Twilight of the Red Tsar

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All the Tea in China
All the Tea in China


Excerpt from China’s Wars by John Fulnauer​

For the Chinese the years between 1959 and 1967 were a long stalemate. The years of brutal fighting had burned out both sides, and as a result both had turned inward and focused on governing and rebuilding their nations rather than conquest. Of the two sides the KMT proved to be much better at this, mainly due to American intervention. From 1965 onward President Knowland made the support of the ROC his signature foreign policy. The most important element of this was the Jackson Plan, named after Senator Henry “Scoop” Jackson of Washington, one of the key organizers of the plan. The Jackson Plan was much like the Marshall Plan that had helped Europe recover from the devastation of World War II. $15 billion was spent on rebuilding China’s infrastructure, industry, and military. The most intensive efforts were put into rebuilding northern and eastern China, the areas which had seen the worst of the fighting. The Jackson Plan resulting in major successes. China entered an era of unprecedented economic growth. New factories sprung up across the nation, thousands of miles of road and rail were rebuilt, and living standards rose back to pre-war levels. The best example of the reconstruction was Beijing, which by 1964 had fewer than 500,000 people living in the ruins. The city was rebuilt virtually from scratch, and by 1970 there were over 3 million people living there.

Lacking a foreign power to aid them the Yellow Banners were much less successful. The biggest success of the Yellow Banners was ending the famine in the areas they controlled. Almost immediately after taking power the Tianshi Emperor had abolished the collective farms, redistributing the land in private plots to the farmers. Prisoners of war and ex-Communist officials were put to work in the fields, which lead to a boost in productivity. The famine and the smallpox epidemic also resolved themselves to a certain extent. The loss of so many people also meant that there were far fewer mouths to feed, and eventually the survivors of the smallpox outbreaks developed a resistance. However, in other areas the Yellow Banners were much less successful, with the best example being the rebuilding of infrastructure. The Yellow Banners simply lacked the resources to carry out mass reconstruction, so instead they focused on rebuilding infrastructure in areas where it was militarily essential.


Excerpt from The Yellow Banners by Li Zhimin​

On September 22nd, 1967 the KMT launched a massive offensive against the Yellow Banners. With 2 million men and hundreds of tanks, armored vehicles, and planes it was one of the largest offensives of the war. The army was divided in half, with one part moving through Chunking and the other moving through the Kwangtung and Kwangsi provinces; they were supposed to meet up at the Yellow Banner capital of Guiyang. The Yellow Banners had never encountered an enemy this large and well-equipped before, and when they did meet the Yellow Banners were crushed. The KMT was able to use their artillery and uncontested control of the skies to hammer their enemy’s fortified positons into the ground, then use their numerical superior troops (the ratio of KMT to Yellow Banners was about 2:1) and armor to roll over the survivors. That isn’t to say that the Yellow Banners didn’t fight. To the contrary they fought ferociously and to the death. Many KMT soldiers later recalled seeing Yellow Banners who were horribly injured continue to fight, while others launched banzai-style suicide attacks. But in the end by December the KMT was only 50 miles from Guiyang.

As the KMT closed in the Tianshi Emperor and his court debated what to do. Many were in favor of turning Guiyang into a last stand, while others wanted to retreat and return to their guerrilla roots. It was at this point that the Tianshi Emperor had a vision in which he was slain by a monster, who was then killed by his followers. The Emperor took this to mean that he was destined to die, but that a new emperor would take command and bring the Yellow Banners to victory. He appointed one of his lieutenants, a man named Ming Shihkai, as his successor, giving him the royal name the Tianlong (Heavenly Dragon) Emperor. The Tianlong Emperor departed with several thousand Yellow Banners towards Yunnan, while the Tianshi Emperor and some 200,000 troops prepared for a fight to the death. For weeks the Yellow Banners and the KMT fought over the city, until on February 1st, 1968 the KMT broke through the front lines and into the city. They had expected to encounter fierce resistance, but instead they found a necropolis. Bodies were scattered everywhere, with the nearby Nanming River being so full of bodies that one soldier remembered “you could walk across it.” Talking with the survivors it soon became clear what had happened. The Tianshi Emperor had no intention of being captured alive, and once it became clear that a KMT breakthrough was imminent he decided to kill himself. But the Tianshi Emperor didn’t want to go alone, and asked that everyone in Guiyang join him. Those who killed themselves were promised a much better position in the afterlife, and as a further incentive horror stories were spread about how the KMT ravaged captured cities. Over the next few days thousands upon thousands of people took their own lives. Poison was widely distributed, while others chose to jump in the Naming River where, unable to swim, they drowned. There is strong evidence that many people didn’t want to kill themselves, but were forced to by Yellow Banner soldiers. The Massacre of Guiyang, as it came to be known, is by far the largest mass suicide in world history.
 
