The Great Opportunity: An Alternate History

THE GREAT OPPORTUNITY

An Alternate History
By
Alfie J Steer​


Chapter One
Taking Power

(Taken from “The Deputy: 1992 - 2003” by Tony Blair, Random House 2010)

“…Gordon called me that morning and asked for us to meet. I was still reeling from the election and was very tired by the whole thing. But I knew it was very urgent. He suggested a small restaurant in Islington around lunch time. I agreed and caught the first train back to London. I knew already what he was going to tell me, and I already knew my response.

Ever since John died six years before Gordon had been seen as Neil’s natural successor. He had been Shadow Chancellor for six years and had become a very experience parliamentarian and minister. He was a strategic expert, a brilliant intellectual force. He was the man for the job, I already knew it. Perhaps if John was still with us he would have been the favourite, and maybe I could have stood. But right then, it was not to be.

I arrived at around two o’clock and we sat down at a table, I couldn’t eat anything, I was too nervous.

He didn’t beat around the bush. He knew what he was going to do, and what he wanted from me. He was going to stand and he wanted me on side. I was hardly surprised but tried to act it. He offered me Deputy Leadership and Foreign Secretary, Beckett was going to Home Secretary and Cook would be Chancellor. He said if we won in 1997, which didn’t seem certain at the time, he would go after six years and would support me if I stood for leadership.

I couldn't refuse…”


(Taken From “New Labour, New Socialism: A history of the Labour Party 1992 – 2012” By Andrew Marr, Pan Books 2012)

“…In July 1992 Gordon Brown was elected Leader of the Labour Party in a landslide victory, defeating challengers Bryan Gould and Michael Meacher. Tony Blair also became Deputy Leader almost unopposed with only John Prescott standing against him. Their plan had worked and the two became the face of the Labour Party. They embodied the image of modernisation, while still maintaining the roots of Labour’s heritage, a move which struck a chord with Labour supporters both old and new.

The first appearances they made in Parliament was greeted with a huge applause from the Labour seats, an applause they experienced ten times louder at the Labour Party Conference that September in Blackpool, a few days after what would one day be called “Black Wednesday”. The two men stood side by side on the grand conference stage, the brothers in arms, the hope the Labour hadn’t experienced for over a decade, and on the final night of that Conference, the two men made their maiden speeches…”


(Taken from Tony Blair’s speech to the Labour Party Conference, Blackpool 1992)

“…this is a new dawn for Britain; we have a new leader, with a new message, a new movement, a New Labour, a New Socialism! We will win, we will change Britain…”


(Taken from Gordon Brown’s speech to the Labour Party Conference, Blackpool 1992)

“…Comrades, Brothers, Sisters and Friends; I am delighted to be elected Leader of the Labour Party and honoured to be given this great opportunity to serve my country...”


(Taken from “From Thatcher to Hague: A History of British Prime Ministers: 1979 – 2019" By Andrew Rawnsley, Harper Collins 2019)

“…Labour were back, with a new leader, a new deputy and a new movement. On that rainy night in Blackpool as thousands of people crammed into the huge building of the Labour Party Conference, the “New Labour Movement” was born.

The most influential political ideology since Thatcherism was taking its first steps on a modest stage in Blackpool. It was the beginning of New Labour Socialism…”


(Taken from “The Modernizer” by Sir Gordon Brown, Random House 2005)

“…I had finally done it. The job I had wanted since I was fifteen was finally mine. I was honoured and delighted. This was my chance to make the country a fairer, more equal and more prosperous place. I could not afford to fail…”


(Taken from “Brown and Blair: The Rise and Fall” By Robert Harris, Random House 2007)

“…Once the conference was over it was time for the two men to get to work. The Conservatives had dropped in popularity due to Black Wednesday and it was time for Labour to capitalise on that. For the Conservatives it was a disaster, they were in second place in the polls. They would stay there for over twenty years.

Brown and Blair became the political double act. Seemingly inseparable in Parliament, Television interviews and on the numerous public appearances they made that year, sending out the message of their news movement. In the weeks following Black Wednesday the two were at the for front of burrowing into the then Prime Minister John Major, while Robin Cook the new Shadow Chancellor attacked Norman Lamont for his failure to prevent the crisis.

