A look ahead to the 2018 London Mayoral Election.
London Mayoral Race 2018
Current Conservative incumbent Henry Reed isn’t term limited (London Mayor doesn’t have any term limits) but he has ruled out running for a third term. Here are some of the likely contenders for the two main parties.
Conservative
There is no Conservative Deputy-Mayor, as Reed appointed an independent, and one each from Labour and the Liberal Democrats. We believe that they are likely three serious big hitters that could get into the race.
Michael Graty (Maureen Graty’s son) MP for Ilford North and currently Chairman of the 1922 Committee. Graty knows that he is no chance for ever being a Cabinet Minister, but he is very popular with local party associations, and his name alone is a draw. Ben Walker, MP for Uxbridge and currently the Attorney General is also to be under taking soundings over a possible run. Now the other third name is likely to shock some people and that is the Home Secretary Nigel Jay. Jay is regarded is the rising star of the party and clearly has a passion for local Government, having pushed through the County Governor reforms in 2012/2013 as Secretary of State for Local Government, and is a former Hertfordshire County Councillor elected at just the age of 22. He became in November 2013 the youngest Home Secretary since Winston Churchill in 1910 at the age of thirty Five and is still now only thirty eight. We understand though that he doesn’t want to be Prime Minister and is looking very seriously at London Mayor. Although he does represent a seat just outside London in St Albans; he does live inside the current Boundary of Greater London within the Borough of Barnet.
Of course other than Graty, Walker and Jay two or three no-hopers will run for the nomination but it will not likely be serious enough to take on Graty, Walker or Jay.
Labour
After the disaster of 2014 and the awful campaign of Malcolm Sinton, Labour will need some real serious and heavyweight candidates if they are to stand any chance of winning back City Hall for the first time since 2010. The former Chancellor Daniel Lamont could run again, running on the idea that he was right in 2014, and Sinton would lose as he did. The other two names I think could run would be Fred Dawes MP for East Ham a veteran backbencher and maverick, he knows his seat is in play at the next General Election with a majority of 2,322 so he might decide to get out and run for Mayor instead. The other names we believe that are looking at running are Gerry Harrison MP for Tottenham and currently Shadow First Secretary of State and Shadow Minister for the Cabinet Office. He probably knows that he is never going to be Labour leader, and could well decide to go for the next best job, London Mayor. He has been a very decent Minister and Shadow Minister, and does have a strong following both within the PLP and outside. Chris Greenaway MP Edmonton, was sacked by Andrea Benn from the Shadow Cabinet back in January is said to be ready to run and like Fred Dawes he will only be defending a small majority at the next General Election just 304. The other contender is Dominic Eames, the former Deputy Leader and MP for Vauxhall, lives in Tulse Hill, he was moved to Party Chairman from the Shadow Chancellor job one in which he was regarded as a failure and his public school background clearly did not help him in running for Labour Leader in 2014, but it could well be a big advantage in winning back those Labour voters that voted for Henry Reed twice in large numbers, they are more likely to be attracted to him then say someone like Lamont or Dawes.
Other than those three expect the usual no-hopers as well, maybe the current Deputy-Mayor under Henry Reed, Geoff Ryan the former Leader of Camden Council, a popular moderate, and probably a local Councillor from a Labour held Council such as Southwark or Hackney.
London Mayoral Race 2018
Current Conservative incumbent Henry Reed isn’t term limited (London Mayor doesn’t have any term limits) but he has ruled out running for a third term. Here are some of the likely contenders for the two main parties.
Conservative
There is no Conservative Deputy-Mayor, as Reed appointed an independent, and one each from Labour and the Liberal Democrats. We believe that they are likely three serious big hitters that could get into the race.
Michael Graty (Maureen Graty’s son) MP for Ilford North and currently Chairman of the 1922 Committee. Graty knows that he is no chance for ever being a Cabinet Minister, but he is very popular with local party associations, and his name alone is a draw. Ben Walker, MP for Uxbridge and currently the Attorney General is also to be under taking soundings over a possible run. Now the other third name is likely to shock some people and that is the Home Secretary Nigel Jay. Jay is regarded is the rising star of the party and clearly has a passion for local Government, having pushed through the County Governor reforms in 2012/2013 as Secretary of State for Local Government, and is a former Hertfordshire County Councillor elected at just the age of 22. He became in November 2013 the youngest Home Secretary since Winston Churchill in 1910 at the age of thirty Five and is still now only thirty eight. We understand though that he doesn’t want to be Prime Minister and is looking very seriously at London Mayor. Although he does represent a seat just outside London in St Albans; he does live inside the current Boundary of Greater London within the Borough of Barnet.
Of course other than Graty, Walker and Jay two or three no-hopers will run for the nomination but it will not likely be serious enough to take on Graty, Walker or Jay.
Labour
After the disaster of 2014 and the awful campaign of Malcolm Sinton, Labour will need some real serious and heavyweight candidates if they are to stand any chance of winning back City Hall for the first time since 2010. The former Chancellor Daniel Lamont could run again, running on the idea that he was right in 2014, and Sinton would lose as he did. The other two names I think could run would be Fred Dawes MP for East Ham a veteran backbencher and maverick, he knows his seat is in play at the next General Election with a majority of 2,322 so he might decide to get out and run for Mayor instead. The other names we believe that are looking at running are Gerry Harrison MP for Tottenham and currently Shadow First Secretary of State and Shadow Minister for the Cabinet Office. He probably knows that he is never going to be Labour leader, and could well decide to go for the next best job, London Mayor. He has been a very decent Minister and Shadow Minister, and does have a strong following both within the PLP and outside. Chris Greenaway MP Edmonton, was sacked by Andrea Benn from the Shadow Cabinet back in January is said to be ready to run and like Fred Dawes he will only be defending a small majority at the next General Election just 304. The other contender is Dominic Eames, the former Deputy Leader and MP for Vauxhall, lives in Tulse Hill, he was moved to Party Chairman from the Shadow Chancellor job one in which he was regarded as a failure and his public school background clearly did not help him in running for Labour Leader in 2014, but it could well be a big advantage in winning back those Labour voters that voted for Henry Reed twice in large numbers, they are more likely to be attracted to him then say someone like Lamont or Dawes.
Other than those three expect the usual no-hopers as well, maybe the current Deputy-Mayor under Henry Reed, Geoff Ryan the former Leader of Camden Council, a popular moderate, and probably a local Councillor from a Labour held Council such as Southwark or Hackney.
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