the 19th of June, marking the official declaration of war between Venice and Mehmed’s Ottomans, although this changes nothing for the moment, as the Venetians have already been supplying the Albanian resistance, and are not yet willing to directly intervene in the situation. With a garrison of less than 10,000, the defenders of Lezhe have next to no chance at driving the Turks from the field, and resign themselves to keeping the walls from being overrun. Mehmed, for his part, is beginning to see the writing on the wall about assaulting fortifications, and wisely decides to hold the siege lines and bombard the city with his cannons instead of risking pitched battle. This poses the challenge of keeping his supply lines open and safe from raiders, but Mehmed manages to do so without spreading himself too thin, and so the siege continues.

Back in Constantinople things have been far from quiet, as Constantine has been attempting to restore the pro union Gregory III to the patriarchate. In 1451 the people of Constantinople replaced Gregory III with Athanasius II, who is anti-unionist. Ordinarily Constantine would be willing to tolerate Athanasius’ anti-unionism, but Pope Nicholas V, who has been harboring Gregory since his exile from Constantinople, has just sent Gregory back, along with a moderate sum of money, and a request that Constantine reinstate Gregory as Patriarch of Constantinople. More importantly, the Pope has promised significant financial aid to Constantine if he reinstates Gregory, but makes known in no uncertain terms that there will be no aid if Athanasius remains in power, and even goes so far as to threaten Constantine with the possibility of a trade embargo condemning all Catholics who trade in Constantinople. That is something that Constantine can’t allow to happen if he is to continue to resist Turkish encroachment, and so he makes the reinstatement of Gregory a top priority venture.

Constantine’s efforts to reinstate Patriarch Gregory III are aided considerably by the good will felt towards the Latins following the defense of Constantinople from Mehmed he previous year, but there is still a large majority within the population who find the idea of reunification with Rome intolerable. Constantine is able to downplay Gregory’s unionist attitude, and remind the people of his legitimacy as patriarch, and on March 7th Gregory is reinstated, while Athanasius, who has rapidly fallen out of popularity after criticizing the Latins directly after their heroic defense of the breach, is quietly removed from the public eye and shipped off to Venetian Crete. Almost immediately there are riots in the streets, as Gregory’s first sermon upon being reinstated directly mentions the possibility of reunifying the churches. Constantine realizes that for this to work Gregory must be kept on a much shorter leash, and from this point on Gregory is forbidden from saying mass except during Holy Week, and even then he is to be closely monitored by the emperor personally. The situation isn’t pretty, but it is enough to convince the papacy to offer their aid, which Constantine gladly accepts.

There was also a brief military campaign under Constantine in the July of 1454, when he received an intelligence report on Rumelihisarı, the new fortress built by Mehmed in 1451-2 to aid in the siege of Constantinople. Now virtually abandoned because of the failure of Mehmed’s siege, Constantine snatched at the opportunity for a quick popularity boosting victory, and got one after assembling 2,000 men and several of the new Orbon guns as a task force to take the castle. Although the fortress had been stripped of most of it’s more valuable items, there was still a small cache of gold, and a few cannons and munitions that were left behind for the castle’s defense. Ultimately the most valuable thing that is gained from the conquest of Rumelihisarı is the stone of the castle itself, which it high quality, and is used to cheaply repair the breach in the Theodosian Walls, and the fortress on Tenedos, saving Constantine a great deal of money on two necessary projects. The fortress is ultimately reduced to it’s earthworks, and thereafter abandoned, as Constantine has no desire to see it re-manned by the Turks.

In the Morea, Thomas is pleasantly surprised by Mehmed’s choice to ignore the Duchy of Athens for now, and he continues to collect monthly tribute from the Athenians as a result. The Morea itself is largely demilitarized, as it is quite important that the men taken from the fields for last year’s campaign get back to work on the farms now, but Thomas resolves to keep a standing army of 1,000 men, in addition to the local militias, to help him keep order and if necessary defend the peninsula from the Turks or Venetians. He also begins to have correspondence with George Kastrioti Skanderbeg, and is rewarded for the effort with an alliance with the League of Lezhe. Lastly, Thomas is able to celebrate the birth of his first son, whom he names Andreas, on July 2nd of 1454.

For the Candarli Ottoman Empire 1454 was a year of growing pains. While the overwhelming majority of the Anatolian nobles had sided with Candarli and his puppet Orhan II during the split, the transition had not been totally painless. Only after Mehmed’s defeat at Constantinople was the Grand Vizier’s position truly secure, as the bloody and high casualty defeat vindicated his stance of opposition to European expansion. Although there were none who would outright support Mehmed with him still stuck in Europe, the Grand Vizier recognized that if Mehmed did somehow manage to return to Anatolia there would be no way to guarantee the loyalty of the higher-ups. Because of this, Candarli was forced to move allot of money under the table to ensure loyalty in his people, and by 1454 he was getting quite tired of this routine.