The good news: China is finally rebounding from Stalin's terror. After all the chaos, the Chinese are finally seeing the light at the end of the tunnel.

The bad news: Guiyang has become Jonestown x 1000!

I have two questions Napoleon:

1. Is there going to be like a street on every major Chinese city named after President Knowland or Senator Jackson, because all the reconstruction will be tied to aid he so generously provided?

2. Are there Chinese political organizations in the KMT areas who want to vengefully declare war on the USSR?
 
And so the Chinese Civil War comes to a close after nearly thirty years of fighting.
It's not quite over yet (although the worst of it has passed). There are still thousands of Yellow Banner guerrillas, plus the People's Republic of China still exists in Manchuria.
The good news: China is finally rebounding from Stalin's terror. After all the chaos, the Chinese are finally seeing the light at the end of the tunnel.

The bad news: Guiyang has become Jonestown x 1000!

I have two questions Napoleon:

1. Is there going to be like a street on every major Chinese city named after President Knowland or Senator Jackson, because all the reconstruction will be tied to aid he so generously provided?

2. Are there Chinese political organizations in the KMT areas who want to vengefully declare war on the USSR?
1. Yes. You can also expect to see Chinese children named Knowland.

2. There are some who want to fight the USSR, but they are small minority. The vast majority of Chinese just want peace, and recognize that China is far too weak to fight a war with the Soviets.
 
Here is a map I have been off/on working on for a while now. It's not quite finished, but it has been sitting on my hard drive for a while so I figured I might as well post it. It is supposed to show China after peace with the Soviet Union.
sino-soviet.png
 
So how long would it take for the ROC to reach OTL 2015 China levels of development?
It depends on a lot of factors, but definitely past TTL's 2015. China has lost about 10% of its population, and given that many of these were young men is currently experiencing a massive Lost Generation.
 
Perhaps we will see the reunification of Korea and Vietnam under democratic rule?
If the Soviets stop sending aid to North Korea they will face similar problems to what they faced in the 1990s IOTL, and will probably rejoin South Korea or collapse. Vietnam is much less likely to be reunited (at least in the near term). The war is at a stalemate, and it would take a long time for one side to eventually win.
Also, I suspect a lack of foreign investors.
That's also true. As others have mentioned China's national culture is going to be massively xenophobic, to the point where regardless of their personal beliefs the KMT is going to have to be somewhat xenophobic to keep the people happy.
 
It depends on a lot of factors, but definitely past TTL's 2015. China has lost about 10% of its population, and given that many of these were young men is currently experiencing a massive Lost Generation.

What about the Overseas Chinese in Southeast Asia? Could they be a source of remittances once they assimilate into their countries, or will they remain an impoverished group well into the ITTL 21st century?
 
That's also true. As others have mentioned China's national culture is going to be massively xenophobic, to the point where regardless of their personal beliefs the KMT is going to have to be somewhat xenophobic to keep the people happy.
I hadn't thought of that, just that nobody wants to throw cash into the hellhole China became.
 
What about the Overseas Chinese in Southeast Asia? Could they be a source of remittances once they assimilate into their countries, or will they remain an impoverished group well into the ITTL 21st century?
It depends on the country. In areas like South Vietnam that have a long history of Chinese as businessmen and successful workers they will definitely become a source of remittances. But in areas like Korea, which are very ethnically homogenous and difficult to integrate into they will remain impoverished and social outcasts.
 
Quick Question and I apologise if it's been asked and covered but what is the current status of Hong Kong and Territories held by foreign powers?
 
It depends on the country. In areas like South Vietnam that have a long history of Chinese as businessmen and successful workers they will definitely become a source of remittances. But in areas like Korea, which are very ethnically homogenous and difficult to integrate into they will remain impoverished and social outcasts.

What about the ones who fled to America? How are they? (And how many made it BTW?)
 
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