This is probably going to be quite a lengthy reply. First of all, thanks for the kind words. I appreciate your comments, they make writing this timeline all the more fun!
But on to business....
I see the second possibility to be more reasonable. ITTL the German Union will become a united Germany in the next decade or so. I will create them to become more militant (as per their Pan-Germanic ideology) over time, especially at the increasing Teutonization of nearby Prussia. This will be ironic because their leader will probably be a Bonaparte king. I am conflicted as to the French reaction; they clearly will accept the creation of a unified Germany but will they view it as a supporter or rival? At first they will support it, viewing it as a buffer against a possible resurgent Russia.
In all, the Germans will probably increase their power significantly over the course of the 20th century. As for Austria...well, I am a bit of a Habsburgophile like many others on this board so there is no way they will be ejected. The Dual or Triple Monarchy will last forever ITTL.
There were numerous colonials wars, the Second Polish-Prussian War and the American Civil War. Not nearly as many, hence the bloody bungling of the opening battles in the Great War, mainly in Poland. When I first posted this a long time ago, someone pointed that Gatling (who is present ITTL) would have been butterflied away so I think I will change his name.
I think the Prussians will be either assimilated and conquered. After the German Union (made up of the victorious German states) fail to include Prussia in their union, Prussia will go their own separate way and in a future war be either conquered or assimilated.
By selling it to Japan
1. This really depends on the outcome of the Russian Civil War which I have not decided upon. I have three possibilities for that.
--- Czarist victory. Government forces beat leftist groups but loosens their power. This leads to reforms, more democratic government, federalization.
--- Split Russia. Czarist forces west of Urals/socialist state east of Urals. Or vice versa. The former is probably more reasonable.
--- Leftist victory. All the leftists unite under a Lenin-esque leader and defeat the Czar leading to the creation of a socialist or communist state. This is unlikely to me just because...ehhhh.
Which seems more likely/appealing to you readers? I don't think a Fascist Russia is reasonable here unless one of the first two choices happen and a crazy militaristic Czar comes to power.
2. I kind of want the Ottoman Empire to fall and be split up. I'm not sure how this will happen though. Either they try and reform and are violently split up, or they peacefully fall in the far future.
3. Germany will definitely become a true nation-state.
4. Maybe the Americans/Confederates will get involved in the next European War. Not sure yet.
This will be done! I was actually wondering about that and I figured a new German state would demand it back anyway.
I think I was comparing it to Versailles in my mind; no war guilt clause, no war criminals. It is indeed harsh but the losers also lost moreso than Germany did in OTL. Berlin and Vienna are under French occupation. They could have had a lot worse happen to them.
I see it this way: France embarked on industrial reforms far earlier than in OTL with maximum work hours, workers rights, minimum wage, right to unionize, etc. All this was done by the 1850s/60s so in industrial areas the workers (I like to think) are pretty happy. They live in a meritocracy so they see their peers getting promoted if they work hard. Also, (I like to think) corruption is kept at a minimum. I might be just idealistic in this view of an alternate France, though.
However, communist thinkers will still exist. I will elaborate on them in the next section because I don't think I have yet. They will take hold in agrarian Russia and make a big impact on winning the Civil War there. You're absolutely right: communism won't go away and it will definitely make a presence ITTL.
I really want to have a powerful, imperial China ITTL. There will be fierce rivalry between China and Japan, two empires on the rise. The situation in China is not so messy. It is not pleasant and there will be demonstrations against the imperial system but for the most, they are pleased they won. They fear Japan and are nationalistic about their victorious empire beating a European one (Russia). Maybe China will become more democratic. Or maybe there will be an extreme right-wing coup. The possibilities are endless!
Also, Korea remains Chinese. Independence will be given soon and it will become a battleground area for Chinese/Japanese interest, probably sparking a Sino-Japanese War.
Whew.
But on to business....
Herr Frage said:Well for your future I see lasting disdain between the two camps for generations. Another war might occr but it would something major for the CA to be threatened.
For this I see two possibilities.
I see the second possibility to be more reasonable. ITTL the German Union will become a united Germany in the next decade or so. I will create them to become more militant (as per their Pan-Germanic ideology) over time, especially at the increasing Teutonization of nearby Prussia. This will be ironic because their leader will probably be a Bonaparte king. I am conflicted as to the French reaction; they clearly will accept the creation of a unified Germany but will they view it as a supporter or rival? At first they will support it, viewing it as a buffer against a possible resurgent Russia.
In all, the Germans will probably increase their power significantly over the course of the 20th century. As for Austria...well, I am a bit of a Habsburgophile like many others on this board so there is no way they will be ejected. The Dual or Triple Monarchy will last forever ITTL.