The chance to change this had come almost immediately after the Turkish split. The neighboring Karamanid Emirate, a second class power to the Ottomans, but one commited to their destruction nonetheless, had begun raiding as soon as Orhan had been placed on the throne. Their leader, Ibrahim II, officially stated that he did not recognize the ascent of Orhan II (although he did not state that he supported Mehmed either), and declared war upon the Candarli Ottoman Empire around the time of Mehmed’s failure to take Constantinople. Ibrahim had set about gathering troops for an invasion, and by May he and a force of over 20,000 were ready to march. His forces had set up siege lines around the important Ottoman city of Ankara in the same month. For Candarli Halil Pasha, this was an opportunity too good to miss, and he gathered together all the troops he had managed to secure since his ascent, along with his Sultan and many of his nobles (a force numbering roughly 36,000 total), and marched to meet the Karamanids.

The two armies met outside Ankara on July 4th of 1454. Despite an Ottoman numerical advantage of over 10,000, Ibrahim did not back down. As far as he knew, Orhan II was actually commanding the Ottoman forces, and Ibrahim refused to step aside for a boy king, believing that his superior command and troop quality would win the day. Moral was similarly high in the Ottoman army, as they believed that their own superior numbers and the Grand Vizier’s generalship would carry the day. The battle was fought on relatively flat even ground, which favored the Ottomans on account of their numbers. The fighting began when Candarli ordered a general cavalry charge against the Karamanids. The Sipahi cavalry contained most of the dangerous nobility, who in general preferred to fight on horseback. Candarli then ordered his infantry archers to begin firing, while his light cavalry archers ran around the Karamanid flanks. Here, the Ottoman light cavalry were forced to engage the Karamanid light cavalry, but their numbers were too great and within 20 minutes the Ottoman light cavalry had totally surrounded the Karamanid infantry. The fighting was fierce, but ultimately favored the Ottoman Sipahis over the Karramanid infantry. With the battle rapidly turning against him, Ibrahim chose not to commit his own heavy cavalry, and withdrew from the field with 10,000 cavalrymen (both light and heavy) in tow.

Although the Ottomans held the field, and had slaughtered the Karamanid infantry almost to a man, they had lost over half of their heavy cavalry, with as many dead or wounded from friendly fire as from the Karamanid soldiery. This of course, was exactly what Candarli Halil Pasha had hoped for, as he now had approximately half the wealthy strongmen to deal with. He pursued the Karamanids into their territory, and when Ibrahim neglected to defend the regional capital of Konya (on account of his low man count), the Ottomans stormed the city and defeated the undersized garrison with minimal casualties.
After this loss Ibrahim was able to gather new forces from his interior territories, and stop the Ottoman advance. Raiding continued between the two forces until mid-August, when Ibrahim II, Orhan II, and Candarli Halil Pasha negotiated a truce. Konya was ceded to the Ottomans, along with the surrounding area, but aside from this things returned to the prewar status between the two Turkish states. Back in Bursa, Candarli and Orhan were able to celebrate victory over the Karamanids, further securing the loyalty of the people, who had felt the neglect of the eastern frontier acutely during the reigns of Murad II and Mehmed II.

On November 1st Mehmed finally assaults Lezhe, after months of siege and bombardment. The city is so thoroughly destroyed that Mehmed was able to launch a full cavalry charge through the largest breach, and within hours the city is his. Despite this, the victory has is darkened when Mehmed learns that Skanderbeg has once again eluded his grasp, taking half the garrison with him to break the siege lines on the opposite side from Mehmed’s assault. Despite this, the city, ruined though it is, is still a moderately wealthy prize, and many of the youths of Lezhe find themselves drafted into Mehmed’s janissaries, where they will be trained to be among the most capable fighters in the world. The siege has cost Mehmed time, but that is all, as he has lost fewer than 500 men, and gained enough wealth from the city to pay for his expenses.

For Skanderbeg it is a bitter defeat, as the League of Lezhe begins to crumble without it’s titular capital, but hope remains for the wily Albanian. With the Ottomans now officially at war with them, the Lion of St. Mark begins to stir. The Venetians, who have had more than their fair share of grievances at Ottoman hands, most recently Mehmed’s siege of Constantinople, which, in addition to cutting them off from Constantinople and the black sea, had also threatened to eliminate one of the monarchs most indebted to them, are quite interested in the possibility of an anti-Ottoman crusade in Europe, but for the moment Venice is quiet. Wars at home and an elderly Doge have conspired to keep Venice from directly intervening against the Turks, but now that Mehmed has declared war and interrupted Venetian trade on two separate occasions, the serene republic is more open to the idea of an alliance against the Turks. There are tentative negotiations with the Papacy and the Byzantines, but for now that is all there is. Venice wants to be sure they will win if they are to spend money on a war after all.