Gordon Brown described Lamont and Major as “the Chuckle Brothers of British politics” while Tony Blair famously called Major a “Weak Prime Minister in a weak Government”

The Labour attack had dealt a heavy blow and was a work of strategic genius. They showed themselves as a new Party moving on from the days of Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock but still calling onto their previous successes of Gaitskell, Attlee and Wilson. They attacked the government’s economic policy but refrained from returning to Labour’s “Tax and Spend” economics. A move Gordon Brown was determined to stick to.

By the end of December 1992 Brown and Blair were beginning their climb to power. They had begun their march to the door of No.10…”
 
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Interesting TL here! I suspect their's a chance that the butterflies from Smith's death could have put Kinnock in No. 10, but that's by no means certain. Looking forward to seeing how a Brown-lead Britain goes-from what you're saying, the Brown/Blare split still happens, just later than OTL.
 
I do like how you avoided just having the deal be reversed and providing us a reason for why Brown would be in a stronger position then Blair, those six years implies that 1997 is less of a landslide and that he's either facing a stronger Tory Party or Blair decides Deputy isn't enough.
 
Chapter Two
The Last Great Heave

(Taken from “The Deputy: 1992 - 2003” By Tony Blair, Random House 2010)

“…Just after Christmas, Gordon and I arranged to meet. It was nearing the end of the Christmas break and our honeymoon in the party had ended. We had to make some changes.

Our first move was ending the Trade Union Block Vote, something that John had spoken a lot about before his death. We agreed that we would bring in “One Member One Vote” by the Party Conference that September. We also agreed on scrapping Claus IV and Nationalisation from any future manifesto, we needed to move on from the ideals that had held us back in the previous three elections, replacing the Claus we wrote a rundown of the party’s values, adding a grand mix of modern Social Democratic ideals, and the Democratic Socialist ideas of our past that we still related to.

We got through it all quite quickly, by the end of the evening we were just chatting…”


(Taken from “The Modernizer” By Sir Gordon Brown, Random House 2005)

“…By February Tony and I had practically sorted everything we wanted to change before the election. Scrapping Clause IV, bringing in “OMOV” and even the new look of the party, our new slogan became “New Labour, New Britain” and it stuck. Posters were stuck up everywhere, with me and Tony side by side.

Tony relished the public and the media, I didn’t. He became the PR guy while I remained focused on leading the party and getting ready for the election. Of course I made public appearances but I remained more reserved like John used to be...”


(Taken from “New Labour, New Socialism: a history of the Labour Party 1992 - 2012” By Andrew Marr, Pan Books 2012)

“…By 1993 the Labour Party was having a field day. The Conservative Government had managed to bring the country out of the recession and raised employment, but was still in dire straits in the polls.

The subject of Europe was dividing them, mostly due to the Maastricht Rebels gaining the support of Tebbit and Thatcher, completely undermining Major’s leadership. With Lamont now gone from the Treasury even further right wing dissidence rose in the party and with Brown’s un-relaxed constant attacks on the government in rallies, speeches, interviews and debates the Tories became ever more uncertain over the future of John Major.

Labour however, seemed united. The “Great Statesman” figure of Brown and the young dynamic Blair was a perfect marriage of leadership. The Militant’s had become silent and there was no need for the modernizers to call in outrage, for they were the ones in charge and in just four years they would also be in charge of the country…”


(Taken from “Brown and Blair: The Rise and Fall” By Robert Harris, Random House 2007)

“…By September 1993 Brown was being faced with the most difficult moments of so far short leadership. During his speech to the Brighton Labour Party Conference he announced his plans to bring “One Member One Vote” into the Labour Party voting system as well as scrapping Claus IV. A move which became his baptism of fire as Labour Leader and his first chance to truly show his strength and power…”


(Taken from Gordon Brown’s speech to the Labour Party Conference, Brighton 1993)

“…It is time to modernize! No more half measures, compromise or relaxed settlements! We need change and we need to democratize this Party, I propose we introduce the “One Member One Vote” system when voting on any party issues, whether it is the manifesto or the leadership itself. We no longer want the Trade Union block votes; every member here has a voice let’s give them all a vote as well…”


(Taken from “The Modernizer” By Sir Gordon Brown, Random House 2005)

“…Tony came on with probably the harder challenge than me. He was faced with challenging one of the Party’s most famous Claus’ and somehow he pulled it off. He pushed through the boos and jeers and delivered - in my opinion - one of the greatest Labour Party speeches since Hugh Gaitskell’s stand against Unilateral Disarmament.

