I never studied as hard in College as I have when writing a time line.
This means that the great emmigration from Italy and east Europe will go into Mexico and South America,
IOTL Argentina got almost as many Itailians as the US. ITTL Argentina will be #1, with Brazil or Mexico being second,
You are also going to get a lot more europeans into Africa.
With the US taking Cuba in the 1870's, the Phillipines will be left out on a long limb, waiting for some European power to cut it off.
With Mexico declaring bankruptcy in the late 1850's, Europe will be slow to reinvest, there.
but with the US closing off, Europe will slowing start back into reinvesting.
Espesically as the closing America becomes a less attractive investment .
Probally about the time the first waves of eastern European Immigrants arrive. in Mexico.
There is a big debate over the ecomony viability of Slavery, and Industrialization
But Slavery is not about ecomonic viability, but is about control of your labor force,
Which is why slavery today is concentrated in Sweatshops, Domestic workers, and The White Slave trade.
In the 1780's Shippers would sent their products into Roade Island, or Delaware, who had no Tariffs, from there it would be summgled into New York, Pennsylvania, Conneticut, and Massucessut, who did have tarriffs.
This was boosting the small states ecomonies, and ports, while killing the large states ports, [& tariff revenue]
Unless there is a Tariff wall between the two EU's for Foreign Goods, this will happen again.
Even so i would expect a lot of Smuggling.
No National Guard, this should be Marysland State Militia.
Also Forrest would not have to raise a privite milita for his fillibusting in Cuba, as the southern states would send their State Militia.
These are not subject to Federal control.
There is no US Army to stop them, nor OTL would there be till Spainish American war.
The Army of the United States has not been vastly enlarged due to an ACW, and is mostly stationed in the Great Plains engaged in the Indian Wars.
The Federal Government has not been enlarged and unified by an ACW,
So whe are still the United States and not the United States.
People are still Citizens of the States
Pass ports still read --Citizen of [name of State] in the United States.
Post ACW they began to read Citizen of the United States.
1862 after a revolt by the serfs againt the abolishishing of serfdom, serfdom is reimposed.
While whe today regard Serfdom as having the Peasants tied to the land,
From the 1860 Russian Serfs viewpoint, It was a matter of the Land being tied to them.
They revolted believing something like the Scottish clearances where about to happen.
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