Battle of Burkersdorf (1762) - Wikipedia
Snatching defeat from a miracle - Prussia loses the Seven Years War, after the Miracles of the House of Brandenburg
So Prussia had a very lucky streak during the Seven Years War, when by all rights they really should have lost. Matched against France, Austria, Russia, and assorted minor German powers like Saxony only backed by British financial might, Hanover and even more minor German allies. The Miracle of...
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Even with a pod after the miracles of the House of Brandenburg, Prussia could still be defeated based on the links' content at the Battle of Burkersdorf.
Even after Burkesdorf (and likely after Schweidniz and Freiberg), if Catherine The Great persisted and succeeded in returning Russia to fighting the Prussians in the the Seven Years War, the Prussian and British coalition might defeat Austria and Russia in 1763 with Prussia and France and Spain with Britain. But, if Catherine The Great's persistence resulted in France and Austria fighting on until 1764 without France and Austria making peace, Prussia could have wrecked the Austrian Army and Saxony, but Austrian resistance to Prussia, French support for Austria, Prussian losses and Russia running over and capturing East Prussia would be the doom of Prussia in 1764. In 1765, Russia would surrender East Prussia to Poland in exchange for Poland giving Russia Courland and aligning with Russia in the defeat of Prussia. Prussia would finally be defeated in late 1765 or 1766 with Russian and Polish troops in its capital city of Berlin, followed by Russia, Poland, Sweden (rejoined the war against Prussia in 1765), France and Austria finishing off Prussia's allies within Germany by 1766. In 1768, the peace treaty at Hubertsburg with Prussia (its ex-allies in Germany having suffered slightly less) would result in Prussia being reduced to its Brandenburg era territory, but without its coast as divided among Sweden and Poland (Russia having surrendered bits of its ex-Prussian coast to Poland), more of its eastern territories given to Poland and with more of its southern territories given to Austria and Saxony. The western bits of Prussia as taken by Hanover, the rest of Hanover and France would be exchanged to Britain for a restored Hanover-Britain personal union and with Hanover entangled with western Prussia.
In 1769, the final peace treaty at Paris between Britain and Portugal would be signed on one side and Spain and France on the other side. The hard won gains of Cuba would be exchanged for Spanish gains from Portugal and its Portuguese colonies and Spain would retained its hard won gain in Gibraltar in 1768. Spain would lose both Floridas, Louisiana and the Philippines to Britain. The 1769 treaty at Paris would allow France to gain, retain or recover as much territory as the 1763 Treaty of Paris, Belle Isle, Dominica, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Tobago and Grenada in exchange for Hanover, Prussia, the Austrian Netherlands, Dunkirk and the originally planned acquisition of Jamaica.
The Americans would have more territory, but more taxes to pay for more devastation by war and without French Caribbean islands to reduce the Americans' tax burden. In 1781, the Americans would start revolting as the 16 Colonies (the 13 Colonies, Louisiana, West Florida and East Florida). After victory at Saratoga in 1783 and the French entrance into the American Revolutionary War the following year, the French soon realized that they had to capture Dunkirk, the Austrian Netherlands and Prussia-enlarged Hanover once again and sent their troops to capture the mainland European territories. The French and British campaigning in mainland Europe would lead to America gaining its independence in 1789 after declaration 7 years previously. However, the French campaigning in mainland Europe would result in France being repulsed at Hanover and forced to surrender and leave Hanover to the British-Hanover Union while leaving the Caribbean uncontested by the British and the French except for St. Kitts and Nevis being temporarily French occupied and Saint Lucia being temporarily British occupied. In the end, the French would be forced to surrender St. Kitts and Nevis, Dunkirk, the Austrian Netherlands and Prussia-enlarged Hanover for the recovery of Saint Lucia and the French colonies in India by France and Minorca and the Falkland Islands by Spain. The United States would gain independence and the Dutch would return to the status quo before the American Revolutionary War except for Dutch losses in India.
In Poland, the Bar Confederation would result in the Russo-Ottoman War of 1774-1780 (6 years later than its otl counterpart). When that Russo-Ottoman War ended, Poland had lost its territories to Russia and Austria, but it wouldn't have to lose territories to Prussia, but the Ottomans lost Ukraine, Azov and the Kuban to Russia and the Crimean Khanate became Russian territory instead of Ottoman.
France would fall into revolution in 1790, having been financially exhausted from at least 2 wars (France having a few more Caribbean islands for a bit longer and victorious would help the French control their nation's worse than otl financial problems after a longer version of the Seven Years War, but that would be more than undone by French intervention in the American Revolutionary War). The French Revolutionary War would result in fighting from 1793-1797, followed by a coup in October 1796 succeeding without French Corsica and Napoleon to help France. The Bourbon Restoration in France and subsequent peace treaties would restore France and its allies to the 1789 status quo, together with the Dutch losing Ceylon (and being compensated with the recovery of the rest of the Dutch colonial empire and the once Austrian, French and British Netherlands/ Belgium). However, the restored Bourbon France would still lose Haiti to rebellion and revolution by 1805. In addition, while Poland would still go through the First Partition of Poland by Russia and Austria, the lack of Prussia in the First Partition would give Poland the strength to survive by avoiding the Second and Third Partitions due to successful defence of Poland with extra Polish manpower. Without Prussia and the Austrian Netherlands, the Austrians could successfully exchange an Austrian Bavaria for a Wittelsbach Milan.
Without Napoleonic France and the 2nd to the 7th Coalitions plus the deaths from their wars, the butterflies would include less interest in formenting nationalism, revolution and liberalism in Europe (butterflied German and Italian unifications, colonial empires and world wars and France having Alsace-Lorraine, a stronger colonial empire and a stronger navy instead of Comtat Venaissin, Avignon, Nice, Savoy and Corsica), butterflying the rise of the Muhammad Ali dynasty in Egypt and ensuring Ottoman Turkish instead of Egyptian modernization in the Middle East (likely stronger Ottoman Empire, especially with the Ottomans having a bit more territories by avoiding at least 2 Russo-Ottoman Wars, defeating Balkan independence movements and modernizing), butterflied Pax Britannica and British dominance at sea, butterflied Code Napoleon, a surviving Poland (especially without Prussia and Poland's Second and Third Partitions), butterflied Napoleon-oriented works and Napoleon-introduced military strategies, a still Swedish Pomeraina (especially without Prussia) and Finland (without the Napoleonic Wars), a stronger navy, Norway being ruled and more diplomatic worth from Denmark in this scenario than otl, surviving city states of Venice, Ragusa and Genoa, a stronger Dutch colonial empire in the 19th and the 20th centuries (keeping the Cape in South Africa and the Guyanas even with the loss of Ceylon and the Anglo-Dutch Treaty of otl and butterflying the Indonesian plantation system by diverting it to the Guyanas and the Cape), butterflied hieroglyphics, a generally weaker Russia and Britain (Prussia having been dismembered to Brandenburg), a longer lasting Holy Roman Empire and a stronger Austria by extension (especially without German and Italian nationalist unifications), delaying the Latin American Wars of Independence and the prolonged retention of Portuguese Brazil and the Spanish colonial empire in the Americas with stronger Portuguese and Spanish Navies and homelands (excluding Louisiana and Nootka) and in the Pacific (except for the Asian Philippines, Indonesia and Formosa).
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