Mehmed’s advances are felt elsewhere in Europe as well, as the Hungarians, under the effective control of regent John Hunyadi (since King Ladislaus V was currently being held against his will in the court of Holy Roman Emperor Fredrick III), make preparations for war with the Ottomans. One of these preparations was to give Hunyadi’s advisor Vlad Dracula control of his native homeland of Wallachia, naming him Voivode of Wallachia for the second time while quietly removing Vladislav II. Prince Vlad III, although still only 23, has thus far shown great promise in the eyes of John Hunyadi, and besides that he has an undying hatred of the Ottomans, especially Mehmed II. This is important to Hunyadi, as he has in the past had quite a bit of trouble with allies who are more focused on personal gain and glory than expelling the Ottomans from Europe. The main problem facing the prospect of an anti-Ottoman crusade at this point was the dubious loyalty of the Despot of Serbia, Durad Brankovic. Brankovic, now aged 77, was obviously not long for this world, and so Hunyadi decided that the best plan was to curry favor with his son Lazar (Durad’s heir apparent as his only son who had not been blinded by Murad II), and wait until Durad’s death. This also bode well for the Palaiologos, as Lazar Brankovic was Thomas Palaiologos’ son in law, and an ally of the empire.

For the outside world, 1454 was a relatively quiet year, with the notable exception of the death of King John II of Castille. Although his death was one of natural causes, his succession was not completely strait forward. He had been married twice, and although he had one son from each marriage, neither of them were perfect candidates. His elder son Henry was 29 years old, and was the obvious choice for succession, but had yet to sire a single child, legitimate or otherwise, and was widely considered to be impotent. Besides that, he was a generally weak personality, rumored to be a homosexual, and failed to inspire loyalty in the nobility. John’s second son, Alfonso, was still only 2 years old, so he was considered unsuitable so long as an adult male heir existed, but there were those within the kingdom who found the idea of a regency to be an opportunity to be sought after. Despite this, Henry was crowned as Henry IV, and for the moment proceeded to take his place on the throne.

In England the final loss of the Hundred Years War had caused their king, the somewhat feeble minded Henry VI to sink into madness. Although he recovered by the end of the year, and his position had been helped somewhat by the birth of his son, Edward in October, he had nonetheless lost a dangerous amount of respect in the eyes of his powerful nobility. For the moment, the people of England are simply glad to have their king back in a respectable state of sanity, but storm clouds are gathering, and the stage is set for civil war.

Besides this, 1454 was a time of preparation, as various factions watched and waited for their best opportunity to strike at one another. The Balkans threaten to boil over, as preparations for the Ottoman Crusade (as it would later be called) reach their height, and Albania is locked in a desperate struggle against the inexorable advance of Mehmed II. In Western Europe, it is succession, rather than holy war, that has most people concerned, but the former is often more devastating than the later. Still, the events of 1454 are often forgotten in the cloudburst of the late 1450s, an interesting time to be sure.
 
I assume they would have ran out of money by now, even sacking a few cities wouldn't for the soldiers i assume.
 
Where does Mehmed get the money to pay for his army?

Firstly, the Mehmet still has all of his European territories, an area larger, wealthier, and more populous than England at this time. Secondly, the Ottomans in this period frequently put armies of 100,000 men into the field at this time, while still having enough troops at home to be safe from invaders. Not only that, but when these massive 100,000 man forces were destroyed, they would imediately put another into the feild. In light of that, Mehmed's grand military total of 70,000 (40,000 in Albania, 20,000 protecting the Constantinopolitan frontier, and 10,000 in various defensive positions in the Balkans) seems like a skeleton crew. Also, consider the structure of the Ottoman army. By and large in this period, it was a slave army, meaning very low upkeep, and soldiers who have no other options but to climb the military ladder.

So Mehmed has problems, but paying for his army is not yet one of them.
 
To be honest, I was kind of hesitant to actually even open your thread, since I am a little burned out on Byzantium timelines, but boy am I glad to have actually read it!

Brilliant so far, you almost already had me at your choice of POD. Very, very interesting.
 
rldragon Thanks! I'm afraid that I picked a nation with quite a few TLs already under it's belt, but I couldn't resist the challenge of saving the Roman empire in it's most pathetic state. In my defence, I think that 80-90% of my writing has actually been about Byzantium's neighbors, since at this point their actions have as much or more to do with the empire's survival than the empire itself does. I hope to keep a broad scope for this TL, with events like the Renaissance, the Age of Discovery, the Reformation, and the Wars of the Roses making prominent appearances. Also, look out for the HRE after Fredrick III dies, his heir TTL (a different one on account of butterflies) will be interesting I assure you.