Kriegdämmerung said:Second a question. How did the machine gun and such get created in this TL. In OTL, we had the wars in Central Europe, the Franco-Prussian War, the Spanish-American War, the Russo-Japanese War and the colonial wars to help us develop such weapons and the tactics with which to use them. But ITTL, Europe has had a basic Pax Francia for the last century. So was there really no clue how to use the wepaons and it was a hit-or-miss kind of thing, or did people like OTL Maxim still make weapons and hope for a war like this?
There were numerous colonials wars, the Second Polish-Prussian War and the American Civil War. Not nearly as many, hence the bloody bungling of the opening battles in the Great War, mainly in Poland. When I first posted this a long time ago, someone pointed that Gatling (who is present ITTL) would have been butterflied away so I think I will change his name.
Titus Pollo said:How about just letting Prussia become the Poland of OTL? Always being partitioned at the whim of victorious powers. Its obvious France has already suceeded in completely divorcing the rest of Germany from Prussia.
I think the Prussians will be either assimilated and conquered. After the German Union (made up of the victorious German states) fail to include Prussia in their union, Prussia will go their own separate way and in a future war be either conquered or assimilated.
Titus said:How will France avenge the Philippines in the post war years?
By selling it to Japan
1. How about the rise of a revanchist Pan-Slavic Russia that absorbs the Slavic nationalities (who I understand are still oppressed) and goes on a rampage westwards into the rest of Europe to start WW2 in the 30's, paralleling Nazi Germany?
2. How about the Ottoman Empire becoming a Pan-Islamic/Pan-Turkic Caliphatorial-Theocracy in response to its aggressive Northern neighbor who they fight a bloody front with in TTL's WW2, similar to the Eastern Front of OTL WW2?
3. How about the German Union evolving into a genuine nation-state by sometime in the next two decades, being solid enough to resist the invading Russians?
4. How about bringing North America into the next war?
1. This really depends on the outcome of the Russian Civil War which I have not decided upon. I have three possibilities for that.
--- Czarist victory. Government forces beat leftist groups but loosens their power. This leads to reforms, more democratic government, federalization.
--- Split Russia. Czarist forces west of Urals/socialist state east of Urals. Or vice versa. The former is probably more reasonable.
--- Leftist victory. All the leftists unite under a Lenin-esque leader and defeat the Czar leading to the creation of a socialist or communist state. This is unlikely to me just because...ehhhh.
Which seems more likely/appealing to you readers? I don't think a Fascist Russia is reasonable here unless one of the first two choices happen and a crazy militaristic Czar comes to power.
2. I kind of want the Ottoman Empire to fall and be split up. I'm not sure how this will happen though. Either they try and reform and are violently split up, or they peacefully fall in the far future.
3. Germany will definitely become a true nation-state.
4. Maybe the Americans/Confederates will get involved in the next European War. Not sure yet.
Faelin said:One niggling thng that's been bothering me. France's annexation of Northwestern Germany was done to close holes in the continental system.
This will be done! I was actually wondering about that and I figured a new German state would demand it back anyway.
Faelin said:IMO this treaty actually seems fairly harsh. What makes everyone think it's mild?
I think I was comparing it to Versailles in my mind; no war guilt clause, no war criminals. It is indeed harsh but the losers also lost moreso than Germany did in OTL. Berlin and Vienna are under French occupation. They could have had a lot worse happen to them.
Faelin said:But communism won't go away. Your Europe will industrialize faster than OTLs, if anything, snice you've united Belgium, Luxembourg, the Rhineland, Alsace-Lorraine, and the Ruhr.
I see it this way: France embarked on industrial reforms far earlier than in OTL with maximum work hours, workers rights, minimum wage, right to unionize, etc. All this was done by the 1850s/60s so in industrial areas the workers (I like to think) are pretty happy. They live in a meritocracy so they see their peers getting promoted if they work hard. Also, (I like to think) corruption is kept at a minimum. I might be just idealistic in this view of an alternate France, though.
However, communist thinkers will still exist. I will elaborate on them in the next section because I don't think I have yet. They will take hold in agrarian Russia and make a big impact on winning the Civil War there. You're absolutely right: communism won't go away and it will definitely make a presence ITTL.
Turning to China, I imagnie the situation is rather messy.... of course.
I really want to have a powerful, imperial China ITTL. There will be fierce rivalry between China and Japan, two empires on the rise. The situation in China is not so messy. It is not pleasant and there will be demonstrations against the imperial system but for the most, they are pleased they won. They fear Japan and are nationalistic about their victorious empire beating a European one (Russia). Maybe China will become more democratic. Or maybe there will be an extreme right-wing coup. The possibilities are endless!
Also, Korea remains Chinese. Independence will be given soon and it will become a battleground area for Chinese/Japanese interest, probably sparking a Sino-Japanese War.
Whew.