From - Fri Mar 09 21:19:01 2001 Path: sn-us!sn-xit-01!supernews.com!feeder.qis.net!news.maxwell.syr.edu!howland.erols.net!portc.blue.aol.com.MISMATCH!portc03.blue.aol.com!audrey04.news.aol.com!not-for-mail Lines: 85 X-Admin: news@aol.com From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if Date: 09 Mar 2001 07:01:37 GMT Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Subject: For All Time Pt. 1 Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=utf-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Message-ID: <20010309020137.04293.00001160@ng-fi1.aol.com> Xref: sn-us soc.history.what-if:318151 For All Time Pt. One December 20, 1941 White House 7:00 PM "It's a good speech, just a little too long." commented Franklin Delano Roosevelt, trademark cigarette holder clenched in his teeth, as he read Judge Samuel Rosenman's draft for his Christmas Address to the Nation. He looked up and grinned at his speechwriter, the former judge. " It's damned good, in fact. Are you sure you don't celebrate Christmas on the sly, Sam?" Rosenman shrugged, smiling. "Hell, Franklin, if Christmas is about Christ in this town, or half the country these days, I'll eat that speech. Have you seen that new Coca-Cola Santa Claus? That's the man the Christian kids in this country pray to.", he joked. The two men chatted for another few minutes; they'd been friends and colleagues for a very long time, since before Roosevelt's first campaign for President in '32, but even with working in the same building and with Sam working for Franklin, they rarely got a chance to just sit down and shoot the breeze for a while. Especially with what had happened earlier in the month. The face of Washington had changed radically in the last six months; anti-aircraft guns poked up from nearly everywhere these days, and soldiers walked the streets. Still, Rosenman trusted his old friend to get the country through it. Finally, Judge Rosenman glanced at his watch. "Ah, damn, I promised the wife I'd be home for dinner tonight, I'm already an hour late." He stood up and offered FDR his hand, and the President shook it firmly. Roosevelt was frighteningly strong for a polio victim, thought Rosenman, he wouldn't want to arm-wrestle with him. "I'll edit the speech tonight, put it on your desk in the morning." "No, I just want to drop a page here and there." said Roosevelt with a jaunty grin. "I won't drop dead from working on my own speeches, you know, Sam." The speechwriter laughed, louder when Roosevelt feigned slumping in his seat. "No, I won't suppose you will, Frank…" "Franklin?" Roosevelt's cigarette had dropped from his teeth, and was rapidly burning a hole through his suit. His glasses half-hung, on one ear and off the other, and his eyes stared blankly at his feet. "Oh my God…" December 21, 1941 5 PM Vice-President's residence "My fellow Americans," said President Henry Wallace as he faced the microphone squarely, imagining the millions and millions of people listening to his speech by radio. He'd written this speech himself. Sure, speech-writers were great, but he needed a "This is your President, Henry Wallace." He paused for a moment, and then continued. "By now, all of you will have heard of the tragedy that befell America yesterday. Our President, the great Franklin Delano Roosevelt, died peacefully at his desk, working, as he always did, for all Americans." "I will never be the President he was," he said with more truth than he knew, "but I will be the best President a man can hope to be. Together, we will carry forward the struggle against the Japanese and German foes, on land, sea, and air, until at last the forces of democracy, represented by ourselves, General Secretary Stalin, and Prime Minister Churchill, together with our allies in China and the Free French, triumph. As Abraham Lincoln might have said, let us not remember this day as a tragedy, but as a new birth of freedom in the Earth." All across the nation, a mourning people breathed a sigh of relief. The man who had brought them through the New Deal, had comforted them when the great new war began, was dead. But his chosen successor, a good young farmboy, had manfully taken up his mantle. ----- Thoughts? (This TL I finish on its first run. Honestly. ) President Chester A. Arthur, who's always invading the UK... Subject: For All Time Pt. Two Date: 09 Mar 2001 16:26:10 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if January 5, 1942 Washington, D.C. Oval Office "I don't think this is a good idea," said President Henry Wallace firmly, tapping his pen against the memorandum he needed to sign. "Granted, Wavell is experienced, but as I recall, Rommel handed his head to him on more than one occasion, and do we really want this Yamashita fellow doing the same thing? It seems to me we'd be better off with Doug MacArthur, or even Chet Nimitz, over Wavell." Secretary of War Henry Stimson, whose government experience predated Henry Wallace's own birth, eyed the young President as a faint note of concern sounded in his head. "Well, Mr. President, our policy is full cooperation with our British and other allies, unification of command and basic strategy, pooling of resources. And British, Dutch and Commonwealth forces in that sector of the Pacific do outnumber ours by a substantial margin at this stage. It seemed most practical to President Roosevelt to give command to the British...for the time being." 'Especially with that glory hound MacArthur locked up in Bataan.", he thought grimly. Wallace eyed the memorandum again and finally, reluctantly signed it. "You're right, they _do_ outnumber us there...no surprise, their half of the war is defending their Empire." He shook his head as he handed the memorandum back to Stimson. "We'll outnumber them there soon enough, once we get our boys in position." Stimson took the memo and looked at Wallace in some surprise as he rose to leave. "Well, granted that's true, Mr. President, but both of our attentions are on Europe right now, and it seems inadvisable to increase our commitment to that area just to ensure American dominance in the command-" "Do you think I don't know that?", snapped Wallace, not bothering to get up. He'd tried to get along with Roosevelt's old cabinet, but most new Presidents tended to clear out the old wood in their first year or so anyway, and there was few wood older than Stimson in American government today. "I'll tell you the same thing I told Cordell Hull when he tried to give me that line earlier today. I am the President of the United States, and I will not be trifled with. I make the decisions around here, and while I appreciate your advice, I don't need it." --- "Dr. Win the War is the boss now," said President Wallace in his January 12 State of the Union Address, "but don't worry. Dr. New Deal is still alive and well, and very important around these parts." Wallace outlined a three-step program for the New Deal during the war: -The National Race Relations Board would ensure "full cooperation and promote mutual trust between the various American races, white and black, Asian and Indian, so that all the free peoples of the continent can unite, without fear or prejudice, against the foes of democracy across the seas." Privately, Wallace had already promised control of the board to Assistant Secretary of the Treasury Harry Dexter White. -The Nationalized Lead-Lease Industrial Board, Wallace's own inspiration, would place all industrial material going to help America's allies under the direct control of the US government. The US would set their wages, prices, corporate policies, while ensuring that even the owners of those companies would get what was coming to them. To head this up, Wallace has delightfully chosen the kind of man he really admires: Henry J. Kaiser. -Current New Deal programs, such as the Works Progress Administration, Securities and Exchange Commission, and Civilian Conservation Corps would remain solidly on the books, and recieve strong additional funding. Wallace believed firmly in the New Deal, passionately, even, and would see no reason to funnel money elsewhere in wartime. Plus, it will let him quietly put several supernumeraries from the last administration out to pasture, or so he hopes. --- Thoughts? Anyone have any good ideas for what an expanded New Deal might include? President Chester A. Arthur, who's always invading the UK... Subject: For All Time Pt. 3 Date: 10 Mar 2001 18:40:01 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 3 January-February 1942 -In OTL, early 1942 saw the openings of the first joint Anglo-American economic commitees, the Combined Raw Materials Board, the Munitions Assignments Board, and the Combined Shipping Adjustment Board, with their goal as coordinating the economic and industrial policies of the Allies. In OTL, they were reasonably effiencient and worthwhile...but that was under Roosevelt. Henry Wallace neither likes nor trusts the British Empire in general and Winston Churchill in particular. While he reluctantly agrees some sort of economic cooperation is needed between the Great Powers, he'd like to have someone on the commitee besides Great Britain; and when his lobbying efforts to Stalin fail, he settles for making sure the cooperation is done his way. Instead of the various boards, policy and planning will be made by the Combined Industrial Board, and its various subcommitees; and Wallace knows just the man to run the American side of things. While the former director of the Securities and Exchange Commission is far to the right of Wallace, he is a self-made millionarie, like the new President, and also shares with him a strong suspicion of the British Empire. Plus, he has extensive experience as the former Ambassador to Great Britain. -Early 1942 also saw the beginnings of South America turning away from the Axis; the governments of Peru, Uruguay, Bolivia and Paraguay all broke off diplomatic and economic relations with the Axis powers during January and February, after the US (and Secretary of State Cordell Hull) helped show them what a good idea it was. Henry Wallace, however, with his extensive interest in South America, calls in the foriegn ministers of nearly every nation on the continent (consulting but ignoring Hull, who he regards as a bigoted old fossil) and strongly invites them to go one step further, to declare _war_ on the Axis powers. Many demur, at first, after all, all their countries have a significant rightist political element (many are governed by right-wing governments, especially Vargas in Brazil), and their governments will look like lapdogs if they declare war because Wallace cracks the whip. Wallace is a businessman, though, and knows how to negotiate with inferiors; he offers them something of a national bribe, lots and lots of Lend-Lease aid, to make up for the economic disruption caused by the loss of German trade. Argentina is the first to withdraw, President Ramón S. Castillo knows full well he will be overthrown if he turns his back on neutrality, and frankly, he'd rather not be overthrown. Wallace continues to stubbornly insist that _every_ nation involved in the secret talks must declare war, or they'll all look weak, finally going to so far as to make intimations of "cleaning house in the Americas" to Castillo's representative. Castillo, whose government is on shaky ground back home, realizes the enormous oppurtunity Wallace has handed him, and has his government release word of much of the negotiations publically, in mid-February, just as Bolivia is breaking diplomatic relations with Germany. Riots sweep the capitol cities of South America save Buenos Aires, all of the governments involved in the Wallace negotiations survive, barely, but they all withdraw angrily. There will be no South American economic cooperation with the United States, no post-war trend toward democritization, at least for the moment, detente is dead. Castillo, with his new, solid powerbase, takes the oppurtunity to purge an ambitious young colonel named Juan Peron. Cordell Hull comes near to resigning; in two months Wallace has undone almost a decade of his life's work, and Wallace looks, perhaps unfairly, like an idiot, more so after he continues to insist he was right all along. Meanwhile, on the domestic scene... -Wallace has submitted his Second New Deal plan to Congress, detailing the Board of Race Relations, the nationalization of war industries, the Food For Victory Commision, and the significantly increased funding for civilian New Deal programs. He could probably get away with creating many programs by executive order, but he wants his Hundred Days, he wants to show America that he's as good as FDR when it comes to handling Congress. -Unfortunately, he's _not._ Wallace doesn't even bother to negotiate with Congressional leaders, he calls up Sam Rayburn and Alben Barkley, champions of the New Deal in Congress, Speaker and Senate Majority Leader respectively, and tell them to vote for the bill, and get others to vote for it too, the whole package. They point out that while some parts of the bills are good ideas, many are pink as a salmon, and that's just not good. For that matter, very, very few Southern Congressmen and Senators are going to vote for anything called the "Board of Race Relations." when it's to be run by a noted, err...leftist like Harry Dexter White. Wallace says, "Well, make them! That's your job, isn't it?" and hangs up, muttering about professional politicians... --- Thoughts? Subject: For All Time Pt. 4 Date: 11 Mar 2001 08:21:57 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 4 -In mid-February of 1942, President Wallace politely but firmly turns down British plans for a commission of mutual cooperation in the Caribbean. He's still determined to set right whatever went wrong in Latin America, and he doesn't trust the British not to come in and gum things up. Not intentionally, mind, but their diplomacy comes across as a bull in a china shop. He acknowledges a need for Anglo-American cooperation in the area, though, and so turns the matter over to the Commander of the United States Navy: Ernest King, who attacks the matter with his usual Anglophobia. (After all, Singapore has just fallen and the "Scharnhorst", "Gneisenau" and "Prinz Eugen" have escaped, how compentent can the Limeys be?) With Latin America messed with for no particular reason yet again, a young Under-Secretary of State named Nelson Rockefeller, already uncomfortable in the less than bipartisan Wallace administration, hands in his resignation. -Cordell Hull comes near to resigning, yet again, when President Wallace (though not publically, thank God, he thinks as he throws an empty bottle across the room) puts strong pressure on the British government, along with Chaing Kai-Shek, to simply grant India the independance they want, and not horse around with the Cripps offer extended earlier in the year. But, Hull is a stubborn man, and he won't go down without being pushed. He knows full well that Wallace wants him gone, too, and is grooming White House Chief of Staff Alger Hiss for his job. -Acting under direct orders from Secretary of War Henry Stimson (who, with his long experience of Presidents, knows the key to dealing with them is just not telling them things), General Douglas MacArthur leaves Bataan Island and surrenders his role as commanding officer there. -Wallace takes the oppurtunity of the disastrous Battle of Java Sea (February 27-March 1) to do some house cleaning. The United States lost five ships sunk to a damaged Japanese destroyer; clearly, something is seriously rotten in the civilian parts of the Navy Department. This is good for Wallace on a personal level as well as a political one; he despises Frank Knox, the Secretary of the Navy. Knox is a deeply, deeply conservative Republican, the wealthy head of a major newspaper chain in Chicago, (in fact, he was Landon's runningmate in 1936), and he and the arch-liberal Wallace have butted heads on more than one occasion. Knox isn't exactly happy about being ordered to resign, but hey, if he criticized FDR in his papers, he can do three times worse to Wallace...To replace him, Wallace opts to go outside the Department alltogether; to Paul McNutt, former Governor of Indiana and High Commisioner of the Phillipines, current director of the Federal Security Administration. In the shuffle as the new Secretary comes into power, a terrible paperwork malfunction loses all the plans for a planned B-25 strike against Tokyo and Yokohama in late April. McNutt is a very, very good administrator, (his enemies called him "The Hoosier Hitler" for his organization abilities) though, and he quickly helps rebuild the plans, so the strike is post-poned until the first week of May, when the Hornet and Enterprise will launch the planes of General James Doolittle. ----- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 5 Date: 12 Mar 2001 02:37:25 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 5 April-May 1942 -In late April of 1942, General James Doolittle recieves word that his planned airstrike against the Japanese Home Islands has been postponed, yet again; Japan is poised to seize Port Moresby and have a gateway against Australia, and the Enterprise and Hornet are needed to reinforce the Yorktown and Lexington in the Coral Sea. Doolittle has his backers, though, and infighting over the move delays the arrival of the carriers and their battle groups to the night of the eighth of April. Meanwhile, the battle goes as largely as per OTL; the first carrier-on-carrier battles in history see the loss of a few cruisers and support ships, the sinking of the Japanese light carrier Shoho, the savaging of the carrier Shokaku, destroying its ability to launch planes, and the destruction of most of the Zuikaku's planes. The Lexington takes the damage that will sink her as per OTL. After arriving in the combat area and assisting with attempted repairs of the Lexington, Captain Mason of the Hornet, the senior officer of the arriving fleet (Captain Harriman of the Enterprise being very new, he just was delivered to the ship the Tuesday before.) takes the two fresh, undamaged carriers west, to hunt the Shokaku and Zuikaku. The two carriers are travelling close together with the survivors of their battered fleet; the Zuikaku's shattered combat air patrol (the only Japanese planes in the air) is at a minimum; after all, thinks Rear Admiral Tadaichi Hara, the Americans are staying behind to lick their wounds... And thus it is that while Lieutenant Scott Oscuro's recon flight from the Enterprise sees the Japanese fleet, the Japanese don't see him, and, an hour or so later, around high noon, to the delight of jingoistic American film makers of the future, "all the dive-bombers in the world came crashing out of the sky," in the words of one Japanese sailor. The Americans are inexperienced, but they score hit after hit as their Wildcat escorts shred through the thin line of Mitsubishi Zeros. Two cruisers and a handful of escorts go down in a matter of twenty minutes, and wounded Shokaku is struck again and again, until, with a great groan, the engines fail entirely, just as water begins pouring in through a dozen holes. By this time, the remnants of the Zuikaku's planes are in the air, just in time to face the rested, well-fed pilots of the second wave of American planes, the torpedo bombers and their friends...when all is said and done, the Shokaku is going down fast (she will be gone within the day), the Japanese escort ships are simply fleeing home, and Zuikaku, with no less than five torpedos in her, is slowed enough that an American submarine will sink her before the week is up. It is America's first great victory of the war; the tide of the Rising Sun has been turned! America in general, and President Henry Wallace in particular, with his shakeup at the Department of the Navy, looks very good indeed. And he'll need it, too. -Congress just won't do it. All of Wallace's Second New Deal package makes some people happy in Congress; liberals on race relations like the idea of the Commission on Race Relations; farmers like the Food for Victory Commission, and labor likes the idea of working for the nationalized, consolidated war industries...but, contrary to Wallace's hopes, the result is instead a coalition of Southern Democrats, conservative Republicans, and other opponents of the various bills. They're in commitee, most of them, and don't look prime to leave at all. And with the Congressional session nearly over for the start of the '42 campaigns, they're not going anywhere... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 6 Date: 13 Mar 2001 21:17:18 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if -Despite their reservations with the new President's planned policies, Speaker Sam Rayburn and Senate Majority Leader Alben Barkley throw their weight behind at least the general idea of the "Second New Deal." Wallace has been President for only about six months in this, June of 1942, and he's entitled to a honeymoon. Besides, and much more importantly; Party infighting in wartime, in an election year, will do nothing more than make Republican Joe Martin Speaker of the House in 1943. So, with some effort, after consulting a bipartisan crowd as diverse as Milliard Tydings, Hiram Johnson, and even freshman Margaret Chase Smith of Maine, the Democratic leadership works out a compromise set of bills that is basically acceptable to at least a majority. The Food for Victory Commission is in; most people not opposed to an expanded government in general like the idea of consolidated agriculture, it promises quite a bit of profit. Too, there's little problem in sustaining and expanding the existing New Deal programs; they're reasonably popular in the mainstream wings of both of the parties. Nationalization of war industries, barely, survives, though the nationalization is restricted to mutitions only, and the promised payments to the corporations involved are trebeled. In addition, Congress adds an oversight body to make sure the nationalized companies aren't going to mischeif. One thing (almost) everyone is glad to lose is the Commission on Race Relations; a fair majority of Southern Democrats would have voted against any set of bills that contained such a thing, and wasn't liked by a reasonable number of Congresspeople everywhere. But, now, they've a working set of Second New Deal bills. They don't make everyone happy, by any means, but the SND package will get the votes of a majority, and be on President Wallace's desk just in time for him to sign, and the Democrats will be assured of increasing their majority in 1942. Until Henry Wallace gets word that the professional politicians on the Hill have dared to tamper with his package of bills. The marks are clear, they're sabotaging his plans, the expanded New Deal that he _knows_ with every fiber of his being the people want, the Commission on Race Relations...well, he'll fight for it. He tries. He really does, but it's about the time he's shouting down Sam Rayburn, who's trying to tell him that _no_ Southern Democrat will vote for something likely to do away with segregation that the Second New Deal is dead, at least in 1942. Wallace tries to keep Congress in session, calling them back twice after recess begins, despite the election in November, but most members of both houses simply leave Washington anyway, even those not up for election in November. In August, bitterly disgusted, Wallace gives up on Congress, which has long since given up on him. -Meanwhile, in June, the Battle of Midway happens around the same time as OTL. Fresh from the crushing at the Coral Sea, the Japanese pilots are much more aggressive, determined to avenge their brethern, and the Americans don't get the good luck of catching much of the enemy air cover on the deck, refueling. Instead of four carriers sunk in a matter of minutes, the IJN loses the carriers Akagi and Soryu, while the Kaga's air patrol is so thoroughly savaged that they'll be out of action for quite some time. The US fleet loses the Yorktown as per OTL, but the more aggressive Japanese pilots manage to slip through the American screen and sink the Hornet, while the heavily damaged Enterprise barely manages to limp back to Pearl Harbor. Despite the different losses, Midway winds up with the same final result; a battle that is a tactical draw is a strategic victory, the Japanese invasion fleet turns about and heads for home, thoroughly chastened by the Americans in two battles in a row, now. -Secretary of War Henry Stimson takes the oppurtunity to resign in July; pleading health issues and that he's unnecessary, now that the United States has won two reasonably excellent victories in short order. It's true, but not _really_ true. The Wallace administration is not a pleasant place for Republicans, of which Stimson is a titan of, and Wallace's antipathy toward professional politicians has made relations with a man who has been involved in government since the Taft administration cool at best. Wallace isn't stupid, though; he knows exactly why Stimson is resigning, and so, when asked for a routine confirmation of Stimson's resignation, he denies it, and says the Secretary is resigning for reasons of basic policy. Angry and humiliated, the normally courtly Stimson pens a blistering attack on Wallace, which is published quite happily by Colonel Frank Knox's Chicago papers. With the very public fight in all the papers as leaves begin to turn red in Washington, the academics and junior politicians approached by Wallace to take Stimson's place refuse, they've no desire to stick their heads into that particular guillotine. In fact, in sympathy to Stimson, the Secretary of the Treasury, Henry Morgenthau, who'd also been growing unhappy (Morgenthau was a moderate-to-conservative Democrat who went liberal for his friend FDR) quietly resigns and goes home to New York. Finally, President Wallace finds his man for the War Department in the Navy Department, with Under-Secretary Frank Forrestal, who assumes office in early September. For Treasury, Wallace manages to find (finally) an academic who he can really trust to follow his agenda. -With the temporary chaos in the civilian sector of the War Department, the Wallace administration is forced to rely heavily on the professionals, so, reluctantly, Wallace takes the advice of Chief of Staff George Marshall and cancels Operation Torch, the planned invasion of North Africa. Even more reluctantly, Wallace agrees to step up aid to British forces in North Africa, that they can do some of the work that the Americans won't be doing. Frustrated over not being able to open his planned second front in 1942, Wallace aims the planning sectors of the War Department and the Army brass at one great goal in Europe; an invasion of France in 1943. He has already offered command to the man who is perhaps the most distinguished American soldier outside of the Pacific; Marshall, who has accepted. -In early October of 1942, recognizing the danger the Democratic Party is in, and the risk of getting a Congress full of Republicans after November, Henry Wallace decides that it's time for a grand gesture. He will do something that will unite all Americans, everywhere, behind himself, the Democratic Party, and the war effort in one grand tide of liberty and justice. And so it is, on October 5, 1942, President Henry Wallace, with George C. Marshall on one side and Benjamin O. Davis (the first black general in the US Army, brought out of retirement by Franklin Roosevelt before his death) on the other, before a great crowd of reporters, Henry Wallace signs an executive order desegregating the armed forces of the United States as of the first day of 1943. (Historians will debate the racial views of Henry Wallace for years to come; while he is decades ahead of his time in civil rights for blacks, he only pondered the removal of Asian-Americans from the Far West for a few days before authorizing it earlier in the year.) -El Alamein goes largely as per OTL, though less US Lend-Lease aid means that the British take heavier casualities; it's just not enough to change the outcome of the battle. In distant Algiers, Admiral Pierre Darlan reads the reports, and ponders... -When all is said and done in the election of 1942, the Democratic Party doesn't lose as badly as they might; the Republicans wind up with 50 Senate seats, a bare majority, and only a lead of 7 seats in the House. However, a conservative Democratic coalition with the Republicans gives the GOP a strong majority in Congress. --- Thoughts?b President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. Seven Date: 15 Mar 2001 03:33:21 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. Seven January-February 1943 -In President Henry Wallace's first full year in office, 1942, he has managed to: Wreck US-South American relations Alienate the US from Britain End bipartisanship toward the war effort in America Elect a Congress dominated by his enemies Lose most of FDR's top-ranking cabinet and that's just the stuff he's done accidentally. -The Havana Conference (January 14-24 of 1943) is one of the more ghastly experiences of Winston Churchill's life. At times it seems as if President Wallace is simply ignoring him in his discussions with Soviet Foriegn Minister Molotov; even when official negotiations are over, the two chat with each other long into the night about the USSR and the USA working together for global cooperation and peace. In the end, the conference manages to accomplish a lot, though. The United States makes a firm commitment to open up a second front in France in 1943, and, reluctantly, agrees to support a British/Commonwealth/French invasion of Sicily in that same year. George C. Marshall will command the big American invasion, codenamed ROUND-UP, while the British will give command to _the_ British general in North Africa, Field Marshall Bernard Montgomery, for Operation HUSKY. With both the recent British victories in Libya and the tentative approaches made by the Darlan government in Algiers freshly in mind, the Allies pledge to recognize any French government that becomes hostile to the Germans, Vichy or Free French. Charles De Gaulle, who was not invited to the conference, goes half-mad with rage, but there's little he can do about it; even his monumental ambition cannot stop him from fighting the Germans. The Soviets agree to launch an offensive against the Germans as soon as possible; in the summer, when the Allied landings are planned. In the Pacific, Churchill proves to be a bit more successful, perhaps because he is, for once, in agreement with Admiral Ernest King. While the American island-hopping campaign will continue, none of the powers will take the offensive into Burma or another area of jungle, instead the British will move into China, to keep supply lines open that way. Also, the Anglo-Austro-American forces agree to ensure the crushing of the Japanese Navy as soon as possible. The worst finally happens at the very end of the conference, after a long speech from Molotov that the Americans should have opened up a second front in France in 1942, perhaps even in French North Africa. While Churchill rolls his eyes inwardly and idly contemplates a world where he doesn't have to listen to these people, President Wallace listens intently, and then tells the Foriegn Minister that yes, that's true, the military could have moved more quickly...but he does have compensation for their gallant allies. There's a project the US government is funding in Chicago...after some negotiation, the Soviets and Americans agree to cooperate on their projects, such as they are. The liason between them, chosen to assure Churchill that the British aren't entirely screwed over, is a fine gentleman named Klaus Fuchs, who is soon on his way to the University of Chicago... -In early February of 1943, Tripoli is beseiged by Montgomery's forces. Things are going pretty well for the British in North Africa; Torch hasn't happened, of course, but the Axis is still in full retreat. Plus, all the high-ranking officers enjoy reading the dispatches from the Vichy French to Rommel; Admiral Darlan writes that he is shocked, _shocked!_ that the latest shipment of supplies has yet to reach Rommel's men in Tunisia and Libya, and he'll...do the best he can to see that more arrives. Meanwhile, the French fleet at Toulon has slipped past the Germans and docked at Algiers; through a pre-arranged communication, they made it through the Allied fleet as well. Darlan is almost ready, now, but he sees no reason at all why he shouldn't wait until Rommel is at his weakest. He and General Henri Giraud plot strategy long into the night. Concious of just how weak the Wehrmacht looks, Hermann Goering, in his infrequent periods of not being high on heroin, has worked out a plan of bold skill, to shock the Americans into sensibility, and, even better, to make Herman Goering look really, really good. Plans are already underway for the Ju-190, and so he throws his considerable weight behind them, aiming to have a squadron of fifty within two years. -With the New Year, Cordell Hull finally throws in the towel. He has fought hard and long to stay at the helm of State, but with Wallace having given away Manhattan _and_ been of such signal service to the Russians at Havana, without even bothering to inform Hull that he was going...it's more than the old Tennessean can take. In mid-February, Henry Wallace announces his intention to appoint White House Chief of Staff Hiss as his new Secretary of State; in the same press conference, he announces he is simply creating the Food for Victory Commission, nationalizing war industries, and putting White in charge of race relations. Furious at the blatant executive smackdown, Senate Majority Leader Charles McNary vows to give Hiss the grilling of a lifetime; if Wallace wants to make the war effort partisan, that's exactly what he'll get. Meanwhile, in New York City, a slightly sweaty ex-newspaperman named Whittaker Chambers is pondering his next move. ------- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 8 Date: 16 Mar 2001 16:03:59 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. Eight -Not all news is bad news in March of 1943; in the first few days of the month, Allied planes in New Guinea shatter a Japanese troop convoy in the Bismark Sea, sinking six of eight destroyers and every troop transport. Furthermore, in the last week of the month, Tripoli finally falls to Montgomery's Desert Rats, who soon find their main worry to be running out of fuel, as they chase the Germans back into Tunisia. Admiral Pierre Darlan is nearly ready, now. He'll show Petain, and Hitler, and all the bastards. He'll fix them good! -But much is; the Japanese invasion of New Georgia on the 15th goes off quite well, and Kharkov is besieged by the Germans on the same day. On the 20th, the largest convoy battle in the Atlantic to date sees U-Boat Wolf-Packs sinking thirty-four ships and damaging a dozen more; the American carrier U.S.S. Ranger barely manages to stagger home to New York. In late March, Joseph Stalin dissolves the Comintern as a gesture to his Western Allies. It's a gamble, but if it can make the United Kingdom as strongly allied as the United States, who is he to complain? -In the United States, meanwhile, Senator Charles McNary is re-reading a massive letter he recieved from Whittaker Chambers just after the Hiss hearings started on the first. He's not quite sure what to believe; he'd heard the rumors about Hiss, so had most people in Washington. But the idea that the President of the United States would nominate a Communist spy...still, this _is_ Henry Wallace. After a while, he decides to pay a visit on one man who knows a great deal about Communists, or at least about where they are; the director of the FBI, J. Edgar Hoover. -As preperations for the invasion of France in June are completed, a decision is made in the staff of George Marshall; the German panzers allegedly being refitted in and around the city of Caen are an illusion, a fluke of bad intelligence from the French Resistance and bad photographic intelligence. For all of Marshall's skill, like most generals, he knows pretty much what his staff tells him, so he agrees with them. -Scandal rocks the American Army in mid-April, and at least a dozen officers resign. General George S. Patton, who was billed to be the commander of the forces coming ashore at OMAHA Beach on D-Day, pays a visit to an Army Air Force hospital to speak to the wounded men and reassure them with the sheer magnitude of his presence. Near the end of his tour, his heart swelling with pride at the brave American boys, he runs across a man with no visible injuries, huddled on a cot in the corner. Soliticiously (after all, the poor boy might have been unmanned) but with a growing suspicison, he asks the young tail-gunner, Corporal Joseph Heller, where he's hit. "It's my nerves," he responds, "I can't take the flak!" Patton, in high dungeon, slaps the young man with his gloves and attempts to throw him from the hospital; and finds himself being thrown out. The AAC is not in his direct chain of command, and you just don't do that sort of thing, really. Word of the dustup gets back to President Wallace; he goes mad, and when all is said and done, George S. Patton is back home, riding a desk as Omar Bradley's immediate underling at the Army General Staff. His replacement is a man who has never commanded a field force in his life, but seems a stalwart pile of man, General Leslie Groves. -There is, of course, no TRIDENT conference in Washington. Churchill, in conference with Montgomery on the Tunisian border on the 8th of May, formulates a plan for an invasion of Italy in 1944 or '45, once Sicily is secured in late 1943. General Henry Arnold assumes command of American air forces in Europe and Britain in particular; his opposite number on the British side is "Bomber" Harris, the two like each other about as much as any other set of American and British generals in this war. -In the end, though, it all comes down to June 5, 1943, when approximately 150,000 soldiers, 18,000 vehicles, 1,000 tanks, and 10,000 planes leave Dartmouth, Portland, and Portsmouth, setting out for OMAHA, GOLD, and UTAH Beaches. To oppose them is General Heinz Guderian, the staff officer and the man who'll get the credit, at least, for inventing tank warfare, who is chief of operations for Gerd von Rundstedt, C-in-C in the West for the moment... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. Nine Date: 18 Mar 2001 06:45:05 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. Nine In the end, D-Day far closer than it will look in hindsight. Despite the best efforts of Congressmen, journalists, and authors for decades afterwards, it is quite difficult indeed to pin the blame for the collapse of the Normandy invasion on any particular facet of the American Army, or even on the actions of the Wehrmacht. War is, after all, a mightily complex thing, and the greatest seaborne invasion in history, up to that time, was perhaps the most complex undertaking of the Allied armies up to that time. Still, some conclusions can be drawn: -The airborne side of the operation, the landings in late June 4 and early June 5, worked perfectly well until the paratroopers actually touched ground, and were confronted with the three panzer divisions that Intelligence had dismissed as an error. Despite heroic last stands in Bayeaux, Caen, and other names that would be carved in blood in the histories of American airborne units, there were no functional paratrooper groups larger than company-size after June 7. -The naval contingent offshore simply flattened the three German destroyers and five U-Boats that happened to be caught between Britain and Normandy on the night of the 5; the only casualties were men wounded in the rush of firing. However, faulty reports of a German pocket battleship fleet (The Scharnhost, Tirpitz, Gniesau, and friends, to be precise) sent five American battleships and associated cruisers on a fruitless chase that lasted most of the night of the 5th. -While the Army Air Corps, Navy pilots, and Marine fliers did signal service over the skies of Normandy, breaking the Luftwaffe into hundreds of pieces (some interceptor units took over 90% casualties, among whom was Adolf Galland, perhaps the premier German aviator of the time), they proved unable to fulfill their _second_ function, which was to bomb and strafe German ground units on the beaches and those moving up the roads to them. Only the heroic rescue missions carried out by bold transport and bomber pilots kept them from recieving blame at the time; they landed again and again, dodging more and more German flak on the narrow beaches, saving hundreds of trapped soldiers, taking heavy casualties themselves. -As for the men of the initial beachheads, at UTAH, OMAHA, and GOLD...it was probably Bill Mauldin who put it best when he said: "Early on the 7th, I realized I was actually running back across the Channel. It was about that time I started to think we'd lost." Despite heroic fighting, regiments dying to a man to cripple German brigades, it is obvious by the morning of the 7th of June, when the infamous "Five Tigers" made it onto the actual sand at UTAH, destroying a dozen Lees and Shermans before being taken out themselves, that it was obvious the invasion had failed. General George Marshall, American C-in-C Europe, called off any further waves, and ordered an evacuation. When the last soldier had returned, he resigned from the Army. His replacement is General Mark Clark, whose troops at UTAH beach penetrated the farthest, and lasted the longest, of any of the three wings. -When all is said and done, 58,000 men are dead or dying on the beaches of Normandy, and in the fields around, on the morning of June 8, 1943. The majority are American; the British are focused on North Africa and India, where Archibal Wavell is preparing for a planned Japanese offensive from Burma, and the Canadians, Dieppe fresh in their minds, weren't about to get involved in such a batcrap enterprise. Still, there are 10,000 dead British and five thousand dead from Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, total. Another 40,000 or so have made it back safely to Britain, many of those are wounded and sick, unable to fight for a long time. 50,000 are German prisoners, guarded by, for the nonce, "an Army so broken it couldn't fight a cat, but fortunately the Americans are mice.", as one unkind German observer put it. -June 9 dawns sunny in the office of Secretary of War James Forrestal; he's been in there all day, reading unfolding reports of the apocalypse that was Normandy. His phones have been ringing constantly; Bradley at Army, President Wallace, the press...they'll all blame him. So he picks up the .45 he borrowed from his Army guard the day before, puts it to his temple, and-! -Two men are motivated by the disaster in particular; Vargas in Brazil opts not to declare war on Germany in 1943. Despite the strong temptation to go to war against the nation that has been sinking much Brazilian shipping, he's no desire to be yoked to the incompetent, ham-handed Americans. In Washington, meanwhile, Senator Charles McNary decides that there can be no mercy with the sitting government right now, they have to be broken, and broken hard, before more boys can die. That day, on what was originally planned to be the last day of SecState-designate Alger Hiss' interrogation before Congress, he takes out a file of telegrams recovered from a pumpkin... --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 9.5 Date: 18 Mar 2001 08:41:27 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if July 4, 1943 FIELD MARSHALL ERWIN ROMMEL is on a remarkably fast boat to Sicily, his reputation in tatters. Pierre Darlan, unlike many, was actually heartened by the failure of D-Day (Now the Allies will _really_ need him) and the Vichyist uprising in North Africa managed to seize most of Algeria by the first of July, and with Montgomery's men breaking into Tunisia, he opted to get while the getting was good. CHARLES DE GAULLE has just been quietly asked to leave yet another British government office; they've no interest in dealing with the unlikeable Colonel anymore. Darlan's first acts as "Premeirt of the Free French Republic" were to make Henri Giraud commander of the armed forces and offer De Gaulle command of the Army in particular; De Gaulle, of course, refused...and is suddenly persona non grata with a British government that never liked him much anyway. ED WOOD has, by dint of great adventure, escaped the German cordon that slaughtered so many of his fellow paratroopers, and made it to a Maquis cell operating out of Brest. He is already earning praise from his fellows as an undercover operative; he was the only one who volunteered to dress as a woman and plant explosives around a German tank farm outside of the city. He was quite convincing indeed. GENERAL DWIGHT DAVID EISENHOWER sips his morning coffee at his desk in Los Alamos, New Mexico, reading news clippings about the slow rebuilding of the American military in the United Kingdom, the near-collapse of the Churchill government, and the horrible controversy around Alger Hiss, James Forrestal, and the rest of the Wallace administration. Privately, Ike thinks Wallace is an idiot, but he doesn't say that aloud; after all, if he could survive working for Doug MacArthur, he could survive anyone. And, of course, he thinks as he checks his morning schedule (he has a meeting with Oppenheimer and Greenglass about the decision, move to implosion or stick with gun-type), if Henry Wallace likes anything, it's Big Projects... Secretary of Commerce ROBERT FERDINAND WAGNER Jr. is sharing an uneasy lunch with his counterpart at Agriculture, JAY HORMEL. Wagner is nervous; he has political ambitions back home beyond the State Senate seat he held before being tapped by Wallace for his spot, and the Wallace administration is increasingly becoming less a dead horse than a zombie horse, risen from the grave to eat its loved ones. CAROLE LOMBARD is Eileen Dibble in the new film hit _This is the Army_, as the fiancee of her real-life husband CLARK GABLE's character, Johnny Jones. It's not a terribly large movie, but it's patriotic, which is good, and it lets her work with Clark, which is _very_ good. Down the lot a ways, RONALD REAGAN is muttering irritably at the bad reviews "A Guy Named Joe" recieved. Perhaps science fiction is more his thing... JOE LOUIS paces his cabin at his POW camp in Thurungia, back and forth, back and forth, thinking about what's outside. He is personally invioable; it would be a propaganda nightmare for the Germans if they killed the great celebrity American, but it's even better propaganda to keep the man who beat Schemmelfing in a golden cage. He tries not to think about the men of his hastily integrated company; he knows only a very few survived. There are a few other celebrity prisoners in the area; he's exchanged notes with JIMMY STEWART. JACKIE ROBINSON, DANIEL INOUYE, GEORGE WALLACE, ERNIE PYLE, SIEGFRIED KNAPPE, LESLIE GROVES and STAN LEE are dead in France, along with a great many others. President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 10 Date: 18 Mar 2001 23:09:23 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 10 July-August 1943 - By a 3/4ths majority, the Senate refuses to approve Alger Hiss as the next Secretary of State. Indeed, Charles McNary begins legal action against Hiss for perjury before Congress, a citation for contempt having failed by a slim margin. Furious at what he regards as the smearing of a good man, President Wallace decides it's time to take action. He retains Hiss as White House Chief of Staff, soon devolving all sorts of responsibilities upon the former State Department official, and nominates Joseph Kennedy Sr. to take the actual job at State. After all, say what you will for Joseph Kennedy, it's hard to call him a Communist spy. He has a much harder time finding someone for War; no one wants to step into the landmine that is James Forrestal's former office. (Forrestal seems to have kept a lot of notes in his head.) Finally, Wallace finds his man in New York Senator Robert Wagner Sr.; after all, the Senate usually approves its own. But he's not finished, of course. With surprising perspicacity, he recognizes that McNary had to have help to bring down Hiss (Chambers has kept his name quiet.), and that there's only one man in Washington who could have done that: J. Edgar Hoover. Wallace fires the canny F.B.I. director on August 1, 1943, replacing him with the head of the Division of Social Protection of the Federal Security Agency, a man most notable for his ability to harass criminals to the ground. Wallace turns him toward his enemies in Congress, even as they go quite mad over the firing of America's "top cop." Finally, Wallace decides to head out into the country; once the people see him, hear his message, they'll unite behind him. Franklin made whistlestop tours, didn't he? He organizes a whistlestop tour; New York to Chicago to Denver to San Francisco, and all the towns in between, to last most of the fall and winter. He'll run the government from the train, of course, but he'll leave day-to-day decisions in the hands of Chief of Staff Hiss and SecState-designate Kennedy. -The end of August sees the area in and around the city of Kursk as a burnt-out shell of a town, besieged by both sides...a second Stalingrad, except a bit more favorable toward the Germans. The Soviet summer offensive has slaughtered millions of Germans, but millions more Russians also were quite surprised to find themselves dead. Still, while the Soviet advance has stalled somewhere in the center of the city and doesn't look to get going again until winter, the Germans are definitely on the defensive. -In the Pacific, New Georgia falls to the Allies on August 10, 1943. The American forces are doing marginally better in the Pacific, enough that General Lesley McNair's proposal to move America's first and only Marine field army to Europe is granted. McNair himself is soon on a plane to Algiers, to meet with Bernard Montgomery, Pierre Darlan, and Henri Giraud. After all, just because the Army failed in France doesn't mean the Marines must fail against Sicily. Also, Archibald Wavell manages to cut off and destroy Yamashita's offensive into eastern India at Imphal, and has won permission for an offensive west into Burma. His deputy, William Slim, has nicely put down the pro-Japanese revolts led by Subhas Bose; a pity that Mahatma fellow died as well, but if he was going to go walking around in a riot waving his stick, it was his look-out. -Too, arrangements are finalized for the Tehran conference in November. On the agenda is discussion of the joint American-Soviet-Anglo nuclear program (definitely in that order), there's talk of the Soviets concentrating on one type of bomb and the Americans on another, plans for the invasion of Sicily, tentatively set for early in 1944, and even the postwar division of Europe and Asia. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 11 Date: 19 Mar 2001 20:59:25 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 11 September-November 1943 -The newspapers explode with scandal as they've never done before in September, when J. Edgar Hoover releases his papers. They're a Who's Who list of scandals in the Democratic Party; Secretary of State Kennedy's stock manipulation and possible rum-running is prime on the list, and all are met with pardons from the White House, for . President Wallace announces that he will not allow false and unwarranted indictments to be made against his administration. Emboldened (though he was not pardoned, he told Wallace he didn't want to look guilty), Alger Hiss sues J. Edgar Hoover for libel. Two days later, pictures of J. Edgar Hoover in hose and garters, along with a reasonably detailed account of his homosexuality, are released to the press by an anoynmous source. The first is an outright fake, the second is a fake in the sense that it's a fictionalized account of reality. The press eats it up, though carefully, and politely...this is an age of gentlemanly stuff, after all. -Charles McNary dies of brain cancer in early September, 1943, and is replaced as Majority Leader by the gentlemanly Robert Taft, who has the approximate personality of his father, if Taft pere had lost the weight and taken up jogging. With the Hoover muddle in everyone's mind, Taft decides not to bring charges of lying to Congress against Alger Hiss (He is not a fan of scandals, even for the other side), and instead quietly turns the papers involved over to the federal prosecutor, suggesting a possible indictment for espionage... -The kindest thing that can be said about President Wallace's nation-wide whistlestop tour is that no one actually took a shot at him. New York is abysmal; Wallace had spoken often of the "Rainbow Army" after integration, made up of white and black, Catholic and Protestant...and now nearly 60,000 of those boys had died in less than a week. Of the thousands that come to see him speak, most have anti-Wallace signs, and the rest have rocks. Chicago is kinder, Wallace has always been close to labor, and he's pushed the right buttons during his term (John L. Lewis and George Meany, among others, have sat on government commitees.) Denver is bad, though, and San Francisco is good only because of the Marine guards posted around the perimeter of the Presidio, where Wallace speaks. He returns home in early November to prepare for Tehran; vowing to help swing the people away from the Republican press that has led them so astray. He'll fix 'em...he'll fix 'em good! -There are dustups in America's Big Science projects in this period, too. (of the two man team running the government in early fall, only Chief of Staff Hiss has any interest in it.) David Greenglass at the Manhattan Project is promoted for his good work, winding up as America's #2 scientist, just under Vannevar Bush. To placate frustrated egos at the Manhattan Project, Hiss has Edward Teller created Presidential Science Advisor. -Just to top everything off, the Tehran Conference, from late November to early December, sets the stage for the post-war world. America and the Soviet Union agree to divide their efforts on nuclear projects as they share knowledge; the Soviet Union will work on the gun-type bomb, while the Americans will work on the implosion-type. As per the war in Europe, all the powers agree to offensives in the summer of 1944. The British Empire, Americans, and Free French will go north through Sicily and the rest of the Mediterranean, while the Soviets will strike again in the Ukraine. The Soviet Union also pledges to declare war on Japan within a month of Germany's surrender. _Very_ preliminary plans for the post-war world are drawn up; the Soviet Union will occupy Austria, along with eastern and central Germany, until democracy can be established, while the US, the UK, and France will hold the rest. Finally, all powers will demand unconditional surrender. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 12 Date: 20 Mar 2001 19:46:37 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 12 -The winter of 1943-44 is a dark time in American politics. As J. Edgar Hoover releases his damaging files and is struck by damaging information about himself in return, about a half-dozen Senators and dozen Congressmen quietly retire or resign…but no others. While most politicians manage to endure the storm, it's only through fighting back as dirty as the information on them. The damage is done, though, and the era of the gentlemanly press is coming rapidly to an end. -And just in time for the '44 campaign, too. President Wallace plans to run for re-election, but he's one of the few people outside of the left of the Democratic party, especially labor, that wants him to. The de facto leader of the opposing wing of the Democrats is Senate Minority Leader Alben Barkley of Kentucky. He is a moderate on race, unlike most Southern Senators he has not blamed the failure of D-Day on the integration of the Army, though he has called it "hasty and unwarranted". Barkley has been speaking to Party bosses since the election of 1942, and has quietly locked down the conventions in several states. The Republicans, meanwhile, are much more divided; with far more candidates who want to be the nation's 34th President. The conservative wing of the Party is divided between two isolationist Senators, Robert Taft and Arthur Vandenburg, while the liberal is roughly divided between Indiana banker Wendell Willkie (who has not been associated with Democrats and thus not discredited as per OTL) and New York Governor Thomas Dewey. One man who is not interested in running for any particular office is Missouri Senator Harry S. Truman; he has reluctantly come out in favor of integration in the Army, and the subsequent outcry in his home state was enough to convince him he had no further interest in politics. -In the Ukraine, both the Reich and the Soviets are planning lots of action for the spring and summer of 1944. Field Marshall Manstein plans a spring offensive against Kursk, aiming to drive the Russians out and seize the great Soviet salient in the area. Zhukov, whose signal intelligences have let him read Manstein's dispatches, plans for a defensive fight in the spring and then a great blow in the summer. Hopefully, this will coincide with the invasion of Sicily, which is now forecast tentatively for July. -Meanwhile, in North Africa, the first United States Marine Corps field Army is forming; training together with Montgomery's British and Giraud's Free French, for the invasion of Sicily. Morale in the Marines is surprisingly high; many are veterans of the Pacific, and they vow to revenge the defeat of Normandy on the bloody shores of Sicily. The invasion will run into one particular difficulty, though… -Eliot Ness has no interest in dealing with the Mafia. J. Edgar Hoover might not have recognized that it exists, but he does, and he won't make deals with them. When Charles Luciano comes to him with an offer of keeping the East Coast docks American; Ness threatens him with arrest. Determined to get in with the government, Luciano cracks down on his lieutenants; Albert Anastasia finds himself deep in the East River for planning to burn the Normandie, but it still doesn't convince Ness. With all of the disturbances going on, a handful (five, in fact) of Axis sympathizers manage to get in operation on the docks of New York City… --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 13 Date: 22 Mar 2001 01:34:10 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 13 -In February of 1944, as most people in Washington have been expecting for a long time, White House Chief of Staff Alger Hiss is arrested by the FBI for espionage. Wallace appointee he may be, but Director Ness is no more a fan of spying than the next man. (He does allow Hiss to resign his post at the White House first, though, and arrests him at home rather than there.) President Wallace expresses his full confidence in Hiss' innocence (Hiss, convinced he will be acquitted and wanting to preserve his reputation, declines the President's offer of a pardon.) and promises Hiss his job back when he's acquitted. -It's about that time that Mississippi Congressman William M. Whittington, one of the Democrats on the House Judiciary Commitee, stands up and submits articles of impeachment for President Henry Wallace. Whittington has the backing of a strong wing of the House Democrats, recognizing how very, very bad Wallace is making them look, not to mention the 60 thousand dead at Normandy, and the whole Communist Spies Everywhere thing. As the Commitee begins debate, (with resistance mostly based on the fact that there's no grounds for impeachment on the basis of incompetence, plus no one really wants to see Joseph Kennedy President.) Wallace decides it's time to pick his running mate; as can be expected, professional politicians are rather...dubious at the prospect, so he turns to the realm of business. -Meanwhile, the American Expeditionary Force in North Africa has reached its full size; roughly half that of a standard Corps (38,000 men). Most in it are Marines, enough that the overall commander is a Marine, Major General Alexander Vandegrift. In many ways, having the Marines along is a bad military decision; they're well-trained in amphibious assaults, of course, which makes them _very_ popular in the American military establishment after the failure of D-Day, but not so much in the field fighting that Sicily, and especially Italy will need, but the Wallace administration badly needs a victory. One man who is sure of this is General George S. Patton, commander of the American Army contingent of the invasion, another is the overall commander of the invasion, Bernard Montgomery. -March of 1944 sees the premeire of _The Martyrs of Normandy_, the first film about the failed invasion of D-Day, starring John Wayne as Captain Wedge Donovan. Directed by John Ford, who came ashore at Normandy and was badly wounded enough to be invalided out of the Army, the film is largely a bottle piece, as well as shocking for the day, graphically violent, with the suggestion that it was incompetence upstairs that let our boys in France die. On another level, though, the way it is sold to the public, it's simply a particularly daring and honest war movie, if one shot with great speed. -In early April of 1944, the Soviet defenders of Kursk are awakened by a great rumbling of artillery and panzers in the distance; Manstein's spring offensive has begun, with its aim to strike at Moscow, again. Little do the Germans know, of course, that the Russians are well-prepared for them indeed. Far to the west, not far from Poitors, Hermann Goering is inspecting his hand-picked crews for the operation he plans to use to rise to the Fuhrer's right hand again. After the humilation of the Luftwaffe over Normandy, he found the Army or SS or Kriegsmarine suddenly in control of half of his former responsiblities. Wermacht men man Germany's flak guns now, Navy men make coastal patrols, and all of his offensive ground forces, including his beloved panzer division, were handed over to the Waffen SS. He'll show them, he thinks as he looks over the crew for the 50 planes he's building secretly, he'll show them all. Goering has shown surprising political skill in keeping his plan away from the rest of Hitler's higher-ups; ambitious SS #2 man Heydrich has loaned staff to get the glory, as has the Reich's #2 engineer, Albert Speer, who has helped build the Ju-190s Goering wants in secret, in Poland. --- Thoughts? Subject: For All Time Pt. 14 Date: 23 Mar 2001 19:49:00 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 14 -Tragedy strikes Washington on April 11th, 1944, as American forces occupy the Marshall Islands in the Pacific and prepare for the strike against Sicily. General Benjamin O. Davis; the first black general in the United States Army, brought off the retired list to command a brigade at Normandy (his was one of the first to hit the beaches and the last to be evacuated) is just leaving the War Department when a shabbily-dressed enlisted man bursts from the crowd of office workers and yells "Die, nigger butcher!" before shooting Davis three times in the chest and fleeing. He leads the Washington police on a merry chase for a day and a half, before being killed in a shootout outside the Lincoln Memorial. Wallace, horrified, makes a speech promising full restitution to Davis's family, and promises a greater role for blacks in his administration, now and after the election. To show this, he nominates Under-Secretary of State Ralph Bunche to be the next ambassador to Great Britain. In response, the House Judiciary Commitee draws up three articles of impeachment and votes to send them to the house on May 1, 1944. -Tragedy strikes the political scene a few weeks later, when, in the middle of a violent debate on Communism (the American politicial scene is much less gentlemanly in the Wallace timeline) between Republican front-runner Wendell Willkie and New York Governor Thomas Dewey during the most recent primary debate on May 20, when Wendell Willkie falls over dead. Willkie's delegates coalesce around former Minnesota Governor Harold Stassen for the nonce; while Stassen, serving as a naval staff officer in the Pacific, is probably unnominatable at this point, he can serve as a valuable block indeed as the former Willkie delegates plan to choose between the man who killed Wendell Willkie, and the men who might kill his ideals. On June 23, 1944, the Republican Party meets in Chicago to decide just who they'll run for President in 1944. The convention is acrimonious to say the least; pretty much any Republican candidate has an excellent chance of winning the general election in 1944. Dewey takes the lead in the first few ballots, but liberal-to-moderate favorite-son candidates like Harold Stassen and Henry Cabot Lodge deny him much of the Midwest and New England, respectively, keeping Dewey and his conservative rival, Ohio Senator Bob Taft (who has the endorsement of Arthur Vandenburg), neck and neck for several days of ballots. Finally, when they're sure Taft will feel indebted to them, Harold Stassen and his former Willkie delegates concede on the 28th of June, throwing their support and states behind Robert Taft. Henry Cabot Lodge recognizes the trend, and so does Dewey, they concede, and Robert Taft has the nomination by luck and acclimation. In gratitude to the liberals and New Englanders, he picks a man who is both, Vermont Senator George Aiken (who had supported Stassen), as his running mate, and Aiken is quickly selected by the Party on the first of July. As Taft and Aiken shake hands proudly in Taft's hotel suite a few days later, someone turns on a radio, and everyone hears the first reports of the invasion of Sicily... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 15 Date: 25 Mar 2001 16:44:32 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if -For all the worries of all parties involved, the invasion of Sicily opens reasonably well. Between July 1-July 3, the British wings of the invasion on the left and right secure Licata and Syracuse, while the Franco-American forces in the center successfully subdue Gela and the German fortifications there. Bit by bit, then, the Allied forces begin slogging their way north; against strong German resistance. Despite the "Colonel Potter" intelligence ploy of the British, even the weakened German forces on Sicily are quite strong, launching multiple offensives against the Franco-Americans in the center throughout the month of July. Benito Mussolini flees to German-held Corsica just ahead of an anti-fascist mob; the Germans do a good job of _pretending_ to believe the Ciano government is serious about continuing the war... -On July 9, 1944, the last German defenders of Kursk surrender to the Soviet forces there. Field Marshall Zhukov is delighted; the Germans are finally, finally falling back, and the Red Army is on the move, going west! He will be in Kiev by the end of the month; not long after Koniev has finished clearing out every German and associate from in and around Leningrad. -The success of Sicily boosts the popularity of the Wallace administration, enough that, by the slimmest of margins, the House voted not to hear articles of impeachment before adjourning for the 1944 campaign. "He's going down in November anyway," comments one anonymous Congressman, "why bother with an impeachment?" And indeed, things are looking troubled. Wallace has won only a few isolated primaries in the Midwest, and then only when his opposition was split, and every state convention has gone against him. Plus, with the trial of former White House Chief of Staff Hiss heating up, well, it's a grim time indeed, and the convention in Chicago at the end of July is a bit...bitter. In fact, it's marvelously violent as black supporters of President Wallace clash with Southern Democrats; as divided labor fights among itself, and as respected Congressmen and Senators almost come to blows. Finally, convention chairman Rankin manages to throw most every disputed seat between Barkleyites and Wallaceites to Barkley's people. As Wallace fumes in his hotel room, vowing to get some payback, the now-unified convention votes, with a minimum of discussion, to nominate Senate Majority Leader Alben Barkley as the Democratic candidate for President in 1944. To please Westerners, the Party picks California Senator Sheridan Downey to go with him on the third ballot. Two days later, speaking from Washington, Henry Wallace announces that he will be running for President again in 1944 on the Progressive Party ticket. He's rather blunt about it, naming his running mate (Secretary of Agriculture Jay Hormel) in the same speech. -Meanwhile, in the Pacific, President Wallace authorizes Admiral Chester Nimitiz's planned frontal drive on Formosa over General MacArthur's strike at the Phillipines on July 10. Tempting as it is, the Army just doesn't have the credibility with amphibious assaults that it might: Wallace trusts the Navy, not the Army that let him down so abominably. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 17 Date: 29 Mar 2001 19:43:11 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 17 ((I don't know if Komorowski was actually an anti-Semite; if not, apologies to his memory. )) -In mid-September of 1944, Sicily finally falls to the combined Allied offensive. Humiliated, Rommel evacuates with the survivors of his command to Italy, where he recieves word that Hitler plans to court-martial him for gross incompetence. (He has, after all, "lost" both North Africa and Sicily.) He recieves permission to resign from the Army instead, and so on September 29, 1944, Field Marshall Erwin Rommel inspects his troops one last time and flies home to Germany, defeated in war and in history. His replacement as commander of troops in the Mediterrean theater is Erwin von Witzleben, former commander of Army Group West. In two and a half months of fighting, the combined Allied armies have lost 62,000 men, and 19,000 of those, primarily French and Americans, are dead. The victory is a bloody one; but it is the closest thing to a foothold won on the soil of continental Europe that the Allies have seen yet. German resistance was high; and remains high over in Italy despite the new commander; after all, they've won many battles, and made the enemy pay in blood for Sicily. As many of the reinforcements arriving in Sicily are American, Field Marshall Bernard Montgomery authorizes a plan to get them out of his way, so that the fighting can be carried on by British troops under British command; the invasions of Sardinia and Corsica, to be carried out by Franco-American troops. To please the French and Americans, their feathers ruffled at getting the minor operations, command of the invasion forces (Sardinia is set for November, Corsica for early December) will go to a French General and an American one. -Kiev falls in early October of 1944. The Red Army is on the move west, and the Nazis are beginning a long, long retreat that will hopefully end in Berlin. It's not nearly fast enough for Polish Home Army General Tadeusz Komorowski, who broods irritably in his bunker; the Home Army had had a _really_ good plan for an uprising in August, but the Reds weren't actually close enough to do anything about it. They'll be here soon, though, of that he's very sure. He isn't going to go down like the stupid yids did in 43, shot down like dogs in their ghetto, no, he's going to be the leader of Poland when all this is over. -October 7 of 1944 is a great day at Dumbarton Oaks in Washington, D.C; it's a big, noisy Shriner's convention! President Wallace blames most of the troubles of the last few years on incompetence or maliciousness among the British; and thus has no particular interest in conferences, especially when his administration is fighting for its life. Even if they had; with Harry Dexter White on indefinite leave to protect the administration and Alger Hiss' jury nearly finished with their espionage deliberations, there would be surprisingly little to talk about. A conference is scheduled for May of 1945 in Cairo; but that is between all three leaders, and most people are sure that Henry Wallace won't be there. -On a party level, the election of 1944 is shaping up to be a relatively polite one, all things considered. Bob Taft has no interest in fighting dirty; it violates his deeply held political beliefs, many of which are slightly to the right of his late father, and it's bad politics to boot. All the dirt in the election comes from the Democrats and their splinter, the Progressives; Wallace calls Barkley a traitor to the Party, Barkley calls Wallace a fool, and a dupe to boot, and blames him for the failures of the American military. Both men are increasingly desperate; Barkley suspects he doesn't have the votes to really win, and that Wallace may have destroyed the Democratic Party (which Barkley has spent decades polishing); while Wallace looks on Barkley as the worst kind of professional politician, one who stabs his leader in the back for his own political gain. The issues are diverse; everything from Wallace's pardoning of Private Eddie Slovik to Barkley's alleged ties to the Klan. (While that does hurt him among black and liberal voters, many Southern Democrats wonder what's so wrong with that?) On November 7, 1944, people all over the United States go to the polls to evaluate the four years of the Wallace administration, as well as the competing claims of the two major parties... President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 17.5 Date: 30 Mar 2001 19:13:31 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if Breakdown Progressive Henry Wallace-Jay Hormel MINNESOTA-11 Wallace did surprisingly well throughout the Midwest and farming areas, but was only able to carry his Vice-President's home state, and there only by a thousand votes or so. His primary contribution was to act as a spoiler for... Democrat Alben Barkley-Sheridan Downey ALABAMA-11 ARIZONA-4 ARKANSAS-9 CALIFORNIA-25 DELAWARE-3 FLORIDA-8 GEORGIA-12 KENTUCKY-11 LOUISIANA-10 MASSACHUSETTS-16 MONTANA-4 MISSISSIPPI-9 NEVADA-3 NEW MEXICO-4 NORTH CAROLINA-14 OKLAHOMA-10 RHODE ISLAND-4 SOUTH CAROLINA-8 TENNESSEE-12 TEXAS-23 UTAH-4 VIRGINIA-11 WASHINGTON-8 WEST VIRGINIA-8 Votes-227 Alben Barkley swept the Deep South by a margin even greater than FDR's in 1940. He did moderately well in the West as well, barely edging out Wallace in states where the Republican Party was not terribly strong. He came very, very close in the big states of the Northeast and Midwest, but in the end, Wallace sapped his support enough to throw those states to... Republicans Robert Taft-George Aiken COLORADO-6 CONNECTICUT-8 IDAHO-4 ILLINOIS-28 INDIANA-13 IOWA-10 KANSAS-8 MAINE-5 MARYLAND-8 MICHIGAN-19 MISSOURI-15 NEBRASKA-6 NEW HAMPSHIRE-4 NEW JERSEY-16 NEW YORK-47 NORTH DAKOTA-4 OHIO-24 OREGON-6 PENNSYLVANIA-35 SOUTH DAKOTA-4 VERMONT-3 WISCONSIN-12 WYOMING-3 Electora Votes-288, and the election. Perversely, it was the votes of labor who helped elect a man anathema to most every union man on the planet. Taft actually did worse than Dewey did in OTL's 1944 in states like Michigan and Illinois, but Wallace and Barkley managed to split the Democratic vote between them, throwing those states (and the election) to Taft. President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 18 Date: 31 Mar 2001 02:42:56 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if November 1944-January 1945 Rod Serling is a month away from his 20th birthday on November 25, 1944, when he recieves word that _The Atlantic_ has picked up his first short story "Where Is Everybody?" Serling has spent much of the past year in an oxygen tent recovering from a bullet wound to the lungs incurred at Normandy; it was there that he picked up his chewing gum habit and wrote his story, a bitter, pessimistic expose of a military whose top brass still whisper that it was the d*** n****** who lost them D-Day. Serling will manage to draw both hate and praise. In what many pray will be the final propaganda disaster of the Wallace administration, Alger Hiss is convicted of espionage on December 1, 1944. The convictions are divided; of multiple counts on the indictment, Hiss was acquitted of about half. (As per OTL, Hiss' trial was a mix of the truth and framing of a guilty man, fortunately the jury was a bit more perceptive.) To keep from overly embaressing the government, and since Hiss did spy for a current US ally, after all, Hiss is sentenced to twenty years in a federal prison. Wallace immediately pardons him, prompting the near-instant resignation of Attorney General Rosenman . The Washington federal prosecutor, meanwhile, begins drawing together evidence for a perjury indictment, though he'll make sure to send it to the grand jury _after_ January 20. It's an unpleasant Christmas for PFC Charles Schulz; Sicily is a rather rugged place at the best of times, made worse when one is far from home and serving in a tiny village in the middle of nowhere, that looks nothing like long-gone Minnesota. He finally assembles a small Christmas tree out of a tiny, scraggly tree he found loose on a hillside, mutters "I've killed it!" as it keels over, and goes out on his date with local girl Sophia Petrillo. Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. greets the new year with the grim depression that accompanies all of the O.S.S. agents attached to Joseph Stilwell. American relations with the Nationalist Chinese are in terrible shape; Stilwell doesn't like Chaing, and Wallace has been funneling most of the Hump tonnage straight to Mao Tse-Tung. Thoroughly disgusted with the blatant corruption of the Nationalists and the slightly questionable aspects of the Communists, Schlesinger has found himself reading fiction exhaustively, looking for some sort of escape from the banal trap most of the world is. Two days later, his edition of _Astounding_ finally arrives. As Robert Taft is sworn in as the nation's thirty-fourth President on January 20, 1945, Eva Duarte ponders that life is actually pretty good, all things considered. For all that she misses him, Juan is a rapidly fading memory; they both knew how things were, and if he got himself shot, it was his own fault. Still, he was better than her current attachment, the military attache to the Chilean consulate in New York. Augusto is just...odd. But she's found her niche in the city, learned to speak moderately good English in the two years she's been there, and won great fame in the Latin areas of the city playing the Madonna in a Spanish-language musical last Christmas. On January 22, 1945, navy pilot George Bush makes himself an ace twice over by shooting down his tenth Japanese airplane in the opening minutes of Operation Overlord, the American invasion of Formosa. The 100 thousand men of the first wave of the invasion have sailed from American-held Saipan and Tinian; with Formosa in American hands, the US will be able to head south to the Philippines, or over to China, or even to Japan... ---- Thoughts? Subject: For All Time Pt. 19 Date: 02 Apr 2001 02:20:21 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 19. February-March 1945 -The American seizure of Formasa is a slow, bloody affair. After a solid month of fighting, the coastal regions of the island are at least de facto in American hands, but at least 20,000 Japanese troops are still well-fortified in the center of the island, especially in the Chung-yang Shan-mo mountain range, along with countless armed Japanese civilians. To win the native Formosans over to their side, and thus facilitate anti-guerilla operations, the American Army establishes the Office of Civilian Administration under Brigadier General William Westmoreland, to ensure the hearts and minds of the Formosan people are all for democracy. -February also sees the beginnings of President Taft's cabinet shaping up; Henry Stimson is back in Washington (somewhat reluctantly) at State, now serving under his fifth President. Surprisingly, Taft keeps Robert Wagner on as Secretary of War, saying (with rather pointed references to the Wallace administration) that he has no desire to change horses in mid-stream, or at least in wartime. The rest of his Cabinet appointments are more prosaic, mostly conservative-looking Republicans like New Jersey Congressman Fred Hartley at Labor and California Governor Earl Warren as Attorney General. Taft also restores the former O.S.S. director William B. Donovan, who had resigned over procedural issues with President Wallace. -In Europe, Lewis B. Puller's invasion of Sardinia is well-underway on the first of March, most of the island is secure. Puller estimates that Sardinia will definitely be able to support the planned strike against Corsica later in the month. It will be a Franco-American operation; there are just so many Americans in Sicily and few French, there aren't exactly many replacements coming in.) that the French needed backup. To command the invasion of Corsica, the US military picks General George S. Patton. Like with most American field operations of the war, the British are only mildly consulted, and Bernard Montgomery vows that it will be British and British only who strike against Italy in May. Meanwhile, to the north, the Soviets have cleared the Germans out from around Leningrad and begun an offensive against the Finnish lines north of the city. -In the first week of March, two quasi-steps forward are taken in military aviation. Hermann Goering, visiting a moderately secret Luftwaffe base in southern France, gets the good word that almost two years of work has paid off; they've an engine for the forty-seven completed planes that can actually sustain flight for 15 hours straight. Goering, delighted, orders his team to work, to finish modifying the Ju-190s in question. Unfortunately (at least for the pilots), Goering hasn't really been paying attention. The jet engines _can_ work for 15 hours, which means that about half the time they'll work for about that long, give or take an hour or two. Still, thinks Goering's staff and engineers with a shrug, it's not like they're flying the planes. On the sixth day of March, the history of American military aviation takes something of a sideways step. The goal of the LeMay Raids are simple; clog the European road and rail system with refugees and relief efforts (military efforts only, at least) and thus make the invasion of the Low Countries (now set for mid-May) all the easier. The obvious way to do that, of course, is to shatter, via incindiary devices, European cities under German occupation in the area, forcing the local German governments to deal with tens of thousands of civilians roaming the countryside, as well as the military loss of various cities. First on the list to fall is Amsterdam... --- Thoughts? Dresdening non-German cities... President Chester A. Arthur, who did a _much_ better job than Henry Wallace. Subject: For All Time Pt. 20 Date: 04 Apr 2001 03:05:32 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 20 -Adolf Hitler's 56th birthday party on April 20, 1945 is a quiet, sedate affair. Despite the greater success of the German armies, Hitler's drug addictions have proceeded apace, and the man largely sequestered in the Berghof is not the champion of 1939, or even 1943. Lots of people take note of the Fuhrer's apparant mortality, everyone from Hermann Goering to Reinhard Heydrich to the Army Chief of Staff for Italy, Claus von Stauffenberg. As the young Generalmajor returns to his post in Rome the next week, he ponders. Italy is a sunny place to be for the German Army, despite the terrific fighting going on in besieged Sardinia, not that far off-shore. Many officers, including the commander-in-chief, Erich von Witzleben, have moved their families down to Italy to join them. The Ciano government is moderately popular with the Italian people at large. -Late April also sees the cancellation of the LeMay Raids (thus sparing Flanders a visit). The various American Air Armies involved are pretty happy about that; the raids were deeply unpopular in the rank and file. Furthermore, they haven't really accomplished their goal; while Amsterdam, the Hague, Rotterdam, and Antwerp look as if a hammer has been taken to them, with tens of thousands of dead and hundreds of thousands homeless...well, the Reich has ways of ensuring fleeing refugees don't block the roads, and they're effective. Irritated, LeMay turns his attention to supporting the invasion of the mainland, now set to strike somewhere around the Belgian-Dutch border, set for early May of 1945. -To the surprise of no one (except perhaps himself) President Robert Taft authorizes use of nuclear weapons in both Europe and Japan as soon as they are viable. (A test detonation is tentatively scheduled for mid-August, with a deployment the next month.) Taft will die long before the use of nuclear weapons become an issue unto themselves, but as he himself said in a private letter, "I was elected to save the lives of people, American, European, Japanese. Stimson and Wagner tell me it will kill a million Americans to reach Berlin after we land in May, and tens of millions of Germans. Well, I will make sure that doesn't happen." The Soviet nuclear program, still in loose cooperation with the American (Taft doesn't want to alienate the Soviets, but he is rather worried about too much cooperation.), estimates that they will have a working device (built from uranium rather than the American plutonium) by January of 1946. -In the Far East, Formosa (despite terrific Japanese resistance and a strong partisan movement in the interior) is usable to support combat operations by the first of May, 1945. Despite knowledge at the very highest of levels that they may not need to bother, American forces on the ground begin organizing plans for Operation Olympic, the American invasion of Kyushu. -On May 4, 1945, in the early morning hours, 200,000 Americans leave Norwich, sailing hard and quick for West Flanders in the beginning of the largest naval invasion in history. The Americans were going back to the Continent. President Chester A. Arthur, who did a somewhat better job than Robert Taft. Subject: For All Time Pt. 21 Date: 05 Apr 2001 06:35:45 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 21 May 7-8 1945 -The initial problem with the Great Raid of May 8, 1945 was that it was just not a very good idea to begin with. Even if the initial fifty-three specially modified Ju-290s had all been able to reach their targets (the Brooklyn Naval Yards, Gracie Mansion, and Wall Street), the main effect would have been nothing more than a pinprick to the already-enraged American behemoth. As it was, well, things got unpleasant very fast. Of the initial fifty-three bombers scheduled to take off at 1700 sharp on May 7, seven simply don't. Frustrated, the pilots and crew of the seven watch as their comrades fly out of the airfield near Bordeaux, ready to do or die for the Fatherland. Most will. Surprisingly, the forty-six survivors avoid Allied detection on their long, lonely night flight (illuminated by a single slim fragment of the moon) along the 25th parallel, before veering south towards New York City. That didn't help the ten bombers who develop mechanical problems and crash, their crews drowned nearly to a man, the U-Boats supposed to pick them up hundreds of miles away, or sunk (Doenitz would later deny hearing anything about the operation...and laugh and laugh in Goering's face.), but one takes luck where one can. Especially, since, in a development apparantly revolutionary to the Luftwaffe personnel involved in planning the raid, the Americans have _radar!_ Admittedly, much of the US Army brass in the Northeast (that portion of it awake at the time) does dismiss the three-dozen radar blips traveling down the coast of New England as illusion, but it is a young bird colonel in New York City named Barry Goldwater, a veteran of D-Day and Sicily, who wakes his superiors and persuades them to launch the fifty or so P-51s available for combat at that short notice, and send them hunting the blips at around 6 AM on the morning of the 8th. They catch twenty-nine Ju-290s over Long Island Sound, just off the city of Huntingtdon, an hour or so later, just as the sun is breaking in the east. The P-51 pilots are rested and ready, with full guns and full gas tanks; the Luftwaffe crews have been flying all night, are low on fuel, and had their armaments stripped nearly bare for the long flight. None of the Ju-290s survive; most are swatted from the air and crash into the Long Island Sound, a fortunate few manage to land on American soil, or jump from burning planes to parachute to ocean or land. One frustrated pilot manages to drop a portion of his bomb load on Long Island; they land in an abandoned warehouse area, killing five and starting a major fire that will do some millions in property damage. Of that portion of the raid, that's all she wrote. Except for the five planes under Oberst Otto Remer. The SS officer isn't a particularly able pilot, but he does have loyal crews, men on loan from Reinhard Heydrich as part of his deal with Hermann Goering. With virtually the entire active New York City-area air force out of the way, Remer is feeling confident as New York City comes into view around 7:45 AM, many of the American antiaircraft gunners have never hit a moving target (save for veterans) and his squadron can strike and go as they please. Until the U.S.S. Massachusetts opens fire. The big battleship had taken a torpedo hit while on convoy duty the year before, and is just leaving drydock in Brooklyn, where she'd been under repair ever since. Her crews are rested, ready, at general quarters; and the men manning her AA guns are veterans to a man. And Remer's planes are passing right overhead. In a single volley, three of five are down, exploded or straight into the sea, and a fourth is wounded. Ironically, it is Remer's that is hit, one wing is all afire as she begins a slow, slow plunge toward Bedloe's Island. The final plane manages, against all odds, to drop her bombs in full Battle of Britain style. On the completely wrong part of town; the Aurora Theater in Harlem, to be precise. Remer's plane, meanwhile, as if guided by an angry god or a vicious, dying SS officer, smashes into the primary feature of Bedloe's Island, a copper statue given to the United States by France in the late 19th century. The statue is old, in need of repair, with a thin, thin skin. The Ju-190 smashes directly into the statue's base, whereupon which every bomb on board detonates. Slowly, slowly, Lady Liberty topples, shattering from the high explosive, the old copper that survives landing in the burning pools of incindiary, melting slowly, slowly. By 8 AM, May 8, 1945, it's all over, except for the cleanup. The Aurora fire destroys most of Harlem; America's civil defense is brave and well-organized, but green as grass. A few hundred die, thousands are homeless, and a great neighborhood will never be the same. The Statue of Liberty will never be, not this version, anyway. --- There's a real nice article on the Aurora Theater in this month's National Geographic; read it, you'll like it. Now imagine it burning, the whole neighborhood in flames. Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a somewhat better job than Robert Taft. Subject: For All Time Pt. 22 Date: 05 Apr 2001 20:11:01 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 22 May-June 1945 -News of the attack on New York is actually a propaganda victory for both sides; for all that Hitler crows for the great Luftwaffe victory (especially the destruction of the Statue of Liberty), the American armed forces charge forward, whipped into a lust for revenge spurred by the attack on American soil. (The British, meanwhile, shrug, as the Americans have taken civilian casualties equal to a bad few days during the Blitz.) Within two weeks of the attack on New York, by May 22, 1945, Antwerp and Brussels have fallen to the American Army, and an armored spearhead has reached as far as Ghent. American casualties have been high, fifty thousand dead and wounded, but they're nothing compared to the failed D-Day. Civilian casualties have been heavy as well; the Germans have released the tens of thousands of refugees from the terror bombings onto the roads, blocking the American advance in many places and causing many accidental raids on fleeing civilians. The image of a screaming Belgian girl fleeing down a shattered road soon becomes one of the most famous photographs of the war. Still, most of western Belgium is solidly in American hands by the end of May, with small footholds in northern France and the southwestern tip of the Netherlands. -In the United States, President Taft moves quickly, greatly ramping up the air defense network over the East Coast and beginning construction of warning radar stations all up and down the East Coast. Secretary of War Robert Wagner resigns; it was his New York that was bombed, and his Department that will take the fall. Taft finds Wagner's replacement in another New Yorker; the head of the O.S.S., William Donovan. Taft speaks personally in New York City two days after the raid, showing surprising fire as he vows to pay the Germans back a hundred-fold for what they've done. And indeed, he does. Secretary Donovan's first act in office is to order Curtis LeMay to resume his terror raids; this time in conjunction with the British over Germany. On May 25, the 8th Air Force visits Bremen, shattering much of the city over the next few days. Lubeck, Hamburg, Wilhelmshaven, and Bremen have now all been destroyed from the air in the space of a very few weeks by the British and Americans. -Morale in Germany is a mix of elation and despair; America has been struck and hurt (the attack on New York has been greatly played up by propaganda as total destruction.) but Germany is being struck and hurt worse nearly every day. Tens of thousands are dead and homeless in the cities struck by terror raids; and, worse, a Soviet offensive has finally crossed the border; Russian troops are on the ground in Poland and slowly pushing their way west, and they've cleared the Crimea and Ukraine of German troops. Worse, for the Army at least, Heinrich Himmler is in charge of a whole front (the German troops, Waffen SS and Army alike) in the Netherlands. Reinhard Heydrich has successfully supplanted him as Reichsfuhrer SS, using the Goering raid as justification (after all, Himmler couldn't even see the Great Raid preperations, right under his nose!), but Hitler has offered his old friend a chance to redeem himself as commander of the troops on the Dutch front. Horrified at being under a "damned psychotic chicken farmer", anti-Nazi elements in the Army make contact with the Kriesau Circle, long the centerpiece of the German Resistance movement in the Fatherland itself. Already the commander of the Wehrmacht forces in Italy, von Witzleben, is on their side, along with all of his staff. Tentative outreaches to the Ciano government have been quite positive; if the conspirators can somehow get Sardinia back. -Pierre Darlan transfers his personal headquarters to Corsica in early June; the island is solidly in Franco-American hands, and it is the expected jumping off point for Operation Dragoon in June, the subsidiary invasion of southern France. It is expected to be an American project; something the British are fine with, Montgomery is finally ready for his strike against Italy itself, and the British and Commonwealth forces plan to strike in June as well. It's now clear to everyone that Hitler's Reich is going down, it's just a question of when and how. -On June 6, 1945, the American invasion of the Phillipines begins. Though there was a strong sentiment to simply make the islands the biggest "island prison" holding isolated Japanese troops, the Japanese garrison there is large enough to support bothersome submarine patrols, and it is Luzon that the Yamato was heading towards in late May when she was caught and sunk by torpedo bombers from the USS Ranger after a running gunnery duel with the Iowa and North Carolina... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who did a somewhat better job than Robert Taft. Subject: For All Time Pt. 23 Date: 07 Apr 2001 04:11:33 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 23 July-August 1945 -By early July of 1945, most of the Low Countries are solidly in American and Allied hands. Allied forces driving into France have reached the Somme (with more than a few old American and British soldiers recognizing their old stomping grounds), while the American army has crossed the Meuse in Belgium. Heinrich Himmler's terrible generalship has let the Americans drive to the North Sea in most places, forcing the Wehrmacht back to defensive lines around the city of Arnhem, in eastern Gelderland. Himmler's army deputy Heinz Guderian, the hero of D-Day, after watching in horror the deliberate destruction of most of the Dutch dike system by SS troops, flooding much of the countryside and killing tens of thousands and making hundreds of thousands of refugees, has opted to throw his weight behind the Kriesau Circle, and the quietly growing arm of the German Resistance. Not because of civilian casualties, of course; Guderian has served on the Eastern Front before Normandy, and it's regrettable, but these things happen in war, but to have to work under the _SS?!?_ It's simply monstrous, and he won't stand for it. Guderian isn't alone in joining the Resistance; as Kiel, Erfurt, Essen, and Hanover are shattered from the air over the course of July and August by American bombers, and as a whole cross-section of the German military steps into the anti-Hitler column, everyone from Erwin Rommel, the commander of the German Home Army, to Field Marshal Gunther von Kluge, commander of Army Group Center, (and all of his staff) who has fallen back to western and central Poland after a Soviet drive stalled just east of Warsaw. Adolf Hitler, meanwhile, is growing increasingly isolated in his Berghof headquarters near the former Austria (the Wolf's Lair in East Prussia falls in early August.) Soviet troops have by this time taken Romania and Bulgaria, and with their forces very near the Hungarian border, Admiral Miklos Horthy, regent of Hungary, has made his decision. He begins quiet chats with the commander of German troops in Hungary, Henning von Treschow, working out arrangements that his Italian counterpart Galeazzo Ciano has already made with the German commander in Italy, von Witzleben. -In the Pacific, the Philippine Islands are largely in American hands by the end of August. A small remnant of the Japanese troops there continue guerilla operations in the interior, but it's hard to be guerillas when everyone hates you and lots of former Resistance fighters know just where to chase you into the bush. With the fall of the Phillipines, there's really nothing left but Downfall; American planners in Formosa are already putting the finishing touches on the organization of the attack on Okinawa, planned for sometime in early September. After Okinawa, there will literally be nothing left but Japan herself. There's a new influx of troops as well in the Pacific; those few men who made it through Japanese captivity intact and who wanted to go back into the military. Formosa served as one of the larger Japanese prisoner holding camps, and they were slow to evacuate the prisoners. (Though quick to shoot many.) Among those now in American hands is Jonathon Wainwright, final commander of American troops in the Phillipines before their surrender in 1942, and Richard Sorge, alleged Soviet spy and former German diplomat. -It is seemingly a season for invasions; on August 9, 1945, the invasion of Italy begins. It is a largely British and Commonwealth affair; Bernard Montgomery is the overall commander, with a Canadian army under Henry Crerar landing at Campania, an Australian under George Vasey striking against Basilicata, and Montgomery himself commanding the invasion of Calabaria. Like almost everything Bernard Montgomery does, the invasion is slow, meticulously well-planned, and designed to greatly aid his own reputation. Which it does. American troops in the Low Countries have taken terrific casualties; the German army up there has the Panther and King Tiger as its standard model panzers, and nearly every man has an MP-3 assault rifle. In Italy, things are better (for the Allies, anyway.) Those tanks which aren't Italian are usually the obsolscent Panzer IVs; and most of the soldiers still have Mauser '98s. This is good, at least for the Allies. -South, across the Mediterrean, the Cairo Conference (August 11-29, 1945) has gone marginally well. The massive casualties caused by X-Day (D-Day will remain a lexicon for failure in the American language until the end of the century, and beyond) have only reinforced the fervent isolationism of Robert Taft, he is only too glad to pledge agreement with his predecessor's suggestions for postwar German occupation zones, and even carry them further. (The Soviet Union to administer Austria, Hesse, Schleswig-Holstein, and Bavaria, on top of OTL's claims.) Plans for post-war treatment of Nazi war criminals are discussed as well; President Taft agrees to recognize any trials carried out by the British, French, and Soviets, but says the United States will not try any war criminals in its possesion; they will be handed over to either the various allies or released into the custody of German civil authorities. Taft's tentative proposals for some sort of joint nuclear program are soundly rebuffed; Darlan is reasonably interesting, but Stalin doesn't want to share, and Churchill, frankly, just doesn't trust the Americans anymore. Taft doesn't mind, it wasn't at all big on his agenda. There are, of course, no discussions of any sort of internationalist organization after the war; indeed, all four leaders are increasingly weary of the League of Nations, which is just a living joke at this point. Darlan and Taft agree to sponsor an invasion of southern France by October. In the Pacific, Stalin renews his pledge to declare war on Japan within a month of the fall of Germany, in exchange for Soviet post-war authority over Sakahiln and Korea, with tentative, half-formed plans made about some sort of soverignty over Hokkaido as well. On a personal level, Robert Taft's first meetings with the other Allied leaders don't go at all well; Winston Churchill is suspicious of all Americans, especially Taft, the arch pre-war isolationist, Joseph Stalin has come to expect a degree of...pliability from American politicians that Taft is unwilling to provide, and Darlan is...Darlan. As his plane leaves Cairo for Washington, Taft is heard by an aide to mutter "Let them all hang, when our fight is done." --- Thoughts? I'll get a bit more into the US domestic scene in the next part. In OTL, Guderian considered joining the conspiracy against Hitler, but stayed out of it when some people who'd screwed him over for promotion joined. President Chester A. Arthur, who did a somewhat better job than Robert Taft. Subject: For All Time Pt. 24 Date: 08 Apr 2001 01:04:37 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 24 September 1945 -On September 9, 1945, one of the largest paratroop drops in military history sees an entire American airborne division dropped behind German lines in the eastern Netherlands. Landing amidst shattered infantry units and with a massive armored offensive striking just across the river, the city of Arnhem is in American hands within a week, with virtually all of the Netherlands following it by the next Only a brilliant strategic defense by Heinz Guderian allows the bulk of the German army to escape into Germany herself; a defense Heinrich Himmler successfully takes credit for. A fuming Guderian roars bloody murder at the de jure SS chief (Guderian is the only man not afraid of him) and retires, like a sulking Achilles, to his tent. Forget letting a junior officer do it; he'll see to Himmler himself. -In Italy, the Australian, British and Canadian beachheads have linked up with each other, putting a big piece of southwestern Italy in Allied hands. Oberg, commander of the small SS force in Rome has begun making dire intimations to Erich von Witzleben, German C-in-C Italy, about just what the Reich does to failures; there's talk of replacing von Witzleben with Oberg's immediate superior Kaltenbrunner, or simply shooting him and putting a more competent Army officer in charge. Von Witzleben, long a figure in the German Resistance, persuades his colleagues actually in the homeland to accelerate the timetable; Major Axel von Bussche's attempt to set a bomb to kill Hitler has failed after Heinrich Himmler failed to show up for the relevant conference, so the conspirators must do something; the new Soviet offensive is gradually blasting the Germans out of Poland, and there is talk of the Red Star over Berlin by Christmas. -In the Pacific, meanwhile, American forces are surviving the storm that is Okinawa; Japanese resistance is fanatical and tough, and as in Formosa, there is a fair-sized population of civilians. However, Formosa has taught the Americans well about dealing with Japanese civilians and Japanese soldiers themselves; American and Japanese casualties are slightly lower than in OTL's invasion of Okinawa. To the south, unimaginative but competent Archibald Wavell has driven Yamashita back into Thailand after fierce battle; the Japanese exhausted their resources with a poorly-managed offensive into India some years earlier, and are far weaker in the area than in OTL. -With the death of Hoover-era Supreme Court Justice Owen Roberts, President Robert Taft makes the first new Supreme Court appointment since Robert Jackson (Byrnes not having resigned from the Court as per OTL; after all, the Wallace administration would never give a job to a conservative like him); and to everyone's surprise, it's former Presidential candidate Alfred Mossman Landon. Landon is confirmed with reasonable speed; both houses of Congress are solidly Republican, and Landon isn't as far to the right as he looks. Meanwhile, Alger Hiss' trial for perjury is over, with a conviction on all five counts, and a sentence of twenty-five years alltogether. The nation is solidly united behind Attorney General Warren (brought in as a special prosecuter, he worked his level best to conduct the trial in a fair and just manner, something he mostly succeeded at.) There will be no move to acquit Hiss in this TL; he will never be a martyered icon of the Left after being convicted of espionage once, and then convicted again of perjury at his first trial. The nation's eye is on Earl Warren, and he is pondering a run for President in 1952, or even earlier. On September 19, 1945, absolutely nothing happens in Alamagordo, New Mexico. The hundreds of prominent scientists there, from Oppenheimer to Teller to Banner to Hall, are "just fishing" in the words of General Dwight David Eisenhower. The scientists are, however, very concerned about people attempting to spy on their fishing (not that anyone should, since there's nothing happening.), and thus Army guards will arrest or shoot anyone who comes to investigate the large flash, as if from some sort of plutonium explosion, that rocked the skies around the small town at exactly noon. -In Great Britain, it is abundantly clear that the Churchill government will not survive the next elections, whenever it is that they are held. (Probably after V-E Day.) It's clear too that the left wing of the Labour Party is firmly in the driver's seat; while Clement Atlee remains an important figure in the party, too-public association with the unpopular Conservative government has pretty well tainted him to actually lead them, come election time. Too, there is no small amount of Americanphobia in the Labour Party; the US has provided quite a bit less Lend-Lease to Britain than per OTL and has been more overtly Anglophobic. Increasingly, the Party has begun turning to the minister of labour and national service, the former union leader Ernest Bevin. ---- Thoughts? Has some portion of my planned post-war evil slipped through? President Chester A. Arthur, who's actually older than Strom Thurmond Subject: For All Time Pt. 24.5 Date: 08 Apr 2001 06:19:30 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 24.5 October 1, 1945 ISACC ASIMOV is a Ph.D candidate at Columbia University, barely. Drafted into the Army in May, he endured three humiliating weeks at boot camp in North Carolina before washing out from a combination of near-sightedness and a bad case of pleurisy that seriously damaged his lungs. Asimov's experiences have left him with a strong distaste for militarism and authority; something which rapidly begins to show up in his writings. FIORELLO LA GUARDIA is dead of a massive heart attack in late August. The former mayor of New York was persuaded by Democratic party officials to run for re-election in 1944 to shore up confidence in the party in America's largest city; the campaign was exhausting and bloody, and the Remer raid in May only made things worse. La Guardia, devoted to his city, worked 23 hour days for a week organizing relief efforts in Harlem after May 8, sometimes fighting fires with his own hands. It made him truly beloved in the city but permanently broke his already fragile health; he died at his desk after an argument with Governor Dewey about state aid for the city. JOHN GEORGE DIEFENBAKER looks prime to be the next Prime Minister of Canada. While Mackenzie King has remained personally popular by simply changing his stance on relations with the US, the Wallace administration's ham-handed diplomacy has managed to make the US woefully unpopular in the Americas, and the Progressive Conservatives more pro-Britain stance has helped make them quite popular in Canada. "If only King would just retire!" CHARLES DE GAULLE has taken up residence in St. Pierre and Miquelon, a very, very angry man. With Francois Darlan recognized as the legitimate leader of France, De Gaulle found himself in the backwater of British politics. After being offered various no-name jobs by the Darlanist government and being all but thrown out of multiple Foriegn Offices by the British and American governments, De Gaulle has finally moved to the one place in the world held by _his_ brand of the Free French; St. Pierre and Miquelon. He is already a familiar figure on the islands, pacing the streets while smoking furiously; and has become something of a cultural icon. JOHN WAYNE is in the US Army Signal Corps, making movies for the US Armed Forces. The fame Wayne got for winning the Best Actor Oscar in "Martyrs of Normandy" got him enough money to support his family while staying in the military; and so he enlisted in the Signal Corps. Wayne has made the acquiatance of a young character actor named Ronald Reagan, and has happily converted the former Democrat to Wayne's own rock-ribbed conservativism. GEORGE S. PATTON is commander of the imminent Franco-American invasion of southern France. As occasionally happens with two gigantic egos, he and Francois Darlan have become fast friends; Darlan has offered Patton a job in the French military if the US Army ever becomes untenable. Both are rightist nationalists, both are deeply, deeply suspicious of the Communists. PAUL TIBBETS' 509th Composite Group has been moved to a deeply classified airfield on an isolated Dutch polder... President Chester A. Arthur, who's actually older than Strom Thurmond Subject: For All Time Pt. 25 Date: 10 Apr 2001 07:27:45 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 25 -October 9, 1945 dawns clear and bright over Leipzig. The war has been (relatively) good to Leipzig; her industrial centers are large and prosperous, and her famous university is full of good Aryan students from all over Germany, learning all sorts of good Aryan facts, like what a marvelous fellow the Fuhrer is. While Leipzig has, of course, lost thousands of her sons to the Russian bear currently devouring western Poland and the American forces in the Low Countries and northern France, so has every German city; and at least Leipzig has mostly been bombed only by borrowed Russian B-17s; the Soviets are now notorious for their inaccurate bombings. Indeed, the only American B-29s that seem to be overhead lately are weather planes; much of the local populace has stopped ducking into bomb shelters unless there's a really, really good reason. Among those who don't duck is Dr. Carl Goerdeler, former Mayor of Leipzig and one of the leading figures in the anti-Hitler resistance. (He resigned from office when a statue of Felix Mendelssohn was removed by order of the main government.) Indeed, the resistance plans to make Goerdeler the new Reich Chancellor once Hitler is assasinated. With plans for the assasination becoming more and more urgent, Goerdeler and his colleagues are risking a rare meeting at his home near the center of the city. Former Army Chief of Staff Ludwig Beck is there, along with former Social Democratic Leader Julius Leber. While Reserve Army commander Erwin Rommel is attending, neither Erich von Witzleben nor Heinz Guderian were able to leave their military responsibilities in Italy and western Germany, respectively, though Witzleben has sent his Chief of Staff, General Count Ulrich von Schwanenfeld to assure the conspirators that Italy, both the German troops there and the Ciano government, will back the conspirators 100%. Henning von Treschow is there to say the same for Hungary and the Horthy government. Another spearhead of the Resistance not there is Admiral Wilhelm Canaris, former commander of the Abwehr. Forced to retire in February after the defection of several high-ranking Abwehr officers in Turkey, (Canaris was fired in 1943 under similiar circumstances; with the Germans doing much better in the ATL, they defected two years later), Canaris is Being Watched, with Schellenberg (Heydrich's replacement as SD chief) nearly ready to close in on him. The Enola Gay, meanwhile, is there to kill them all, which it comes close to doing, detonating the first atomic bomb used in wartime at exactly 8:37 AM, October 9, 1945, roughly 1,500 feet over the University of Leipzig, believed to be an important center of the German atomic bomb project. Most of the students are just going to class; most of the city's workers are on their way to work, on the streets. By 8:40, 70,000 people are dead. Leipzig is on a flat, broad plain, loosely similar to Hiroshima's delta, but the plutonium bomb is significantly more powerful than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima in OTL. Only solid German architecture, brick and stone and steel, keeps the city from being shattered and thousands more dying. A brisk wind kicks up from the west as the Enola Gay flies back to the Netherlands, and the great mushroom cloud begins slowly falling west. In Dr. Carl Goerdeler's house, nothing stirs, nothing walks. Only one wall is nearly unburnt and uncollapsed; it has but one scar; the frozen, fushed shadow of a man who was once called The Desert Fox. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, who's actually older than Strom Thurmond Subject: For All Time Pt. 26 Date: 11 Apr 2001 01:40:22 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 26 Unpublished diary of Captain Eberhard von Breitenbuch, adjunct to Field Marshal Walter Model October 15, 1945 They'll be coming for me soon. I know it, I can feel it. Already I hear the SD asking what Beck and von Treschow and Rommel and Goerdler were all doing together in Leipzig; eventually they'll ask the wrong person, they'll crack, and the whole game will be given away. [von Bussche] is transferred to France to fight the Darlanists; [Klausing] is at Zossen, preparing for the Fuhrer's imminent move. Of all of us, only I am left here, save for [Stieff,] and he is not a man to do what must be done. And it must be done. Death is a void of fear, but if he can be stopped, my death is worth it. Nearly 80,000 known to be dead in Leipzig from a single bomb, much less the tens of thousands of maimed and dying, much less the other cities broken from the sky like a child's plaything, much less Poland all Red now, half of Italy and France is American and British...and _he_ speaks only of organizing a Vergeltungswaffen nerve gas strike against Antwerp. They'll be there tomorrow, von Kesselring to plead for his bombers (as if he stands a chance, with Goering in chains for his failure), Dornbergers for his rockets, and Keitel and the rest of _his_ Army lackeys, Jodl and Blomberg and Reichenau, to bow and scrape before the greatest evil we have ever known. I fear only failure. Will [Guderian] and [von Witzleben] act, with the plan dead at Leipzig? Horthy hesitated, and the SS taught him the price of such. What lesson shall I teach? President Chester A. Arthur, who's actually older than Strom Thurmond Subject: For All Time Pt. 27 Date: 14 Apr 2001 20:50:05 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 27 -Eberhard von Breitenbuch will become a favorite source of speculation for alternate historians of the future. What if he'd used a bomb, as all of his fellow conspirators had planned? What if he'd shot Hitler two days earlier, or two days later? And, perhaps the most obvious, what if he'd succeeded outright? But, of course, he did none of those things. What he did do, around noon on October 16, 1945, was shoot Adolf Hitler twice in the chest in the middle of the last Fuhrer Conference to be held at the Berghof, with a small Browning pistol he'd smuggled in past SS Security. The first bullet passed neatly through Hitler's left lung; the second passing through Hitler's arm, rib, and the big muscles of his chest before lodging in his spine. Just before the Fuhrer was rushed out of the command pillbox, unconcious from shock and with a sucking wound to the chest, a volley from a dozen SS SG-44s took Breitenbuch in the chest, killing the young officer instantly. A moment later, Obergruppenfuehrer Theodor Eicke, commander of Hitler's personal guard, shot Field Marshal Walter Model in the head as an obvious partner in the conspiracy. A tableau arose for a moment; the unarmed Army officers, including Luftwaffe commander Kesselring and Peenmunde commander Dornberger, frozen at one end of the locked room, Eicke and his men at the other, loaded machine guns trained on the Army men, fingers trembling on the triggers. It's hard to say what happened next (there is a paucity of reliable eyewitness testimony) but the best evidence suggests that one of the Army officers, perhaps Wilhelm Keitel, slipped on a pool of blood and fell across Breitenbuch's dropped pistol. The SS immediately opened fire, riddling Keitel with bullets, as the trapped Army officers fled for the locked exit door. In a matters of moments, as Eicke shouted "Kill all the traitors!", Field Marshals Walter von Blomberg, Walter von Reichenau, and Fedor von Bock were dead, shot in the back as they managed to tear the lock off the door. Albert von Kesselring and Walter Dornberger fall as well, critically wounded. Dornberger will linger another few weeks in an Army hospital before dying; von Kesseling will live out the rest of his life in a wheelchair. Only Erich von Manstein, oppurtunist extraordinarie, is thus still alive and articulate (he ducked under the table) when Lt.-Colonel Wilhelm Heinz and his men break down the pillbox's door a moment later; alive to cry out, "It's the SS, they've shot the Fuhrer and are launching a coup!" The subsequent exchange of fire is heard by both nearby SS and conventional Army troops, and thanks to foolish aggression and clever calculation, the German Civil War has begun. As the roar of gunfire grows louder from the camp, an anonymous, forgotten truck, carrying the unconcious Adolf Hitler and two SS doctors, speeds away toward Munich. -An hour later, in Oldenburg, the headquarters of the German army facing the Americans in the Low Countries, General Heinz Guderian personally executes Heinrich Himmler after the former SS chief is dragged from the ruins of his former command post (Guderian used an entire panzer brigade to bring him down). Similarly, in Rome, Italian and German Army troops arrest every SS officer in the city; Erich von Witzleben is the most senior surviving Army officer in the Reich, already there is talk of him as the next Chancellor. But there is no such talk in Berlin, where Reinhard Heydrich has purged every OKH officer that so much as looked at a swastika cross-eyed, and declared himself provisional leader of the loyalist forces of the Reich. Swiftly, he dispatches Dr. Joseph Goebbels to Nuremburg, to conduct a massive rally with the elite of the Party faithful; to tell the citizens of Greater Germany that the Fuhrer is alive (which he is) and well (which he isn't.) -There are 10,000 people in Nuremburg Stadium, a mix of administrators, Party officials, SS officers and loyal soliders, on the afternoon of October 16, 1945, cheering with varying degrees of madness as Admiral Karl Doenitz, Joachim von Ribbentrop, and then Joseph Goebbels proclaim their loyalty to the fallen Fuhrer and to the ever-lasting Thousand-Year Reich. It is perhaps the greatest speech of Joseph Goebbels' long career of speech-making, and when three B-29s fly overhead amid the barking of flak guns, he refuses to take shelter and mocks those few who try to, laughing and pointing to the sky, saying, "These are the Americans you fear? With only three bombers against a great-" ------ Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 29 Date: 16 Apr 2001 17:28:41 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 29 Late October-Early November 1945 -With word of the assasination attempt on Hitler and the formation of the three new German governments (Guderian and von Witzleben having realized that _they_ are the men of vision destined to lead the German people into the future) the American government suspends plans for a third nuclear strike against Germany at the end of October, making an attempt to negotiate with all three leaders in concert with the British, French, and Soviets. It doesn't go well at first; both Francois Darlan and Joseph Stalin recognize a defeated, lapdog Germany is in their best interests, so they ask for the impossible, cession of the Ruhr on the one hand and cession to the Elbe on the other. The Heydrich government (which is fighting a violent civil war between Erich von Manstein's Home Army and Heydrich's SS) refuses to negotiate at all in the hastily-organized conference in Geneva, while Guderian gets bogged down in the Franco-Soviet demands. Erich von Witzleben is in no position to surrender all German troops fighting; not in the way Guderian or Heydrich might be, but he can save the lives of his men, and of their families, if he moves quickly, which he does. Acting on behalf of both his own command and of the Ciano government in Italy, Field Marshall Erich von Witzleben surrenders to Bernard Montgomery's Commonwealth force on November 1, 1945. Two days later, the Kingdom of Italy formally declares war on Heydrich's Third Reich, and Italo-German troops join the British Empire's in the swift rush north to the alpine passes on the former Italian-Austrian border. With von Witzleben down, Guderian begins slowly disengaging from the front in Schleswig-Holstein to aid Manstein's fight, and the Allies resume plans for use of nuclear weapons on German soil. -On October 29, 1945, Francois Darlan and George S. Patton enter Paris to the cheers of a huge crowd welcoming their liberators from the Nazi threat. In his first hours in the city, Darlan personally awards Raymond Aubrac, the slayer of Gestapo deputy commander Klaus Barbie, the Croix de Guerre. The former admiral moves as swiftly as a storm in his first few days in power, executing collaborationists and encouraging Frenchmen all over the countryside to do the same. French Resistance forces and Darlan's French Army wind up taking perhaps a third as many prisoners as George S. Patton's American's forces. Despite Darlan's rhetoric of a "Révolution culturelle" to purge the unFrench elements, especially Communists and fascists, from the newly-liberated Republic, the purges are really a way to eliminate anyone who remembers too strongly that Francois Darlan himself was the arch-collaborationist extraordinarie, along with anyone who might politically oppose him in the post-war era. Among the first to die is a Vichy government minister with alleged ties to the Gaullist resistance; beaten to death by a Darlanist mob, Francois Mitterand. -In Okinawa, damage from the apocalyptic Typhoon Louise of early October has been largely repaired, and the an invasion armada is being assembled around the American-held island. American fire-bombing raids have already largely destroyed the cities of Hiroshima, Nagasaki, and Kokura, and while Japanese morale has plummeted, the Annami goverment is determined to fight on. The atomic bomb will be deployed in the Pacific within two weeks of the surrender of Germany; but that may be too late, as the invasion is set to begin in mid-December of 1945. -In the east, meanwhile, Waffen SS General Sepp Dietrich has managed to keep Zhukov across the Oder, fighting desperatly just a relative handful of miles from Berlin herself. Dietrich is the only successful German commander in the east, though: Koniev enters Vienna on November 3, 1945, and begins the process of cleaning the city of its Nazified elements by the expedient of shooting/working them to death. To the cheers of a crowd of liberated Serbs, SS officer Kurt Waldeim is beaten nearly to death by an enraged Red Army officer before being sent on the long trains back to Siberia to be worked till he dies. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 29 Date: 17 Apr 2001 18:51:25 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 29 ((There is no part 28. There are two parts 29s. This is TNN. )) Early to mid-November, 1945 -For all that it will be a centerpiece of an outcry against weapons of mass destruction as grand as the nuked cities of the world, the sarin gas attacks upon Soviet troops along the Oder on November 9, 1945 are far less than they might have been. The three V-2s launched from a cleared area behind German lines are not terribly accurate; one misses entirely, destroying a small German farming community, and the two that strike hit prepared troops (thanks to Enigma) in two areas several dozen miles apart with a moderate supply of gas equipment and antidote. Of 200,000 men in the affected areas, only 8,000 die, and not that many more are even disabled. With the areas of devastation so far apart, the subsequent German armored offensive across the Oder fails bloodily for both sides, and Zhukov begins driving Dietrich back towards Berlin. He's not the only one heading there; Guderian's troops are stopped a dozen miles outside the city limits by a mobilized Hitler Youth, and Clark's army, despite having taken more casualities per its size than any other American Army up to that time, is not that far behind him. To the south, George Vasey's Australians and Koniev's Soviets are racing for Munich, where a paralyzed Adolf Hitler drifts in and out of a morphine-induced haze. While he ponders what to do, Heydrich executes the surviving techs from Peenmunde (including the civilian director, Dr. Werner Von Braun) for their failure. -With the nerve gas attack, Stalin purges a fair number of military intelligence officers, handing over intelligence-gathering to Laverenti Beria's NKVD. Some Red Army officers protest. They don't do it more than once. He then tells Beria, rather bluntly, that if the Soviet atomic bomb (which is under Beria's direction) isn't finished by the first day of 1946, the NKVD will have a new director. Quite motivated, Beria throws all of his reserved resources into the bomb, the first prototype will be ready by mid-December. Do they test or do they nuke? It's a good question. There's no question, of course, about moving mustard gas to the front, or using it against the Waffen SS in the chase back to Berlin, using loaned American tactical bombers and even B-29s. -There's also no question for the American government about the use of the next atomic bomb, either. President Taft ponders for a while, but doesn't even need to think. (He's seen pictures of Dachau by now, and Auschwitz.) The only real delay is passing messages on to Guderian and Zhukov, suggesting it might be an excellent idea not to press too close to Berlin around November 12-13th: both of them take that advice. When the air raid sirens begin around 2 AM in Berlin on November 13, 1945, Fuhrer Heydrich takes shelter in the Fuhrer-bunker, the command post buried deep, deep under the surface of Berlin. Heydrich takes a moment to inspect his troops; so he's inside the armory, one of the lowest and best-protected levels of the bunker, when three hundred B-29s and their escorts peel away from three lone bombers flying over the central city, and moment later, a sun blossoms over the Brandenburg Gate. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 30 Date: 18 Apr 2001 06:22:41 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 30 November-December 1945 -Even with Fuhrer Heydrich alive and moderately well, it's clear to all but the most fanatical citizens of the Third Reich that the struggle is all over. The nuclear destruction of Berlin on November 13 has decapitated virtually the entire Reich government but Heydrich himself, and the Waffen SS forces facing Guderian and Zhukov don't so much surrender as crumble under mustard gas attack and utterly shattered morale. Sepp Dietrich surrenders to Georgi Zhukov on November 16 and then calmly walks into his tent and pulls the pin on a hand grenade. Guderian's forces, being closer, win the race for Berlin on November 16, and the inventor of panzer warfare investigates the ruins of the city, personally inspecting the melted rubble that was once the Brandenburg Gate. Kripo Commander Obergruppenfuehrer Arthur Nebe, the highest-ranking official left alive in Berlin, has already placed his old rival Heydrich under arrest, and hands him over (reluctantly) to the Soviets when they arrive on November 19, 1945, even as Guderian (even more reluctantly) hands the city over to them. In the meantime, the Allied powers are moving to occupy their assigned zones of, well, occupation: The Americans in Lower Saxony and North Rhine-Westphalia; the French in Rhineland-Palatine and Saarland, and the United Kingdom in Baden-Wurtemburg and the western half of Bavaria. Nebe and Guderian sign the formal surrender of Germany in Weimar on November 21, 1945, V-E Day. It's over. -Except for Japan! Paul Tibbets' 509th Composite Group begins the long journey from the western Netherlands to Tinian on November 22, once they're sure as not shooting that the Third Reich is toast; along with a transfer of several hundred thousand American and British Commonwealth troops. The Soviet Union moves quickly as well; building...Pacific barges! They're cheap and not very good, many are Soviet-flagged Liberty Ships given away by the Wallace administration, but they'll carry a few thousand troops to northern Hokkaido, give or take a few hundred men who die frozen in agony dumped into the sea. But this is Stalinist USSR, what have they to complain about? This is in sharp contrast to the professional American armada growing off of Okinawa, ready to begin Operation Olympic if the atomic bombs fail, once they arrive in early December, if all goes well, but both will fulfill their goal of actually getting people to land on Japan and not be killed by the ocean. -On November 23rd, 1945, Polish troops under British command investigate a small mental hospital located on the outskirts of Munich. The hospital was struck by a burning Spitfire during the very last days of the war, and most of the staff fled or died, the survivors surrender, and lead the Poles to a crumbling bunker and a lone, ranting figure in a wheelchair and diapers. Thus is Adolf Hitler taken. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 31 Date: 19 Apr 2001 23:50:00 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 31 Late November-Early December 1945 -With the Third Reich smashed, President Taft's popularity grows to an all-time high; even House Minority Leader Rayburn praises his bold executive leadership. Taft's popularity is such that only men like Walter Reuther really notice the quietly-passed Labor–Management Relations Act of 1945, sponsored by Senator Styles Bridges of New Hampshire and passed easily by the solidly conservative and Republican Congress. It outlaws the closed shop, permits union shops only where legal under state law and with worker approval; requires 60 day strike notification; authorizes federal strike injunctions when a strike might imperil national safety; changesthe definition of unfair labour practices; goes into lots and lots of unfair union practices; all but does away with union political contributions; and outlaws jurisdictional strikes and secondary boycotts. To head the new Labor Relations Board, Taft picks Secretary of Labor Fred Hartley, the former Congressman from New Jersey. -Taft has been quiet about his post-war plans for Europe, though he does comment to reporters just after V-E Day that "The commitment of a land army to Europe is a program into which we should not drift." * It's about this time that Henry Stimson, Taft's Secretary of State, retires on grounds of age; he's an old man (born in 1867) and deeply uncomfortable with the way the US has been forced to use both nuclear and chemical weapons in Europe and Japan (With evidence of attempted Japanese bacteriological warfare found in Formosa and China, American bombers drop several thousand tons of mustard gas on Kobe on the first of December.) To replace him, Taft picks long-serving New York Congressman and isolationist Hamilton Fish; fresh from a narrow re-election victory in the 1944 election. 1944 was a good year for the Republicans, the House and Senate are solidly Republican, and with the deeply conservative Southern Senators and Congressman on Taft's side, Taft has an chance like no President since FDR to make policy. -Later commentators, men like William Manchester, will write of the air of anticipation hanging over the Pacific at the beginning of December, 1945. Virtually every major Japanese island possesion in the Pacific is in American hands; all the way up to Tanega off the coast of Kyushu. Even the Japanese half of Sakahiln has been raided by a US Marine team under Captain B.A. Baracus on December 4. The Olympic armada is ready; Raymond Spruance's Fifth Fleet and Maurice Rose's Sixth Army, for the planned landings at Kushniko on the west coast, another in the south at Ariake Bay, and the last near Miyazaki City on the east coast. But, being opposed to hundreds of thousands of Americans and even more Japanese dying in an invasion, the Taft administration prefers to wait. But they won't have to do that for long; on December 7, 1945, the first of a few dozen B-29s of Composite Group 509 touch down at a very, very impressive airstrip built by the Seabees on the island of Tinian over the past few months. -The Soviets, meanwhile, are only waiting for resources to arrive; Stalin has shifted an a large, heavily armored army to the Manchurian border, ready to drive the Japanese all the way into the sea at the southern tip of Korea, as well as make sure Mao Zedong wins out in China. But that's for the future: in Vladivostok, Stalin has assembled a force of around 2,500 light infantry; the heaviest weapon anyone is likely to have will be American bazookas, though a single company of T-34s will come along for the ride. Supplementing the infantry and tiny armored contingent are 500 armed sailors, the only members of the Soviet military really trained in amphibious operations. Of course, in an actual invasion, even against lightly defended and invaded Hokkaido, they'll be killed, probably while still on the beaches. And worse, by Stalin's standards; they'll fail. Admiral Nikolai Kuznetsov, overall commander of the invasion, works up the courage to tell Stalin this on December 10...and the great dictator for once just laughs. "Comrade Beria will ensure our soldiers land on empty beaches." ----- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 32 Date: 21 Apr 2001 00:26:54 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 32 Mid-December 1945 -Contrary to wartime American and Allied projections, Japanese morale in the last days of 1945 is abominable. The Straits of Tsushima are under American blockade as of the 12th of December; nearly 400,000 (above OTL) are dead after firebombings and mustard gas attacks on Hiroshima, Nagasaki, Kokura, Kobe, Osaka, Kyoto, and a host of other major cities. As a final humiliation, on December 14, 1945, Red Army tanks cross the Amur River just after Molotov delivers a declaration of war to Foriegn Minister Togo. Despite the terrain and season, the Soviet advance is quick and violent, the Kwangtung Army has been largely evacuated to the Home Islands, except for those tens of thousands sunk by American submarines in the Sea of Japan. Only the personal leadership of General Korechika Anami, Prime Minister since Tojo's fall after the American conquest of Formosa, has kept the nation's fighting spirit going on, defeat after defeat after defeat. With the Soviet invasion of Manchuria, Anami moves quickly, pulling out the reserve 19th Army and sending it to the port city of Niigata, acting under the assurances of Admiral Toyoda that the troops can be sent to reinforce Manchuria and Korea by cover of night. -It's a cold, clear morning on December 17, 1945 in Niigata. The newly-arrived 19th Army is doing morning calisthenics at their base in the center of the old port city; most people are just waking up, getting ready for a long day at the local munitions plant or just in keeping body and soul together. The rice ration has been cut, again, and fishing is difficult when every boat is sunk by American submarines or aircraft. Life is hard for Niigatians, young and old, rich and poor, Army and civilian. And the 25 kiloton bomb detonated over the exercising 19th Army (which dies nearly to a man) at 7:04 AM local time doesn't help matters much either. In an instant, 49,000 people are dead, Japan's last even somewhat functional port to the outside world is gone, and Joseph Stalin makes his move. On December 18, 1945, an American-made B-29 takes off from a secret airstrip in the Ural Mountains, carrying the most secret cargo in the Soviet Union since Lenin's sealed train. Laverenti Beria himself is on board as the plane wings its way to Vladivostok... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 33 Date: 21 Apr 2001 07:53:30 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 33 December 20, 1945 -Wakkanai is a frontier port town, or rather, it would be if there was anywhere to go in the north. Wakkanai sits in the northernmost part of the northernmost island of Japan, Hokkaido, and is the northernmost city in Japan. The people that aren't dairymen are fishermen, and hardy ones at that. It's cold all the time in Wakkanai, especially for Japan, especially on December 20, 1945, with a strong wind blowing in fron the ocean. Life hasn't changed terribly much since the war began; while it is barely within the range of bombers from the Aleutians, there's nothing there to bomb. Wakkanai sits on a rail line, but only at the very end of one, a rail foot, if you will. People's main worries are getting through the winter, living off cattle and salt fish, and with the new terror, Americans sinking fishing boats. The main military excitement came over December 16-19, when a single B-29 would fly over the town from the west, and back, seeming to be taking pictures, scouting. Troop strength in the ring of bunkers facing the coast is increased from 1,500 to 2,000 in response, but it doesn't do much good, the new troops are mostly battered, recuperating veterans from bombed-out cities. An isolated dozen are from Niigata. Airplanes and artillery are, of course, reserved for the defenders of Kyushu and southern Honshu, far to the south. When the bell rings for a sighted enemy aircraft at 2:15 AM, most citizens of Wakkanai don't bother to move to their shelters (most people don't have them anyway), but every soldier in the area gets to their beachside bunkers. The beaches are flat, the terrain doesn't slope up until well in back of the town. -Suravikhino is 75 centimeters in diameter and 3.5 meters long, in the system of its native Soviet Union. Though it weighs 4090 kilograms, most of that is ballast, the central core of uranium weighs only 12 kilograms. Even that would be lighter, but Soviet refining processes are not as they should be. The "City of Rostov" is an American-built B-29, traded to the Soviets in early 1944 as part of Henry Wallace's last great Lend-Lease package. Her crew ran her through a series of milk runs over northern Finland and Bulgaria during that year, and have spent most of 1945 practicing accurate single bomb drops off the coast of Vladivostok. "Suravikhino" fits comfortably into her hull on December 20, 1945 as she takes off from her isolated airstrip near the former Korean border. It is a lonely mission, lit by the eerie glow of a full moon. There are seven men aboard, pilot, commander, bombardier, navigator, the flight engineer, and Sergei Korolev, who will finish assembling the bomb once they're in the air. Operating the radio is Laverenti Beria himself; carrying a machine pistol. If the plane goes down or the bomb malfunctions, he will shoot every man on board, starting with Korolev. The flight engineer is also carrying a machine pistol, unknown to Beria. If the bomb malfunctions or the plane goes down, he will shoot _Beria._ It is a milk run despite this; a survivor of the crew comments years later that it felt like just another photographing mission, even after dropping Suravikhino and bugging out an instant later. Until 2:19 AM, when the first Soviet atomic bomb detonates three miles off-shore and a dozen meters above the surface of the Pacific. The blast turns the cold, damp arctic night into a slice of hell: Wakkanai is instantly ablaze, over twenty thousand civilians (out of thirty) dead in an instant. Only in the protected beach bunkers and pillboxes do soldiers survive the blast; even there, a fair percentage, those too near doors facing the beach or looking out vision trenches are left burned, blind, dying. Fractions of a second later, the wave hits. The nuclear tsunami is seven meters high and traveling at nearly 200 feet per second. Bunkers are smashed, the soldiers drowned and battered to death in matters of seconds, the town itself is washed nearly clean, the water receding so far as to leave the harbor relatively unobstructed. Six hours later, the first wave of Soviet troops land, parachutists are already doing the best they can to clear the last of the harbor and beach debris, as well as raid south, into Hokkaido. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 34 Date: 21 Apr 2001 21:43:05 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 34 Late December, 1945 -The Soviet landings on Hokkaido stun and shock the American government. In reaction to the Russophilia of its predecessor; the Taft administration had assumed that Stalin wouldn't be able to finish an atomic bomb on time, much less get it to Japan _and_ pull off a semi-successful invasion. "Climb Mt. Olympus!" is the ironic code to begin the American invasion of Japan on December 22, 1945. Almost simultaneous with the rapid American landings in southern Kyushu (5,000 Americans die in those initial few hours, and thousands more Japanese) comes the nuclear destruction of Fukuoka, one of the largest industrial cities on Kyushu. Eighty thousand are dead there. -Deliberation in Tokyo is violent and bloody; Army head General Yoshijiro Umezu nearly attacks the Keeper of the Lord Privy Seal, Marquis Kido, for suggesting a peace, both men are put under naval (the Army is too...erratic) guard and kept far away from each other. It is a difficult decision for Korechika Anami. He is a professional soldier; he knows that with the Americans stubbornly in Kyushu and the Soviets firmly clinging on to Hokkaido, the military will fail. Japanese civilian morale is at an all time low as American, British, Soviet bombers fly freely overhead, nearly every major city has had an incindiary or chemical attack in the past month. Over a million Japanese civilians have died in aerial attacks since summer. Still, surrender means , from his perspective, the death of Japanese civilization, the loss of national honor, and the enslavement of the greatest warriors the nation has ever known. Better for them to live on their knees, with a chance to rise again, or simply die? As a light snow falls over ravaged Tokyo, he makes his decision. On December 25, 1945, the Emperor of Japan makes the following annoucement: "To Our Good and Loyal Subjects: After pondering deeply the general trends of the world and the actual conditions obtaining in our Empire today, We have decided to effect a settlement of the present situation by resorting to an extraordinary measure...." World War Two is over. ---- Thoughts? I'm taking a bit of a break this weekend and the next few weeks, finals and such. Still be around, just less posts. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 35 Date: 23 Apr 2001 16:53:13 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 35 January 10, 1946 Tokyo Bay: Lieutenant Commander RICHARD NIXON is in the back row of all the pictures of the various dignitaries aboard the USS Midway; the young naval staff officer will always remember his meetings with Douglas MacArthur and Georgi Zhukov (Nixon is on the staff of Admiral William Halsey) with pride; men like American Secretary of State Fish and British Foriegn Minister Atlee will always come up short in his mind. Nearly a million Japanese civilians are dead. President Taft has turned down Stalin's suggestion of a new conference to deal with the Far East; Korea and Hokkaido are in the Soviet zone, and that's all they're getting. Berlin: ALBERT SPEER collapses into his bunk, exhausted as he has never been in his life. In a touch of humor, Stalin had decreed that the Soviet trials for Nazi war criminals will be held in a special auditorium built on the former site of the Brandenburg Gate...built by the labor of those same criminals. Robert Ley has already managed to bash his own brains out with a shovel, Speer, who has lost 100 pounds this winter, wonders if he should do the same... London: JOHN BAGOT GLUBB, known as Glubba Pasha, is meeting personally with the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, Ernest Bevin. Glubb was rather surprised by the invitation; the Arab Legion fought bravely and well for the Allies during the war; but what would Bevin want with him personally? Bevin tells him a very simple story: The Empire is nearly bankrupt, and Britain needs her troops in Palestine to defend home and the most vital parts of the Empire, not a mandate that will run out in a year or so anyway. Glubb's army, and by extension the Kingdom of Transjordan, can take the place of the British troops, control the mandate themselves. Glubb, never one to turn down personal empire-building or a challenge, has only one question. "What about the Jews?" "What _about_ the Jews?" Paris: JEAN-PAUL SARTE is awakened from a sound sleep by a knock at his door; he opens it to be shot three times in the chest; the mob bursts in and beats his companion Jeanine de Beauvior to death. Anti-collaborator killings have gotten more violent and more bloody-thirsty since V-E Day, on the 7th fashion designer Coco Chanel was dragged from her car, along with her Gernan lover, and lynched just outside the Swiss border. Perhaps two thousand people have already been lynched or shot; the Darlan government continues to ride the proverbial whirlwind, doing nothing. Indeed, Darlan's "Tricolor Guards" are often the main culprits behind the civil disorder. Princeton: Professor GEORGE KENNAN's book _Caging the Bear_, articulating his proposed policy of "containment" of Communism, has earned him nothing but scorn. "Apparantly Professor Kennan's service in the Wallace administration went to ill use; the same government officials who slaughtered sixty thousand American boys in a day in 1943 now want other nations to fight their proxy wars. Well, Professor Kennan, be advised that no more Americans will be killed fighting Democrat wars, and none of our allies, either." says one critic. Washington: Treasury Secretary and former President HERBERT HOOVER retires. While he enjoyed being an active part of government again, as he put it: "You can't go home again." President Taft turns his eye for a replacement on the Treasury Department itself, more specifically to a dashing young economist named Milton Friedman... --- Thoughts? Subject: For All Time Pt. 36 Date: 26 Apr 2001 00:38:24 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 36 February-April 1946 -Despite stories told later by American and European politicians, the American demobilization of the late winter and early spring of 1946 is not a cowardly retreat from global responsibilities. The United States, a nation unaccustomed to violent foriegn wars, has lost over 500,000 soldiers and civilians over four years of bloody fighting. The soldiers want to go home, and President Bob Taft, who was elected to bring them home, is determined to do just that. In the Philippines, for example, after signing treaties assuring a 99 year lease on the naval base at Subic Bay, the US pulls out its troops and ceded soverignty to the government of Sergio Osmeña on February 7, 1946, though the new President will not declare formal independance until July 4. Osmeña, who had become President in exile after the death of Quezon in 1944, is an old man, though, and tired. People are already talking about the election of 1949. -For Germany, the situation is a bit more complicated. Taft has pledged to have all American occupation troops home by the end of 1947, but American efforts to negotiate either a British or French takeover of their sector fail, not that the US pressed too enthusastically for that anyway. Thus it is that while beginning deamage control work on the cities of northern Germany (clearing streets and repairing roads, there are lovely wide boulevards with no buildings at all for miles around) the US begins organizing a provisional government for "Westphalia", centered around Erich von Manstein, whose anti-Hitler and anti-Communist credentials are impeccable, and who has managed to parlay that into most of the world forgetting his pretty firmly Nazi roots. There is an outcry among German nationalists, American Jewish groups angry at the US government's alleged favoritism towards Nazis (it's not entirely a fair charge, but it makes sense, Taft's bill to subsidize Jewish immigration to the US is slowly percolating through Congress, and he has vehemently rejected a proposal by American intelligence called Operation Paperclip.) -Japan, meanwhile, has kept her Emperor (Douglas MacArthur has warned Washington of the risk of Communist subversion if Hirohito is deposed) and is working toward a new government under the leadership of civilian Japanese officials. As in Germany, the US has spurned war crimes trials, though they do hand over wanted criminals to their former Pacific. Fortunately, men like Tojo, Anami, and Ishii have already taken their own lives. Friction growns between Taft and MacArthur in March; MacArthur doesn't like the US "abandoning Japan in her hour of greatest need", and doesn't hesitate to share that with the press. Fuming, Taft comes within a hair's breadth of asking for the General's retirement (as he has already quietly done with the US commader in France, George S. Patton.), but finally decides to let MacArthur stick it out in Japan until the end of cleanup and buildup (training the Japanese military and building American bases there.). He is even idly pondering the fellow Midwestern Republican for a Cabinet post. -On April 2, 1946, a disgruntled military officer throws a hand grenade that nearly kills Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi, leader of Iran, before being shot to death himself. While the Shah lies near death at a closely guarded hospital in Tehran, a factional struggle breaks out in Iran between forces loyal to the monarchy and the landed gentry of Iran. A week later, the first Soviet armored divisions cross the border. Citing the need to restore order in the civil-war wracked nation, Stalin promises to restore full and just order. Americans and Europeans are torn between relief and horror as Soviet troops manage to secure the large cities, at least...but there's not much they can do, outside of protest strongly. Western oil comes from Indonesia, the United States, and South America, not the Middle East, and many Americans haven't even heard of Iran. If he had to go somewhere, better Iran than Germany, is the general consensus as the initial fighting slows to a stop. Besides, you can't trust those Pahlavis; the Shah's father was almost a Nazi! --- Thoughts? The Soviet campaign in Iran isn't over yet... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 37 Date: 11 May 2001 01:46:04 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 37 May-August 1946 -For a Stalinst-era production, the Soviet summer campaign in Iran is surprisingly bloodless. There is a distinction between conquest and annexation, after all, one of which Joseph Stalin, annexer of the Baltic States and conqueror of Poland, is acutely aware. Only particularly vocal or reactionary members of rightist and centrist (and leftist, after all, the most dangerous traitors to the revolution are those that lurk within. Not to mention Trotskyites.) parties are deported to Siberia and remote regions of Central Asia; and the ostentatious respect shown for Iranian mosques (There are a fair number of Central Asian and Caucasian Muslims among the Soviets, that, of course, raises its own problems.) ensures that even the most anti-Communist clerics keep their discontent to a low murmur. Indeed, in many areas, the Soviet troops are welcomed. The authority of the landed nobility is decidedly broken, as are many of the landed nobles, and they bring food, supplies with labels in German and Czech, and books with similiar authors. The most prominent members of the Iranian officer corps are quite to see forces of law and order restored. Many, those who were most anti-Communist before the invasion, are so glad that they volunteer to work for the Revolution in places with names like Kolyma. Even Stalin is aware of the good fortune of the invasion, and the Red Army occupation force is gone by August. In its place is the Democratic Republic of Iran, complete with a compliantTudehist government under Premier Soleiman Mohsen Eskandari, an abdicated Shah, and Soviet military bases. Lots and lots of Soviet military bases, to help keep the peace in the new Autonomous Regions of Azerbijian and Kurdistan. And engineers; there are new ports being built along the south coast, in places like Chabahar near British India, Bandar Abbas on the Strait of Hormuz, and Bandar-e Taghi Arani near the Iraqi border. They will provide hundreds of new jobs in those cities and environs, and space for big ships. -Despite their differences, Ernest Bevin and Pierre Darlan are acutely aware of what a perfect time this is to nearly panic. Both men spend the summer of 1946 flying from Paris to London and back again, meeting at Bevin's 10 Downing Street in London and Darlan's palatial estate south of Paris about the issue of the giant Russian bear eating parts of their sphere of influence and interest. (For all that British Oil company representantives have been unmolested by either Soviet or Tudehist government officials, the two men aren't stupid.) After the initial condemnation of the Soviet invasion, the two men and their respective governments realize there's nothing they can actually do to the Soviets. Military action is out of the question given post-war demobilization fever and the need for soldiers elsewhere (plus the Soviet Union is rather a military powerhouse), and economic embargos from the moribund League of Nations are of dubious impact at this point. Neither of their economies are in much shape to be embargoing anything; Great Britain is living on what it can get from its Dominions and on heavy rationing and wage/price controls, and France's overseas departments grow ever-more restive under massive taxations outside of metropolitan France. Areas under French military control, like war-torn Indochina and the "District of the Rhineland" in Germany are being quite shamelessly looted. Finally, both Britain and France agree (in relatively secret negotiationsto supply aid to anti-Tudehist forces in Iran and not to recognize the new Eskandari government, and settle on a defense pact signed by Bevin and Darlan personally on August 1, 1946. -In the United States, the nation shrugs its collective shoulders. President Taft makes a speech or two condemning imperialsm and refuses to recognize the Tudehist government, but life goes on. The US is king in oil in the 1940s; Texan and Oklahoman Congressman lead the fight to not overly condemn the invasion of Iran at the same time their constitutes grow ever richer from the hike in world oil prices. Most Americans are reading Mickey Spillane instead of the foriegn news anyway. For all that the US has backed off from confronting Communism abroad, they've no hesitation in confronting subscribers to Serbian-language newspapers and other such obvious traitors. Still, anti-Red fever is relatively low at this point. The sheer grey flannel radiance of the Taft administration keeps government corruption low, and Attorney General Jenner has managed to co-op anti-Communist sentiment against holdovers from the Roosevelt and Wallace administrations (there has been almost total turnover between those and Taft's) The people not reading Spillane are reading Richard Matheson. _The Bare-Faced Legends_, an account of teenage soldiers in World War Two, has been influenced heavily by his partnership with his hospitalmate Rod Serling, though both are new enough writers that they're not quite aware of it yet. (Matheson is 19, Serling is 20.) "Neville drove the bayonet into the dirt an inch from the SS officer's jugular, just scraping the skin. 'You're about to enter a new dimension, my friend, not of sight and sound, but of pain'..." -But, of course, the story of the summer of 1946 takes place in Baden, where a certain paraplegic takes the stand in his own defense on August 2, 1946. He's chosen to act in his own defense, spurning the efforts of his trialmates, men like von Papen, Sauckel, and Raeder, many of whom have blamed everything on him. Though he seems utterly mad in his cell, ranting all night except when medicated, he has seemed sane to the many, many teams of psychiatrists who came to evaluate him over the long months since his capture and arrest. Before Prosecutor Bullingham can speak, the madman shouts to the cameras with all of the old fire "Selbstverständlich bedeuteten wir, die Juden zu beenden!" ---- Thoughts? This isn't very good, so ask any questions, you like. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 39 Date: 14 May 2001 02:34:52 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 39 Winter of 1946-1947 ADOLF HITLER dies on November 9, 1946 just as the dawn rose outside Baden. The gallows room was in a converted gymnasium, his death chair a converted student's desk, the rosy dawn was in his face for a moment as he spoke his last words, "Es ist heute morgen kalt, nicht ist es?" It is cold indeed, the winter of 1946-1947 will be one of the coldest since the 19th century, and the wind is coming from the Alps today. An instant later, the executioner pulled the final lever and the dictator dropped into eternity, unrepentant to the last. Before the winter is over, JOSEPH MENGELE and ADOLF EICHMANN will join their spiritual leader; Mengele hanged by Polish partisans and Eichmann frozen to death in a work camp in the Ukraine. The winter is a dark time for former Nazis, more so than most refugees. Few have the money to flee to South America, and attempts to flee into Westphalia, the only state in Europe where former elements of the Third Reich still control the government, are met with a police force headed by WILHELM CANARIS, who remembers all the people who put him under arrest and killed his friends, and frankly isn't happy about it. OTTO FRANK dies in a Displaced Person shelter in the French Rhineland on November 18. Hundreds of thousands will join him, there are few places indeed to go on this cold, cold winter. The Benelux countries can barely feed their own citizens, thousands join the fleeing mobs that clog nearly every frozen road through the winter. Darlanist France puts the DPs to work; it's incredibly hard work and hundreds more die in the job of repairing France and stripping Germany, but it's food and shelter, sometimes. (And the occasional nativist mob, full of people who don't have much themselves, except rope.) Great Britain is unaccessible, and the border guards in Spain and Italy shoot to kill. With Communist sentiments growing, both Darlan and Ciano decide that free elections must be postponed again for another few years. On Christmas Day, 1946, JIMMY STEWART stares blankly into a nameless river in the Sierra Nevadas. Life has been bad for Stewart, two years in a POW camp has broken his health, and the disastrous failure of _The Best Years of Our Lives_ has shattered his Hollywood capital. His wife has left him, but he and the bottle have gotten well-acquainted indeed. Maybe it'd be better to end it all, let the Stewart legacy go out with some class. He puts a foot over the rail-"Stop, son!" The other man is paternal, despite that he's short and could stand to lose some weight. "That's never the way." He extends a hand. "Let me help you." "Who are you?" "My name's Travers, Henry Travers." JACK KEROAUC faces an empty typewriter with grim determination in the early days of 1947. Greater economic disruption in the postwar US in general and rebuilding New York in particular broke up his group of friends a few months back. Ginsberg, the former welder, is writing patriotic pamphlets in Washington for the fund to rebuild the Statue of Liberty, Burroughs and Cassady moved back to Denver together, and Carr mostly drinks and talks about the weather. Not that Jack has a problem with drinking, no, but he has bills to pay, and _The Town and the City_ won't write itself. At least he has a regular job these days, writing for his favorite radio program, and chicks dig it when you can turn to NBC at 6:30 and hear "Who knows what evil lurks in the hearts of men?" HAROLD STASSEN is America's first ambassador to independant Japan, the last US occupation troops (as opposed to troops stationed in dozens of military bases over the countryside) pull out by February 1, 1947. Despite Stassen's best efforts, relations with former occupation commander Douglas MacArthur slowly disentigrated as the general saw his personal empire collapsing, blaming a false and weak-willed defense policy under President Taft and Secretaries Fish and Donovan. MacArthur didn't hesitate to say as much, and once the Congressional elections of '46 were over, Taft didn't hesitate to fire the old general. "I am the commander in chief," commented the commander in cheif, "and General MacArthur forgot that." ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 40 Date: 15 May 2001 00:55:38 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 40 March-July 1947 -March 1, 1947 sees the formation of the Amsterdam Pact, a defensive and economic alliance between Belgium, France, Great Britain, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands. The Benelux nations are desperately poor and a few thousand dollars from bankruptcy from month to month, especially after the terrible winter of 1947, and throwing in with the Anglo-French keeps them alive. The Pact is the brainchild of British Prime Minister Ernest Bevin, a unification of Western Europe against the Communist threat. Soon Belgian and Dutch troops are on the border with Westphalia, carefully watching the situation in Germany and eastward. Significantly, Westphalia and Italy, the two things closest to successor states to the fascist wartime governments, are excluded from the Pact. Darlanist France and the Benelux countries will enter into no alliance with a de facto and de jure independant German state or a fascist one, despite the non-aggression of the Manstein and Ciano governments. Bevin and Darlan hit on an inspiration, then: they'll make their own German state! The British and French governments begin working on cooperation between their occupation zones in Germany; first a common legal system, and then a common government by the middle of summer, with a theoretical capitol at Stuttgart. (Though, really, the new German "Palatinate District" is governed from Paris and London.) Great Britain gets their German state as a first line of defense against the Germans, France gets more resources to keep the Darlanist regime afloat. -In response to the formation of the Amsterdam Pact, Joseph Stalin declares during a grand May Day speech (as all of them are in the Soviet Union) that he will restore full and complete independance to the "People's Republic of Germany" by the summer of 1948, six months ahead of the Anglo-French schedule for the Palatinate. He makes a similiar pledge for the "Japanese People's Republic.", pledging full independance there by the end of 1947. (There is only the already independant South Japan to mock him with its Westernization there, not an existing competition with the European imperialists.) As the name suggests, the "JPR" is not entirely a pleasant place for non-Japanese, especially Koreans and Ainu, who obviously cause the weakening of the spirit of the Japanese proletariat and defensive spirit by not being Japanese. The fortunate ones manage to slip across the straits to democratic Japan, the really fortunate ones escape the Korea and Ainutowns that have sprung up in every major Japanese city to make it to the United States. -The United States has taken quite a lot of immigrants in since the end of the war, both those displaced by it directly and those fleeing its consequences. Among these are several hundred thousand Jews, enough to give her an even more substantial Jewish population per OTL. (Very few American Jews have emigrated to the nearly openly anti-Semetic Palestinian Authority, where Britain will formally cede her control in August of 1947.)_Gentleman's Agreement_ will prove even more successful than per OTL, the problems of American and Americanized Jews, as opposed to their European or Palestinian counterparts, are reasonably important to the American public. Things are going pretty well in the US, they can afford those kinds of humanitarian worries. The recession of 1946 is comig to an end, and the economy is booming. The mass media is full of tales of the horrors of war and what a marvelous thing peace is: the pacifist science fiction stories of a young professor at Columbia named Isacc Asimov are the latest thing in the pulp community. Academic advocates of military interventionism have begun a lively if secretive correspondance, two former Undersecretaries of State named Dean Acheson and George Kennan are working on a _magnum opus_ against isolationism, not that they expect it'll come to much good at the moment. Advertising middle manager Sloan Wilson, whose firm does limited publicity for the White House, has begun writing a biography of President Robert Taft, with the expected title. -As summer begins, a weather balloon crashes into the central square of the small town of Roswell, New Mexico. Deeply embaressed at the public failure of the Army's attempt at high technology, Secretary of War Donovan and President Taft cut the budget for secret military research for the second year in a row. -Meanwhile, India is independant! Hooray! Millions are dead in the partition, but that's less good. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 41 Date: 16 May 2001 00:38:59 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 41 August-December 1947 -The main story of the latter part of 1947 is, of course, the outbreak of the Palestine War. What was first billed as a pan-Arab peacekeeping operation soon devolves into a pan-Arab conflict, and one where everyone is shooting at the Jews. Menachem Begin is a desperate man by the middle of August, 1947. British authority in the Palestinian Mandate is due to lapse (by governmental decree) on October 1, 1947, when it will be turned over to the Arab Legion in particular and the government of Transjordan in general. Glubb Pasha's troops have been the de facto government in Palestine for a long time, though: it was soldiers of the Arab Legion who arrested Avraham Stern the year before, and they who executed him publically just before New Year's. The more moderate Zionist leaders, men like David Ben-Gurion, have chosen to try cooperation with the new authorities, to persuade them to disgorge territories long since promised to a Jewish state and largely useless to the Arab authorities. (Britain's Bevin government has replied to every petition with stern warnings about the consequences of making trouble.)The Irgun Zvai Leumi has been formally outlawed by both the government and the moderate Jewish organizations, driving the members of that already desperate organization (of which Begin is the new leader) to even greater feats of bravery or terrorism, depending on your interpretation. With word of a new crackdown on the Irgun planned for September, Begin makes his decision. If the weak-willed moderates won't make an Israel, he'll make his own, by God. On August 7, 1947, several hundred Irgun troops, the bulk of their Jerusalem fighting strength, seize control of the King David Hotel in Jerusalem, with only a few casualties among the Arab police forces posted to the hotel. (OTL's bombing went elsewhere.) Speaking to a cheering crowd of his supporters, soldiers and those few Zionist civilians in the hotel in the first moments of the crisis, Begin announces the formation of the State of Israel, with himself as its first Prime Minister (and commander of the army at once.) As a sop to the moderates, David Ben-Gurion is namd first President. Begin calls for revolution, for the Jewish population of Palestine to take to the streets and take out the hated Arab and (to a lesser extent) British occupiers. Indeed, in the opening hours of the crisis, mobs consisting of perhaps five thousand in total do briefly roam the streets of Jerusalem and Tel Aviv, throwing rocks at passing Arab and British soldiers and demanding a Jewish state for Jewish people. The homes of moderates like Ben-Gurion and Levi Eshkol are picketed, with cries for them to lead the revolution personally; their attempts to reason with the crowd meet with lukewarm success at best. Still, in a calmer enviroment, the Palestine Crisis would probably have passed with few casualties among the civilian and military populations of Palestine. But Glubb Pasha's Palestine is anything but calm. Within a few hours of the beginning of the civil disorder, Arab Legion troops have mobilized in every major city in the Mandate, with the reserves called out in cities like Jerusalem with a Jewish majority. (Even with the greatly decreased Jewish migration to Palestine, Jerusalem has had a Jewish majority since the mid-19th century.) Several thousand troops surround the King David Hotel, demanding the immediate surrender of the Irgun forces. Both Glubb and Begin are under siege in the hot sun, Glubb's subordinates want to storm the hotel and slaughter all who live within and worship the wrong god, and Begin's most fanatical subordinates like the idea of a second Masada a little too much. With the two divided camps on the hot afternoon of August 8, (the siege has lasted a day) it's hard to say who throws the hand grenade that detonated near an open window of the hotel at 3 PM, killing two Arab soldiers, a British advisor, and wounding two Irgun fighters. Both sides return fire, and Glubb reluctantly gives the order to storm the hotel, or rather gives his seal of approval to the reserve troops who have already broken the firing line to storm the hotel, adding the well-disciplined Arab Legion troops to their numbers. By nightfall, over three hundred of Begin's four hundred troops are dead, many shot after attempts to surrender, with 109 Arab Legion and reserve troops in a similiar state. Casualties are heaviest among the reserves, and soon the word sweeps across Palestine about the Jewish terrorists who have killed Arab soldiers, many of them locals, civilians on days they're not in uniform. Despite half-hearted efforts at peacekeeping by Legion and a smattering of British troops, the mob violence that sweeps Palestine in the next few weeks is mostly Arab on Jew. Both sides are armed and firing at each other; with the Transjordanian troops often openly joining in the fighting against the Zionist troops. Acting under orders from Amman (and possibly London, depending on what conspiracy theory you believe) and blaming the Zionists for the deaths of his men and the violence in Palestine, Glubb finally deploys his troops formally as peacekeepers, with orders to shoot rioters and looters to kill. He makes a distinction between "armed civilians acting in self-defense" and "alien rioters capitalizing on our disorder for their own gain.", with the results one might expect. (Lots of dead Jews, and lots more angry, armed Jews and Arabs on the streets the next day.) -As August moves on, British Prime Minister Bevin pledges British (and by extension, Amsterdam Pact) neutrality in the "Palestinian Disorder", though he does make many veiled references to "alien trouble-makers stirring up trouble in a peaceful territory" and promises full European support and recognition for the legimate government of Palestine. He accelerates the timetable for a British pullout, and by the first of September, only embassy personnel and Arab liason troops are left. Despite strong pressure from American Jewish groups, the Taft administration pledges full neutrality in the Palestinian problem; though Taft does echo his post-war promises that Jewish refugees displaced by World War II, even those who temporarily settled in Palestine, will recieve succor and aid if they choose to emigrate to the United States. Meanwhile, the Arab states are horrified at Jordan's weakness. There's a risk of a _Jewish republic_ right there in Palestine (land they want, run by people they hate), and the Jordanian military is only shooting rioters and members of terrorist organizations! The pansy bastards! The Egyptian and Syrian governments begin exerting strong pressure on Jordan's to take real action against the Zionists, to drive them into the sea or slaughter them! (Iraq is distracted by the new Communist Iranian state, and Lebanon is besieged by tens of thousands of Arab refugees from Palestine.) Plus, they all want a piece of Palestine, for faith and for all that land. (Land! Sweet land!) When Jordan refuses, the Egyptian and Syrian armies mobilize on the Palestinian border, giving Jordan a time limit of October 1 to begin a full crackdown on the Zionists and to hand over the land which they acquired through a back room deal with the British imperialists. (The ten thousand dead or arrested Jews in Palestine might say they already are under crackdown, but neither Egypt nor Syria care.) Jordan refuses without hesitation, it is their territory, to deal with as they please, and so, at high noon on October 1, just as British authority formally lapses in Palestine and the territory becomes de jure part of the Kingdom of Jordan, the first Egyptian and Syrian troops cross their respective borders. Despite early rapid strides by the Egyptian and Syrian armies, the more professional and fully mobilized Arab Legion (though badly outnumbered) manages to stabilize the battlelines within a month of the invasion, with the lines still frozen there by the end of the year. The Egyptian forces have broken free from the Negev and have seized most of Beersheba in the south, while the Syrian forces have pushed south to lay seige to the city of Nazareth in the north. As the war's military body count passes 10,000 by the end of 1947, American, European, and Soviet observers notice that if the Jordanians, Egyptians, and Syrians fight each other with moderate ferocity at best, they fight the Irgun with a ferocity indeed. The Irgun cause isn't recognized by any party (even Stalin is in one of his more anti-Semitic moods, and is trying to cozy up to the Islamic world after the whole invasion thing.) in the conflict or world, so they're considered terrorists, and are treated as such. ----- Thoughts? I'm nervous about this one, but I've explanations. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 42 Date: 17 May 2001 03:23:45 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 42 January-July 1948 -The biggest story of early 1948 in the United States, despite the ongoing Palestine War with its hundreds of thousands of arriving refugees, is the election of 1948. Despite moderately serious strikes in the coal and rail industries, the American economy has recovered well from the recession of 1946 and much of America's wartime prosperity has been revived and extended to most Americans, at least the white middle class ones. Thus, there really are no challengers for President Robert Taft for the Republican nomination, and his renomination at the June 21-25 convention in Philidelphia is something of a foregone conclusion. The only real surprise is the nomination of New York Governor Thomas A. Dewey as Taft's Vice-Presidential candidate. Vice-President George Aiken, a firmly liberal Republican, is uncomfortable with the deep conservatism of the Taft administration, but not so much that he'll challenge a sitting President for the nomination. Dewey is liberal too, but far more willing to compromise, especially with an unspoken offer of support in 1952. (In a Lincoln-esque move, no one actually bothered to tell Taft about the deal, knowing he'd refuse on principle, but his staff knows he'll support a loyal confederate like Dewey, especially with somewhat Presidential seasoning.) Democrats, meanwhile, fight hard through the winter, spring, and early summer. Presidential contestants include 1944 candidate Alben Barkley (who loses out as too old and too discredited), Georgia Senator Richard Russell (who is too conservative even for the newly rightist Democrats) and former President Henry Wallace, whose doomed attempt at the nomination only serves to demonstrate how out of touch he is with both the Democratic Party and the country at large. Not entirely blind, he refuses an offer to revive the '44 Progressive Party, he can see the '48 apparatus is full of Stalinists. After a tumultous convention from July 12 to July 16, in which Russel and Barkley crush Wallace before turning on and destroying each other, the party settles on a moderate dark horse, but one with a history of leadership and organization in war and peace: former Secretary of the Navy and Indiana Governor Paul McNutt, selecting Nevada Senator Pat McCarran as his running mate. -Meanwhile, in March, Lebanon declares war on Jordan and, allied to Syria, invades Palestine, its armies greatly enhanced by the thousands of refugees who'd temporarily fled there at the war's outbreak. With Lebanon fighting by their side and with a substantial fifth column of Palestinians already living in the former Mandate, the Syrian army pushes the Nazareth Line south, to the city of Hadera on the coast and including part of the West Bank of the Jordan River. With the Arab Legion distracted and being slowly bled white, the Egyptian Army in the south manages to drive north to the city of Gaza, only to be stopped by an unwitting and unwilling combination of fanatical Jewish resistance and a successful Jordanian counter-offensive that drove the Egyptians back from the gates of Hebron. The numbers of their professional military dwindling (the AL was never a large force) and partisan activity getting worse and worse, the government of Jordan sends out peace feelers in May of 1948 and Egypt, Syria and Lebanon, all of whom have suffered their own fair share of casualties, agree to negotiations on the first of June, and by the end of July, the Palestine War is over. 200,000 people are dead, mostly civilians, mostly Jews. (the deaths are concentrated in urban Jews, with refugees and the pogroms severe enough that Jerusalem has lost its Jewish majority, with much of Tel Aviv a virtual ghost town.) Delegates from all over the Arab world meet in semi-neutral Baghdad to settle the new boundaries of Palestine. There are, of course, no Jewish delegates, with the assasination of David Ben-Gurion by a former member of the Jordanian army, the surviving Jewish leadership has died in place or successfully fled to the United States. -In the Philippines, ailing President Ozmena decides to bolster his equally ailing government by taking the even more ailing Manuel Roxas into his goverment. Roxas had been the favorite to win the Presidency in 1948, but his health makes it impossible to run this year. Roxas is the new Minister of Justice, and begins a crackdown on the Hukbalahap movement (the corruption and moderate attempts at a crackdown under Ozmena have served to make the Huks more powerful than per OTL.) --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 43 Date: 18 May 2001 00:21:05 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 43 August-December 1948 -With the victories of Chester Bowles in Connecticut, Adlai Stevenson in Illinois, and Herbert Lehman in New York, the Democratic Party takes back the Senate in early November of 1944; unfortunately, that's the only concrete Democratic victory of the election of 1948. The House remains Republican by a half-dozen votes, with the Southern Democrats who have often voted the GOP's line since the Roosevelt administration ensuring a strong majority for the programs of the Taft administration. The Presidential race is a dull one; Bob Taft's policies have only offended people who'd have voted Democratic anyway (labor and librals), and while Paul McNutt is deeply interested in the increasingly rapid retreat of Chaing Kai-Shek in China, the beginning of leftist disturbances in the Philippines, the ongoing "culturelle révolution" in France, the end of the Palestine War, the new Red German and Japanese states and the new Anglo-French backed Palantine; America doesn't care very much, and so McNutt mutes his urge towards interventionism. Thus, with the American economy in very good shape (on the surface at least) and foriegn policy not particularly an issue, there's very little reason for people _not_ to vote for Bob Taft, so they mostly do. The Taft-Dewey ticket is elected by over 100 electoral votes and five percent of the popular vote, proving that America is reasonably willing to accept his policies; he can be elected without electoral chicanry. Taft carried New York and most of the Midwest, only losing McNutt's Indiana. -With his President safely re-elected, Secretary of War William Donovan resigns. The old commander of the 69th New York cannot countenance the dismantling of much of the American military under his watch, despite his personal loyalty to President Taft. Taft's pick as his replacement is North Dakota Senator Gerald Nye, whose loyalty to the administration (Taft's campaigning and popularity helped save him in 1946) is nearly as fervent as his isolationism and commitment to disarmament. Neither man is willing to touch America's fission program (outside of post-wartime cuts), but as for all the other waste... -On September 15, 1948, Egypt, Lebanon, Jordan, and Syria sign the Treaty of Baghdad, formally ending the Palestine War. Lebanon recieves the northern half of the Hula valley, but they don't particularly mind, the government didn't enter the war for territory. Druze and Maronite Christians will recieve special rights in the Muslim-controlled Holy Cities, while newly-vacant land in Palestine will be awarded to Muslim refugees in Lebanon; thus getting them _out_ of Lebanon. Syria recieves everything north of the city of Janin, outside of the Lebanese concession. Many native Palestinians (well, the non-Jewish ones) emigrate north to the Syrian territories, with whom they have a strong ethnic bond. Toward the Jewish population of the area, Syria pursues a similiar policy to the Egyptian government (which has everything south of the city of Gaza, east to the Jordanian border.) Formal discrimination, with strong encouragement for those who fled to not come back, and for those already there to go. By the end of the year, only the poorest or most fanatical Zionists remain in the new Syrian or Egyptian territories, the poorest assimilate or keep their heads down, the fanatical simply die. Things are a bit better in the Jordanian territories (the remainder of the Mandate), discrimination is less severe and members of the armed mobs that still roam city and country, killing "uppity" Jews and burning out their homes and businesses are occasionally prosecuted, and even occasionally convicted. Still, the war saw heavy guerilla fighting between the Arab Legion and Irgun troops in the major cities, and most of the urban Jewish population has fled to the countryside or fled the country altogether. Jerusalem has lost its Jewish majority, and the ghost town of Tel Aviv is soon filled up with Palestinian returnees. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 44 Date: 19 May 2001 21:22:36 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 44 Spring, 1949 -On March 1, 1949, one of the longest civil wars of the 20th century shifts into an entirely new phase, when Chiang Kai-shek himself steps off the boat at Taipei, well and truly gone from Mainland China. (For the moment, at least, or so he hopes.) Both Chiang himself and Taiwan the island are in bad shape; the Nationalist forces recieved substantially less aid from the United States during World War II and after, while Taiwan itself was fought over heavily during the American invasion of 1945. With the Kuomintang weakened badly and the Taiwanese population more radicalized (and armed) by the war, the logical solution is clearly to purge the native intellectual and educated classes; if they're not Communists, they're probably Japanese collaborators, which is nearly as bad to Chiang. -With the independance of the Palatinate (the former French and British occupation zones in Germany) at the end of 1948 comes people who hate the whole idea of the place. Members of the Volkstag in Dusseldorf blast the Amsterdam Pact for carving up Germany and making them a puppet state, crowds in the street express their agreement by pelting passing Anglo-French troops with rocks and eggs. The Volkstag delegates can be silenced by impeachment or political pressure, but the Dusseldorf mobs can't be; so the Blumentritt government calls on the Amsterdam Pact for help. Recognizing the propaganda problems that using their own troops would open up, both in their countries and in the Palatinate, Ernest Bevin and Pierre Darlan pressure the Benelux governments into sending in _their_ military as peacekeepers, so it's young men from Amsterdam and Brussels who tear gas and billy club the anti-government mobs into submission through the spring of 1949. While the Benelux peacekeepers are largely successful in restoring order, (after the Nazis, the horrors of war, and the occupation, there isn't exactly much spirit left in the German mindset), it is clear now to the world that the Palatinate government and even the state itself are a creation of and maintained by the Amsterdam Pact nations. Walter Ulbricht and Erich von Manstein condemn both mob violence and the "repression of democratic ideals of the German people", Ulbricht has his orders from Moscow and von Manstein has his basic views about how nifty a large, powerful Germany would be. (Plus he's worried about the elections of 1950, Konrad Adenauer's party looks powerful indeed, the Mayor of Bonn may be the next President. The Constitution does contain clauses about suspending the elections in event of civil disorder, though...) The repression also serves to finally alienate the Taft administration from any attempts at military cooperation with Europe. -Influenced by the pleas of the Quirino government in April, President Taft increases the size of the naval and Marine garrison at Subic Bay. The Hukbalahap Rebellion has been growing gradually worse since independance, and the attempts at first cooperation and then repression by the vacillating Ozmena government served mostly to stimulate the growth of the forces of Luis Turac, a former member of Congress. Quirino hopes that a show of force will show the rebels that the United States will defend one of her few remaining formal allies. Unfortunately, influenced by his own deep reluctance to get involved in the Far East and by the less than reliable reports of Secretary of State Fish and Secretary of War Nye, Taft sends only a token increase in forces, a squadron of destroyer escorts coupled with an extra 400 Marines. The troop increase, which had been trumpeted by the Philipino government as proof of the utility and power of their ally, demonstrates to much of the populace that the government doesn't know what it's talking about and the Americans have gotten far more...spineless than they remember. -As May dawns, a bitter, angry John Ronald Reuel Tolkien packs his bags, wondering what the University of Bloemfontein will look like. The lawsuit from his publishers nearly impoverished him from the legal fees alone, much less the damages he had to pay, and Oxford decided it didn't need to keep employing such a controversial Rawlingson Professor of Anglo-Saxon and Fellow of Pembroke College. Fortunately, an administrator at Bloemfontein was a fan of both Tolkein's fictional tales and his academic papers and lectures, and the job offer had come in just when he and Edith were contemplating the humilation of moving in with John Jr. or C.S. Lewis while he hunted for work as a lecturer. Still, even after all the heartache and personal disasters, Tolkein is sure he was in the right with his publishers. The books didn't _need_ editing! A bad economy doesn't mean the populace won't buy a deep series, and it doesn't mean they want unrealistic fantastic stories to distract them. _The Hobbit_ was published in 1936, when the economy was not the strongest, and it didn't exactly fail. If only he hadn't lost the rights along with the suit...well, there will be more books. ----- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 45 Date: 20 May 2001 23:47:20 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 45 Summer to Fall, 1949 -By June of 1949, George S. Patton and Douglas MacArthur have begun a lively correspondance, bridging the gap from Paris to Manila, the distance and the medium of the written word keeping the horns of their gigantic egos from locking too often. Time and the vicissitudes of the post-war American military have driven both men out of the Army they'd devoted their adult lives to, loyalties established during the war have let them both wind up in another army, though. Patton's France is more stable than MacArthur's Philippines, the isolated Communist guerillas in the Massif Central are far less of a threat to national stability than the Hukbo ng Bayan Laban sa Hapon, and Patton advocates a slightly more consistent course of action than MacArthur's: Just shooting the partisans. On most days, MacArthur advocates a far more moderate course, cooperation and co-option (and shooting those who resist after _that_), but his flashes of both bloodthirstiness and sheer pessimism have attracted the attention of the government, enough that he doesn't quite have the policy influence of Patton, not the kind his reputation might suggest. -On July 4, 1949, ground is broken on newly-renamed "Liberty Island" to build the new Statue of Liberty. The project is a cooperation of the city government of New York, the state government, and truly heroic donations from all across the United States. (A young former welder named Allen Ginsburg wrote most of the advertising posters.) The Statue herself will be rebuilt as close to the original as possible (even a great deal of the original copper will be recycled), but the Island itself will be totally remodeled, with a museum dedicated to the German raid on New York City and to American warfare and patriotism in general. Commissioned to design and the museum complex is Charles-Édouard Jeanneret, whose bitter feud with Darlanist France over the rebuilding of French cities has driven his genius from European shores back across the Atlantic to the United States. -Clark Gable's starring role in _Twelve O'Clock High_ is keeping the actor's reputation high indeed. Gable spent the war organizing war bond drives and making rousing, patriotic speeches alongside his wife Carole Lombard; and with celebrities in uniform like Jimmy Stewart relatively few and far between, to many, Clark Gable simply was the face of patriotic Hollywood at war. Gable's fame is such that elements of the California Democratic Party have suggested he run for office; that he challenge Governor Frederick Houser in 1950, or even Senator Earl Warren in that same year. Gable is cool to the idea, politics isn't quite his scene, but the always politically active Carole has been urging him on for quite a while: plus he really doesn't like the Taft administration... -Former Vice-President George Aiken is Robert Taft's latest Supreme Court appointee, replacing the late Frank Murphy, an FDR appointee. Aiken is a liberal Republican, much more so than Taft or any other of the President's judicial appointees, but Taft feels no small loyalty to his former #2 and a healthy respect for the man who stood against the tide of conservatism in his administration for four solid years. (Taft is _really_ familiar with the idea of standing against the tide of history.) -One of the few men willing to talk publically (and getting a reasonably good reception at it) about interventionism abroad is a former OSS officer named John Birch, who'd been removed from his post in China after a too-public feud with the local Communists in the Wallace administration. Birch, a lifelong and deeply commited Southern Baptist, has begun working with former army chaplain Billy Graham, preaching a gospel of godly purity at home and unashamed confrontation with the forces of Hell abroad. Birch and Graham attract only moderate attention, this is before the mobilization of religion in American politics, but a speech in California does appeal to a troubled young teenager named Charles Manson, who rapidly organizes his local Young Republican chapter... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 46 Date: 22 May 2001 00:28:46 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 46 Fall to Winter 1949 - Ismet Inönü is a worried man in September of 1949. As per the "requests" of Foreign Minister Molotov: The Soviet Union wants the Dardanelles (Not to keep, mind you, just a major Soviet naval base there and Soviet say over which ships enter the Black Sea and which don't.) It wants Kars, too, and much of the east to be attached to Soviet Georgia, and more still to be attached to the Kurdish autonomous region they carved from their puppet state of Iran. And those, those they want to keep. Inönü is fully aware of the consequences of resistance: the recent internal coup d'etat and harsh crackdowns in the new "People's Republic of Iran" have sent thousands of Iranians fleeing into Persia with horror stories to tell of just what it is the Soviets mean. Too, caving in will ensure the defeat of his party in the elections of 1950, not to mention national humiliation and even the risk of a military coup d'etat. As he has so often in the past few years, he wishes Kemal hadn't been so ungracious as to simply die eleven years earlier, and leave him to run the show when the monsters began running loose upon the world. Turkey never entered World War II, Germany's greater apparent strength kept them out in 1945 and its abrupt collapse of strength in 1946 happened too fast for them to act. With no real ties with Europe, (Inönü's efforts at neutrality have succeeded well indeed.) Turkey can depend on no support from the Amsterdam Pact. Support from the United States is so unlikely as to remain unnoticed. The rest of the Muslim world doesn't care overmuch about Turkey, except for Iraq (who mostly cares for Iran) who won't do anything anyway. Finally, as October slowly dawns, the old soldier and statesman makes his decision. If the choice is between Turkey's life and Turkey's (and his) honor, there's not really a decision to make, anyway. On October 2, 1949, Ismet Inönü signs the Treaty of Istanbul, granting the Soviet Union control of the Dardanelles and the rights to build a naval base and other complexes there, as well as awarding them roughly 90% of the disputed territory in the east of Asia Minor. The Turkish military goes mad (at least in angry barracks discussions), Europe and the US consider Turkey a Soviet satellite (unfairly), but there will be no war in Asia Minor, for now. -In November, after an unsuccessful Huk attack in Manila wounds President Quirino and kills the Minister of Agriculture, President Bob Taft agrees to step up the American military presence in the Philippines. A full regiment of Marines will be added to the garrison already at Subic Bay, and a US carrier task force will take up permanent station at the various harbors on the major islands, starting in January of 1950. First to be dispatched will be the modern carrier U.S.S. *David Farragut, completed just before the end of World War II and one of the survivors of the Taft administration's military budget cutbacks, complete with her very own task forces of escort ships and combat aircraft. -On December 1, 1949, freshman Congressman Adam Clayton Powell storms angrily out of the office of House Minority Leader Sam Rayburn. Times aren't very good for blacks in the United States; either politically or economically. While the wartime social programs of the Wallace administration were successful in raising the economic and political standing of America's African-American population, especially in government-related occupations, the budget cutbacks and economic austerity of Bob Taft and Treasury Secretary Milton Friedman have fallen heavily indeed on America's black population, mostly unintentionally. A second wave of the Great Migration has begun in the post-war United States, it was newly-emigrated voters recently from Alabama and Mississippi who pushed Powell narrowly into office, after his embaressing defeat in 1944. Elected on a platform of more rights and economic aid to poor blacks, Powell expected help from his seniors in the Democratic Party. Rayburn is sympathetic, but it's just not a priority for him: He's worried about rebuilding the Democratic Party as a cohesive institution in the South, one that can help elect a President in 1952, and worrying about civil rights and the status of blacks will just hurt that effort. No little black resentment is beginning to turn against America's newly-growing Jewish population: the government is obviously pro-refugee, and the aid to the new arrivals smacks of blatant racism, helping out the Jewish migrants to court the Jewish vote while ignoring America's black population... --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 47 Date: 22 May 2001 23:54:22 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 47 January-April 1950 -On January 2, 1950, Benito Mussolini breathes his last on an isolated island in the Adriatic, one of the few in Italian hands. Mussolini had been under house arrest since 1945, when the Ciano regime came to power in Italy. Mussolini's fall was not nearly so hard as per OTL, and he never became a German puppet. Thus, the loyalty of a son-in-law to his father-in-law kept Mussolini alive, despite his bugaboo status as a touchstone for Italian ultra-fascists. With his death, though, the movement falls apart: Its leaders were "Rosenbergs and Goebbels", able to lead a movement about restoring an exiled il Duce, still popular with some, but with no real ability to lead a movement about themselves. Ciano moves quickly to co-opt them, and by the end of the month, the only former Mussolini backers not in the government camp or out of politics altogether are gangsters who wrap themselves in political clothing, and are recognized as such. With his right wing well-shored up, Galeazzo Ciano now has a choice to make. While no democrat, he is no Hitler or Mussolini either, and the harsh measures he has had to adopt in the past five years have made him uncomfortable, sometimes. Too, even limited democracy would help him get into the Amsterdam Pact: to get military aid with the border incursions of Austria and Yugoslavia, to get economic aid (though the influx of Jewish refugees has largely solved the labor crisis), and to help get credibility with states abroad, many of whom still don't like the idea of a fascist-descended state. After extensive consulations with King Victor Emmanuel (to make sure both their positions will be well-protected in the new state), on February 20, 1950, Ciano makes the surprise announcement that Italy will hold her first free elections (well, for the legislature at any rate), on September 20, 1950. The Amsterdam Pact is pleased to have a possible new ally who is strong without challenging Britain and France for supremacy, Italian liberals are pleased to have some pretence of democracy, while Josef Stalin is non-plussed. There are ways of dealing with this sort of thing, after all. -On March 9, 1950, Hermann Goering is shot to death while walking around his small house-prison. Goering has been under house arrest in various parts of first the American occupation zone and then Westphalia since the end of the war, a victim of his own success. Goering was liberated from a concentration camp by Americna troops just before V-E Day, imprisoned for his failure to stop the use of nuclear weapons on German cities, as well as an alleged plot against the Heydrich government. Having lost weight and drugs and gained his political acumen back in prison, the old Field Marshal managed to sell certain gullible or jaded American soldiers on how anti-Nazi he always was, even before the war, reminding them of the half-dozen or so Jews he helped save. He couldn't go free, though, not with his record, and the Americans reluctantly opted against extraditing him, despite the pleas of the other allied powers. No group claims responsiblity, not formally, but Westphalian ntelligence does find an apparant link to a maimed veteran of the British military, who lost an eye in the invasion of Vichy Syria during the war. Moshe Dayan disappears shortly thereafterwards, though, just ahead of Wilhelm Canaris' efficient internal police force. He's not quite done with Westphalia and Europe, though. From late March through April, a former Polish Jew named Shimon Peres runs a crew of carpenters working on a major refurbishing of the largest hall in Oldenburg. This is Erich von Manstein's planned site for the Solidarität convention of 1950; where he and Dr. Eugen Gerstenmaier will be nominated for a second term, in theory. Erich von Manstein has a plan, whose only flaw at the moment is that it's not as secret as he imagines.... -On April 19, 1950, Governor Joseph Kennedy Jr. of Massachusetts addresses a class of political science students at Harvard University, expostulating a theory of government that wasn't entirely ghost-written. His most rewarding contact, though, is with a young physics lecturer who worked on the Manhattan Project named Theodore Hall... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 48 Date: 24 May 2001 02:56:26 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 48 May 7-20, 1950 -On May 7, 1950, Canada has its first non-Mackenzie King Prime Minister since 1935: John George Diefenbaker, leader of the Progressive Conservatives. Louis St.Laurent's Liberals ran a good game, but the party had been growing weaker for a while, seen as too arrogant after so many years in power, and too close to a US that remains more unpopular than OTL, with strained relations during the war and after. Diefenbaker is in something of a dilemma: he badly wants stronger relations with Great Britain and the rest of the Dominions, but their Liberal governments just strike him the wrong way. Ernest Bevin in particular troubles him; whatever the faults of J.G. Diefenbaker, he is neither a bigot nor "an odious little reptile of a man", and Bevin and his Liberals strike him as both. Well, if Canada can't trust the US and it can't trust Great Britain (Yet, anyway. In his first days in office, the Chief meets often with former British Foreign Minister Anthony Eden, and the two become fast friends. Eden even helps suggest a medication for Diefenbaker's back, one that has helped Eden himself many times over the years.), she'll just have to go her own way, in more ways than one. One of the few non-government members Diefenbaker meets in his first week as Prime Minister is a professor of nuclear physics at the University of Toronto named Walter Zinn. He has a mission for his fellow Canadian; a mission to build a shield to protect the nation, and then to help shield others. After all, he has to do _something_ to get Canadian industry up and running again... - Corporal Charles Abrell, USMC, is guarding a side entrance, just outside an enlisted barracks, of the major US naval and marine base at Subic Bay in the Philippines at 800 hours on May 12, 1950. Just before his assigned watch period ends, a large civilian truck pulls up, like many that pass by his post every day, three came by on his current watch alone. But something makes the young Hoosier suspicious, he stops the truck and orders the driver to open the back, and thus just has time to level his M-1 before the truck driver pulls a jury-rigged lever near the steering wheel, detonating the truck's contents. Abrell's thinking saves several hundred people in the barracks, but kills thirty nearby Marines and a dozen Philipinos. (The suicide bombing was, of course, not solicited or endorsed by Thorez, Taruc, or any of the other leaders of the Hukbalahap Rebellion. They are soldiers and revolutionaries, not fanatic madmen. (Or, at least, not _that_ fanatically mad.) Ill luck intervenes, however, with most of the Huk major commanders in the field this day, so the first message sent in response to the bombing doesn't actually bother to declaim responsibility for the attack, merely condemning cowardly attacks on those not involved in fighting, while at the same time praising a blow struck against the imperialists. A perhaps deliberate mistranslation by a government translator renders a clumsy, offensive document into something even worse, and the Huk statement runs next to a picture of the giant crater at Subic Bay in every American newspaper on the 13th. The Huk restatement makes page 3, accompanied with editorials about the hypocritical Communists. No American is more horrified than Bob Taft. He is the commander and chief, he's the one who chose to deploy those Marines, he's the one who got them killed in a foriegn land. His temptation is to simply withdraw, let the foriegners settle their own problems: but he can't abandon an ally, not with Quirino rushing aid to the wounded Marines at Subic, and more, he can't let those men die for nothing, not with all those bodies burnt into his mind's eye. News from the Far East had been bad enough before; Red Chinese "volunteers" are turning the tide in Indochina, Massu's troops are slowly falling back toward the south, fighting hard in the jungle, using some of the same Lewisite the British are using on the Mau Mau, to the same limited effect. But now it's American boys coming home in body bags, American women made widows, American children left fatherless. If he can't make them alive again, he can at least make sure as few as possible die in the future, by wreaking revenge against the men who attacked America, however indirectly. On May 14, 1950, Robert Taft addresses a packed Congress in what will become the famous "Bitter Duty" speech, easily winning approval for immediate airstrikes against Huk positions in Luzon, with possible use of ground troops alongside the Filipino army. Gerald Nye resigns almost immediately, and Taft retires to the sancity of the White House. (A personally modest man, he can live with the problems in the White House, though he's encouraged the First Lady and his children to move to Blair House while he looks for a good architect. The former Martha Bowers is as tough as her husband, but they're devoted parents, his son's jukebox nearly broke through the floor.) As the USS David Farragut and her battle group turns toward Luzon, already drawing up plans for airstrikes against the Hukbo ng Bayan Laban sa Hapon, some using the new combat version of the FJ-Fury, Robert Taft begins visiting Blair House almost constantly, even moving his office there. On his short list for the new Secretary of War are New York corporate attorney John Foster Dulles, Ohio Governor John Bricker, and even Harold Stassen; some of the few prominent interventionists in American politics. On May 20, Taft invites Thomas Dewey over to Blair House; he wants his Vice-President's advice on the next Secretary of War. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 49 Date: 26 May 2001 01:38:04 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 49 May 20-June 1950 -In many ways, the events of May 20, 1950 outside of Blair House were almost anticlimactic. In many ways, however, they most assuredly were not. The island of Puerto Rico had been largely neglected by the last two administrations; though through no malice on either part. Puerto Rican development projects had been on President Henry Wallace's agenda, but he did not submit the relevant bills to Congress until after a solid anti-Wallace majority would block nearly anything with his name on it, and those projects, a new naval base, a national museum that he managed to pass under his authority as President of the United States were largely dismantled by the Taft administration in a spirit of removing governmental interference. To Albizu Campos and his black-shirted army of liberation, however, the neglect was yet another sign of mainland American racism. Campos had earned his distrust of the Americans as a veteran of WWI, exposed to the casual bigotry of the United States army, many of his followers were motivated by the infamous Rhoads letter, or a simple desire for national independence; like what they'd seen much of the rest of the Caribbean achieve in the past few decades. Oscar Collazo is motivated by the first, Griselio Torresola by a family history of revolution, together with a long, angry time on relief and a chance to be really useful, since of the two, he's the gun expert. (Collazo has never fired a pistol in his life.) Neither of them are terribly competent, though: they've not bothered to determine President Robert Taft's schedule, nor even his general pattern of movements. Their plan is a rather bold one; Collazo will strike the front door, while Torresola, the skilled gunman, will attack the weakly defended basement door. Even that plan they abandon in a rush of delight at exactly 4:37 PM, when they walk up together to find, of all things, President Taft greeting Vice-President Dewey at his door. Now is the opportunity to strike, to bring about a revolution in the United States that will let the motherland break free and be independent! The two New Yorkers burst from their car ten yards up the road, Torresola firing with the cool of a professional, Collazo with the mad grace of a fanatic, shouting "Puerto Rico Por Toda la Tiempo!" and slogans of the revolution- As he picks himself up off the ground a moment later, Thomas Dewey feels rather embarrassed. (Through the not-unreasonable residual terror, that is.) Old mob fighter that he was, he hit the dirt the moment armed men burst from a car; but within a minute or two it was all over; Torresola catching Birdzell's volley in the chest, Collazo actually getting within 15 feet or so before being cut down by the massed fire of five Secret Service agents. The embarrassment fades, however, when he sees the blood-stained, silent corpse at his side. -Thomas Dewey knows how to deal with gangsters, though. Showing a verve and drive that shocks a nation that remembers him as the other boring guy from 1948 but is less than surprising to a New York that remembers its governor and an city that remembers its district attorney, the new President takes only time to be sworn in by Chief Justice Bridges and to change into a clean suit before addressing Congress and the nation, live at 5:30 PM. His speech is one of the first major broadcasts of the infant medium of television. The National Guard is going to Puerto Rico (well, not the Puerto Rican National Guard, but of other states) to act as the new police force, obviously the local cops just aren't doing a good job. To Dewey, Campos and his "band of armed hooligans in an all-too-familiar uniform" must be slapped down and slapped down hard. Rapid deployment of the National Guard means the closest units, and the closest units are from the Southern states, units already radicalized on a basis of race, now with a martyred President to hold up, with the g******s now below the n*****s, at least for the moment. Racism is disgusting and pointless to Thomas Dewey, but if putting racists in Puerto Rico prevents any more assasinations, well, he's willing to do that for law and order, and if he alienates the voters in the South...well, they weren't going to vote for him anyway. The obvious problem there is numbers; the regular army is relatively small, and with much of the National Guard posted to Puerto Rico, there are a paucity of forces available for operations in the Philippines. (Dewey vows to carry out President Taft's plans there to the last, the "fall of a hero" will not stop America standing up for democracy.) Thus, in an act of supreme irony: the memory of Robert Taft, who bulled through World War II like a horrifed crusader and greeted the return of new conflict with disgust, is used to re-introduce the draft. It is billed as an emergency measure (even in shock and with a groundswell of popular support, THIS America and THIS Congress will give no President that big a stick), lasting only until 1952, but with an option to renew it later. Thomas Dewey has his strong arm to lay down the American law, for good or ill, and a strong wave of popular support, for the moment. (He picks fellow New Yorker John Foster Dulles as his Secretary of War.) But he's in a bigger fishbowl now than Albany or Manhattan; the nation is watching him, Congressional Democrats are watching him (if World War II was partisan, why should the "police action" in the Philippines be any different?), Europe is watching him, and, of course, a fellow mustachioed world leader is paying close attention indeed. -Celâl Bayar is running for President of Turkey and hoping to crush Ismet Inönü, appeaser that he is, like an ant, and all of his military party too. Bayar is a Democrat, hoping to reduce the autocracy of the government and promote free enterprise rather than state-owned governments. He's delighted when one of the smaller left-of-center party chooses to merge with his, and gladly takes a fair share of the massive amounts of funding they offer, from private backers, and takes lots of pictures with the party leaders. (Bayar's not stupid, of course, he knows the "private backers" are foriegners. As his party is strongly in favor of engagement with the Amsterdam Pact, it's obvious they're interested in electing a candidate friendly to their interests. He has no interest in being their toady, but no objection to taking their money.) -On June 6, 1950 at noon exactly, Erich von Manstein ascends the podium in Oldenburg Hall. In his hand is a speech suspending the election and declaring martial law in Westphalia, with harsh crackdowns to follow on suspected terrorists. Manstein will be as hard as he can; the Americans will balk at too much, but he can do much indeed with them distracted in the Pacific. At 12:13 PM, the clockwork assembly underneath the podium finishes counting down. The subsequent blast kills Manstein, the Vice-President, Head Police Chief Canaris, two Justices of the Supreme Court, and the leaders of Manstein's party in the legislature. The new President is Attorney-General Reinhard Gehlen. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 50 Date: 26 May 2001 17:30:35 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 50 September 20, 1950 Madison, Wisconsin "And when I looked down into that bottle three years ago today, do you know who I saw staring up at me? Do you?" JOSEPH RAYMOND MCCARTHY stepped back from the podium for a moment to wipe his brow, looking from face to face. Thirty seedy-looking men were here tonight, more than he'd had come to see him speak in a long, long time. Life was going pretty well. "I saw SATAN staring up at me from that bottle, my friends! The Red Devil from his bottle of Red Commie Vodka!" He hefted the bottle of Smirnoff by his side on the podium and smashed it to the ground. "And that's what you have to do with it, my friends! Smash Red Commie Vodka, smash Comrade Whiskey and Comrade Gin, smash the champagne and fancy liquors the refined leftist pinko loves to drink, until we've cleansed America of the curse of Commie booze! Protect our precious bodily fluids!", he shouted in his best preacher-style voice, saying a silent prayer of thanks he'd spent his last dime on watching John Birch speak. _His_ suit wasn't seedy at all. "Drink American drinks! Like beer!" Manila, Philippines Major-General WALTON WALKER has assumed command of Operation COPPER, a wry pun from the Dewey administration and the planned anti-Huk peacekeeping operation in Luzon. Walker himself is not familiar with the Far East, having served in Europe during World War II and in the US after, but he has a strong right arm in his cheif of staff, WILLIAM WESTMORELAND, who served with distinction in Formosa and the Philippines during the war, and commanded several offices charged with fighting partisans in that time. Some say Walker overextends himself in moving his command to Manila before his strong left arm (which is to say, his invasion force of veterans mingled with draftees and volunteers) is assembled in the United States and brought over to the Far East, but Walker is never one to worry about that. He and his boys will move _forward_, ever forward. Airstrikes, now in their fifth month, have killed several hundred Huk fighters, several hundred civilians, and 25 American pilots. New York City, USA PIERRE BOULLE sighs irritably as he looks over his income for this month. Emigrating to the States was a good idea; Darlan is no Hitler or Petain, but it's a bit uncomfortable to be an author who's at all political in France these days. Besides, watching the government lose the land in Indochina he endured years in a Japanese POW camp for turned his stomach. But Hollywood is well-entrenched, and anti-French sentiment combined with his own really bad English drove him back east again: to New York, America's Eternal City, to write plays. Well, outlines for plays anyway; neither M. Hammerstein or M. Rodgers would much like it if he started to write their musical for them. Still, even the idea will pay rent for this week, and food for a month... Rome, Italy PALMIRO TOGLIATTI has won a narrow majority in the new Italian Senato, making the Italian Communist leader one of the most powerful men in Italy. Togliatti is not in the Moscow camp, of course, very few Euro-Communists of his era are, at least in Western Europe. They saw what happened to their ideological brethern in the East when Stalin cut them loose, after all. To be fair, though, there are a number of Stalinist parties allied to his. To Galezzo Ciano, however, his experiment in democracy has failed, and failed badly. God, the Communists are _this_ close to taking over the government entirely! He'll stop them, though, and stop them personally, the decorated veteran of Spain is not one to flinch from personal danger. There is a gathering of former Resistance fighters (bunch of Reds) n October 1, Togliatti is scheduled to be the keynote speaker. Ciano will see about introducing something much more interesting. Istanbul, Turkey GAIK OVAKIMYAN is sitting in a cafe, drinking that odd Turkish tea and musing idly that Istanbul is no New York, but hey, what is? Life has been pretty good for him in the past few years, he got a lot of America, and not just huge amounts of military intelligence. He actually got to meet President Henry Wallace in 1944, and if he can just manage to meet Pierre Darlan, his list will be complete. Once operations here are complete, he'll be behind only Sudoplatov, who is behind only Beria, who is behind only...well, the Great Stalin can't live forever. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 51 Date: 27 May 2001 02:27:41 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 51 Fall to Winter, 1950 -Anglo-American military cooperation, something dead and gone since the death of Franklin Roosevelt, begins to flower again in the Philippines. Thomas Dewey hasn't the Anglophobia of Henry Wallace or the ingrained isolationism of Robert Taft, and is acutely conscious that if he must fight the war well and quickly, he daren't simply repeat the mistakes made by the French and British in their colonial, anti-Communist wars, and so he asks Ambassador Wilson for British assistance; for the loan of British advisors, veterans of Malaysia and Burma, to teach Americans how to fight Communist partisans in the Far East. Whatever his vague amusement at the Americans, so arrogant in their isolationism, having to fight essentially the same war he's been fighting, Ernest Bevin isn't one to flinch from helping another democracy fight Communists, and soon, as one wit puts it, "Americans teach Filipinos how to use the Pershing in the city, while the British teach the Americans how to use their rifles in the jungle." The Americans are doing more than relearning jungle operations; the British have met the hardness of the Malaysian guerillas with their own (more after the successful Indonesian secession from the Netherlands and the quasi-Communist government established there.), and they teach the tactics of the Emergency to the Americans, an even mix of peacetime soldiers and veterans of the last war. Most, surprisingly, are not draftees; John Foster Dulles' War Department, now fully settled, has concluded there's not actually a need for a vast number of soldiers to fight the alleged Communist hordes, and it has been applied weakly at best, mostly to ensure the few American military bases in Westphalia, South Japan, and the Panama Canal Zone, now largely emptied as regulars are deployed to the Philippines, remain at full strength. Still, they remain an vague spectre of worry to American men of the right age, though that ground remains largely untapped. After all, despite the presence of 2,000 draftees in the Philippines, none have seen combat, yet. -President Reinhard Gehlen can't do what he _really_ wants to do in Westphalia; purge the undesirable elements and drive them out into countries with more tolerance for such things. He wasn't the mad anti-Semite of so many of his comrades in Intelligence during the war, but they've certainly not demonstrated their trustworthiness! (While neither Moshe Dayan nor Yitzhak Rabin has been caught, evidence of their organization has been found and linked to the assasination of Manstein and Goering.) Pondering that Moshe Dayan's organization might not represent all Jews, or that even Dayan's people might have had a legitimate grievance against a former Nazi suspending elections is profitless, so Gehlen, pragmatist that he is, does no such thing. Instead, he acts in a way even Manstein couldn't have. The election of 1950 is postponed until 1952; and the "Internal Police" begin monitoring Konrad Adenauer and other leaders of the opposition party. Furthermore, several hundred of the most prominent radicals, leaders of the small Communist Party and Jewish activist groups among others, are rounded up and exiled, or else kept in "protective custody", under house arrest, forbidden from politics. Some are involved in Dayan's movement, some in other plots, most are not. The crackdown plays as well as can be expected; Westphalia does apparantly have a terrorist problem, after all, and the United States, the only nation with a major, politicized Jewish population, has for the moment little sympathy for the assasins of a President, or for Communists. Still, Westphalia slowly slides outside of the mainstream of European society even more, slight odds of joining the Amsterdam Pact pass well away. -On October 1, Galeazzo Ciano acts. Moving with decisive speed and authority, he makes a multi-part declaration from his palace in Rome that outlaws the Italian Communist Party and "their allies, politicial and not", fires and arrests all such from the Senato, and declares the Uomo Qualunqu and its official leader, Pietro Badoglio, as head of the legislative branch. Galezzo Ciano is bold, honest, and decisive, but such qualities in a leader do not necessarily filter down to the rest of the government and military; Italian Intelligence is a leaky sieve during the weeks of preperation, and even Togliatti's cat knows the troops are coming by the first of October. When squads arrive to arrest the canny Stalinist, he and cat are long gone, as are virtually all Communist leaders. Warnings to the Christian Democrats are less efficient, those Senators and their political allies who join Togliatti in his refuge in and around Turin have many friends in government hands, and perhaps it is this that prompts them to join Togliatti in his "Turin Declaration" of October 5. He and his new-found allies declare the executive, monarchial, and judicial branches of government dissolved, Alcide de Gasperi (one of the Christian Democrats in government hands) and Pietro Togliatti are joint leaders of the "Repubblica Sociale di Italia" and the Army is called on to remove the "Fascists, now revealed in their true colors." First to join the RSI are the new Jewish migrants, politicized as they are by the horrors of war they've fled and the knowledge of what fascist governments (like Gehlen's, and perhaps like Ciano's) might do to active Jews i wartime; they are joined shortly thereafter by those thousands of Italian officers and men who are _tired_ of fighting for those who, whatever their heroism might have been in past wars, force them to keep the government's boot on the neck of their fellow Italians. Within a week, low-level fighting, rapidly escalating in intensity, has begun in nearly every major city in the north of Italy, and more than a few in the south... -In Puerto Rico, conditions slowly simmer. Virtually every officer above the rank of lieutenant in the Puerto Rican National Guard has resigned in anger at their disarmament and deliberate demoblization (all those in uniform at the time of declaration of martial law have been demobilized, and no more have been called), and discontent is high among the civilian population as well. Luis Muñoz Marín, elected governor of the island, has sent repeated petitions to President Dewey, only to be met with polite, even friendly refusal. Marin has made up his mind, he'll just go see the President himself. Still, despite allegations of brutality from private soldiers and non-commissioned officers, the National Guard administration of the island has been an efficient one. Members of Puerto Rican nationalist organizations have been arrested, most held in prisons off the island, in some of the more isolated Florida Keys. -In this troubled world atmosphere, Celâl Bayar becomes President and Adnan Menderes Prime Minister of Turkey near the end of the year. ------ Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 52 Date: 27 May 2001 21:17:13 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 52 January-April 1951 -On January 18, 1951, General Jacques Massu hands his broken sword to General Vo Nguyen Giap in a formal ceremony outside the city of Phnom Penh in southwestern Indochina. The long, grueling Indochinese War is finally over. The war has been marked with atrocities on both sides; Massu's artillery bombardment of Hanoi with Lewisite (an incredibly destructive poison gas bought from the British) will remain a textbook case for humanitarian societies after the war, while Giap never hesitated to turn French POWs over to the Chinese (after they entered on the Vietminh side), or to use terroristic tactics of sabotage and bombing of French civilians in Saigon. When Massu and the tattered remnants of his command arrive back in Paris in February, Francois Darlan's rage is apocalyptic. He has lost face, a colony, and suffered a terrible military defeat. Acting in his capacity as commander in chief of the French armed forces, Darlan instantly cashiers Massu and imprisons him for treason and incompetence. No more French colonies will be lost, he vows, no more humilations before the world. He orders General Raoul Salan and General Paul Aussaresses, commanders-in-chief in Algeria and French West Africa respectively, to "crush all who lie before you; if you must kill every man in the departments to ensure their loyalty, then do not hesitate. There is nothing more cleansing than the blood of traitors." Darlan also takes the precaution of cashiering some members of the officer corps suspected of disloyalty as well as a few members of his civilian government, along with throwing more money and resources at the Anglo-French atomic bomb project, which finally reaches fruition on April 9, 1951, when "William the Conqueror" is detonated in an isolated region of the Sudan near the French colonial border. -By that time, though, Great Britain has a new government. A combination of ill health, a shaky economy, and a bit of wartime nostalgia have swept Ernest Bevin's Labour Party from power, leaving it with a significant 40-seat minority before the newly-resurgent Conservatives. Leading the Conservatives to victory and to a second round as Prime Minister is none other than Winston Leonard Spencer Churchill himself; the lion of wartime Britain is now the champion of her peace. Darlan is delighted; for all that he remembers the occasional feud with his old wartime partner, he respects Churchill as an honourable man and a good anti-Communist, something he never really felt about the old trade unionist Ernest Bevin. In a fit of Anglo-French cooperation, Darlan offers military aid to the British forces fighting in Burma and East Africa. While the offer is more than legal under terms of the Amsterdam Pact, and the British forces there, despite their slow successes against the local Communists/nationalists, certainly could use some help, Churchill is understandably leery of either looking like the United Kingdom needs France to keep her empire, or of relying on the same troops that failed in Indochina. Still, he's never one to turn down aid, and a total of about a division of French troops begin fighting in Burma and Kenya by the end of spring. -Both governments in Great Britain and the one in France stand staunchly behind the Ciano government in Italy. While neither the British nor French publics will countenance sending in combat troops in a European war in support of a quasi-Fascist government; they have no objection at all to selling war material, especially given the economic boost that provides to both of their industrial sectors. While this helps the UK and France, it doesn't help Westphalia at all, and despite his strong sympathies with Ciano, Reinhard Gehlen winds up only able to supply large numbers of advisors from the Westphalian military, men _very_ experienced in hunting down Communist partisans. Speaking of which, Josip Broz Tito recognizes the Togliatti government a few hours before even Moscow, and soon Austrian, Yugoslavian and Soviet "volunteers" in Soviet-made Mig-15s are testing their mettle in aerial combat with Loyalist Italian pilots in surplus Spitfires, and western Europe (and Ciano) are learning a grim lesson indeed in the important lesson of modernization. Josip Tito is all loyalty to Moscow in these efforts (and he is, after all, acting on Stalin's orders), but the canny old soldier has his own agenda. Markos in Greece remembers it was Yugoslavia who put him on his chair, however shaky it might be, and if he can ensure a similiar grateful Italian government, well, things will get interesting. If only if it weren't for the ever-so-helpful Austrians! -In February, the first wave of American troops land in northern Luzon and begin the slow march south to Quezon City. This is the British-trained wave (and indeed, a hundred or so advisors land with them) and the patriotic fervour stirred up by the bombing of Subic Bay and the (admittedly unrelated, but dark-skinned Latins blend together in the American mindset of the era) has been focused into a hard, cold professionalism. Persons and groups suspected of sympathy with the Huk are resettled elsewhere, those who resist are driven out, those who resist violently are simply shot. Battles with Huk forces are common at first and take a relatively heavy toll on both sides; for all that the Americans are well-trained, most have never fought a battle, and those who have haven't in many years. While control over the media is strict, and the nation hears only of the victories, not so much the body counts that accompany them, a drafted reporter from Indiana vows to find out just what _is_ going in in those classified areas just behind the American lines... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayesst Subject: For All Time Pt. 53 Date: 30 May 2001 01:19:05 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 53 May-July 1951 -Along with much of the rest of the world, Scandinavia quietly seethes through 1951. (though a bit more quietly than most.) The ruling Social Democratic parties have well and thoroughly expelled their Communist members; they're neutral in the Italian Civil War, but it has sent a grim message to them about cooperation with the Communist parties. Not to mention, of course, the even grimmer message sent by the fairly large Soviet armies to the south of Denmark and the east of Finland, respectively. Finland is slightly better off than OTL, the various Soviet offensives against them were weaker with the greater resources devoted to Europe, and the border is correspondingly further east. Finland is still bound to the USSR by treaty, but the bonds are weaker and less secure than OTL. Too, Finland can boast with reasonable honesty (though quietly) that they've now beat back the Reds three times, though each time it's been less and less pleasant for them. Denmark, meanwhile, has the not inconsiderable worry of the Red Army. Unknown at the time, of course, is an abortive Soviet plan to offer Schleswig-Holstein as a trust territory to the Danes; but in the end, priorities went the other way, and a reliable naval base on the North Sea, located in a reliably impuissant Soviet puppet state was deemed more important than keeping Scandinavia sweet. Denmark's attempts to organize a Scandinavian Defense League have foundered on the rock of Norwegian independence and Finnish obligations, and she continues to lean more and more towards the Amsterdam Pact. -Speaking of secure naval bases: in May of 1951, long-simmering discontent in the Turkish military finally bubbles over and explodes when "anonymous sources" in the government of Celal Bayar's Democrats reveal that Bayar accepted massive campaign contributions not only from foreigners, but from _Red_ foreigners at that! The Turkish generals, especially one General Cemal Gürsel, nearly foam at the mouth with rage, even as they follow government orders and close the presses. The heir to Ataturk was a spineless pantywaist when it came to dealing with the Reds, and now the civilians are actually taking money from them! Democracy was a worthy experiment, but it obviously can't be trusted for the nonce. On May 14, 1951, Gürsel issues a list of...well, they're somewhere between requests and demands made of the Democratic Party and the Bayar government. The President, Prime Minister, and all of their ministers must step down and a coalition of the various rightist parties will govern until "genuine" free elections can be held. If the DP remains stubborn, the consequences will be on their head. Bayar, who is not actually a Communist himself, angrily refuses, and issues a warrant for the general's arrest. The Soviet agents carefully worked into the Bayar government remain deliberately silent until just before the cadets from the Ankara and Istanbul arrive on June 7, giving Bayar only time to mobilize the Presidential Guard and attempt to flee Ankara with his government before the shooting starts. It's never quite proved who fires first, some overeager cadet with his head stuffed full of visions of Ataturk or a member of Bayar's bodyguard trying to protect his President, but when it's all over, Bayar, Prime Minister Adnan Menderes, and their families and staff are dead, along with a score of bodyguards and a dozen cadets. Even as a horrified Gürsel (he wanted Bayar gone, but not like that!) moves to assume office on May 16 , the governments of the Soviet Union, the People's Republic of Germany, Czechoslovakia, Poland, Bulgaria, Greece, Romania, Hungary, and Albania issue a joint condemnation of the military coup in Turkey. Each give Gürsel two months to resign from office along with his government, disarm all elements of the Turkish military except those needed for internal peacekeeping duties, and prepare Turkey for "international occupation and reconstruction as a democracy." A few days later, the People's Republic of China, Iran, Vietnam, and Indonesia chime in agreement. The oh-so-solid front is the only major mistake in one of the Soviet Union's better intelligence operations. -The Amsterdam Pact is understandably shocked at the rapidity and violence of the coup. as well as the Soviet response, but a variety of factors paralyze them from acting. Winston Churchill, for all that he has maintained his old fire as an orator, is in worse health than OTL's 1951, his mind wanders easily, he can no longer work his war-era titanic schedule, and his predilection for grandiose schemes (especially retention of the Empire) has multiplied. The man some call the shadow Prime Minister is Foriegn Minister Anthony Eden. Eden, who stood by Churchill's side in the war, feels no strain at all in sheltering his old leader, in keeping the golden lion of wartime from being tarnished by the ravages of old age and growing senility. Eden, unfortunately, has his own problems: methamphetamines, to be precise. While the two respond well to events they have some warning of, the rapidity of events in Turkey paralyzes both, and the British government hesitates at a critical moment. Admiral Francois Darlan, meanwhile, is in one of his more irritable moods, and has bigger fish to fry; stamping out the Communists in Brittany, Marseilles, and Normandy who dare, dare, DARE to speak their language above French, the mother of all languages. They must be Communists, to be such traitors, and a stay in prison should cure the Red out of them. Turkey? Bah, he hardly cares. With Britain and France hesitating or uncaring, the Amsterdam Pact does little more than condemn any form of imperialism before the Soviet deadline passes. The United States, of course, takes no notice, busy at it is in the Pacific, Caribbean, and with being very apathetic. -Spain and Portugal, however, are not apathetic at all. Francisco Franco and António Salazar were upset enough by the civil war in Italy. (Only their own lack of much of anything have kept them from supplying Ciano.) And now, with the demise of another militaristic government looming, well, they both start remembering what they did to their enemies when they came to power, and the shadow of the firing squad or noose looms large. There's no other choice; for all that they'd resisted falling under the Anglo-French spell, Franco and Salazar both would rather have military help to stay in power and win their various colonial conflicts (along with a bit of economic aid, now and again) than let their foreign policies largely be determined by London and Paris. Neither Churchill nor Darlan are the type to miss out on a chance for more influence, and so they act quickly indeed on their request, and on June 10, 1951, Spain and Portugal become full-fledged members of the Amsterdam Pact. Spain and Portugal would likely not have been eligible for the Pact before, but with the Italian disaster keen on everyone's mind, pragmatist Churchill and authoritarian Darlan are more than willing to accept the pretense of some sort of governmental change in the indefinite future. -The admittance of pretty well openly fascist Spain and Portugal sours President Thomas Dewey on the Amsterdam Pact, even more so than before. He'll keep his under the table deal with the British, economic aid for the advisors in Luzon; he is, after all, a practical man. But he watched the coffins from D-Day come home through New York harbor, and he was Governor when the Great Raid hit New York and the Statue of Liberty. Dewey made deals with gangsters, sure, you have to do that to get by. But if Britain and France are going to betray the hundreds of thousands of Americans who died fighting for their freedom by making _more_ deals with gangsters writ large, well, they're no friends of his, for all that he'll cooperate with them when he must. One man a bit less comfortable with the necessities of the struggle against Communism is Hamilton Fish. Not the Secretary of State, but his son and personal assistant. Fish was a Harvard freshman when that campus was rioting against Henry Wallace (and had the natural freshman's reaction of hiding), a sophomore when Bob Taft spoke there on the importance of principle in politics. While he remains an Ivy League aristocrat, even resembling his father strongly physically, he has a slight streak of Anglophobia not really present in OTL, and, more, a rather naive view in principle above all else. He slowly assembles a file of evidence detailing the secret deal of the Dewey administration; pressure on Irish-American groups to cease pressure on the British government to give Ulster to the Free State or supplying Irish groups in Ulster with resources along with hundreds of millions of dollars carefully diverted to needy British industries and tariffs friendly to them. In return, the British will supply the Americans with unlimited training to do...something. He's not sure what. -That piece of the puzzle is in the hands of Kurt Vonnegut Jr., a reporter recently out of his one-year draft enlistment and promptly assigned to cover a rather major story in Puerto Rico, even bigger than Willie Mays signed to play for the Indians next year. Horrified at what he found in the fifth of five Huk-friendly settlements in Luzon, the young Hoosier has written a detailed account, both in a book form and one publishable in major magazines. He's even got pictures. The situation had been growing grimmer and grimmer in Puerto Rico; the Dewey administration has firmly refused any offers of Puerto Rican self-government or an elected government. He's sympathetic to the arguments of those for it, and is certainly familiar with the notion of plea-bargaining. But he just won't do it; he won't give the assassins of a President what they wanted, even in death. It begins outside Arecibo on July 1, when a unit of the Georgia National Guard moves to arrest the leader of a cell of Puerto Rican nationalists. Colonel Lester Maddox, a restaurant owner in civilian life, has become one of the more infamous figures on the island, and when "Coronel Hacha" is recognized, the fifty adult members of "Comuna De la Liberación" decide they simply will not surrender. The shot that takes off Maddox's neatly-ordered officer's cap was aimed to miss, but the volley at the three jeeps he sends tearing across the sugar fields a moment later are not, and the CDL have been training for the day of liberation for a while. (Too, several of their newer members are ex-Puerto Rican National Guard...and they didn't return their weapons.) When the first day's fighting is over, a dozen of Maddox's men are dead and a half-dozen of the CDL members are, including two women and one small child. As both radio reports of the massacre (though who was massacring who remains to be seen), the Arecibo Siege ends its first day... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 54 Date: 30 May 2001 23:25:27 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 54 "Scenes" ((Something a bit different.)) 1973 Los Angeles. "This is going to change everything, you know." said Richard Dreyfuss, playing Kurt Vonnegut in Kubrick's latest. "Dewey, the Philippines...it's all going to be different. We're not just bringing down a President, we're bringing down interventionism, the Republicans...everything." In the premeire audience, Vonnegut watched his onscreen doppleganger turn to Paul Newman. The kid was good, but had he ever been that young? Or so sweaty? "We owe it all to you, Phil." Newman stared into his whisky glass before looking up with those flashing blue eyes that had made him a heartthrob years before. "Yeah. I stab my President and party in the back for honor...what is honor, anyway? It's..." He twirled the glass. "Bob Taft had honor. And he's dead. Maybe that says something." It was all very magnificent and all a load of crap, Hamilton Fish Jr. had been stone sober from the first minute Vonnegut had seen him walking through the ruins of the CDL compound to the last time; and Newman was decades older than Fish had been in 1951, even older than Fish would be today. Still, he'd kept his description of "Philip of Macedon" deliberately vague for a reason, not even telling Kubrick. "It's about doing what's right, Philip.", said Robert Redford with determination and a questionable Boston accent. _Oh, here we go._, thought Vonnegut irritably. Kubrick had got the red-hot, boiling summer, the terrors of the CDL disaster (Robert Duvall had been a terrifying Lester Maddox), he'd even gotten the Luis Riveria, the bar that had been the centerpiece of the conspiracy....but God, had he f***** up Hamilton Fish Jr. and Bobby Kennedy. "And that's what we're doing. If it puts Joe in the White House, that's fine, but it doesn't matter. We have to expose Dewey, Fish, Dulles, and that whole crowd. We need to clean up Washington, so there aren't any more Settlement #5 massacres, Kurt, and there aren't any more under the table deals by American Presidents." The Robert Kennedy that _he_ remembered, thought Kurt Vonnegut irritably, had been the drinker of the bunch; the Boston Globe reporter had been bemoaning the way his father had shut him out of his brother's administration, pushing him off into journalism. As if his life's work was a sentence of death. Just today some punk kid from the Washington Post had been leaving messages on his machine, asking for advice. But it didn't do to criticize a Kennedy, or at least that's what Kubrick thought. Whether or not that was true, Kurt wasn't going to speculate. It had been a while, after all. At least the Barrio Riots promised to be interesting; Kubrick had claimed to have hired both actual rioters from back in the day and even old New York policemen. Not to mention Warren Beatty as President Dewey. The humor alone... ----- Thoughts? I'll go back to the normal format next part. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 55 Date: 31 May 2001 22:12:51 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 55 July, 1951 -Fortunately, the Dewey administration is an efficient one, especially when it comes to potential disasters, and Undersecretary of State Hamilton Fish Jr. arrives along with a direct Presidential order to Colonel Lester Maddox ordering him to _not_ deploy the armored brigade he'd brought up from San Juan, on the second of July, 1951. While the Hispanic vote is nowhere near as important in 1951 as it is today, it is a factor, and President Dewey has no desire to promote a massacre. Over the next few days, more State Department bureaucrats arrive, along with FBI negotiators personally selected by Director Melvin Purvis, and a horde of reporters, much to the horror of the Georgia National Guard. American public opinion is much divided, a fair majority, while not exactly sympathetic to Gestapo tactics, is all for the arrest at nearly any cost of the same kind of people who murdered President Taft, while a fierce minority, mostly Puerto Ricans or strong leftists, points out that all the CDL actually did was harbor two fugitives from justice for a few weeks, as well as taking possession of proscribed ex-military hardware. Among the many problems of the initial weeks of the siege is that Melvin Purvis doesn't actually know how to pick hostage negotiators, so said negotiations lead everywhere but to success, and with the Army's counter-espionage units busy on Luzon, efforts to jam the CDL's repeated transmissions proclaiming their innocence and the guilt of "Coronel Hacha" go to naught. As sporadic disturbances erupt in the major cities of Puerto Rico, President Dewey deploys National Guard units from New York City, many of them drawn from the moderate Puerto Rican population in the city itself, hoping they will work better in policing their coethnics. -In New York City herself, tensions have been building for a long time. The feuding between her black and Jewish populations, burning since the Great Raid drove so many thousands out of Harlem, and burned _hot_ in the years since the arrival of the first waves of refugees from Europe and Palestine has even moved to the realm of organized crime. If any man can be said to run organized crime in New York, it is Meyer Lansky. Operating in the South and Cuba during the Ness and most of the Purvis years as Director of the FBI, he managed to escape the informers that caught Barbara, Vito Genovese, Bonventre, Frank Costello, Bonnano, and Garofalo, and the subsequent bitter infighting that killed Anastasia, Carlo Gambino, and Sam Giacana. Arriving just in time to subsume Joseph Biondo into his numbers, Lansky has enforced a tough peace on the surviving factions. The brief mob wars of the late '40s brought public attention on organized crime like no time since the 1920s, and Lansky is acutely concious of what that means. No more open conflicts, nothing more that attracts the eye of _Thomas Dewey_, for God's sake. And for the most part, Lansky has succeeded; and has even begun approaching his compatriots in neighboring cities about a pact between them as well. They're in business to make money, after all, not go to prison or die. But the generation of mobsters still in command in the early 1950s is understandably paranoid, and if Lansky's going to start talking about a treaty between everyone, he'd better make **** sure his own house is in order. And he'd done that; relations had been pushed right to the breaking point with the influx of blacks into the South Bronx after the destruction of much of Harlem, but he'd been able to smooth things over with diplomacy that would have been admirable in a cause less, well..criminal. Until, of course, the sudden arrival of thousands of young, angry Jewish teenagers who've learned both a streak of amorality and an appreciation for a good spot of violence against one's enemies. While Lansky moved quickly to hire most, some literally right off the docks, these are not people to obey orders, and moving into the South Bronx as they do, they soon disentigrate relations between Lansky and Ellsworth Johnson all over again. There have been several public incidents between young black men angry at the loss of their homes and young Jewish men angry at the loss of theirs; with both of them moving into the same territory. Perhaps a dozen people have died over the years, with the government of Mayor Robert Moses slowly moving to intervene, mostly on the side of Lansky. Moses has no sympathy for any sort of mobster, of course, but the monolithic intolerance that marked his building career has been carried over. -But New York City's real problem lies in her Puerto Rican community. Like most immigrant communities to countries dissimilar to their own, their relationship with the government has always been rather shaky. With the assasination of President Taft, the declaration of martial law in and the occupation of their homeland, and the subsequent close observation indeed of virtually any Puerto Rican political or social groups by the police and FBI, things have gotten worse yet. The fact that it's summer never helps, and the mood of the Puerto Rican areas of the South Bronx slowly heats up, along with the mood of those members of New York's Finest patrolling the neighborhoods. The Arecibo Siege only heightens the mood of impending doom. Finally, on July 13, it all comes to a head with the attempted arrest of Arturo Ruiz, late of San Juan. The 17-year-old, in the United States for two years, was wanted for questioning about his friendship with a CDL member from New York who'd been caught in the compound when everything went wrong. Ruiz runs from the several burly Irish cops who attempt to corral him while leaving high school, and manages to give them a merry chase before being cornered in an alley behind a church, where services have just ended. _Someone_ then fires three shots; sources vary on who. The official word of first the police and then the Moses government is that Ruiz pulled a .22 pistol and fired a shot at Officer Lenny Briscoe, who replied with two shots from his .38, one of which proves fatal. Two Puerto Rican eyewitnesses, a 14 year old boy and the 9 year old sister he was watching, say that Briscoe fired first and last, planting the .22 on Ruiz after he was dead. As the Puerto Rican communities explode in marches and protest meetings, Robert Moses makes the not unreasonable decision of sending in the police to talk to the young witnesses the next day. Their families aren't about to give them up, and when the detectives try to force the issue, a crowd of a dozen locals chases them out via stone and stick. A while later, riot troopers arrive, and the first Barrio Riot has begun. (They're not actually IN a Barrio, really, but the name will stick.) -As the United States convulses in a wave of race riots, as Latinos all over the country join the fun, (The Mexicans and native Hispanics living in the Southwest are _not_, in fact, Puerto Rican, but their local governments have not bothered to make such a distinction; it is suppertime in Washington D.C, on the second day of major rioting, July 16. It is nearly midnight, though, for American Ambassador Nelson Rockefeller in Istanbul. The Turkish coup and Red demarche has made his life understandably difficult, helping thousands of Americans get out of Turkey in a hurry. He's only too glad to have his one day of vacation; Istanbul is indeed a beautiful city. Rockefeller is just falling asleep over a copy of Time when he's awakened by a wave of explosions. The "Intervention" has begun. Istanbul is recieving a visit from virtually the entire Greek Air Force, in an attack coming exactly one minute after the Greek government transmitted the breaking of diplomatic relations. The Turkish fleet is caught at anchor, and while the Greek pilots aren't that well trained in torpedo and dive bombing, they certainly have a salutary effect by weight of numbers and fervor. Within an hour of the attack (which commenced at 11:51 PM Istanbul time), the Turkish fleet is broken; every battleship, even the old Yavuz, is sunk or irreparably damaged, and most of the medium-sized capital ships have similar problems. The Turkish navy has more ports, of course, and its army is undamaged. Until, that is, the Bulgarian army crosses the border into Turkish Thrace, just in time for the Soviets and Iranians to move west into Anatolia, all before the sun rises over a suddenly-terrifed Ankara. As Greece organizes an amphibious landing force in the Aegean Islands (using landing craft given to the Soviets in World War Two by the Americans and then sold by the Soviets to the Greeks), the Communist bloc broadcasts their intention to "return democracy to Turkey." ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 56 Date: 02 Jun 2001 00:12:52 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 56 August-September 1951 -By August 1 of 1951, Colonel Lester Maddox has had enough. While FBI negotiations have won the release of several wounded or ill CDL members, they've not won a surrender of the compound itself. An arrogant man, he can't deal with the idea of being humiliated by the "greasers" he holds in contempt nearly as low as black Americans. For that matter, he has political ambitions in Georgia, and if he lets himself be so publically frustrated for so long, well, that just won't work. He is still commander of the several thousand Georgia National Guard (virtually the entire Georgia contingent on the island) gathered around the CDL compound, though, and on the night of August 1-2, he rolls the dice. Even if he fails here, he can prove to Georgia and himself that he's just as tough as anyone else, not to mention hurting the enemy. Sometime after 2 AM on the morning of August 2, a platoon of Georgian rangers slowly crawls up to the edge of the CDL compound, 200 yards from the main building, where they encounter CDL guards. When the sudden, inevitable exchange of fire begins, Maddox moves in. As MPs stall the FBI and State Department representatives, Lester Maddox sends in 12 Sherman tanks, followed by nearly three hundred infantry, with orders to shoot to kill anyone with a weapon, not even bothering with tear gas, just firing and firing. It's hard to say just what happens next, the initial investigation will last a decade and the follow-ups will last even longer. The best guess, though, is that after the first Sherman reached the main door to the main building (with two dozen soldiers and 6 CDL members dead at this stage, mostly the perimeter guards and unlucky snipers), someone on the first floor of the two-story building threw a surplus Army hand grenade into a mixture of diesel fuel and nitrate fertilizer of about half a ton. All but one of the seventy-five CDL members die in an instant...or from the essential neglect of the Georgia National Guard, which controls the site until the less-than sympathetic Alabama National Guard moves in. Fifty Georgian soldiers die, mostly in the initial blast. -The Barrio Riots now explode into a new level of violence, the surrounding, slowly encroaching cordons of police in New York and Los Angeles take on a whole new meaning with the Arecibo Massacre on everyone's mind, the last terrified broadcast of the CDL radio operator was live when it happened, and while few heard it then, everyone has heard it by now. But as violence explodes in the North, the South goes mad as well: at least Georgia does. White mobs attack black neighborhoods in Atlanta, Macon, and surrounding small communities, and with most of the Georgia National Guard in Puerto Rico, there's very little to stop them. When Dewey, beset with worries at home and abroad, hesitates in deploying those few Army units at home to keep the peace in Georgia, blacks in the north join Puerto Ricans in the street, and what begins as peaceful protests rapidly become their own riots in turn. And there are a lot more blacks in the United States than Puerto Ricans or Hispanics, soon Chicago and Philadelphia explode in their own waves of violence. Embattled and horrified, Dewey declares martial law in the rioting cities and sends in the National Guard. His popularity has begun to dip... -The last few years or so have been downright excellent for Joseph Kennedy Jr. While the war wasn't exactly fun, he managed to win a Silver Star in early 1945 after shooting down a German Me-262 in a fierce battle in the air over Hanover, and the fame he won from that got him an even greater prize: the governor's seat in Massachusetts in 1946, at the age of 31. Already famous thanks to his father (Joseph Kennedy Sr. served as Henry Wallace's Secretary of State after the Alger Hiss debacle), Joe Jr. has become something of a spokesman for the "New Democrats", the post-Wallace, post-World War II generation. He is to the left of his father, but not by much: a moderate to conservative Democrat who is deeply isolationist, and in favor of a smaller government, especially on the businessman. Until the summer of 1951, he'd been planning to run against Henry Cabot Lodge in 1952, and use a victory there to take the Democratic nomination in 1956. (He is, after all, only 36 in 1951.) But events have been moving quickly now with the first outbreak of serious civil disturbances in Puerto Rico since the declaration of martial law, the Arecibo Siege and its horrific outcome, and now the Barrio Riots in New York and the Southwest have convinced him otherwise. He is a Catholic, and young, but the second might actually work in his favor; and the Catholic issue, while real, is not as severe a worry as it was in 1928. If nothing else, there's always the Vice-Presidency. He has been a good governor of Massachusetts; the economy is in as good a shape as any in the United States, and Boston saw only a slight flicker of disturbance. To project an image of maturity and family values, as well as because she's not such a bad girl, he married the former Ethel Skakel in July. But his campaign needs a hook, something to move him beyond the rather hated sobriquet of "The Boy Bay State Governor" bestowed on him by the Republican press. He finds that on August 23, when he receives the infamous Dewey Papers from his younger brother Robert, who has returned home after the conclusion of affairs in Puerto Rico. Running to nearly 800 pages of single-spaced, double-sided paper, the Dewey Papers clearly show the differing natures of their two authors; Kurt Vonnegut's account of the behavior of American troops in the Philippines shifts from deep patriotism to a growing horror, fully realized in a closing series of pictures taken by hidden camera; a dozen captured Huk fighters shot in the back of the head and buried in a ditch, terrified civilians being herded into resettlement areas by American troops, the horrifying results of an attempted breakout gone horribly wrong at Settlement #5 (Slaughterhouse #5, Vonnegut has angrily penned in the margin.), culminating in an incredible photograph, the execution of a Huk fighter by a US Army sergeant, just as he pulls the trigger. Hamilton Fish Jr.'s pseudonymous sections are nearly as horrifying, but in a different way. "Philip of Macedon"'s dry, Ivy-League style pedanticsm as he watches his father and President Dewey work out trade policies to sell out some American companies in favor of their British counterparts and to quietly crush Irish-American groups, as academic Treasury Secretary Milton Friedman is lured into joining the conspiracy and diverting funds, as he hears British officers visiting the White House joke about what they'll be helping the Americans do...it's all well-disguised, of course, Fish's courage balks at formally stabbing his family name in the back, but it's all there. The Irishman and civil libertarian in Kennedy is shocked at the plans for dealing with radical Irish-American groups and IRA members in the United States, everything from harsh crackdowns on perfectly legal sales of supplies, weapons and otherwise, to the quiet extradition-less removal of various Irish fugitives to the United Kingdom; the hard-headed politician recognizes that the damage to American industry would have been far less than the help given to dying British companies, Dewey was making something close to the right choice. Not that the press will care. The isolationist in him is reinforced a thousand-fold by the pictures from Luzon: this is the kind of thing foriegn wars get you into, the kind of deals that make even good men do evil. As for the Kennedy in him: he keeps the promise Bobby made to Kurt Vonnegut, mailing the "Slaughterhouse Five" set of stories to every major newspaper in Massachusetts, New York City, Washington, and Indiana under Vonnegut's byline on September 1...but makes sure to send it by regular mail, so that his marathon series of speeches denouncing Dewey in early September come at the same time as the breaking of the story. JPK Jr. may not be President in 1952, but whoever does win will owe him big, is the Democratic consensus as September ends. --- I'll get to the rest of the world in a sec, honest. Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 57 Date: 03 Jun 2001 01:51:58 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 57 Fall-Winter 1951 -While the breaking of the Dewey Papers scandal and the subsequent resignations of the American Secretaries of State, Treasury and War (the first and last are replaced by Ohio Senator John Bricker and the Ambassador to South Japan, Harold Stassen.) makes the papers in Europe and abroad, their attention is focussed for the most part on Turkey, and the slow death struggles of Cemal Gürsel's National Unity Government. Anatolia is good defensive country, and once the Turkish army and milita units are fully-mobilized, they begin demonstrating this to the invading Bulgarians, Greeks, Soviets, and Iranians. But such moblization takes time, and thus the Communist forces in the west have pushed east to around the 30th parallel by mid-September (the battle for Istanbul, July 25-August 13, was an apocalyptic struggle; the city took massive damage in house to house fighting, the Turkish forces were utterly destroyed, and even the Greco-Bulgarian army there is still recuperating.) and in the east have moved as far west as Elazig. The brief halt in the fighting through September and October isn't the respite the Turkish government thinks it is; with uncontested control of the Aegean and Dardanelles, hundreds of thousands of Greek and Bulgarian (mostly Greek, for all that Dimitrov stands firmly behind the Moscow line, there are...cultural issues at work here) troops are moving to western Anatolia and preparing a strike against Ankara itself. In the east, Kurds, emboldened by the prospect of a homeland, even a Red one, declare for the Soviets and soon are armed (if with surplus gear) and ready for battle. With no less a personage than General I.D. Chernyakhovsky in command, a Soviet invasion force leaves Sevastapol on October 15, 1951, a signal for pressure to begin again in western and eastern Anatolia. Gursel deploys more and more of his reserves to the two fronts, gambling that his nerve can outlast the Soviets and their allies. Indeed, enough damage has been done to quell any appietite for adventurism in Moscow for the next few years...but it's not enough to stop this. When Chernyakhovsky's army lands outside Sinope on October 22, most of even the milita has gone to the two fronts, and there's very little to stop his subsequent race to Ankara. By the middle of December, the formal part of the war is over. Chernyakhovsky is in Ankara, the Greek and Bulgarians are already quarrelling over who gets what (city names are already changing back to Smyrna) and the infant People's Republic of Kurdistan is being born. -On December 12, Walter Zinn finishes his safety review of the Chalk River facility, especially the NRX and ZEEP reactors. Not at all comfortable with what he's found, the director of Canada's nuclear weapons program orders an upgrade of procedure and equipment. Canada's nuclear program is relatively large and intensive, and he doesn't want a potential disaster, say an accidental control rod removal, damaging his work. For all that Prime Minister Diefenbaker is delighted to have a Conservative government in power in Great Britain again, and has moved for closer ties with the motherland; he is less of an Anglophile than per OTL. His deep dislike of Ernest Bevin and concerns about the unpleasant regimes the British government is allied to through the Amsterdam Pact have not so much made him turn against Britain, but realize that Canada will need its own shield of defense, whether to stand shoulder to shoulder with Great Britain or go their own way. There is, of course, not even a whisper of Canadian-American cooperation in matters of defense. Many Canadians blame the American-pressed-for and led invasion of Normandy in 1943 for extending the war into 1945; many Americans blame Canada's "lack of commitment" during the war for that same period and for all that bloody fighting. Relations are correct, but quite cool. -Meanwhile, in Australia, sales of iron and coke to the Communist regime controlling Java and southern Sumatra have profited both the new government in Jakarta and the government of Prime Minister Herbert Vere Evatt, a small steel industry is already forming on the eastern half of Java. The collapse of the Indonesian state paradoxically drew Australia close to the largest and most doctrinarie Communist successor state, Evatt has no particular problem with Communism or anti-colonialism, but he does have a problem with violent civil wars right off the Australian coast. Without Australian patronage, the other successor states, places like the Republic of Bali, the Republic of West Malacca, and the Kalimantan states, simply grow poorer and poorer as time goes by, virtually all are military dictatorships by this point. The poorest of all, the Irian Jaya Confederation, finally cannot stand the poverty anymore, and rather than simply collapse into Boschian anarchy, they approach the Evatt government about extending the Australian trust territory west, to encompass the entire island. -With the Amsterdam Pact behind high tariff barriers and the US moving away from foriegn trade, , most of the Scandanavian countries (Sweden, Denmark, and Norway) sign the Scandanavian Coal and Steel Pact Agreement on December 1. The member states of the new Community agree to provide a unified market for their coal and steel-related products, remove trade barriers relating to them, and work on unifing their labor market. Finland is strongly inclined to join the Community, but the Soviet government is a bit too worried about letting even their least-dominated state (and their domination of Finland is weak indeed) join even an economic alliance. The only voice in favor, perversly enough, is the head of the NKVD, Laverenti Beria. It won't endanger security, really, and as Beria says: "We're not monsters, after all." ------ Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 58 Date: 03 Jun 2001 21:46:18 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 58 Late Winter-Early Spring, 1952 -Of all the major candidates for the Democratic nomination in 1952, only Joseph Kennedy Jr. is in a position to exploit the Barrio Riots. While liberal on most other issues, Arkansas Senator J. William Fulbright is solid on race, and thus is rather unlikely to successfully appeal to black and Hispanic voters; and Illinois Senator Adlai Stevenson's ill-advised Biblical comparison of the Chicago police department to the Assyrian outside Jerusalem have alienated him from conservative voters, who find themselves far closer to the fifty policemen and National Guardsmen dead in the nation-wide riots than the two hundred civilians who met the same fate. The lid is back on in New York and the rest of the riot-torn cities; the city governments involved quietly decide not to try any of the rioters who broke the law except the most egregious. The sooner they manage to sweep the whole situation under the rug, the better. There are, of course, no trials for police officers or National Guardsmen suspected of improprieties. -A new wave of ethnic leaders have emerged from the fires of New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Philadelphia, Santa Fe, and Atlanta. In New York, young attorney Edward I. Koch has successfully won the acquittal of Leon Maurer, a young ex-serviceman accused of assaulting two alleged rioters on the subway, and the two have become close friends. In Philadelphia, a recent graduate of Crozer Theological Seminary who helped administer to fire victims has turned away from contemporary Protestant theologians and the Mahatma Ghandi, finding solace in the apocalyptic preachings of the 19th century and a life of Michael Collins. A fair portion of America's black, Hispanic, and Jewish populations have been well-radicalized by the riots and their after-effects. Puerto Ricans have seen the government step firmly on the neck of their homeland (and kill dozens of people) and as firmly as it could on Puerto Ricans in the United States proper, blacks have seen the government hastily back away from the civil rights commitments made by the Wallace administration and then spend all their time putting out fires in Jewish neighborhoods. America's Jewish population, especially the millions of refugees from Europe and Palestine, have seen that if America _is_ to be the homeland where they can live free of persecution, they'll have to buckle down and fight, as well as keep a watchful eye on the blacks and the Hispanics. (There will be no cooperation between American Jewish groups and blacks on civil rights in the ATL: William Moses Kunstler is a firebrand conservative Republican and colleague of Ed Koch, Ralph Bunche is the troubled President of Howard University, while a young Alabama pastor named Ralph Abernathy has already begun blaming the deaths of so many blacks in the South on an anti-black media controlled by "the Robert Moses' of New York.") -The Dewey administration is, to say the least, troubled. A Congressional Democrat on the House Judiciary Commitee introduced articles of impeachment for treason, and while they were defeated by the Republican majority, it was shockingly close, with several Republican defections to the cause of impeachment. His shadow Vice-President, California Senator Earl Warren, has unceremoniously declined to run with him in 1952. A fair number of his Cabinet has resigned with equal vigor, the only Taft-era appointee that remains loyal is the fiercely anti-Communist Attorney General, William Jenner. Dewey spends a lot of time thinking about the last man in his office to be so unpopular (Henry Wallace) and how his struggle to hang on to the office on the basis of principle and power wrecked his party so badly that now, seven years later, they've barely recovered. He did the right thing, he's sure of that: the disorder in Puerto Rico certainly proves there was _some_ sort of Nationalist conspiracy there, martial law in the major cities was absolutely necessary, and the injury to American industry he allegedly worked out with the British would have existed far more in the mind of Winston Churchill than in the pocketbook of the American consumer. But good luck convincing the media of that, or the public. His experiment with realpolitk is well and truly over. -On Luzon, General Walton Walker's nerve has failed him, to a degree. With thousands of his veteran troops pulled out to help keep the peace in the United States and casualty reports reaching levels not seen since the last time the United States was at war, Walker has stalled the American offensive between Bayombong and Palayan. As his chief of staff William Westmoreland comments, "It's as if someone ran him down on the road." Westmoreland has moved into de facto command of the American forces in the Philippines, and he has begun to reorganize for a planned offensive in the late spring. Despite the horrific reports about civilian and even military casualties in the US, the American offensive _has_ worked, wherever the US forces have gone, the Hukbalahap forces have been broken in twain. Perhaps 1,000 Americans have become casualties, dead or wounded, while several thousand Filipines are dead, and tens of thousands displaced into resettlement areas. -In Venezuela, Lieutenant Colonel Carlos Delgado Chalbaud has successfully supplated his theoretical colleague in the military junta, Major Marcos Pérez Jiménez. Rather than simply kill his rival, he has given him command of the military post around San Carlos de Rio Negro, in the isolated and remote province of Amazonas. Even if Jiménez does rebel, there's nowhere for him to go. Venezuela is in better shape than most of South America; the oil boom has happened, and Delgado has spent more of the subsequent revenues on Venezuela as opposed to himself than OTL's government. Too, the influx of half a million and more Jewish refugees from Europe has helped him greatly; he has successfully presented himself as champion of the victims of Communist and Nazi oppression as well as woo the armed forces with carefully private, guarded talks of a South America free of European imperialism. Anti-Europeanism is popular in South America in the early 1950s. Thanks to ham-handed diplomacy by the Wallace administration and pressure from local fascists, no South American or Latin American nation declared war on Germany or Japan during World War II, though Brazil and Mexico came very close. With no post-war US Lend-Lease and with a reputation as quasi-fascists, South America is poorer and less reputable around the world. The Taft administration followed a policy far less agressive than his father's, though, and the Western Hemisphere has slowly become more integrated in the past few years. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 59 Date: 04 Jun 2001 22:57:18 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if ((A short one, sorry.)) For All Time Pt. 59 April 1952 -By April of 1952, Galeazzo Ciano is in trouble. A surprisingly _non_-Communist rebellion on Sicily has at least partially deprived him of control of that large island, leaving him only Sardinia and Italy south of a line roughly bisecting the province of Abruzzi. Rome fell to his great personal shame on March 4, 1952; though he had personally directed the defense of the city, his escape to Naples earned him the name of coward among the Communists in the North and even, to a lesser degree, his own side. Pius XII's rather hasty state visit to Spain in late February has been extended indefinitely. The Social Republic of Italy, unlike his own side, controls a reasonably substantial amount of industry in the cities to the north, and what they can't make can be supplied directly from Austria or Yugoslavia by land. Ciano's south is industry-poor, and British and French shipments come slowly, and are usually of equipment that's just not that good. (Both the United Kingdom and France have dispatched volunteer fighters to fight alongside Ciano's forces, while the lessons they learn about Mig-15s won't help out the Italians much, they're being hurriedly applied to the next generation of Amsterdam Pact jet fighters. There has been, of course, no Coment jet liner in this TL, nor will there be for a long time.) -On April 3, the governments of Bulgaria, Greece, Iran, and the Soviet Union announce the new borders in Asia Minor. Joining them in their "Smyrna Declaration" are two new nations on the map; the People's Republic of Kurdistan and the Democratic United People's Republic of Anatolia. (The Turkish army major found to run the new state is...strange.) Bulgaria and Greece recieve all lands in the former Turkey save Constantinople west to the 30th (east) parallel and north of the 39th (north) for Bulgaria, with the southern territories to Greece. Greeks or their offspring displaced in the wars of the early 1920s will be entitled to take back all that they lost back then, while Bulgaria is free to expel her own Turkish population. (Though many, many of those refugees came from territories still not Greek. It is here that Athens quietly falls in line with Belgrade over Moscow.) Both Iran and Turkey cede land to form the new Democratic Republic of Kurdistan, Iran is compensated with a corridor stretching to the Syrian border. The Soviet Union annexes everything else east of the 39th (east) parallel, as well as the city of Constantinople and enough territory around it and down the Aegean coast to ensure access to the Mediterrean whenever they please. The remainder is the new, Communist 'DUPRA.", with about as cheerful social policies as you might expect, given the circumstances. -As part of political manueverings with Southern Democrats (who are very nervous at nominating a very young, pretty well Catholic northerner), Joseph Kennedy Jr. quietly pledges not to support a civil rights bill in his administration, as well as to take a Southerner as his running mate. Kennedy feels about as bound by this pledge as any a slightly amoral politician makes, but it does reflect something like his real views. While he is sympathetic to the idea of blacks recieving equitable treatment from the government in terms of, say, voting rights, he has his father's views on the sanctity of businessmen to do as they please. (Indeed, he also plans to cut surviving Wallace-era regulations on industry, while satisfying labor with other amenities.) As for running mates, well, a moderately conservative northern, eastern politician will need a moderately liberal southerner for his running mate, and he has just the wheeler-dealer in mind for the job. If he can get Stevenson, that is. -On April 30, 1952, to his own apparant great surprise (despite a series of swiftly-covered up strokes since the new year.) Joseph Stalin looks at his private secretary in befuddlement before falling over dead. ---- Thoughts? The Soviet struggle for succession will, of course, be in the next post. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 60 Date: 06 Jun 2001 00:58:12 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 60 May-August 1952 -He wasn't the most prominent of Soviet leaders before, during, or after World War II; most Western governments treated his accession to power with a great deal of surprise. The leaders of the Soviet Union were, after all, survivors of Stalin's purges and of the Great Patriotic War. Surely they wouldn't balk at shedding blood to grab power, even to launch a kind of dynastic war between the various factions? Western consensus ignored, of course, that these men _were_ survivors of Stalin and the War. They'd seen friends die for no reason in petty struggles, seen their nation struck hammerblow after hammerblow by one madman's struggle for power. Even the month and a half of dynastic struggle after Stalin died killed nearly 10,000 Russians, mostly high-ranking officials. It was small change, of course...but it foretold a future they didn't like, indeed, even feared. If any man could prevent more struggle _and_ not kill lots of the Party hierarchy in paranoid fits, well, they'd unite behind him. There could be no candidates for leadership from the Red Army, though there were many generals who wished they could. The assassination of Georgi Zhukov and Ivan Koniev during the May Day entombment of Joseph Stalin by "Ukrainian fascist-nationalists" took the heart out the Red Army, and while no one quite dared doubt Rodin Malinovsky's skill and bravery, he was a loose cannon, to say the least. It was he, after all., who personally executed Nikita Krushchev after the surviving assassin (under NKVD interrogation) named the Ukrainian party boss as the leader of the anti-Army conspiracy. No one wanted a madman at the head of the nation, again. The NKVD forming the government meant, of course, Laverenti Pavolovich Beria as the leader of the Soviet Union...an unpopular idea at best. Future historians will conclude that luring Malinovsky into assassinating Krushchev was a plan to eliminate two feared rivals at once (and that he himself had been behind the assassinations of Zhukov and Koniev.), but whatever the rest of his plans were, he forgot some factor, because on May 26, 1952 sometime around 3 AM, a month after the death of Joseph Stalin, a speeding freight truck crossed two lanes to strike his armored limousine at over 100 MPH. Beria and his driver Rapava were killed instantly. While Pavel Sudoplatov would prove to be an effective head of the secret police, he hadn't the caliber to run the country in 1952. It came down to the Party bureaucrats: Molotov and Bulganin managed to tear each other down to ambassador to the Japanese People's Republic and head of a fairly large coal power plant near Lake Baikal, respectively, while Malenkov was mostly colorless, and his few colors seemed to be in the NKVD shade. MI Kalinin is, of course, dead. And so it is that Lazar Kaganovich becomes leader of the Soviet Union on August 15, 1952. Malenkov theoretically heads the Party, but with Beria dead, he knows which way to jump, and Malinovsky will obey the orders of his superior. Perhaps for the first time in its history, a Russian government _stops_ a persecution of its Jewish citizens. For all that he has long abandoned the faith, Kaganovich can't kill his fellow Jews. He can oppress and kill Kazakhs, though, and begins to do exactly that. ((In OTL he's remembered as another faceless Stalinist bureaucrat, but Lazar Kaganovich was an interesting figure to say the least. He actually rose to power out of Turkestan, but was head of the Moscow party organization between 1930-35, and ran collectivization with a great deal of enthusiasm. A strong opponent of Kirov's reforms, he and Molotov were comrades and coworkers in Stalin's Politburo after the purges, which he also was enthuastic about. He ran much of Soviet industry before and during World War II, especially oil-related matters. He opposed de-Stalinization and fell from power after Krushchev became leader of the Soviet Union. He was one of the few Jews that Stalin didn't target during his anti-Semitic purges. Here's his Brittanica bio: http://www.britannica.com/eb/article?idxref=2765 He's second from the left here: http://www.ucr.edu/history/seaman/images/nib26.jpg In OTL, he lived until 1991. )) -In an occasion with less death but just as much violence and turmoil, Joseph Kennedy Jr. is nominated for President by the Democratic party on August 1, 1952. At 37, he is the youngest Presidential candidate nominated by a major party since William Jennings Bryan, and the second youngest in history. To the great surprise of the supporters of Adlai Stevenson, Southern Democrats proved one of his strongest supporters, though the surprise soon faded into political unsurprise when Texas Senator Lyndon Johnson is nominated by a majority nearly equal to Joseph Kennedy Jr.'s. JPK pledges protection of American industries, peace with honor on Luzon, and a final settlement in Puerto Rico, together with a policy of "Fortress America." Far more violent than _that_, though, is the Republican National Convention from July 7-17. President Dewey has decided to seek a full term in his own right, but only a divided opposition keeps him from failing. Earl Warren, Gerald Nye, and Henry Cabot Lodge all go up against him, but their failure to unite ensures Dewey's narrow renomination, with Secretary of State John Bricker as his runningmate. Dewey pledges victory in Luzon and a confrontation with Communism abroad. -On August 13, 1952, George S. Patton dies quietly in his sleep in Paris. While reasonably saddened at the death of his wartime comrade and close friend, Francois Darlan is glad of the oppurtunity it offers. Darlan is 71 and his health is in a very gradual decline from what he will discover in a few years is intestinal cancer. Too, the events in the Soviet Union have convinced him that he needs to find a successor now, before his death. Darlan names General Raoul Salan as Patton's replacement in Paris. He likes what Salan has done in Algeria, he has a high body count among the enemy, a sign of nerve, and has proven successful in his goals, a sign of a good commander. Both Salan and his colleague in French West Africa have proven more successful than their counterparts in Indochina, they've kept the provinces in French hands, and a majority of the casualties have been among the natives. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 61 Date: 06 Jun 2001 23:22:12 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 61 September-December 1952 ((Sorry, another short one. In my own defense, not much happened. )) -History will give credit for the Jerusalem League to Gamel Abdel Nasser, and the man himself will do the same. "The man who mastered Egypt has mastered the world!" cry a few government-sponsored authors and poets on October 31 when the treaty is signed, ignoring the fact that Nasser hasn't _quite_ mastered Egypt, and the world extends beyond the Arab Islamic Middle East. Despite a powerful, powerful urge to drive his collaborationist self from Cairo, Egypt, and even the world, Nasser has been unable to overthrow King Farouk II. With the king's popularity high indeed after the Egyptian "victory" in the Palestine War, and with the grim lessons of Iran and Turkey (military coups that led to Communist takeovers) in mind, he has been unable to muster enough support to actually drive the monarch from the nation. Still, if he is not the Egyptian Darlan, he is at least its Ciano; Farouk has been stripped of all real authority, and he knows _very_ well how soon the monarchy will suffer an "unfortunate accident" if ever he attempts to exercise even his de jure powers. When Nasser speaks, he, and Egypt, listen. And now, for the moment at least, when he speaks, the world listens. Even when fighting each other, the Arab states of the Middle East had been watching the north and east with growing concern. The tales told by Iranian refugees who settled in Iraq and points west after the Soviet conquest of Iran were disturbing, the tales told by those who fled the four-way conquest of Turkey were gruesome...and those fleeing Kaganovich's purges are worst yet. Thus it is in an atmosphere of general concern that Nasser and his fellow heads of government gather in Jerusalem on October 1 to discuss "the future and the protection of the region." Present are representatives from Iraq, Egypt, Jordan, Syria, and Saudi Arabia, and a lone observer from Lebanon. All agree on the need for a mutual defense pact, but none agree at first on just who the pact is needed against! After all, most of the represented countries are only five years from a brutal war with each other. Too, the French in Algeria are committing just as many outrages against fellow Muslims, and there is a nativist suspicion of the foriegn Farsi-speaker and the Turk. It is the ailing Haj Amin al-Husseini who gives Nasser his most famous line from the conference: "First they came for the Iranians, and I said nothing for I was an Arab. Then they came for the Turks, and I said nothing for I was an Arab. Then they came for the Arabs, and there was no one to speak for me." Playing on fears of Communist takeovers and ignoring his own earlier sympathies with the Soviets, Nasser manages to batter together the delegates into an approximation of a treaty. The Jerusalem League pledges mutual defense against any invading power (they are _almost_ as anti-Western European as they are anti-Communist)...but that's just about it. There is no suggestion of a common market, especially not for oil, not with the profit that makes for the individual countries. Coup d'etats are roudly condemned (signed either by monarchs who look _very_ nervously at their army these days, or by military leaders who don't have an urge to be replaced.) Finally, they pledge a shared policy against "suspicious populations." Which means, of course, the Jews. -In the United States...it's far, far closer than most people expected. Joseph Kennedy's youth and Catholicism does hurt him badly; he does worse than McNutt in rural areas of the Border States and California, and the usual Democratic victories in the Deep South are merely landslides as opposed to Stalinist-esque. Against anyone other than a deeply unpopular incumbent, especially in a time of relative economic good times, JPK Jr. might have been far less successful. Still, he delivered New England, Lyndon Johnson delivered Texas, and when California swung his way in the early morning hours of November 9, it delivered him the Presidency. Both he and Dewey called each other traitors; Dewey was allegedly a sellout to the British and Kennedy a sellout to the Communists, but Kennedy's promises of peace with honor in Luzon play well to the families of soldiers fighting abroad, and the major cities _really_ liked his planned programs to reduce urban violence. (Even without the Barrio Riots of 1951, urban violence in the United States has been higher than per OTL. With the economy worse off and the racial situation more chaotic, poverty and violence have come together time and again to foment crime and general chaos all over the urban United States.) Old prosecutor that he is, Thomas Dewey fights hard outside of political rhetoric as well. He orders Edward Almond, the new C-in-C in Luzon to resume Operation COPPER, but overt military successes come too rarely or too quietly to influence public opinion or the election. At the dedication of the finished Liberty Island on September 19, he gives perhaps the greatest speech of his career on what it really meant to be President; the kind of hard choices it required. Finally, as Election Eve dawns with him well behind in the polls, he promised a referendum in Puerto Rico on independance by 1955...only to have Kennedy promise it by the end of 1953. Lester Maddox's acquittal by an all-white Georgia court martial manages to help exactly not at all. In contrast to the relatively narrow victory of the new President, the Democratic Party sweeps the country, mostly by associating Republicans with Dewey or the war in the Philipines, or with the promise of future wars to come. William Proxmire is Senator from Wisconsin; Clark Gable is Mayor of Los Angeles, and Wayne Morse's re-election seems to have been mostly dependent on his party switch. (Though that switch was ideological rather than political.) One Republican who emerges as an unabashed victor is California Congressman Ronald Reagan. His televised debates with his challenger, fellow actor Anthony Quinn, saw him battle with and carefully demolish the Democrat, and while Quinn rebounded and came within a few hundred votes of victory, the state and the Republican Party remembers Reagan's masterful performance. Reagan, meanwhile, remembers how well playing up Quinn's Mexican ancestry played in the less likeable parts of his district... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 62 Date: 07 Jun 2001 22:53:09 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 62 January-April 1953 -Joseph Kennedy Jr. dives into the Presidency the same way he plunged into combat during World War II. In his inaugural address, he uses the magic words: "Third New Deal," and calls for sweeping changes in policy foriegn and domestic. The Third New Deal doesn't resemble the First and Second very much, but the name is magic to Democrats in Congress and the nation, all of whom remember the prosperity, at least, that they had under Roosevelt and Wallace. Playing on his youthful image, the new President appoints a 34-year old professor from Yale University, James Tobin, as his Treasury Secretary, and his Presidential Science Advisor, Theodore Hall, is in his mid-twenties. (With American intelligence underfunded in the Wallace and Taft administrations, the Venona Telegrams were never intercepted. Hall likes Kennedy, but doesn't quite trust him with high technology. Government funding for Big Science, already low, will be pared to the bone.) Continuing his campaign promises of bipartisan cooperation, Kennedy names former Wisconson Senator Robert LaFollette Jr. as his Secretary of State, and, rather shockingly, does away with the Departments of War and Navy in swiftly passed legislation. Heading the new combined "Department of Defense" is isolationist former Republican Wayne Morse. (With all of the United States' theoretical allies morally disreputable or with the United States doing disreputable things, many liberals are isolationist.) Most badly hurt is the Navy; Kennedy agrees to finish the Forrestal-class aircraft carriers now under construction, but no more will be built after 1955. Before the hundred days are up, Morse has supervised the sale of American bases in Westphalia and South Japan to their respective governments, leaving the naval/marine bases in Yokohama and Hamburg as the only American military installations, save for Subic Bay, outside of the Western Hemisphere. In the Philippines themselves, Kennedy orders Edward Almond to pull back to the nearest major civilian concentration and go on the defensive; when Almond refuses, JPK names General William Westmoreland as his replacement. In Puerto Rico, Kennedy sends his old rival Adlai Stevenson to organize a plebiscite on the status of the Commonwealth. (Although that option will not be offered, only statehood or independance will be on the ballot in July. Kennedy and the country have had enough of the guerilla war. "Either we clutch our brothers to our bosom," he says, "or we bid farewell as they make their own house.") -In Cleveland, Bill Veeck is a thoroughly content man. The Indians didn't beat the Yankees in the '52 Eastern pennant race...but they came _darn_ close, especially since the Yankees turned out to be the Series winners that year. Willie Mays went through hell, sure, but he got through it with a smile and a home run, and with the barrier broken, it'll be better for the next generation of black ballplayers. With his eye still on the Negro Leagues and their all-stars (He will sign Roy Campanella as a player and James "Cool Papa Bell" as a coach/manager for the new season, though he will narrowly lose a young man named Hank Aaron to Rickey's Brooklyn Dodgers.), Veeck starts looking at a map of the world. In talking with players who served overseas during the last war, he found out just how big baseball is in Japan. And with the Japanese economy slowly circling the drain, the ballplayers can't be making much... While Wally Yonamine isn't techically Japanese (his parents were, but he was born an American citizen in Hawaii), he is the first of his kind in modern times as well. -On March 1, 1953, Pius XII steps off the runway at Lisbon, blinking into the sun of his (hopefully temporary) Portuguese home. The head of the Catholic Church is leery indeed about staying on in a Communist state; things were bad enough before Mussolini and his predecessor worked out the Vatican...what might matters be like in a _Communist_ country? France has too many Protestants and has a bad history with Church splits, Franco is a bit too much even for his tastes, while the Americas are too far away and Ireland too unstable. Austria is, of course, far too Red... -With the Muslims safely quiet, dead, or out of the country, Lazar Kaganovich is beginning his initial programs of reform. Well, they're mostly reforms. Kaganovich helped collective Moscow farms and was a player in the purges of the 1930s, and while he's not about to be doing _that_ sort of thing anytime soon, he's far more Stalinist than the people who ran the Soviet Union in OTL in this era. He frees a substantial number of former Soviet soldiers in gulag camps in Siberia (including Aleksandr Isayevich Solzhenitsyn), allowing them a few weeks home with their families before drafting them again and sending them to isolated posts along the Sino-Soviet border or in the most dangerous regions of the newly-conquered Middle Eastern territories. It is quiet, and the soldiers have a chance to visit their Chinese counterparts. Kaganovich also frees almost every German POW whose families live in the DVR, including abortive Fuhrer Heinz Guderian. -Fittingly, the final days of the Italian Civil War strongly resemble some great opera with its mix of triumph and tragedy at once, for all the sides in the suddenly three-cornered war. Alcide De Gasperi (liberated by Christian Democrat troops after the fall of Rome) has been slowly realizing what a horse he has hooked his wagon to in Pietro Togliatti, and what a Communist-dominated Italy will _really_ mean. Unfortuately, he and his right-hand man General Ferrucio Parri haven't quite the resources to take on the Communists; they could wage a guerilla war like no other, but neither have any urge to wind up deep in a jail, or dead. The rising in Sicily is more Christian Democratic than anything else, and the leaders there have already offered him the Presidency. If he can get there, that is. The Communist breakthrough in Campaigna in late March gives him the chance he needs. The armored and aerial portions of the Social Republic's army are the elite troops of the Communists, and as they race south for the Ionian Sea, the northern countryside becomes just unguarded enough for De Gasperi and his quietly-assembled army to leap south! They charge their way to Latina, where the fraction of the fraction of the Italian Navy loyal to Gasperi instead of Ciano or Toghliatti sets steam for Sicily with them on board, even as Galeazzo Ciano's reasonably large and modernish navy begins quickly escorted convoys to Cagliari, one of the largest ports on Sardinia. By the end of April, before they've even finished wiping out the Fascist partisans, the Togliatti government turns its attention to Sicily. Before they kill the fascists, they have to kill the traitor. (Plus, the Italian Red Navy is small enough that any attempt at the rapidly fortifying Sardinia will be a dreadful failure.) But Winston Churchill isn't about to let that happen. No indeed. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: Re: For All Time Pt. 62 Date: 8 Jun 2001 11:24:28 -0700 From: maurer@itam.mx (Noel) Organization: http://groups.google.com/ Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if References: 1 , 2 congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) wrote in message news:<20010608063249.28011.00000183@ng-md1.aol.com>... > >Subject: Re: For All Time Pt. 62 > You'll see. ---Great stuff on Italy! Changing tracks, to Pflaz and Venezuela... The following was written with no research and not a particularly large amount of thought. It is, in fact, nothing more than a perverse idea I had while running, written in a burst of Friday morning procrastination. I dunno where it is, what it looks like, nothing. I submit it for your--and Chet's--approval. When the book gets published, we'll work on the accuracy. It isn't done--I had to go back to the writing they pay my salary for--but I think you'll be able to see where it's going ... if you like it, Chet, you'll have to re-write the part about "Jewish" immigrants, replace it with, well, you'll see. It will make the hunt for "espacio para respirar" a little more interesting. JUNE 1952 The whistle of the shift change came as a surprise, the way it usually did. There was something relaxing in the repetitiveness of the assembly work. The casings came down the line, you shoved and locked them together, they moved on. In another world, it was boring and unsatisfying, a job that would spur it's holder to better things. In this one, it was better than nothing, and almost an escape from life's dreariness. Eberhard Boger looked up in a bit of a daze, to see the rest of his fellow factory workers shuffling towards the exit. Laurenz, his co-worker--"friend" might be too strong a word--slapped him on the shoulder as he strolled by. "Off time, Boger. Pay day." Eberhard grunted, and strolled exitwards--being careful to stay a step or two behind Laurenz. He did not want to talk, and Laurenz was a talker. No such luck. Laurenz realized that Boger was lagging, stopped, and turned around. His face looked downright pink against his dirty grey workshirt, a shirt that had clearly not been washed in far too long. Neither had Boger's, of course--who could afford to waste detergent? "Boger! You seem unexcited at the prospect of receiving our prodigous pay packets!" Boger grunted. Laurenz, being Laurenz, continued, "Yes, of course, we cannot really buy anything with them, but surely you must admit that they are works of art! For all their faults, the French, they are artistique, no?" God only knew if "artistique" was actually a word in French, or if Laurenz's tone even remotely resembled a French accent to a Frenchman, but it worked. For Laurenz. Boger just found it annoying, but why pick a fight with someone you had to see every day? "After all, look at the pretty colors of the bills! And those abstract designs! My, they look more like some sort of Indian serape than real German money, but then again, we must have something to keep us entertained." The pay station was in a little building on factory grounds, inside the fence but outside the main building. Armed guards blocked the building. Neither Boger nor anyone else could really understand why. It wasn't like Pfalzmarks were real money. Oh, they were real money, if you were from France or Holland or England--but if you were German they wouldn't buy squat without a ration coupon. And for all the pretense that it was their "elected representatives" that determined the rations everyone knew that the decisions were really made somewhere in the bowels of Paris or London. A flag flew above the factory grounds. Like everything else about the Pflazrepublik, it was designed to bear not a single trace of Germanness. Of course, it showed a striking lack of imagination. The designers seemed to have thought: The French have a verticle blue-white-and-red tricolor. The Dutch have a horizontal one. Even the Brits use the colors. So lets give the Germans a blue-white-and-red tricolor rotated 45 degrees! Show those kraut bastards who's boss. It looked more like a naval signal than a national flag, and lacked any possible historical significance. But Boger couldn't even bring himself to hate it. Laurenz spit in its direction while they waited on line, but it was habit. It wasn't even clear if he was aware of it. Boger picked up his pay packet, bright red, white, and blue bills printed on something that felt like cheap wax paper. He was also handed his ration booklet, his name and number printed on every one. Laurenz joked, "Yeah, you know that before the war I had a weight problem? One good thing to come from all this is I don't have to worry about that anymore!" Laurenz had spent the war in a signals unit in Germany. Boger, on the other hand, had been shipped out to the Eastern front in 1943, an ignorant 19-year-old with a young wife back at home. He did not like to talk about the war. "Well, I'll see you, Boger! I'd invite you to the pub, but the wife is insistent that I spend time with her tonight. Heh heh. Must fufill my husbandly duties, you know." Boger grunted back at him. "See you, Laurenz." Hopefully not. But he would. The men walked in opposite directions after passing through the factory gates. The street was desolate. It was lined with factory buildings, more than half of which were empty, stripped of almost anything the French could take. He had heard that things were better in the Saar, now part of France proper--but he didn't believe it. Anyway, the French had enough workers. If they needed more, they would invite in Spaniards, not a bunch of dirty krauts. Boger thought about his daughter. She was the only joy in his life nowadays. He and Petra had thought about having another--but why bring a child into this world? The trolley was out of order. Typical. Boger sighed, and began to walk. He passed from the factory zone into a residential area. On the surface, it looked like a good German town. Cute little rowhouses, all lined up. No visible war damage. Until you noticed the lack of paint, the taped up windows, the ancient bicycles, the utter lack of cars. And the empty flagpoles. The fucking Dutch or Belgians would arrest anyone who flew a real German flag, but that didn't mean a Pfalzrepublik flag could stay up for more than ten minutes without an armed guard or a fence around it. As he strolled the grey street, he heard something odd in the distance. It sounded a little like a loudspeaker. Something political? Another pointless election campaign? No, the sound quality was better. It was a block or two away, but Boger could hear every word. The German was accented, but it was no accent that he had ever heard before. It sounded pleasant, almost, the same way a French accent had before the damned war. "Come to Venezuela! Are you tired of long hours, low pay, and bad weather? Are you sick of a dreary and miserable existance? Come to Venezuela! The United Venezuelan States needs workers. This tropical American paradise needs good German workers! Transport for you and your family is free! Once there, you will be guaranteed a good job, decent wages, a place to support your family, everything that the modern republic of the United Venezuelan States can provide! Come to America!" It was a block out of his way, but why not? He turned the corner. There was a truck, a large, modern, brand-new French truck, flying a flag even stranger than the Pfalzrepublik's. Boger had half-expected to see the Stars-and-Stripes. Instead there was an odd gold, blue, and red horizontal tricolor, with a half-circle of stars in the middle stripe. There was a crowd around the truck, too. A surprisingly large crowd. Three men--and a shockingly beautiful dark woman--in olive uniforms were handing out thick pamphlets. Boger pushed up to the crowd. Most were gathered around, but he could see four lines already filling up in good German fashion to receive the information the Americans--or Venezuelans, or whatever they were--were handing out. "What is this?" asked Boger of a young pale man, who was sixteen if he was a day. "It's a recruiting station!" replied the young man. "I've heard about them. They've been scouring towns all around Pfalz for workers to go to Venezuela, which is someplace in America, I'm not exactly clear. Maybe one of the United States?" Boger shrugged ignorance and asked the young man to continue. "I don't know. What I do know is that they'll pay your way, it's in the tropics, and how could anything be worse than this?" The young man waved around at what had once been prosperous German suburbia. Boger immediately thought about the Eastern Front--but pushed that out of his mind. He nodded affirmation to the young man. Boger joined the line. The young man continued to chat, but Boger studiously ignored him, and the man eventually shut up. At the front of the line, one of the recruiters turned to Boger and smiled. It was a dazzling smile. His teeth were absolutely perfect. No one in Germany had perfect teeth. No one in Western Europe had perfect teeth. In fact, Boger hadn't seen even good teeth since, since, since 1942. The man was also well-fed, but not at all overweight, another thing Boger hadn't seen in a decade, except for American newsreels. In Pfalz in 1952, you were either rail thin, or obscenely fat. This well-muscled man with the black hair and the olive skin seemed like an alien. And the woman on the other side of the truck. Boger had forgotten, actually forgotten, just how sexually desirous a woman could be... "Hello!" said the olive-skinned ubermensch. Yes, that was the word that popped into Boger's head, unbidden. He reached out to shake Boger's hand. "How are you? My name is Alexander, Alexander Santaella Rubio. Please, call me Alex. Are you interested in working in Venezuela?" The man's German was near-flawless, only slightly accented, a slight tendency to leave out the "s" sound. "I, I don't know," stammered Boger. "Well, what do you do?" asked the man, giving Boger his full attention. "I, uh, I work in the switch assembly plant." The man smiled again. "That's good, I understand, but what do you really do, uh, what's your name?" Boger had just wanted the pamphlet's, but he didn't want to be rude. "Boger, Eberhard. Uh, what do you mean, what do I really do?" "What were you trained for, Eberhard? I understand that around here," the man waved his thick arm around dismissively, "You do what you have to survive, what the occupiers tell you to do. But you look almost thirty. What did you do before?" Eberhard tried not to think about "before," but he answered anyway. "I was trained as a metalsmith. I worked a lathe." "A lathe! That's wonderful! Eberhard, the United States of Venezuela needs people like you. We've got wide open spaces to fill. It's not worn out, like here. We need men like you, Eberhard, young men who by rights ought to have a future." "A future?" The man stuffed brochures into Eberhard's hand. "A future! In Venezuela, a man like you can own his own house, start a business, prosper. In Venezuela, we have a frontier. We are taming the llanos!" Eberhard didn't know what a llano was, but it sounded like something positive. "There are jobs begging in Venezuela. There are cities to build, and build right. A man can make his own future. Do you have a family?" "Uh, yes. A wife and daughter." "That's wonderful!" continued Alejandro. "That's what we want in Venezuela. Young families. Every day, trains leave from this very town, carrying young German families like yours to a new future in paradise. Come by this address on Monday, bring your family, and you can begin a new life." He pounded Eberhard on the back. "It will be good to have you, man. And you deserve it." Eberhard walked away reeling. What had just happened? He had pushed up out of curiosity, anything to relieve the monotony of life in the Pfalzrepublik. Instead, he had been offered a chance to move to America. He looked through the brouchures as he walked home. That's all for now. Noel Subject: For All Time Pt. 63 Date: 09 Jun 2001 03:38:28 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 63 May 1953 -Prime Minister Winston Churchill and his de facto partner in government, Foriegn Minister Anthony Eden, have been aiming for a confrontation with the Soviets in Europe for quite some time. This is not unreasonable of them; the losing war in Burma and the winning war in East Africa aren't very popular with the British public. The economy is badly off (more so than OTL), and the government is spending substantially more on defense. Victories and defeats in distant lands blend together in the mind of John Q. Briton; all they notice are the body counts. A confrontation in Europe, on the other hand, will give them the political satisfaction and success of staring down the Communists, proving to Aneurin Bevan's Labour Party that yes, all that money going to defense and patrolling the Mediterrean and South Pacific with the French is a good idea! There is the admitted risk of nuclear conflict if Kaganovich doesn't blink, but neither Churchill nor Eden is at their best. Too, nuclear weapons are far less feared than in OTL's 1953; it took three nuclear bombs to take down Germany and Japan each, after all. It's still a worry, though, so Churchill-Eden make sure when they do take a stand against the Communists; it's not the Soviet Communists, but instead their Italian allies, and over an issue that will ensure moral support, standing up for a non-Fascist government, namely, De Gasperi's infant state in Sicily. They've got a reasonable amount of forces based in the Mediterrean as well; the HERMES carrier battlegroup stationed at Cyprus is actually the largest British naval presence in Europe outside of the United Kingdom itself. There is, of course, France, but Darlan has always backed their anti-Communist moves before. On May 1, as Pietro Toghliatti's Esercito Italiano Di Liberazione begins organizing an amphibious invasion of Sicily in and around Reggio de Calabria at the very tip of Italy's boot, Winston Churchill addresses the nation live by radio and even television (though few British have a television). It is a rare occurance these days. Looking fully in the pink for perhaps the last time in his long, multi-colored life, Churchill boldly condemns the Communist planned attack on the "peaceful and democratic people of Sicily", and announces that the Republic of Sicily is a protectorate of the Amsterdam Pact. "Any aggressive move by the Communist forces in possession of the mainland of Italy shall be met with the full thrust of our might." Even as he speaks, the HERMES and her escorts steam out of Kyrenia harbor, bound for the Straits of Messina. (There are, of course, nuclear weapons aboard, as there are on every British and French aircraft carrier.) There's not much of a ground force component, but the RN ships outclass their Italian counterparts enough they don't actually need one. Too, the Red Italian Air Force, while skilled, has no training in attacks on ships, and will be facing planes that match theirs. -Problems begin almost immediatly, though, from an unexpected source. Francois Darlan doesn't _care_ about the "italiens de puer de pensée-garçon." He remembers how "well" they fought in World War I, how quick Mussolini was to stab France in the back when she was falling to the Germans...and he likes the idea of just letting them hang. At least, those are his public statements. While he has become rather erratic as he moves further into his 70s, he's not so foolish as to let his prejudices run his politics _that_ much. Still, it never hurts to let your enemies think you're rather insane, underestimation is alwas a good idea. Especially when admitting to the truth is virtually impossible, both in the character of Francois Darlan and in the political survival of his regime. France can't fight any stand-up wars right now. Darlan's Peronist policies of purified schools and courts, redistributed revenue, and strong favoritism of industry over agriculture, labor over farmers, has succeeded in preventing a Communist takeover and ensuring the average Frenchman is reasonably loyal to Francois Darlan and his "Tricolor Alliance." But as the export market dries up along with the stock of looted German goods, the economy dries up too, and relatively quickly. France is richer than the Palatine, richer than Westphalia...the wealthiest state in Western Europe save the United Kingdom, as a matter of fact. But they're well below the UK, and falling where most of Europe is in either an irritable mutter of stagnation or a very, very slow rise. France _does_ have a large, modern military, but it's busy in Africa and other colonial wars. On May 2, Darlan declares moral support for de Gasperi, but says France is neutral in the Italian Civil War, now and forever, and, rather irritably, condemns unilateral action on Britain's part in speaking for the Amsterdam Pact. As they have since joining the Pact, the Dutch follow the British line, while the Belgians and Luxembourgouis break for the French. Spain and Portugal sensibly sit on their hands, they both like Ciano better. A hastily-convened conference of the Pact in Amsterdam produces no results in the first few days, and while they don't take _negative_ action, the lack of AP support amply demonstrates that Churchill is acting alone. Being Churchill, of course, he presses on. -Meanwhile, Lazar Kaganovich has been sitting back and watching carefully. He isn't as rash as Nikita Kruschev, isn't about to make any hasty declarations or move nuclear weapons south for no reason. This is a man who survived close proximity to Joseph Stalin for decades, after all. He will wait and see what the British do, and Toghliatti will do what he says, unless he likes the idea of losing out to Nenni or one of the other Communist leaders. In many ways, he's just as paranoid By May 7, though, it's obvious that Britain is acting alone (Kennedy is, of course, neutral, while the Ciano government in Sardinia cordially despises both the Communists and the Christian Democrats), and now _he_ has the chance to slap down the British. He's not exactly an observant Jew, what with the Stalinism and all, but the Bevin government's treatment of Palestine has made the British his least favorite class enemies. Also, agents in the British government have informed him of Churchill's disposition, and he's reasonably confident that his will is stronger than a half-senile elderly man and a speed addict. In a series of speeches to Party officials in Moscow and Leningrad, Kaganovich condemns "Imperialist interference in a matter of social struggle" and declares that the Soviet Union will back the Social Republic of Italy in the restoration of her "proper borders." (As he has no interest in promoting an actual war, not yet, the old collectivizer sends a vehement personal message to Toghliatti, informing of the consequences if so much as a fishing vessel sails from Calabria to Sicily.) To bolster the sabre he's rattling at the British, he dispatches one of the Soviet Union's newer aircraft carriers (there aren't that many) and its escorts from port at the Soviet naval base in Constantinople. Like most Soviet carriers of the day, the Pavelov is a big ol' target for a good submariner, but it, and its escorts, have nuclear weapons on board, including a large, bulky hydrogen bomb that can just be launched by carrier aircraft on the Pavelov. The Soviets have had thermonuclear weapons since just after Kaganovich came to power, but he hasn't been broadcasting that sort of thing. -Matters are grim as the Soviet fleet slowly approaches the British, which has now taken station up in the Straits of Messina, between Italy and Sicily. However, they don't turn really dangerous, not yet, until the night of May 13-14, 1953. The Red Italian cruiser TOSCANO OPERAIO isn't very good; a pre-World War II vessel, it spent five years quietly rusting in harbor in the north of Italy before defecting to the anti-Fascists. The steering is balky, navigation is unnerving, if it wasn't for the crew, one of the few veteran bodies to defect en masse, as well as the urgent need to have every ship in the south to support either an invasion or defend against the British, it'd probably still be back in the north. On the night of the 13th, she's on picket duty off Calabria. The night is dark, the storm is bad, and the seas are rough. A junior navigator is on duty, and the third-in-command has the watch. Based on evidence from the ship's log and from British accounts, apparantly the TO began taking turns too wide, and began to slowly drift towards the British fleet around midnight. Where a squadron of light patrol boats were, as light patrol boats do, pushing the limits of _their_ patrol area as well. Slowly, the rattletrap old cruiser and the four small ships drift closer and closer, both totally unaware of the other, engine noise lost in the howl of the storm. Until at just before 2 AM on the morning of the 14th, the TOSCANO OPERAIO strikes its most accurate shot ever. It rams a British patrol boat and neatly slices the smaller vessel in half, just as the PB squeezes off a volley of machine gun fire. Instantly realizing what's happened, the young lieutenant on the bridge orders hard about and steam for home at flank speed; just as the British patrol boats, not unreasonably thinking they're under attack, open up with their deck guns. Gunnery crews return fire; they're trained to fire back immediatly when fired upon, but a combination of inexperience, the wild zigzag maneuevers of the four vessels, and the rough seas mean all they do is make a big light show. The captain of the TOSCANO has come to the bridge by now, and with him at the helm, the big ship barely manages to make its escape (the patrol boats are more interested in saving the crew of the fourth ship in the water, and they know they can't take a cruiser, not with help an hour away.). Eight British sailors are dead, and one Italian. -Instantly, the world is on the brink. Churchill threatens war and orders the HERMES to arm their nuclear arsenal, while at the same time sending troops bound for East Africa to the Mediterreanean. Toghliatti dares Churchill to do his worst and begins final preperations for an invasion, while an angry, angry Lazar Kaganovich reluctantly backs his ally, accelerating the Soviet task force's journey to Messina. Seriously angry at his erstwhile ally, Francois Darlan mobilizies the French nuclear strike force and sends troops into the Palatine, putting them right on the border with the Soviet Union. (Reinhard Gehlen, who recently postponed elections until 1956, proclaims Westphalian neutrality.) By May 20, the two fleets are only fifty miles apart. Even Joseph Kennedy Jr. has been motivated to call on the Amsterdam Pact and the Soviet Bloc to "keep the fragile peace in Europe, lest we fall into the cauldron of war in this new decade", ignoring that most of Europe fell into the cauldron of war in the decade _before_ last, actually. On the 20th, Winston Churchill summons Parliment into a special session, promising an extraordinary announcement. He has just strode to the podium when he turns bright red, stares at the assembled Members for a moment, and collapses. Anthony Eden is the first at his side, the first to take the crumpled sheet of paper from his hand, and the one to close his eyes. He strides up to the podium as the crowd realizes that Winston Churchill, the Lion personified, is dead, and here is his likely successor. Eden holds the paper high. "It is a call for peace!" -By the end of the month, Lazar Kaganovich has his old colleague Molotov back as Foriegn Minister, Anthony Eden is Prime Minister of Great Britain, and the new Nenni government has pledged not to attack Sicily, though there will be no diplomatic recognition of the de Gasperi government, or Ciano's, for that matter. --- Thoughts? Oh, and, no, no it wasn't. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 64 Date: 09 Jun 2001 22:13:27 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 64 June-September 1953 -On June 9, 1953, Prime Minister John George Diefenbaker, Defense Minister Dalton Camp, Walter Zinn, and General Henry Crerar are among the crowd of Canadian dignitaries gathered aboard the Canadian destroyer Isacc Brock, currently in the Foxe Basin between Baffin Island and the Melville Peninsula on the mainland of Labrador. Just before noon, they witness Canada's entry into the nuclear age when the fission bomb "CA-1" detonates on nearby Prince Charles Island. Three years in the making, the bomb detonates with the force of thirty thousand tons of TNT. Canada doesn't have much of a delivery system for the bomb, but B-36s built under license just after WWII, taking off from various parts of Canada (the Yukon, Newfoundland, and Ontario) can carry nuclear weapons to any potential enemies, so Diefenbaker is content. CA-1 is a propaganda coup for his government; Canada's economy isn't very strong, and the main accomplishments of Diefenbaker's Progressive Conservatives have been the adoption of a new national flag and the emancipation (on a federal level) of Native Canadians. But the newly-named "Atomic Prime Minister" has a monument much like him, big and noisy and impressive, and he begins a new series of programs, including construction of nuclear power plants to replace coal. (Regrettably, like many of Diefenbakers' OTL ideas, he hasn't entirely thought the matter through.) -President Kennedy congratulates Canada on their technological achievement, but quietly has the American radar bases in North Dakota, Alaska, and New England cast a slightly suspicious electronic eye on the Great White North. Canada is the first nuclear power that the United States shares a hemisphere with, and even the basic good relations between the two can't overcome Joe Kennedy Jr's suspicions, especially given Diefenbaker's unabashed Anglophilia. (Diefenbaker's rhetoric during the Sicilian Crisis even outmatched Churchill's.) Kennedy privately urges Treasury Secretary Tobin and Commerce Secretary Daley to direct American foreign trade away from Canada; as much as can be done without actually hurting the US, at least, given the tight interconnectedness of the two nation's economies. If Diefenbaker wants nuclear weapons and likes the UK better than the US, fine, that's what he'll get. Kennedy also accelerates the development of federally funded power plants in the Northeast, in a plan to lower American dependence on Canadian electrical power. -In July, Chaing Kai-Shek barely survives an assasination attempt, losing the sight in his right eye. Taiwan is not at all a pleasant place in the early 1950s. More paranoid after being "betrayed" by the Americans and losing more badly to the Communists, his crackdown and purging of local Taiwanese intellectuals in 1949 was more severe than in OTL, beginning a vicious cycle of repression that has made Taiwan a frightening place indeed for a non-Kuomintag member. Not that matters are perfect for them, either. With American foriegn aid at very low levels and military help nearly non-existent, Taiwanese society is very heavily militarized (mandatory draft and service for all males between 18-45) and quite poor. America's small but powerful "Taiwan Lobby", mostly made up of servicemen who served in Formosa during and after the American invasion, has ensured there will be no increase in American aid until the government lowers the level of repression, and even for foriegn aid, _that's_ not going to happen anytime soon. -Meanwhile, fighting in the Philippines has somewhat stabilized by the end of summer, somewhat to the worry of the Thorez-led Hukabalahap. The American military has switched to, and been successful at, driving the guerillas out of the major cities and away from pro-goverment populations on the coast. There's been a paucity of American raids into the Huk-controlled sectors as well, now that the Huk are surrounded by a largely friendly population. Even American air raids have largely come to a halt; the most common American airplanes flying overhead these days in central Luzon are high-level reconnaissance aircraft taking pictures. By September, the Communist-controlled areas of Luzon are perhaps the best-photographed areas in the world. There's a reason for this, of course, but no one in the area knows it just yet. (The isolated Huk presence on other, smaller islands has been well-stamped out by the United States Marine Corps, one of the few unqualified successes of Operation COPPER.. One veteran of those engagements, Lieutenant Daniel Taylor, while giving the commencement address to the class of 1954 at his old Dallas high school, will inspire a young honor student named Lee Harvey Oswald to join the Marine Corps.) -Lazar Kaganovich is a busy man in September of 1953, what with carefully organizing a plan to ensure tight Soviet control of her satillite states in Eastern Europe, condemning the "cult of the intellectual" surrounding Karl Marx, and arranging for a strong Soviet military presence in the JPR. Still, he always has time to meet with a representative of the other big country with nuclear weapons; especially old Burton Kendall Wheeler, the American ambassador, with a personal message from President Joseph Kennedy Jr. It's not a message, though; merely a question and comment. How would the Soviet Union react if the United States used nuclear weapons in its ongoing conflict in the Pacific? The Ambassador makes it clear that Kennedy is not asking for permission, he merely wants to warn Kaganovich ahead of time. As he does for every major question, Kaganovich asks for time to think matters over, and promises to call Wheeler back in a week or two. He has a lot to think about. The most obvious problem, coming so soon after the apparant Soviet victory in the Sicilian Crisis (both the Amsterdam Pact and the USSR claimed victory), is loss of face. The American defeat of a Communist insurgency might make other insurgencies in East Asia, specifically Burma, lose heart. However, neither the Huk nor the Burmese Communists are Soviet-backed; the Filipino Communists are very home-grown and supported, and whatever limited Soviet aid they got ended with the American blockade. Only Mao Tse-Tung knows it was Joseph Stalin and now himself who urged the Chinese government to intervene on behalf of the Indochinese and to supply such massive aid to the Burmese and Indonesians, and Mao isn't talking. Too, the Americans and Amsterdam Pact are well-seperated in the minds of even the most ignorant partisan, an American victory over her local Communists won't suggest an Amsterdam Pact victory over Soviet or Chinese-backed Communists. Another obvious problem is, of course, that the Americans might inspire the Amsterdam Pact to use weapons of a similar nature in Burma or East Africa. It doesn't seem as if they will, though. Darlan's attention is on French colonial wars in Africa, where the insurgents are nationalist rather than Communist. (They are _very_ not-Communist in Algeria, in fact.) As for the United Kingdom, the Sicilian Crisis has not left Kaganovich with a great respect for the willpower of Anthony Eden. Even if Eden can work up the nerve, he has his opposition to worry about. The main risk, then, is an abstract one, a mode of thinking the old industrialist isn't used to using. Even if the Amsterdam Pact doesn't pick up on the use of nuclear weapons right away, Kaganovich himself will certainly use nuclear weapons if, say, Rokovossosky in Poland or Tito in Yugoslavia get too uppity. And that road is reasonably likely to lead to some sort of nuclear exchange at some point. Still, the USSR has lots more nuclear weapons than their primary enemy at the moment, the Amsterdam Pact. In fact, Soviet-American cooperation on this issue might lead to more. While a formal alliance, or even particularly good relations between the heart of industrial capitalism and the world's most powerful Communist state is almost certainly not going to happen, if sufficient detente is achieved by the time of that possible war between the Amsterdam Pact and the Soviet Union...the United States just might stay out of it. And when he puts it _that_ way...Kaganovich doesn't hesitate to tell Ambassador Wheeler that the Philippines fall into the American sphere of influence, they can do as they please there, right down to nuclear weapons on the heads of local Communists. ---- Thoughts? Use of nuclear weapons in this scenario may seem nuts, but it's not. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 65 Date: 10 Jun 2001 02:47:14 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 65 October 1-19 1953 -The attacks come north of Palayan on October 3, 1953, by carrier aircraft launched from the U.S.S. David Farragut. There are three of them, all clustered within a triangle ten miles on a side, a radio communications center, a munitions depot, and a road junction. All are actually well away from the front, in territory easily accesible and inspectable by the Huk forces. The attacks come within an hour of each other between 5:40 and 6:56 PM (EST), and the bombs detonated are 1 10-kiloton warhead per target. All are shattered beyond repair. By 10 AM (EST) on the 4th, after the senior Huk leadership has had time to either inspect or recieve reports of the damage, Joseph Kennedy Jr. addresses the United States and the Philippines live by particularly powerful and relayed radio. (The US gets the TV broadcast as well.) Kennedy announces the use of nuclear weapons in Luzon and promises destruction of all enemy targets, by nuclear weapons, by the end of 1953, until and unless the Hukabulahap surrenders. He goes on: "There are those watching or listening to this broadcast, in Moscow or London, Beijing or Paris who may compare this to the unprovoked atrocities of the past administration. However, let me make one thing perfectly clear. The United States is no longer in the business of killing civilians without cause or purpose. The nuclear weapons used last night on the Communist bases in Luzon were used for the same purpose as the nuclear weapons used on Germany and Japan in the last war; to destroy the military might of the enemy and to show him the strength of our resolve. If you are prepared to call our actions on Luzon an atrocity, if you are prepared to call myself, Secretary Morse, or General Westmoreland warmongers or butchers, then you must call the destruction of Hitler and Tojo an atrocity, you must call Robert Taft, Secretary William Donovan, and General Omar Bradley warmongering butchers. I have seen the face of war, as have many of my viewers and listeners. It is a hideous, ugly thing, something no man, whatever his creed or color, should face. But if war must come, it must be fought with every weapon available, and it must end quickly." -Shortly after Kennedy's broadcast, American carrier bombers and ground artillery begin a large-scale bombardment of Huk-controlled territory with chemical weapons, mostly mustard gas. Chemical weapons are nothing new in warfare in the mid-20th century, they saw moderate use in WWII and heavy use in the Indochine War, the Italian Civil War, Operation COPPER, and essentially every major conflict since 1945. The US has never used them to this extent, however, and they're actually outrunning existing stocks, they've only six months of heavy fighting's worth left in the entire American arsenal. Kennedy's government isn't being stupid; they have to show _force_...because they're running one of the larger bluffs in American military history. While JPK Jr. promised "peace with honor" during the campaign, he knows what will happen if American armies come home with a Communist guerilla movement still around in significant numbers in Luzon. He'll be a laughing-stock, again, the boy governor elected as a war hero who couldn't beat a bunch of mud hut guerillas. Unfortunately, if he's to end the war quickly, as he must, he needs to hit the Huk _hard_, harder than even Dewey's army did...but that would mean casualties, and far too many of those to boot. But even the Quirino government, made an American puppet state by dint of the sheer numbers of American troops occupying Manila and parts near, won't stand for massive use of weapons of mass destruction so close to his capitol, and American public opinion won't stand for a coup d'etat, even a well-mannered one. It all comes down to a question of nerves, then. -Luis Turac has been fighting for 11 years. First it was the Japanese (the Hukabalahap formed in 1942), in a long, bitter campaign that seemed to last forever. Then it was the government, when Quezon stabbed the peasants in the back time and time again, and now the Americans with their odd ways, necessary brutality condemned as a monstrosity. The government has been getting smarter too, General Magsaysay has successfully pulled so many of his old comrades away with pardons and promises of cooperation. (Madmen. Don't they know of Bismark?) And now this. Turac is one of the first senior officers on the scene of the Triune Attack; he pulls bodies out of ruined bunkers himself, stares in horror at the image of a soldier burnt forever into the concrete near ground zero. (It is probably here that he acquires the cancer that will kill him in 1965.) No more of this. Eleven years, three different opponents, and now all fighting means is death, death not just for him but for the brave boys who first took up his banner against the Japanese. No more, no more. On October 19, 1953, Luis Turac surrenders the Hukabalahap. The Luzon War is over, in the sense that the Philippine Insurrection ended when TR declared so. Perhaps 50,000 Filipinos are dead, perhaps 4,000 Americans have become casualties. ---- Thoughts? Turac's surrender may seem anticlimatic but in OTL, with the Huk divided and on the run, he surrendered in 1954. In the ATL, while they've been relatively stronger for most of their post-war history, it's obvious that the war is lost, and when they fall, they'll fall _hard._ Surrender means cooperation. It's short, but to the point, i hope. I'll get back to the rest of the world eventually, honestly. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 66 Date: 10 Jun 2001 22:14:12 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 66 December 1953-May 1954 -With the end of the Luzon War and the formal abolishing of the draft, Joseph Kennedy Jr. finds himself riding a wave of popularity like no President since Franklin Roosevelt in 1933. To maintain both his own popularity and the strong Democratic Congressional majority, he passes a large package of economic programs in early 1954: a high protectionist tariff (30% on steel alone), cuts on the last surviving Wallace-era regulations on industry, synchronizing the Federal Reserve Director's term with the President's, and giving Secretary of theTreasury Tobin a vote on the Federal Reserve's board. The President is what most Americans like to imagine they are: the young war hero returned home, with a young wife and new family. Even his brothers seem likeable: John Fitzgerald is speaker of the Massachusetts state legislature and author of several best-selling history books, Robert is the famous investigative reporter, and Edward is the bright young college boy. (Joseph's infidelity, John's problem with methamphetamines, Robert's and especially Edward's alcoholism are, of course, swept under the rug. The Kennedy political machine combined with the gentlemanly press of the early 1950s (rebounded from the nastiness of the '40s) works just as well as for John's administration in OTL.) -In February, an mid-level British diplomat named Guy Burgess finds a fascinating piece of carbon paper that somehow wound up in the back files of the Foriegn Ministry. It's a communique sent by the Prime Minister's office to RAF bases in Malta and Scotland (the order would only be read by very high-level officers), confirming that "Order 11" has been rescinded. The date is in May of 1953, just after the end of the Sicilian Crisis. He's not quite sure what it means, but he does pass it on to his superiors, carefully. (A colleague, Donald MacLean, threw himself in front of a bus when suspected of espionage three years before.) When said superiors find out the exact meaning of Order 11, Lazar Kaganovich has a fascinating picture indeed of "The Matter of Britain." (Contrary to stories told by rightists in Europe and America, the Soviet Union does _not_ prefer leftist governments in Western Europe and the US to right-wing ones. Indeed, Kaganovich likes Anthony Eden in charge of Great Britain quite a bit. Still, he's not one to turn down such information.) -Kennedy's popularity goes up even more in March of 1954, when Guatemalan President Jacobo Arbenz appropiates and begins redistributing the seriously vast amounts of land owned by the United Fruit corporation in his company. United Fruit is a fair bit richer than the government itself, as well as being the largest landowner and employer. As per OTL, Arbenz is no Communist stooge, he really is just taking a risky step to help the impoverished peasants and workers of his country. Also as per OTL, though, he certainly does have the support of Guatemala's Communists, and more to the point, no American President, especially not a son of Joe Kennedy Sr., is going to let an American corporation be inconvienced by a Latin American government. With America's intelligence community small and underfunded, centered around the OIS, he can't organize a local coup d'etat, and while it wouldn't require much military force to drive out Arbenz, an actual military invasion is out of the question with the Luzon War just barely over. Instead, he compromises. Government-sponsored public relations companies blather about Reds in Latin America as Kennedy sends the U.S.S Intrepid south from San Diego, where it's been refitting since October. The Intrepid is fresh from the Philippines, full of veteran bomber pilots with planes full of bombs. The American ambassador gets a meeting with Arbenz and tells him in black terms of the fate of those who oppose the US, intimating that nuclear or chemical attack will be launched against Guatemala City if Arbenz does not surrender. His attempts to mobilize the army fail when rumors that the Americans are coming in strength and bent on slaughter and conquest rip through Guatemala; when Kennedy persuades El Salvador to mobilize its military, the already fragile structure of Guatemalan society gets weaker and weaker. By April 9, when American airplanes from the Intrepid destroy most of Guatemala City's bridges and all of her power plants, it's almost an anti-climaz, Arbenz is already quickly packing his bags and fleeing into the British-controlled Belize. (They're more inclined to give refuge to a politician seen as anti-American.) The new government isn't so much in the pocket of United Fruit as it is United Fruit with a Guatemalan face. With no American deaths and American industry protected, the United States and, more specifically, Joseph Kennedy Jr, look very good indeed. -During his annual May Day address, Premier Lazar Kaganovich stuns the world with a surprise announcement. "The democratic and peace-loving states" of Eastern Europe friendly to the Soviet Union will be organized into a unified defense and economic structure, tentatively called "The Alliance of People's Democracies." On the surface, nothing much has changed. The APD would only formalize arrangements that have existed since the late 1940s (namely, that Eastern Europe jumps when Moscow says so), but it's still a formal, public statement of the authority the Soviet Union has over its satiellite states. Oddly enough, one government official deeply discomfited at the notion is Mao Tse-Tung. The APD's name doesn't preclude expansion to every Soviet-backed state, and he has _no_ desire to have Moscow start to tell him what to do. He's not strong enough to resist them quite yet...but he's not that worried. Moscow isn't strong enough to push him around either, and he's got his own little friends in Indochina, Burma, and bits and pieces of Indonesia. Joseph Broz Tito's situation is a bit different. He knows the Markos government feels as he does and Nenni _might_; the Italian General Secretary is far less Stalinist than the man he replaced, and the fate of his predecessor did a good job of teaching him what happens to puppet leaders who fall off their strings. But none of them can even trust their own house completely, especially Nenni. Nagy in Hungary might go his way, too, and Rokovossoky is relatively unpopular. Dimitrov in Bulgaria will be against him, of course, not to mention Hoxha in Albania or the Romanians. And, of course, Lazar Kaganovich at the head of the great Soviet bear. He fences on the night of May 2-3, even as the Yugoslavian army begins mobilization. Parry, thrust, parry, advance...well, now he'll have a chance to thrust at the heart of the Bear itself. Time to see just how tough the industralist really is. ---- Thoughts? Subject: For All Time Pt. 67 Date: 11 Jun 2001 22:16:28 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 67 May 1954-August 1954 -With two great European crises happening in May one year apart, fringe social theorists will talk seriously of a yearly cycle of social unrest. It's about as true as most social theories, but will entertain some for several months. The summer of 1954 will inspire more than just social theories; it will have plays, movies, songs, and several best-selling spy novels. Too, it will begin the long, slow road towards the awakening of the American ostrich. But all that's in the future on May 3, 1954, when Yugoslavian leader Josif Broz Tito announces that Yugoslavia will take no part in the Alliance of People's Democracies "or any other infringement of a foriegn power upon her national sovereignty." Instead, he invites Albania, Bulgaria, Greece, and Italy to join him in a "Mediterranean Federation" of non-aligned states: "To steer our own path, not devoured by Russian imperialism on the left or pulled under and drowned by the capitalist whirlpool on the right." Within a day, after Greek President Markos Vafiades declared his support for the Yugoslavian initiative, long-simmering sentiments of ill-will explode through Eastern Europe. Oppressed citizens of Berlin and Munich storm through the city after meeting in Atomic Square; where the damage caused by the final American atomic bomb has been preserved. Crowds of students gather around the office of liberal Hungarian Premier Imre Nagy, calling on him to mobilize the Army and expel the Soviet presence. In Poland, elements of the Polish Army (mobilized for a nation-wide civil defense drill) actually assault the Warsaw military base where the "Russian" Konstantin Rokossovski is reviewing his troops. (Czechoslovakia and Austria stay quiet thanks to a quick and merciless clampdown by the efficient local governments.) Even in relatively stable Albania, Bulgaria, and Romania, suddenly thousands of people are on the streets, marching for liberty. A surprising number aren't actually Communists, and would likely find Josif Tito's Yugoslavia an unappetizing place...but repression breeds strange bedfellows, and a great deal of cognitive dissonance is at work on both sides, though Yugoslavia and Greece are careful to accept the support only of Communist organizations abroad. (Both Yugoslavia and Greece, by preemptive army deployments, manage to keep down their own Stalinists.) Pietro Nenni likely would have joined Markos and Tito in their rebellion; but Italy is the only place where Soviet, Yugoslavian, Greek, and Bulgarian troops are side by side and armed (for the moment.) The Soviet commanders on the ground move first and best, and soon they're chasing the rebels into the hills while Pietro Nenni is rather nervously going on the radio and announcing his full support for the Kaganovich government and Soviet policy in Europe. Meanwhile, in Moscow, Lazar Kaganovich, forced to do the one thing he hates (move quickly) gives a rather surprising order. Limited Soviet troops will be moved into Eastern Europe, if the local governments request it...but outside of Italy, no Soviet troops or troops from the Soviet Bloc will cross Yugoslavian or Greek soil. Indeed, Kaganovich proclaims his friendship to all the Yugoslavian and Greek peoples, urging them to overthrow their "capitalists in Leninist-Stalinist clothing" leaders. -Cautious of tangling with the Communists so soon after the embarrassment and terror of the Sicilian Crisis, the Amsterdam Pact pledges support for "democratic movements" everywhere. Anthony Eden has begun to sink into a fugue of depression from some unidentified source, and Darlan is busy in Africa, where his whirlwind tour of Algeria is actually very safe, mostly because there are a paucity of non-assimilated Muslims in the major cities. They've been forcibly driven into the deep interior, many heading into Libya. Joseph Kennedy Jr. doesn't pay much attention, though he makes similar statements that don't actually say anything at all. His America is listening to a 19-year old white from Florida belt out covers of songs by more gifted artists of the wrong skin color; he personally has decided which Southern Senator he'll appoint to the Supreme Court to satisfy the Southern Democrats who helped put him into office. In July of 1954, Puerto Rico votes, by a razor-thin margin, for independance from the United States in 1956. -As she has since the beginning of history, Poland becomes the fulcrum on which Europe turns. It will be events in Warsaw in the last half of May, that will shape all that comes next, in Eastern Europe and elsewhere. Much of it will turn on the character of Konstantin Rokossovski, the son of a Pole and Russian who became a Red Army general and rose to the highest rank, even while speaking his Russian with a marked Polish accent. Had his nerve broken between May 4-11, things might have been very different in the summer of 1954, and after. Had he surrended his base, the largest Red Army base in Poland, and surrendered his title as Premier, perhaps the rising power of the Soviet Union might have been checked right there, on that day. But, of course, it didn't. Personally leading a column of T-34s, the old Marshal broke the siege of Stalinsk Base between May 11 and May 14, finally battering his way out to a radio transmitter, where he signalled for help from Moscow before returning to the fray. Within a day, Soviet troops were pouring across the border to aid loyal Polish troops and the embattled Russians already in Poland, and by the end of the month, the Red Army boot was busy tramping out any resistance beyond a nuisance level. With Poland crushed, Imre Nagy comes down on the side of not getting shot to death by the Soviets, and is soon directing the destruction of those who'd begged for his help and pledged alliegance only a few short weeks before in the middle of June. As fighting continues in Italy through July, the governments of Albania, Bulgaria, and Romania calmly and brutally shoot down their protestors in the streets, even as they invite Moscow in to help too. Tito and Markos fight hard and well, but by the beginning of August, both can tell they've lost. Despite inflicting terrific casualties, the Yugoslavian and Greek troops in Italy have been pushed back over the border (rather ominously, over the border the Italians claim), and all their attempted offensives to assist Poland, Hungary, or the rest of the Communist world in breaking free of the Soviet yoke have met with bloody reverses. In Albania and Anatolia, the slightly mad Envers Hoxha and his even madder Turkish counterpart have mobilized their armies, perched on the border and ready to swoop down on the foe. The more stable Communist states await Moscow's orders. But Lazar Kaganovich has another plan. Another plan entirely. On August 1, 1954, he makes a rare move; a televised address, from his office, to the people of Yugoslavia and Greece. If they do not remove their leaders by the middle of the month, he will do it for them, by the most terrible means known to man. Tito and Markos take their gamble and bet that if Joseph Stalin only used nuclear weapons once in wartime, the old shoemaker from Kiev and Turkestan will do no such thing. And if the Red Army does invade, well, they've won guerilla wars before. They issue a blistering reply. -Kaganovich knows that for all Sudoplatov's security services are good, they're not that good, and anything the Soviet Union has will eventually get out to the West. Better to release the information publically, and in a way to impress the other Soviet client states: this is what happens when you go up against the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, when you break treaty and cause a war. Too, he has to prove to the world that he's as tough as Joseph Kennedy Jr...._and_ more power. Markos is next on his list, if he resists, but Tito is the center, the focal point of the conspiracy. Two weeks after Tito and Markos dare him to do his worst, he does. At 8:45 AM local time, a high-level Soviet bomber detonates a 10-megaton hydrogen bomb in the skies over Zagreb, Yugoslavia. Roughly 500,000 people live in the relatively densely packed Croat city. Much of it is on the flat flood plain of the Savo River. Most people are on the street, going to work. ---- Thoughts? I've justification for my insanity. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 68 Date: 12 Jun 2001 23:21:48 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 68 August 1954-December 1954 -Despite countless romatic ballads penned by Yugoslav refugees afterwards (many who would have spat in the eye of Josif Tito while he was alive), Josif Broz Tito does not escape from his besieged capital during the battle for Belgrade. (August 21-30.) While his death in an artillery barrage just as the pro-Soviet forces push their way into the capitol district proper may lack Hollywood impact, the old partisan leader does die at the head of his men in a reasonably noble last stand. The new government tamely asks for Soviet help during reconstruction. His Greek colleague is not so lucky; the things Markos Vafiades's secret police chief does to him after the coup on August 25 aren't pretty, and what the Athens mob does to his body(most of them acting out of fear for their lives, trying to impress the new government) after he's tossed to them are even worse. Just as their colleagues in Belgrade do, the new Greek government invites in the Soviets before the first of September. With no more than 5,000 Soviet military casualties, (and perhaps 1000 dead), Lazar Kaganovich has restored order to Eastern Europe. (The remaining activists in the Soviet Bloc, not unreasonably afraid for their lives, quiet down very quickly indeed.) The occupation forces in Greece and Yugoslavia are multi-ethnic; Russian and Albanian, Bulgarian and Austrian, a grand solidarity of Communist countries and a good image for the infant CPSD. There are, of course, over half a million civilian casualties; mostly in Greece and Poland. That excludes, of course, the apocalypse of Croatia. Three hundred and fifty thousand people died in Zagreb in the initial blast; another hundred thousand died within a week. The survivors joined the hundreds of thousands of Yugoslavians roaming Croatia and the nation, looking for...somewhere. Anywhere. -In the United States, President Kennedy appoints no less a person than Theodore Hall to head the American thermonuclear bomb project. The former Presidential Science Advisor almost immediately finds himself at war with his old Manhattan Project comrade, Dr. Edward Teller. (Teller, who has been teaching at Berkely since Taft dismantled much of America's nuclear research program, had become something of a pariah in American nuclear circles thanks to his repeated letters urging the development of a hydrogen bomb. Now he's back in the government's good graces...but Kennedy still doesn't trust the Hungarian loose cannon quite enough to let him run the project.) Hall was badly shaken by the nuclear destruction of Zagreb; it seemed to show that the Soviets were no better than the Americans. Still, the convictions of a lifetime are hard to overcome. He will build Joe Kennedy his hydrogen bomb...and he'll tell the Soviets every last detail. If there must be a balance of terror in the world, at least there'll a balance of power as well. -His health in fragile shape from stress and methaphetamines, Prime Minister Anthony Eden takes the oppurtunity of the disorder in Eastern Europe to retire in early October. With foriegn affairs and the military on everyone's mind, he hands power over to his defense minister, a stalwart fellow named Harold MacMillan. The new Prime Minister moves quickly to clean house once in office, arm-twisting Cabinet members and government officials around until he has a body of men around him he can trust. Replacing MacMillan at Defense is John Prumufo, a decorated veteran of World War II and a former high commissioner in the British portion of the Palatine. The new Foriegn Minister is Guy Burgess, while rounding out the trio of new blood is the new director of MI6; the former head of the Soviet Divison: Kim Philby. Much like his quasi-counterpart in Stalin's era, security concerns give Philby direct supervision of the British portion of the Amsterdam Pact's hastily-inaugurated thermonuclear project in the deserts of Sudan. Darlan appoints an actual nuclear scientist with a famous name, Irene Curie, to head the French contingent. Shortly thereafterwards, both Burgess and Philby notice a shift in the behavior of their handlers; most are actually replaced all together, the new people look like junior operatives. Too, they shift more towards dead drops and other techniques where neither can quite give the game away. Both dismiss it; it's a logical tightening of security now that they're both in far more high profile positions than before. -The Great Powers aren't the only nations to be rather alarmed by the Soviet destruction of Zagreb. The Evatt government in Australia approaches their Antipodean neighbor about a joint program to be carried out in the Australian desert. (Evatt is more worried about an aggressive Amsterdam Pact or America than the Soviets at the moment, but it's a good story to tell more conservative governments when trying to cooperate. Mao Tse-Tung throws more and more bodies at the A-bomb question; while the members of the Scandanavian Coal and Steel Community (very, very quietly) agree to cooperate on any program they establish, at any time in the future. The Delgado government in Venezuela adds inquiries in university physics and engineering departments to its prioties in operations in the Palatine. -In November, John George Diefenbaker vows to continue his government's program of public works. Already there is a causeway under construction from the mainland to Prince Edward Island along with Canada's program of nuclear power plant construction, and now he promises a system of federally-funded highways to connect "Whitehorse to Victoria, Victoria to Toronto, and Toronto to Charlottetown." It's a nice idea, and one that might help Canada's troubled economy (the A-bomb project was expensive indeed, and the greater defense spending doesn't help matters much either.), except that he hasn't actually bothered to ponder putting a four-lane highway down in the Yukon, or, for that matter, mention the idea to the provincal premiers, who might have some slight interest in the matter. Still, he is Dief the Chief, the Atomic Prime Minister, and plans are quickly drawn up for major "interprovincial highways" all across the continent...a lot of people just aren't happy about it. Construction will begin first in Ontario and the Maritimes, both of whom have slipped into a slight economic depression in the past year thanks to the questionable trade relations with the Americans. -Joseph Kennedy Jr. is mildly irritated at Diefenbaker's stealing his thunder on the power plant issue, but not that much. After all, Canada gets relatively little coverage in the United States, and those who did hear much about the announcement were in New England and the upper tier of the Midwest, people not inclined to think much of Canada deconnecting itself from the American power grid and local industry. In his address celebrating the Democratic Party's retaining control of Congress, Kennedy pledges a (simplified and smaller over OTL) national interstate system, as well as at least one federally-funded power plant (presumably nuclear) in every state by 1961. To that end, he asks Congress to set up a Department of Energy as a full cabinet-level post. ---- Thoughts? Subject: For All Time Pt. 69 Date: 14 Jun 2001 00:15:04 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 69 January-May 1955 -On January 1, 1955, an American chemist named Linus Pauling, famous for winning the Nobel Prize a year before, announces that he has discovered the secret of life! Well, the building blocks of it anyway: the Oregon State grad has found the double helix structure of DNA using X-ray diffraction. Pauling follows up his paper in February with the publication of a book describing his discovery: _The Staff of Life._ Pauling, as modest as most research scientists, thoroughly enjoys the subsequent academic reaction, most of which is praise for the already famous and respected scientist. The biggest surprise for him, though, is a very generous offer from the government to act as a consultant to a new biological research labratory they're setting up in Puget Sound. It's a grand deal; a salary that seems obscene to even an experienced academic, a chance to be his own boss and tell others what to do without the responsibility of leadership, and the government will even pay for his commute! It's a grand suggestion and he happily accepts. Unknown to Pauling, while the American laboratory does have a significant civilian sector, funding research into polio among other things, the primary purpose of the Puget Sound National Medical Laboratory is weapons, specifically bio-weapons, molecular biology, and even the near-fetal science of genetic engineering. Pauling's personal isolationism (he protested the Luzon War and the occupation of Puerto Rico) was at first mistaken for just that, rather than a dislike of war in general, but the government agents on the scene, mostly military in civilian clothes, are quick to realize this. For the moment, at least, Pauling will know nothing of what he's helping to build. (With the massive increase for military-related science funding in the US after the destruction of Zagreb, a substantial amount of money was left unassigned even beyond the Hall-Teller Super Project. Max Faget has his EHLB program in Nevada, and now there's the biological research division in Puget Sound. It's a new science, and thus hopefully one the Communists don't have a lead in.) -In February, Lazar Kaganovich, speaking for the Council of People's and Socialist Democracies, announces the preliminary division of the former state of Yugoslavia. "Experience having proven that the unfortunate peoples of the traitor Tito's empire cannot be led united into world socialism, we shall assist their journey seperately." Some of the new borders are nibbles by the former Yugoslavia's Communist neighbors. Nenni's Social Republic of Italy gets her claimed border near Trieste back, as well as a few islands off the coast of Dalmatia. Hoxha's Albania gets the Albanian-rich region of Kosovo, while Nagy recieves the Hungarian-populated Vojvodina. The rest of the former Yugoslavia is divided up along ethnic lines; Serb, Slovene, and Montenegran. Significantly, Croats and Bosnian Muslims get _no_ territory, areas with a Croatian or Muslim population are simply divided up among their neighbors. The new states will recieve full theoretical independance sometime in 1956...theoretically. All are, of course, members of the CPSD. Greece is a bit more lucky; it surrendered instead of fighting and the West would object far more strongly to the carving up of a historical state. (Not to mention the historical Greco-Russian ties.) Still, the new People's Republic of Greece gives their share of the former Turkey to Bulgaria and the Anatolian People's Republic. -In the People's Republic of Korea, Kim il-Jong is a frustrated man. He has dreams...dreams of an imperial Korea that can take revenge on all of her old rivals; Japan and China and the rest. But there are problems; Japan is either an ally or protected by the United States, and an invasion of China would...not be a very good idea. The obvious solution is an atomic bomb, and his scientists are already feverishly at work on that. But he needs something greater, something to knock Korea ahead of the game above all the Great Powers at once. Sure, it will take time, but he's got nothing but. -In April, Chief Justice Styles Bridges announces that the United States Supreme Court will hear arguments in a case arising out of the state of Kansas in their October session. Named for the first plaintiff in alphabetical order, the case is one of several that began in 1953-1954 and are only now reaching the highest level of the American judicial system. It will be, however, only "Andrews vs. Wichita Board of Education" that students of the future will remember. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 70 Date: 15 Jun 2001 02:47:29 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 70 June-October 1955 -The execution of Fidel Castro on June 2 marks the culmination of a series of crackdowns by the government of General Fulgencio Batista. Castro had been a member of the Cuban Parliment before the Batista takeover, and had allegedly been trying to restore the civilian government overthrown in 1952. Castro has organized his movement in a rather messaniac fashion; his capture came while leading an invasion of seventy-four men from the Oriente the year before, and without him, the truly radical phase of the anti-Batista movement comes to an end. (Not that the movement itself comes to an end. No indeed.) The few surviving members of his inner circle scatter to the four winds: his brother Raul Castro Ruz hides in plain sight, falling deeper and deeper into the vast world of organized crime in Havana. Ernesto Guevara de la Serna, embittered at both South American fascists and Americans, slips south through the Caribbean and South America, finally returning to his native Argentina just before the end of the year. -The primary story of the summer of 1955 in the US is the murder of political activist and lay minister John Birch. Birch had won a great deal of fame in the late 1940s and early 50s with his preaching of anti-Communism as a fundamental part of the Word of God, but after a public break with his partner the Reverend Billy Graham (who decided religion was more important than anti-Communism, while Birch thought that anti-Communism WAS religion.), Birch's influence declined outside of his weekly radio show and many books. When the murder is connected to George L. Rockwell, a naval officer who read Karl Marx while recovering from wounds incurred at Sicily, a fair number of Birch's closest friends come to the conclusion that the Communists (or the Europeans; Birch's rhetoric was very nationalistic indeed.) took down America and God's great spokesman as his hour of triumph dawned. Clearly, they must band together in this time of need, in a society in the fallen leader's name. They are a curious crew, this first generation of the John Birch Society. Manson, the UCLA junior; LaRouche, the former Trotskyite from New Hampshire, and Robert Welch, the Connecticut millionaire whose funds make everything possible. They're all quite mad, of course, but this is a season for madness in politics, it seems. In Philadelphia, a charismatic minister with a concern for social justice exceeded only by his gigantic, gigantic ego named Jim Jones has won a special election to the city council. -In Australia, Robert Menzies has been swept back to power, finally displacing the government of Herbert Evatt that he has despised for so long. Always of deep emotional resonance in Australia, the issue of emigration is crucial in the campaign: Evatt's government had been quite friendly to the thousands of Indonesians who fled their country's multi-sided civil war, while Menzies was a bit more sensitive to all those Communists. Menzies quickly begins pouring funds into the joint Australian-New Zealand atomic program and offers the MacMillan government assistance in the ongoing Burmese War. Macmillan is a bit reluctant at first, but good sense soon prevails. The British are losing, bit by bit, and maybe with Australia's help, they won't have to nuke the place. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 71 Date: 15 Jun 2001 22:50:16 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 71 October 1955-February 1956 -In the end, it all comes down to Robert Jackson. One of the last Roosevelt appointees to the Supreme Court, Jackson's record since has been mixed; at times he's sided with the liberal wing led by Hugo Black and William O. Douglas, at times he's sided with the conservatives under Styles Bridges and Alfred Landon. Andrews vs. Witchita will test the "Swinging Judge" (not named for his lifestyle or stance on capital punishment) like no other. The pro-Plessy side lacks its most articulate spokesman of OTL (John W. Davis) but has a more receptive audience; more civil libertarians and segregationists, and a more convincing argument in comparing a hasty Court-ordered desegregation to the Wallace-ordered desegregation of the US military that allegedly led to the failure of D-Day. Not all the insinuations about black soldiers in the world will convince Hugo Black or William O. Douglas, though. Nor, for that matter, will the admittedly brilliant arguments of Thurgood Marshall convince Felix Frankfurter or Alfred Landon that the Court should overstep its bounds. Both are deeply opposed to segregation (especially Frankfurter), but their judicial scruples are stronger than their moral scruples. Richard Russell and Stanley Reed are largely typical Southern Democrats with the racial attitudes one might expect, and not all the persuasive arguments in the world will convince them that the good order and peace in the South will be helped by desegregation, not to mention all that unfortunate race-mixing that is likely to go on. Chief Justice Styles Bridges and former Vice-President George Aiken were largely non-commital during the presentation of the case, but as the Justices begin meeting and debating to decide their opinion, it's clear that Bridges, the old Yankee conservative, sides with no one but himself, believing that while desegregation is probably a good idea, it is a state issue only. George Aiken, liberal rebel from the Taft administration, rebels again from the conservativish majority, and sides with Hugo Black and William O. Douglas in the best traditions of New England liberalism. Thus, the judge from New York is suddenly asked to judge the nation itself, not just now, but for all time. It's a tour of New York City that reminds him of the riots that killed so many, and of just how volatile the racial situation in America is. Too, without his experiences as chief prosecutor at the Nuremburg Trials, Jackson hasn't seen the dark face of human intolerance up close and personal. In the end, he just doesn't care enough. On February 2, 1955, the Supreme Court hands down a decision. 3-3-2-1: Aiken, Black, and Douglas in favor of striking down Plessy and ensuring desegregation everywhere the federal and state governments reach; Frankfurter, Landon, and Jackson condemning segregation as a blight on the American landscape, but saying it is an issue for Congress, not the courts. Reed and Russel have their stirringly white supremacist defense of segregation, and Bridges has his lone, angry dissent. Bridges is irritated at being left out in the cold, again, so irritated that he up and retires just after the decision is delivered. He's not the only one unhappy. --- Thoughts? It's short, but good, I hope. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 72 Date: 19 Jun 2001 00:45:34 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 72 February-May 1956 -In contrast to the Barrio Riots of a few years before, the post-Andrews civil disturbances are a mutual affair. While blacks, Hispanics and whites both rioted in the aftermath of the Arecibo Siege, neither did so at the same time. Northern blacks and Hispanics rioted into white neighborhoods in the major cities, while Southern whites attacked black and Hispanic areas in the rural areas. February of 1956 is, however, a different story. Peaceful and less-than-peaceful black protests take to the streets in nearly every major American city, with the more violent winning out rapidly. After all, all the peaceful gradualism of the NAACP has earned is three votes for liberty on the Supreme Court...while a majority simply made the same kind of white liberal whining they've heard for decades. "It's a state issue." "It's a Congressional issue." In those same cities, though, (especially in the South) suddenly whites burst onto the streets, some celebrating the maintenance of white supremacy, some simply aiming to "take back our cities!" from the distrusted minority groups that have now rioted violently in the past five years. Whatever their motivations, degrees of moderation fade as quickly as in their black counterparts, and soon there is nothing but violence in America. Lynchings are rare outside the South (where a young minister named Ralph Abernathy is hung outside his church), but there are enough fatal beatings and shootings to go around in all sections of the country. Lester Maddox is shot and left paralyzed in late February; only the presence of Marine guards saves Hugo Black from a white Alabaman determined to get the traitor. As the death toll mounts (fifty are dead by the end of February, and that's only the beginning), President Joseph Kennedy Jr. is horrified. Dozens of Americans are dying in bloody racial strife, the CPSD and Amsterdam Pact are mockingly sympathetic...and re-election is now looking risky. Civil disorder, after all, was a big reason the Republicans lost in 1952, and now they just might be back. Very carefully, he sends the National Guard into the major cities, and down into the South. (The regular army knows how to repress civil disorder from Luzon, but it wouldn't be a very good idea to do that.) Kennedy makes sure to deploy experienced veterans; men who know the right way to pacify a city without simply adding to the violence. It works partially. Gambling black votes in the North vs. white votes in the South; he appoints liberal Southerner Estes Kefauver to replace Styles Bridges as Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, and introduces a Full Rights Bill into Congress. It is a heavily watered down combination of OTL's Civil Rights and Voting Rights Acts; mostly desegregating state facilities (as opposed to state-funded facilities), anything funded by the federal government, and automatically transferring lawsuits based around voting rights to the federal courts. (No one in the South is worried about Attorney General Thurmond exercising the power to investigate such lawsuits.) It satisfies a surprising number of moderates on both sides; but then, moderates aren't the ones rioting, beating, burning, and lynching. Still, Kennedy's moves win him support among the majority of the United States; though the most extreme on the left and right aren't pleased at all, and they make their opinions known. Most of them are driven well away from the rioters, however. There will be no revolutions for either side. But there will be deaths. Deaths indeed. By the end of May, when the riots have finally died down, there are over a thousand dead Americans, mostly civilians killed by civilians, mostly killed in the major cities of the North and South. As the government begins re-examining _very_ old plans about policing the inner cities with the military, the country stands behind the government, to an extent. Sort of. -Meanwhile, the Soviet Union makes a bit of a mistake. Aneurin Bevan _indignantly_ refuses an offer tended to him by an unofficial representative of a rather large state east of Poland. He may have led the Labour Party rather sharply to left since beating Hugh Gaitskell for the Party leadership, but he is not a Communist stooge, and neither is anyone else in the Party. Or so he hopes, anyway. The offer was intriguing, though; information to bring down the MacMillan government, including exposure of highly-placed spies and friends of spies, if Bevan agreed to support nuclear disarmament and take steps to withdraw from the Amsterdam Pact upon taking office. If there _are_ Communist spies in the Government, something must be done, and unofficially to boot. -On May 2, 1956, Admiral Francois Darlan dons his full dress uniform. Commander of the French armed forces, head of state, head of government, hero of World War II, he shines with medals like the sun as he watches it set over Paris. His family is in Tahiti; they've been vacationing there for quite some time. It's safe, after all, and he takes care of his own. And himself. His intestinal cancer (oddly one of the few diseases safer for the elderly than the young) has been getting worse and worse; the drugs have begun to impair his faculties, but the constant pain does so even worse. There are no treatments, and he thinks of old friends who died slow, painful deaths. No, that's not for him. No one will humiliate l'admiral. Just before sunset, Admiral Francois Darlan puts his service pistol in his mouth and blows the back of his head off. ---- Thoughts? Sorry for the delay, I've been researching my next project. Don't worry. FaT has two decades and many parts left to go. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 73 Date: 20 Jun 2001 00:28:18 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 73 May-September 1956 -Admiral Francois Darlan's government, built on efficiency and order as it is, survives him easily. His chief of staff and designated successor, General Raoul Salan, alleged hero of Algeria, takes the reigns of power by the end of the week; May 9, 1956. Conscious of his image, he addresses the nation live on the radio and infant television, announcing "A New Hundred Days, but these shall last forever, for the glory of France." Salan knows full well that Darlan's death was a suicide; he'd been close to the old admiral and knew of his despair over his failing health. The remnants of the French free press is calling for new elections, though, and there's only one way to silence them. Hunt the murderers of the National Hero. Beniot Franchon is dragged from his prison cell and guillotined publically on May 12, while Maurice Thorez (in his Romanian exile) says a prayer of thanks that he got out when the getting was good. In Salan's first 100 days, perhaps five thousand opposition politicians, newspapermen, anyone who had too noisily criticized the government are publically executed, all in the central square of whatever city they live in, most of them after public trials by Jo Ortiz, Salan's favorite civilian. Some would call it a Second Reign of Terror, if they weren't dead or terrified for their lives. Even after the Hundred Days are over, Salan still moves, but now abroad. He detonates three atomic bombs in Algeria and French West Africa each, concentrating them against civilian targets, specifically food distribution centers. (This is a bit of a risk, France's specifically-controlled nuclear arsenal is only a dozen bombs and the half-finished "Charles II" in the Sudan desert.) -In London, Harold MacMillian does the Prime Minister equivalent of banging his head on the wall. If it wasn't for the urgent necessity of cooperation against the Soviets; he'd cut France loose so fast...Salan is anti-Communist, and they need that right now. But it's just so nauseating. Aneurin Bevan isn't just nauseated, he's horrified as he watches a film of . He didn't get where he is without friends, especially in the press, and fortunately his friend kept quiet about what they discovered about John Prufumo...after all, they found more, especially after that bureaucrat from the Foriegn Ministry got a bit too drunk. By now, it's moved beyond politics, beyond getting Labour back in power. It's about doing to Harold MacMillan what those reporters did to Thomas Dewey. Bad enough making deals with Fascists; what nest does he have clutched against his bosom? -Almost as an afterthought, Joseph Kennedy Jr. is renominated for a second term in August, retaining Lyndon Johnson as his running mate. The Republicans, meanwhile, nominate John Bricker, a deeply conservative internationalist from Ohio and a former political ally of Robert Taft, and war hero Harold Stassen to go with him. Things have settled down in the United States; there are no more than a few racially motivated murders a week in a typical major city or large state. Attorney General Thurmond has been quietly pushed aside in favor of another Southerner who seems reliable on race, Arkansas Senator J. William Fulbright, who is "safeish" on race at this point. As America moves into an election season, her shattered nerves are soothed by the melodious strains of "Love Me Tender", as sung by the undisputed King of Rock and Roll (though the young man from Florida hates the title), Mr. Pat Boone. ---- Thoughts? If anyone's missing a part of the world, just ask, and I'll get it next. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 74 Date: 20 Jun 2001 23:51:40 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 74 October 1956-February 1957 -In October of 1956, Reinhard Gehlen and the German Liberty Party win re-election by a relatively overwhelming majority. (He ensures the elections are partially fair, enough that the opposition Christian Democrat party under the ailing Konrad Adenauer wins 40% of the popular vote and retains nearly a third of the seats in Congress. The Social Democrat party, quite small, has only a handful of seats.) Gehlen's running mate is Heinz Guderian; well-liked as the man who brought down Hitler, and damaged enough by nearly a decade in Soviet capitivity that he'll pretty much say anything. Gehlen's anti-French and anti-Communist paranoia has driven hundreds of educators, authors, businessmen, and other intelligentsia right out of the country. (While he'd sorely like to kill a lot of them; pressure from the United States and the whole "Germans are evil" thing has kept him from being as repressive as either Darlan or Salan.) A surprising number have wound up in South America; the rest of Europe is nativist, the United States is rapidly closing the Golden Door, but it's Venezuela that needs engineers and physicists, Brazil that needs industrialists. With her relatively low trade barriers (at least to the US), there's nothing much to stop Ford's acquisition of Volkswagen near the end of the month. -November sees Joseph P. Kennedy Jr's re-election by a fair margin; his victory over the Bricker/Warren ticket isn't a landslide; but it's much better than his squeaker over Thomas Dewey four years earlier. Emboldened by his victory, Kennedy moves quickly. At the dedication of the Three Mile Island nuclear plant in January, he reaffirms his pledge for a nuclear power plant in every state. "America must be built on the atom!" he cries. Privately he throws even more money at the American hydrogen bomb program; (Ted Hall now promises a working bomb by the middle of the year, to both his masters), and the EHLB program in Nevada. Max Faget promises a successful test by 1958; and to that end, Kennedy begins a program of expanded airports along the East Coast. Trans-atlantic jets are rare indeed, but internal American air travel has expanded greatly in the 1950s, so the program makes sense on a variety of levels. Too, it's about this time that he decides for a third term in 1960. He's young, popular, and doesn't trust his own party to carry out the Kennedy agenda. He'll have to do something about his Vice-President, though, not to mention his own party. -In January, the Progressive Conservative government of John George Diefenbaker finally falls. Diefenbaker has real accomplishments to point to, the atomic bomb, the major roads through Ontario, Quebec, and into the Maritimes, but his opponents; Lester Pearson's Liberals, can also point to just how much those grand projects cost; and the disastrous failures of the Yukon and Northwest Highways tell a gripping tale. Too, Diefenbaker just isn't a very good Prime Minister, and that often tells against a politician. His fall is softer than OTL's 1963, though. Pearson will be heading a minority government with the Liberals allied to the Social Credit Party in the West, Diefenbaker will have a great deal of power in Parliment. Pearson makes an attempt at reconcilation with the US, but nerves are too frayed on both sides, and the growing trade war between the two largest English-speaking democracies in North America continues to the detriment of both; but especially Canada. In Newfoundland, Joseph Smallwood looks around him and decides he'd like to play his particular game on a bigger stage. -Meanwhile, in the United Kingdom, Harold MacMillan makes his decision. He's resisted use of nuclear weapons in Burma; more out of a desire for economy than a horror of the moral consequences. Still, he is a moral man, old-fashioned gentleman that he is, and the deaths of nearly twenty thousand National Servicemen in Burma weigh far more on his conscience than the millions of pounds each atomic bomb costs. Too, he's in harness with the Salanist beast, and he has to show everyone; his own people; France, the United States, and the Soviet Union, that Britain is not to be trifled with; she'll fight for her allies as she would herself. He's trying to win over Scandanavia as well, but they won't join an alliance dominated by Salanist France, no indeed. A few miles away, just as MacMillan signs the order to ship three atomic weapons from their storehouses in Malta to Rangoon, "Nye" Bevan is meeting with a highly-placed official in British intelligence; with a fascinating story to tell (and lots of evidence to back it up) about a variety of his coworkers. ----- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 75 Date: 21 Jun 2001 23:42:58 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 75 Notes on the State of Virginia, and elsewhere March 1, 1957 ((Wow, you've stuck with me for seventy-five parts and nearly sixteen years in the ATL. I can't tell all of you how thankful I am for all of your praise, and I think I'll insert all of you into the book, if I write one. Thanks especially to all the people whose ideas I've "borrowed" here. You know who you are.)) -Things are all right in Virginia; racial violence there was less severe than most of the South. The Byrd family continues to dominate politics, a young ex-naval officer named John Warner has been elected District Attorney of Fredericksburg. Now, for elsewhere. -Plastics aren't the wave of the future. Postwar patent licensing arrangements (downright monkey business, in fact) between I.G. Farben, ICI, Dupont, and Standard Oil were pretty much the foundation of the plastics industry as it exists today. With the different American and German cultural and economic climates, that whole arrangement has been knocked for a loop. I.G. Farben's been all but removed from the equation with Germany impoverished and the US behind high trade barriers; and Taft's Department of Justice didn't pursue an anti-trust lawsuit against ICI, so they've yet to license their polyethlene patents to Dupont. Advances have been slow and costs to consumers high. -Speaking of anti-trust lawsuits, AT&T remained a cheerful monopoly through 1949, not breathing a word of transistors until 1955 (there will be, of course, no licensing of technology in 1959.) With transistors sole property of a nearly competition-free industrial giant in the United States and with the European countries that might be tempted to pirate it with a serious lack of high-level technological research, the kind of research that led to the integrated circuit in OTL's 1960s will take a while longer indeed; until 1965, or later. -With no Anglo-American cooperation on aircraft, there's no Comet and won't be for the longest time. The jet industry in general has been slower to develop. Boeing's working on a jet liner, but it won't be ready in 1958 as it was per OTL, with no British techonology and no government subsidies from the development of the KC-135 tanker. Aerial travel has concentrated on short-range commuter hops and airport development has reflected this. -Cars are awful, pretty well all over. With the various nations of the Amsterdam Pact hiding behind high tariff barriers, Palatinate coal and steel can't get together with French coal and steel, and no European producer has been able to work up to real profits since the end of World War Two. Many companies (such as Volkswagen) have gone under, mostly to be purchased by their American counterparts. The Italian car companies are, of course, well and truly buggered. Most surviving European companies stagger along on producing licensed copies of American cars. (And the problem there is that American cars are _really_ awful. Ford Fairlanes compete with Edsels, which are moderately competitive in the ATL.) The various manufacturers compete with each other; General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler, all of them seeking to do to the other what they've already done to Nash and Hudson, Tucker and Packard. -Tensions are higher in the Far East what with the Red Hordes everywhere. Malaysia is theoretically independant and a relatively peaceful British puppet state; Burma is theoretically independant and not at _all_ peaceful. India and China don't like each other much; India is more militarized after the more successful Japanese invasion during World War Two and more worried about the expansion of Chinese Communism. Still, both of them are poor, and most of China's military is elsewhere, in Burma and even still in Indochina. ------ Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 76 Date: 24 Jun 2001 23:50:31 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 76 May-September 1957 -The passage of the Full Rights Bill is marked with unsurprising sectionalism and surprising nationalism. With even civil libertarian Republicans like Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater supporting the lukewarm civil rights legislation, (Goldwater's support is a bit reluctant, he hates the idea of giving the federal government any kind of power on internal matters like this, but even he thinks the national government should have the power to regulate itself and its subsidiaries.), the main opposition to the President's program comes from Southern Democrats. Removing the clause giving the Attorney General the power to intervene in Full Rights cases satisfies Southern moderates; and while James Eastland and Theodore Bilbo will break records in filibustering, in the end it is the votes of men like Yarborough and Gore, Folsom and Long, that pass the votes for cloture and for the bill itself. The new Act satisfies moderates in both sections; Southern liberals can hope it will end pro-black agitation in the North and "return our own Negroes to a state of content solemscence."; Northern liberals are satisfied that they've done something to ensure equal rights for minorities while at the same time not giving into pressure from men like former Congressman Adam Clayton Powell or African Ecumenical Council President Martin L. King Jr. Radicals are, of course, incensed (James Eastland spends September 1, the day President Kennedy signs the Full Rights Act into law, making speeches against the Red-Negro menace in his home state of Mississippi.), Southern conservatives by the shameless "kowtowing and salaaming to the forces of violent Negro radicalism; must an African assasinate a white for all his hasty and false desires?", civil rights leaders by the fact that the bill won't actually _change_ anything, everything short of the desegregation of the federal government itself will require suits in federal courts. A generation of young blacks; Angela Davis and Cassius Clay, Medgar Evers and Julian Bond, watch Kennedy's triumphal speech on 9/1/1957: "We have solved the problems of Negro rights in America!" and shake their heads. They're not buying it anymore than their white counterparts a few miles away are. -On May 16, 1957, Harold MacMillian's Tory government suddenly fails to pass a vote of no confidence introduced by Labour Party members. The shocking lack of coordination among Tory floor managers (the vote was a routine jab at a government with a slim majority, several like it had been introduced every year since the death of Winston Churchill.) remains a mystery for decades, and the truth is a slightly sordid one. Nye Bevan had been geniunely sympathetic during his meeting with the Prime Minister two weeks before, but firm at the same time. John Prufumo's affair with Gerda Munsinger (who was also "employed" by the Soviet naval attache for matters not particularly nautical) is depressing but not particularly shocking; the old Tory gentleman knew his Minister for Defence was incorrigible, but the Prime Minister had thought he wasn't quite so _stupid_ as to boff the wrong tart. The rest of Bevan's information is shocking, shocking to MacMillan's very core. Using a carefully organized series of files organized by the new head of MI6, Bevan shows a pattern of Soviet espionage among very high-placed officials in the Foriegn Ministery (Burgess), MI5 (Percy Sillitoe), and various other officials in nearly every major department of the British government. Bevan is sympathetic; having been a socialist before and during World War II, he knows all about subversive Communists sneaking in and subverting your cause...but he can't allow a government full of spies to continue in power. If MacMillan doesn't ensure an election by the end of the month, Nye Bevan will release the information he and Kim Philby have gathered, and see that "instead of falling as the Cavaliers did, the Tories will fall as did mighty Carthage." To his own surprise, Bevan hopes for the first; he'd rather win an election fairly instead of tarring good men with the brush of the bad. For Harold MacMillan, it's a hard choice indeed; most of the spies exposed aren't actually people he or his predecessors appointed; of his Cabinet, only John Prufumo is implicated in _anything_, and that having no sense in women as opposed to espionage. He could quietly push all of the Civil Service men out of office and fight like a lion...but the party would be forever tainted by the whisper of espionage, Conservative men who betrayed their country. Not to mention what it would do to the Amsterdam Pact; to the national reputation of Britain abroad, and the morale of British servicemen abroad (the nuclear destruction of Maymyo has driven the Communists back, but the war isn't at all over). In the end, it's imagining those men; those British boys dying outside Mandalay and Rangoon, imagining them learning their leaders are full of Reds, that motivates MacMillan. He puts up a fight in the election, but his heart just isn't in it, and in July of 1957, Aneriun "Nye" Bevan (to the great confusion of future generations of school children), becomes Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. His first crisis comes quickly, and in a very unusual place. ---- Thoughts? (It's not unreasonable to assume a certain skill at forgery in certain people...) President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 77 Date: 26 Jun 2001 00:51:45 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 77 September 1, 1957 (Okay, so it's not really on vacation. But we are from the plot.) "Exiles" RICHARD WRIGHT has stirred from New Zealand only a very few times since 1948; and only once to the United States, for the funeral of his friend Langston Hughes in 1952. Hughes had been badly burned during the Harlem Raid in 1945, and an addiction to morphine and pneumonia ended his life 15 years earlier than OTL. Wright has preferred to become a slightly more articulate version of his hero W.E.B. DuBois (A meeting with Wright managed to get DuBois out of West Africa in 1955.), "crouching in his Antipodean fastness," writing hundreds of articles and stories condemning the racism of the United States, calling on blacks to either liberate themselves by emigration to less benighted shores or by the sword. His _African Spartacus_ was outlawed for obscenity in several Southern states, but bootleg printings are common in black communities. If any man can be called the "Poet of the Resistance" in France and her territories, ALBERT CAMUS is that man. Shocked out of the killing frenzy that shook post-war France by the murder of his friend Satre, Camus emigrated to St. Pierre, a French island off the coast of Canada. (St. Pierre and Miquelon, its nearest neighbor, have fallen by the wayside in the African and Asian-oriented Darlanist and Salanist government, Charles De Gaulle has even been allowed to criticize the government relatively freely.) Camus returned to his native Algeria only once, to write a depressing, methodical account of, oddly enough, the effect on _French_ troops of the appalling brutality of the Algerian War. Both Camus and De Gaulle have been quiet since Salan came to power, at least publically. SLOBODAN MILOSEVIC's parents left the Serbia he was born in to return to their native Montenegro shortly after the collapse of Yugoslavia, seeking something better than the chaos that is Serbo-Croatia. The 16 year old is a troublemaker in school, often teased for his Serbian accent, and was thrown out of the Young Communists of Montenegro organization. He is a bleak young man in a bleak place. KAROL WOTJLA is a member of the ersatz Polish delegation to the equally ersatz Vactican in Toledo. An articulate and fiery survivor of the bloody battles in and around Warsaw that accompanied the restoration of the Stalinist government to power; the young bishop was instrumental in persuading his superior in the Church to vote for something truly unprecedented in recent times after the death of Pope Pius XII a month before: a non-Italian pope! Joseph Cardinal Mindszenty, briefly papal secretary of state and a fiery anti-Communist, narrowly defeated Angelo Roncalli, a de facto prisoner of the IRS) and the archbishop of Milan. (The new Pope has taken the name of Gregory XVII.) EDWARD KENNEDY is cultural attache to the American embassy in Mongolia (Kennedy recognized the People's Republic after the end of the Luzon War) and drunk to beat the band. Robert Kennedy was able to control his alcoholism and his womanizing for the 1956 campaign, but Teddy failed at the same effort, and his older brother patched him off to Ulaan Bator. To his own surprise, Kennedy has started dating a local girl religiously. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 78 Date: 21 Jul 2001 22:05:24 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 78 September-November, 1957 -On September 8, 1957, Charles De Gaulle, in the full uniform of a general in the French Army, stands on a decrepit wooden stage in downtown Saint-Pierre (the largest city in the island of the same name) and cries "Revolution!" Rather than eliminate his most popular rival, Francois Darlan had dispatched him to the isolated French islands of St. Pierre and Miquelon as commander of the forces stationed there, preferring to concentrate on Africa and Asia. De Gaulle took great advantage of this fact; every officer down to the level of lieutenant is personally loyal to Charles De Gaulle (the vast majority are veterans of the De Gaullist resistance, in fact), and the vast majority of men love their general like a father. Too, De Gaulle has taken steps to remain popular with the civilians; the islands have perhaps the last free press and free schools in all of France and her departments, and his agents in France have helped dissidents settle there under assumed names and new identities. Isolated as the Breton fishermen are (DeGaulle has learned to speak the language fluently), his blaming of Paris for the slowly grinding economic hard times has worked well indeed. There are questions, of course: How will the islands' economies stay viable without aid from France, what will France _do_ now...but these questions are lost in the rush of a man driven slightly mad by isolation and a people willing to follow him where he leads. "To gain all, we must risk all.", he says in his declaration of the Republic, paraphrasing a wartime enemy. Even as De Gaulle makes his speech, a graying unit of French marines helps the second officer of the destroyer Calais seize control in the name of Charles De Gaulle! Suddenly, French naval power in the northwest Atlantic is cut in half. De Gaulle sends representatives to Ottawa, Washington, and London before the day is out, demanding recognition as an independant state (but not, carefully, as the legitimate government of France.) -All three nations respond with moderation; all would dearly love a chance to stick France in the eye, especially Nye Bevan's government in Great Britain, but none are willing to risk fracturing their de jure or de facto alliance with France over two windswept rocks and one mad general. The United States, with the least to lose from fractured relations with France, (since relations are already pretty fractured) dispatches a "Special Presidential Envoy" in the person of Adlai Stevenson, aboard the U.S.S. Iowa, an old US battleship due for retirement in 1958. What none of them count on, of course, is that Raoul Salan is not a stable man. Without being kept on a leash by a civilian government in his military career (and on the loose himself), Salan is even more stable than in OTL, and he will not stand for this kind of insolence from a pack of parvenu foriegners. To the American ambassador, he is intemperate in the extreme, demanding that President Kennedy withdraw his "ambassador" and "military aid" lest they feel the full wrath of an outraged, united France. To the British, he demands Amsterdam Pact assistance to reclaim the "rebellious provinces", while he himself begins organizing an expeditionary force of 3,000 veterans of Algeria and West Africa with orders to "leave no brick atop another." (He also dispatches the Louis XIV, the largest carrier in the French navy equipped with nuclear weapons, to observe the situation.) To the Canadian, he warns them blackly to stay out of the business of big countries. -Raoul Salan's contempt for democracy (earned from interacting with jailed dissidents and the puppet civilian government of France, both of whom strike him as utter pansies) doesn't play very well with Canada, the United Kingdom, or the United States. Lester "Mike" Pearson is the first to act; the bow-tied Liberal has been underestimated before (his nickname comes from a WWI sergeant who thought "Lester" was a wussy name) and will be again. He sends the largest ship in the Canadian navy, the cruiser Vancouver, to take up station-keeping alongside the U.S.S. Iowa, and roaringly condemns imperialism. Never one to let the Canadians move toward a major sphere of influence in the Americas, President Kennedy echoes Prime Minister's Pearson's declaration, and dispatches elements of the US Atlantic fleet to that large area of ocean bounded roughly by Newfoundland, mainland Canada, and the rebellious islands. The American fleet, like the Canadian and French, is, of course, armed with nuclear weapons. For Nye Bevan, the dawning St. Pierre Crisis is both a blessing and a curse. He can buck Great Britain's fascist yokemake and make the Amsterdam Pact what it was founded to be; a union of non-Communist states standing up against the Red Menace. (There are, of course, Spain and Portugal, but at least Franco and Salazar know when to shut up, both personally and politically. Neither government is half as expansionist as Salan's.) But he will pay a price for driving out the Butcher of Bayeaux; France is one of the strongest states in Europe, Britain's only real rival on the Continent, and her most powerful ally. The hydrogen bomb will take years instead of months; the slow deployment of the jet bomber will be well and truly snarled. The French pillar is rotten, but _strong_. Just to be safe, of course, he sends the carrier Hermes on a goodwill tour of first Gothaub, and then -In the end, though, it's not really his decision. Raoul Salan is a veteran of several wars, and he knows doubtful allies. Better to throw them overboard now, to purge the moneychangers from the temple, than to be dragged down by the dead weight of Britain. For that matter, he's never once liked the idea of being an ally with nigh-on an out and out socialist like Bevan. On September 31, even as Bevan's Amsterdam Pact ambassador (Harold Wilson) is introducing a motion for the Pact to recognize the "Free Republic of St. Pierre", the French representatives are already leaving the Netherlands, and the next day, Raoul Salan announces that "France shall no more walk in the shadow of the Socialists of London." The Western world shudders a bit as it moves toward war (Lazar Kaganovich has his first real belly-laugh in decades, recognizing De Gaulle even before Kennedy), with the people of the various nations solidly united behind their leadership...with the exception of France. Most of Francois Darlan's inner circle is far more reasonable than Salan, none of them have an urge to get into a nuclear war with anyone else over a few thousand Breton fishermen living across the ocean. After all, in the event the regime falls, their lives will be short, to say the least. -As it happens, war doesn't come...but dozens of French sailors might wish it had. In the dead of night on October 14, 1957, the flight crew of the Louis XIV are loading ammunition aboard a flight of scout aircraft, off to buzz the ABC forces off St. Pierre, when one drops a signal rocket, which immediately ignites. A quick-witted French sailor grabs the rocket and throws it inside a sealed locker before it can detonate, lest it fry half the men on the deck. Unfortunately, it's a fuel locker. Fortunately, the blast is confined to the locker itself and the compartment directly below. Unfortunately, thanks to a rather ill-concieved design (the Louis is a WWII-era battleship with the top sliced off), the compartment directly below is loaded with Lewisite, which leaks. As a hundred French sailors die gruesomely and hundreds more envy them considerably over the next few days, Raoul Salan declares privately that it was an attack by the hated British, and orders the French nuclear forces to go onto high alert. It's not entirely certain what happened next, Salanist era records are very sketchy, but apparantly Salan boarded a flight from Paris to Caen to supervise the organization of the cross-Channel attack on the morning of October 19. Paris is shockingly silent through the 20th, at least on the radio, though things are quite noisy in the city herself, what with the purges and all. The city police force is very busy manning roadblocks that completely seal the city off from the rest of France. On October 21, Maurice Challe announces the assasination of Raoul Salan by "fascist elements of the Army.", and by the end of the month, his purge of people who knew about the bomb outside Caen or the planned nuclear strike on Great Britain is over. There'll be no war, but no Amsterdam Pact, either. -Veteran's Day 1957 (November 11) dawns quite bright indeed in Prudhoe Bay, Alaska; Edward Teller's Super has come to fruition at last. --- Thoughts? This part isn't very good, sorry. The 1950s are a dull time in nearly any TL. =) President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 79 Date: 22 Jul 2001 18:11:58 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 79 Finishing the 1950s, photographs 1/1/1958 Aarhus, Denmark Larry Burrows for the New York Post -Andrei Gromyko's presence alongside the Prime Ministers of Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden will forever contaminate the infant Nordic Council in Western eyes, but that's not a particularly fair impression. The political and economic Scandanavian association genuinely is neutral, the relevant treaties strongly resemble those formerly in place for Finland. Scandanavian solidarity had been growing for years, ever since all the Great Powers proved themselves either uninterested in an alliance (Kennedy's America, Bevan's United Kingdom) or unworthy of an alliance (Challe's France, Kaganovich's Soviet Union.), ever since nuclear fire rose over the Philippines, Croatia, Algeria, West Africa, and Burma. 1/18/1958 In the Channel David Bailey for the Times -One of the worst maritime disasters of the late 20th century is the collision of the cross-Channel ferry and the Norwegian icebreaker Trondheim, hundreds drown, hundreds more freeze to death in the icy January waters. Indeed, only rapid action by a passing Romanian destroyer helps rescue those fortunates who do survive. Amid the mass funerals and backbencher calls for revenge is the death of a prominent Briton, no less a personage than the head of MI6 himself. Only a very few will make any kind of connection between a shadowing vessel from a Soviet ally and the late H.A.R. Philby, no one wants to be associated with the drunken sodomite Burgess. 11/5/1958 Coro, Venezuela Henry Huet for the Associated Press - As Carlos Delgado Chalbaud reviews the newest additions to Venezuela's navy, he can thank Roy Jenkins for his trouble. Great Britain's defense establishment is rather strapped for cash with the sudden collapse of the Amsterdam Pact and the rather messy demise of the joint thermonuclear and jet projects. Even with the Low Countries siding with Great Britain in the Channel Union, even with the excellent new relations with Canada, the government needs money. (The adoption of a nuclear policy similar to the American, nukes first, brigades second, has helped a bit, but not much.) Thus the selling of the RN; dozens of old battleships, heavy cruisers, and other archiac vessels (mostly WWI-era craft that had been refitted to fight in the Second World War) have been auctioned off to friendly countries. Charges that the Empire will be unprotectable have been met with a Welsh shrug and "What Empire?" The Bevan government presides over independence for Guina and the Rhodesian-South Africa merger, and the final withdrawal of troops from a Burma that is at least theoretically free for now. 7/4/1959 Yokohama, Japan Various Certainly the most famous photograph of the late 1950s is Frank G. Powers' Rex coming in for a landing at the last American base in the Far East, the engines that carried her on her flight of thousands of miles at an altitude just above sub-orbital still glowing with a kind of nuclear fire. The Extremely High-Level Bomber project has succeeded, somewhat. The Rex and her three compatriots can carry a bomb-load of a ton on a good day...that is, if bombs suitable had been built. The picture, of course, does not include the radiation plume that followed the Rex from Nevada to Japan, nor the dead fish, nor the upswing in cancer patients in California and Japan. Still, for better or for worse, the world has entered the Space Age, sort of. Of course, a variety of events that would prove important later aren't caught on film. In late 1959, an anonymous Soviet advisor to rebel forces in the Congo returns home, broken in health after being badly wounded in an ambush. Only a blood donation from a clinic deep in the jungle saved his life, and so even as he descends into morphine addiction and alcoholism he (he will be transferred through several posts in Poland and Bulgaria before finally recieving a Kremlin desk job) donates a pint every three weeks to his local blood bank. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 80 Date: 24 Jul 2001 02:52:57 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 80 February-April 1960 -Just in time for the 1960 campaign season comes two bombshells in American race relations: On Valentine's Day comes _The Middle Passage, And After_, a history of American racism since the end of the slave trade. The book is large, over 800 pages of small print, but C. Vann Woodward has turned the anger spurred by his political dismissal from the University of Virginia into writing an eminently readable book. "Negros have their Kinsey," comments one reviewer, and the book is recieved much like the Kinsey Reports of a few years earlier: Some refuse to read it, many buy it and publically scorn it...but then they read it again. Sympathetic reviewers are few, but they're there, and soon the Howard University history professor is outselling Mickey Spillane and Rod Serling. -Estes Kefauver is apparantly one of the book's many buyers; the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court quotes Woodward several times in Baker vs. Charlotte County, Florida. The Court's decision (a more enthusiastic version of OTL's Brown) is not unanimous, of course; Justice Richard Russel has proved an able organizer for the pro-segregation forces, but Kefauver's 7-2 decision is relatively commanding. There's little reaction from much of the black community; the NAACP has largely lost its leadership role at this point, and the new generation cares more about bridging the gaps between Muslim and Baptist than between white and black. "I am not so proud as to turn down a hand offered," comments Martin Luther King Jr., "though I may never trust the man behind it." The South, of course, goes mad, and a new generation of white supremacists stands up to lead the "Impeach The Coon" (Kefauver's old political slogan coming back in a rather unpleasant way) movement, and to run for office. The Kennedy administration moves very carefully; JPK Jr. needs the support of Southerners when he tries for his third term, liberal Attorney General Pepper is offended by the attacks on his own state, and not very many people except for the Vice-President care much for civil rights to begin with. "All speed" is likely to turn to "all deliberate speed" swiftly. -In the Soviet Union, Lazar Kaganovich could care less about American race relations; they've got planes to build. Despite taking a lead in hydrogen bomb technology, Kaganovich's Soviet Union has been relatively hostile to technology, and it has lagged behind the United States (and to a lesser degree, Western Europe.) Still, the industrialists and bureaucrats that the leader of the Soviet Union has surrounded himself with, for all that they're faceless cogs compared to the General Secretary, are _good_ faceless cogs, and they know good people. In March of 1960, Mikhail Yangel and Yuri Smirnov begin a remarkable partnership somewhere around Uzbekistan. (With Kaganovich keeping more people in the gulag longer, Kurchatov and Korolev are dead and dying, respectively, in OTL Smirnov worked on the Soviet hydrogen bomb project and Yangel was Korolev's assistant.) The Americans may have built a nuclear plane, but now they'll show them just what Soviet Science Can Do. -In April, a flurry of communications fly back and forth to and from a remote area of Sinkaing to Beijing, and Mao Tse-Tung, already sensing his power weakening as the Great Leap Forward slowly implodes, opts to curse violently. The scientists are irreplaceable, of course, and shooting workers won't do much good, enough died getting the pile up and running. The bomb and break will have to wait a few years...pity, pity. A few miles away, one of the highest-ranking members of the People's Liberation Army ponders his own destiny. The **** Confucian is probably unassailable, he can probably _kill_ him, of course, he's not a God, but the murderer of Mao-Tse Tung will probably be unable to govern. The old man can't live forever, thinks Lin Baio, hero of the Indochine War. -Late in the month, Nye Bevan dies surprisingly quietly; he is the second Labour Prime Minister in a row to die in office. He is, of course, buried in Cardiff, the funeral is perhaps larger than he would have liked, but the eulogies, from such personages as Prime Minister Jenkins, Opposition Leader Butler, and even his own wife, will all become classics of late 20th century oratory in their own way. By now Europe has settled down into its post-Amsterdam Pact state; Spain, France, Portugal, and Sardinia are tied together by bonds of fascism and language, if not by any ties more formal than interlinking defensive treaties, while Great Britain, Sicily, and the Low Countries have fallen together out of sheer terror of the dark. Only in the Palatinate do they all hang together, lest they all hang seperately. ---- Thoughts? Short points, but all of them open to clarification. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 81 Date: 25 Jul 2001 00:38:48 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 81 Summer-Fall 1960 -Even being held in Boston doesn't save the Democratic convention of 1960 from turning into a riot; everyone knows from the beginning that Joseph Kennedy Jr. will almost certainly be nominated for his third term, and be able to pick the Vice-President he chooses. For anti-administration forces, centered around the person of Vice-President Lyndon Johnson, the seven hot days in July are a stand. Fight now, build an organization that can take the nomination for the Kennedy candidate in 1964. (After all, no President has even run for a fourth term, much less been elected.) It's that for everyone but Lyndon Johnson, though; the former Senator has watched the ideals of a lifetime collapse under Kennedy's slow dismantling of America's already scanty social welfare net, of controls on businesses, even the administration's carefully non-existent stance on civil rights troubles something in the soul of the man whose father fought the Klan and who taught Mexican-American students. It's usually his Texan delegates who throw the first punch in the several brawls that break out between July 1-July 7, driving many liberals like Hubert Humphrey into the administration's carefully moderate camp. (Too, Johnson's rather unholy alliance with a variety of Southern conservatives offends many.) In the end, only Texas holds out against the tide, Kennedy's nomination is otherwise unanimous. His choice of running-mate surprises many; the former Senator from Wisconsin has been an excellent Secretary of State and is still an excellent speaker (he gave the speech that nominated the President), but there is something odd about him in small groups. Still, Robert M. LaFollete Jr. is loyal, from a doubtful state, and putting an ex-Republican on the ticket helps the theme of "Bring the nation together." -The Republican convention is a bit more sedate, if only because no one really believes Joseph Kennedy Jr. can be beaten. If they swing too far to the right, they'll alienate Rockefeller liberals, if they swing too far to the left, any hope of getting the Republican-Southern Democrat coalition in the Senate back together is well and truly screwed. Not to mention, of course, that Kennedy is the man responsible for the strong economy (though there are rumblings; the most obvious one being the repeated bailouts that are all that have saved Chrysler so far), for keeping a quasi-peace in the cities and the South..."We were a welterweight against a heavyweight," commented the junior Senator from Arizona decades later, "but we were going to _fight!_" Perhaps fortunately, just the right candidate has emerged from the primaries; Harold Stassen is all things to all people, war hero, Governor, Senator, liberal to the liberals and conservative to the conservatives, and A-O-K to most everyone else. After a great deal of debate, he picks Prescott Bush as his running mate. The junior Senator from Connecticut isn't very popular even in his own state, but he does have solid street cred as an Eastern establishment liberal with lots and lots of money. (Nelson Rockefeller is rumored to be Stassen's first choice, but the Governor of New York is waiting on 1968, or even 1964.) -As the campaign goes on, President Kennedy suddenly finds himself having to telegraph the same congratulations he extended to John Diefenbaker a few years earlier. On August 4, 1960, on an uninhabited rock in the Cook Islands, Australia and New Zealand jointly enter the nuclear age when a 50-kiloton warhead detonates to the cheers of onlookers aboard local Anzac vessels. The decidely unlikely alliance of Walter Nash and Robert Menzies has produced a nuclear weapon and program, soon Anzac vessels armed with nuclear weapons are docked at the major ports of the various Australian and New Zealand allies in the vast Indonesian archipelago, even the less-than-popular People's Republic of Java. In Europe, the shaky British Commonwealth is reinforced by two new nuclear members. (A former member, meanwhile, has begun hammering out treaty agreements between themselves and Salazar's Portugal. The war in Angola and Mozambique isn't getting better, and the old dictator likes his job far more than he likes Africa.) -The only real issue of the campaign comes in the last week of September, when events in Argentina move with sudden, brutal swiftness. Rumors of discontent with the Castillo government have been growing for over a decade, but no one really expected his assasination on September 21 as he reviews a contingent of elite paratroopers. In every major city of Argentina, well-organized troops turn on their comrades and arrest or shoot them. In the countryside, farmers and peasants rise up against the oppressive dictatorship and all it stands for. In a month of apocalyptically bloody fighting, two men, perhaps unlikely allies, emerge as leaders of Argentina. One is Ernesto Guevara, the medical doctor who leads a popular revolt of such magnitude as to make him master of the countryside in short order, one is Leopold Galtieri, the general who found power far more important than the flag that flies and the cause the soldiers sing about. The two trust each other naught, of course, but they both know to kill their other enemies first. The two parties are divided, Stassen is weakly in favor of doing _something_, while Kennedy is in favor of doing nothing at all. (After all, nothing he actually does can affect the election.) The Red-ish revolt is surprisingly local, Kaganovich's agreement with Kennedy about spheres of influence was about as geniune as either the shoemaker from Kiev or the rich kid from Boston could be. By the time that issue has been sorted out, though, Joseph Kennedy Jr. has won his third term. As expected, the black vote was mostly Democratic, the Jewish mostly Republican, and the South helped elect some interesting candidates; James Folsom has been driven from office by Asa Carter, while Orvil Faubaus helped elect his friend Glen Campbell. In Pennsylvania, Jim Jones has won his first Congressional seat, and Clark Gable's victory over Ronald Reagan for the California governer's seat was real but decisive. South America isn't quite done with the nation yet. ----- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 82 Date: 28 Jul 2001 02:50:28 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 82 December 1960-February 1961 -On December 2, 1960, the Alexander von Humboldt is the least popular ship in the Dutch Antilles. The former British light cruiser, sold to the Venezuelan fleet in the late 1950s, has been teasing the small Dutch Coast Guard garrison for weeks, sailing within Dutch territorial waters (at one point even within hailing distance of Willemstad) and darting out before the Coast Guard ships could quite prove anything. Polite requests to the Venezuelan consulate have been met with indignant demands to stop interfering with their military vessels, and the Caracas media has said the same. Tensions are running high in the islands and among the Coast Guard garrison, and so when the von Humboldt suddenly runs aground on the tiny island of Klein Curacao, it's quite understandable the rescue party would come armed, and quite understandable that after finding a dozen pounds of heroin (straight from Taiwanese processing) and a dozen more pounds of dynamite, virtually earmarked for the independence movement on the islands, they'd intern the von Humboldt's crew. And since the entire process was a Venezuelan government operation, right down to the support for the independence movement, it's understandable that Carlos Delgado Chalbaud would be well-prepared indeed. As Admiral Wolfgang Larrazábal begins organizing the 5,000-man Venezuelan Marine Corps for an overseas operation, Delgado is on television in both his own country and abroad, condemning European imperialism and the theft and imprisonment of the Humboldt and her crew. -In the United States, public opinion is cautiously pro-Venezuela, if that. Attacks on European imperialism ring home to the Kennedy administration and those Americans who _do_ think about South America are mostly watching pictures of Argentina and thinking what an awful notion this Communism business is. President Joseph Kennedy Jr. settles for merely condemning war in general. (The _big_ story of December in the US is, of course, the collapse of Chrysler and its division between Ford and General Motors. The name and brands will survive, but as the property of Edsel Ford or Alfred P. Sloan.) The Netherlands themselves are in something of a bind; their treaty with the Jenkins government in Great Britain specifically says neither party will assist the other in colonial conflicts. Originally intended to keep the British out of Suriname and the Dutch out of Aden, Roy Jenkins is only too glad to use the clause to stay out of war. The Dutch government doesn't like much at all, but they _need_ the alliance with the United Kingdom. They need to oppose Communism, so the NC is out, and they're not evil, so the fascist states are out too. They'll have to go it alone. Two heavy cruisers and a thousand troops are dispatched to the Antilles, not because anyone wants war, really, not even Delgado, but because it just must be done. -On December 19, the first Venezuelan planes appear over Willemstad, the capital and reasonably major port of the Dutch islands. With the best possible precision strikes given the circumstances, the fighter-bombers, some modeled on late-WWII German models, destroy the radio station, telephone exchange, the barracks of the island's milita, and the Governor's House. (The Governor was out, and the Venezuelans knew it.) A day later, the first Marines arrive. The islands, already demoralized by the strikes, surrender bloodlessly, at least at first. The Dutch governor isn't about to see people die for no reason, the 2,000 man Venezuelan force outnumbers the adult male population of the islands, and the follow-up waves are expected to (briefly, at least) outnumber the entire population of the islands. That is, until, a shot rings out as Wolfgang Lazzarabal formally accepts the surrender and parole of the Dutch garrison on December 21, 1960, and the founder of the modern Venezuelan Navy crumples over dead. His successor immediately declares martial law in the Dutch Antilles, even as more waves of troops arrive. -Through Christmas and into the new year, the Venezuelan fleet and the Dutch duels in the southern Caribbean. The Venezuelans begin with a lead and keep it; their supply lines are shorter and with their powerful submarine arm, they can cut the Dutch lines far more easily. Though they are quite careful to stay out of range of the land-based Venezuelan Air Force, this leaves the land forces needed for the counter-attack stuck on Aruba or drifting about at sea, getting more and more seasick. Finally, after a February in which a Dutch heavy cruiser sinks two Venezuelan destroyers only to be torpedoed by a submarine the next day, the Dutch government throws in the towel. They're strapped for cash, and frankly the government needs the bailouts they lost with the collapse of the Amsterdam Pact far more than it needs some islands, whatever useful natural resources they may have. (They don't really have the money to exploit them anyway.) The terms of the treaty hand over the Antilles to Venezuela in perpetuity, in return for a cash payment that's reasonably large to a Venezuela with the oil boom slowly ending and quite large enough for a Netherlands that needs money nearly as badly as Mars needs bars. ------- Thoughts? This part may not seem evil enough, but evil will get better. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 83 Date: 28 Jul 2001 15:05:04 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 83 March, 1961 ((Thanks to Noel Maurer for the good parts. You know who to blame for the bad parts. Rutherford B. Hayes, of course. )) -On March 1, 1961, Maurice Challe declares the war in Algeria over. It's not quite over, of course, anymore than the Philippine Insurrection was in 1907, but significant, organized, actually threatening resistance to the French government and colonists is over. Perhaps fifty thousand French soldiers have died in the years of fighting since the end of World War II, making the Algerian War the bloodiest colonial war of the late 20th century. The key to French victory has been famine, the kind deliberately caused by the Darlan and Salan goverments and encouraged by the use of tactical nuclear weapons on food distribution centers in the heartland of Algeria's Muslim population. (France has used far more nuclear weapons than any other nation on Earth as of 1961.) Perhaps a third of Algeria's Muslim population of seven million is dead of hunger, with a million dead of combat on top of that, with a third of the remainder fled into the various independent nations surrounding Algeria. Some have even slipped across the border into French West Africa, to join a struggle for independence that's doing a bit better than theirs. -March also sees the (hopefully temporary) end of democracy in Brazil when Marshal Artur da Costa e Silva assumes near-dictatorial powers. The former minister of war, elected President after Argentina became pretty much doctrinarie Communist and Venezuela won the Antilles War, ran on a platform loosely akin to "Give me all the power and I'll save the country.", and the voters seem to like that idea. Costa's preference is to promote economic development, but there are more important things to do. Brazil shares a border with both Argentina and Venezuela (The Venezuelan border is in some of the most remote, rugged places on Earth, but the Dutch thought their oceans were a shelter), and Costa's government is worried about both. Thus, Brazil becomes the second nation in South America to begin a nuclear program. -Approaching the end of his first decade in office, Lazar Kaganovich has been a very busy man. Stalin was, of course, the Great Stalin (Kaganovich will never really say aloud his doubts, and neither will anyone else if they know what's good for them.) but he left the Soviet Union and the Communist world in general a mess on his death. Kaganovich has done as well a job as anyone else could, given time and resources, and far better than most. Kaganovich has three tools at his disposal for consolidating the Soviet's new territories. The first is the Comintern or the International Division of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union as he insists Western reporters call it The Comintern rather innocuously manages the membership lists of all its satillite parties, and holds a large yearly Congress in different cities around the CPSD (the 1961 Congress is in the Istanbul SSR). This subtle function actually gives Kaganovich and his government a great deal of power --- he is, in effect, the General Secretary of almost all the ruling Communist parties of the CPSD. Since 1954, Kaganovich has been using this power to carry out what later historians will call the "Silent Terror," quietly purging nationalists and obstructionists from the the party structures. They've been especially busy in Romania; his USSR doesn't have to stand for Ceausescu-esque monkeyshines, and so they don't. Unfortunately, not every Communist party is equally dependent on the Comintern. It's Asian members (except ever-loyal Mongolia and North Japan) are tightly under the control of their local leaderships: Mao, Ho, and Kim are a slight headache. In Europe, the problem is smaller. Albania and the DUPRA are the only parties where the Comintern's tentacles have not fully penetrated, but Kaganovich's skill at redrawing borders has secured the loyalty of both parties. Hoxha rules large unhappy populations of Slavs and Greeks, and knows that he depends on Soviet support to remain in power, while the DUPRA's unpredictable supreme leader hopes to regain the Bulgarian occupation zone in Anatolia. (Kaganovich would actually like to get rid of both men, they're both far more erratic than they ought to be, but he's sensible enough to realize the expense and cost of administering Albania or the DUPRA.) Unlike the BPR's gains west of a Bosporus, Kaganovich has been very careful to keep the disposition of territory in Anatolia "provisional": except for the Istanbul SSR, the DUPRA could in theory regain that territory any time the Supreme Council of People's and Socialist Democracies should decide to give it back. (Bulgaria's reaction to that is what one would probably expect...so is their power to do anything about it.) Which hasn't, of course, stop the mass deportations of Turks from the territory, which bring's us to Kaganovich's second lever: Kossov is the accepted abbreviation for the CPSD's planning committee, which coordinates the various five-year plans of the member states in the interests of preserving "the international socialist division of labor.", and, of course, the economic might of the Soviet Union. In a huge arc from the Danish border down to Iran, Kossov bureaucrats allocate capital and raw materials, decide where new factories will be built, and relocate entire populations. Kossov is, in fact, Kaganovich's private obsession --- the old railroad bureaucrat cannot resist micromanaging the empire. (Unlike many world leaders who've done the same, he's actually pretty good at micromanaging. Too, focusing the nation's energies on the economy redirects the expansionist urges of various slightly unreliable members of the Politburo.) He pays special attention to the new Istanbul SSR: the Bulgarians have forced millions of Turks into its small territory and millions more have actually fled there, providing the necessary fodder for an impressive industrial expansion. The ones expelled into the DUPRA have fuelled a similar industrial explosion there. Sure, it's a messy process, but no one ever said that building socialism would be easy. Kaganovich helped collectivize Moscow agriculture, he's heard all the complaints about brutality and such and isn't about to let that mess with them. In the west, Kossov is unchallenged: the leaders of states which meet its target are rewarded by finding themselves governing a "socialist republic" rather than a mere "people's democracy." Leaders which fail quietly go into, uh, retirement. He's kept his pledge to his own inner circle and himself, the one he made when he came to power. Failure won't be met with death, only outright rebellion will give Communist leaders the same fate as Tito. In Asia, however, Kaganovich is quickly learning the meaning of a famous Spanish saying obey, but I do not comply. In theory, the Chinese, Koreans, Javanese, and Indochinese send representatives to Moscow to participate in Kossov planning sessions; again, in theory, they accept Moscow's dispositions and plans. In reality, the People's Republics of China, Korea, Indochina, and Java do whatever they want, and Moscow pays for it. There have been propaganda losses as well, the failure of Mao's utterly mad plan to industrialize China has been largely blamed on Soviet failure to supply enough resources, thus helping the Chinese General Secretary stay in power. Asian recalcitrance to participate in the International Socialist Division of Labor (or pretty well anything that would benefit European or Middle Eastern Communism) is a problem he will eventually have to deal with, and probably sooner rather than later. A bigger problem has been the Joint Armed Forces of the CPSD. In the west, Kaganovich has learned the lessons of 1954 well. The Great Stalin had it backwards: he removed the form of independent militaries from his satrapies, but retained the substance. The armies of the Stalinist block wore uniforms based on the Red Army, insignia based on the Red Army, and used traditions based on the Red Army, but save Poland and the DVR effectively functioned as independent fighting forces --- as the Soviet Union bloodily discovered in 1954. The Joint Armed Forces are different: they have the form of independent militaries, but none of the substance. Uniforms and traditions differ: but the armed forces of every European CPSD member save little Albania are integrated into the Red Army's command structure at the battalion level, and are almost completely unable to operate save in conjunction with Red Army units. With every passing year, with every passing arms shipment, the satellite's militaries are further "reorganized," and control from Moscow is more complete. Although the color and cut of the uniforms now look different, by 1961 the armies of the CPSD are designed to function as a single integrated military under the direct and complete control of Moscow, and more to the point, they almost certainly couldn't do otherwise. No more rebellions. Unfortunately, the Asians have again been unwilling to participate. Oh, they are more than happy to accept Moscow's protection, but their militaries are almost entirely unintegrated into the Joint Armed Forces command. All their advanced and most of their heavy equipment comes from the European part of the CPSD, but unlike them none of it is under proper Soviet control. And both China and Korea seem to be getting far more than they need, it's going _somewhere_, and he doesn't like the idea of where it's going. An open break with Moscow is unthinkable while Kaganovich retains a nuclear monopoly. Which means, of course, that China is the only thing to worry about. Neither Korea nor Indochina matter much. Korea is too small and too poor --- Kaganovich is slowly squeezing what's left of its outdated Japanese industrial plant. Kim will eventually come around, of that Kaganovich has no doubt. The Korean is a lunatic, though, and he doesn't like that much: he has begun shoving Kim off to officials in the Comintern or Kossov. Molotov is good at it; the two old colleagues in Stalin's post-purge Politburo share horror stories about the Korean madman. Once Kim comes to heel, then his reward will be regaining access to the supreme leader of the October Revolution. Ho is even easier to control. He has his own ethnic difficulties in Laos and Cambodia; like Hoxha, he knows that without Soviet support the Indochinese Federal People's Democratic Republic would collapse like a house of cards. Still, Ho is moving slowly, slowly away, his succesful purges of Saloth Sar's Khmer Party has helped keep the Vietminh in the driver's seat into the 1960s. The People's Republic of Java is one of the few countries to get large amounts of aid deliberately. If the government there collapses (and that's a moderately-probable event almost daily), they will almost certainly fall back into the hands of the Australians, and the idea of a Communist state going backwards is an awful idea, Marx's arrow of history turned on its head and a terrible propaganda loss. Advisors from the former NKVD are _very_ busy. Argentina is a problem; neither Galteri nor Guevara seem particularly subordinate, and the virtually independant nature of the revolution there suggests that they might go their own way...and unlike Tito, they could geniunely make it stick. Still, the Democratic Republic of Argentina has been quick to ask for military aid, and he's never one to turn down a fellow Communist. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 84 Date: 30 Jul 2001 00:20:40 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 84 May-September 1961 -The Nordic-Thai treaty of May 1, 1961 helps spur western European worries about the "creeping cancer of neutrality", but that's more out of paranoia than anything else. There are traditional ties of friendship between the Kingdom of Thailand and various Scandinavian countries (especially Norway and Denmark) going back centuries, and both nations have found themselves in similar positions, surrounded by either Communist states or authoritarian governments that just don't strike them well at all. The Nordic Council nations badly need a market for their goods outside of the CPSD, and Thailand needs an alliance with a First World state, help in modernizing their military and society to defend against both the bullets and propaganda of their Communist neighbors, advisors and guns and resources and all the things an alliance brings. Some are worried about becoming a colony, but the Scandinavians do certainly seem to come in peace. By the middle of summer, the first groups of Nordic military and civilian advisors have arrived in Bangkok. One of the first industries to benefit from their arrival is the vice trade, the sons of Aarhus and Trondheim and Helsinki are no more immune to the temptations of prostitution, gambling, and drugs, than their American OTL counterparts of later in the decade. -The first major summer release of 1961 is _I Walk The Line_, starring hit singing sensation Johnny Cash. While outwardly Cash has the same clean image of his chief rival, Pat Boone, (indeed, the movie itself is the story of an ex-con singer who finds God and becomes a minister), his teenage fans are quick to find the subversion behind the music. While the title closing number is popular, of course, it doesn't get half the screams of delight produced by the opening tune, when Cash strides out in a James Dean-esque leather jacket and doesn't so much sing as growl: "I can't get no-satisfaction!" -The popular culture in America takes several interesting turns in that summer of 1961, as the generation of children born after World War II begins slowly groping towards their majority. Science fiction, which spent most of the 1950s locked in a bitter war of words between pacifist Isacc Asimov and militarist Robert Heinlein, sees several novels brought to the big screen; Roger Corman produces Alfred Bester's _The Demolished Man_, while Edward D. Wood and his new leading man, E. Aaron Presley, handle Ward Moore's _Bring the Jubilee._ The liberal racial message of Wood's latest brings him howls of outrage from the South, howls so loud that perhaps it's understandable few notice the way they shift into derision once Bring the Jubilee premieres in Atlanta in July. Wood soon becomes the darling of certain circles in California, roundly praised by people who know only the liberal message of the film. All men are, after all, created equal. On television, _Maureen's Family_ goes off the air after ten seasons, one of the most beloved shows in the medium's infant history. Maureen O'Hara had never really become a big star in Hollywood; without _It's a Wonderful Life_, she was never able to equal the success of _Sinbad the Sailor._ Shifting to television (and starring alongside her real-life husband, director Will Price) helped make her a real star and keep her troubled marriage alive. (In OTL, they divorced in 1953.) Still, Will's health is failing, and she can't spend her entire life on television. Replacing her is Jerry L. Lewis' _Jeopardy._ -August 20, 1961 is a great day for President Joseph Kennedy Jr.; the last major nuclear power plant complex in the Union is completed in Pennsylvania, just up the river from the state capitol at Harrisburg. The vast majority of American electrical power still comes from fossil fuel, of course, but the nuclear program of the Kennedy administration has had real effects; every state in the Union has at least one nuclear power plant in it, and most, especially in New England, draw at least 5% of their power supply from the new nuclear power plants. Emboldened at his great propaganda victory, Kennedy announces a Presidential grand tour to begin later in the year in which he will visit every state. Though the tour is theoretically linked to the new nuclear system and the anniversary of the Civil War, keen-eyed observers notice Kennedy is heading for places where the Democratic Party is weak or fractured; places like John Birch-dominated New Hampshire or Johnson-controlled Texas. No one quite believes he's ready for a fourth term in 1964, barring some great national crisis, but few people believed in 1954 that he'd dare run for a third six years later. -In September, the Soviet Union takes a step into the Space Age when Alexei Leonov's Eagle-1 flies from Uzbekistan to a massive Red Air Force installion at a relatively safe distance from Moscow. Eagle is smaller than its American counterparts, with even less military application, but it is a propaganda victory for the Kaganovich government, at least for the moment. No longer can the capitalists crow quite so much about their superiority in matters technical, or at least they'll have to find a new subject to crow about. And indeed they're working on just that; a new generation of test pilots is working on a new generation of Dyna-Soars, and scientists are talking confidentally of a successful Earth orbit by 1963. Will it be Michael Collins or John Glenn, Gus Grissom or George Bush? The new generation is a bit more enviromentally concious than the last. (Theodore Taylor has made sure of that, even if he finds himself more shut out every day.) They emit no more radiation in a trans-continental or trans-oceanic flight than the average tactical nuclear warhead's fallout plume. ------- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 85 Date: 31 Jul 2001 21:59:17 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 85 October 1961-January 1962 -On October 3, 1961, the Supreme Court is discussing the constitutionality of a new state income tax leveled by the state of Kansas in 1960. There are legitimate legal issues; questions of the state unfairly penalizing various private businesses (under pressure from the administration, the Kefauver Court has defended businesses against the encroaching government like no Supreme Court since the "Nine Old Men" of Hoover's day), and that's essentially the only reason why the nation's highest court took the case. The plaintiff's chief attorney is a rather dislikeable man named Fred Phelps, and he had filed hundreds of briefs on every imaginable subject from his tiny Topeka office before this one happened to get past the appellate courts. Still, they've all seen worse in their careers on the bench or in politics, and the ultimate 6-3 decision has far more to do with the fact that Kansas' grocery warehouses really aren't hurt that badly by a tax of a few percentage points on their annual revenues than the odiousness of Fred Phelps, the former vacumn salesman. Hugo Black, one of the last great relics of Rooseveltian liberalism, delivers the decision himself as the sun begins to set outside. His words are clear, calm, and remarkably concise. Before the last echoes of his words die, before Black can even turn to exit the room, Fred Phelps, bigot and racist, at once an anti-Semite and white supremacist (a rare combination in a world where blacks and Jews speak a kind of nearly-open racism between each other), the unsuccessful lawyer who has waited years for the chance to get past Supreme Court security and strike a blow for his very Aryan-looking God, pulls out a revolver and fire three times, not at all wildly. The red drapes are suddenly redder. -The South roars to life with celebratory parades; Hugo Black has been a traitor there for years, even more so than Kefauver. The former Klansman's turn to liberalism on racial issues once on the Court took a lot of people by surprise; and it wasn't a very pleasant one for his supporters in Alabama, or in the rest of the South. President Kennedy just manages to avoid attending one during his national tour at Mississippi, for all that he didn't think much of the old Southern populist, he's horrified at the very first assasination of a Supreme Court Justice. Reluctantly, Kennedy delays his national tour indefinitely, returning home to Washington within the week. Taking the advice of FBI Director Purvis, Attorney General Pepper, and following the precedents of past administrations, Kennedy declares martial law in the District of Columbia, calling in troops from Fort Meade to keep the peace. Fred Phelps's already tenous hold on the universe has slipped even more in custody, his stories about the "Army of the One White God" has every judge in America watching their backs. Kennedy has just had time to nominate John Connally (acceptable to both conservatives and Southerners, plus it helps please Texas) to replace Black when the fan is well and truly struck. -The black community's reaction is surprisingly muted at first; Black was respected by moderates, but moderates are a minority in 1961; to some he was simply paternalistic and out of touch, to others he was something worse, a hypocritical c******. But the mixture of white triumphalism and those few moderates willing to mourn Hugo Black publically soon produces that thing so familiar, black and white mobs clashing in America's major cities. Before the middle of September, the radicals have gladly joined their brethern on the streets, before the end of the month, the riots have exploded all through America's major cities again. As with so many riots, by the end of the month, few of the people robbing and looting and brawling have ever heard of Hugo Black. President Kennedy's horror is the only thing that mounts faster than the national rage; yes, _this_ will make re-election in 1964 ever so much easier. This will not be the Kennedy legacy, he vows, his term will not end the way his predecessor's did, on a wave of violence and hate. Still, he must take measures, and he declares martial law in the riot-torn areas and cities. American soldiers have now spent nearly as much time policing their own cities as they have fighting wars after World War II; and they go into the situation thinking they know what they're about. But this is a new type of disturbance for the new decade, both groups are _organized._ The White Citizens Councils in nearly every state are armed, militant, and ready. (Especially the New York chapter; while Ariel Sharon is viewed as something like a devil to his counterparts in Mississippi and Alabama, in an enviroment where the head of International Communism is pretty well openly Jewish, he is good at what he does.) While they are, of course, a minority, they provide a hard, professional edge to the white mobs that rampage across the tracks in Birmingham, Columbia, Atlanta, and help whip up the same in New York, Chicago, and San Francisco. African-Americans are organized well too, though, the ecumenical mergers (especially the bridges built to the Islamic community) have given the leadership of various militant civil rights groups: King's African Ecumenical Council, Malcom X. Little's People of the Book, and countless others an edge of organization and unity absent earlier in the decade. Too, there are more geniune fanatics now, and while no one is quite willing to emulate Cassius X and his suicide bombing of a Chicago synagogue on November 17, he is soon the idol of every young, mad black man. Thus it is that when blood runs in the streets, darkening the snows of November and December 1961, it comes from Southern white bigots, Jewish gangsters/politicians (the two are inextricably linked in many places at this point, it will take the politicians of a later generation, one raised in the United States, to untangle that noose), Black Muslims, Black Christians, National Guardsmen...and, of course, the primary victim of any civil disturbance: Innocent people. -President Joseph Kennedy Jr. is personally a fearless man; he flew combat air missions over Hitler's Germany right up until the end of WWII; and has a taste for rougher pursuits than his brothers. (He is the first President to experience the modern sport of whitewater rafting.) After such things, riots and civil disturbances hold no terrors for him. Ignoring the rather fervent advice of almost everyone in his administration, from the First Lady to the Vice-President to the head of the Secret Service, he goes from city to city, New York to Biloxi to San Francisco. In New York he stands shoulder to shoulder with Mayor Elliot Goodwin, the two parties united to bring peace. Rioting does die down, a bit, but it has far more to do with very, very aggressive police and military tactics in the cities where Kennedy is about to visit. The media blackout in America's major cities helps as well; even news organizations inclined to be rebellious in other times are eager here. Disturbances are bad for business. That is, of course, until a man long forgotten steps forward. President Henry Wallace had been shut out of the Democratic Party (and mainstream politics in general) since the late 1940s; his own run for the Governorship of Iowa in 1950 had less than salutary results. Even his legendary stubborness is not invulnerable, but the former President just can't give up on politics. Taking the very considerable fortune he amassed in agriculture, Wallace's purchase of the Des Moines Register in 1953 gave him a liberal voice no one could silence. The paper hasn't sold well in conservative Iowa, but Wallace still makes more than enough money to bail it out; too, the paper has a moderate national circulation, mostly to moderates and liberals of all stripes. Henry Wallace and Joseph Kennedy Sr. had been friends in the 1940s, JPK Sr. was his Secretary of State and the man he trusted most in Washington...but that was before his son cut loose labor and made corporations king, before he stepped away from the commitment Wallace made toward civil rights during his Presidency. There's been no declaration of martial law in Des Moines, and no one would dare arrest a former President anyway. And so it is, when it's the middle of December and the body count for the '61 riots has exceeded that of all the others, that Henry Wallace publishes a series of pictures sent to him from Chicago, showing the results of a gun battle between a particularly militant Jewish group and a particulary enthuastic National Guard unit from New York that happens to have a preponderance of black members. The photographer had zoom, had color, and was good at his art. -Now, of course, it really hits the fan; Jewish moderates who previously were horrified at the violence of their religious compatriots now have a very, very public display of something very much like what they saw in the few pictures that escaped Palestine during the bloody war of the late 1940s. They take to the streets, prompting an inevitable backlash from previously neutral elements of America's black population, so that by New Year's Day, nearly every major city in America is undergoing the equivalent of Detriot circa 1967. In Texas now, President Kennedy decides he can't continue with the national tour; he is the Commander in Chief, after all, he has to show the world and the nation that he's in charge both politically as well as personally. Already Aleman and Pearson are experiencing something like sympathy disturbances in communities near the border with large American cities; already Kaganovich is offering "peacekeeping troops" to assist the American National Guard. There's just time for one more speech, on January 3, 1962. It's a crisp winter day as he speaks at the University of Texas at Austin; there's completely no wind, and the sun shines so brightly even through the clouds that one can see for miles. There's nothing to throw off Charles Whitman's shot. ----- Thoughts? I'll get back to Europe shortly, but Bob Jr...and this...well, it's cool. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 86 Date: 05 Aug 2001 21:03:50 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 86 January-April 1962 -President Joseph Kennedy Jr.'s state funeral on January 17, 1962 comes at the end of two weeks of national mourning. His casket, guarded at times by his father, younger brothers, and a constant bodyguard of Secret Service personnel and US military, has gone through the entire nation from Texas to his burial place at Arlington National Cemetary. Speakers include former Presidents Dewey and Hoover, the only ones still alive, and even former Vice-President Lyndon Johnson, mending fences over the grave of the martyred President. (One of the leaders in this effort is Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater. Already respected by moderates in his own party as a foe of the extreme right and an articulate advocate of conservatism in one, Goldwater's status as a family friend of the Kennedys lends him a status not shared by most Republicans.) Significantly, the new President is largely absent, from both the journey from Austin and the funeral at Arlington. Robert LaFollette is not unaware of appearances, of course, but he has a more important agenda. Father cared more about doing what was right than being President, after all. And what's right, of course, is law and order. Taking the advice of Generals Haig, Walker, and FBI Director Purvis, LaFollette declares a "temporary" state of nation-wide martial law, suppposed to last only as long as "the current emergency." His suspension of habeas corpus and posse comitatus are natural follow-ups, and by the middle of February any town with a population larger than 25,000 has itself a small National Guard or regular Army garrison. Too, he takes steps to encourage state governors to declare a dusk-to-dawn curfew and move quickly and decisively to crush dissent. Finally, he greatly expands the power of the Secret Service, giving them the power to investigate any and all threats to national security and the safety of the President, at home and abroad. (The President does not sleep easily.) It's not terribly Constitutional, of course, but with the Supreme Court building still being repaired to hide the bullet holes and bloodstains of the late Hugo Black, the nation's highest court is decisively silent for the moment. Some members of Congress aren't terribly comfortable with the quasi-suspension of civil liberties, especially those from unaffected areas in the Far West and elsewhere, but even they are swept along in the tide of restoring American law and order. With the media blackout sternly enforced (and with no one ready to protest in the afflicted cities), the new military presence does help; none of the rioting groups (not even the thousands of newly-arrived Puerto Ricans) are quite ready for the revolution they often talk about, the riots and fighting began as defensive measures. (It is, of course, the _other_ guys who are the aggressors.) Still, the cycle of violence, reprisals and counter-reprisals, contiues, if not nearly so openly. The main effect of the martial law declaration is to inculculate a disrespect and outright contempt for the United States government (and governments in general) in all the clashing groups. -The formation of the "American police state" (as it is widely percieved abroad) deals a deathblow to the already-shaky government of Lester Pearson in February. Canada's economy has been in trouble for quite sometime, the expenses of maintaining a powerful nuclear defense arm and the fallout from the trade war with the United States (which has hurt Canada far more badly than the US, which both prepared for it better and had a larger economy to begin with) have hurt the nation badly. "Third" parties have grown quite substantially, with the CCF and Social Credit governments in coalition with the Liberal Party and Progressive Conservatives, respectively. The new Prime Minister has long been an opponent of the Pearson government from within the Liberal Party, he favors promotion of economic development and advancement of himself personally far more than the former Prime Minister. His government is a coalition one, the Liberals in it along with a variety of other parties, but Joseph Smallwood is confident he can lead Canada and his party together into the 1960s. -To the irritation of his Soviet allies, Ernesto Guevara's coup-within-a-coup through March and April of 1962 goes off reasonably well. Leopoldo Galteri actually escapes successfully, fleeing with a substantial portion of the Argentine treasury to Brazil, where he is soon telling the authoritarian government there all the secrets of Argentina. With the supreme leader of the conservative wing of the revolution gone and discredited, the faction of the military that supported the anti-Castillo revolution proves unable to unite around any one candidate, and soon Guevara is working on a new constitution. Civil disorder is still ongoing, after all, better to bring the revolution to its fruition while blood is still running in the streets. The United States isn't terribly pleased, of course, but they're a little busy, and despite reservations, Kaganovich is aware that his informal agreement with the United States was with Joseph Kennedy, not the new occupant of the President's chair. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: Re: For All Time Pt. 86 Date: 8 Aug 2001 11:32:47 -0700 From: maurer@itam.mx (Noel) Organization: http://groups.google.com/ Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if References: 1 congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) wrote in message news:<20010805170350.14892.00004795@ng-cg1.aol.com>... > For All Time Pt. 86 > January-April 1962 > With the media blackout sternly enforced (and with no one ready to protest in > the afflicted cities), the new military presence does help; none of the rioting > groups (not even the thousands of newly-arrived Puerto Ricans) are quite ready > for the revolution they often talk about, the riots and fighting began as > defensive measures. (It is, of course, the _other_ guys who are the > aggressors.) Still, the cycle of violence, reprisals and counter-reprisals, > contiues, if not nearly so openly. The main effect of the martial law > declaration is to inculculate a disrespect and outright contempt for the United > States government (and governments in general) in all the clashing groups. ---And it may have some other interesting effects … the following was inspired by Chet's mention of the Jewish politician-gangsters, the real Leon Maurer's experiences as a photographer in a Lansky-controlled hotel in the 1940s, and some thoughts about the 1962 election. "Eric Maurer" is NOT the real Eric Maurer: this one is a bit older and has a different mother. From "Casino Washington," by Eric Maurer, 1986 It's hard to explain the reaction to the Kennedy assassination and the subsequent declarations at Harvard. Hell, it's hard to explain anything at Harvard --- the place makes no sense. That said, gentle reader, this august university is going to come back into our story again and again and again, so try to put yourself in the place of a liberal young Boston Brahmin in 1962. Your great hero has just been shot, and there is the long-fighting Robert LaFollette, struggling against the forces of chaos and tyranny. The country needs you, the Democratic Party needs you, YOU are the only thing standing between civilization and the forces of dissolution ... with "civilization" meaning the Democratic Party. No, it isn't the reaction you'd expect, is it? Certainly isn't the reaction you'd get from similar events by the time I made the dumb decision to attend the same august American institution eight years later. But it's the reaction you got in 1962. So there you had it, young men like --- well, I'll call him Carl --- from wealthy Massachusetts families who believed that the second-most heroic moment in American history had been the way Fisk, Vonnegut, and RFK took down the Dewey Administration, young idiots who believed that the Full Rights Act was on the same level as the Emancipation Proclamation, goofballs who managed to simultaneously sympathize with Jewish militiamen, black rioters, and the National Guard units who shot at both. Don't ask me to explain it: I was ten years old at the time, and living in Queens. Don't ask Carl to explain it either, even should you find out who he is. "Idealism," is how he describes it. Amazing the difference that twelve years makes, isn't it? By the time I reached Carl's age, in 1974, "idealism" had become a synonym for "stupidity." But back to our story. There you have it, a country shell-shocked by the worst civil disturbances since the Civil War, and a gathering Republican storm. The 1962 elections galvanized those young Harvard idi... excuse me, those young Harvard liberals like never before. America needed to keep Congress Democratic in order to support President LaFollette in his attempts to steer the country back towards normality. And by God, men like Carl, fresh out of school, were going to keep the national legislature righteous. Carl saw his chance in the XXth Congressional District in New York City. The district sprawled from northeastern Brooklyn --- not that anybody actually from Brooklyn would ever call it "north- eastern Brooklyn" --- up through Long Island City and into the Irish reaches of Maspeth. It was a perverse district, one thoroughly gerrymandered by the Republicans in Albany, but the gerrymander hadn't worked in 1960. The old-time Jewish popu- lation out in Queens still voted for their old rep, that union flame still burning bright. Ditto, the Catholic Poles in Greenpoint also voted for the Dems, despite the fact that they were now out- numbered two-to-one by the so-called "sabras," or "Jewish Polacks" as they were not-so-comple- mentarily referred to. (1) Anyway, the representative managed to out law-and-order any Republican, or, to put it more accurately, "owt lore-an-awdaw" the GOP. Besides which, hard at is to imagine these days, Mayor Goodwin had actually given the GOP a moderate image in the Big Apple. But then that representative just had to go and have a coronary during the '61 riots. Which threw the district completely open. The Republicans moved first, selecting as their candidate a vocal and obnoxious city councilman from Rego Park --- that is to say, running my father. I remember those days, hastily packing up the house on 63rd Road, throwing everything into the station wagon, and moving to our new rented quarters in Greenpoint. Why my father? Partly because there was no GOP in that area. Partly because he was already famous, or infamous. Partly because he was friends with Koch and Kunstler, the up-and-coming forces in the New York GOP. The funny thing about Koch and Kunstler --- and even my father --- is that no one seems to have gotten their real hate right. I never heard my father, or any of the three, for that matter, ever utter a truly racist comment about blacks or Puerto Ricans … which isn't too say that they didn't use racial epithets, or that they didn't see them as enemies, just that there was no real venom behind it. The venom, that was saved for the WASPs. All three of them hated the WASP establishment with a vengeance. As I was later to discover, that establish- ment really had no coherence outside their heads, but bringing it down and finding "justice" for their "people" was what drove them. So my father ran, and the Democrats made the mistake of running a young Waspy idealist against him. They saw the old-line Jews and Poles, and the new Puerto Ricans, and they saw an opportunity. Carl was one of the Democratic candidate's fresh-faced minions, one of many enthused college graduates willing to work for bupkis and believing that some college Spanish and good intentions would woo the new voters from the Puerto Rican tropical paradox. They had no idea what they were in for. My father had not won his political battles in Queens by playing nice. My father also had allies --- I never met Meyer Lansky, but I knew my father had worked for him in Florida in 1946 and '47, and Joseph Berne was a regular guest at our house. His brother Benyamin, the famous one, never came over, but it wasn't hard for even a ten- year-old to figure things out. I even met Ariel Sharon twice. Think about it for a second. Kunstler, Lansky, Berne, Sharon … what were the Dems thinking? So here comes Carl to Brooklyn in the stifling heat of mid-August, all full of fire and brimstone and ready to right wrongs and defeat injustice. Trumpets are blaring as he walks the streets. He passes out fliers, he arranges speeches, he gets his candidate out to the new Dodgers ballpark at Atlantic and Fourth. (2) That last wasn't a great idea, considering how my father was connected with the project, but nobody campaigning in Brooklyn --- or anywhere on Long Island! --- had a choice in that. You wanted to win, you rooted for Dem Bums. So one day in late October, there's Carl, going door- to-door in Williamsburg, trying to get people to vote. It's a Puerto Rican part of the neighborhood, and by this late in the game the Dems are focussing on getting out the vote. It's also the part of the neighborhood that got trashed in the recent riots, not an intact storefront for blocks. In fact, plenty of entire buildings had been burnt down in the riots --- and still posed a fire hazard for the remaining structures. Carl figured that his can- didate's message of federal aid for reconstruction should be a big winner. It's there that Carl first encountered the concept of "walking-around money," when an elderly woman bluntly asked him how much they'll be giving out on election day. Carl was shocked, and tried to argue with the woman, who laughed and slammed the door in his face. Filled with righteous rage --- this is un- American! --- he immediately stormed back to the campaign headquarters on Bedford Avenue and whipped the other young carpet-bagging idealists into a rage. This must not be permitted! Soon, the phone banks was ringing, both to the newspapers and to likely voters. The press's reaction to Carl's ire was underwhelming. Walking-around money was an old story: bring them proof, and maybe, just maybe, they'd talk. But none of the old warhorses at the local metro desks were willing to put their contacts on the line to cover an ancient and next-to-unprovable story. But this is a democracy, goddammit, and Carl knew that even if the press wouldn't react, the people had to know. Neither him nor the candidate were going to fight fire-with-fire: the ends never justified the means. What they were going to do was plaster Williamsburg, Greenpoint, and Long Island City with posters reading "Tu voto es libre y secreto --- ¡vote su consciencia!" People had to know that even if they took someone's money, they could still pull that lever the way they wished. There was no reason to vote for the oppressors. Only there was, as Carl discovered a week before the election. There he was, ringing doorbells on the stoop of a four-story tenement on Driggs Avenue in Southside, trying to get in to put up his posters, when suddenly two large burly men materialized on both sides of him. One said to him, in a thick Polish accent, "We'll let you in," as the other smoothly unlocked the front door. Carl wasn't exactly pushed inside. As he later described it, it was more of a form of human osmosis. Suddenly he was in the tenement and, uh, osmoting up the stairs with the two burly men in white T-shirts and baggy black suits pushing behind him. (3) Baggy was not good, there was a reason why baggy clothes were coming into style all over the urban northeast, but Carl was still too innocent to figure that out. On the second floor, when it dawned on him that there two individuals had not merely let him in, he stopped and began to protest. "What are you doing?" "Giving you a lesson in New York City politics," said the one who had opened the door, as the other one grabbed Carl in a hold under his shoulders, while the other picked him up by his feet. Carl started to yell, but this was Southside in 1962. No one bothered to open their doors. "You see, Mr. Clancy," not Carl's real last name, "you have not been playing by the rules here." They clomped up the stairs towards the roof of the building. "We do not, of course, object to your exercise of your democratic rights. This is," he chuckled, "a free country after all. We do, however, object to your interference in our exercise of OUR democratic rights." The one holding Carl's shoulders banged his back against the metal door to the roof, which swung right open. His gut sinking as his body rose, Carl realized that this had been planned. "You see, the good people of Southside understand that the future stability and prosperity of their neighborhood depends, shall we say, on the right candidate winning. No one here wants a repeat of last year's occurances. No, you see," he continued as Carl futilely bucked against their grip, "they understand what they need to do." Carl started to yell as they approached the edge of the building, four stories above the barren concrete of Driggs Avenue. The man holding Carl's arms heaved Carl's torso over the edge, and for a heart-stopping moment Carl thought he was dead. A second later, he realized they had grabbed his legs, and he was being dangled upside down four stories up. Carl never told me this, but I suspect that his bladder cut loose around then. You'll find out how I know what happens to men tossed over building ledges in later chapters, gentle reader, just you wait. The men holding Carl's legs proceeded to explain to him the theory and practice of walking-around money. "It's profoundly democratic, you see. Without it, how many of these people would even get to the polls? As you say, they don't have to vote any way once they get there." The man coughed, and they let go of Carl's thighs for a split second, before grabbing his shins. "Now, by protesting this practice, you're disenfranchising the good Spanish people of Southside whom you so wish to represent." The man's English was impeccable, although accented. "We would highly recommend that you cease your efforts in that direction. In fact, we would highly recommend that you cease all efforts in any direction for the next week. Time to take a break, Mr. Clancy." They pulled him up, and Carl gladly reached for their hands … only to be shoved back over the ledge, the two men grabbing his forearms and beginning to swing him back and forth. As Carl screamed, "No, please!" they dropped him. Onto a fire escape two feet down and a foot to the left of where he had been dangling. Carl's feet hit the soft metal, and he almost fell off, but some instinct lead him to grab the escape. He fell into a faint, or a fugue, paralyzed. The apartment window overlooking the escape was covered by thick blankets … it took Carl an hour before he could bring himself to climb the ladder back to the roof. He later found out that most of the campaign's workers had had similar surprises, if not all as dramatic as his: but he found that out later. When he returned to campaign HQ the next day, all he noted was the subdued, quiet atmo- sphere, the only energy given by a candidate vainly trying to re-energize his staff into motion. The next week my father became a Congressman. (1) For those of you interested in the differences between OTL and FaT Brooklyn, in OTL Greenpoint was a declining Polish and Irish neighborhood in 1960. During the 1960s, it appeared to be becoming increasingly Puerto Rican, but the Polish presence was revitalized by a wave of emigration during the 1970s. Today the neigh- borhood is no longer majority-Polish, but it feels majority Polish, with the Spanish presence becoming more obvious north of Greenpoint Avenue. Like most of Brooklyn's so-called ethnic neighborhoods, however, appearances are deceiving: Greenpoint has a little of everything, even WASPs from Massachusetts as gentrification begins to make its inroads (Starbucks isn't on Manhattan Avenue … yet), and the Irish and Spanish kids on India Street are still as obnoxious as ever. You don't want to know what they yell at turban- clad livery cab drivers as they cruise the neighborhood. Those of you who may be worried about whether Latino immigrants are assimilating need not worry --- I assure you that they are rapidly adopting all the wonderful prejudices of their new homeland. FaT's Greenpoint is significantly different. As a cheap neighborhood with inconvient subway access but close to the then-active textile factories in Williamsburg and the Brooklyn Navy Yard, it became "ground two" of the Jewish influx into New York in the late-1940s. (Ground zero being the Upper West Side of Manhattan and the South Bronx, and ground one being the wealthier refugees who went straight to the upscale quarters of Midwood.) They brought with them organized and disorganized crime, and the older Irish and Polish Catholic population began to move to the suburbs even more rapidly than OTL. The Berry Street Massacre of 1957 cemented the area's reputation as a Sabra slum. In addition, in FaT the Puerto Rican influx to Southside is greater than in OTL, as conditions worsen on the island, and they have also begun to appear in the northern reaches of Greenpoint earlier. So what OTL was an old Irish and Polish neighborhood in genteel decline, spiced with a small layering of Spanish immigrants (many from Spain, not yet Puerto Rico), with a crime rate lower than Toronto, is in the ATL a nicely combustible mix of Sabra Jews, old Poles, and Puerto Ricans, with a crime rate comparable to OTL East Harlem in 1975. Sometimes you gotta make the dystopia down home and personal. I would like to, with Chet's permission, invite anyone with the desire to wreck their home town to go ahead and do so. (2) OTL, the Dodgers left because the city government refused to allow them to build a new stadium on city-owned land at precisely that location. (It's still an empty lot, surrounded by big-box new retail stores.) The reason was that the city had a lot sunk in Moses's plans for Shea Stadium out in Queens. In FaT, Moses moved into elected politics, and his priorities changed somewhat. After leaving City Hall, he never regained his OTL influence. Therefore, politicians like the one mentioned in the post could win-and-win: they could win votes by keeping the Dodgers, and win plenty of graft in the construction of the stadium and, more lucratively, the surrounding parking garages and contracts to rebuild the LIRR terminal below the stadium. The Dodgers stay … but the deal smells very badly. (3) The building I have in mind is the residence of my friend Marny Kotak. Carlos has also been there. There aren't any burnt-out buildings and the stores are real stores, but it's about as desolate an urban landscape as you could hope for, even today. Subject: Re: For All Time Pt. 86 Date: Thu, 09 Aug 2001 21:16:07 -0400 From: James D Thompson Organization: I Realize these Views are Unpopular, but I've Never been One to Court Popularity Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if References: 1 , 2 Noel wrote: > > ---And it may have some other interesting > effects … the following was inspired by Chet's > mention of the Jewish politician-gangsters, the > real Leon Maurer's experiences as a photographer > in a Lansky-controlled hotel in the 1940s, and > some thoughts about the 1962 election. And this, in turn, inspired a little tale from the other side. I think Chet would approve, even though it's rated R for strong language. David Thompson *************** The idea had been in the back of my head for five, maybe ten years now. Not out in the open, but hiding in the back corners, waiting for the right time to come out. And that time was now. That damn Jew thought he owned the whole damn block, sending his goons to rough me up. "Youse don't sell on Mister Meyer's street." Just trying to bring in a little cash on the side, selling cigarettes on the corner for ten years now. Hell, I'd been here longer than that bastard Meyer. All of us had. We'd met up at the old munitions plant during the war. Army wouldn't have us for one reason or another; I'd torn up my knee last week of training and that was that. Not that I needed it, I already knew how to shoot. Any good Southern boy did. But you can't run on a bad knee, so I ended up at Black Tom. I did my part, even if I couldn't kick those goddamn Krauts' teeth right down their throats in person. No one even called 'em Krauts anymore. I'd heard that all the time from my old man growing up, him and his war buddies would sit around the porch all day: Kraut this, Bolshevik that. It gave them something else to talk about, not the way everyone's farm was dying and they had to sell out just to get by. We became friends out of simple need: who the hell else was a Georgia boy gonna talk to? Even Harlan, nasty fucker that he was spitting his chaw on the floor, was a damn sight more respectable than a Yankee. A bunch of us had come up north to find work during the war and stayed. Not like there was anything to go back to; it was bad enough during the Depression and it just got worse from there. That damn fool Wallace had fucked everything up good, and no one after him gave enough of a shit to fix anything. So here we were: a bunch of good old boys living in goddamn Jersey City. We took our usual table in the back corner of the diner; it was the only place that made even halfway decent grits. Some greasy Italians had come in one time and given Bobby some shit about it, but we took them aside for a talking to and they didn't come back around after that. We all felt the same way and we all knew it: the country was going to hell and no one was doing jack shit about it. Time was when good men took charge, and the others knew to stay in their place. Now, the niggers were all stirred up and the Yankees had let a bunch of damn foreigners come over and run the place. Couldn't even walk down the street without some fucking Jew trying to shake you down. I hadn't brought back much when my old man died; there wasn't much to bring back. He'd had to sell all the family furniture and damn near everything else just to keep the farm as long as he did. All the time when I was growing up, I'd hear how his grandaddy had busted ass to keep the damn carpetbaggers off the land after the war. Land was a fine thing, but it don't pay the bills when you can't grow enough of anything to get by. I'd had to sell off everything to pay the goddamn taxes; didn't even get half of what it was worth, but I did get a bit of extra money that would come in handy now. I did bring back the medallion my Mama had made for my old man to wear when he went off to meetings. Mama was good at metalwork, and she'd taught me a bit of it. I brought it out and set it at the center of the table. They all looked a bit surprised at first; I guess none of them had considered it before that moment. They all nodded their heads and quietly murmured. We set about our plan: I knew a few of the curfew guards were from the neighborhood and they'd watch out for us. Hell, a few of them might even join up with us. We'd have to be careful, though. Some of them boys had forgotten where they came from, and would just as soon turn around and take that goddamn Meyer's money. An old buddy of mine lived in Chicago, and I'd take the train out there on Friday to meet up with him. It was gonna take more than a few old Southern boys to set things right again. First things first, though. We all grasped hands over the old medallion, the cross still shiny in a few spots, looked at each other and nodded, and swore an oath to the protection of the 'kuklos klan'. post script- Saul Goldwyn was pissed. It was too cold to be outside this time of year. How the hell had he been stuck with that big lunk, watching a warehouse in the middle of the night? He was better than this. He was a brain, not a hired goon. "Shit!" He dropped the coffee trying to open the side door. None for you, you big thick... Saul was speechless, staring at the corpse hanging from a noose tied to the rafters. Saul ran over to the office, "I gotta call the boss." The whole way there, he was thinking, "Who would have done this? Not the Italians, they just gun you down. Who?" One of these days, he was gonna be somebody. Not a boss, he was smarter than that; but a number 2 man, the ones who really ran things. The bosses, they took all the credit, but they also took all the heat. Saul was better than that. Saul was smart, smart enough to realize in another minute who had hung that big pile of muscle. Saul never had that minute. Picking up the phone in the office and dialing Meyer's number 2, he noticed that the lock on the desk was broken. He didn't notice the case of dynamite inside the desk wired to the phone. -- "The humans founded America, mastered the nuclear forces, and destroyed the original Mars about thirty thousand years ago." "So George Washington was there when they split the atom?" "Could have been." -from "Triumph of the Terrans", copyright 24L1042 Subject: For All Time Pt. 87 Date: 14 Aug 2001 16:10:40 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 87 May-September 1962 -In the words of George McGovern, writing from relatively peaceful South Dakota: "The hand of martial law fell as a cloud of some exotic gas; it inflamed and smothered fires where it found them, and intoxicated the more peaceful places on a cloud of contentment" Indeed, in much of the United States, the main impact of martial law was to seperate National Guardsmen from their families for a while; along with the sudden appearance of pro-government and pro-military posters. (Allen Ginsburg did his work well.) In areas where state governors did impose curfews, they went largely unenforced. In afflicted areas, especially in major cities, there was of course a significant impact. Government censorship, especially in the press, is heavy (though largely de facto rather than de jure), and the most compelling photograph of the summer of 1962; an M48 Clark tank parked outside Grant's Tomb, is ironically taken by an army photographer and used in various patriotic publications. President LaFollette resists the temptation to simply make mass arrests in black, Jewish, and Hispanic neighborhoods, though units from the Army Corps of Engineers do quietly refurbish the World War II-era camps used on Japanese-Americans. There are incidents, of course; the bloody raid on an AEC safehouse in Philadelphia kills a dozen civilians and five FBI agents in June, the Kahanist bombing of a National Guard barracks in August, and countless others, but the great mass of the nation only hears about the successes, and with a realization that there isn't going to be any great publicity outside of the movement itself (and with moderates leaving all groups in droves), that vast spectrum of activists who took the streets at the beginning of the year, from Ariel Sharon to Malcom X. to Gordon Kahl, slowly begin to retreat into the churches and mosques; offices and backrooms; that they came from in the first place. By the beginning of August, it's not too much to say that the troubles of 1962 are nearly over; organized violence continues in the major cities (far less in the South, the new waves of the Great Migration have sent Southern blacks by the tens of thousands either north into the big cities or into black-majority eareas), but at a level far more like Chicago in 1925 than Belfast in 1916. Altogether, perhaps a thousand people are dead. -In addition to giving the government a rather...visible presence in most of America, the "Riot Congress" of 1962 takes steps to make the government itself more sturdy. The Presidential Succession Act of 1962 ensures the death penalty for Presidential assasins or conspirators to same; it also extends the Presidential line of succession, adding the Speaker of the House, President Pro Tem of the Senate, and Chief Justice of the Supreme Court between the Vice-President and Secretary of State. A follow-up of the act gives the President the power to appoint a Vice-President, given Senate approval. President LaFollette moves quickly to appoint a Vice-President, signing the relevant documents just after the new regulations become law on August 15, 1962. California Governor Clark Gable is popular beyond his state as the former movie idol and man's man he is, and, as an added bonus, he has been a pretty good governor since his election in 1960[FN1]; California's race riots were unpleasant, especially in San Francisco, but at least mercifully brief. -Meanwhile, in July, in an isolated room somewhere in Montreal, George Shoeters shakes the hand of an anonymous officer in the French intelligence services. Maurice Challe can't touch the US; all of her disgruntled minorities or political movements are disturbingly nationalistic, and the ongoing tensions with Britain more than let him get back at the Jenkins government. But Canada...ah, Canada. He can at once help liberate an oppressed French population, get back at those dastardly Canadians who made France a laughing-stock after the secession of St. Pierre and Miquelon, and get rid of a vast number of weapons made unnecessary after the end of the Algerian and West African Wars. There are no nukes in those first shipments, of course; France's nuclear program is in overdrive, trying to build the hydrogen bomb that Great Britain beat them to in May, they've none to spare and likely never will. Besides, unlike his predecessor, Maurice Challe is not insane. -It's about this time that the first Chinese atomic bomb is completed; Mao Tse-Tung moves very carefully nowadays. While most CPSD organs operating in the People's Republic of China are run by Chinese, there are a fair number of Soviets and Soviet agents running around, and he can't allow Kaganovich to know of the Chinese atomic program. He is very close to a formal break, but he can't yet. If China is to successfully strive free of the hand of Moscow, they need everything the Soviet Union has...especially thermonuclear weapons. It will be another few years before they've moved to that stage, though, so Mao continues to smile and firmly agree with General Secretary Kaganovich about the need for cooperation among the two largest nations in the CPSD; while privately working to making his own darn bloc, thank you. Meanwhile, General Lin Baio, commander of the People's Liberation Army, and one of the few officials highly placed enough to be aware of Mao's plans for the future, is thoroughly disgusted. He agrees, of course, with the urgent need to break from the "neo-capitalists" of Moscow, but Mao is being far too wussified about it! If the Soviet Union has more hydrogen bombs, well, there are millions more Chinese, Chinese united behind the banner of the people's revolution! -Other nations, however, are not so ambitious, or at least have less of a reason to hide their ambition. On September 9, 1962, President Delgado Chalbaud invites the Soviet and American ambassadors to witness Venezuela's entry into the nuclear age. In an isolated region of the Guiana highlands (the incredibly remote area that was the setting for _The Lost World_), the first South American nuclear bomb, an impressive fellow of forty kilotons, is detonated just after sunset. The 53-year old Chalbaud has been walking an interesting tightrope in his decades in power, especially after the conquest of the Venezuelan Antilles. Presenting himself to the United States and western Europe as an anti-Communist (and indeed, especially after Guevara rose to power in Argentina, it's not a good idea to found an large Communistish group in Venezuela), Chalbaud has been married to a Jewish-Romanian Communist (Lucia Levine) since the early 1930s. More than a few dissidents or refugees from Kaganovich's CPSD, especially from the former Yugoslavia, have quietly found their way to Caracas and its environs, especially scientists and engineers. (There've been a lot of those, the former commander of the Venezuelan Army Corps of Engineers has been a _builder_, and not just of military matters. He's quite proud of the comparison to Augustus Caesar.) To the CPSD, he has presented himself as the leader of a non-aligned bloc in South America, pointing proudly to the left-wing publication his wife edits (that somehow never criticizes the person of Delgado Chalbaud) and the (very carefully) positioned leftists in his government. He'd normally just let them alone; despite his marriage he has little use for Communists, but his representative Juan Pablo Pérez Alfonzo is already in Cairo, negotiating with representatives of the Jerusalem League and the CPSD on the formation of a bloc of oil producing nations: the OPEP. ----- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 88 Date: 23 Aug 2001 18:27:03 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 88 October 1962-December 1962 -On October 4, Pedro Estrada is unsurprised to see only a mid-level Treasury official greeting him as he steps onto the tarmac at Manfred von Richthofen International Airport; the largest major airport serving the city of Dusseldorf and the country of Westphalia. (Okay, the _only_ major airport serving Westphalia, at least the only major civilian one.) He didn't want to be greeted with someone well-known, and Helmut Schmidt is comfortably obscure in a department still dominated by Hjalmer Schacht. The head of the Venezuelan Secret Police isn't a man comfortable with publicity; the only people he really likes to show his face to are Carlos Delgado, his wife, and the occasional particularly prominent (and unfortunate) political prisoner in Caracas or the Venezuelan Antilles. He's even less comfortable with it now; after all, he's got a very important cargo in the boxes full of technical information in the hold of his airplane, not to mention several former Palatinate nuclear scientists who've come home to advise their northern brethern. -Henry Wallace's funeral on October 20, 1962, (he died at his desk two weeks earlier) is attended sparsely, mostly by dignitaries within the United States government, the former President's family, and members of the fringe moderate civil rights movement. Herbert Hoover and Thomas Dewey; the two living American ex-Presidents, give long eulogies which mostly say that Henry Wallace was President of the United States during World War II; Vice President Clark Gable speaks as well as can be expected for the man who many blame for stirring up Charles Whitman. Benjamin O. Davis Jr. gives a good speech, so does Thurgood Marshall, and Walther Reuther actually makes people cry...but no one's that bothered. Servicemen remember the disaster at Normandy in 1943, conservatives remember the way Wallace drove through liberalism above all else, and bigots will _never_ forgive the man who made the country pay attention, however briefly, to civil rights in the United States. Whatever people think of him, though, everyone agrees that America's 33rd President, and the world he hoped to create, is dead. After the funeral, Thurgood Marshall happens to bump into Martin Luther King Jr. (unlike many of his counterparts in the civil rights movement, no one ever made anything stick against King), and the two fall to talking. Perhaps something can be done to make Wallace's death not in vain, after all, something near the holiday of Christmas. -Meanwhile, Canada mutters on. With the support of Prime Minister Smallwood, K.C. Irving and Maurice Dupliess have easily retained their positions running New Brunswick and Quebec, respectively. It is a measure of Smallwood's ability that he, the autocratic socialist, has successfully cozied up to elites of all languages to keep Quebec and the Maritimes solidly in the Liberal camp. The Newfoundlander has been less lucky in the west; the government's dislocation of small fishing communities in the West Coast has created a generation of angry young men all throughout British Columbia, most of whom have found God (at least a political version of same) in the person of their riding's Social Credit MP. The Progressive-Conservative/Social Credit coalition is a powerful Opposition force in Parliment, and Smallwood has only recently survived a vote of no confidence. (The most interesting stories are the ones unreported; a generation of Quebec intellectuals like Rene Lesage and Pierre Trudeau has been driven into academia or journalism; Francophone politics are dominated by nearly theocratic conservatives on the one hand or quasi-terrorists in the other.) In Algeria, Pierre Gagnon is slapping more and more zinc oxide on himself; the distraction of sunburn can not, must not be allowed to interfere with the Cause. Revolution! -Official Washington is all abuzz in December with rumors of a planned Negro revolt; each rumor more graphic than the last. If any man can be blamed for them, it is the director of the F.B.I. Roy Cohn is part of the new generation of politically active, radically conservative Jews that has sprung up after World War II; he was appointed during President LaFollette's attempts at bipartisanship. He does geninuely believe the stories; FBI agents planted in the NAACP have picked up evidence of meetings between moderates like Thurgood Marshall and radicals like Martin Luther King Jr; and he even has a planned route for the march; one ending (ominously) in the park opposite the White House. Despite a strong urge to strike first and best, Cohn is well aware of the risks; an FBI/military attack on black groups who have publically done nothing wrong will simply stir up another wave of civil insurrection, and he really doesn't want that...better to bring them out publically, in the eyes of the world. There can be no telling the President the exact truth, of course, Robert LaFollette Jr. is far too soft-hearted to do what's right. Cohn settles for telling LaFollette that investigations are underway, while having secret talks with Secret Service Cheif Schine and Marine Major Lee H. Oswald, commander of the White House garrison. (Especially secret with Schine.) -On December 12, the first bus arrives in Georgetown... ------ Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 89 Date: 24 Aug 2001 03:36:18 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 89 "I'll always remember how cold it was. There must have been two, three thousand Negros in Lafayette Square that day, not to mention twenty Marines, a dozen Secret Service suits, and one President of the United States, but it must have been ten below." Norman S. takes a long drag on his cigarette before continuing. "I wasn't with them, of course. It wasn't policy to let the guy holding the nuclear launch codes walk into the middle of a crowd of Negros that had been chanting songs to Muhammed and Jesus ten minutes before. Of course, it wasn't policy to let the _President_ walk in there either." He laughs in rueful admiration. "We'd known he wasn't all there, you know. Christ, he put a picture of his dad in the Oval Office a week after Joe Kennedy bought it, and he talked to the damned thing. But Bob LaFollette had guts, I'll give him that. I wouldn't have walked out into that crowd. But then again, maybe he shouldn't have either..." "I couldn't hear what they were saying. That was the worst part at first; here I was, the President of the United States putting his life on the line to talk to Thurgood Marshall and Medgar Evars man to man, and Peckerhead Oswald and his boys were going to see all the action." Norman looks out the window, and his voice shakes a bit. "We knew he was nuts, too, every real soldier in the White House, but Ed Walker always stood up for him. Said he'd take a bullet for Oswald, and Oswald would take a bullet for the President...and he got to pick his own men, too, which meant Lee Oswald had twenty of the most psycho Marines in the United States behind him on the 15th of December. The Secret Service guys weren't much better, mostly crazy bastards who were sorry they hadn't bagged a n***** along with the DC police when the riots hit." Growing in strength, the big man looks squarely at the interviewer. "Even so, I think Bond must have done something stupid. Even a nutjob like Lee Oswald wouldn't have just pulled out his .45 and shot a guy for no reason. It doesn't matter..." Norman shakes his head. "Maybe he just shoved his hand in his pocket too fast to get some smokes. You don't do that kind of crazy stuff five feet from the President when you were just yelling "Revenge! Revenge!" "Still, I almost can't blame Evers for shooting back, not with Oswald blowing a man's head off right in front of him. No one else was shooting, though...I don't care what everyone else said they heard, I heard exactly two shots before it all hit the fan. Two shots..." Norman closes his eyes. "Twenty AR-16s firing at full auto is damned loud, you know, damned loud. We didn't hear the screaming until they stopped to slap in a full mag, and by then the snipers on the White House roof were picking Negros off right and left..." Norman opens his eyes and suddenly booms: "Hell! He loses four Marines and three Secret Service guys, five of seven to friendly fire, in the time it takes to fire a volley and get Bob LaFollette out of there, and he says they were shooting at _him!_ A hundred and twenty dead, two hundred wounded, and Peckerhead Oswald makes himself the hero." "We were all sure there was going to be a race war, then, like nothing we'd ever seen. Everyone was going nuts when we got back to the White House, Oswald was walking around covered in blood, Wayne Morse was about to have a heart attack..." S. shakes his head admiringly. "But not Bob LaFollette. He gets the cameras rolling, he breaks into every network, live, an hour later, when Washington is already catching fire...I always thought it was the bandage that did it, the President of the United States, bleeding from his head, telling the nation not to shed any more blood, that it was his fault and no one else's, that he was the one who'd spilled so much blood..." Norman looks at the New Zealander with haunted eyes. "I think he must have had the pistol in his desk for months; no one had .38s in the White House. You can see Hugh Thompson's arm in the CBS and NBC broadcast, poor kid was maybe a half-second too late...ABC didn't cut away in time." ---- Thoughts?b President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 90 Date: 24 Aug 2001 22:46:55 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 90 December 1962-February 1963 -A major lasting initiative of the early hours of the Gable administration (beyond the Presidential Disability Act that would eventually turn into a Consitutional amendment, and taking the final steps to prevent a race war) is the Federal Mental Health Agency. Headed by Antonio Moniz disciple Benjamin Spock, the FMHA is charged with maintaining the mental health and stability of all Americans. (Mental health has, of course, been taboo for as long as anyone can remember, but LaFollette's suicide has made it shockingly public.) Spock's doctors (at least one is at every major mental hospital in America by the middle of the year) have broad discretionary powers to ensure the proper treatment of the mentally ill, and the Agency itself has the power to commit nearly anyone who's a danger to themselves or those around tem, even if the patients themselves aren't fully aware of it. Americans will have the federal government watching over their sanity, and as they watch President Clark Gable and Edward Brooke lay a wreath at the site of the Lafayette Incident, frankly, they're ready for someone to. (Gable's Vice-President is famous, politically neutral, but a Republican voter: General Matthew Ridgeway, retired since 1948 and an author of a best-selling series of military novels; is remembered as the hero of the abortive invasion of Japan at the end of the war.) -January 1, 1963 marks a not-terribly voluntary Independance Day for Bechuanaland, Britain's last major colony in southern Africa. Completely surrounded by South Africa and its associated territories, tied to the shaky Britain of Roy Jenkins, and without the important resources of Nigeria and Aden, the new nation of Botswana is founded more on the principles of cleaning up than setting free. Hundreds of miles away, Idi Amin's conquest of Zanzibar has proved a success, right down to the planned row of gallows from the sea to the former Sultan's palace. Like a lot of dictators, he is modeling much of his government after the proven success of Delgado's in Venezuela. His civil engineering projects aren't doing so well, forced savings can only do so much, and his nuclear program along Lake Victoria is slow at best. The main things that _have_ been successful, though, are the thousands of rifles and hundreds of trained, veteran fighters that have slipped across the long border with the Territories of Botha and Smuts (The former Northern Rhodesia and Mozambique, respectively.) to wreck havoc. Johannesburg is already casting an eye north and pondering what's to be done, even as urban violence explodes to apocalyptic levels. -On February 5, 1963, Ritchie Valens wipes his brow and bows to the Liverpool crowd. America's first great Latin pop sensation was far less successful at home than in OTL, the inevitable association of ethnic music with ethnic strife has badly hurt the careers of black, Hispanic, and Jewish musicians. He's still big in Great Britain, though, teenagers rebelling against the near-poverty of home and against the disliked Americans across the sea all at once. After the show, a bespectacled young man makes his way to Valens' dressing room; he has a presentation for the gregarious artist, British ethnic music: John Lennon's _Jugalbandhi_ ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 91 Date: 25 Aug 2001 22:44:29 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 91 March-July 1963 -As legions of tanned, tired men march past Prime Minister Gough Whitlam, he is the most popular man in Australia. His government's revival of the de facto alliance with the People's Republic of Java and Sumatra has let both governments make a strategic retreat; Australian peacekeeping troops can return home from Ceram, Buru, and points west, while Jakarta can spend CPSD funds on themselves than on the ideological bretheren in the Indonesian archipelago. (Not that either power will stop pointing nuclear bombers at each other, from Yogyakarta and Bali, respectively.) As for Whitlam himself: now he can use his personal and political popularity to bring Australia fully into the 20th century, make a social democracy in a world where they're few and far between. It will be hard, but he's not one to flinch from hard work. -Neither is his American counterpart, President Clark Gable, and he's got a lot to do: His pledge not to run for his own term in 1964 has freed him to concentrate on being President, but has cost him valuable political cards. His planned Equal Rights Amendment is mostly pretty words, and thus popular, but more equitable laws (at least from the actors' perspective) for the acting community will take work indeed. He makes nightly television addresses from the First Family's bedroom (the first President to do either), and the old acting talents haven't withered, though his last role was a cameo role as the Judge in family friend Lucille Ball's _Inherit The Wind_ in 1957. Gable would like to do a national tour, but that didn't work so well for President Kennedy. (Not to mention, of course, that the President's bodyguard is rather...large at this stage.) -Meanwhile, Roy Jenkins rolls the dice. Like his predecessor, he is a firm believer in butter over bullets, but circumstances have forced him to build the largest nuclear arsenal in Europe. (France has a substantially larger land army, though.) With an economy not terribly stronger than West Germany's in OTL, Britain is hard-pressed enough to defend herself and her vastly reduced Empire while at the same time maintaining even the trappings of a social democracy. Thus, Burma has to go; tens of thousands of British soldiers have lost their lives there since the Communist insurgencies began (though far less since they shifted back to be advisors only), three nuclear weapons have been used, and still the Win government whines for more tens of millions of pounds, money that he always seems to spend on himself. No more. No more. On June 1, 1963, Britain's ten thousand advisors and engineers begin the long withdrawal home, just in time for Ne Win to find himself a new patron. Thailand isn't exactly screamingly rich, of course, but they're doing quite well for one of the three non-Communist states in Southeast Asia. More to the point, the Nordics don't get uppity if you deal with students. Or maintain a harem. In fact, if the reports from Bangkok are accurate, they _really_ like it. -Under the dark of the moon in July of 1963, a thermonuclear fireball rises high over Chinese Turkestan... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 92-The Sino-Soviet Split Date: 27 Aug 2001 01:37:06 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 92 August-November 1963 -In the end, there is no war, and that's what dooms them all. Almost everyone in Washington, London, Paris, and Ottawa expects a nuclear conflict between the Soviet Union and Communist China in the dark days of August-September 1963. Both powers mobilize millions of men and machines along their long common border; China's demonstration blasts of one megaton each in isolated border regions prompts Lazar Kaganovich to detonate an impressive 40 megaton blast between North Japan and Manchuria. But, finally, neither man can _quite_ give the order to strike first. Lazar Kaganovich has spent eleven long, hard years building the Soviet Union's and the CSPD's industrial machines into a monument to Marx and Lenin, large, efficient, and more prosperous than anyone has ever seen. (There has been a barely noticeable rise in worker inefficiency in isolated areas, but SPID is still kilometers below the radar.) Like a Prussian admiral of World War I, he just can't take his mighty creation and hurl it against the wall; even in a war he knows he'll win. Mao Tse-Tung is a bit more prosiac; he's seen the People's Republic of China come back from (what he imagines as) worse than the losing side of a nuclear conflict, and just doesn't particularly care about tens of millions or so dead. But _if_ he's going to kill millions of Russians and tens of millions of Chinese, he'd better have a good reason...and in the end, there isn't. Both Ho Chi Minh and Kim Il Sung have quickly cozied up to Moscow, with Mongolia and the JPR proving equally afraid to confront the reality of the people's revolution. And once he realizes Kaganovich isn't about to go to war, well, the whole thing starts to look a little silly. By October of 1963, both powers have begun a (very) slow process of partial demobilization. After all, war or no, the Communist world has been split, and split forever. (A potential Maoist ally is removed early; Envers Hoxha is assasinated by his own private secretary on September 25, 1963; Eastern Europe remembers 1954 _very_ well, thank you.) -The General Secretary of the Soviet Union is a survivor. From being a Jew in the inner circle of Stalin, the arch-anti-Semite, to running the Soviet Union through perhaps her most turbulent times since the war, Lazar Kaganovich knows when to stand, and when to duck, and when to get away from the noose mob. (Not that he's in any particular physical danger, mind, the post-Stalin de facto treaty is alive and well...but he'd rather quit than be fired.) Even before the extreme Stalinists begin to mutter about the spineless government letting the Chinese get away with that kind of uppityness, Lazar Kaganovich announces his retirement, and on October 20, 1963, after a suitable period of arranging the right sucession with Politburo arm-twisting, the only man to survive running the Soviet Union retires to his (relatively) small home in Moscow. While Kaganovich would have preferred to have handed the government over to Foriegn Minister Molotov, a personal friend and comrade (in the old sense of the word) for 30 years, he's aware of appearances. The Soviet Union needs new blood! It's not as if they're a pack of senile vodka-drinkers, after all. Mikhail Andreevich Suslov is a bit more liberal than he, but an opponent of any particular changes: In the end, he wants another industralist to run the industrial empire he's made. ((http://www.anet.net/~upstart/suslov.html)) -On November 22, Mao Tse-Tung is taking his daily nude swim in the nearest convienent river (it's the Li River today, he's been touring the natural rock formations nearby) when he suddenly turns face-down. Despite the alleged efforts of his bodyguards, he is pronounced dead of drowning by a PLA doctor a few hours later. Even as Mao is (very) rapidly cremated, no less a figure than General Lin Biao himself is headed for Bejing. He has a long list of Soviet agents to take care of, especially Mao's murderous bodyguards. (No one ever does find the opiate capsule, the same brand the general himself uses.) --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 93 Date: 28 Aug 2001 03:20:04 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 93 December 1963-February 1964 -On December 2, 1963, the world takes another step into the Space Age when the first human being successfully makes a full orbit of the Earth. (There have been several sub-orbital flights over long distances by both the US and the USSR.) The Dactyl that Michael Collins and George Bush ride in their long equatorial flight from Kennedy Base in Nevada and back is generations advanced over the Dyna-Soar of years earlier; it is larger, faster, and pollutes moderately instead of severely. (Theodore Taylor isn't particularly satisfied; of course, but he, like everyone else involved in America's space program, is swept away by the moment. Too, he has a sympathetic ear in his close friend and superior, Ted Hall.) Too, thanks to heroic efforts by Clarence "Kelly" Johnson and Edward Teller, the Dactyl and her two sister planes can actually carry weapons; one five-hundred kiloton bomb each, and surprisingly, there are even specially designed bombs that can survive a fall from orbital heights. Accuracy is a problem, though, and it's difficult to do tests; there are no particular treaties about testing weapons between the various Great Powers, but it doesn't do to give London and Paris and Moscow and Bejing ideas. And, of course, each Dactyl costs about two-thirds as much as a mid-sized aircraft carrier. -Ernesto Guevara's December negotiations with representatives from the People's Republic of China are quite profitable indeed for all parties. Lin Biao's position is still a bit shaky back home; there are always more people to shoot, and he needs an inarguable success, an ally for China's very own. Too, Guevara needs assistance. He is sensible enough to know the socialization of Argentina's armed and prosperous farmers will likely be the work of generations; but for all that he's a believer in the inevitability of Marx; well, he'd like to actually _see_ that happy day. The key is war! A war to liberate the oppressed workers and peasants of the surrounding continent; that a generation might grow up under the banner of the people's revolution, under a banner of liberation! Then, then can he reform the heartland of the Democratic Republic of Argentina. There are problems, though; the purge of Galterist wreckers in the Army has left the Argentine military without much in the way of experienced officers. The Chinese military has those in abundance, men who can teach order, and fighting, and combat, and devotion to the cause of the people's revolution. As for nuclear weapons...well, maybe when that war actually hits. President Gable is an isolationist, yes, but Lin Biao is well aware how many nuclear weapons the United States has, and how ill they will look at even a salmon country dropping nuclear weapons on all and sundry. But they'll be ready for them too... -As 1964 begins, Mikhail Suslov isn't terribly bothered by all this. As he sits in his Moscow office, surrounded by flow charts, he has all the proof he needs that Lin Biao is leading his nation down a road even worse than capitalism. (A truly terrifying thought!) There is, admittedly, the problem of the lost ally in the Americas to worry about, but Dr. Guevara always made him a bit...nervous. People's revolutions are all well and good, but smart men (like himself) understand Moscow is the only really good source for a revolution. Independent revolutions (like Mao's or Guevara's) are far too likely to fall from the stalwart path of Marxism. No, the best way to have a revolution is to guide it right from his desk in the Kremlin. And on February 17, 1964, when Colonel Jafaar Mohammed al-Nimeiry's army takes Khartoum, well, there's suddenly a heck of a lot of people that need guidance. The trip from Iran is a bit risky, but the Jerusalem League is far more watchful than likely to actually start a war, and by the end of the month, the first Soviet advisers are arriving in Sudan. ((In OTL, Nimeiry led the 1969 Marxist coup. In the ATL, there's been enough Soviet monkeying about in Africa (witness SPID) to make the revolution a pretty solidly pro-Moscow one. )) ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 94 Date: 29 Aug 2001 18:51:32 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 94 March-August 1964 -On March 2, 1964, the people of Britain go to the polls and turn out Roy Jenkins and the Labour Party. There are a variety of reasons for this; none of them alone quite explaining the collapse of the "Prosperity through Austerity" government that has run the United Kingdom and its diminished Empire since the death of Nye Bevan. To begin with, the Empire itself. Only thirty years earlier, the map was one-sixth pink; now Great Britain holds Aden, Nigeria, the Caribbean, islands scattered hither and yon...and that's it. The mighty Royal Navy has been mostly sold off to acquisitive foriegn powers, and bomber bases are near every major city. It's a sentimental issue, to be sure, but a real one, especially among Britons of a certain age. And, of course, the eternal factor, the economy: Great Britain is leaps and bounds better than France or Westphalia, much less Spain and Portugal, but times have, to say the least, been better. Jenkins' retention of Nigeria and Aden have let the United Kingdom stay independant of OPEP and foriegn oil supplies, but technically-minded citizens look to the large nuclear system of the United States and wonder where _their_ breeder reactors are. There are, of course, slightly less savory reasons; racism being prime among them. The militarization of India and Pakistan's governments in the 1950s has produced several waves of East Indian immigrants to Great Britain, in the millions by 1964. The United Kingdom is as tolerant as the next First World democracy, of course, but nativism works well in just about every nation with a sudden influx of immigrants. And thus it is, with his slogan "Not One Inch More!", which refers to either the collapse of Empire, economy, or whiteness, depending on what element of Conservative voter you ask (he's rarely explicit), that Enoch Powell becomes Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. ((Yeah, so it's convergence. Heck, the man is perfect, perfect I tells ya...)) -Another issue is, of course, American football. (_Real_ football) World Cup qualifiers weren't televised in 1950, and most American fans aren't the type to travel across oceans, so it was mostly the British and Brazilians who were there on June 29 when the American soccer team crushed the British with an score of 2-0. As time has gone by, the situation's gotten worse; American teams have at least tied their British counterparts in two of their three return matches; the last American victory, in 1963's semi-finals, saw perhaps the finest American player in history, the great Jim Brown, score two goals personally in the first ten minutes, with (according to Americans, at least) only a broken leg during a post-game party keeping him from leading the Americans to victory over Portugal in the World Cup championship. Clearly, something must be done! ((In OTL, the American Soccer League was one of the strongest in the world in the 1920s, but jurisdictional disputes and the Great Depression killed it off. The system remained strong enough to beat the British in 1950 by a score of 1-0, but with the decline of ethnic clubs and the televising of other sports, American (world) football became so much shadows and dust. In FaTL, with the influx of Germans and Italians and Palestinians and Puerto Ricans, combined with the sharp ethnic divides in the United States and poor integration slowing American "football"'s progress, American soccer remains very competitive, winning the Copa America an average of three years out of eight. The pan-Americas soccer league is a powerful (American teams compete regionally, then nationally, then internationally.) force. Oddly enough, the influx of Europeans _also_ benefits Venezuela, historically the weakest _futbol_ nation in South America. As for Jim Brown, well, he was a multi-sport guy, and dang fast.)) -The sudden, shocking collapse of the Burmese government is ample proof of what happens when a client state becomes too corrupt and its Great Power patron too complacent. In May, Burma is a fascist, authoritarian state, and by the end of August, the first Chinese-built tanks are rumbling through the streets of Rangoon, and Burma is on her way to becoming a Communist, totalitarian state. Most of the blame for this can be laid squarely at the feet of the Ne Win government. Ever since the British use of tactical nuclear bombs had driven the Communist rebels north into the hills near the Chinese border, Burma's military government had been more than content to spend the British military subsidies on themselves, building skyscrapers, organizing drug shipments through Taiwan, and in general committing every major sin except sloth. Imperialism is a rather new thing to the nations of the Nordic Council, and the men sitting in Copenhagen and Stockholm, Oslo and Helsinki, had been inclined to believe their experts on the ground; that Burma was as stable and honest as Thailand, that their military subsidies were going to help the Army fight. Still, they put just enough pressure on Rangoon that Ne Win ordered one great summer offensive to wipe out the rebels, to take care of them once and for all. No one, not even the surviving Norwegian and Finnish military advisors, ever gets full, definititive proof that there are PLA officers leading the armored pincers that capture most of the Burmese Army just east of Lashio, or Chinese pilots flying the fighter-bombers that appear over Rangoon a week later...but everyone knows, all the same. Humiliated, the Nordic governments make a solemn vow; they and their allies will never, ever be pushed around again. No more nations will fall, especially not Thailand, which suddenly has lots and lots of sunburned blondes guarding the border. -Barry Goldwater touches on the spread of international Communism in his acceptance speech; the junior Senator from Arizona having just been nominated by a supermajority to be the Republican Party's Presidential candidate in 1964. Goldwater is immensely popular with conservatives and centrists; a fiery foe of lily-livered liberals and repugnant extremists at once, he has a grass-roots base like no Presidential candidate for decades before. On top of everything else, Goldwater is one of a growing number of non-isolationists in American politics. Goldwater is an especial foe of the FHMA, promising to abolish it "in the first hours of my Presidency" and to "salt the field that such a repellent idea has come from." (It's not just words; Goldwater's family chain of department stores has made Goldwater a wealthy man, and he's spent quite a bit of money funding the largest Court challenge to the Federal Mental Health Administration, arising out of a case in Phoenix.) The choice of running mate is a very difficult one; while Goldwater would prefer New York Congressman William Miller, a close friend and former GOP chairman, he's well-aware that after the deaths of Kennedy and LaFollette (especially LaFollette's mental instability), the public is paying very close attention to potential Vice-Presidential candidates. After a great deal of personal debate, Goldwater picks one of his chief rivals for the nomination; Pennsylvania Governor William Scranton. Scranton is from a big, important state in a big, important region, and is a bit to the left of Goldwater on a variety of social issues. (For one thing, Goldwater is strongly opposed to most of the surviving New Deal.) -Meanwhile, amid screaming boos, Lyndon Johnson is nominated by the Democrats in Baltimore. Embittered by Joseph Kennedy Jr. dumping him in 1960, Johnson has spent the last four years getting in good with every political boss in the country; in all likelihood, the mass of the Party would have preferred someone else; possibly New Jersey Governor Brennan or Maine Senator Muskie, but they don't really get a choice. As his running mate, Johnson takes Ed Brown; he is _trying_ to get in good with the Gable administration, after all, and getting Gable's former lieutenant Governor is probably the best way to do that... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 95 Date: 09 Sep 2001 01:50:08 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 95 August-November 1964 BOBBY BAKER is one of the most senior political advisors to Barry Goldwater, and perhaps the most skilled. Goldwater's navigator when both flew bombers over Belgium, Baker has a hard job in keeping his old friend from making the slightly wild statements of public policy in public that he's given to in private, but it's one he's proved largely successful at. (In real private, of course, the horror stories Baker relates about several friends of his and their dealings with FMHA doctors in more rural areas of Texas and Alabama. Homosexuality is much, much too risky a subject to bring up in a campaign with a mudslinger like LBJ, but Barry Goldwater fully intends to do _something._ once he's safely elected.) FRANCISCO TUDJMAN's Croatian Guards are in the forefront of the occupation of Trinidad. The operation is something of a gamble for Carlos Delgado; while the post-Eric Williams government has cut almost every tie to Great Britain, Enoch Powell's rhetoric about standing up for former Empire nations is quite real. (As he is wont to explain to the Venezuelan ambassador, over and over. You have to explain things to these Latins.) Fortunately, though, the invasion is not particularly bloody; islanders impressed with the efficiency of the Delgado government and fed up with the intercine violence and economic turmoil accompanying their expulsion from OPEP are waiting to greet the battlescarred veterans of Italy and Willemstad with reasonably open arms, and Powell was never comfortable with the quasi-Marxist government in Port of Spain anyway. He does, however, begin the construction of a fairly large airstrip on the Falkland Islands, less the Guevara government get uppity. He designs the base himself, spending long hours instructing Army engineers about the construction of an airbase in the distant lands below the equator. It's a frustrating task, but you have to explain things to these engineers. PETER LAWFORD, the American Ambassador to the Court of St. James, looks blearily up from his Scotch as the crowd cheers and Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater, thousands of miles away in Phoenix, announces proudly that Lyndon Johnson has just conceded. Lawford is glad; he was appointed as a Kennedy relation back in the halcyon days of Joe Jr, and no Kennedy likes Johnson. (Johnson's margin of victory in Massachusetts was in the hundreds, and more a measure of a liberal state than a pro-Johnson state.) CHARLES MANSON, however, is not so happy. Goldwater has successfully pulled conservative Republicans away from the siren lure of extremism, and that means trouble for California's Attorney General. (who is nothing if not extreme.) It's these damned Jews, he thinks blackly, the Red Jews finally got their man in Washington in the White House. Fortunately, he has Marilyn to soothe him. And they say Hollywood marriages never work... --- Thoughts? See, it's a utopia. No drug addiction for Marilyn. President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 96 Date: 12 Sep 2001 22:18:02 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 96 December 1964-February 1965 -Apollo Milton Obote has been (publically) a side figure in the East African government of Idi Amin. Originally put into Amin's cabinet to satisfy the faction of the late Julius Nyerere, the East African Federation's Education Minister has spent his career making sure Uganda's schools keep several pictures of the Maximum Leader in all classrooms, and that teachers who don't teach the glories of the Zanzibar conquest get what's coming to them. Obote has, however, been quite the busy man privately. Amin's incorporation of the old anti-colonial rebels groups into the EAF's military has helped him keep civil insurrection to a low ebb...but it's also put people who fear and hate him in a very good position to do something, and Obote, the man who buried Julius Nyerere, is just the man to do it. On December 2, Idi Amin leaves Kampala for a two-week conference with King Selassie of Ethiopia to consult just what to do about the threat posed by Sudan (where Russian and northern troops have begun waging a brutal war of expulsion against the black population of the South), and Obote makes his move, as it were. High-ranking members of the East African military don't have long to wonder why much of the General Staff and civilian leadership aren't at the December 10 meeting, it's hard to wonder things when you've just been bombed and shot to death by men in your own military's uniforms. Hours later, Apollo Obote addresses the East African Federation live on radio and television (the EAF has surprisingly large quantities of both, the better to hear the Maximum Leader.). "East Africans! Today we celebrate our freedom from fear! Our freedom from want! Today, we celebrate our independance!" Two days later, the first military representatives of the People's Republic of China arrives. Decades under first the British and then Amin have swung Obote's personal pendulum far toward the siren call of Chairman Mao and General Li, and for that matter, East Africa needs allies, trapped between near-CPSD member Sudan and hungry South Africa, and revolutionary China is just the thing. -Barry Goldwater's inaugural address is an eventful one; long and exciting at one go. A lot of it, though, isn't that surprising. Most people were expecting the promises of stronger international relations abroad, especially with Westphalia and Venezuela, and pretty much everyone was expecting the promised cuts in the federal budget, like selling off the Department of Energy's big nuclear plants to the states, and the many damns and plants of the Tennessee Valley Authority over to private business. But it's a fair statement to say no one was expecting Barry Goldwater's closing paragraph, not even the new President himself. "There is a crisis in America today; a crisis of people condemned for no other crime than the way they were born. Persecuted wherever they are found, outright banned in most parts of the country, forbidden legal recognition, they are America's underclass. All but a few weaklings will speak for Americans of a different color, or creed, or nation, but no one will speak for them. None will dare even speak their name. We call them security risks, we say they are easily blackmailed, and so we fire them from the civil service. We discharge war heroes and call them traitors. No more. One of the first acts of this administration will be to ban all federal discrimination against those unfortunates we give the name homosexual, in all aspects and portions of the government. And while there are those who will call this action extreme, well, I would remind you that extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice. And let me remind them also that moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue." ((There are those who may question this, but: Goldwater _was_ in favor of equal rights for homosexuals in OTL, and wrote a stirring defense of gays in the military that's available on the Web. Admittedly, this came later in his career, when it was a more public issue. However, in FaTL, with the power of the Presidency behind him, with his friendship with Bobby Baker, with his horror at the treatment of homosexuals at the hands of the Federal Mental Health Administration, and given Barry Goldwater's known capacity in 1964 for coming up with ideas without thinking them over, especially as he didn't specify the military, I believe it's at least as plausible as a Soviet atomic bomb in 1945.)) -It's not the first action of his administration, though; before the crowd has even quieted outside the White House, President Barry Goldwater is in the Oval Office signing the executive order demolishing the Federal Mental Health Administration. All of its employees are transferred or discharged, all of its patients are released. Rather relieved at not having to hear such a divisive case, Estes Kefauver and the Kefauver Court never do deal with the issues raised by Doe vs. Alfred, after all, they've been dealt with by the executive branch, and quite scathingly too. The "Salt the Earth" order will become a classic in its way. -On February 2, the first crowds gather outside the Stonewall Bar... --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 97 Date: 15 Sep 2001 18:13:52 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if ((Elements of this may not be that escapist. Sorry.)) For All Time Pt. 97 February 1965-May 1965 -Everyone knows the Stonewall Bar is a gay bar, its location on Christopher Street has made it one of the most successful establishments of that nature in Greenwich Village, New York City. For the most part, though, people don't care. Greenwich Village is a liberated area even in FaT's New York, and as long as no one makes a fuss, everyone's happy. Raids are not uncommon, but are always met with little resistance. But a fuss has been made, and a big one: President Goldwater's liberalization of the federal government's policy towards homosexuals has energized the elements of the gay community (if there is such a thing in 1965) that patronize the Stonewall; political activists and rebels, writers and poets, a cross-section of Village life in general. They don't have to hide what they are anymore; Barry is with them. Men accustomed to being at least semi-public find it a relatively easy road to being completely public, men who fear less find it easy not to fear at all. The Tactical NYPD unit that makes the February 2 raid is perhaps rougher than they have to be, homosexuality's popularity among mainstream Americans has actually dipped since Goldwater's announcement, no small effort to say the least, and the police, veterans as they are of years of riots, are nothing if not protectors of the mainstream order. All in all, the newly-confident New York gay Village community and the New York City Police Department come together, and suddenly police are slugging it out in full riot gear with Greenwich youths incensed at the oppression of the government against a minority, or the abuse of fellow travelers on a lonely road of life, or simply people who like to make trouble, or all three. By the morning of the third, though; the two groups are suddenly joined. A moderate segment of Americans in New York are veterans of street fighting too, and a segment of those (primarily WASPs and Jews) are only too happy to rush to the defense of the police or against "degenerates." Tempers flaring, with two officers dead and more hurt, the police simply pull back to regroup and get reinforcements...and the Battle of the Village begins. Contrary to what Boomer historians of later years will say, it's not a generational struggle; in a way it's two Americas, the old vs. the new, conservativism vs. liberal...in another way, a less abstract way, it's simply chaos as black and Puerto Rican groups, none of which are particularly sympathetic to the differently-sexed, see their old enemies on the streets and do the same, lest they lose ground, and soon the blood runs in the streets of Greenwich Village. Mayor Abraham Beame's administration is already shaky; Golda Meir, William F. Buckley, and former Mayor Elliot Goodwin are formidable candidates for the Republican nomination, not to mention John Lindsay from within his own party. (Beame is that increasingly rare thing in New York, a Jewish Democrat.) Horrified at the mounting toll, with (truth be told) awareness of his image as a weak-willed accountant, Beame sends in the NYPD despite their reluctance, giving them direct orders to go into the riot-torn areas and restore order by any means necessary... It's hard to say when the first lynching happens, but the first caught on camera is on February 11, and within very short order, it has imitators all over the city. And the country, as old networks spring back up into life...and new ones form. Most historians date the birth of the gay rights movement from the execution style slaying of off-Broadway star Dick York on March 5. -As America's cities explode into violence and rioting again, the medium of television gets a big boost. Contemptous of the media blackouts of the previous administration, President Goldwater allows the cameras right down into the city streets, and so Americans can turn on CBS at 10 and watch Eric Severied narrate the beating of a young Jewish man...and many, inspired or vengeful, take to the streets themselves. Fascinated and horrified at once, a generation of psychologists like Stanley Milgram, Nathan Lewine, and a Harvard professor named Timothy Leary watch as the violent effects of the young medium are apparantly displayed, and quite graphically, too. Too, they watch as their former patients take to the streets. President Goldwater's instant dismantling of the Federal Mental Health administration has freed hundreds of wrongfully imprisoned people; but thousands of mentally ill have been released, too quickly to be processed, and soon they're among the rioters in strength. -Never one to hesitate from confronting a problem, Barry Goldwater sends in the military to New York City, Chicago, and the dozen other cities with growing chaos, recognizing that the US Army is one group equally respected (and loathed) by all the rioting factions and militias. Grumbling, the Army moves in, only to find they're not as unbiased as they've been in the past. Despite great personal reservations, President Goldwater has stood firm on his commitment to "desegregating" all areas of the federal government, including the military. After all, homosexuals _have_ served in the military for centuries, and he gave his word. Barry Goldwater isn't a man to step back from his word. The wave of subsequent resignations wasn't that large, but it did include a variety of high-profile officers. The most high-profile of all, oddly enough, had the courtesy to conceal it as early retirement: the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Creighton T. Abrahms. His successor, Major General Edwin Walker, doesn't like it much either (in fact, much less), but he knows when to work quietly, when to work behind the scenes... -One of convicted traitor Saddam Hussien's last sights on April 3, 1965, is a guard's television set, showing the detonation of the Jerusalem League's first atomic bomb on an uninhabitated island in the Persian Gulf. (He is taken out and shot within the hour for plotting to assasinate the King of Iraq.) Suitably impressed (because who isn't impressed by nuclear warheads), the Gulf States, from Qatar to Bahrain to Dubai, join the ranks of their Arab co-ethnics in the Jerusalem League, and suddenly there's a big new neutralist power bloc between the Democratic United People's Republic of Anatolia and the People's Republic of Iran. (Both Venezuela and Great Britain are rather disappointed by this; Carlos Delgado is only too aware that Arab nations outnumber Spanish-speaking nations in OPEP by quite a bit, and if they do start voting together, it'll pose a considerable problem in his efforts to control a great deal of the world's oil supply. Enoch Powell, for his part, is still faced with a simmering guerilla conflict in Aden, one driven by Arab nationalism, and a largely united Arab world, especially a prosperous one, just doesn't help matters much at all. He spends a _great_ deal of time explaining that to Defense Minister Heath, a braver man than most.) -On May 12, 1965, Scandanavia enters the nuclear age when a mushroom cloud rises into the sky in a remote sector of Norway.... --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All TIme Pt. 98 Date: 19 Sep 2001 01:38:03 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 98 June 1965-September 1965 -Oddly enough, the Stonewall Riots are both less widespread and bloodier than previous American civil disturbances. In the end, despite the web of connections between the White Citizens Council, African Ecumenical Council, Jewish Defense League, and various other groups, very few people in a position of leadership are willing to go to bat (quite literally, in some cases) for homosexuals. But some are (mostly smaller, splinter groups seeking attention), and, more to the point, America's urban homosexual population proves nearly as quick to organize as her black and Jewish and Puerto Rican populations in years past; men who contented themselves with hiding in cramped, darkened bars, or in less savory enviroments, find not only _can_ they fight back, but they can win, too. Not against the police, though, and after several New York City and Chicago police officers are killed suppressing the riots, allegedly by homosexuals, well, the police start to expect violent resistance...and, truth be told, the expectation has a way of creating the reality. (No one is ever tried for the Castro Street Massacre, but then, the official National Guard verdict is that the occupants of the bathhouse were hiding firearms, so that's to be expected.) All across America, images of young men at war with the police are burned into the mindsets of a whole generation of Americans. -On a more pleasant note, a massive shipment of supplies very much like a similiar one sent a year before to Argentina) from the People's Republic of China arrives in Mombasa, East African Federation, for shipment all over the nation on August 2. The shipment is a mixed bag, whatever can be spared by Lin Biao's version of Cultural Revolution China, everything from rifles to rice to Red Books. It is so large, in fact, that various unmarked freighters are forced to use alternate ports, most of them owned and occupied exclusively by the EAF military. Rapidly, giant crates and enigmatic great machines are whisked across one of the few really good road systems in the country to a vast complex of buildings on the shores of Lake Victoria. Apollo Milton Obote is not a man to be blackmailed lightly, and both the newest member-state in the CPSD to the north and South Africa to the south have trifled with him far too much for him to let it slide again. -Truth be told, the People's Republic of Sudan's membership in that vaunted club isn't helping matters much. With the East African Federation supplying southern Sudan's black population with arms to resist the attempted ethnic cleansing of the dominant North, the war looks to drag on for years. Too, General Secretary Mikhail Suslov (not so ably assisted by Defense Minister Ivan Boldin) hasn't helped matters much. His reliance on case studies and projections by civilian bureaucrats have led official Soviet policy to ignore the shipments still slipping across the border with the EAF entirely, and encouraged local ground commanders to simply inflate their body counts. Morale is low, casualities high. It's understandable, then, that Soviet troops, many already feeling ill even on non-combat days, would seek solace in Khartoum, Omdurman, Port Sudan, and other cities and towns with less than savory areas, and if inhabitants of those areas continue the trade that keeps body and soul together with visitors from outside Sudan, be they Ethiopian or French Africans, Egyptians or even Europeans. --- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 99 Date: 21 Sep 2001 20:10:07 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 99 October 1965-February 1966 -When it comes, it comes almost without warning. Maurice Challe's "Tricolor" government is far less heavy-handed or bloody-minded to the French in France than its Salanist predecessor, this has let a relatively free exchange of ideas, both technological and cultural. Unfortunately (at least from the government's perspective), it's also led to the spread of anti-government ideas. Ethnic nationalism is just strong enough to be a potent threat as well; Premier Darlan's official banning of Gascon, Norman, Breton and countless other non-French languages served mostly to make them the language of rebels and dissidents, with the short reign of terror under Salan serving to weld the patriots of Gascony, Normady, Brittany, and even a few stalwart Occitans to their alleged mother tongue. Most dissidents, even in those provinces, are more anti-government than pro-language, but enough are that the "réveillenters" are a definite force to be reckoned with. In October of 1965, after a series of incidents involving the police and anti-government students and bloody shootouts, several riots break out in and around Rennes, the provincal capital of Brittany. (Breton nationalists, often assisted by the Camus government in St. Pierre, are the most organized and best-funded.) Premier Challe doesn't hesitate, he deploys the troops. As per twenty years of governmental policy, they are conscripts, recruited from Brittany itself. With France's primary enemy in the east, the great land power of the Communist bloc, locally recruited conscripts are considered far more likely to fight bravely and well in defense of their homeland. It isn't that doctrine is inaccurate, per se, only that the Army didn't think through all of its implications. The first units defect around October 15, and by the end of the month, thousands of trained young soldiers have joined their fellows in the streets, and the "Armee du Bretange" is more than just a fiction. Even as the government mobilizes, the revolts spread, more and more soldiers defect to causes that promise high pay, a strong economy for France, and liberation for groups ethnic and otherwise. Many areas stay loyal, with only a minor rebel problem, but many do not, and by the beginning of 1966, there are full-scale revolts in Gascony, Normandy, Brittany, the Marseilles hinterlands, the Saar, and Alsace. By January, the first shipments of aid have arrived, delivered to all parties. Germans in Germany have never quite given up on the Saarland, and Reinhard Gehlen's Westphalia is only too glad to supply the German rebels there. Communism (much like overt ethnic nationalism) is deliberately muted by the rebel leadership, but Mikhail Suslov is only too happy to covertly supply them. He aims not so much to enhance Communism as to discredit capitalism, and a civil war in Western Europe's largest capitalist state is a good way to do that. (Spain, Portugal, and Great Britain all supply aid to the Challist government with varying degrees of reluctance. As he explains to reporters again, and again, and again, and again, he has no sympathy with dictatorship, but better dictatorship than civil war. Franco and Salazar, meanwhile, have no such crises of conscience or media.) -For two men of rather different backgrounds and views on the world, Carlos Delgado and Barry Goldwater take a quick liking to each other. Both men love to tinker and build, holding several patents in their own countries, and both are solidly, strongly anti-Communist. In their week-long conference at Camp Charles in February, the President's retreat on the tip of the Delmarva Peninsula, the two heads of state hammer out the first significant alliance for both countries in decades. Delgado will allow Americans to build naval installations in less populated areas of the Venezuelan Antilles, and even bomber bases deep in the interior. Both nations agree to combat their enemies, especially international Communism, all through South America, and the US will provide preferential status to Venezuelan trade goods. (Only President Barry Goldwater is aware of the full meaning of the less-explicit parts of the treaty, essentially letting Venezuela do as it pleases against British Guiana, Colombia, and points north and south. A deeply moral man, he's uncomfortable with this , but like most Americans of FaTL, he's deeply opposed to European imperalism, and is well aware the United States needs an ally on the Southern Continent.) The treaty is popular in both countries; Venezuelans have no particular objection to financial aid and almost perfect trade relations with their largest trading partner, and Venezuela's economic prosperity and authoritarian government has long made it popular with certain segments of the American population. (Too, there's hope that alliance with the United States will help spread democracy to Venezuela and points elsewhere.) ---- Thoughts? I'm going for a big, big Where Are They Now? in Pt. 100, and I'm taking submissions as we speaks. I've already got the Trudeaus... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 100a Date: 23 Sep 2001 05:07:12 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 100a 1966 C. VANN WOODWARD was killed in a two car accident outside Harvard University in 1965. His works on civil rights, racial history in America, and the story of slavery remain legends in their respective fields, and some people on campus still wonder if there was something to his death. GLORIA STEINEM has bounced with increasing levels of frustration from one writing job to another for various magazines in New York, though at least she's always kept up a good income. The women's movement is less powerful than in OTL, with the various ethnic and religious movements of FaT taking that particular meme's place. There may be a time for it, but not yet, not yet. After being badly wounded in the Lafayette Square Incident, MALCOM X made the Hajj to Mecca and returned home a man of peace, making several long, moving speeches about all men united under God, whatever name they give him. He is egged more often than not, and no one even thinks about assasinating him. What would be the point? HARLAN ELLISON is one of the most hated (and loved) men in Toledo and the country. In the decade or so since the Toledo Blade published his first column at the age of 21, his angry, cynical iconoclasm has managed to offend every minority and every majority as he bounces between print and radio journalism. His title as "King of All Media" and image of a man master of all he tries isn't entirely accurate, though; he switches back and forth just before his current superiors get tired of his arrogance and bitter, bitter attitude, escaping the public humilation of being fired. Still, almost everyone wants him, if only for a little while. ROBERT X (formerly Bobby Seale) can remember a time when he wasn't a murderer and a fugitive, but it's increasingly distant. One of the most successful organizers of black "resistance" movements in the late 1950s and early 1960s, fate and circumstance led him to be responsible for a suicide bombing of a Chicago police station in 1961, and after someone talked...well, it's not the life he'd have chosen, but old friends and comrades still shelter him, even far across the countryside, following the network of black militia movements. ---- Poet, playwright, CHINUA ACHEBE is also the head of the BBC's Lagos office. Achebe, like a lot of Nigerian intellectuals, is dissatisfied with the British colonial government, but doesn't begrudge it its successes; intertribal conflict is low with everyone united with varying degrees of enthusiasm against the British, and while Nigeria isn't exactly prosperous, it's much better off than the independant states in West Africa. (Besides, everyone is worried about French imperialism.) Nigerians want independance, but not tomorrow. Sickened at the racial violence in America, MAYA ANGELOU has settled in Cairo, where she edits The Arab Observer, an English-language daily. Married into the Coptic Church, her visits home have actually become more frequent in the last few years as racial violence have declined slightly. As she looks about her dusty office some days, she thinks about moving back home. She's written a lot about Egypt, but there's so much more to write... DOROTHY DANDRIDGE found few real roles in the Hollywood of FaT, she became the first black woman to be nominated for Best Actress in 1954 for her role in _Carmen Jones_, but no roles were forthcoming after that. Forced to resume her night-club singing career, Dandringe slowly declined into booze and pills, addictions she started at the behest of studio heads, and finally died of an accidental overdose in 1961. She was just 38. ---- PIERRE TRUDEAU is one of the most interesting (especially to female students) literature professors at Columbia University. While Trudeau still visits home whenever he can, he is increasingly uncomfortable with Quebec. With provincial intellectual life dominated by dreamy seperatists of varying degrees of fanaticism, the place has just gotten dull. (Too, there are dark and unpleasant rumors of some impending revolution rising through the province.) Across the continent, MAGGIE SINCLAIR is a struggling young actress in Hollywood, known mostly for minor roles in various beach pictures and other cinematic achievements. Her marriage to character actor WILLIAM SHATNER is surprisingly worthwhile for both, he's helped her get several good parts on Richard Matheson's _Twilight Hour._ JACK KEROUAC smokes one of his many daily cigarettes as he reads D.C. Fontana's latest script. It's good, very good, and he only needs to make a few editing changes. He hadn't been the most popular of men when he'd first arrived at Desilu; Roddenberry had been popular, and many people involved in the show had joined him in his too-public feud and resignation from all things television. Kerouac himself had had reservations, but nearly 20 years writing for radio and television has made him accustomed to the whims and vagaries of the studio system, and he's one of the most respected men there, and under Jack Kerouac, it's very probable that _The Lieutenant_ will remain on NBC for years to come. ADAM CLAYTON POWELL is something of an elder statesman of the civil rights movement; black moderates like HUEY NEWTON tend to follow his private statements of "violence only when necessary." In alliance with his post-war partner BENJAMIN O. DAVIS JR, Powell has helped make sure that blacks do have the training to defend themselves, publically encouraging many to join the military. JAMES EARL CARTER left the Navy after the death of his father as per OTL, but found Georgian agriculture an uncomfortable place to be in the turbulent, racially radicalized 1950s. He went back into nuclear engineering, working for first the federal government, then the state of Georgia, as manager of one of the big nuclear plants in Georgia. (The Macon facility.) He runs a clean, honest shop. HANK ZIMM (formerly Robert Zimmerman) is certainly a unique face of country music. Unpopular with "old-line" fans, who prefer new young men like MERLE HAGGARD or HENRY WALLACE GUTHRIE, Zimm brings in the young with a mix of old-style bluegrass used as a means of social protest. No one who has heard his rendition of the traditional "O, Death" will ever quite forget it. ---- More coming... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 100b Date: 23 Sep 2001 05:08:16 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if As he tosses back another whiskey, DENNIS THATCHER listens to the rain fall in Georgetown and wonders what on Earth possessed him to enlist. The Guianan insurgency has been deeply unpleasant for Great Britain; diplomatic pressure from India has prevented the use of the kind of warfare that kept Malaysia, Burma, and East Africa non-Communist and in the Empire (at least for a while.), and Venezuelan assistance to the rebels is just covert and deniable enough that the war hasn't spread there. Back in the United Kingdom, junior Member of Parliment PEGGY THATCHER is one of the few Conservatives who opposes Prime Minister Powell's South American conflict. Some suggest it's sentimentality, but none quite have the nerve to say as much to her face. Still, she finds herself voting along with HAROLD WILSON's Labour Party more often than not, and it's not at all pleasant. In Liverpool, PAUL MCCARTNEY is a bartender at the Quarry, a moderately prosperous nightclub. Sometimes he listens with envy to the musical stylings of JOHN LENNON and his ethnic Indian music as the older man tries to meld all the styles of the vast sub-continent, but years of pulling Lennon off his various girlfriends when he gets drunk, angry, and violent has soured McCartney on music. STEPHEN HAWKING is a junior solictor in St. Albans, though he can't keep his nose out of science and science fiction publications. Despite his inclinations, science just isn't very profitable in the Great Britain of FaT, and the law helps keep body and soul together, so he stayed away from physics and the other sciences at Oxford under extreme pressure from his parents. JOE ORTON is a moderately successful satirical playwright and author living in London, most famous for his brilliantly biting attack on the American mental health system with _The Outsiders_, produced to rave reviews in 1965. SEAN CONNERY plays _Hamlet_ in Edinburgh to rave reviews, the thirty-something actor is one of the rising stars of British theater. Sometimes he goes to the movies to watch DAVID NIVEN as Agent John Gould, 007. --- MAHATHIR MOHAMMED is President of Malaysia, doing his level best to keep his country free of the Communists while deeply disliking the ties to London, which are more of an overt yoke than any sort of purse string. Still, if Malaysia is a puppet state, at least they're not a Communist puppet state. AUGUSTO PINOCHET is posted to Chile's long border with Argentina, where the two nations eye each other with fear and loathing. It's a hard life, the rigors of which have paradoxically kept his marriage to his wife, EVA DUARTE, in very stable shape. They've survived the winters of the high Andes, they can survive anything. But as the war begins in late summer, and cities rise into the sky to their backs and front, they wonder if they can quite survive this. MILES DAVIS lost a leg during the German raid on New York City in the last days of World War II. Propped up first by crutches and now by an artificial limb, Davis has managed to stay a bandleader, though he's been forced to do much more solo, studio work than in OTL.  Jazz doesn't sell that well to white audiences, but enough people don't mind listening to "Negro music" that it's not just purely racial music. GENE VINCENT is one of the most successful composers in Hollywood. His work is usually limited to teen movies, especially beach or music-related pictures, but he doesn't feel at all limited; it's hard to be when you've got eleven cars. JOHN BIRKS GILLESPIE's Afro-Cuban jazz is one of the most important new things in the field of jazz itself; popularizing the new style (with the help of the many immigrants from Prio's Cuba) has sparked a wave of imitators of bright young black men with a story to tell, including fresh-faced newcomer ISAAC HAYES. Meanwhile, LOUIS ARMSTRONG continues his insanely successful tour of Japan. THEODORE GILMORE BILBO died of mouth cancer in 1947, just after winning re-election without any public question in 1946. JERRY LEE LEWIS was arrested for corrupting a minor in 1955 and stabbed to death in prison a few weeks later. ERNEST HEMINGWAY was killed by a stray bullet in the 1960 overthrow of Cuban dictator Fulgencio Batista. President Carlos Prio was one of the very many occasional inhabitants of Cuba at the funeral, including DEAN MARTIN, RAUL CASTRO, and MEYER LANSKY. WILLIAM WESTMORELAND took the blame for the various scandals and disasters surrounding the Luzon War and commanded the US military posts in first the Territory, then the state of Alaska until his early retirement in 1962. ---- LEOPOLD SEDAR SENGHOR was shot in the back of the head, next to the bodies of his wife and children, by a French paratrooper just outside Dakar in 1953. Senghor's death helped end one phase of the long colonial war in French West Africa and inaugurate another, his poet's soul just another death among many. ROBERT MUGABE may be dead, but his spirit lives on in the heart of blacks trapped under the South African yoke. Responsible for the assasination of several police commanders and a few highly-placed Army officers before his summary execution outside Salisbury in 1959, every young black man wants to be just him, and his name is used to invoke countless suicide bombings, usually by JOSHUA NKOMO, who has risen to head the resistance mostly on the grounds of his former alliance with Mugabe. IAN SMITH, former governor of South Africa's Rhodesia province, was assasinated in 1963 by a black nationalist in Mugabe's name. Subsquent reprisals killed several hundred people, very few of whom had anything to do with the assasination. Among the dead is author HELEN SUZMAN, who recieved a comparitively merciful death; a stray bullet during the raid on the house next door. Horrified, retired Rhodesian politician ROY WELENSKY left Africa altogether, emigrating to New Zealand in 1964. GAAFAR AL-NIMEIRY is dictator of the People's Arab Republic of Sudan. Never a man to shy away from massive corruption, he has persuaded his CPSD allies into fighting most of the "War of Expulsion" in the south, driving as many of Sudan's black population as "is unnecessary" into the rest of sub-Saharan Africa. Not long ago, he acquired the virus that causes SPID. MOISE TSHOMBE is a wealthy Belgian/Congolese businessman, and very active in Brussels for independence for the Belgian Congo. Most people consider him the most likely man to head the first government of the independant Republic in 1970, at least the first legal one. ---- Still more coming... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 100c Date: 23 Sep 2001 05:09:52 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if JAMES GAIUS WATT has left his native Wyoming to serve as a staffer under South Dakota Senator J.J. FOSS, he writes most of the aggressive former World War II flying ace's enviromental policy. Fellow Republican and fellow Wyoming native DICK CHENEY is a very junior Deputy Undersecretary of State under Secretary of State WILLIAM MILLER. Handsome GERALD FORD was a successful male model and minor actor in the late 1940s and early 1950s before moving into politics; he's currently attorney general for the state of Michigan. ELDRIDGE CLEAVER's dark, brilliant "Souls Aflame" is _the_ book for young black militia and activists to read, especially the men. Written from San Quentin in 1957-62, the book lays out the oppressed life of a young black man, and the joys of striking back against the system and the white race in general. Cleaver isn't there to see it, though; the turbulence of the era spread to prisons, and in 1962 he was caught in the yard away from his allies and stabbed to death. HUEY NEWTON is the face of the "New Activist", a tough, aggressive brawler on one hand and an articulate, skilled speaker on the other. He practices law in Washington, D.C., and is rumored (accurately) to have killed a policeman during the brief surge of violence in the city in 1962. For the most part, he tries to keep violence to a minimum, especially violence that can be personally attributed to him, and does regret the blood on his hands. CHUCK BERRY dominates the jazz-folk scene, an interesting marriage of jazz and old-style bluegrass music. J-F is definitely on the fringe of modern music, but it's provided a  tidy living for the Detriot musician, enough to make him a patriarch in the Motor City. Fresh-faced and with his first hit under his belt, RILEY KING was whisked from Memphis to New York to perform "3 O'Clock Blues" at the New Apollo Theater in 1951, just in time to get swept into the Barrio Riots and be stabbed to death. WALT DISNEY's health is declining, and he will die before the year is out. Still, Disney has lived long enough to open a theme park to please the children of the world and make himself immortally famous. Disneyland, located in the coastal town of Long Beach, California, promises to be a truly magical place to be. ROBERT DOLE was Kansas' junior Senator in 1965, when President Barry Goldwater appointed him Secretary of Agriculture. Dole is a good man and a competent administrator, though he feels deeply overshadowed by his wife, NANCY LANDON DOLE, the daughter of the former Presidential candidate and the long-serving, popular governor of Kansas. ---- KWAME NKRUMAH, naturally paranoid after being surrounded by French West Africa for decades, stayed in Ghana at several key junctures, foiling many coup attemps, before finally being arrested, deposed, and exiled to Ethiopia in 1964. His successor is nearly as clever, but far less competent. MUAMMAR AL-QADDAFI is currently taking a training course at the Egyptian military academy, where he is truly fascinated by the life of his hero, GAMAL NASSER. Nasser's life story really speaks to him, and he dreams sometimes of returning home and making King Idris his pawn, instead of the other way around. HAILE SELASSIE is playing an increasingly reluctant role as host to Kwame Nkrumah and Idi Amin, the former leaders of Ghana and the East African Federation, respectively. They're mostly useful as a lesson of what _not_ to do, a lesson he has learned (at least he hopes) very well by now. Ethiopia's economy is doing pretty well, actually, thanks to a beneficial trade treaty with Canada, and the opening of Canada's first and only extra-national military base on the Red Sea. ---- YURI ANDROPOV, a close comrade and friend of General Secretary Suslov, is an efficient and moderately reforming Director of the KGB. With the full backing of his boss, Andropov has cleaned up Soviet intelligence, removing incompetent and corrupt agents from important positions, and making sure particularly brutal agents are either put in places where brutality is needed or quietly imprisoned. MIKHAIL GORBACHEV is Mayor of Stavropol, his hometown between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea, a rising star in the Communist Party of southeastern Russia. BORIS YELTSIN is a very successful civil engineer in Sapporo, one of the Soviet Union's many representatives in their client state of North Japan. After several unpleasant brushes with the censor in Lazar Kaganovich's time, BORIS PASTERNAK was allowed to leave the Soviet Union in 1962. He lives in the small Russian-American community in Minnesota, enjoying the winters and working on an epic to fit his new land. ALEXANDER DUBCHEK was taken prisoner by Soviet troops in the last days of the summer uprisings of 1954. He spent five years in Kaganovich's gulags, returning to Prague a broken man in 1959. He died of a combination of alcoholism and lung cancer in 1962, a forgotten, despised man. --- Life is, to say the least, interesting for the long-time autocrat of Malawi, HASTING KAMUZU BANDU, as he walks a very careful balancing act between South Africa on one hand and Obote's East African Federation on the other. He's not a stupid man, though, and knows he'll eventually fall off that tightrope...so he quietly encourages pro-EAF movements in Malawi while making plans to either die in office or flee with a portion of the national treasury. JEAN-BEDEL BOKASSA is commander of all French forces stationed in Corsica. With no interest in returning to his homeland after it was thoroughly trashed and depopulated during the failed war for independence, he is instead frying different fish; reporting to Paris that the Corsican rebels are quiet except for assasinations, he has  at the same time quietly contacted them, ensuring they knock off officers and civilian government officials not loyal to him or the rebellion. In that order. Meanwhile, he blames the deaths of important rebel leaders on uncontrolled elements of the police. FELIX HOUPHOUET-BOIGNY is Mayor of Abidjan, one of the highest-ranking Africans in the French colonial government of West Africa. He did strongly consider joining the rebels during the war for independance, but decided life and staying in a position of power was more important than some murky goal of freedom. Things haven't gone so well for the Mayor, resistance against the "quisling" has begun a cycle of violence that may never really end, and after a hospital he built was blown up, he has stopped  building them altogether. He spends most of his time counting his money, dreaming of what might have been. KENNETH KAUDA is currently leading a South African Special Forces unit in a merry chase near the border of the Belgian Congo. With a virtually all-black, well-armed population to hide in and recruit from, Kauda is the popular leader of most of the former Northern Rhodesia, the South Africans control only the ground they stand on. The war is long, and the war is bloody. ---- HELMUT KOHL is the highest-ranking non-Venezuelan in the government of that nation, serving in the high-profile post of Minister for Industry. Sometimes he misses home, but  grey, decaying Palatinate just isn't for the young men of his generation. Venezuela, along with a variety of other countries, is where the new hope is for a generation of young Germans. WERNER HEISENBERG, the grey eminence of Venezuelan nuclear physics, has returned to Germany, heading the Westphalian nuclear program. Work is slow, but promising, limited mostly by the small budget of the German state. ---- Bored yet? I hope not... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 100d Date: 23 Sep 2001 05:10:52 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if JOSEPH MOBUTU is de facto ruler of a remote area of the Belgian Congo, the area roughly two hundred miles around the town of Isirio. Grown rich off the trade and troops slipping between French Africa, Red Sudan, and the East African Federation, Mobutu is the closest thing the Belgian Congo has to a leader. GAMAL ABDEL NASSER is _the_ driving force behind the Jerusalem League, as well as the de facto ruler of Egypt. With a combination of bully and bluster, craftsmanship and diplomacy, he has kept a coalition as diverse as Iraq and Saudi Arabia, Lebanon and Egypt, unified behind a common goal of neutrality in general and anti-Communisn in specific. He is the proud father of the great "Nasser Dam" along the Nile, and the uncle of several similiar (if smaller) projects in Iraq. He is godfather to the children of HOSNI MUBARAK, commander of Egypt's part of the Jerusalem League's nuclear program, located in the remote western desert of the nation, fifty miles south of Siwa, and a long-time friend of ANWAR SADAT, commander of Egypt's armed forces. YASSIR ARAFAT is a politician in Jordan; by carefully orchestrating the bloody political demises of his opponents in intercine conflicts, he has risen to Deputy Minister of State, and with the Minister himself elderly and ill, Arafat is one of the most powerful men in Jordan. MOSHE DAYAN's long and merry career continues apace, hiding out in the truncated Jewish communities in Jordanian Palestine, slipping back and forth out of the country; to the United States or British Cyprus when things get too hot to hold him in the Holy Land. The length of the on-again, off-again insurrections have seriously radicalized the already radicalized "Liberation Army of Palestine", and the man who began his career by assasinating Herman Goering is now responsibile for men driving trucks loaded with explosives into crowded stores. Only dire threats of sanctions or worse from the United States has kept the Jerusalem League's government from fixing the "Jewish problem", fixing it good. INDIRA GANDI is a member of the seventeen-person Council of State that governs India, one of the relatively few civilians and the only woman. Recognizing the threat posed by the overtly expansionist governments of the Soviet Union and China was equaled only by the threat of a military coup if Something Wasn't Done, India's civilian government quietly dissolved itself in 1955. India is a unitary state, with at least an attempt at no more provincial boundaries than France does at this point. India's Sikhs, Muslims, Christians and other minorities are about as happy about this as one might expect, but that's what the army and secret police are for. India is poorer than OTL, but with a substantially larger military, especially ground troops. ---- ROCKY MARCIANO retired from boxing in 1956, the only undefeated world heavyweight champion in the history of the sport. He still makes public appearances as a sportscaster for ABC, though it's more a sinecure than anything else. His last public appearance was announcing the 1962 bout between "SUGAR RAY" ROBINSON and JOE FRAZIER, when Robinson took Frazier in four rounds. JOE LOUIS wasn't there, having died in 1955, his health damaged beyond repair by his years as a German POW in World War II. ROY COHN is out of office, thoroughly enjoying the way his successors at the FBI failed to do much about the Stonewall Riots. Cohn makes occasional public speechs, quietly criticizing the Goldwater administration and its policies without overtly saying anything of the kind. He is, perhaps surprisingly, not a member of the pretty overtly anti-Semitic John Birch Society. KATHARINE GRAHAM's Washington Post is losing more readers every year, she has nobly stuck to her guns on a variety of issues, but with much traditional liberalism discredited by both parties and with a flawlessly honest President (whatever his other problems) in the White House, there's little for them to do. A sharp businesswoman, she's already quietly accumulating funds for an investment to keep the Post afloat; a variety of inexpensive television stations, and the Washington Senators... ROBERT MCNAMARA is one of the most successful Chief Executive Officers in the history of General Motors, and one of the wealthiest men in America. His donation to the University of Michigan has got him one of the largest academic buildings in America, all  of it named after him. 18 year-old JIM HENSON was killed by a sniper's bullet two days before the final Huk surrender at the end of the Luzon War in 1954. MARLON BRANDO's lead role in Otto Preminger's _Heart of Darkness_, the story of an American officer hunting an rogue Japanese agent (Laurence Oliver) who set himself up as a petty king in the heart of Taiwan after the Second World War, helped catapault him to even greater fame. He's currently starring in Broadway's revival of "Titus Andronicus." Always an iconoclast, ABBIE HOFFMAN has formed for himself a Jewish activist group in Chicago, most of them veteran street brawlers of the troubles of the last decade or so. Shockingly to their conservative parents, they are openly Stalinist, and (less shockingly) equally hostile to groups of any makeup that don't share their ideological outlook on life. CARL SAGAN is one of the least popular scientists working at the Dactyl project in Nevada. Without his marriage to ANN DRUYAN, Sagan's personality quirks have never been moderated, and while he is certainly one of the most brilliant scientists working on America's space program, he's never been promoted and probably never will be. HENRY KISSINGER is Barry Goldwater's Ambassador to the Court of St. James, and one of the very few men who can out-talk Prime Minister Enoch Powell. Perhaps fortunately, there is very little the two have to say to one another, now that the furor over the alliance with Venezuela has passed. ---- SERETSE KHAMA, President of Botswana, runs the most militarized state in southern Africa. Completely surrounded by the overtly racist South African empire, cut off from much world trade, Khama's government depends on substantial military aid from Great Britain and the knowledge that civil war might bring...peacekeepers. HISSENE HIBRE is one of the more successful guerilla (bandit, really) leaders in French Equatorial Africa, robbing, killing, and looting anyone with ties to the French government and money, or sometimes just money. Well, mostly money. PATRICE LUMUMBA is dead in 1962, one of the many casualties of the long-running wars in the Belgian Congo. With most of the native intelligentsia killed off or fled, the Belgian government is only now making plans to finally give their colony independance in 1970, now that most of the potential (anti-Belgian) leadership is dead. ALBERT LUTHULI was hanged for sedition on Robbins Island in 1959.  The isolated prison is a useful place for the South African government to hold and then execute black opponents of the central government. Not all of them make it that far; NELSON MANDELA was shot to death in a Pietersburg alley in 1963, allegedly while attempting to escape. To the north, JOE SLOVO is slipping across the border to the East African Federation. There's a new shipment of munitions coming in, and he needs to ferry back home and to men and women who can make _very_ good use of it indeed. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 100e Date: 23 Sep 2001 05:11:24 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if ZULFIKAR ALI BHUTTO was an active figure in the political opposition to Pakistan's military government before his execution in 1958. Wedged between a hostile, militaristic India on one hand and a hostile, Communist Iran, Pakistan's government started out as authoritarian and went downhill from there, especially after the assasination of AYUB KHAN in 1954. By 1966, the only thing stable in Pakistan is the brutality and paranoia of the ever-changing row of generals and colonels running the show. Perhaps fortunately for that unhappy region, East Pakistan and its governor MUJIBUR RAHMAN have been relatively free to go their own way with the Islamabad government distracted, such as it is. URHO KEKKONEN was killed by a Soviet B-19 raid in Karelia in 1945, not long before Finland and the USSR made a seperate peace in the earliest part of the year. Finland never has had a President of the Nordic League, and tends to follow the lead of the rest of Scandanavia in major foriegn policy matters, especially the defense of Greenland. FERDINARD MARCOS died in prison in 1961, convicted of truly massive amounts of graft while serving as a supply officer in the Luzon War against the Huk in the early 1950s. His former wife Imelda runs, of course, a shoe shop in Manila. SUHARTO and SUKARNO are both among the many, many dead, both prominent and minor, commonr and general, killed in the decades of bloody fighting in the former Dutch East Indies; the former during Java's last attempt to retake Bali in 1952, the latter during a major purge of the Jakarta government in 1958. ---- ALLEN GINSBERG has moved out into his own for the very first time, and he's happy. Years of working writing pamphlets and propaganda (his recruitment posters for rebuilding the Statue of Liberty are still classics) for the federal government came to a messy end a few years ago when he dared publish a volume of poetry criticizing his superiors and the government in general. With Greenwich Village riot-torn, he's settled in Washington, finding haunts like his old ones, working on his poetry. Now he's finally free to _Roar_... RALPH NADER is a professor of political science at Princeton. His writings and lectures on the rise of corporate power have struck a chord, given the powerful, mostly oversight-free, quasi-monopolistic corporate culture that dominates much of American economic life. Unfortunately, (at least from his perspective) that same dominance means it will be a very long time before anyone who matters will listen. At least he has his young people. RAY CHARLES' fourth piano sonata is being performed to rave reviews at Carniege Hall; the blind late-30s pianist has been called, accurately, one of the best classical pianists and composers in of the late 20th century. No one who's heard him will ever quite forget. ALBERT GORE SR. is a retired United States Senator. Southern moderates haven't fared well in the turbulent climate of the last few years; and Gore's liberalism has made him something of a fossil, along with former Alabama Senator JIM FOLSOM and Louisiana Governor EARL LONG. Southern politics is dominated by such stalwart young men as ASA CARTER and HERMAN TALMADGE, with the occasional careful moderate like GLEN CAMPBELL. ERSKINE CALDWELL won the Nobel Prize for Literature in 1960, just defeating fellow Southerner WILLIAM FAULKNER. He is one of the titans of Southern literature, though he is losing readers in the last few years as Southern public schools shift to more pro-South writers, like Senator Asa Carter. TRUMAN CAPOTE is a freaky, freaky little man. He has moved into politics recently, leading one of the public opinion battles against the Federal Mental Health Association. Dr. MARY MCLEOD BETHUNE died a frustrated, if successful doctor and civil rights leader in 1954. RALPH BUNCHE, President of Howard University, helped found a scholarship in her memory that has sent dozens of young black women through medical school. ---- Getting there, getting there... President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 100f Date: 23 Sep 2001 05:13:01 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if Englishman PETER EDWARD BAKER is one of the more successful racing cyclists in the last few years, with a bronze medal at Cairo in 1960 and a silver at Sydney in 1964, and one non-Olympic championship in 1962. Something of a teen hearthrob, he's a good friend of musical superstar CLIFF RICHARDS. JOHN LEE HOOKER is starring in a revival of the classic Broadway musical: "Planet of the Apes." Hooker is a powerful actor and singer, though some say he is occasionally surpassed by his understudy, JAMES EARL JONES. IKE TURNER combines musical talent with ready fists; the R&B band leader is also one of the most notorious street brawlers of St. Louis riots of the last few years. He's never been more than a regional talent in either, though, especially with his saxophone player's recent divorce from the former ANNA MAE BULLOCK. ---- The great southpaw pitcher WARREN SPAHN is a year retired, and disappointed at the performance of his beloved Boston Braves in 1966. Always a struggling team, they wound up in the cellar in 1966 as WILLIE MAYS' Cleveland Indians and MICKEY MANTLE's New York Yankees went to the World Series; Mantle's underdog Bronx Bombers won the series 4-3, but Mays retained his home run record. (He owns many, no one who saw will ever forget his close, close war with STAN MUSIAL to break Babe's Ruth's record in 1963.) (Spahn, who has moved somewhat into management, will be crucial in persuading reluctant owners in the American League to admit Havana's Azucareros and Venezuela's Navigators, beginning in the 1967 season. The World Series may be more than just a name someday, especially with the growth of independant Japanese baseball...) ---- E. AARON PRESLEY has made a good life for himself in Southern California with his wife Elizabeth, nee Montgomery. Turning the profits from his career as a B-movie actor and a few minor song hits into business, Presley owns a profitable regional chain of donut shops. He's often heard to muse about if he'd stayed in partnership with his friend EDWARD D. WOOD, a darling of the less clever segment of the student left at Berkley. "I could have stayed with Ed. I could have been King. But in my own way, I am King. King Donut." GRACE MURRAY HOPPER retired from the US Navy in 1961 after repeated efforts to enhance the Navy's funding for computers failed. She remains one of the most dedicated workers in the (very) infant field of computers, which is at a level akin to OTL's 1960 and getting better only very slowly. After his father died on Omaha Beach in 1943 and his mother drank himself to death, GARY GYGAX was passed around from foster home to foster home before winding up with a family of Deepwater Baptists in downstate Illinois. By 1966, he runs a small shop in Cairo catering to chess aficionados, selling speciality boards and rule books. In his spare time, he works on something very special of his own creation: "Angels and Crusaders." ---- Vaguely disappointed at no particular enemies left to fight, CURTIS LEMAY retired in 1964 after the nation finally "elected the right kind of man." He lives in upstate New York, where he is an occasional guest speaker at West Point. LeMay is a close friend of South Dakota Senator Foss, who he commanded during World War II. G. GORDON LIDDY is a low-level aide in the Department of Defense. While he seriously freaks out his coworkers, his superiors like him a lot; he's a man who knows what he has to do for the Department and for America, and he does it. EARL WARREN is a retired beloved former Governor, Senator, and Attorney General of the United States. Several scholarships at various California universities already bear his name, and multiple new aw schools have asked his permission to name themselves after him. WILLIAM BRENNAN is Governor of New Jersey. A strong candidate for the 1964 nomination, people are already talking about running the articulate, liberal former judge for the Democratic nomination again in 1968, his popularity second (if that) only to Pennsylvania Governor JIM JONES. WARREN BURGER is Barry Goldwater's latest appointment to the Supreme Court of ESTES KEFAUVER. The conservative D.C. judge and Minnesota native has a fair chance of taking the Chief Justice's position when and if Kefauver ever gets around to retiring. WILLIAM REHNQUIST is a genial, likeable Deputy Attorney General, and a close friend of the Goldwater family. Republican Party insiders say he may well be Goldwater's Attorney General if the President does run for a second term in 1968. ---- JOE NAMATH is one of the most beloved men in America in the summer of 1966 when he wins America's very first World Cup in a 2-0 sweep over the Palatinate's stalwart young fighters. American "football" is, for better or for worse, here to stay, at home and abroad. DON ADAMS is one of the Federal Bureau of Investigation's top agents, with a drawer full of commendations and newspaper articles in his desk in Buffalo. (Adams is SAC at the Buffalo office.) Occasionally, he and his Canadian opposite number across the border, LESLIE NIELSEN, visit. Nielsen is nostalgic for the region, where he once did summer stock with _Lieutenant_ star JAMES DOOHAN. ROCK HUDSON is elected Governor of California in 1966 on a stout family values and law and order platform. As a favor to an old friend, he makes sure there's a cushy job in place for former Congressman and gubernatorial candidate RONALD REAGAN, and is very glad that former state Attorney General CHARLES MANSON moved safely into the federal service. ---- Horror strikes Chile on December 2, 1966 when war begins. Border disputes between the People's Republic of Argentina and the authoritarian government of Chile pretty much were a ruse; Ernesto Guevara has his trained People's Army, and he has his independant nuclear arsenal. No one ever does prove that it was, in fact, a PLA pilot who delivered a 50 kiloton blast to Santiago on the early hours of the 2nd, even as the Argentine military rolled or charged across the border, killing most of the city's several million denizens in a few hours. (Lin Biao's cards are close to his chest today, China will aid Argentina, but not as publically as war.) Lots of people in the Americas and the move quickly, moblizing and counter-mobilizing, but Barry Goldwater moves the quickest of all, or at least the most decisively. Diverting two aircraft carriers to the South Atlantic and evacuating the embassy, he orders the Guevara government to "withdraw immediately and totally from all your unlawfully seized territory, demolish your nuclear arsenal, and submit to American occupation and the trial of your leaders." Barry Goldwater is a tolerant man, but expansionist Reds in his hemisphere are bad news. On December 5, Valapriso becomes a 36 kiloton hell, centered around the city's harbor, and Goldwater acts yet again. Argentina has one day to surrender their armies, and Ernesto Guevara himself, before "they shall face a rain of destruction from the sky." Guevara, a canny man, slips out of Buenos Aires as the people cheer his name. It's a great pity, he did love the city and its people...but the World Revolution is a stern mistress. With Argentine armies slowly, bloodily driving back the fanatically resisting Chilean Army (who know exactly the fate that awaits them), the Argentine Navy heading for the carrier groups of U.S.S. PERRY and U.S.S. DEWEY, and Dr. Guevara still on the loose, Barry Goldwater, to his horror, has no other choice but to protect South America the only way he really can. On December 8, 1966, Colonel ROBERT DORNAN, orbiting high, high above Argentina, follows Presidential orders and inaugurates the "Space Nuclear Age" when he happily pushes a button aboard his Dactyl bomber and drops a 500 kiloton bomb from space on downtown Buenos Aires. ---- Whew. Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 101 Date: 02 Oct 2001 22:00:47 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 101 January-March 1967 -As American airstrikes from the two carrier groups off Mar Del Plata destroy several apparant Argentine munitions plants, the fallout from the destruction of Buenos Aires spreads far beyond the mere cloud of dust and gas and radiation that falls all along the mouth of the Rio Plata. President Barry Goldwater is one of the millions of people who watch the television broadcasts from shattered Buenos Aires; Guevara's decision to get a lot of the state-owned media out of the city just before the big day has paid off big. It is the first televised nuclear blast; and though the melted remains of Santiago and Valapriso fight with Buenos Aires for ratings...well, hell, you expect that from Communists. _Americans_ did this. There will be no more civilian bombings in the Goldwater administration, nuclear or otherwise. If innocent people are hurt in attacks on military targets, well, that's just too bad, but there will be no more Buenos Aires', at least in his administration. Beyond that, of course, there's the problem of the military. The occupation of Argentina, the reconstruction of Argentina _and_ Chile (where the Argentine army's fervor seems quite unabated), and the elimination of the Communist threat in South America is going to take more men than the United States' relatively small Army and Marine Corps, and Goldwater (a volunteer veteran of World War II) is thoroughly opposed to the draft. Cooperation with Venezuela is possible, and negotiations are already underway between Ambassador Mackall and the Delgado government; but there will be problems with that; Venezuela's neighbors already view her as imperialist and a tool of the Americans, and this just won't help matters. The key is Brazil, and Goldwater's rather reluctant promise to help fund their war effort gets the government of Emílio Garrastazú Médici on their side. Their various moblizations will take a while, though, (too, Venezuela will need American sealift to actually get their troops to Argentina, and Medici is, not unreasonably, worried about a Communist uprising against his own government.) and so it will be Americans (specifically the 101st Airborne, the only significant airborne unit in the Army) who are the first in Argentina, on January 7, 1967. -Most of South and Central America's Communist parties go, well, nuts. Kaganovich-Suslov era cutbacks have made the Communist parties of most developing countries quite strongly Maoist, and those parties are quite understandably appalled at the attack on their ideological comrade-in-arms. (Chile was, of course, necessary.) Ernesto Guevara's very public radio and television broadcasts from the region around Salta don't help matters much. A few, a valient few, abjure the Argentines; sure, imperialism is regrettable and awful, especially when it involves killing hundreds of thousands of people, and Yankee go home and all that...but there's nothing at all in Marx or Mao that talks about blowing your neighbors to Hell and gone. Publically, the Liberation Party of Mexico is one of these stalwart few. (the others most prominent are, rather unsurprisingly, the various leftist parties in Chile.) Privately...granted, the PRI isn't as brutal as the various South American dictators, but they all saw what Medici did to his Communists when they celebrated publically. Better to wait for it. -In Europe, no one's that interested; Enoch Powell strongly considers offering assistance to the United States; the Falklands are right there, after all, but in the end refuses. If the Americans are going to sit idly by while Great Britain fights her war in Guina (much less cozy up to the Venezuelans), well, they can fight their own war. Maurice Challe is busy stamping out the last remnants of Provencal nationalists, and thus has no time for Americans and their little colonial engagements. The war isn't going that well for the central French government, they've thoroughly dealt with the Provencalists and the Norman rebels, but the Basques are proving a difficult nut to crack for both themselves and their Spanish ally. As for Brittany, Alsace, and the Saar, well, the less said the better. Fortunately, they have General Bokassa in Corsica to keep things under wraps there. And, after all, he is a black African, and what's the risk of a foriegner associated with Corsica? ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 102 Date: 04 Oct 2001 18:36:17 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 102 April-August 1967 -Alexander Haig, supreme commander of the American occupation forces, arrives in La Plata (the nearest major city to Buenos Aires) on April 2, 1967, and soon finds himself with a combat command. Much of Argentina's farmers are armed, nationalist, and eager for revenge against the people who slew a whole city. (Many aren't, of course, but Guevara swung more people to his side in a day than he did through his whole rule in power.) As the Americans under Haig move into their primary occupation zone south and west of the Parana, a variety of rather forgotten campaigns begin; the Brazilian "peace-keeping" occupation (at the quasi-request of the Montevideo government, affected badly by leftist riots and the Buenos Aires dust-cloud) of Uruguay, the naval/Marine "assistance" occupation of Chile under the overall command of Admiral John Sidney McCain Jr., and, of course, the infamous Treaty of Managua. (though that won't take effect for a while.) -As Mexico's more vocal and leftist students (the ones that rallied in support of their Argentinian friends) are thoroughly and rather violently crushed by the duo of President Antonio Ortiz Mena and his Security Minister Gustavo Diaz Ordaz, the two find themselves growing close indeed. Ortiz had favored naming his Foriegn Minister as his successor, but Diaz now seems a far better candidate. The US doesn't care _that_ much; Mexican-American relations are important to both Goldwater and Ortiz, and they're both in favor of taking care of Communists, especially ones rioting against the United States. Meanwhile, the surviving students head elsewhere, mostly south, Guerreo and Oaxaca, Chiapas and the Yucatan, provinces that most people in North America, much less the Mexican or American governments (even Ambassador Maurer) just don't think about, except as a source of peasants. It's just after the fifth of May, somewhere in Chiapas, when Cesar and Fernando Yanez meet *Emiliano Pena. -The Soviet Union is not a particularly friendly nation to non-Russians. Outright discrimination is, of course, banned, but the vast majority of high officials in the Party, the government, and military are Russians, and a majority of the remainder are at least Slavs. Nikolai Viktorovich Podgorny is one of the second; the former engineer recieved his post as Science Minister to satisfy the "Ukrainian faction" of Ukrainian Party head Leonid Brezhnev and industry head Kosygin. In the months since the space-borne American attack on Buenos Aires, though, Podgorny has turned a previously minor post into a tower of Soviet efficiency. General Secretary Suslov's attention is on more theoretical matters; directing Soviet troops in the field in the People's Republic of Sudan, regulating the media and literature, and enhancing Soviet industry. Still, Podgorny's plan appeals to him; where the capitalist Americans can only build orbital bombers, a temporary presence in space to match a temporary ideology. When the Soviet Union is truly ready to move into space (probably around 1970), they will stay there, and they'll have the power to strike from space just as well as the Americans, but all the time, and the irony is, they'll be using technology mostly discarded in the past thirty years. -As the summer goes on, General Jean-Bedel Bokassa (along with a coterie of his most prized officers) is transferred to Alsace; it is one of the most rebellious regions of France, and Maurice Challe wants the man who kept Corsica in the government's hands to fight in Metropolitan France. Within a few weeks of his arrival in war-torn Strasbourg, a variety of things happen in very short order. Bokassa marries his long-time paramour Josephine, a minor Bonaparte cousin, and adopts her son as his own. And Corsica rebels, within the space of a single day (August 3, 1967), high-ranking officers in the police and garrison are assasinated, the civilian governer declares independance, and suddenly French power on the island is on the run. As the bodies of Alsatian rebels are stacked like cordwood, people throughout France begin speaking Bokassa's name, and it's not all together unpositive... ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 103 Date: 05 Oct 2001 18:20:48 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 103 September-December 1967 -Far to the north of most of the world, in frozen, isolated Kane Basin, tensions are growing. Both Canada and the Nordic Council have been exerting their muscles in the Third World, seeking to form a non-aligned bloc of nations, relatively neutral in the various struggles between China and the CPSD, the US and Western Europe. Both have their friends in East Africa; Canada's alliance with Ethiopia drove Somalia into the arms of the northerners by the end of 1966. (Tiny Djibouti's membership in the Jerusalem League went almost unnoticed.) Only in the north, though, do the two powers come close to bordering; along the long coastline of Danish Greenland and Canada's Northwest Territories, seperated by the Davis Strait, Baffin Bay, and sundry other bodies of water home mostly to bergs and pack ice and hardy sea life, and it is here that the drama plays out. Almost daily, Canadians slip across the narrow, ice-choked water to spy on the Danish/Nordic installations in Inglefield Land, while Scandanavian teams do the same to the Canadian base at Alert. Casualties are relatively high in the frozen waters and incredible isolation, causes vary from bullets of attentive guards to a near-instant death after falling in the sea, to even an alleged polar bear attack. For Joseph Smallwood and the Nordic Council, it's not a very good situation, especially for Smallwood; Canada's economy continues to struggle, and the partial collapse of the Progressive Conservatives hasn't actually added much to Liberal power; the ex-followers of Dalton Camp have joined the party of their coalition partners. The Social Credit Party. -Reluctantly and quietly, President Goldwater authorizes lowering the recruitment standards for US Army officers; combat in Argentina is proving to be a disturbing experience, with surprisingly high casualties all around. Guevara's urban power base, of course, is still a problem, and not a night goes by in American city barracks where some local doesn't make a try for the place(s). In the countryside, though, things are _difficult_, there's nothing in particular to differentiate a convoy of pickup trucks driven by Argentine farmers and carrying their harvest and a convoy carrying Argentine farmers and a variety of small and medium arms, from rifles to machine guns to grenades, and enough mistakes have been made either way to cost a lot of lives. There's an end to the road in sight, a new government centered around the former minister of health, it's just the end is so very, very far away in the hot Southern Hemisphere summer of 1967. Meanwhile, Venezuela occupies El Salvador and her slice of Argentina; in the south, down to Tierra del Fuego. -On September 2, 1967, Brazil detonates an atomic bomb at a facility deep within the Amazon jungle. Now there are five American nations with nuclear weapons, three of them occupying a fifth, along with sundry other areas in Latin America. To combat anti-imperialist (and possible Communist) sentiment in the rest of the continent, the US calls a conference in Havana. If the smaller nations object to the behavior of the larger ones, well, they'll just get them in on the action. Representatives from all over the continent come, even Joseph Smallwood gets in on the action. The United Peacekeeping Council that emerges at the end of December is a two-assemblied body; all member nations are in the General Council with the five nuclear powers, Argentina (the reconstruction government), Brazil, Canada, Venezuela, and the United States in the Security Council. Perhaps not unexpectedly, the Security Council has most of the power, controlling budgets and the like. The primary power of the General Council is to call for "peacekeeping occupation" of member nations suffering from revolts and such. -In Dusseldorf, Westphalia, on November 19, 1967, President Reinhard Gehlen keels over dead at his desk sometime after sunset. Paranoid, with an ever-changing schedule, Gehlen was such an enigma to even his own inner circle that no one finds him missing until the next morning. In the subsequent dustup, several high-ranking officials die, several dozen find themselves in various prisons, and a hundred or so board flights to a nice safe place, most Prio's neutral Cuba, some to Venezuela. When the month or so of struggle and feuding is up, Westphalia has a new President, the former commander of the Essen garrison, and he has a remarkable proposal for the Prime Minister of the Palatinate. (and, by extension, the members of the United Peacekeeping Council.) The free German people have been seperated for far too long, and it's time they came together in this time of European crisis. A week after President-Colonel Paul Stütze makes that particular invitation, Westphalia detonates her first atomic bomb on December 2, 1967. ------------ Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 104 Date: 09 Oct 2001 15:45:50 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 104 January-April 1968 -As the body count of the French Civil War approaches one million, Maurice Challe is faced with a disintegrating state. There have been successes for the central government, many of them, but there have been just as many outright defeats, and a sound defeat always has more of an impact than a blood-soaked victory. Alsace, Provence, Languedoc and Normandy are firmly under the Parisian thumb, nationalism there has been crushed by the expedient of public executions of rebel leaders, rebel soldiers, rebel sympathizers, and all their families, death tolls are high and tens of thousands of troops died, but they were _successful_, by God. The Basque country is a little more difficult, but Spanish assistance has mostly done for the Basques as well. Things are more difficult in Gascony and Savoy; central government troops occupy most of the region, but outright fighting is still actually going on, and it's not going well. (Especially in Savoy, where the Swiss are making millions as arms dealers, trading German arms for Savoy gold, and where hundreds of Italian "advisors" slip across the border from the Social Republic of Italy.) In Brittany, the Saar, and Corsica, casualties are surprisingly low, but that's mostly because there aren't any Loyalist troops in any of the tree, outside of those living a fugitive or bandit existence. The provisional governments, located for the moment at Brest (because that's where supplies were arriving from the west), Saarbrucken, and Ajaccio, respectively, are already printing their own currency, much less manning their own army and navy. It will take a miracle to win them back. Most people in France look to one man in particular for that, the newly-appointed Defense Minister, Jean-Bedel Bokassa. (Maurice Challe's stock remains highest in Algeria, Morocco, and Tunisia; the pied noirs and retired veterans there have long memories.) -Complicating matters in the Saar are events a few miles to the east; hundreds of dignitaries from the governments of Westphalia, the Palatinate, and points elsewhere, especially the US, are present in Aachen on March 1, 1968, when Westphalian President Paul Stutze and Palatinate Prime Minister Willy Brandt (a former refugee) sign the Treaty of German Federation. Presented pretty openly as a first step to unification, the treaty is relatively honest about who's really in charge; most of the Palatinate's government will resign immediately and their replacements be appointed by the President of Westphalia, and while the two countries will keep seperate military and police forces, the Palatinatian forces will work "in cooperation" with Westphalia. There's a fair bit of dissatisfaction in the Palatinate over such matters; but they're rather used to being the puppet of whoever's in charge by now. Besides, the Treaty is only supposed to last for a few years. (Privately, of course, Stutze is supplying arms to the Saar rebels, once the French war ends, _all_ the German people outside of Communism will be freed.) -Oddly enough, German reunification wasn't that much of an issue in the April elections in Great Britain; both Enoch Powell and Harold Wilson are uncomfortable at a dictatorship getting quite that much power, but both men have had enough dealings with France for it not to be that much of an issue. Too, both men like the idea of _some_ stable, non-Communist government in Western continental Europe outside of Benelux. No one despite the Prime Minister himself is really quite surprised when Labour wins a pretty fair-sized majority; Powell was elected on a tide of anti-Labour discontent, and the economic prosperity he promised has yet to materialize. Too, the man himself has a strong tendency to alienate certain key voting groups, such as England, Scotland, and Wales. (Many attribute the dawn of modern Scottish and Welsh nationalism to the Powell administration.) The only real surprise, after Prime Minister Wilson takes office, is the subsequent leadership dispute in the Conservative Party; Powell's angry resignation has left a big hole open, and the Party has a lot of stout young bloods who want their own shot at greatness. To everyone's surprise, though, the Party turned to a son of the lower middle-class, Edward Heath. This'd show Wilson... -Originally brought in as a mid-season replacement on ABC, a surprise hit of early 1968 is _Star Wars_, a surprisingly well-done science fiction television series by veteran television and movie writers Gene Roddenberry and Rod Serling. The show doesn't even star big television names, only Jimmy Stewart (clean and sober six years running) as Avon, the not-particularly-reformed criminal, is likely to be familiar to viewing audiences. The show appeals to the young, in many ways because it's just so subversive. Roddenberry's vision of seven resistance fighters led by the reasonably noble Blake (Leonard Nimoy) campaigning against Servalan's (Chuck Heston) corrupt Federation was sold as an allegory about the French Resistance during World War II, but to a generation of young people raised on street violence and attempted alteration of society, it's a story that means much more than that. (Making an occasional cameo is Edward D. Wood, with Jimmy Stewart's help he is making the long, slow trip out of the bottle, but it will be quite some time before he's ready to make a full-scale return to directing or acting. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur, the anti-Rutherford Hayes Subject: For All Time Pt. 105 Date: 10 Oct 2001 19:52:05 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 105 May-July 1968 -When it comes, it comes as a roar of jet engines. Maurice Challe has been thinking a lot about his job security; in the twenty-three years since the end of World War II, France has had three military dictators, and his two predecessors died violently. (Though Darlan was a suicide.) Half his army wants his job, the other half would probably like to join the rebels. He has the sea; the French Navy has been loyal to the central government since Francois Darlan built them aircraft carriers, and just about every significant settler colony in the Empire...but unfortunately, he seems to have less and less of France every day. (The colonies are loyal for a variety of reasons; a lot of veterans were settled in Algeria, Morocco, and Tunisia, and the army abroad is largely "Great French." Maurice Challe isn't a particularly compassionate man publically, the several thousand dissidents executed during his nearly a decade in office could well attest to that. But he has a wife and children, and comparing them mentally to the _survivors_ of, say, Rennes or Marseilles isn't a pretty picture. After months of preperation, suddenly the Presidential Palace is empty on the morning of May 3, and Maurice Challe is on a flight across the Mediterreanean. The Fourth Republic is born on May 5, 1968, when a coterie of terrified mid-to-low level civil servants meet in Paris to write a new Constitution. (Most of their superiors are in Algiers.) By May 13, just about everyone is in open rebellion; Challe's government in Algiers is calling for France to reunite around his person to reconquer France, Jacques Massu in French West Africa is skeptical of that whole enterprise, and even little Tahiti has petitioned the CSO for help. By the end of July, Maurice Challe is alive, well, and in charge of more French departments than most of his rivals. By the end of July, though, the Army of the Alsace has taken Paris, and Jean-Bedel Bokassa is "negotiating" the future of France. -It's hard to say which issue is bigger in the 1968 American presidential campaign, the merrily spiralling inflation of the last few years, the ongoing war in Argentina, or civil rights. President Goldwater isn't running for a second term, but very few people are surprised at that; from "supporting homosexuality" to the war in Argentina, Goldwater has made himself deeply unpopular, despite the popularity of certain of his programs. (He has proven successful in one major area; whatever your opinion of the various New Deals, it's a safe bet to say Barry Goldwater successfully dismantled them. With the Tennessee Valley Authority sold to private businesses, the Department of Energy's vast nuclear reactor network sold to the states, and the national road system turned over to state and local governments, the federal government has a great deal of cash on hand; the question is what to do with it.) The Republicans, not unreasonably, follow the formula that won them their last election. (Goldwater may be personally unpopular, but the G.O.P. itself is doing just fine, thank you.) They select a Senator from a relatively small, Western state, a hero of World War II, a patriot if he is nothing else; Joseph Jacob Foss, former Governor and Senator from South Dakota. With the Democratic Party in big, key Texas divided, Foss opts to try to split them right down the middle, and takes former El Paso Mayor and Congressman Hal Warren as his running mate. After another bitterly divided convention in Chicago (an increasingly familiar pattern to party regulars) the Democrats finally settle on a bi-coastal ticket, with California Senator Alan Cranston and New Jersey Governor William Brennan heading the top and bottom, respectively. (Most comtemporary observers conclude the convention spells an end to the political career of the Governor of Pennsylvania; Jim Jones waged a bitter fight for both the Presidential and Vice-Presidential nomination before storming off the convention floor in disgust. Storming out of the hall with his wife Barbara in tow, Jones, having already resigned his post in expectation of the nomination, returns to his native Indiana to ferment.) --- Thoughts? Am I missing something people would like to see more of? President Chester A. Arthur "Celui qui mange la chair d'un autre homme prend sa force" -Motto of Third Empire France Subject: For All Time Pt. 106 Date: 13 Oct 2001 00:50:00 GMT From: congyoglas@aol.comgentboss (President Chester A. Arthur) Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if For All Time Pt. 106 August-October 1968 -The final settlement of the "French Question" will last into the 21st century, but its broad strokes are settled through the last few days of August 1968. One thing is certain; the world-bestriding empire of France is dead. Those places not beset by colonial insurgencies are covered in "governments-in-exile" or outright independance factions; while France herself has lost far too many young men and women to think about reconquering them, even with nuclear weapons. Of Metropolitian France; Brittany, the Saarland, and Corsica have their independance, assistance from a foriegn power or oceans have proved sufficient to overcome the population and industrial power of Francophone France, as it were. (In early September, the President of the Saar Republic agrees to merge with the Westphalia-Palatinate Federation in 1970, and all three agree to make their very own state at the same time. Representatives from all three powers meet in Dusseldorf under the watchful eye of the Westphalian government to begin writing a constitution.) As for the relatively new states, only the fledgling Maghreb Federation recieves a significant number of refugees/immigrants from the motherland. Of the slightly less than forty million or so French, perhaps one million flee to the new North African state by the end of the year. (As this is half the existing pied noir population, the first challenge of the Challe government will be to keep the nation from starving. Only the empty agricultural land left over the expulsions of the 1940s and 1950s keeps the new nation from foundering on a rock of starvation, death rates are very high even so.) Things are far less pleasant in French West Africa; facing poverty, revolts, famine, and other such problems, the French garrisons in towns from Dakar to Nouakchott, Niamey to Bamako, simply leave, departing en masse to join one of the new French governments, or else just departing. Governed directly from France, with as little local self-government as possible, the former colony explodes into war like no other. (In the Pacific, Tahiti and her associated islands become the very first "security zones" of the Collective Security Organization; with occupation by CSO troops, mostly Peruvians and Ecuadorians, and beneficial trade packages, it's even better than the Australian occupation of New Caledonia, and the CSO is far less openly imperialist than the National Party government. Another French possession, the former French Guinia, is the CSO's newest member in October.) Of France's former colonies, only French Equatorial Africa and, oddly enough, Madagascar, remain loyal to Paris. FEA is the birthplace of the new French head of state, and a massive investment in the colony has kept it in Parisian hands. Madagascar is rather loosely loyal, and there is a significant partisan movement in the interior, but France's vast naval complex on the Indian Ocean island will keep most of it in French hands, at least for the moment. In France herself, General Jean-Bedel Bokassa is crowned Emperor Jean-Bedel I. There is no small resistance to this in France, a black African with Bokassa's reputation for brutality has more enemies than friends, but there are many ways to simply leave France, whether to Brittany, Corsica, or the Maghreb. For those who stay and and won't stay quiet, Bokassa begins building a large facility in northern Equatorial Africa, one of the largest and most secret prisons in the western world. -The 1968 Wellington Olympics were relatively undistinguished by sports standards; very few records were broken, very few great athletes performed at their best, and the same American/Soviet/Western European complex won the same number of medals they always have. In political matters, however, they were rather noticeable indeed; two Scottish and one Welsh gold medal winners took the occasion to openly call for their respective national independence, black American medalists raised their fists in a black power salute, and France's athletic team just opted to settle in the Antipodean state. -In Korea, Kim Il-Song takes his last tour of the Panmunjonn Complex. Decades of work are getting very near to fruition; they've got it up to full-strength now. Even dictators have humanity, though, and he spends most of the night of October 19 pondering what they're doing. They are two years away from completion, and two years from Korea ruling, if not the world, then at least quite a bit of it. His stroke the next morning puts an end to such thoughts, though; after a few months of recovery, he can speak, he can think, he has all the old fire and power...but he does what Kim II-Jong suggests. And his son has no reservations about ruling the world, not even a little bit. ---- Thoughts? President Chester A. Arthur "Celui qui mange la chair d'un autre homme prend sa force" -Motto of Third Empire France