And now here's an update!

1455

"It is human frailty that is most apt to ruin even the most glorious enterprises."-Niccolo Sforza, Italian philosopher, author, and political theorist.

The year 1455 begins with two important events in the Balkans; a birth and a death. The birth is that of the second son of Mehmed II, Cem, on January 9th. Although Mehmed already has one son, Bayezid, Cem is the first son born to his favorite wife, Emine (1). Bayezid, a boy of eight with a mother who has no influence in Mehmed’s court, is swept aside by his father’s new favorite, and while the sultan does not go so far as disinheriting his eldest son, he immediately associates the infant Cem as a prince of the Ottoman Empire, with full rights to both the European and Asian territories of the empire (a statement he makes in blatant denial of the breakaway state in Asia, as he still considers the sea to be the sole obstacle keeping Candarli Halil Pasha and Orhan II in power). In addition to adding new member of the Ottoman royal family, Cem’s birth has the unintended effect of recalling Mehmed to Adrianople/Edirne, while his forces in Albania are left under the command of his new Grand Vizier, Zaganos Pasha, a fanatically loyal Christian convert who was himself originally from Albania.

The death, occurring on January 15th, is that of Durad Brankovic, the aged and wealthy Despot of Serbia. Despite his advanced age, it is almost certain that Durad died of foul play, by his youngest son and heir, Lazar(2). This is further supported by Lazar’s immediate banishment of his older, blinded brothers Grgur and Stefan, and of their mother Eiriene Kantakouzene (a princess from the former Byzantine imperial house of Kantakouzene). Despite Lazar’s immediate banishment of his older brothers, and their blindness, he still faces considerable opposition from his nobles, as he is considerably less popular than his elder brothers, and is rumored to be an Ottoman sympathizer like his father, while his brothers, having been blinded by the Ottoman Sultan Murad II, have no love at all for the Ottoman empire, and consider peace between Serbia and the empire to be impossible. This aside, both of Lazar’s brothers have sons, while he has three daughters, and at 34 his line of succession is looking weaker by the day. Still, for the moment he continues to hold power, and to quell the rumors of his Ottoman sympathy, he officially allies with John Hunyadi, Vlad III Dracul, and George Kastrioti Skanderbeg, all of whom have hopes of driving the Ottoman’s out of Europe within their lifetimes.

For Byzantium the year had the beginnings of another dismal year of the post 1453 siege era, an era that, despite occasional successes, was marked by the spending of all of the city’s imperial revenue from both taxes and trade, as well as over 70% of that from the provinces (by this point the Morea and a handful of Aegean islands) and the Athenian tribute on the empire’s debt to the Asian Ottomans, and on Constantine’s continued payments to the Greek soldiers and Latin mercenaries inside the city (they were kept on for fear of Mehmed’s return). This meant that no government revenue ever made it to the streets of Constantinople, even with the emperor himself taking no more than what was needed to feed himself and his household. On top of this, the people still disliked their Patriarch Gregory III, and although he had not spoken further of the reunification of the churches, the memory of him doing so still angered the people even nearly a year later. That said, tensions between Greeks and Latins had been in steady decline since the siege, as Latin traders and the heroic soldiers from the siege remained as an integral part of everyday life.

One of the main reasons for the continued buildup of goodwill between Greeks and Latins inside the empire was the heroic Protostrator (technically a cavalry commander, but at this time essentially the third military man in the empire after the Emperor and the Megas Domestikos) Giovanni Giustiniani. A young Genovese noble from the illustrious Giustiniani family, he had lead a force of nearly 1,000 Greeks and Italians from the Genovese island of Chios to the aid of the empire before the siege of 1453. He was an incredibly capable leader, and had become a hero to the people after his well-documented acts of heroism in the battle at the breach. Wounded in the leg, he had fought on until the tail end of the battle, whereupon he collapsed from exhaustion and pain. Despite this he recovered within the day, and had proved an incredibly useful asset to Emperor Constantine ever since.

Although he was a good soldier and commander, Giovanni’s greatest talent was his ability to make the Greeks and Italians work cohesively together on the battlefield, a trait gained both by his fluent speech in both Greek and several Italian dialects, and his command of the mixed Greek and Italian island of Chios. In light of this, Constantine was willing to give quite a bit of land inside the city to Giovanni, on the condition that he remain a part of the empire’s military. He did (although he kept his ties to Genoa, and continued to rule Chios in their name separately from his lands in Byzantium), and since then had kept the Italian soldiers inside the city well behaved, and had been made a focal point in Constantine’s campaigns to alleviate tension between the Greeks and Italians.

