The election had been a mixed blessing for both Labour and its opponents. On one hand, Semple had presided over the Government's re-election, safeguarding his party's achievements despite mid-term doubts. On the other, Labour's vote and seat total had been cut significantly. Labour now enjoyed a mere 41-39 majority over the other parties combined, and with the Speaker not voting except to break ties, that would become a de facto 40-39 margin. The entire Government could be held hostage by a rogue MP. Worse, with both Lee and Nash now on the backbenches, there were no shortage of potential candidates for Minister of Bloody Troublemakers.
Semple realised that in order to safeguard his Government for the next term, he needed to reach out to three small groupings: the Country Party, with its solitary MP, the lone Independent, Harry Atmore, and the Maori Ratana Movement, who had won three of the four designated Maori seats.
The Country Party was a small but enduring hotbed of rural radicalism - specifically Social Credit-flavoured radicalism. There was nothing they liked better than attacking demonic Auckland money men for making life difficult for small North Island farmers. But while they had been ecstatic when the Government had taken over the hated financial sector, that was both a blessing and a curse for Semple. Would the price of their support be Lee back in cabinet? It would be impossible to juggle both Lee and Nash at the same time... fortunately, the issue did not arise during negotiations. The Country Party would be happy if the Government merely expanded its low-interest loans to farmers, and increased the statutory minimum prices for meat, wool, and dairy.
Harry Atmore
Harry Atmore, on the other hand, really did want Lee back. Atmore, who had represented Nelson as an Independent for nigh on twenty years, was also a supporter of Social Credit. Getting him onside was too high a price, so Semple decided to leave him alone, hoping that the progressive Atmore would be more likely to vote with Labour than the conservative Opposition. As an afterthought, Semple offered Atmore the position of Speaker, but Atmore declined.
"It is more fun to be a player than the referee," he said.
That left Ratana. A Maori Christian movement that had recently spread from the Church to the halls of Parliament, they had generally been supportive of Harry Holland, though they were less enthusiastic about Semple and his often unbiblical language. Semple decided to enlist Savage's help, since the Minister of Health had many friends within Maoridom.
"You have to recognise their grievances, Bob," said Savage. Micky did not look well these days.
"How are their grievances any different from ours?" the Prime Minister asked.
"It's not capitalism they hate, Bob. It's their loss of land, the broken promises, the marginalisation of a once proud people. I'll deal with them..."
Savage was true to his word. The promise of greater efforts to reduce interracial inequality, and consultation on major government public works projects, was enough to get Ratana onside. In fact, the three MPs were willing to not merely support Labour, but actually join it. That left Labour with a comfortable 45-34-1 majority, and Semple now felt safe from a prospective backbench revolt, even after appointing the Speaker. But the thought of the Speakership gave Semple another idea, one that would rub ever more salt into Gordon Coates' gaping wounds.
He decided to approach Sir Apirana Ngata, the National MP for Eastern Maori.
Sir Apirana Ngata
Ngata had become a Liberal MP in 1905, back when they were the great progressive party under Richard "King Dick" Seddon. But whereas most of the old Liberals had defected to Labour, Ngata had stayed, even as his party had rebranded itself as United, and finally merged to form National. He had been a minister in the Depression-era Coalition Government, prior to quitting over a scandal involving alleged favouritism towards Waikato tribes.
"How would you like the position of Speaker, Sir Apirana?"
"A strange offer coming from you, Mr Semple. I seem to recall you suggesting that I was guilty of maladministration, misappropriation of public funds, and betrayal of trust. 'One of the worst specimens of abuse of political power,' I believe were your exact words."
Semple grimaced. This was never going to be easy. "Look, that was four years ago. Things change, Sir Apirana. You've spent over thirty years in Parliament. Few men are better positioned to preside over the House, and surely as an old Liberal, you have nothing in common with the men around you. Why, half of them these days are in bed with the Legion! Do you really think staying with a National Party sliding into racial bigotry and hate will do any favours for your people? Come, be Speaker, and be a part of my Government's new policy of reconciliation. What do you say?"
Ngata thought for a bit, then smiled. "You are too kind, Mr Semple."
News of Ngata's defection was like a punch to the stomach for Coates. It had already been such a frustrating election. The parties of the Right had, between them, polled a staggering 53 percent of the vote, to Labour's mere 40 percent. The public, clearly, wanted to put a stop to this relentless socialism, but the National Party's best efforts had been thwarted by a combination of Downie Stewart's infernal arrogance, and a truly perverse electoral system.
"Perhaps we should take a leaf out of Australia's book, and introduce preferential voting," said Coates to Sidney Holland, the National Party's rising parliamentary star. The two had arranged a quiet meeting in a secluded and high-class Wellington restaurant. "But it beats me why anyone would vote for the UDP over us. We are still the bigger party, we're less constrained by ideology, and I have more experience than that bastard Downie Stewart. I'm a former Prime Minister, for goodness sake. If I can't stop Labour, no-one can."
Sidney Holland, an engineering businessman who was known to all and sundry as 'Sid', held his wine glass up to the light, and seemed to study the pale vintage.
"May I be frank, Gordon?"
"Certainly, Sid."
Holland sipped his wine. "The problem, Gordon, is you."
Coates frowned. "Pardon?"
"When New Zealand thinks of the name Gordon Coates, it thinks of the Depression. It thinks of sugar bag clothes and starvation. No-one wants another Depression, Gordon."
"But Downie Stewart was with us too. In fact, he was more orthodox than me. I wanted to help people! I devalued the currency to help farmers. Downie Stewart was too shortsighted and too inflexible to adapt."
"Downie Stewart quit," said Holland. "He was seen as swimming against the tide -
your tide - so probably isn't as hated. But I digress. Downie Stewart can be dealt with, and believe me, I know the people to do it. The simple fact of the matter, Gordon, and I say this with the greatest respect, is that the New Zealand National Party needs a new leader. One not tied to your legacy. One who can reinvent the forces of conservatism."
"But who?" Coates couldn't suppress the whine.
Sidney Holland smiled. "Why me, of course, Gordon. Who else?"