ConfederateFly said:
What about this
OTL Confederacy
Northern Mexican States
Terr. of the Carribean(Cuba, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola)
Indian Terr.
Arizona Terr.
Protracterate over Nicragugua
OK, back to the original question. Assuming that the existence of the CSA hasn't MASSIVELY altered European history, then how are they on the side of Germany ? Well, I assume the French did not remain in Mexico - Napoleon III had not wished for an open-ended adventure and after 1866 France had far more serious concerns at home. However, without the Union's ability to supply arms and munitions to Juarez, lets assume that Maximillian remains in power in Mexico City. The Northern Mexican provinces were Juarez's heartland IIRC, so maybe the CSA and Maximilian do a deal, with the Confederacy getting them in return for crushing Juarez for Maximilian.
Ironically, after France's defeat in 1870 this could leave both Mexico and the CSA in the growing German sphere. In order to actually HAVE a WW1 you need to have the Franco-Prussian War, Alsace-Lorraine etc or things begin to shift so much that whatever conflict emerges isn't sufficiently analogous to WW1. Without France to lean on, Maximilian is going to be relying on his Austrian and Belgian connections. Tie in with this close relations with the CSA and there's an opening for Austrian ties to become German in time
However, time changes things. For a start the Belgian connection will wear off, then later there will definitely erupt some kind of regional tension between the CSA and Mexico. After Maximilian's death (which may not be until the turn of the century) Agustin II Iturbide is going to have a less sympathetic attitude towards European connections and ties. It is possible that with his American connections he would start to look towards the Union
With Austria a subsidiary partner in the Triple Alliance, its possible that German interests come to emphasise the CSA. What I haven't worked out yet is why Germay would choose the Confederacy over the Union, unless some sort of Russian connection is involved. A weaker USA might look to some kind of formal arrangement with Russia... But again this would be aimed at Britain and not at Germany. Trying to unravel this is going to take some doing !
Grey Wolf