Despite these campaigns for unity among the people of Constantinople, Constantine himself could do little more than throw his personal support behind one policy or another (not entirely worthless given his status as a war hero emperor). He hoped to make military reforms inside the empire that would give his Italian mercenaries additional incentive to remain loyal, such as giving them homes and families inside Constantinople, and thereafter making them a permanent fixture of his army much like the Varangian guard of old, while effectively limiting their cash payment in exchange for their land and military rank. Although he had no shortage of land inside and immediately outside Constantinople, he needed money to make that land, and more importantly the homes on it, attractive to the Italians, as it was at this point horribly dilapidated for the most part.

Constantine also hoped to revitalize the Morea (a process that was already partially in progress under his brother Thomas, but needed more money to really take off), restore various monuments within the city (especially the hippodrome), revitalize both the foreign and domestic the merchant’s quarters (a sizeable source of revenue that had, like the rest of the city, become horribly neglected over the last century), and to reestablish the minting of gold and silver coinage within the empire, the former of which had died out nearly two centuries ago, and the later within the last few decades. All of these plans were quite overly ambitious given the huge amounts of money and raw materials that would be needed, but Constantine remained optimistic to an almost delusional extent about his chances of accomplishing them, and always looked for ways to gain extra revenue that he did not need to immediately use to pay off the Turks.

It is this drive for reconstruction and revitalization that was to be furiously reignited in late February of 1455. Pope Nicholas V, now beginning to feel his mortality, and with the death of Durad Brankovic seeing what might well be the last opportunity for a successful crusade within his lifetime, officially called for an anti-Ottoman crusade. His call was almost immediately answered by John Hunyadi of Hungary, Prince Vlad III of Wallachia, and George Kastrioti Skanderbeg in Albania, who quickly gathered forces of 22,000, 15,000, and 7,000 men, respectively. The Pope also gathered forces from Western Europe, of which there was no longer a shortage on account of the Hundred Years War, but rather a surplus on account of it’s conclusion.

Ultimately, the greatest variable in the crusade, at least as far as Pope Nicholas was concerned, was the Emperor Constantine XI Palaiologos. He thought this, largely because of a misconception on his part, in which he feared that the two Ottoman states would join together in order to repel the crusaders. Because of Constantine’s cooperation with Candarli, the pope feared that the Ottomans and Byzantines might join together to wipe out the crusade before the western forces could reach the Balkans. It is in the spirit of keeping the Turkish and Byzantine divisions alive that he sends several ships, laden with 25,000 gold ducats, to Constantinople. These he offers as the promised aid to Constantine for reinstating Patriarch Gregory III, but with the further condition that they be used to fund an army to join the crusade, and that Constantine himself formally unify with Rome at the crusade’s conclusion. Constantine, for his part, knows that the pope is asking for things that he hasn’t the power to give at this point, but under the circumstances 25,000 gold ducats is too great a prize to resist, and he accepts, while simultaneously making absolutely certain that no word of the terms of the agreement gets to anyone who he can’t trust, meaning that nobody but his own personal bodyguards know.

Upon hearing of this news, Mehmed immediately gathers his army. He leaves 10,000 men to guard his gains in Albania, and 10,000 more to guard Adrianople against Candarli and the Byzantines. He himself leads a force of 45,000 north to counteract John Hunyadi and Vlad III, while simultaneously funding huge recruitment drives in all of his lands, especially Bulgaria and Macedonia. These new recruits will not see action during the course of the war, but will rather be sent to replace the garrison at Adrianople, who in turn be brought north to join up with Mehmed’s main army.

By early May the armies of John Hunyadi and Vlad III are ready, and both march into Bulgaria separately in order to cover more ground. Hunyadi takes Vidin without a fight, as the gates are opened to him by the angry Christians living there. Vlad III has similarly good fortune up until he reaches Tarnovo on June 3rd. The city resists, and although it’s garrison is small, Vlad III is not willing to risk an assault, as he has very little artillery, and so he lays siege.
In Albania, Skanderbeg, with moral much higher on account of the crusade, leads his forces on a daring night assault on Kruje. The garrison is taken entirely by surprise, and Kruje is Albanian once more by morning. The main Ottoman forces in Albania, under Zaganos Pasha, which has been staying in Lezhe to keep the now essentially unfortified (on account of the bombardments) town from falling into Albanian hands, now moves to besiege Skanderbeg before he can escape. This they do, but not before Skanderbeg has gathered sufficient supplies to last several months into the fortress. His forces consist of 2,000 veterans and 5,000 raw recruits, but all of his forces are fairly well equipped, on account of leftovers from the Venetian subsidies that the now defunct league of Lezhe had received.