Once it was over, he walked off the stage grinning…”


(Taken from "New Labour, New Socialism: A history of the Labour Party 1992 – 2012” By Andrew Marr, Pan Books 2012)

“…Brown had succeeded in his “Last Great Heave” to modernize the Labour Party. He and Blair had showed everyone what they capable of, they had survived the baptism of fire and had still managed to pass the reforms. He and Blair now wielded complete authority over the party; he had become the “Iron Leader”. Margaret Thatcher described him as: “The most ruthless and powerful Labour Leader since Hugh Gaitskell”.

As December turned to January and a new year began, the Party was settled, reformed and modernized. The Cabinet was in order and the media machine was churning out ad after ad, poster after poster, rally after rally.

All Brown had to do now, was wait...”
 
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Chapter Three
The Iron Leader & the Fall of John Major

(Taken from “From Thatcher to Hague: A history of British Prime Ministers: 1979 – 2019” By Andrew Rawnsley, Harper Collins 2019)


“…May 1994 saw the Tory’s worst local election results for over thirty years. Despite the recession ending over a year before the government were still suffering from Black Wednesday and a rejuvenated Labour Party with their most ruthless and dynamic leader since Harold Wilson.

The Conservatives jumped from scandal to scandal and Major felt a constant threat to his leadership on the issue of Europe. Things were not going well in the government. It seemed the end was near and the “Iron Leader” would step through the doors of Downing Street…”


(Taken from “The Modernizer” By Sir Gordon Brown, Random House 2005)

“…Up until the 97’ election, government ministers were dropping like flies due to sleaze and newspaper scandals. Alistair and Peter where having a field day thinking of the perfect ways to spin every news report in our favour. Lamont was gone - which really pissed off the Right Wingers of the party - and so were so many others. We had won the local elections by a landslide and one poll gave us a 20% lead!

We couldn’t believe it. Fifteen years, fifteen bloody long years and we were nearing the light at the end of the tunnel…”


(Taken from “New Labour, New Socialism: A history of the Labour Party 1992 – 2012” By Andrew Marr, Pan Books 2012)

“…Gordon Brown was arguably the last “ideological” Prime Minister in this country’s recent history. Those that have succeeded him were the image focused spin gurus with the turn of phrase we have become used to in recent years. He was known as the “Iron Leader” of the Labour Party, the intellectual giant and strategic genius. Blair however acted as the media face of the Party, organizing the rallies, shaking the hands, kissing the baby’s and always warming up the crowd for any speech Brown made.

Brown however, remained reserved but still a dynamic orator. He was the last of a dying breed, but he still had a bright future ahead of him…”


(Taken from “The Deputy: 1992 – 2003” By Tony Blair, Random House 2010)

“…From the very beginning I knew Gordon was the brains of the organisation. I was simply the deputy, I was more comfortable with the public and at rallies, and he was more comfortable in Parliament or at Party Conferences. I looked up to him and took note of everything he did, waiting for my chance at the big job…”


(Taken from “Brown and Blair: The Rise and Fall” By Robert Harris, Random House 2007)

“…Brown was in his element as Leader of the Opposition in 1994 and 95’. The Tory government was in disarray, ministers resigning in droves, the party dropping in the polls and with constant infighting between the left and right, it was hardly a surprise when John Major called a leadership election on 22nd June 1995.

John Redwood was first into the fray, resigning his position as Secretary of State for Wales and thus announcing his candidacy. Norman Lamont, the Former Chancellor, declined to stand, as did Michael Heseltine and Ken Clarke, all of them within days of each other.

Heseltine and a young Michael Portillo both however considered standing if Major couldn’t get his majority in the first ballot.

By polling day the split race between Major and Redwood was still uncertain. It was obvious that Major would win but if it was below the 15% majority, it was likely he would resign. As the votes were counted, every individual vote became hugely important for not only the future of John Major, but of the Conservative Party.

Most historians and political commentators agree that this was the moment the "New Democtatic Party" was born…”


(Taken from “The Fall of John Major” By David Miliband, Random House 1999)

“…On July 4th 1995, the results came in. It was one of the closest leadership election results in history and with one of the largest amount of abstentions. One of the most infamous moments of the election was of Michael Heseltine holding aloft his ruined ballot as they jammed it into the box.

