Smart play by Spain.
Testing the weapon in Western Sahara, in the French style, would have been a disastrous idea: the last thing Spain wants is to turn the low-level Polisario conflict into a full blown one, with an alliance with the jihadists to the south as a result.
So, ITTL, the
Vela Incident is Spain's doing.
Wow. I really wasn't expecting that. Well done!
If we were not talking alternate history, I could almost buy this as a conspiracy theory in OTL.
Of course, that any Spanish government could ever keep that secret for two weeks, let alone 40 years... now that's unbelievable.
Which brings the question:
How long can Spain keep this secret?
Luckily for them, the CIA seems to be looking at the wrong place.
The gas cooled reactor referred, Vandellós, was built in cooperation with the French... so surely, the French SDECE knows what's going on.
Which means the KGB has decent chance to know as well. Although they probably have a severe funding problem and more pressing things they need to know about.
The Mossad knows, for sure. They won't be telling though.
I find it deliciously ironic that given Franco's insistence that all the evils of Spain can be squarely blamed on a Jewish-Masonic-Communist conspiracy, would have their secrets known first by the French (a lot of whom would happen to be Masons), the KGB and the Mossad.
The sand in Franco's clock is running out.
The old war wound from the Rif campaign, that was never treated properly, is bound to bring him down to the grave soon anyway.
And when that happens, the Moroccans might try moving south as in OTL (even if Mauritania is in no condition to do so now).
However, if that happens and panic hits, instead of a hurried flight, the Green March could lead to a midnight sun.
In any case: this is great stuff. You keep beating my expectations, and they are high.
Thank you. Many, many times.