On June 19th Mehmed meets John Hunyadi in battle not far from Sofia. He has chosen to make his stand here so as not to expose his supply line to potential raids from the Wallachians, and because if the unthinkable should happen and he is defeated then his forces can regroup inside of Sofia’s considerable fortifications. Despite being outnumbered over 2 to 1, Hunyadi’s superior generalship prevailed. His troops held their lines well, and every attempt to break the line or flank the Hungarians was met with a deadly response from Hunyadi’s tactical arsenal. One of his cavalry countercharges managed to utterly annihilate a group of Ottoman sipahis by hitting them in the flank, and the men from this charge now found themselves in a perfect position to charge into the rear of the Ottoman’s right flank. This they did, and although they numbered only a few dozen, their charge was near completely unopposed. They penetrated deep into the Ottoman right, and ultimately caused it to break. The center and left soon followed, as the troops from the Hungarian left were freed from their engagement and smashed into the Ottoman center. In minutes the Ottomans were routing en masse, and it was only the presence of the Ottoman heavy cavalry reserves that prevented the total annihilation of their forces. 17,000 Ottomans and 3,000 Hungarians were slain, although considerably more Hungarians were wounded, while most of the Ottoman wounded were left on the field and slaughtered by the victorious Hungarians.

The Hungarians now set up siege lines around Sofia, and sent out riders to request that the Wallachians come to help them to take the fortress. Unfortunately for the crusaders, within two weeks word reached them that Pope Nicholas V had succumbed to a fever and died on the day of the Battle of Sofia. With him dies any hope of western aid. This demoralized the Hungarians, and many of the lords in their army simply gathered their troops and went home. By August, only 12,000 Hungarians remained, and Hunyadi was forced to concede defeat, and return to Hungary. When he left, Mehmed, still possessing nearly 30,000 men, gave chase, and pursued Hunyadi deep into Bulgaria.

On August 7th, the Wallachians, significantly less affected than the Hungarians by the news of Pope Nicholas’ death, launched a massive night attack on the Ottoman camp. They slaughtered many, but the Ottomans managed to regroup before things became unsalvageable, and Vlad and the Wallachians wisely chose not to press on in a pitched battle. The raid cost Mehmed another 6,000 to death and injury, while Vlad lost 700, owing mostly to the surprise at the enemy regrouping at all. Ultimately, the raid of August 7th turns out to be a going away present from the Wallachians, as they cross the Danube and return to their own lands in the coming weeks.

Mehmed, despite being somewhat unnerved by the Wallachian night attack, elects to continue pursuing the Hungarians, but by this point he has lost too much time, and all that remains of the Hungarians are 1,500 men that Hunyadi garrisoned at Vidin as he passed. Mehmed’s forces besiege Vidin, but he also begins sending out emissaries to Wallachia and Hungary, attempting to establish peace.

As peace negotiations are going on in the north, word arrives from the south that Skanderbeg had sallied forth from Kruje on August 3rd, and utterly smashed the forces under Zagros Pasha. Zagros himself is slain in the fighting and his head impaled above the walls of Kruje. With the army routed, Skanderbeg takes Lezhe without a fight, and once more commands an Albania totally free of Ottoman rule. More significantly, he does not offer to return Lezhe to the Venetians, who have not continued to support him since the fall of Lezhe, meaning that Albania is free of all foreign powers in their land.
Peace talks take place Outside Vidin in September, with all three of the main crusader lords attending. The talks essentially confirm the borders exactly as they are. Albania is allowed to be free, and Vidin is ceded to Hungary, but all other towns in Bulgaria are to return to Ottoman rule. Both forces, with the exception of the Wallachians, are considerably the worse for wear, and at the moment the top priority is ending hostilities without further fighting. All prisoners are released on both sides, although there are few prisoners in the war. The Treaty of Vidin, is not a truce that anyone expects to last for long, but for the moment it is observed, with the only real winners in the war being the Albanians.

On October 3rd, Pope Callixtus III is elected(3). He is an elderly and thoroughly unpopular pope who is chosen as a compromise between various stances inside the College of Cardinals. His brief reign as pope will be marked by little, and nothing good. His only purpose while in office seems to have been the advancement of his own family members. He is a weak figure who ultimately does not continue to support the crusade, and as a result Mehmed is able to retain his control over most of the Balkans.

In Constantinople, Constantine XI is delighted at this turn of events in the crusade, as the utter failure of the crusade, along with the election of a new, incompetent pope, means that the money given him by Nicholas V will most likely be forgotten, and thus the promises made to get it. With no one to notice weather or not his actions are beneficial to a crusading cause, Constantine spends the money on creating a permanent “Latin Guard” for the army. They are made up of the exact same Italian mercenaries who defended the city from Mehmed’s siege in 1453, but they are given homes in Constantinople, have their equipment standardized, are paid considerably less, and now have officially become citizens of the empire. The vast majority of the soldiers are willing to accept, as being essentially an elite militia for Constantinople is a job that is unlikely to lead to conflict, and secures them long term work for decent pay. Constantine also sets regular training requirements, and, in order to not lose taxable income inside the city in the long term, states that the households of soldiers are un-taxable, but retired soldiers, and families of soldiers are still considered taxable.