The results were:

John Major: 213
John Redwood: 90
Abstain: 18

And the rest, as they say is history…”
 
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Died? Slightly strong terminology, the balance of political ideology has more often then not ensured our survival so that means another right wing party appears, Brown could never tickle Middle England the way Blair does and I imagine that is what soon makes Blair decide to go for the "big job" when Brown starts to get a bit too comfy.
 
Died? Slightly strong terminology, the balance of political ideology has more often then not ensured our survival so that means another right wing party appears, Brown could never tickle Middle England the way Blair does and I imagine that is what soon makes Blair decide to go for the "big job" when Brown starts to get a bit too comfy.

All in all your getting the idea of where this is going.
 
I'm assuming the Referendum Party may get more then one Tory defector then IOTL if Hesser gets in and completely screws ups with the Eurosceptics.
 
Nearly finished writing the fourth chapter, thoughts on how long this TL should go on for, should i end it at Brown's resignation as PM or continue on?
 
Chapter Four
The Second Ballot

(Taken from “The Fall of the Blue House: The Last Days of the Conservative Party” By Peter Snowdon, Harper Press 2009)


“…The result was a disaster for John Major; he was two votes short of his minimum 215 votes and had witnessed a strong backlash at him and his government. A few days later he resigned outright as Prime Minister and Tory Leader, arranging a second leadership election in two weeks.

Michael Heseltine as expected announced his candidacy, which was greeted by huge backlash from the right; the very man who killed Thatcher’s premiership was trying to take over the party. The pro Europe, moderate One Nationist was a controversial figure to Thatcherites but was a reformer many thought the party needed.

The right’s reacting was to send in their man, Michael Portillo, another expected candidate to stand in the event of Major’s resignation. A firm Thatcherite, Portillo was seen as a popular future leaders for both the diehard Thatcherites and the new young members to come. At the time they did not know that he would one day be the Leader of the New Democratic Party, what many right wing politicians would call the “Traitors of Thatcherism”…”


(Taken from “The Fall of John Major” By David Miliband, Random House 1999)

“…Following John Major’s resignation as Tory leader and Prime Minister, the Party was thrust into a second leadership election. The left nominated Michael Heseltine while the right support Michael Portillo. The infamous “Battle of the Two Michaels” began and with devastating future consequences for the Party and the country.

Michael Heseltine’s campaign was that of “sensible moderation and reform” while Portillo took on “Great British Conservatism” with an edge to gain support of young and minority voters. Some described him as the “Tory answer to Tony Blair”. However his reluctance to confirm whether he would stand in the lead up to the second ballot did not resonate well with some figures siting it as “a poor display of leadership”.

Heseltine however was on top form, giving the party “a new way forward” and promising a rise in the polls following his party reforms. However as an enemy of the right, he knew victory wasn’t certain.

Two weeks following Major’s resignation the party voted:

Heseltine: 226
Portillo: 93

Heseltine had won an outright majority and became leader of the Conservative Party. He will be remembered as the last Conservative Prime Minister for twenty years, some even say he was the last “Conservative” Prime Minister in history…”


(Taken from “The Fall of the Blue House: The Last Days of the Old Conservative Party” By Peter Snowdon, Harper Press 2009)

“…Michael Heseltine took the stand at PMQs for the first time a week later. He was greeted by applause from some and jeers from the others, on both sides of the floor. Gordon Brown welcomed the new Prime Minister and remarked: “I see you don’t mind how long you will have the job for”, a reference to recent opinion polls which put Labour in government within two years.

The hope that the Conservatives could be rejuvenated with a new leader was dashed after just a few weeks. The right wingers were more angry and vocal than ever seeing as their idea of the anti-christ was now leading the party. Something had to be done. Changes needed to be made…”


(Taken from “Brown and Blair: The Rise and Fall” By Robert Harris, Random House 2007)

“…The last months of 1995 did not go well for Heseltine and the Conservative Party. A defection and by-election cut the majority. Despite predicting more right wingers leaving Heseltine could hardly breathe a sigh of relief, the party was still infighting, similar to that of Labour in the 70s and 80s and they were still flat lining in the polls. The government could only pray that the Thatcherites would stay and maintain the majority at least until after the election.

The year after saw no increase in the government’s fortunes, unemployment reached its lowest for five years but still the Party continued to lose seats in by-elections and local elections. Their best showings gave them 35% of the vote but were still unable to close the gap with Labour. The Arms to Iraq affair damages government ministers and a huge IRA bombing in Manchester troubled the country’s safety. The mad cow disease epidemic damaged trade to the EU further aggravating the Euro-Sceptics and Charles and Diana divorced. With just six months to go till the election the Conservatives hung on with a majority of just one seat…”


(Taken from a rumoured conversation between Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, December 1996)

“…It’s our time now Gordon, let’s just hope we’re ready…”
 
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Chapter Five
The Long Awaited Election

(Taken from “The Deputy: 1992 - 2003” By Tony Blair, Random House 2010
)

“…Gordon and I were on the phone to each other the whole night. I don’t think I will ever experience again such an exciting election night. I darted from constituency to constituency, town to town, was put on countless TV interviews and made a ridiculous amount of speeches. Gordon did twice as much; he was the great statesmen of the campaign. He shook hands, talked to voters at the polling station the whole morning and knocked on doors for the rest of the afternoon. It was a night of victory, one we had been waiting on for over eighteen years.

We had a huge majority of eighty five seats and the Conservatives were battered to just over two hundred. The Lib Dems had made impressive gains with over fifty seats and the referendum party had won a surprising number of votes, which had gained the support of many right wing conservatives.

In the early hours of the morning on May 2nd Gordon and I stood on the stage at Royal Festival Hall in London, I’ll never forget the words he said…”


(Taken from Gordon Brown’s speech to the Royal Festival Hall “Victory Party”, May 2nd 1997)

“…Let the work of change begin…”


(Taken from “Brown and Blair: The Rise and Fall” By Robert Harris, Random House 2007)

“…Labour won by a huge landslide, their greatest since 1945. Numerous current and former Tory ministers lost their seats, like Rifkind, Lamont, Currie and Lang. Former Tory leader candidate Michael Portillo also came close to losing his seat but held on with a nail bitingly close majority. “Were you up for Twigg?” became the new catchphrase of the election, a reference to the Labour candidate Stephen Twigg who came very close to overthrowing Portillo.

By the end of the night the seat results were:

Labour: 376 (+105)
Conservative: 201 (-142)
Liberal Democrats: 53 (+35)
Ulster Unionist: 10 (+1)
SNP: 6 (+3)
Plaid Cymru: 4 (NC)
SDLP: 3 (NC)
Sinn Fein: 2 (+2)
Democratic Unionist: 2 (NC)
UK Unionist: 1 (+1)
Independent: 1 (+1)

Another surprising result in the election was the Liberal Democrat’s increase of seats. Many expected Liberal Democrat voters to swing to Labour with their new centralist figure head Tony Blair, however Gordon Brown’s commitment to Centre-Left politics may have lost possible voters. Blair himself criticized Brown’s campaign following his own resignation as Prime Minister in 2007, saying that they could have gained over four hundred seats had they “pushed a little more”.

However any immediate criticism or thoughts of what might have been were soon put aside as Gordon Brown and his partner Sarah - whose relationship had only been known by the public since 1995 - walked together hand in hand towards No.10, surrounded by cheering crowds, the largest seen by any Prime Minister in recent times…”


(Taken from “The Modernizer” By Sir Gordon Brown, Random House 2005)

“…I walked through the doors of No.10 with my head in a whirl. Sarah grabbed my sweaty hands and practically pulled me through the building. Civil Servants and staff were everywhere, clapping and shaking my hand, I hardly heard a word they said. Sarah and I managed to get a few hours shut eye before making a lot of phone calls.

President Clinton called first, and then Tony, we were shocked, excited and terrified. We had no idea what we had done; we had achieved a victory we couldn’t have dreamed off. I did the numbers, if we didn’t completely screw up and the Tories stayed as divided as they were then, we could stay in power for over twenty years…”


(Taken from “New Labour, New Socialism: A history of the Labour Party 1992 – 2012” By Andrew Marr, Pan Books 2012)

“…Labour’s long awaited return to government was welcomed in open arms by the public. The country craved change and this was there chance to get it. During the government’s first days Robin Cook announced the independence of the Bank of England, Tony Blair announced plans to enter talks with the IRA to end the violence In Northern Ireland. As well as this Gordon Brown announces the introduction of regional parliaments in Scotland and Wales via referendum.

Meanwhile Michael Heseltine had resigned as Conservative Party Leader and the party was thrust into another leadership election. The first announced candidates were Michael Howard, William Hague, John Redwood and Michael Portillo. Though Ken Clarke was tipped to stand he instead backed down in favour of Portillo.

Soon the New Democratic Party and the Unionist Party would be born…”
 
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