He also repairs the merchants’ quarters in the city, which greatly improves the city’s trade, and attracts a large group of middle class immigrants from all over the Mediterranean and Black seas. By Christmas of 1455, Constantinople is well on it’s way to being among the top trading cities in Europe, and has a population of around 60,000 including foreign merchants. With peace with most of the major players in sea trade, the only thing that Constantinople needs to be a trade city that once more can rival Venice is a navy and for it’s population to continue growing. The latter problem is slowly resolving itself, while the former is rapidly moving to the top of Constantine’s list of improvements to make to the city.

In the east it has been a quiet year for the Asian Ottomans, although Orhan II is showing a more and more worrying degree of independence from Candarli Halil Pasha, and while the former is certainly less powerful than the later, a sultan is a sultan, and that will always carry weight for some people. For the present, Constantinople does not fear Orhan, as he is a friend of the Palaiologos family after his exile in Constantinople, and has shown no signs of change there, but for the Grand Vizier it is worrying indeed, especially since, if Orhan gets too out of hand, he really doesn’t have anyone to replace him with.
In Europe, both France and England are dealing with the surplus of out of work soldiers in the aftermath of the Hundred Years War, but this is considerably more dangerous in England, where the soldiers choose to back rival claimants to King Henry’s throne. The King and his family are nearly powerless to halt the fighting of the nobles around them, and can do little more than make an offer to whichever one they think will win, and hope that if he wins he turns out to be a man of honor. A small battle had been fought between rival English forces, with the result of Richard, Duke of York retaining his regency for the mentally ill King Henry VI, and becoming the predominant lord in England. For now, he chose to keep the royal family intact (although they are essentially his prisoners), although it is likely that he intends to take the throne for himself once he has enough popular support.

1455 is considered to be the beginning of the organized Christian resistance to the Ottomans, the beginning of the Wars of the Roses, and the founding of the first Albanian nation. In addition, 1455 marks a considerable economic recovery for Constantinople, which is once again becoming a wealthy city. The death of Pope Nicholas marks the end of a generally effective papal administration, and the beginning of the impotent reign of Callixtus III. Ultimately the reign of Pope Callixtus III will waylay all crusading actions until the end of his reign, giving Sultan Mehmed II some considerable breathing room. Despite this, the short lived crusade in the Balkans does prevent Mehmed from dominating Albania, reestablishing control over Athens, and rebuilding his fleet, all imperatives for his successful conquest of the Balkans and reunification of the Ottoman Empire. 1455 is a flash of lightning, but the storm is still yet to come.

(1) This Cem is different than the Cem Sultan of OTL, since he has a different mother than IOTL, and is born several years earlier. There is evidence to suggest that Mehmed supported OTL Cem succeeding him over Bayezid (who is the same person in both TLs), but couldn't bring it about on account of his sudden death by poisoning.
(2) I consider this to be in character for Lazar, since IOTL he poisoned his mother after Durad's natural death, in order to secure his position against his older brothers.
(3)Although Nicholas V dies a couple months later then OTL (which I'm chalkng up to butterflies), I've decided to keep his successor, since I doubt that Byzantine survival would have affected papal politics much yet, and since I couldn't find much info on Callixtus competition for the throne of St. Peter. This also means that I can use the later Borgias (his nephews) in my TL, so keep your eyes open for some additional corruption in the church towards the 1470s.
 
Optimistic, but just about within the realms of plausibility still, I think. The fact that the Crusade effectively ends with the Christians retreating after achieving aims to their own benefit rings particularly true. A couple of queries, though.

- Why is Constantine seeking, of all things, to rebuild the Hippodrome? None of the previous Palaiologan Emperors seem to have even begun to consider it, so why is Constantine?

- Why were the Ottomans able to put such large armies consistently into the battlefield? Might we be dealing with Christian exaggeration here, as far as sources go? I base this on an understanding of the late Roman army- in that state, around the year 600, it was very rare for a field army to number more than about 15,000 men, and that's with the vast resources of Egypt behind it. Now, for the 16th century Ottomans, I believe that Egypt alone was worth something like half the budget of the state, a figure that's been roughly accepted for late Rome, too. Considering all of this, I just want to know how the Ottomans are managing to raise such large armies with the resources of just the Balkan peninsula behind them?
 
Dragos Cel Mare and General_Finley, Thanks, I hope to keep this TL going for quite some time, and I hope that it remains both plausable and enjoyable throughout.

Basileus Giorgios, Glad to see that it seems believable to you. As a general precedent, no land will be freely given to the Byzantines out of crusader goodwill, as with a few exceptions during the 1st crusade that never happened OTL. Any gains they make will be hard fought, and paid for in their own blood and those of their mercenaries.

As for your quieries, Constantine is IMO something of a renaissance man, and as such would love to restore what traces of his Roman heritage he has left. That is how I saw him in OTL anyway, since his dieing at Constantinole was far from necessairy, but more a result of unwillingness to abandon the idea of the ERE. TTL his personality is ultimately the same, but don't expect him to actually rebuild the Hippodrome, it's just a dream of his that he apparently shared enough for it to become general knowledge TTL. The state's finances are far too poor to be spent on something as nonessential as that, and Constantine knows how to prioritize things in order to achieve his ultimate goal of reestablishing the Empire as a fully independant power.

As for Mehmed's army, OTL there are no estimates of his forces at the siege of Constantinople that place them below 80,000 men, so I gave him 80,000 men for his siege of the city TTL. After his defeat, he still had a little over 60,000 men left of the army, along with the various forces already stationed in the Balkans to deter the likes of John Hunyadi and Skanderbeg. The forces that he used to fight off the crusaders were the remnants of his army, plus those stationed in the Balkans, all of which were trained before the empire's split. That said, Mehmeds forces are large but poorly trained, and most infantry recruits, especially those native to the Balkans, are little better than slaves, with only a few being made into Janissaries, so his army is scary, but little else unless it is very well lead or has a tremendous numerical advantage. You may also notice that Candarli, who does not have the leftover troops from the siege of Constantinople, is making due with considerably less, despite being in control of a larger population base. That is because Mehmed's army drained much of the Ottoman reserves of Manpower in the east. In future I'll try to elaborate more clearly on where these guys get their forces from, like I've been doing for The Byzantines.

Speaking of which, how do you like my bit about Giustiniani surviving and keeping the Italian soldiers in line, or the Latin Guard?
 
Good work so far. subscribed. Are you aiming for a Roman Empire covering most of Greece? At this point It seems a bit late for recovery of Anatolia, if not for the more coastal zones.
 
Arrix85, without giving away too much, at the moment yes. Anatolia is too far gone for reconquest to not be ASB, with the possible exception of The Empire of Trebizond doing beter than OTL as a result of Ottoman chaos and Constantinopolitan success ( plus Constantine's underage fiance Anna is a Trapezuntine princess). I consider having the Ottomans surrounding the Capital to be an unsustainable balancing act for Byzantium, so either Rumelia or Anatolia has to go, and Rumelia is a far easier target. I wont rule out everything in Anatolia forever, as that is limiting and makes it less fun as a writer to have fewer options, but for at least 50 years the only Roman territory in Asia will be Trebizond and the Galata district.

Tongera I aim to please;)
 
Speaking of which, how do you like my bit about Giustiniani surviving and keeping the Italian soldiers in line, or the Latin Guard?

Yes, that seemed like a nice touch. Though I still think that Greek/Latin co-operation would be kept to a minimum. For a modern context, imagine if the American Civil War had somehow been won by black soldiers levied by the Confederacy, and then the victorious President of the Confederacy had begun to integrate former slaves into the political system of the Confederate States. This, I think, gives something of a hint of the venom with which the Greek population of Constantinople will view the Latins with.
 
Probably true, but (as I actually live in but am not native to the American South East) the transition might have been smoother in that example if there was some example of black heroism for the confederacy. Instead, they felt totally justified by the fact that the blood spilt to free the blacks was that of white men. If the blacks had freed themselves, there might have been more respect and less KKK. If the blacks had saved the confederacy's ass, then that would probably lead to significant social shake ups, even if not the immediate abolition of slavery. Still, it is an interesting comparison, and I will take into account. I hope that the level of at arms length that the Greeks and Latins are from eachother seems good to you.
 
This is very interesting and while there are quite a few Byzantine timelines your POD honestly makes it stand out given how you've basically saved them literally from the brink of defeat. I also am quite pleased that Vlad seems like he's going to get a better run this time round with Mehmed being a lot weaker, I'm also interested as to whether Vlad's brother is still with Mehmed and alive, if he is it could prove disasterous for Vlad given his....shall we say lack of people skills meaning the Wallachian nobility might turn elsewhere.
 
Sidheach Radu is indeed still a part of Mehmed's retinue, but he hasn't been used yet. He is one of Mehmed's greatest remaining weapons, especially given that the Vlad had the least losses in the crusade. I havn't yet decided upon his role, but both brothers will be more important TTL.
 
England is falling into civil war, the defeat of hundred year war sems to have weakened the king's position.
 
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